Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 1 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Everton 6 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 11 25 +17 1.17 59.14 1.60 83.05 7.22 52.74 60.13 86.97 95.48 98.29 99.69 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 11 25 +13 3.83 79.30 3.68 78.99 7.47 40.65 31.31 71.48 88.00 94.55 98.80 0.00 0.00 Leicester 11 22 +4 6.89 93.05 4.23 54.89 7.82 -4.10 0.08 0.57 2.58 6.68 20.01 0.32R 0.01 Man_Utd 11 21 +7 1.91 65.79 0.93 71.15 7.69 26.99 6.19 24.75 55.62 72.67 89.72 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 11 20 +7 4.41 83.41 6.52 57.58 7.89 7.56 0.15 1.23 5.34 12.39 31.90 0.09R 0.00 Tottenham 10 17 +8 1.26 61.11 5.02 62.25 8.14 18.40 0.78 4.87 14.86 29.75 55.99 0.02R 0.00 Southampton 11 17 +5 -0.94 41.67 0.62 58.92 7.81 12.07 0.25 1.84 6.83 15.69 38.79 0.05R 0.00 Liverpool 11 17 +0 0.36 53.41 -2.45 60.95 7.94 10.25 0.44 2.92 10.22 22.22 48.47 0.03R 0.00 Everton 11 16 +4 0.54 55.00 3.56 60.30 7.94 14.99 0.32 2.48 9.43 20.80 46.15 0.07R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 11 16 +1 3.30 77.68 4.59 49.97 7.64 -3.41 0.00 0.07 0.48 1.74 7.43 1.50R 0.10 Watford 11 16 +0 3.41 77.71 4.10 47.34 7.88 -9.19 0.01 0.06 0.34 1.07 4.60 3.73R 0.37 West_Brom 11 14 -4 0.98 59.57 -0.88 44.34 7.50 -14.49 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.28 1.68 7.10R 0.69 Swansea 11 13 -3 -0.87 43.45 -1.11 48.10 7.79 -6.45 0.00 0.04 0.30 1.14 5.32 2.98R 0.17 Stoke 11 13 -3 -1.89 34.63 -2.75 45.63 7.58 -9.35 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.50 2.64 4.86R 0.46 Chelsea 11 11 -6 -7.97 4.11 -11.92 60.69 7.83 14.21 0.34 2.69 10.29 22.20 48.53 0.05R 0.00 Norwich 11 9 -8 -3.15 25.33 -2.48 35.85 7.75 -26.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14 37.84R 9.21 Bournemouth 11 8 -12 -2.71 28.07 -3.68 32.44 7.55 -35.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 57.50R 18.57 Newcastle 11 7 -10 -3.45 21.29 -1.71 35.09 7.53 -25.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 40.89R 10.41 Sunderland 11 6 -12 -5.15 11.52 -5.68 29.37 7.03 -35.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.97R 30.30 Aston_Villa 10 4 -8 -5.98 6.06 -2.19 29.50 7.31 -29.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 70.00R 29.70Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Birmingham 0 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 14 30 +8 9.34 96.36 5.62 75.45 8.52 11.12 5.77 14.72 59.90 24.19P 0.01R 0.00 Hull 14 28 +13 3.06 71.33 4.80 84.17 8.74 30.65 30.60 51.62 89.81 64.16P 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 14 28 +7 4.60 80.45 0.94 78.70 8.93 17.20 11.98 26.10 73.15 38.98P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 14 27 +14 2.05 64.95 5.60 82.50 8.61 30.85 23.42 44.07 86.95 58.04P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 14 27 +11 2.29 66.40 2.71 81.98 8.78 27.79 21.57 41.32 84.62 54.55P 0.00R 0.00 Birmingham 