Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 1 November 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Everton 6 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   25  +17       1.17    59.14     1.60    83.05     7.22    52.74    60.13    86.97    95.48    98.29    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   25  +13       3.83    79.30     3.68    78.99     7.47    40.65    31.31    71.48    88.00    94.55    98.80     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   22   +4       6.89    93.05     4.23    54.89     7.82    -4.10     0.08     0.57     2.58     6.68    20.01     0.32R    0.01  
Man_Utd          11   21   +7       1.91    65.79     0.93    71.15     7.69    26.99     6.19    24.75    55.62    72.67    89.72     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         11   20   +7       4.41    83.41     6.52    57.58     7.89     7.56     0.15     1.23     5.34    12.39    31.90     0.09R    0.00  
Tottenham        10   17   +8       1.26    61.11     5.02    62.25     8.14    18.40     0.78     4.87    14.86    29.75    55.99     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      11   17   +5      -0.94    41.67     0.62    58.92     7.81    12.07     0.25     1.84     6.83    15.69    38.79     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool        11   17   +0       0.36    53.41    -2.45    60.95     7.94    10.25     0.44     2.92    10.22    22.22    48.47     0.03R    0.00  
Everton          11   16   +4       0.54    55.00     3.56    60.30     7.94    14.99     0.32     2.48     9.43    20.80    46.15     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   11   16   +1       3.30    77.68     4.59    49.97     7.64    -3.41     0.00     0.07     0.48     1.74     7.43     1.50R    0.10  
Watford          11   16   +0       3.41    77.71     4.10    47.34     7.88    -9.19     0.01     0.06     0.34     1.07     4.60     3.73R    0.37  
West_Brom        11   14   -4       0.98    59.57    -0.88    44.34     7.50   -14.49     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.28     1.68     7.10R    0.69  
Swansea          11   13   -3      -0.87    43.45    -1.11    48.10     7.79    -6.45     0.00     0.04     0.30     1.14     5.32     2.98R    0.17  
Stoke            11   13   -3      -1.89    34.63    -2.75    45.63     7.58    -9.35     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.50     2.64     4.86R    0.46  
Chelsea          11   11   -6      -7.97     4.11   -11.92    60.69     7.83    14.21     0.34     2.69    10.29    22.20    48.53     0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          11    9   -8      -3.15    25.33    -2.48    35.85     7.75   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14    37.84R    9.21  
Bournemouth      11    8  -12      -2.71    28.07    -3.68    32.44     7.55   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    57.50R   18.57  
Newcastle        11    7  -10      -3.45    21.29    -1.71    35.09     7.53   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    40.89R   10.41  
Sunderland       11    6  -12      -5.15    11.52    -5.68    29.37     7.03   -35.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.97R   30.30  
Aston_Villa      10    4   -8      -5.98     6.06    -2.19    29.50     7.31   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.00R   29.70  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Birmingham 0 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        14   30   +8       9.34    96.36     5.62    75.45     8.52    11.12     5.77    14.72    59.90    24.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull            14   28  +13       3.06    71.33     4.80    84.17     8.74    30.65    30.60    51.62    89.81    64.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         14   28   +7       4.60    80.45     0.94    78.70     8.93    17.20    11.98    26.10    73.15    38.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   14   27  +14       2.05    64.95     5.60    82.50     8.61    30.85    23.42    44.07    86.95    58.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           14   27  +11       2.29    66.40     2.71    81.98     8.78    27.79    21.57    41.32    84.62    54.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      14   24   +4       5.40    84.84     4.70    66.53     8.69     2.37     0.77     2.41    22.07     5.70P    0.56R    0.04  
Reading         14   23   +8       3.19    72.84     6.99    67.86     8.76     9.87     1.09     3.52    28.17     8.39P    0.36R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       14   23   +3       4.43    80.29     3.51    65.69     8.59     2.03     0.54     1.95    19.60     5.14P    0.70R    0.04  
Cardiff         14   22   +4       2.31    67.35     2.97    66.74     8.57     5.79     0.70     2.46    22.98     6.70P    0.44R    0.02  
Fulham          14   20   +6       0.43    53.59     5.61    64.32     9.12     6.19     0.65     2.01    17.70     5.10P    1.42R    0.14  
Brentford       14   20   +0      -0.13    49.27    -1.36    65.99     8.93     3.31     0.75     2.43    21.03     6.49P    0.84R    0.06  
QPR             14   19   -1      -2.19    34.63    -3.95    65.11     9.33     2.42     0.76     2.48    19.82     6.56P    1.43R    0.14  
Wolverhampton   14   18   +0      -2.35    33.34    -1.74    67.04     8.90     7.83     0.94     3.04    25.30     8.35P    0.56R    0.05  
Ipswich         14   18   -5      -1.29    40.90    -5.31    62.62     8.88    -3.77     0.24     1.00    12.01     3.37P    2.27R    0.29  
Blackburn       14   15   +0      -4.53    19.88    -0.63    60.84     8.83     3.33     0.13     0.58     9.10     2.57P    2.98R    0.38  
Huddersfield    14   14   -4      -1.91    36.72     0.85    52.14     8.62   -12.28     0.01     0.03     1.18     0.23P   18.07R    3.88  
Nott'm_Forest   14   14   -4      -4.40    20.42    -3.05    55.88     8.82    -6.80     0.04     0.15     3.08     0.73P    9.45R    1.53  
