Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 29 October 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2015, Bournemouth 1 5 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 10 22 +16 0.55 53.23 2.43 83.18 7.39 55.24 64.57 87.16 95.51 98.22 99.66 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 10 22 +10 3.16 75.94 2.14 76.64 7.77 36.03 22.77 58.68 79.97 89.74 97.27 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 10 20 +9 5.60 90.60 8.13 60.18 8.19 11.38 0.47 3.24 9.85 20.54 45.71 0.07R 0.00 Man_Utd 10 20 +7 2.58 72.24 1.33 72.47 7.90 28.56 9.44 33.46 61.49 77.38 92.14 0.00 0.00 Leicester 10 19 +3 5.46 89.06 3.51 53.06 8.02 -5.27 0.07 0.44 1.77 4.66 15.53 0.88R 0.06 Tottenham 10 17 +8 1.28 61.45 5.06 62.40 8.14 18.63 0.85 5.28 15.24 30.18 57.97 0.05R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 10 15 +1 3.29 78.65 4.20 49.53 7.84 -4.72 0.01 0.09 0.50 1.73 7.57 2.25R 0.18 Southampton 10 14 +3 -1.77 34.62 -0.14 57.64 8.17 10.69 0.31 1.85 5.72 13.12 34.05 0.20R 0.01 Liverpool 10 14 -2 -1.15 39.81 -4.30 57.43 8.17 5.26 0.23 1.48 4.97 11.92 32.35 0.31R 0.01 West_Brom 10 14 -3 2.22 70.47 -0.10 45.92 7.74 -12.91 0.00 0.02 0.17 0.58 3.16 5.94R 0.64 Everton 10 13 +0 0.11 51.72 1.33 57.88 8.16 9.60 0.20 1.57 5.49 13.15 35.21 0.29R 0.02 Swansea 10 13 +0 -0.36 47.34 0.57 49.89 8.05 -2.72 0.02 0.15 0.67 2.04 8.60 2.27R 0.18 Watford 10 13 -2 2.05 69.45 2.58 44.15 8.07 -13.63 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.48 2.40 10.07R 1.48 Stoke 10 12 -3 -1.53 36.86 -2.77 46.16 7.78 -9.32 0.01 0.04 0.19 0.74 3.55 5.24R 0.61 Chelsea 10 11 -4 -6.71 6.15 -10.11 63.61 7.98 18.63 1.04 6.50 18.33 35.46 64.34 0.03R 0.00 Norwich 10 9 -7 -2.54 29.34 -3.28 35.46 7.81 -29.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 42.96R 11.99 Bournemouth 10 8 -10 -2.15 32.22 -2.98 33.44 7.80 -33.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 54.47R 18.41 Sunderland 10 6 -8 -4.91 12.15 -3.69 31.63 7.22 -28.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 62.91R 22.14 Newcastle 10 6 -10 -3.24 21.50 -1.77 35.66 7.83 -25.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.18 41.17R 11.81 Aston_Villa 10 4 -8 -5.95 6.24 -2.15 29.76 7.35 -28.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 70.88R 32.44Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 29 October 2015, Leeds_United 0 2 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 13 29 +8 9.57 97.29 5.48 75.82 8.63 11.12 7.80 18.20 62.56 27.60P 0.01R 0.00 Hull 13 25 +11 2.02 64.82 3.63 82.32 9.05 28.41 27.70 46.92 85.77 59.60P 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 13 25 +6 3.74 76.27 0.99 77.42 9.21 16.70 11.76 25.05 69.14 36.96P 0.03R 0.00 Middlesbrough 13 24 +11 1.41 60.68 4.05 80.76 8.89 27.64 21.31 39.87 82.09 53.37P 0.01R 0.00 Derby 13 24 +8 1.73 62.66 1.40 80.81 9.09 25.64 21.37 39.76 81.61 