Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 29 October 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2015, Bournemouth 1 5 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   22  +16       0.55    53.23     2.43    83.18     7.39    55.24    64.57    87.16    95.51    98.22    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +10       3.16    75.94     2.14    76.64     7.77    36.03    22.77    58.68    79.97    89.74    97.27     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         10   20   +9       5.60    90.60     8.13    60.18     8.19    11.38     0.47     3.24     9.85    20.54    45.71     0.07R    0.00  
Man_Utd          10   20   +7       2.58    72.24     1.33    72.47     7.90    28.56     9.44    33.46    61.49    77.38    92.14     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   19   +3       5.46    89.06     3.51    53.06     8.02    -5.27     0.07     0.44     1.77     4.66    15.53     0.88R    0.06  
Tottenham        10   17   +8       1.28    61.45     5.06    62.40     8.14    18.63     0.85     5.28    15.24    30.18    57.97     0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   +1       3.29    78.65     4.20    49.53     7.84    -4.72     0.01     0.09     0.50     1.73     7.57     2.25R    0.18  
Southampton      10   14   +3      -1.77    34.62    -0.14    57.64     8.17    10.69     0.31     1.85     5.72    13.12    34.05     0.20R    0.01  
Liverpool        10   14   -2      -1.15    39.81    -4.30    57.43     8.17     5.26     0.23     1.48     4.97    11.92    32.35     0.31R    0.01  
West_Brom        10   14   -3       2.22    70.47    -0.10    45.92     7.74   -12.91     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.58     3.16     5.94R    0.64  
Everton          10   13   +0       0.11    51.72     1.33    57.88     8.16     9.60     0.20     1.57     5.49    13.15    35.21     0.29R    0.02  
Swansea          10   13   +0      -0.36    47.34     0.57    49.89     8.05    -2.72     0.02     0.15     0.67     2.04     8.60     2.27R    0.18  
Watford          10   13   -2       2.05    69.45     2.58    44.15     8.07   -13.63     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.48     2.40    10.07R    1.48  
Stoke            10   12   -3      -1.53    36.86    -2.77    46.16     7.78    -9.32     0.01     0.04     0.19     0.74     3.55     5.24R    0.61  
Chelsea          10   11   -4      -6.71     6.15   -10.11    63.61     7.98    18.63     1.04     6.50    18.33    35.46    64.34     0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          10    9   -7      -2.54    29.34    -3.28    35.46     7.81   -29.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    42.96R   11.99  
Bournemouth      10    8  -10      -2.15    32.22    -2.98    33.44     7.80   -33.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    54.47R   18.41  
Sunderland       10    6   -8      -4.91    12.15    -3.69    31.63     7.22   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    62.91R   22.14  
Newcastle        10    6  -10      -3.24    21.50    -1.77    35.66     7.83   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.18    41.17R   11.81  
Aston_Villa      10    4   -8      -5.95     6.24    -2.15    29.76     7.35   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.88R   32.44  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 29 October 2015, Leeds_United 0 2 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        13   29   +8       9.57    97.29     5.48    75.82     8.63    11.12     7.80    18.20    62.56    27.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull            13   25  +11       2.02    64.82     3.63    82.32     9.05    28.41    27.70    46.92    85.77    59.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley         13   25   +6       3.74    76.27     0.99    77.42     9.21    16.70    11.76    25.05    69.14    36.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   13   24  +11       1.41    60.68     4.05    80.76     8.89    27.64    21.31    39.87    82.09    53.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           13   24   +8       1.73    62.66     1.40    80.81     9.09    25.64    21.37    39.76    81.61    52.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      13   24   +6       6.44    89.62     6.26    68.83     8.99     5.68     1.94     5.60    32.35    10.38P    0.46R    0.03  
