Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 28 October 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2015, Bournemouth 1 5 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   22  +16       0.57    53.65     2.47    83.07     7.36    55.18    64.06    86.67    95.33    98.14    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +10       3.14    76.02     2.12    76.79     7.78    36.34    23.08    59.15    80.41    90.32    97.31     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         10   20   +9       5.58    90.46     8.16    60.01     8.11    11.16     0.45     2.89     9.13    19.82    44.92     0.08R    0.00  
Man_Utd          10   20   +7       2.57    72.30     1.29    72.44     7.95    28.55     9.56    33.52    61.13    77.21    91.89     0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        10   19   +3       5.47    88.98     3.49    53.09     8.09    -5.25     0.05     0.51     1.83     4.79    16.14     0.85R    0.05  
Tottenham        10   17   +8       1.28    61.20     5.08    62.36     8.23    18.54     1.01     5.51    15.54    30.25    57.46     0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   +1       3.29    78.54     4.14    49.71     7.82    -4.45     0.01     0.12     0.58     1.82     7.66     2.04R    0.14  
Southampton      10   14   +3      -1.84    34.02    -0.24    57.80     8.08    10.91     0.28     1.74     5.67    13.28    34.73     0.23R    0.01  
Liverpool        10   14   -2      -1.18    39.67    -4.33    57.60     8.20     5.52     0.22     1.44     5.14    12.27    32.97     0.23R    0.01  
West_Brom        10   14   -3       2.20    70.46    -0.12    46.02     7.74   -12.78     0.00     0.05     0.20     0.65     3.22     5.68R    0.54  
Everton          10   13   +0       0.15    52.36     1.37    57.82     8.17     9.56     0.16     1.53     5.48    13.11    34.88     0.26R    0.01  
Swansea          10   13   +0      -0.33    47.57     0.58    49.95     8.01    -2.66     0.02     0.17     0.71     2.08     8.76     2.24R    0.20  
Watford          10   13   -2       2.06    69.41     2.59    44.24     8.15   -13.53     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.61     2.74     9.74R    1.45  
Stoke            10   12   -3      -1.56    36.54    -2.77    46.18     7.76    -9.28     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.65     3.41     5.53R    0.59  
Chelsea          10   11   -4      -6.71     6.10   -10.10    63.60     7.99    18.64     1.09     6.65    18.49    34.94    63.75     0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          10    9   -7      -2.45    30.20    -3.17    35.27     7.80   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.19    43.57R   12.32  
Bournemouth      10    8  -10      -2.22    31.42    -3.13    33.53     7.83   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    53.59R   17.79  
Sunderland       10    6   -8      -4.88    11.87    -3.64    31.46     7.16   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    63.25R   22.51  
Newcastle        10    6  -10      -3.19    21.89    -1.68    35.41     7.84   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.19    41.93R   12.17  
Aston_Villa      10    4   -8      -5.92     6.21    -2.10    29.70     7.29   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.71R   32.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 October 2015, Cardiff 0 0 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        13   29   +8       9.42    97.07     5.29    76.14     8.73    11.55     8.50    19.39    64.11    28.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull            13   25  +11       2.00    65.00     3.57    82.33     9.13    28.42    27.60    47.07    85.64    59.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         13   25   +6       3.63    75.77     0.87    77.66     9.20    17.07    12.65    26.40    70.22    38.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   13   24  +11       1.60    62.14     4.23    80.61     8.73    27.42    20.52    38.79    82.40    52.89P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           13   24   +8       1.81    63.42     1.53    80.65     9.06    25.39    20.99    38.91    81.32    51.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      13   24   +6       6.44    89.86     6.30    68.82     9.05     5.68     1.96     5.64    32.88    10.69P    0.48R    0.02  
