Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 30 October 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2015, Bournemouth 1 5 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   22  +16       0.58    53.61     2.48    83.14     7.42    55.15    64.73    87.00    95.26    98.13    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +10       3.08    75.48     2.07    76.61     7.75    36.02    22.59    58.87    80.25    89.92    97.27     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         10   20   +9       5.59    90.52     8.15    60.05     8.17    11.25     0.47     3.05     9.54    20.28    45.48     0.06R    0.00  
Man_Utd          10   20   +7       2.58    72.21     1.31    72.33     7.92    28.45     9.38    33.33    61.24    77.02    91.87     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   19   +3       5.50    89.20     3.55    53.05     8.12    -5.39     0.07     0.49     1.91     4.94    15.93     0.95R    0.05  
Tottenham        10   17   +8       1.32    61.70     5.18    62.22     8.13    18.32     0.91     5.53    15.01    29.65    57.10     0.03R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   +1       3.33    79.09     4.20    49.64     7.82    -4.56     0.01     0.10     0.56     1.81     7.63     2.15R    0.14  
Southampton      10   14   +3      -1.78    34.54    -0.15    57.75     8.08    10.84     0.27     1.79     5.76    13.22    35.02     0.18R    0.02  
Liverpool        10   14   -2      -1.14    39.97    -4.25    57.46     8.18     5.33     0.22     1.50     5.09    12.23    32.61     0.27R    0.01  
West_Brom        10   14   -3       2.17    70.16    -0.19    46.08     7.75   -12.65     0.00     0.06     0.21     0.66     3.25     5.62R    0.59  
Everton          10   13   +0       0.14    52.19     1.36    57.87     8.17     9.57     0.25     1.65     5.61    13.50    35.22     0.25R    0.02  
Swansea          10   13   +0      -0.41    47.02     0.51    49.95     7.97    -2.65     0.01     0.13     0.68     2.19     8.73     2.10R    0.18  
Watford          10   13   -2       2.01    68.77     2.54    44.34     8.10   -13.38     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.55     2.66     9.81R    1.45  
Stoke            10   12   -3      -1.54    36.88    -2.78    46.09     7.76    -9.36     0.00     0.04     0.18     0.64     3.39     5.45R    0.53  
Chelsea          10   11   -4      -6.77     6.08   -10.17    63.49     8.00    18.45     1.08     6.43    18.55    35.19    63.77     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich          10    9   -7      -2.46    29.83    -3.22    35.57     7.84   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.18    42.55R   11.96  
Bournemouth      10    8  -10      -2.19    31.70    -3.10    33.51     7.79   -33.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    54.05R   17.94  
Sunderland       10    6   -8      -4.87    12.07    -3.67    31.59     7.22   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    63.40R   22.56  
Newcastle        10    6  -10      -3.19    21.90    -1.67    35.48     7.78   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.14    42.06R   12.03  
Aston_Villa      10    4   -8      -5.95     5.97    -2.15    29.73     7.31   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.04R   32.52  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 October 2015, Brentford 1 0 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        13   29   +8       9.47    97.12     5.33    75.96     8.74    11.32     8.14    18.78    63.00    27.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull            13   25  +11       1.97    64.61     3.54    82.58     9.07    28.80    28.32    48.16    86.67    60.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         13   25   +6       3.66    75.82     0.90    77.53     9.22    16.92    12.57    25.91    69.32    37.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   13   24  +11       1.55    61.91     4.19    80.51     8.77    27.29    20.03    38.58    81.93    51.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           13   24   +8       1.82    63.35     1.50    80.72     9.03    25.50    21.44    39.55    81.46    52.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      13   24   +6       6.45    89.61     6.25    68.86     8.95     5.72     1.97     5.58    32.61    10.63P    0.41R    0.03  
Reading         13   22   +8       3.69    76.59     7.17    68.35     8.96    10.04     1.85     5.24    31.76    10.80P    0.48R    0.02  