14 24 +4 5.40 84.84 4.70 66.53 8.69 2.37 0.77 2.41 22.07 5.70P 0.56R 0.04 Reading 14 23 +8 3.19 72.84 6.99 67.86 8.76 9.87 1.09 3.52 28.17 8.39P 0.36R 0.02 Sheff_Wed 14 23 +3 4.43 80.29 3.51 65.69 8.59 2.03 0.54 1.95 19.60 5.14P 0.70R 0.04 Cardiff 14 22 +4 2.31 67.35 2.97 66.74 8.57 5.79 0.70 2.46 22.98 6.70P 0.44R 0.02 Fulham 14 20 +6 0.43 53.59 5.61 64.32 9.12 6.19 0.65 2.01 17.70 5.10P 1.42R 0.14 Brentford 14 20 +0 -0.13 49.27 -1.36 65.99 8.93 3.31 0.75 2.43 21.03 6.49P 0.84R 0.06 QPR 14 19 -1 -2.19 34.63 -3.95 65.11 9.33 2.42 0.76 2.48 19.82 6.56P 1.43R 0.14 Wolverhampton 14 18 +0 -2.35 33.34 -1.74 67.04 8.90 7.83 0.94 3.04 25.30 8.35P 0.56R 0.05 Ipswich 14 18 -5 -1.29 40.90 -5.31 62.62 8.88 -3.77 0.24 1.00 12.01 3.37P 2.27R 0.29 Blackburn 14 15 +0 -4.53 19.88 -0.63 60.84 8.83 3.33 0.13 0.58 9.10 2.57P 2.98R 0.38 Huddersfield 14 14 -4 -1.91 36.72 0.85 52.14 8.62 -12.28 0.01 0.03 1.18 0.23P 18.07R 3.88 Nott'm_Forest 14 14 -4 -4.40 20.42 -3.05 55.88 8.82 -6.80 0.04 0.15 3.08 0.73P 9.45R 1.53 Preston 14 13 -3 -4.26 20.74 -0.81 52.74 8.72 -7.97 0.01 0.04 1.39 0.34P 15.99R 3.07 Leeds_United 14 13 -7 -2.92 29.30 -2.44 50.93 8.51 -14.95 0.00 0.02 0.74 0.13P 22.32R 4.93 MK_Dons 14 11 -9 -5.38 15.28 -4.76 48.72 8.96 -18.17 0.00 0.01 0.53 0.12P 31.77R 8.69 Bristol_City 14 11 -10 -5.19 16.64 -5.32 48.32 9.00 -20.79 0.01 0.02 0.51 0.10P 34.37R 10.62 Bolton 14 10 -10 -5.75 12.87 -5.19 47.31 8.54 -19.25 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 37.05R 11.09 Charlton 14 10 -13 -4.79 16.83 -6.68 45.38 8.33 -24.64 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 46.90R 15.39 Rotherham 14 9 -12 -4.47 18.56 -3.05 39.83 8.19 -32.14 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 72.51R 39.61League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Bury 4 3 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 16 32 +14 6.53 87.34 8.81 79.40 8.39 23.23 22.49 40.48 81.28 51.13P 0.03R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 32 +3 11.11 97.13 4.21 70.62 8.53 -0.27 4.14 9.97 41.35 15.63P 0.88R 0.02 Gillingham 16 31 +13 6.08 85.00 8.62 77.28 8.63 20.70 16.68 31.80 72.90 41.57P 0.10R 0.00 Coventry 15 28 +11 5.47 83.54 8.08 75.85 8.73 18.97 13.00 26.01 67.17 35.85P 0.20R 0.01 Wigan 16 27 +8 -1.18 41.59 -1.39 79.98 8.60 25.50 25.85 44.69 82.50 57.92P 0.06R 0.00 Bury 16 27 +4 6.03 84.58 5.75 66.24 8.86 0.53 1.82 4.76 25.24 8.81P 3.77R 0.24 Millwall 16 25 +1 1.40 59.40 -1.37 70.02 8.93 6.77 4.23 10.23 40.46 17.88P 1.56R 0.12 Sheff_Utd 16 24 +4 -1.83 37.37 -1.83 70.81 8.48 12.41 4.59 11.23 44.75 20.82P 0.85R 0.04 Scunthorpe 16 23 +3 1.28 59.20 3.56 63.23 8.56 1.30 0.69 1.97 15.64 4.87P 6.91R 0.65 Chesterfield 16 23 -1 -0.29 48.34 -3.00 66.92 8.60 2.87 1.69 4.67 27.22 10.26P 2.95R 0.19 Southend 16 23 -1 3.58 74.09 2.33 59.51 8.39 -7.22 0.21 0.71 7.12 1.97P 14.38R 1.60 Peterborough 16 21 +5 -3.32 29.06 1.35 68.48 8.68 14.51 2.78 7.40 35.67 15.17P 1.96R 0.15 Rochdale 16 