Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 October 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2015, Bournemouth 1 5 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   22  +16       0.58    53.62     2.47    83.16     7.41    55.21    64.91    87.08    95.32    98.18    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +10       3.17    76.15     2.15    76.46     7.80    35.72    22.19    57.74    79.51    89.44    97.10     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         10   20   +9       5.57    90.27     8.13    60.21     8.16    11.46     0.50     3.23     9.60    20.46    45.89     0.05R    0.00  
Man_Utd          10   20   +7       2.56    72.36     1.29    72.53     7.88    28.65     9.61    34.35    62.06    77.79    92.28     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   19   +3       5.49    88.92     3.55    53.05     8.08    -5.35     0.06     0.48     1.79     4.79    15.74     0.93R    0.04  
Tottenham        10   17   +8       1.29    61.37     5.08    62.37     8.15    18.61     1.00     5.56    15.34    30.01    57.99     0.05R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   +1       3.26    78.55     4.09    49.68     7.86    -4.41     0.01     0.14     0.57     1.82     7.91     2.28R    0.15  
Southampton      10   14   +3      -1.82    34.28    -0.17    57.66     8.12    10.72     0.27     1.74     5.84    13.22    34.40     0.21R    0.02  
Liverpool        10   14   -2      -1.15    39.94    -4.28    57.47     8.24     5.30     0.23     1.55     5.21    12.27    32.60     0.26R    0.01  
West_Brom        10   14   -3       2.14    70.19    -0.25    46.15     7.73   -12.57     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.60     3.32     5.48R    0.58  
Everton          10   13   +0       0.11    51.97     1.31    57.81     8.18     9.54     0.21     1.60     5.59    13.43    34.59     0.26R    0.01  
Swansea          10   13   +0      -0.36    47.71     0.56    49.92     8.00    -2.71     0.03     0.18     0.73     2.03     8.82     2.13R    0.15  
Watford          10   13   -2       2.07    69.41     2.65    44.10     8.13   -13.82     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.51     2.57    10.39R    1.55  
Stoke            10   12   -3      -1.54    36.80    -2.78    46.15     7.78    -9.29     0.00     0.04     0.20     0.70     3.35     5.34R    0.58  
Chelsea          10   11   -4      -6.69     6.15   -10.05    63.44     7.98    18.40     0.99     6.29    17.92    34.68    63.29     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich          10    9   -7      -2.47    29.88    -3.19    35.42     7.87   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.20    43.34R   12.24  
Bournemouth      10    8  -10      -2.21    31.48    -3.06    33.49     7.81   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.11    53.89R   18.22  
Sunderland       10    6   -8      -4.90    11.95    -3.71    31.71     7.27   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    62.42R   22.09  
Newcastle        10    6  -10      -3.16    22.00    -1.66    35.49     7.75   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    42.02R   11.67  
Aston_Villa      10    4   -8      -5.94     6.17    -2.12    29.73     7.31   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.91R   32.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 October 2015, Cardiff 0 0 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        13   29   +8       9.50    97.14     5.37    76.10     8.72    11.46     8.46    19.30    64.02    28.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull            13   25  +11       1.99    64.86     3.55    82.37     9.09    28.52    27.98    47.63    85.98    60.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         13   25   +6       3.80    76.80     1.12    77.36     9.19    16.64    12.23    25.53    69.41    37.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   13   24  +11       1.55    61.85     4.19    80.51     8.74    27.34    20.34    38.55    82.31    52.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           13   24   +8       1.87    63.74     1.58    80.58     9.02    25.29    20.98    39.27    81.20    51.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      13   24   +6       6.40    89.33     6.21    69.01     8.97     5.90     2.04     5.76    33.32    10.71P    0.41R    0.03  