Preston         14   13   -3      -4.26    20.74    -0.81    52.74     8.72    -7.97     0.01     0.04     1.39     0.34P   15.99R    3.07  
Leeds_United    14   13   -7      -2.92    29.30    -2.44    50.93     8.51   -14.95     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.13P   22.32R    4.93  
MK_Dons         14   11   -9      -5.38    15.28    -4.76    48.72     8.96   -18.17     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.12P   31.77R    8.69  
Bristol_City    14   11  -10      -5.19    16.64    -5.32    48.32     9.00   -20.79     0.01     0.02     0.51     0.10P   34.37R   10.62  
Bolton          14   10  -10      -5.75    12.87    -5.19    47.31     8.54   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   37.05R   11.09  
Charlton        14   10  -13      -4.79    16.83    -6.68    45.38     8.33   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   46.90R   15.39  
Rotherham       14    9  -12      -4.47    18.56    -3.05    39.83     8.19   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   72.51R   39.61  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Bury 4 3 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.53    87.34     8.81    79.40     8.39    23.23    22.49    40.48    81.28    51.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      11.11    97.13     4.21    70.62     8.53    -0.27     4.14     9.97    41.35    15.63P    0.88R    0.02  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.08    85.00     8.62    77.28     8.63    20.70    16.68    31.80    72.90    41.57P    0.10R    0.00  
Coventry         15   28  +11       5.47    83.54     8.08    75.85     8.73    18.97    13.00    26.01    67.17    35.85P    0.20R    0.01  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.18    41.59    -1.39    79.98     8.60    25.50    25.85    44.69    82.50    57.92P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       6.03    84.58     5.75    66.24     8.86     0.53     1.82     4.76    25.24     8.81P    3.77R    0.24  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.40    59.40    -1.37    70.02     8.93     6.77     4.23    10.23    40.46    17.88P    1.56R    0.12  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.83    37.37    -1.83    70.81     8.48    12.41     4.59    11.23    44.75    20.82P    0.85R    0.04  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.28    59.20     3.56    63.23     8.56     1.30     0.69     1.97    15.64     4.87P    6.91R    0.65  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.29    48.34    -3.00    66.92     8.60     2.87     1.69     4.67    27.22    10.26P    2.95R    0.19  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.58    74.09     2.33    59.51     8.39    -7.22     0.21     0.71     7.12     1.97P   14.38R    1.60  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.32    29.06     1.35    68.48     8.68    14.51     2.78     7.40    35.67    15.17P    1.96R    0.15  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.68    39.09     1.03    63.83     8.56     4.26     0.83     2.48    17.55     6.11P    5.88R    0.57  
Bradford         15   21   -2       1.21    59.38    -1.00    63.19     8.45    -2.19     0.55     1.79    14.84     4.59P    6.53R    0.57  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -0.98    43.91     1.37    58.75     8.32    -3.77     0.13     0.52     6.21     1.78P   15.45R    1.93  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.82    63.49    -2.16    55.06     8.52   -19.81     0.03     0.15     2.71     0.59P   31.12R    6.39  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.38    23.05    -3.27    54.22     8.54    -9.84     0.05     0.20     2.42     0.75P   32.94R    6.32  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.16    29.22    -6.34    55.49     8.35   -12.61     0.04     0.17     2.80     0.68P   27.87R    4.94  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -3.13    29.45    -1.73    53.02     8.25   -12.13     0.01     0.06     1.50     0.36P   37.94R    8.13  
Blackpool        15   16   -7      -2.75    31.78    -4.21    54.54     8.67   -12.80     0.04     0.15     2.55     0.65P   32.68R    6.64  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.52    21.25    -1.39    51.67     8.23   -11.57     0.01     0.05     0.98     0.25P   43.85R   10.59  
Barnsley         15   14   -7      -6.58    11.71    -6.94    54.86     8.72    -9.73     0.06     0.23     2.96     0.85P   30.47R    6.12  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.70     3.07    -9.52    56.54     8.61    -3.65     0.09     0.29     4.12     1.51P   23.20R    3.88  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -3.07    29.51    -0.94    44.18     7.98   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   78.42R   40.87  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 November 2015, Dag_&_Red 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.72    93.76     7.67    85.60     8.40    27.76    41.53    75.28    94.92    80.76P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.54    82.88     8.23    78.18     8.57    22.48    12.68    42.30    78.26    51.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.74    73.99     5.53    73.22     8.60    15.02     4.92    21.77    57.88    30.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.79    87.64     8.27    70.07     8.65     8.17     2.24    12.57    42.44    18.29P    0.12R    0.02  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.65    78.28     2.93    71.06     8.69     7.70     2.91    15.12    46.57    22.16P    0.06R    0.01  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.40    82.89    10.69    65.26     8.45     6.49     0.67     4.71    23.09     8.31P    0.36R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.27    28.68    -5.30    81.09     8.62    27.29    22.56    56.95    86.47    67.85P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.34    76.81     1.85    64.33     8.72    -4.32     0.54     4.27    20.09     7.21P    0.68R    0.18  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.79    55.68     1.61    73.35     8.69    15.65     5.06    22.60    58.10    32.61P    0.03R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.96    75.12     2.50    63.90     8.55    -2.67     0.38     3.38    17.97     6.15P    0.77R    0.21  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.39    59.68     2.77    66.28     8.76     4.87     0.89     6.16    27.29    10.70P    0.47R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.58    74.23     2.44    64.38     8.96    -0.23     0.59     4.36    20.71     7.85P    0.71R    0.19  
