Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 31 October 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Chelsea 1 3 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   25  +17       1.13    58.39     1.60    83.00     7.30    52.48    60.54    87.20    95.72    98.34    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   25  +13       3.86    79.71     3.70    78.77     7.48    39.96    30.87    71.34    88.33    94.85    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   22   +4       6.93    92.92     4.27    54.99     7.91    -3.80     0.09     0.71     2.97     7.62    22.42     0.42R    0.02  
Man_Utd          11   21   +7       1.91    65.87     1.01    71.16     7.67    26.91     6.27    25.43    57.30    74.38    90.85     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         11   20   +7       4.49    83.69     6.61    57.54     7.90     7.57     0.14     1.39     5.42    13.15    33.91     0.17R    0.00  
Tottenham        10   17   +8       1.29    61.35     5.08    62.31     8.21    18.47     0.87     5.10    16.10    32.00    58.80     0.04R    0.00  
Liverpool        11   17   +0       0.40    53.63    -2.39    60.59     8.00     9.63     0.48     2.95    10.19    22.24    48.78     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   11   16   +1       3.35    77.90     4.65    49.94     7.61    -3.38     0.02     0.09     0.54     1.94     8.43     1.83R    0.11  
Watford          11   16   +0       3.34    77.32     3.93    47.32     7.90    -9.09     0.00     0.04     0.37     1.27     5.12     4.51R    0.49  
Southampton      10   14   +3      -1.77    34.58    -0.10    57.70     8.12    10.76     0.24     1.75     6.16    14.57    35.88     0.25R    0.00  
West_Brom        11   14   -4       1.10    60.59    -0.68    44.13     7.47   -14.64     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.35     1.90     8.71R    0.94  
Everton          10   13   +0       0.13    51.98     1.34    57.71     8.19     9.38     0.18     1.34     5.80    13.94    35.76     0.29R    0.02  
Swansea          11   13   -3      -0.76    44.06    -0.98    47.99     7.80    -6.52     0.00     0.05     0.30     1.17     5.59     3.60R    0.34  
Stoke            11   13   -3      -1.94    34.22    -2.85    45.64     7.54    -9.21     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.55     2.89     5.61R    0.55  
Chelsea          11   11   -6      -8.05     4.09   -12.02    60.57     7.84    13.85     0.31     2.58    10.55    23.55    50.56     0.10R    0.01  
Norwich          11    9   -8      -3.10    25.59    -2.45    35.87     7.75   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.20    40.87R   10.63  
Bournemouth      10    8  -10      -2.07    32.88    -2.92    33.49     7.79   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14    54.72R   18.26  
Newcastle        11    7  -10      -3.46    21.47    -1.78    35.36     7.57   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    42.79R   11.69  
Sunderland       10    6   -8      -4.94    11.83    -3.80    31.52     7.30   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    63.64R   23.19  
Aston_Villa      10    4   -8      -5.97     6.11    -2.21    29.53     7.28   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.41R   33.75  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Birmingham 0 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        14   30   +8       9.27    96.34     5.53    75.70     8.53    11.44     5.88    15.23    60.90    24.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull            14   28  +13       2.89    70.33     4.60    84.59     8.82    31.27    32.04    53.00    90.53    65.40P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         14   28   +7       4.50    79.91     0.81    78.81     8.95    17.39    12.14    26.41    73.36    39.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   14   27  +14       2.13    65.69     5.72    82.33     8.57    30.55    22.37    42.70    86.54    56.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           14   27  +11       2.32    66.58     2.72    82.01     8.77    27.83    21.11    40.80    84.67    54.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      14   24   +4       5.41    84.67     4.75    66.37     8.71     2.19     0.71     2.36    21.66     5.71P    0.65R    0.04  