Reading         13   22   +8       3.77    76.89     7.28    68.27     8.97     9.85     1.89     5.12    31.37    10.41P    0.55R    0.05  
Cardiff         13   21   +4       2.52    69.22     2.76    67.08     8.91     5.67     1.25     3.76    26.60     8.67P    0.77R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed       13   20   +2       3.11    73.75     3.07    63.69     8.80     0.42     0.45     1.61    15.37     4.44P    1.88R    0.20  
QPR             13   19   +0      -1.20    41.15    -3.57    66.72     9.62     3.64     1.74     4.81    26.97    10.12P    1.36R    0.19  
Fulham          13   17   +3      -0.49    46.77     3.66    60.82     9.34     0.14     0.36     1.16    11.04     3.17P    5.01R    0.69  
Brentford       13   17   -1      -1.38    39.80    -1.77    64.25     9.30     2.06     0.77     2.46    18.35     5.98P    2.21R    0.30  
Ipswich         13   17   -5      -0.80    44.12    -5.07    63.35     9.14    -3.32     0.58     1.74    15.13     4.62P    2.66R    0.40  
Wolverhampton   13   15   -2      -3.70    23.78    -3.33    64.18     9.18     4.02     0.61     2.08    18.33     5.94P    2.12R    0.27  
Huddersfield    13   14   -3      -1.12    42.23     1.04    52.69     8.79   -12.48     0.02     0.08     1.60     0.29P   20.24R    4.65  
Nott'm_Forest   13   14   -3      -3.33    25.98    -2.43    57.73     9.00    -5.12     0.10     0.35     5.35     1.47P    8.43R    1.36  
Leeds_United    13   13   -5      -1.98    35.65    -1.03    53.05     8.70   -11.90     0.03     0.06     1.57     0.35P   18.96R    4.20  
Blackburn       13   12   -2      -5.77    12.68    -2.03    58.06     8.98    -0.40     0.09     0.44     5.98     1.67P    7.44R    1.27  
Preston         13   12   -3      -3.84    22.44    -0.62    53.69     9.01    -7.22     0.03     0.12     2.37     0.61P   17.03R    3.72  
Bristol_City    13   11   -7      -4.59    18.72    -3.60    51.90     9.48   -14.14     0.04     0.11     1.86     0.44P   24.95R    7.18  
MK_Dons         13   11   -7      -4.71    17.98    -3.74    50.67     9.28   -15.35     0.02     0.06     1.35     0.31P   28.59R    8.12  
Charlton        13   10  -10      -4.54    17.61    -5.33    46.79     8.56   -21.60     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   44.79R   15.10  
Rotherham       13    9   -9      -4.30    18.88    -2.03    41.35     8.42   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   69.54R   37.47  
Bolton          13    9  -10      -5.59    12.51    -5.31    47.09     8.69   -20.28     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   42.98R   14.73  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 October 2015, Millwall 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       15   31  +14       7.08    89.31     9.03    78.71     8.91    21.78    22.59    39.28    77.67    48.05P    0.09R    0.01  
Walsall          15   29  +13       5.34    83.28     8.45    77.50     8.64    21.85    17.83    33.69    74.72    44.50P    0.09R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    15   29   +2       9.66    95.68     3.55    68.26     8.72    -2.34     2.74     6.89    31.92    11.51P    2.31R    0.10  
Coventry         14   25  +10       4.18    77.96     7.60    73.85     9.04    17.35     9.94    20.96    59.47    30.14P    0.58R    0.02  
Wigan            15   24   +7      -2.41    32.93    -1.81    78.70     8.91    25.06    22.80    39.98    78.55    53.51P    0.10R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        15   24   +5      -0.41    47.11    -0.72    73.19     8.77    14.93     8.02    17.74    56.58    28.79P    0.57R    0.02  
Bury             15   24   +3       4.78    80.09     5.16    64.40     9.05    -0.53     1.30     3.48    20.29     6.76P    6.50R    0.46  
Millwall         15   24   +1       1.89    62.93    -1.15    70.85     9.24     7.47     5.78    12.84    45.16    20.95P    1.61R    0.09  
Southend         15   22   -1       3.82    75.88     2.14    59.85     8.67    -7.11     0.28     0.97     8.59     2.43P   15.11R    1.37  
Peterborough     15   21   +6      -2.18    35.13     2.06    69.76     8.91    15.31     4.24    10.45    42.05    19.06P    1.62R    0.10  
Rochdale         15   20   +2      -1.21    41.91     1.16    64.16     8.86     4.26     1.19     3.30    19.66     7.06P    6.35R    0.47  