21 +2 -1.68 39.09 1.03 63.83 8.56 4.26 0.83 2.48 17.55 6.11P 5.88R 0.57 Bradford 15 21 -2 1.21 59.38 -1.00 63.19 8.45 -2.19 0.55 1.79 14.84 4.59P 6.53R 0.57 Port_Vale 16 20 +0 -0.98 43.91 1.37 58.75 8.32 -3.77 0.13 0.52 6.21 1.78P 15.45R 1.93 Colchester 16 20 -9 1.82 63.49 -2.16 55.06 8.52 -19.81 0.03 0.15 2.71 0.59P 31.12R 6.39 Shrewsbury 16 17 -4 -4.38 23.05 -3.27 54.22 8.54 -9.84 0.05 0.20 2.42 0.75P 32.94R 6.32 Doncaster 16 17 -9 -3.16 29.22 -6.34 55.49 8.35 -12.61 0.04 0.17 2.80 0.68P 27.87R 4.94 Oldham 16 16 -6 -3.13 29.45 -1.73 53.02 8.25 -12.13 0.01 0.06 1.50 0.36P 37.94R 8.13 Blackpool 15 16 -7 -2.75 31.78 -4.21 54.54 8.67 -12.80 0.04 0.15 2.55 0.65P 32.68R 6.64 Fleetwood_Town 16 15 -5 -4.52 21.25 -1.39 51.67 8.23 -11.57 0.01 0.05 0.98 0.25P 43.85R 10.59 Barnsley 15 14 -7 -6.58 11.71 -6.94 54.86 8.72 -9.73 0.06 0.23 2.96 0.85P 30.47R 6.12 Swindon 16 13 -7 -10.70 3.07 -9.52 56.54 8.61 -3.65 0.09 0.29 4.12 1.51P 23.20R 3.88 Crewe 16 13 -10 -3.07 29.51 -0.94 44.18 7.98 -25.48 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 78.42R 40.87League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 16 35 +14 8.72 93.76 7.67 85.60 8.40 27.76 41.53 75.28 94.92 80.76P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 16 30 +12 5.54 82.88 8.23 78.18 8.57 22.48 12.68 42.30 78.26 51.76P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 16 28 +9 3.74 73.99 5.53 73.22 8.60 15.02 4.92 21.77 57.88 30.73P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 16 28 +7 6.79 87.64 8.27 70.07 8.65 8.17 2.24 12.57 42.44 18.29P 0.12R 0.02 Northampton 16 28 +5 4.65 78.28 2.93 71.06 8.69 7.70 2.91 15.12 46.57 22.16P 0.06R 0.01 Mansfield 16 26 +9 5.40 82.89 10.69 65.26 8.45 6.49 0.67 4.71 23.09 8.31P 0.36R 0.09 Leyton_Orient 16 26 +6 -3.27 28.68 -5.30 81.09 8.62 27.29 22.56 56.95 86.47 67.85P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 16 26 +1 4.34 76.81 1.85 64.33 8.72 -4.32 0.54 4.27 20.09 7.21P 0.68R 0.18 Wycombe 15 25 +7 0.79 55.68 1.61 73.35 8.69 15.65 5.06 22.60 58.10 32.61P 0.03R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 16 25 +1 3.96 75.12 2.50 63.90 8.55 -2.67 0.38 3.38 17.97 6.15P 0.77R 0.21 Morecambe 16 23 +2 1.39 59.68 2.77 66.28 8.76 4.87 0.89 6.16 27.29 10.70P 0.47R 0.12 Bristol_Rovers 15 23 +1 3.58 74.23 2.44 64.38 8.96 -0.23 0.59 4.36 20.71 7.85P 0.71R 0.19 Luton 16 22 +6 -2.14 35.99 2.73 68.39 8.67 13.86 1.66 9.95 37.05 17.25P 0.19R 0.04 Exeter 16 22 -2 0.38 52.98 -1.26 60.61 8.57 -6.13 0.15 1.55 10.45 3.36P 1.86R 0.51 Notts_County 16 22 -2 -2.43 34.55 -5.71 69.77 8.94 7.96 2.32 12.50 42.13 21.17P 0.18R 0.04 Crawley_Town 16 21 -5 -1.75 38.88 -6.20 65.51 9.04 0.01 0.80 5.38 24.53 10.39P 0.77R 0.19 Barnet 16 20 -3 0.98 57.70 1.82 55.58 8.74 -12.04 0.04 0.42 4.07 1.17P 7.18R 2.61 Cambridge_Utd 16 20 -3 0.15 52.03 0.42 56.23 8.45 -10.88 0.04 0.45 4.11 1.16P 5.42R 1.84 Hartlepool 16 17 -9 -0.60 47.24 -2.53 47.33 7.94 -25.15 0.00 0.02 0.23 0.05P 28.43R 13.20 