Reading         14   23   +8       3.16    72.51     6.97    67.82     8.86     9.78     1.15     3.59    27.97     8.60P    0.40R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       14   23   +3       4.37    79.80     3.45    65.78     8.54     2.10     0.55     1.93    19.48     5.24P    0.66R    0.05  
Cardiff         14   22   +4       2.31    67.20     2.92    66.76     8.65     5.86     0.82     2.53    23.47     6.91P    0.45R    0.02  
Fulham          14   20   +6       0.46    53.84     5.60    64.24     9.07     6.10     0.50     1.78    17.36     4.87P    1.44R    0.11  
Brentford       14   20   +0      -0.04    50.04    -1.23    65.84     8.92     3.12     0.69     2.39    20.71     6.33P    0.93R    0.09  
QPR             14   19   -1      -2.19    34.67    -3.92    65.11     9.32     2.38     0.79     2.53    19.84     6.49P    1.45R    0.13  
Wolverhampton   14   18   +0      -2.28    33.79    -1.71    67.05     8.89     7.81     0.84     2.98    25.29     8.40P    0.63R    0.05  
Ipswich         14   18   -5      -1.26    41.08    -5.26    62.59     8.93    -3.81     0.23     0.96    11.95     3.38P    2.38R    0.30  
Blackburn       14   15   +0      -4.53    19.63    -0.63    60.92     8.74     3.39     0.13     0.57     8.81     2.48P    2.91R    0.34  
Huddersfield    14   14   -4      -1.85    37.00     0.96    52.05     8.57   -12.43     0.00     0.02     1.01     0.17P   18.37R    3.76  
Nott'm_Forest   14   14   -4      -4.37    20.21    -3.05    55.85     8.71    -6.76     0.04     0.11     2.87     0.62P    9.21R    1.49  
Preston         14   13   -3      -4.29    20.68    -0.87    52.64     8.69    -8.04     0.01     0.05     1.46     0.28P   16.06R    2.99  
Leeds_United    14   13   -7      -2.84    29.57    -2.31    50.76     8.45   -15.19     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.09P   22.71R    5.18  
MK_Dons         14   11   -9      -5.47    14.90    -4.83    48.90     8.99   -17.96     0.00     0.03     0.62     0.13P   30.94R    8.66  
Bristol_City    14   11  -10      -5.19    16.82    -5.30    48.25     9.12   -20.91     0.01     0.02     0.54     0.10P   34.70R   10.91  
Bolton          14   10  -10      -5.77    12.67    -5.20    47.28     8.48   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   36.68R   11.04  
Charlton        14   10  -13      -4.72    17.26    -6.60    45.21     8.30   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   47.66R   15.89  
Rotherham       14    9  -12      -4.51    18.19    -3.14    39.94     8.17   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    71.73R   38.93  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Bury 4 3 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          16   32  +14       6.51    87.19     8.78    79.44     8.35    23.34    22.47    40.74    81.31    51.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    16   32   +3      10.99    96.99     4.07    70.71     8.52    -0.11     4.15     9.96    41.73    15.69P    0.87R    0.03  
Gillingham       16   31  +13       6.05    84.99     8.55    77.36     8.71    20.86    17.04    32.33    73.24    42.31P    0.08R    0.00  
Coventry         15   28  +11       5.45    83.36     8.07    75.86     8.80    18.93    13.05    26.25    67.29    36.18P    0.24R    0.01  
Wigan            16   27   +8      -1.24    41.05    -1.47    79.98     8.65    25.52    25.80    44.61    82.52    58.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             16   27   +4       5.85    83.64     5.46    66.46     8.88     0.87     1.85     4.94    25.98     9.02P    3.58R    0.29  
Millwall         16   25   +1       1.36    59.01    -1.41    69.99     8.90     6.76     4.11    10.00    40.45    17.71P    1.53R    0.10  
Sheff_Utd        16   24   +4      -1.77    38.18    -1.69    70.73     8.54    12.25     4.62    10.89    44.59    20.42P    0.93R    0.05  
Scunthorpe       16   23   +3       1.39    60.16     3.70    63.08     8.48     1.07     0.54     1.89    15.03     4.58P    6.89R    0.53  
Chesterfield     16   23   -1      -0.13    49.50    -2.81    66.69     8.55     2.60     1.53     4.38    26.18     9.71P    3.20R    0.20  
Southend         16   23   -1       3.50    73.30     2.25    59.67     8.52    -7.00     0.24     0.81     7.68     2.18P   14.29R    1.62  
Peterborough     16   21   +5      -3.28    29.21     1.42    68.41     8.67    14.37     2.71     7.15    35.25    14.97P    1.97R    0.17  