Luton                16   22   +6      -2.14    35.99     2.73    68.39     8.67    13.86     1.66     9.95    37.05    17.25P    0.19R    0.04  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.38    52.98    -1.26    60.61     8.57    -6.13     0.15     1.55    10.45     3.36P    1.86R    0.51  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.43    34.55    -5.71    69.77     8.94     7.96     2.32    12.50    42.13    21.17P    0.18R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.75    38.88    -6.20    65.51     9.04     0.01     0.80     5.38    24.53    10.39P    0.77R    0.19  
Barnet               16   20   -3       0.98    57.70     1.82    55.58     8.74   -12.04     0.04     0.42     4.07     1.17P    7.18R    2.61  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.15    52.03     0.42    56.23     8.45   -10.88     0.04     0.45     4.11     1.16P    5.42R    1.84  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.60    47.24    -2.53    47.33     7.94   -25.15     0.00     0.02     0.23     0.05P   28.43R   13.20  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.28    10.35    -9.84    53.88     8.63   -13.22     0.01     0.20     2.53     0.74P    9.49R    3.69  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.31    17.38    -5.49    47.04     8.23   -21.81     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P   30.32R   14.51  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.07     7.50    -5.38    47.39     8.23   -16.27     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.12P   27.19R   12.56  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.34     2.03    -9.55    45.74     8.77   -18.68     0.00     0.03     0.35     0.11P   35.53R   19.19  
Dag_&_Red            16    9  -14      -9.40     4.25    -8.21    42.78     8.34   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   50.21R   30.80  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Altrincham 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     19   38  +13       5.34    79.87     2.84    83.40     7.88    25.81    17.15    75.80    30.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.64    59.48     3.76    89.66     7.63    42.02    51.28    93.95    65.43P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   19   36  +10       7.08    86.68     5.82    76.95     7.84    15.84     4.51    44.79    11.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          19   33  +10       6.38    82.87     9.56    73.60     8.50    15.17     2.40    31.01     7.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   32   +6       4.56    76.91     3.78    71.39     7.64     9.74     0.82    19.32     4.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       1.06    56.44     4.12    72.76     7.87    17.01     1.47    26.75     6.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        18   31   +4       3.20    69.48    -0.64    73.60     8.22    10.25     2.17    29.63     7.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.86    72.88    -0.38    70.37     7.79     4.41     0.67    16.09     3.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.89    16.91     3.98    80.59     7.56    39.65    10.31    67.14    30.46P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.83    21.85    -3.38    79.59     7.81    28.83     8.15    60.86    25.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.67    72.40     6.17    68.59     8.09     8.47     0.51    12.92     2.60P    0.09R    0.00  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.79    67.48    -0.61    64.41     7.76    -3.04     0.06     4.52     0.77P    0.32R    0.01  
Macclesfield     19   26   +4      -2.12    37.13     0.95    66.28     7.77     8.91     0.17     7.47     1.70P    0.18R    0.01  
Chester          19   25   -6       3.71    73.22     1.91    57.73     7.67   -13.25     0.01     0.61     0.08P    2.89R    0.23  
Barrow           19   25  -14       6.68    86.31    -0.96    51.33     7.67   -31.28     0.00     0.09     0.01P   15.31R    2.56  
Woking           18   24   +5      -4.00    26.15     0.00    66.45     8.09    10.99     0.31     8.86     2.18P    0.18R    0.01  
Guiseley         19   23   -8       2.01    63.53    -0.36    48.07     7.42   -26.93     0.00     0.03     0.00P   25.78R    5.38  
Welling          19   22   -5      -0.26    49.43     0.55    52.25     7.37   -15.27     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.58R    1.51  
Altrincham       19   20  -13       0.74    56.25    -2.28    47.84     7.34   -27.80     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.71R    5.65  
Boreham_Wood     19   16   -6      -4.74    22.97     2.03    46.34     7.81   -16.16     0.00     0.02     0.00P   32.87R    8.80  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.31     9.34   -10.86    51.83     7.81   -16.37     0.00     0.07     0.01P   12.93R    2.23  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.18    30.05    -1.99    43.82     7.50   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.75R   14.73  
Kidderminster    19   11  -12     -11.98     1.97    -7.35    42.62     7.52   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.27R   17.78  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.44     2.62   -16.65    38.54     7.53   -39.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.03R   41.10