52.27P 0.01R 0.00 Birmingham 13 24 +6 6.44 89.62 6.26 68.83 8.99 5.68 1.94 5.60 32.35 10.38P 0.46R 0.03 Reading 13 22 +8 3.69 76.53 7.22 68.31 9.07 9.92 1.78 5.26 31.77 10.72P 0.55R 0.05 Cardiff 13 21 +4 2.45 68.56 2.69 67.25 8.94 5.92 1.35 4.02 26.88 8.84P 0.68R 0.05 Sheff_Wed 13 20 +2 3.11 73.58 3.04 63.59 8.79 0.29 0.45 1.58 14.90 4.18P 1.98R 0.20 QPR 13 19 +0 -1.20 41.20 -3.59 66.93 9.77 3.99 1.98 5.14 27.37 10.44P 1.35R 0.15 Fulham 13 17 +3 -0.45 47.14 3.74 60.86 9.33 0.30 0.35 1.19 10.94 3.07P 4.51R 0.69 Brentford 13 17 -1 -1.51 38.69 -1.94 64.46 9.31 2.35 0.77 2.32 19.03 6.06P 2.13R 0.27 Ipswich 13 17 -5 -0.75 44.69 -4.99 63.18 9.09 -3.56 0.48 1.54 14.57 4.34P 2.67R 0.32 Blackburn 14 15 +0 -4.50 19.79 -0.58 60.54 8.78 2.77 0.16 0.69 9.20 2.75P 3.91R 0.51 Wolverhampton 13 15 -2 -3.59 24.48 -3.19 64.21 9.22 4.03 0.64 2.11 18.41 6.13P 2.07R 0.26 Huddersfield 13 14 -3 -1.17 41.89 0.93 53.05 8.82 -11.96 0.00 0.08 1.78 0.40P 18.79R 4.16 Nott'm_Forest 13 14 -3 -3.28 26.71 -2.34 57.57 9.05 -5.35 0.11 0.38 5.28 1.39P 8.54R 1.47 Leeds_United 14 13 -7 -2.96 28.78 -2.46 50.84 8.45 -15.16 0.00 0.02 0.71 0.14P 25.65R 6.17 Preston 13 12 -3 -3.76 23.01 -0.55 53.57 9.05 -7.48 0.03 0.13 2.25 0.60P 17.03R 3.69 Bristol_City 13 11 -7 -4.62 18.59 -3.62 51.58 9.40 -14.63 0.02 0.07 1.64 0.38P 25.35R 7.25 MK_Dons 13 11 -7 -4.69 18.18 -3.71 50.57 9.16 -15.46 0.01 0.04 1.19 0.26P 28.04R 7.74 Charlton 13 10 -10 -4.53 17.93 -5.34 46.93 8.60 -21.42 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.05P 43.72R 14.44 Rotherham 13 9 -9 -4.18 19.80 -1.87 41.17 8.41 -29.41 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 69.74R 37.92 Bolton 13 9 -10 -5.54 12.48 -5.26 47.06 8.73 -20.33 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.06P 42.78R 14.61League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 October 2015, Millwall 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 15 31 +14 7.08 89.42 9.04 78.60 8.91 21.64 22.06 38.62 77.22 47.54P 0.12R 0.00 Walsall 15 29 +13 5.30 82.90 8.44 77.64 8.63 22.04 18.23 33.97 75.11 44.72P 0.07R 0.00 Burton_Albion 15 29 +2 9.63 95.60 3.52 68.27 8.79 -2.38 2.76 6.87 32.30 11.25P 2.40R 0.10 Coventry 14 25 +10 4.13 77.61 7.55 73.91 9.06 17.45 10.14 21.12 59.27 30.38P 0.59R 0.02 Wigan 15 24 +7 -2.29 33.87 -1.62 78.52 8.90 24.79 21.98 39.14 77.73 52.91P 0.09R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 15 24 +5 -0.40 47.05 -0.77 73.33 8.76 15.08 8.56 18.48 56.85 29.09P 0.53R 0.02 Bury 15 24 +3 4.74 79.77 5.13 64.56 9.05 -0.36 1.37 3.69 20.78 7.06P 6.38R 0.53 Millwall 15 24 +1 1.86 62.77 -1.22 71.01 9.18 7.70 5.73 13.14 45.65 21.02P 1.52R 0.09 Southend 15 22 -1 3.73 75.61 2.02 60.01 8.64 -6.91 0.30 0.93 8.78 2.48P 14.32R 1.32 Peterborough 15 21 +6 -2.29 34.44 1.85 69.98 8.89 15.64 4.41 10.73 42.76 19.61P 1.57R 0.10 Rochdale 15 20 +2 -1.16 42.29 1.20 64.10 8.81 4.19 1.06 