Scunthorpe       15   20   +1       0.28    52.60     2.52    60.88     8.77    -1.89     0.44     1.37    11.09     3.40P   12.13R    1.15  
Chesterfield     15   20   -2      -1.64    38.83    -3.54    64.93     8.87     1.37     1.23     3.52    21.73     7.90P    5.65R    0.44  
Bradford         14   20   -2       1.37    60.65    -1.31    63.41     8.68    -2.51     0.78     2.35    16.17     5.38P    7.25R    0.60  
Colchester       15   20   -7       2.55    68.62    -1.24    57.08     8.75   -16.76     0.13     0.45     4.88     1.23P   24.44R    3.81  
Shrewsbury       15   17   -2      -3.81    25.30    -2.45    56.59     8.84    -6.30     0.12     0.48     4.97     1.50P   24.81R    3.55  
Port_Vale        15   17   -2      -2.10    35.99     0.18    56.39     8.54    -6.79     0.08     0.35     4.10     1.12P   24.92R    3.40  
Oldham           15   16   -5      -1.75    38.34    -0.71    54.67     8.51   -10.76     0.06     0.23     2.66     0.70P   32.08R    5.32  
Blackpool        14   16   -6      -1.74    38.12    -3.94    56.23     8.94   -11.02     0.11     0.38     4.46     1.28P   27.57R    4.32  
Fleetwood_Town   15   15   -4      -3.48    26.79    -0.85    53.57     8.55    -9.81     0.04     0.15     2.15     0.56P   36.55R    6.84  
Barnsley         14   14   -5      -5.68    14.64    -5.66    56.87     8.99    -6.77     0.13     0.46     5.34     1.68P   24.44R    3.55  
Doncaster        15   14  -11      -4.14    22.48    -7.37    53.64     8.55   -14.95     0.02     0.11     1.98     0.50P   37.10R    7.15  
Swindon          15   13   -6      -9.76     3.99    -9.25    57.43     8.86    -3.40     0.15     0.56     5.78     1.97P   21.72R    3.00  
Crewe            15   10  -11      -4.70    18.46    -1.85    41.45     8.15   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   86.42R   54.24  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             15   32  +12       7.82    92.16     6.67    83.17     8.59    24.57    30.83    67.09    91.79    73.69P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           15   28  +10       4.77    79.89     5.95    75.00     8.75    16.64     7.98    30.52    67.40    39.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   27   +8       4.89    80.96     5.68    74.85     8.80    15.99     7.47    29.82    66.71    39.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton          15   27   +5       5.07    81.20     3.06    71.93     8.94     8.47     4.20    19.56    52.87    27.04P    0.12R    0.03  
Mansfield            15   26  +11       6.10    86.42    11.77    67.10     8.67     9.15     1.34     8.35    32.60    13.12P    0.32R    0.07  
Leyton_Orient        15   26   +7      -1.77    37.20    -4.14    83.64     8.97    30.31    35.58    69.40    91.54    77.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   25   +6       5.06    81.30     7.09    67.00     8.90     4.70     1.47     8.43    32.07    13.25P    0.48R    0.12  
Morecambe            15   23   +4       1.93    63.41     3.50    68.09     9.03     7.66     1.90    10.57    37.59    16.73P    0.37R    0.09  
Carlisle             15   23   +0       3.17    71.29     1.61    62.47     8.89    -5.60     0.39     3.16    16.65     5.83P    1.78R    0.54  
Wycombe              14   22   +5      -0.28    48.00     0.41    71.42     8.92    13.26     3.89    18.59    52.04    28.05P    0.09R    0.01  
Exeter               15   22   +0       1.29    59.33    -0.03    63.60     8.87    -1.65     0.49     4.03    20.23     7.66P    1.19R    0.34  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   22   -1       2.89    70.11     1.37    61.74     8.79    -5.62     0.32     2.57    14.38     4.94P    2.16R    0.66  
Bristol_Rovers       14   20   +0       2.21    66.77     1.83    62.04     9.13    -2.19     0.40     3.10    16.07     5.98P    2.20R    0.69  
Cambridge_Utd        15   20   -2       1.29    59.79     1.09    58.03     8.74    -9.14     0.08     0.97     7.44     2.25P    4.89R    1.71  
Luton                15   19   +4      -3.20    28.70     1.62    66.50     8.93    11.46     1.22     7.81    31.70    14.54P    0.56R    0.17  
Notts_County         15   19   -3      -3.63    26.66    -6.08    67.63     9.14     6.17     1.67     9.93    35.75    17.58P    0.55R    0.16  
Crawley_Town         15   18   -6      -3.12    29.89    -6.80    63.99     9.27    -0.93     0.68     4.90    22.16     9.63P    1.61R    0.54  