Cardiff         13   21   +4       2.55    69.56     2.82    67.00     8.88     5.56     1.22     3.75    25.83     8.54P    0.68R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed       13   20   +2       3.03    72.97     2.94    63.91     8.85     0.71     0.55     1.76    15.88     4.50P    1.91R    0.23  
Brentford       14   20   +0      -0.17    48.94    -1.40    66.20     8.97     3.55     0.99     3.06    23.32     7.59P    1.12R    0.11  
QPR             14   19   -1      -2.24    34.42    -4.02    65.17     9.36     2.46     1.08     3.16    21.22     7.54P    1.70R    0.22  
Fulham          13   17   +3      -0.48    46.90     3.68    60.87     9.38     0.22     0.35     1.15    11.12     3.09P    4.77R    0.72  
Ipswich         13   17   -5      -0.72    45.02    -4.90    63.25     9.21    -3.50     0.50     1.64    15.09     4.47P    2.91R    0.41  
Blackburn       14   15   +0      -4.49    19.92    -0.55    60.44     8.80     2.71     0.18     0.70     9.01     2.58P    3.91R    0.53  
Wolverhampton   13   15   -2      -3.60    24.47    -3.18    64.26     9.15     4.12     0.61     2.15    18.29     6.24P    2.01R    0.29  
Huddersfield    13   14   -3      -1.21    41.71     0.89    52.98     8.84   -12.04     0.01     0.09     1.74     0.39P   18.98R    4.26  
Nott'm_Forest   13   14   -3      -3.32    26.18    -2.42    57.62     8.99    -5.28     0.11     0.42     5.21     1.35P    8.33R    1.38  
Leeds_United    14   13   -7      -2.94    29.07    -2.44    50.86     8.55   -15.12     0.01     0.03     0.81     0.15P   25.74R    6.47  
Preston         13   12   -3      -3.78    23.16    -0.56    53.59     9.05    -7.36     0.02     0.10     2.37     0.62P   16.86R    3.64  
Bristol_City    13   11   -7      -4.48    19.65    -3.42    51.54     9.48   -14.76     0.03     0.11     1.64     0.43P   25.56R    7.47  
MK_Dons         13   11   -7      -4.73    18.11    -3.72    50.38     9.28   -15.75     0.02     0.08     1.23     0.32P   29.18R    8.10  
Charlton        13   10  -10      -4.52    17.92    -5.35    46.87     8.50   -21.39     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.03P   43.28R   14.19  
Rotherham       13    9   -9      -4.26    19.45    -1.98    41.18     8.37   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   69.62R   37.37  
Bolton          13    9  -10      -5.54    12.63    -5.25    46.98     8.60   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   42.48R   14.47  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 October 2015, Millwall 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       15   31  +14       7.07    89.34     9.05    78.60     8.95    21.66    22.03    38.57    77.06    47.52P    0.09R    0.00  
Walsall          15   29  +13       5.32    83.13     8.45    77.51     8.64    21.90    17.92    33.49    74.42    43.99P    0.09R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    15   29   +2       9.56    95.54     3.42    68.46     8.77    -2.08     2.99     7.14    32.85    11.74P    2.19R    0.10  
Coventry         14   25  +10       4.13    78.04     7.53    73.91     9.07    17.44    10.37    21.33    59.20    30.46P    0.49R    0.01  
Wigan            15   24   +7      -2.35    33.48    -1.75    78.64     8.95    24.92    22.26    39.47    77.99    52.86P    0.13R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        15   24   +5      -0.45    46.52    -0.81    73.42     8.76    15.26     8.50    18.71    57.30    29.74P    0.52R    0.01  
Bury             15   24   +3       4.72    79.61     5.12    64.51     9.01    -0.41     1.39     3.55    20.51     6.89P    6.28R    0.47  
Millwall         15   24   +1       1.83    62.44    -1.27    71.07     9.10     7.76     5.70    12.99    46.05    21.19P    1.42R    0.07  
Southend         15   22   -1       3.88    76.13     2.22    59.80     8.63    -7.20     0.26     0.93     8.58     2.39P   14.75R    1.41  
Peterborough     15   21   +6      -2.28    34.71     1.85    70.00     8.94    15.67     4.43    10.90    42.94    19.98P    1.73R    0.09  
Rochdale         15   20   +2      -1.20    42.07     1.18    64.11     8.76     4.13     0.99     2.87    19.13     6.61P    6.20R    0.55  
Scunthorpe       15   20   +1       0.29    52.78     2.56    60.80     8.78    -1.96     0.41     1.28    11.10     3.25P   12.39R    1.17  
Chesterfield     15   20   -2      -1.49    40.23    -3.36    64.72     8.82     1.06     1.08     3.23    20.57     7.39P    5.82R    0.44  