3.09 19.24 6.94P 6.17R 0.56 Scunthorpe 15 20 +1 0.26 52.52 2.44 60.86 8.77 -1.92 0.43 1.29 10.97 3.29P 12.22R 1.13 Chesterfield 15 20 -2 -1.57 39.08 -3.47 64.85 8.86 1.24 1.23 3.36 20.99 7.73P 5.65R 0.40 Bradford 14 20 -2 1.38 60.70 -1.24 63.34 8.75 -2.54 0.75 2.30 16.27 5.25P 7.41R 0.62 Colchester 15 20 -7 2.55 68.40 -1.17 56.91 8.78 -16.98 0.13 0.42 4.77 1.11P 25.33R 3.65 Shrewsbury 15 17 -2 -3.70 26.00 -2.25 56.44 8.86 -6.59 0.19 0.51 4.82 1.52P 25.19R 3.74 Port_Vale 15 17 -2 -2.10 36.06 0.21 56.46 8.63 -6.73 0.09 0.36 4.31 1.13P 24.83R 3.41 Oldham 15 16 -5 -1.76 38.28 -0.74 54.65 8.48 -10.78 0.05 0.18 2.60 0.68P 31.70R 5.47 Blackpool 14 16 -6 -1.72 38.38 -3.86 56.10 9.02 -11.24 0.13 0.46 4.44 1.40P 27.97R 4.45 Fleetwood_Town 15 15 -4 -3.35 27.66 -0.66 53.20 8.63 -10.32 0.04 0.12 1.97 0.52P 37.94R 7.56 Barnsley 14 14 -5 -5.72 14.49 -5.71 56.96 8.95 -6.68 0.13 0.52 5.33 1.72P 24.03R 3.51 Doncaster 15 14 -11 -4.15 22.42 -7.34 53.58 8.56 -15.07 0.03 0.13 1.88 0.51P 37.36R 7.12 Swindon 15 13 -6 -9.87 3.92 -9.40 57.70 8.79 -3.08 0.19 0.59 5.93 2.12P 20.41R 2.79 Crewe 15 10 -11 -4.71 18.20 -1.93 41.54 8.14 -28.22 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 86.19R 53.38League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 15 32 +12 7.81 92.10 6.65 83.19 8.68 24.64 30.72 67.17 91.49 73.82P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 15 28 +10 4.84 80.55 6.10 74.73 8.82 16.24 7.63 29.58 66.08 38.76P 0.02R 0.01 Oxford_Utd 15 27 +8 4.97 81.32 5.79 74.68 8.82 15.71 6.99 29.12 65.86 38.32P 0.02R 0.01 Northampton 15 27 +5 5.08 81.29 3.02 71.91 8.87 8.41 3.98 19.22 52.59 26.79P 0.11R 0.03 Mansfield 15 26 +11 6.02 86.04 11.66 67.31 8.61 9.46 1.40 8.75 33.94 13.80P 0.30R 0.08 Leyton_Orient 15 26 +7 -1.90 35.98 -4.39 83.90 8.85 30.79 36.62 70.57 92.24 78.40P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 15 25 +6 5.02 81.10 7.05 67.04 8.88 4.87 1.50 8.37 32.35 13.02P 0.40R 0.11 Morecambe 15 23 +4 1.97 63.65 3.56 67.91 9.08 7.32 1.98 10.54 36.99 16.54P 0.38R 0.11 Carlisle 15 23 +0 3.13 70.97 1.54 62.60 8.96 -5.45 0.43 3.53 17.47 6.27P 1.65R 0.50 Wycombe 14 22 +5 -0.19 48.54 0.55 71.29 9.00 13.02 3.83 18.51 51.62 27.85P 0.09R 0.02 Exeter 15 22 +0 1.33 59.65 0.08 63.52 8.89 -1.82 0.57 4.04 19.94 7.53P 1.24R 0.32 AFC_Wimbledon 15 22 -1 2.95 70.44 1.46 61.63 8.73 -5.77 0.32 2.44 13.87 4.73P 2.09R 0.68 Bristol_Rovers 14 20 +0 2.14 66.10 1.73 62.26 9.19 -1.91 0.40 3.33 17.11 6.46P 2.09R 0.71 Cambridge_Utd 15 20 -2 1.38 60.63 1.19 57.99 8.67 -9.23 0.07 0.91 7.19 2.11P 4.83R 1.60 Luton 15 19 +4 -3.07 29.64 1.81 66.16 8.92 10.95 1.08 7.33 30.56 13.77P 0.69R 0.19 Notts_County 15 19 -3 -3.77 25.80 -6.25 67.95 9.15 6.64 1.76 10.65 37.03 18.67P 0.51R 0.14 Crawley_Town 15 18 -6 -3.10 29.95 -6.76 63.91 9.26 -0.98 0.61 4.71 22.16 9.47P 1.56R 0.48 Barnet 15 17 -5 -0.10 50.59 0.70 52.51 8.97 -16.50 0.03 0.25 