Rochdale         16   21   +2      -1.59    39.74     1.14    63.70     8.57     4.00     0.74     2.27    17.14     5.84P    6.04R    0.55  
Bradford         15   21   -2       1.19    59.35    -1.05    63.24     8.49    -2.13     0.64     1.90    14.94     4.68P    6.89R    0.70  
Port_Vale        16   20   +0      -0.99    44.00     1.36    58.70     8.41    -3.82     0.17     0.53     6.28     1.73P   15.98R    2.08  
Colchester       16   20   -9       1.76    63.01    -2.27    55.06     8.44   -19.78     0.05     0.19     2.59     0.60P   30.85R    5.95  
Shrewsbury       16   17   -4      -4.46    22.68    -3.40    54.30     8.50    -9.67     0.03     0.15     2.34     0.64P   32.22R    6.46  
Doncaster        16   17   -9      -3.20    28.76    -6.41    55.62     8.36   -12.41     0.06     0.19     2.84     0.78P   27.33R    4.57  
Oldham           16   16   -6      -3.02    30.64    -1.58    52.81     8.32   -12.44     0.02     0.07     1.45     0.36P   38.90R    8.74  
Blackpool        15   16   -7      -2.77    31.89    -4.18    54.56     8.79   -12.81     0.05     0.20     2.73     0.73P   32.75R    6.95  
Fleetwood_Town   16   15   -5      -4.53    21.22    -1.42    51.70     8.29   -11.46     0.01     0.04     1.10     0.26P   43.73R   10.63  
Barnsley         15   14   -7      -6.55    12.05    -6.88    54.88     8.69    -9.68     0.06     0.20     2.99     0.92P   30.30R    5.86  
Swindon          16   13   -7     -10.55     3.29    -9.35    56.43     8.64    -3.88     0.07     0.30     4.28     1.45P   23.37R    3.94  
Crewe            16   13  -10      -3.01    29.87    -0.88    44.23     7.97   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   78.01R   40.58  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   35  +14       8.88    94.01     7.86    85.38     8.44    27.39    40.46    74.51    94.72    80.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   30  +12       5.46    82.58     8.10    78.41     8.62    22.79    13.72    44.07    79.12    53.10P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           16   28   +9       3.77    74.21     5.52    73.10     8.56    14.90     4.85    21.58    57.96    30.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   16   28   +7       6.73    87.41     8.20    70.17     8.72     8.30     2.53    13.02    43.53    19.07P    0.10R    0.03  
Northampton          16   28   +5       4.68    78.59     3.03    71.02     8.75     7.63     2.97    15.47    47.05    22.56P    0.10R    0.02  
Mansfield            16   26   +9       5.46    83.09    10.78    65.31     8.42     6.52     0.71     4.90    23.52     8.59P    0.37R    0.11  
Leyton_Orient        16   26   +6      -3.14    29.45    -5.09    80.86     8.72    26.93    22.19    56.33    85.95    66.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle             16   26   +1       4.40    76.94     2.02    64.21     8.73    -4.49     0.60     4.04    20.08     7.07P    0.78R    0.19  
Wycombe              15   25   +7       0.73    54.99     1.52    73.42     8.72    15.78     5.27    23.06    59.37    33.35P    0.03R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   25   +1       3.93    75.04     2.45    63.91     8.58    -2.65     0.51     3.66    18.60     6.56P    0.89R    0.27  
Morecambe            16   23   +2       1.42    60.02     2.79    66.23     8.77     4.81     0.93     6.36    27.84    10.99P    0.50R    0.13  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.47    73.55     2.33    64.35     8.98    -0.26     0.65     4.55    21.07     8.06P    0.91R    0.23  
Exeter               16   22   -2       0.31    52.62    -1.37    60.81     8.56    -5.80     0.21     1.72    11.04     3.68P    1.78R    0.50  
Notts_County         16   22   -2      -2.47    34.06    -5.76    69.91     8.96     8.12     2.43    13.26    43.40    22.09P    0.18R    0.04  
Crawley_Town         16   21   -5      -1.87    38.22    -6.34    65.52     9.01     0.02     0.80     5.47    25.40    10.66P    0.72R    0.21  
Barnet               16   20   -3       1.05    58.08     1.88    55.61     8.79   -12.03     0.03     0.46     4.19     1.17P    7.64R    2.95  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.16    51.86     0.46    56.06     8.41   -11.15     0.04     0.37     3.91     1.16P    6.12R    2.20  
Luton                15   19   +4      -3.05    29.78     1.81    66.30     8.87    11.16     1.06     6.91    29.31    13.14P    0.47R    0.11  