Reading         13   22   +8       3.69    76.53     7.22    68.31     9.07     9.92     1.78     5.26    31.77    10.72P    0.55R    0.05  
Cardiff         13   21   +4       2.45    68.56     2.69    67.25     8.94     5.92     1.35     4.02    26.88     8.84P    0.68R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       13   20   +2       3.11    73.58     3.04    63.59     8.79     0.29     0.45     1.58    14.90     4.18P    1.98R    0.20  
QPR             13   19   +0      -1.20    41.20    -3.59    66.93     9.77     3.99     1.98     5.14    27.37    10.44P    1.35R    0.15  
Fulham          13   17   +3      -0.45    47.14     3.74    60.86     9.33     0.30     0.35     1.19    10.94     3.07P    4.51R    0.69  
Brentford       13   17   -1      -1.51    38.69    -1.94    64.46     9.31     2.35     0.77     2.32    19.03     6.06P    2.13R    0.27  
Ipswich         13   17   -5      -0.75    44.69    -4.99    63.18     9.09    -3.56     0.48     1.54    14.57     4.34P    2.67R    0.32  
Blackburn       14   15   +0      -4.50    19.79    -0.58    60.54     8.78     2.77     0.16     0.69     9.20     2.75P    3.91R    0.51  
Wolverhampton   13   15   -2      -3.59    24.48    -3.19    64.21     9.22     4.03     0.64     2.11    18.41     6.13P    2.07R    0.26  
Huddersfield    13   14   -3      -1.17    41.89     0.93    53.05     8.82   -11.96     0.00     0.08     1.78     0.40P   18.79R    4.16  
Nott'm_Forest   13   14   -3      -3.28    26.71    -2.34    57.57     9.05    -5.35     0.11     0.38     5.28     1.39P    8.54R    1.47  
Leeds_United    14   13   -7      -2.96    28.78    -2.46    50.84     8.45   -15.16     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.14P   25.65R    6.17  
Preston         13   12   -3      -3.76    23.01    -0.55    53.57     9.05    -7.48     0.03     0.13     2.25     0.60P   17.03R    3.69  
Bristol_City    13   11   -7      -4.62    18.59    -3.62    51.58     9.40   -14.63     0.02     0.07     1.64     0.38P   25.35R    7.25  
MK_Dons         13   11   -7      -4.69    18.18    -3.71    50.57     9.16   -15.46     0.01     0.04     1.19     0.26P   28.04R    7.74  
Charlton        13   10  -10      -4.53    17.93    -5.34    46.93     8.60   -21.42     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   43.72R   14.44  
Rotherham       13    9   -9      -4.18    19.80    -1.87    41.17     8.41   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   69.74R   37.92  
Bolton          13    9  -10      -5.54    12.48    -5.26    47.06     8.73   -20.33     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   42.78R   14.61  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 October 2015, Millwall 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       15   31  +14       7.08    89.42     9.04    78.60     8.91    21.64    22.06    38.62    77.22    47.54P    0.12R    0.00  
Walsall          15   29  +13       5.30    82.90     8.44    77.64     8.63    22.04    18.23    33.97    75.11    44.72P    0.07R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    15   29   +2       9.63    95.60     3.52    68.27     8.79    -2.38     2.76     6.87    32.30    11.25P    2.40R    0.10  
Coventry         14   25  +10       4.13    77.61     7.55    73.91     9.06    17.45    10.14    21.12    59.27    30.38P    0.59R    0.02  
Wigan            15   24   +7      -2.29    33.87    -1.62    78.52     8.90    24.79    21.98    39.14    77.73    52.91P    0.09R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        15   24   +5      -0.40    47.05    -0.77    73.33     8.76    15.08     8.56    18.48    56.85    29.09P    0.53R    0.02  
Bury             15   24   +3       4.74    79.77     5.13    64.56     9.05    -0.36     1.37     3.69    20.78     7.06P    6.38R    0.53  
Millwall         15   24   +1       1.86    62.77    -1.22    71.01     9.18     7.70     5.73    13.14    45.65    21.02P    1.52R    0.09  
Southend         15   22   -1       3.73    75.61     2.02    60.01     8.64    -6.91     0.30     0.93     8.78     2.48P   14.32R    1.32  
Peterborough     15   21   +6      -2.29    34.44     1.85    69.98     8.89    15.64     4.41    10.73    42.76    19.61P    1.57R    0.10  
Rochdale         15   20   +2      -1.16    42.29     1.20    64.10     8.81     4.19     1.06     3.09    19.24     6.94P    6.17R    0.56  