Stevenage 16 14 -11 -7.28 10.35 -9.84 53.88 8.63 -13.22 0.01 0.20 2.53 0.74P 9.49R 3.69 Newport_County 16 13 -11 -5.31 17.38 -5.49 47.04 8.23 -21.81 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.07P 30.32R 14.51 York 16 12 -8 -8.07 7.50 -5.38 47.39 8.23 -16.27 0.00 0.01 0.37 0.12P 27.19R 12.56 Yeovil 16 9 -12 -11.34 2.03 -9.55 45.74 8.77 -18.68 0.00 0.03 0.35 0.11P 35.53R 19.19 Dag_&_Red 16 9 -14 -9.40 4.25 -8.21 42.78 8.34 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 50.21R 30.80National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Altrincham 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 19 38 +13 5.34 79.87 2.84 83.40 7.88 25.81 17.15 75.80 30.99P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 19 37 +18 1.64 59.48 3.76 89.66 7.63 42.02 51.28 93.95 65.43P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 19 36 +10 7.08 86.68 5.82 76.95 7.84 15.84 4.51 44.79 11.46P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 19 33 +10 6.38 82.87 9.56 73.60 8.50 15.17 2.40 31.01 7.19P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 19 32 +6 4.56 76.91 3.78 71.39 7.64 9.74 0.82 19.32 4.32P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 19 31 +10 1.06 56.44 4.12 72.76 7.87 17.01 1.47 26.75 6.67P 0.01R 0.00 Eastleigh 18 31 +4 3.20 69.48 -0.64 73.60 8.22 10.25 2.17 29.63 7.10P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 19 31 +1 3.86 72.88 -0.38 70.37 7.79 4.41 0.67 16.09 3.27P 0.04R 0.00 Grimsby 19 30 +19 -5.89 16.91 3.98 80.59 7.56 39.65 10.31 67.14 30.46P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 19 30 +10 -4.83 21.85 -3.38 79.59 7.81 28.83 8.15 60.86 25.74P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 18 29 +7 3.67 72.40 6.17 68.59 8.09 8.47 0.51 12.92 2.60P 0.09R 0.00 Aldershot 19 28 -2 2.79 67.48 -0.61 64.41 7.76 -3.04 0.06 4.52 0.77P 0.32R 0.01 Macclesfield 19 26 +4 -2.12 37.13 0.95 66.28 7.77 8.91 0.17 7.47 1.70P 0.18R 0.01 Chester 19 25 -6 3.71 73.22 1.91 57.73 7.67 -13.25 0.01 0.61 0.08P 2.89R 0.23 Barrow 19 25 -14 6.68 86.31 -0.96 51.33 7.67 -31.28 0.00 0.09 0.01P 15.31R 2.56 Woking 18 24 +5 -4.00 26.15 0.00 66.45 8.09 10.99 0.31 8.86 2.18P 0.18R 0.01 Guiseley 19 23 -8 2.01 63.53 -0.36 48.07 7.42 -26.93 0.00 0.03 0.00P 25.78R 5.38 Welling 19 22 -5 -0.26 49.43 0.55 52.25 7.37 -15.27 0.00 0.07 0.01P 10.58R 1.51 Altrincham 19 20 -13 0.74 56.25 -2.28 47.84 7.34 -27.80 0.00 0.01 0.00P 26.71R 5.65 Boreham_Wood 19 16 -6 -4.74 22.97 2.03 46.34 7.81 -16.16 0.00 0.02 0.00P 32.87R 8.80 Torquay 19 16 -14 -8.31 9.34 -10.86 51.83 7.81 -16.37 0.00 0.07 0.01P 12.93R 2.23 Southport 18 15 -12 -3.18 30.05 -1.99 43.82 7.50 -26.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.75R 14.73 Kidderminster 19 11 -12 -11.98 1.97 -7.35 42.62 7.52 -20.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.27R 17.78 Halifax 19 10 -25 -11.44 2.62 -16.65 38.54 7.53 -39.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.03R 41.10