Hartlepool           16   17   -9      -0.49    47.86    -2.36    47.15     7.89   -25.44     0.00     0.02     0.24     0.05P   30.98R   14.94  
Stevenage            16   14  -11      -7.19    10.69    -9.69    53.78     8.61   -13.34     0.02     0.20     2.45     0.69P   10.44R    4.16  
Newport_County       16   13  -11      -5.35    17.11    -5.58    47.17     8.27   -21.61     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.09P   30.98R   15.71  
York                 16   12   -8      -8.15     7.26    -5.47    47.50     8.27   -16.08     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.10P   28.24R   13.55  
Dag_&_Red            15    9  -12      -8.76     5.03    -7.34    44.60     8.60   -23.22     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   42.73R   24.75  
Yeovil               16    9  -12     -11.43     2.03    -9.73    45.95     8.65   -18.27     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.10P   36.04R   19.90  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 October 2015, Altrincham 1 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     19   38  +13       5.22    79.64     2.62    83.63     7.83    26.14    17.57    76.53    31.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.41    57.89     3.46    89.88     7.63    42.38    52.19    94.13    66.05P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   19   36  +10       7.04    86.59     5.72    77.01     7.87    15.93     4.36    45.17    11.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          19   33  +10       6.33    82.58     9.50    73.66     8.41    15.24     2.32    31.29     7.17P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   32   +6       4.67    77.55     3.96    71.14     7.65     9.38     0.72    18.47     4.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   31  +10       1.04    56.72     4.17    72.72     7.83    16.92     1.36    26.41     6.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        18   31   +4       3.09    68.93    -0.82    73.84     8.10    10.63     2.03    30.43     7.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   31   +1       3.92    73.30    -0.28    70.32     7.83     4.31     0.62    16.21     3.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.81    17.28     4.12    80.39     7.53    39.33     9.74    66.12    29.26P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         19   30  +10      -4.84    21.94    -3.44    79.71     7.83    29.02     8.15    61.39    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   29   +7       3.82    73.21     6.37    68.33     8.10     8.08     0.46    12.26     2.35P    0.11R    0.00  
Aldershot        19   28   -2       2.84    67.98    -0.57    64.37     7.79    -3.12     0.08     4.42     0.75P    0.30R    0.03  
Macclesfield     19   26   +4      -2.07    37.45     1.01    66.16     7.71     8.73     0.15     7.22     1.55P    0.16R    0.01  
Chester          19   25   -6       3.74    73.46     1.99    57.70     7.71   -13.32     0.01     0.67     0.09P    3.20R    0.34  
Barrow           19   25  -14       6.74    86.67    -0.87    51.27     7.69   -31.36     0.00     0.11     0.02P   15.65R    2.62  
Woking           18   24   +5      -3.96    26.23     0.04    66.49     8.08    10.98     0.24     8.99     2.12P    0.18R    0.01  
Guiseley         19   23   -8       1.95    63.31    -0.44    48.12     7.44   -26.84     0.00     0.02     0.01P   25.77R    5.47  
Welling          19   22   -5      -0.24    49.62     0.57    52.20     7.39   -15.29     0.00     0.06     0.01P   10.55R    1.57  
Altrincham       19   20  -13       0.78    56.46    -2.22    47.81     7.32   -27.89     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.00R    5.83  
Boreham_Wood     19   16   -6      -4.71    23.25     2.09    46.25     7.79   -16.26     0.00     0.01     0.01P   33.14R    8.89  
Torquay          19   16  -14      -8.24     9.25   -10.79    51.75     7.81   -16.50     0.00     0.06     0.00P   12.98R    2.38  
Southport        18   15  -12      -3.26    29.14    -2.09    43.96     7.47   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.77R   14.31  
Kidderminster    19   11  -12     -12.00     2.00    -7.36    42.56     7.52   -20.38     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.69R   18.28  
Halifax          19   10  -25     -11.47     2.35   -16.74    38.69     7.53   -39.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.40R   40.26