Scunthorpe       15   20   +1       0.26    52.52     2.44    60.86     8.77    -1.92     0.43     1.29    10.97     3.29P   12.22R    1.13  
Chesterfield     15   20   -2      -1.57    39.08    -3.47    64.85     8.86     1.24     1.23     3.36    20.99     7.73P    5.65R    0.40  
Bradford         14   20   -2       1.38    60.70    -1.24    63.34     8.75    -2.54     0.75     2.30    16.27     5.25P    7.41R    0.62  
Colchester       15   20   -7       2.55    68.40    -1.17    56.91     8.78   -16.98     0.13     0.42     4.77     1.11P   25.33R    3.65  
Shrewsbury       15   17   -2      -3.70    26.00    -2.25    56.44     8.86    -6.59     0.19     0.51     4.82     1.52P   25.19R    3.74  
Port_Vale        15   17   -2      -2.10    36.06     0.21    56.46     8.63    -6.73     0.09     0.36     4.31     1.13P   24.83R    3.41  
Oldham           15   16   -5      -1.76    38.28    -0.74    54.65     8.48   -10.78     0.05     0.18     2.60     0.68P   31.70R    5.47  
Blackpool        14   16   -6      -1.72    38.38    -3.86    56.10     9.02   -11.24     0.13     0.46     4.44     1.40P   27.97R    4.45  
Fleetwood_Town   15   15   -4      -3.35    27.66    -0.66    53.20     8.63   -10.32     0.04     0.12     1.97     0.52P   37.94R    7.56  
Barnsley         14   14   -5      -5.72    14.49    -5.71    56.96     8.95    -6.68     0.13     0.52     5.33     1.72P   24.03R    3.51  
Doncaster        15   14  -11      -4.15    22.42    -7.34    53.58     8.56   -15.07     0.03     0.13     1.88     0.51P   37.36R    7.12  
Swindon          15   13   -6      -9.87     3.92    -9.40    57.70     8.79    -3.08     0.19     0.59     5.93     2.12P   20.41R    2.79  
Crewe            15   10  -11      -4.71    18.20    -1.93    41.54     8.14   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   86.19R   53.38  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             15   32  +12       7.81    92.10     6.65    83.19     8.68    24.64    30.72    67.17    91.49    73.82P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           15   28  +10       4.84    80.55     6.10    74.73     8.82    16.24     7.63    29.58    66.08    38.76P    0.02R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   27   +8       4.97    81.32     5.79    74.68     8.82    15.71     6.99    29.12    65.86    38.32P    0.02R    0.01  
Northampton          15   27   +5       5.08    81.29     3.02    71.91     8.87     8.41     3.98    19.22    52.59    26.79P    0.11R    0.03  
Mansfield            15   26  +11       6.02    86.04    11.66    67.31     8.61     9.46     1.40     8.75    33.94    13.80P    0.30R    0.08  
Leyton_Orient        15   26   +7      -1.90    35.98    -4.39    83.90     8.85    30.79    36.62    70.57    92.24    78.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   25   +6       5.02    81.10     7.05    67.04     8.88     4.87     1.50     8.37    32.35    13.02P    0.40R    0.11  
Morecambe            15   23   +4       1.97    63.65     3.56    67.91     9.08     7.32     1.98    10.54    36.99    16.54P    0.38R    0.11  
Carlisle             15   23   +0       3.13    70.97     1.54    62.60     8.96    -5.45     0.43     3.53    17.47     6.27P    1.65R    0.50  
Wycombe              14   22   +5      -0.19    48.54     0.55    71.29     9.00    13.02     3.83    18.51    51.62    27.85P    0.09R    0.02  
Exeter               15   22   +0       1.33    59.65     0.08    63.52     8.89    -1.82     0.57     4.04    19.94     7.53P    1.24R    0.32  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   22   -1       2.95    70.44     1.46    61.63     8.73    -5.77     0.32     2.44    13.87     4.73P    2.09R    0.68  
Bristol_Rovers       14   20   +0       2.14    66.10     1.73    62.26     9.19    -1.91     0.40     3.33    17.11     6.46P    2.09R    0.71  
Cambridge_Utd        15   20   -2       1.38    60.63     1.19    57.99     8.67    -9.23     0.07     0.91     7.19     2.11P    4.83R    1.60  
Luton                15   19   +4      -3.07    29.64     1.81    66.16     8.92    10.95     1.08     7.33    30.56    13.77P    0.69R    0.19  
Notts_County         15   19   -3      -3.77    25.80    -6.25    67.95     9.15     6.64     1.76    10.65    37.03    18.67P    0.51R    0.14  
Crawley_Town         15   18   -6      -3.10    29.95    -6.76    63.91     9.26    -0.98     0.61     4.71    22.16     9.47P    1.56R    0.48  