2.60 0.71P 16.15R 7.13 Hartlepool 15 17 -7 0.13 52.06 -1.49 49.13 8.21 -22.52 0.01 0.06 0.66 0.16P 25.44R 11.65 Stevenage 15 14 -7 -6.72 11.59 -7.13 56.72 8.91 -6.84 0.06 0.76 6.18 2.24P 6.74R 2.53 York 15 12 -7 -7.19 9.37 -5.08 48.89 8.48 -15.17 0.00 0.05 0.75 0.22P 25.12R 12.04 Newport_County 15 12 -11 -4.96 17.99 -5.57 47.25 8.42 -21.92 0.00 0.04 0.49 0.11P 33.27R 17.23 Yeovil 15 9 -11 -10.30 2.90 -9.17 47.68 8.98 -16.72 0.00 0.04 0.63 0.20P 31.52R 16.97 Dag_&_Red 15 9 -12 -8.59 5.44 -7.05 44.61 8.64 -23.22 0.00 0.02 0.22 0.06P 45.77R 27.47National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 18 35 +12 4.35 75.79 2.80 82.63 8.08 26.14 16.28 73.44 29.42P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 18 34 +17 0.14 50.14 2.91 87.59 7.88 40.47 39.85 89.93 56.24P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 18 33 +9 5.25 79.99 4.54 74.30 8.11 13.23 2.86 33.43 8.28P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 18 30 +20 -4.67 21.66 4.71 82.46 7.75 41.56 17.21 75.49 36.88P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 18 30 +11 -3.46 28.06 -2.52 82.23 8.06 31.92 15.79 73.08 34.96P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 18 30 +9 5.12 78.24 9.27 71.43 8.74 13.17 1.76 24.24 5.41P 0.06R 0.01 Lincoln_City 17 29 +8 4.94 79.85 7.04 70.38 8.32 10.01 0.99 19.36 4.00P 0.05R 0.01 Braintree_Town 18 29 +5 3.33 71.28 3.40 69.28 7.86 8.09 0.52 14.24 3.02P 0.04R 0.00 Wrexham 18 28 +7 0.55 53.98 2.88 71.10 7.99 13.91 1.09 21.15 5.00P 0.02R 0.00 Eastleigh 17 28 +3 2.18 63.74 -0.57 72.76 8.40 10.54 1.93 27.72 6.61P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 18 28 +0 2.60 66.54 -0.87 68.62 8.08 3.20 0.53 12.73 2.57P 0.09R 0.00 Aldershot 18 27 -2 3.34 71.01 -0.34 64.92 8.04 -2.90 0.14 5.88 0.95P 0.34R 0.03 Macclesfield 18 26 +5 -1.19 42.52 1.42 68.06 8.01 10.52 0.41 12.31 2.78P 0.11R 0.00 Chester 18 25 -5 4.34 77.05 1.74 58.66 7.86 -13.06 0.01 0.98 0.13P 2.45R 0.25 Barrow 18 25 -11 6.88 87.38 -0.11 52.88 7.95 -27.70 0.00 0.21 0.02P 11.19R 1.45 Woking 17 24 +6 -2.85 31.77 0.61 68.79 8.33 13.38 0.64 15.36 3.67P 0.09R 0.00 Welling 18 22 -3 0.64 55.26 1.91 54.39 7.65 -12.11 0.00 0.23 0.02P 6.56R 0.80 Guiseley 18 20 -10 1.00 57.84 -1.32 45.52 7.63 -30.71 0.00 0.02 0.00P 38.27R 9.62 Altrincham 18 19 -13 1.00 58.30 -2.32 47.89 7.56 -28.53 0.00 0.01 0.00 26.04R 5.41 Boreham_Wood 18 16 -5 -3.65 28.30 2.54 47.56 8.03 -15.22 0.00 0.03 0.01P 27.10R 6.25 Torquay 18 15 -14 -7.84 9.89 -10.70 52.42 8.06 -16.14 0.00 0.15 0.02P 11.67R 2.03 Southport 17 14 -12 -2.99 30.67 -2.11 43.93 7.65 -27.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.97R 13.80 Halifax 18 10 -24 -10.71 3.08 -16.76 39.39 7.71 -39.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.05R 34.05 Kidderminster 18 8 -13 -13.54 0.75 -8.13 40.34 7.78 -22.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.85R 26.29