Reading         13   22   +8       3.68    76.45     7.20    68.54     9.00    10.22     1.94     5.42    32.56    11.08P    0.51R    0.04  
Cardiff         13   21   +4       2.54    69.39     2.82    66.90     8.91     5.43     1.17     3.61    25.75     8.33P    0.77R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       13   20   +2       3.14    73.73     3.11    63.69     8.81     0.43     0.48     1.67    15.50     4.33P    1.95R    0.20  
QPR             13   19   +0      -1.20    41.12    -3.61    66.72     9.64     3.61     1.71     4.69    27.06     9.89P    1.37R    0.19  
Fulham          13   17   +3      -0.49    46.72     3.72    60.67     9.36    -0.08     0.38     1.16    10.62     3.01P    5.08R    0.79  
Brentford       13   17   -1      -1.45    39.51    -1.86    64.51     9.26     2.40     0.72     2.39    19.04     6.19P    2.08R    0.27  
Ipswich         13   17   -5      -0.71    45.05    -4.94    63.25     9.15    -3.44     0.49     1.60    14.88     4.48P    2.86R    0.38  
Wolverhampton   13   15   -2      -3.70    23.79    -3.35    64.21     9.09     4.08     0.63     2.05    18.10     5.79P    1.94R    0.23  
Huddersfield    13   14   -3      -1.13    42.11     1.01    52.62     8.74   -12.60     0.01     0.08     1.52     0.34P   20.51R    4.70  
Nott'm_Forest   13   14   -3      -3.25    26.34    -2.33    57.47     8.99    -5.50     0.07     0.34     4.96     1.33P    8.71R    1.48  
Leeds_United    13   13   -5      -1.97    35.34    -0.99    53.07     8.78   -11.89     0.01     0.06     1.51     0.33P   19.10R    4.33  
Blackburn       13   12   -2      -5.73    12.91    -1.99    58.05     8.94    -0.42     0.09     0.41     5.88     1.74P    7.40R    1.28  
Preston         13   12   -3      -3.89    22.30    -0.73    53.83     9.00    -7.05     0.04     0.12     2.43     0.62P   16.56R    3.40  
Bristol_City    13   11   -7      -4.60    18.81    -3.62    52.01     9.46   -14.03     0.02     0.11     1.84     0.47P   24.28R    6.87  
MK_Dons         13   11   -7      -4.71    17.72    -3.71    50.62     9.21   -15.42     0.01     0.07     1.15     0.31P   28.31R    7.95  
Charlton        13   10  -10      -4.50    17.77    -5.30    46.71     8.50   -21.69     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.07P   44.92R   14.86  
Rotherham       13    9   -9      -4.20    19.41    -1.89    41.21     8.42   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   70.28R   37.87  
Bolton          13    9  -10      -5.59    12.53    -5.34    47.13     8.79   -20.22     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   42.83R   15.09  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 October 2015, Millwall 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       15   31  +14       7.06    89.43     9.01    78.89     8.93    22.07    22.92    39.81    78.03    48.63P    0.09R    0.00  
Walsall          15   29  +13       5.29    83.02     8.39    77.59     8.66    21.97    17.96    33.84    75.05    44.75P    0.09R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    15   29   +2       9.64    95.70     3.53    68.21     8.76    -2.40     2.70     6.63    31.77    11.25P    2.46R    0.12  
Coventry         14   25  +10       4.21    78.36     7.60    73.85     9.13    17.31    10.06    20.85    59.26    30.09P    0.59R    0.01  
Wigan            15   24   +7      -2.38    33.30    -1.80    78.66     9.00    25.05    22.34    39.82    78.07    52.93P    0.12R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        15   24   +5      -0.41    47.03    -0.73    73.20     8.76    14.96     8.12    17.96    56.22    28.81P    0.55R    0.02  
Bury             15   24   +3       4.80    80.16     5.28    64.32     9.06    -0.73     1.33     3.49    20.16     6.66P    6.68R    0.50  
Millwall         15   24   +1       1.91    63.13    -1.15    70.86     9.21     7.50     5.48    12.60    45.36    20.79P    1.58R    0.08  
Southend         15   22   -1       3.89    76.29     2.23    59.78     8.66    -7.25     0.31     0.93     8.45     2.35P   15.13R    1.50  
Peterborough     15   21   +6      -2.31    34.49     1.82    70.09     8.95    15.85     4.57    10.98    43.30    19.88P    1.51R    0.08  
Rochdale         15   20   +2      -1.19    42.21     1.21    64.12     8.86     4.15     1.08     3.11    19.80     6.98P    6.34R    0.56  
Scunthorpe       15   20   +1       0.34    53.32     2.59    60.82     8.85    -1.95     0.38     1.33    11.22     3.36P   12.55R    1.24  