Bradford         14   20   -2       1.42    61.23    -1.17    63.24     8.74    -2.74     0.74     2.30    15.97     5.22P    7.66R    0.61  
Colchester       15   20   -7       2.62    68.75    -1.08    56.84     8.76   -17.17     0.14     0.45     4.68     1.19P   25.44R    3.79  
Shrewsbury       15   17   -2      -3.73    25.96    -2.33    56.41     8.84    -6.55     0.16     0.53     4.70     1.50P   25.43R    3.74  
Port_Vale        15   17   -2      -2.07    36.35     0.21    56.49     8.52    -6.66     0.09     0.31     4.13     1.13P   24.39R    3.37  
Oldham           15   16   -5      -1.81    38.10    -0.83    54.72     8.53   -10.69     0.03     0.17     2.79     0.70P   31.78R    5.51  
Blackpool        14   16   -6      -1.68    38.50    -3.85    56.15     8.96   -11.16     0.09     0.36     4.34     1.28P   27.66R    4.36  
Fleetwood_Town   15   15   -4      -3.43    27.04    -0.79    53.38     8.60   -10.12     0.02     0.12     2.09     0.53P   37.48R    7.15  
Barnsley         14   14   -5      -5.77    14.22    -5.78    57.09     8.97    -6.47     0.18     0.53     5.53     1.67P   23.38R    3.34  
Doncaster        15   14  -11      -4.10    22.69    -7.31    53.55     8.64   -15.08     0.04     0.12     2.01     0.54P   37.67R    7.40  
Swindon          15   13   -6      -9.80     4.03    -9.34    57.56     8.90    -3.22     0.18     0.63     6.03     2.24P   21.16R    2.91  
Crewe            15   10  -11      -4.75    18.25    -1.92    41.53     8.19   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   85.87R   53.51  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 October 2015, Cambridge_Utd 1 2 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             15   32  +12       7.85    92.41     6.75    83.09     8.60    24.46    30.13    66.55    91.47    73.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   28  +10       4.96    81.02     6.27    74.61     8.82    16.09     7.46    28.96    65.49    37.99P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   27   +8       4.89    80.93     5.64    74.97     8.76    16.09     7.42    30.06    67.24    39.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton          15   27   +5       5.21    81.88     3.25    71.68     8.92     8.05     4.02    18.61    51.61    26.06P    0.11R    0.02  
Mansfield            15   26  +11       6.08    86.28    11.73    67.31     8.62     9.43     1.50     8.81    33.54    13.78P    0.26R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient        15   26   +7      -1.85    36.33    -4.30    83.83     8.89    30.69    36.50    70.15    91.96    78.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   25   +6       4.99    81.01     7.02    67.16     8.97     4.97     1.43     8.69    32.64    13.38P    0.48R    0.14  
Morecambe            15   23   +4       2.01    64.16     3.63    67.92     9.04     7.39     1.88    10.29    36.67    16.39P    0.39R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers       15   23   +1       3.37    72.96     2.16    64.57     8.89     0.06     0.64     4.87    22.74     8.86P    0.91R    0.27  
Carlisle             15   23   +0       3.15    71.35     1.58    62.47     8.96    -5.60     0.45     3.43    16.82     6.07P    1.85R    0.52  
Wycombe              14   22   +5      -0.24    48.29     0.50    71.18     8.91    12.90     3.69    17.98    50.48    27.12P    0.10R    0.02  
Exeter               15   22   +0       1.27    58.82    -0.03    63.55     8.84    -1.74     0.58     4.04    19.67     7.44P    1.22R    0.38  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   22   -1       2.90    70.12     1.34    61.65     8.76    -5.70     0.28     2.34    14.13     4.65P    2.09R    0.67  
Cambridge_Utd        16   20   -3       0.38    53.44     0.77    56.05     8.45   -11.16     0.04     0.46     4.49     1.21P    6.92R    2.58  
Luton                15   19   +4      -3.15    29.21     1.66    66.42     8.95    11.39     1.31     7.97    31.34    14.41P    0.60R    0.17  
Notts_County         15   19   -3      -3.75    26.03    -6.23    67.96     9.22     6.69     1.87    10.78    36.89    18.76P    0.47R    0.11  
Crawley_Town         15   18   -6      -3.14    29.83    -6.81    63.89     9.28    -1.03     0.71     4.81    21.71     9.36P    1.67R    0.55  
Barnet               15   17   -5      -0.08    50.80     0.73    52.45     8.92   -16.59     0.02     0.24     2.39     0.69P   16.14R    7.18  