Barnet               15   17   -5      -0.10    50.59     0.70    52.51     8.97   -16.50     0.03     0.25     2.60     0.71P   16.15R    7.13  
Hartlepool           15   17   -7       0.13    52.06    -1.49    49.13     8.21   -22.52     0.01     0.06     0.66     0.16P   25.44R   11.65  
Stevenage            15   14   -7      -6.72    11.59    -7.13    56.72     8.91    -6.84     0.06     0.76     6.18     2.24P    6.74R    2.53  
York                 15   12   -7      -7.19     9.37    -5.08    48.89     8.48   -15.17     0.00     0.05     0.75     0.22P   25.12R   12.04  
Newport_County       15   12  -11      -4.96    17.99    -5.57    47.25     8.42   -21.92     0.00     0.04     0.49     0.11P   33.27R   17.23  
Yeovil               15    9  -11     -10.30     2.90    -9.17    47.68     8.98   -16.72     0.00     0.04     0.63     0.20P   31.52R   16.97  
Dag_&_Red            15    9  -12      -8.59     5.44    -7.05    44.61     8.64   -23.22     0.00     0.02     0.22     0.06P   45.77R   27.47  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     18   35  +12       4.35    75.79     2.80    82.63     8.08    26.14    16.28    73.44    29.42P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   34  +17       0.14    50.14     2.91    87.59     7.88    40.47    39.85    89.93    56.24P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   18   33   +9       5.25    79.99     4.54    74.30     8.11    13.23     2.86    33.43     8.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby          18   30  +20      -4.67    21.66     4.71    82.46     7.75    41.56    17.21    75.49    36.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   30  +11      -3.46    28.06    -2.52    82.23     8.06    31.92    15.79    73.08    34.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          18   30   +9       5.12    78.24     9.27    71.43     8.74    13.17     1.76    24.24     5.41P    0.06R    0.01  
Lincoln_City     17   29   +8       4.94    79.85     7.04    70.38     8.32    10.01     0.99    19.36     4.00P    0.05R    0.01  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +5       3.33    71.28     3.40    69.28     7.86     8.09     0.52    14.24     3.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   28   +7       0.55    53.98     2.88    71.10     7.99    13.91     1.09    21.15     5.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh        17   28   +3       2.18    63.74    -0.57    72.76     8.40    10.54     1.93    27.72     6.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   28   +0       2.60    66.54    -0.87    68.62     8.08     3.20     0.53    12.73     2.57P    0.09R    0.00  
Aldershot        18   27   -2       3.34    71.01    -0.34    64.92     8.04    -2.90     0.14     5.88     0.95P    0.34R    0.03  
Macclesfield     18   26   +5      -1.19    42.52     1.42    68.06     8.01    10.52     0.41    12.31     2.78P    0.11R    0.00  
Chester          18   25   -5       4.34    77.05     1.74    58.66     7.86   -13.06     0.01     0.98     0.13P    2.45R    0.25  
Barrow           18   25  -11       6.88    87.38    -0.11    52.88     7.95   -27.70     0.00     0.21     0.02P   11.19R    1.45  
Woking           17   24   +6      -2.85    31.77     0.61    68.79     8.33    13.38     0.64    15.36     3.67P    0.09R    0.00  
Welling          18   22   -3       0.64    55.26     1.91    54.39     7.65   -12.11     0.00     0.23     0.02P    6.56R    0.80  
Guiseley         18   20  -10       1.00    57.84    -1.32    45.52     7.63   -30.71     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.27R    9.62  
Altrincham       18   19  -13       1.00    58.30    -2.32    47.89     7.56   -28.53     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.04R    5.41  
Boreham_Wood     18   16   -5      -3.65    28.30     2.54    47.56     8.03   -15.22     0.00     0.03     0.01P   27.10R    6.25  
Torquay          18   15  -14      -7.84     9.89   -10.70    52.42     8.06   -16.14     0.00     0.15     0.02P   11.67R    2.03  
Southport        17   14  -12      -2.99    30.67    -2.11    43.93     7.65   -27.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.97R   13.80  
Halifax          18   10  -24     -10.71     3.08   -16.76    39.39     7.71   -39.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.05R   34.05  
Kidderminster    18    8  -13     -13.54     0.75    -8.13    40.34     7.78   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.85R   26.29