Chesterfield     15   20   -2      -1.63    39.09    -3.53    64.80     8.78     1.17     1.06     3.14    21.00     7.57P    5.64R    0.40  
Bradford         14   20   -2       1.46    61.26    -1.11    63.34     8.76    -2.65     0.77     2.32    16.26     5.47P    7.58R    0.64  
Colchester       15   20   -7       2.59    68.83    -1.14    56.87     8.72   -16.99     0.12     0.38     4.54     1.04P   25.22R    3.99  
Shrewsbury       15   17   -2      -3.75    25.78    -2.32    56.45     8.92    -6.53     0.16     0.49     4.84     1.57P   25.28R    3.93  
Port_Vale        15   17   -2      -2.05    36.45     0.24    56.42     8.57    -6.80     0.09     0.33     4.18     1.18P   24.76R    3.33  
Oldham           15   16   -5      -1.81    38.02    -0.82    54.76     8.47   -10.61     0.06     0.17     2.71     0.66P   31.30R    5.06  
Blackpool        14   16   -6      -1.75    38.38    -3.93    56.10     8.97   -11.22     0.12     0.41     4.20     1.22P   28.04R    4.50  
Fleetwood_Town   15   15   -4      -3.48    26.74    -0.85    53.49     8.57    -9.93     0.05     0.17     2.12     0.56P   36.87R    6.98  
Barnsley         14   14   -5      -5.74    14.35    -5.73    57.00     8.90    -6.64     0.15     0.50     5.28     1.59P   23.56R    3.28  
Doncaster        15   14  -11      -4.21    22.03    -7.45    53.67     8.62   -14.91     0.02     0.13     2.09     0.59P   37.16R    7.09  
Swindon          15   13   -6      -9.89     3.92    -9.45    57.67     8.85    -3.16     0.17     0.60     6.06     2.09P   20.70R    2.84  
Crewe            15   10  -11      -4.72    18.12    -1.90    41.53     8.16   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   86.18R   53.84  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             15   32  +12       7.75    91.99     6.57    83.37     8.65    24.86    31.36    67.83    91.92    74.61P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           15   28  +10       4.84    80.36     6.08    74.76     8.80    16.31     7.55    29.66    66.71    38.92P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   27   +8       4.87    80.85     5.61    75.01     8.71    16.20     7.14    30.22    67.95    39.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Northampton          15   27   +5       5.12    81.30     3.11    71.86     8.92     8.31     3.97    19.28    52.84    26.82P    0.10R    0.02  
Mansfield            15   26  +11       6.15    86.83    11.79    67.20     8.63     9.33     1.41     8.45    33.45    13.41P    0.31R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient        15   26   +7      -1.87    36.29    -4.31    83.83     8.88    30.63    36.33    70.40    92.02    78.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   25   +6       5.06    81.49     7.06    66.99     8.86     4.74     1.47     8.31    32.11    12.87P    0.43R    0.12  
Morecambe            15   23   +4       2.03    64.10     3.65    67.84     8.98     7.21     1.77    10.03    36.00    16.08P    0.37R    0.09  
Carlisle             15   23   +0       3.13    71.06     1.55    62.51     8.87    -5.49     0.37     3.28    17.06     5.91P    1.72R    0.49  
Wycombe              14   22   +5      -0.21    48.33     0.55    71.12     8.94    12.82     3.63    17.87    50.67    27.14P    0.10R    0.03  
Exeter               15   22   +0       1.35    59.85     0.10    63.47     8.81    -1.89     0.50     3.94    19.61     7.32P    1.19R    0.31  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   22   -1       2.95    70.50     1.42    61.72     8.71    -5.61     0.28     2.43    14.16     4.71P    2.00R    0.62  
Bristol_Rovers       14   20   +0       2.09    65.73     1.68    62.35     9.11    -1.83     0.43     3.34    17.20     6.34P    1.90R    0.64  
Cambridge_Utd        15   20   -2       1.34    60.00     1.15    57.93     8.63    -9.28     0.10     0.89     6.92     1.98P    4.75R    1.69  
Luton                15   19   +4      -3.16    29.12     1.68    66.47     8.87    11.36     1.20     7.84    31.78    14.54P    0.56R    0.14  
Notts_County         15   19   -3      -3.69    26.25    -6.13    67.79     9.15     6.41     1.80    10.36    36.34    18.26P    0.49R    0.12  
Crawley_Town         15   18   -6      -3.08    29.98    -6.72    63.85     9.25    -1.10     0.59     4.69    21.73     9.33P    1.58R    0.53  