Hartlepool           15   17   -7       0.24    53.17    -1.33    49.06     8.20   -22.66     0.01     0.04     0.67     0.14P   25.54R   11.99  
Stevenage            15   14   -7      -6.79    11.10    -7.24    56.73     8.86    -6.84     0.06     0.76     5.87     2.13P    6.57R    2.36  
York                 15   12   -7      -7.24     9.23    -5.11    48.90     8.46   -15.18     0.00     0.06     0.77     0.20P   25.12R   11.79  
Newport_County       15   12  -11      -5.05    17.72    -5.70    47.34     8.49   -21.83     0.00     0.03     0.50     0.14P   33.02R   17.41  
Yeovil               15    9  -11     -10.29     3.01    -9.14    47.71     8.93   -16.63     0.00     0.07     0.70     0.24P   30.97R   16.42  
Dag_&_Red            15    9  -12      -8.63     5.20    -7.12    44.61     8.59   -23.24     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   45.51R   27.28  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 October 2015, Grimsby 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cheltenham       19   37  +18       1.53    58.72     3.63    89.65     7.60    42.05    50.09    94.28    64.65P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     18   35  +12       4.30    75.57     2.73    82.76     8.03    26.35    15.56    74.22    29.13P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   18   33   +9       5.32    80.82     4.64    74.16     8.09    12.99     2.40    33.06     7.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          19   30  +19      -5.79    17.31     4.14    80.47     7.56    39.48     9.78    67.93    29.77P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         18   30  +11      -3.53    27.53    -2.60    82.37     7.98    32.15    14.75    74.20    34.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          18   30   +9       5.07    78.52     9.22    71.33     8.67    13.02     1.50    24.12     5.08P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   29   +8       4.86    79.15     6.91    70.53     8.37    10.24     1.07    20.11     4.05P    0.09R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +5       3.28    70.74     3.32    69.32     7.82     8.16     0.49    14.53     3.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   28   +7       0.61    53.99     3.00    70.96     8.03    13.71     0.99    21.26     4.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh        17   28   +3       2.16    63.89    -0.65    72.93     8.41    10.87     1.90    28.78     6.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   28   +0       2.61    66.84    -0.82    68.52     8.03     3.02     0.39    12.85     2.48P    0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot        18   27   -2       3.34    71.22    -0.33    64.99     7.99    -2.78     0.15     5.93     1.10P    0.32R    0.02  
Macclesfield     18   26   +5      -1.06    43.37     1.55    67.90     7.94    10.30     0.33    11.83     2.56P    0.10R    0.00  
Chester          18   25   -5       4.49    77.84     1.94    58.44     7.89   -13.36     0.02     1.00     0.12P    2.70R    0.25  
Barrow           18   25  -11       6.68    86.83    -0.44    53.22     7.95   -27.18     0.00     0.27     0.02P   10.34R    1.37  
Woking           17   24   +6      -2.74    32.45     0.79    68.56     8.37    13.11     0.58    15.21     3.60P    0.12R    0.01  
Welling          18   22   -3       0.73    55.74     2.00    54.28     7.67   -12.27     0.00     0.20     0.03P    6.78R    0.82  
Guiseley         18   20  -10       0.93    57.34    -1.45    45.60     7.60   -30.50     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.74R    9.68  
Altrincham       18   19  -13       1.02    58.43    -2.31    47.90     7.52   -28.42     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.18R    5.15  
Boreham_Wood     18   16   -5      -3.79    27.58     2.30    47.72     8.04   -14.91     0.00     0.03     0.01P   26.38R    6.26  
Torquay          18   15  -14      -7.86     9.76   -10.72    52.45     8.07   -16.07     0.00     0.13     0.02P   11.69R    2.05  
Southport        17   14  -12      -2.95    30.75    -2.10    43.91     7.74   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.40R   14.13  
Halifax          18   10  -24     -10.61     3.10   -16.64    39.41     7.72   -39.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.25R   33.52  
Kidderminster    18    8  -13     -13.52     0.73    -8.10    40.19     7.76   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.72R   26.72