Barnet               15   17   -5      -0.09    50.57     0.75    52.45     8.89   -16.57     0.01     0.26     2.52     0.73P   15.78R    6.97  
Hartlepool           15   17   -7       0.26    53.25    -1.28    49.03     8.20   -22.67     0.01     0.05     0.62     0.17P   25.49R   11.66  
Stevenage            15   14   -7      -6.85    11.19    -7.32    56.89     8.89    -6.59     0.06     0.73     6.29     2.13P    6.52R    2.48  
York                 15   12   -7      -7.18     9.50    -5.05    48.77     8.47   -15.33     0.00     0.05     0.71     0.22P   25.67R   12.18  
Newport_County       15   12  -11      -4.97    18.05    -5.60    47.18     8.45   -21.98     0.01     0.03     0.44     0.10P   33.85R   17.68  
Yeovil               15    9  -11     -10.39     2.82    -9.29    47.75     9.07   -16.58     0.00     0.05     0.75     0.25P   31.41R   16.83  
Dag_&_Red            15    9  -12      -8.59     5.30    -7.05    44.57     8.64   -23.27     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.06P   45.72R   27.30  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     18   35  +12       4.26    75.43     2.72    82.77     8.08    26.40    16.68    73.97    29.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   34  +17       0.12    50.07     2.93    87.51     7.92    40.34    39.11    89.68    55.76P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   18   33   +9       5.30    80.21     4.60    74.13     8.11    12.98     2.74    32.58     7.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          18   30  +20      -4.63    21.68     4.70    82.40     7.79    41.50    17.10    75.08    37.01P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         18   30  +11      -3.55    27.58    -2.63    82.34     8.12    32.07    16.05    73.60    35.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          18   30   +9       4.95    77.35     9.00    71.59     8.73    13.47     1.85    25.04     5.58P    0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   29   +8       4.96    79.53     7.05    70.50     8.34    10.18     1.14    19.98     4.05P    0.06R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +5       3.28    70.89     3.33    69.35     7.88     8.15     0.58    14.40     3.07P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   28   +7       0.73    54.74     3.19    70.90     8.04    13.58     0.95    20.61     4.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh        17   28   +3       2.20    64.22    -0.58    72.80     8.40    10.59     2.06    27.74     6.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   28   +0       2.56    66.35    -0.91    68.67     8.02     3.27     0.49    12.91     2.55P    0.10R    0.00  
Aldershot        18   27   -2       3.33    70.84    -0.33    64.94     8.01    -2.84     0.17     5.74     1.02P    0.34R    0.01  
Macclesfield     18   26   +5      -1.16    42.63     1.43    68.05     7.95    10.52     0.39    11.91     2.75P    0.08R    0.00  
Chester          18   25   -5       4.50    77.58     1.98    58.48     7.85   -13.35     0.01     0.95     0.08P    2.50R    0.25  
Barrow           18   25  -11       6.77    87.30    -0.24    53.05     7.94   -27.46     0.00     0.28     0.03P   10.56R    1.40  
Woking           17   24   +6      -2.82    31.94     0.67    68.59     8.40    13.14     0.65    15.07     3.72P    0.14R    0.01  
Welling          18   22   -3       0.64    55.17     1.87    54.45     7.60   -12.10     0.00     0.24     0.03P    6.33R    0.77  
Guiseley         18   20  -10       1.07    58.24    -1.24    45.36     7.58   -31.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.73R   10.14  
Altrincham       18   19  -13       0.99    58.29    -2.36    47.95     7.58   -28.44     0.00     0.04     0.00P   26.15R    5.44  
Boreham_Wood     18   16   -5      -3.80    27.16     2.28    47.75     8.02   -14.88     0.00     0.03     0.00P   25.98R    6.20  
Torquay          18   15  -14      -7.80     9.94   -10.61    52.35     8.06   -16.22     0.00     0.13     0.02P   11.69R    1.95  
Southport        17   14  -12      -2.98    30.74    -2.12    43.91     7.70   -27.41     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.06R   13.66  
Halifax          18   10  -24     -10.60     3.26   -16.59    39.33     7.65   -39.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.65R   34.23  
Kidderminster    18    8  -13     -13.56     0.71    -8.14    40.31     7.66   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.47R   25.91