Barnet               15   17   -5      -0.09    50.56     0.76    52.46     8.90   -16.57     0.02     0.24     2.48     0.68P   16.01R    6.97  
Hartlepool           15   17   -7       0.25    53.06    -1.32    49.10     8.16   -22.60     0.00     0.04     0.64     0.14P   25.24R   11.41  
Stevenage            15   14   -7      -6.81    11.16    -7.24    56.71     8.84    -6.86     0.05     0.75     5.85     2.06P    6.52R    2.47  
York                 15   12   -7      -7.13     9.75    -4.98    48.79     8.51   -15.33     0.00     0.06     0.76     0.25P   25.64R   12.35  
Newport_County       15   12  -11      -4.94    17.92    -5.56    47.32     8.44   -21.87     0.00     0.03     0.45     0.13P   32.82R   17.15  
Yeovil               15    9  -11     -10.32     2.93    -9.19    47.67     8.95   -16.72     0.01     0.07     0.67     0.20P   31.77R   16.98  
Dag_&_Red            15    9  -12      -8.61     5.19    -7.06    44.52     8.57   -23.29     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.06P   45.64R   27.53  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     18   35  +12       4.27    75.26     2.70    82.79     8.11    26.41    16.59    73.91    30.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   34  +17       0.20    50.35     3.05    87.47     7.91    40.27    39.21    89.60    55.70P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   18   33   +9       5.38    80.75     4.72    74.05     8.11    12.86     2.71    32.35     7.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby          18   30  +20      -4.64    21.57     4.73    82.47     7.75    41.57    17.12    75.62    37.14P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         18   30  +11      -3.43    28.11    -2.46    82.16     8.15    31.77    15.64    72.69    34.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          18   30   +9       5.02    78.15     9.11    71.51     8.76    13.37     1.84    24.55     5.59P    0.05R    0.01  
Lincoln_City     17   29   +8       4.85    79.01     6.90    70.66     8.33    10.46     1.16    20.43     4.07P    0.05R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +5       3.26    70.77     3.30    69.37     7.83     8.18     0.62    14.18     2.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   28   +7       0.46    52.90     2.76    71.13     8.08    14.02     1.19    21.61     5.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh        17   28   +3       2.24    64.36    -0.54    72.69     8.45    10.41     2.11    27.43     6.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   28   +0       2.59    66.75    -0.89    68.68     8.05     3.26     0.52    13.04     2.60P    0.09R    0.00  
Aldershot        18   27   -2       3.36    71.59    -0.39    65.01     8.01    -2.75     0.16     5.82     1.02P    0.29R    0.03  
Macclesfield     18   26   +5      -1.19    42.41     1.39    68.04     7.99    10.55     0.42    11.96     2.76P    0.08R    0.00  
Chester          18   25   -5       4.53    77.88     2.01    58.48     7.92   -13.35     0.02     0.93     0.12P    2.56R    0.21  
Barrow           18   25  -11       6.75    86.89    -0.33    53.05     7.93   -27.40     0.00     0.21     0.02P   10.66R    1.54  
Woking           17   24   +6      -2.85    31.69     0.62    68.60     8.45    13.13     0.68    15.25     3.64P    0.12R    0.01  
Welling          18   22   -3       0.62    55.00     1.89    54.37     7.60   -12.12     0.00     0.25     0.02P    6.40R    0.77  
Guiseley         18   20  -10       1.09    58.50    -1.19    45.43     7.67   -30.90     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.61R   10.12  
Altrincham       18   19  -13       1.02    58.47    -2.30    47.91     7.60   -28.48     0.00     0.02     0.00    26.24R    5.54  
Boreham_Wood     18   16   -5      -3.70    27.79     2.44    47.56     7.98   -15.12     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.77R    6.22  
Torquay          18   15  -14      -7.80     9.91   -10.60    52.38     8.04   -16.16     0.00     0.13     0.02P   11.66R    2.04  
Southport        17   14  -12      -2.93    31.01    -2.03    43.82     7.68   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.52R   13.92  
Halifax          18   10  -24     -10.68     3.21   -16.70    39.35     7.71   -39.98     0.00     0.00     0.00P   69.32R   33.79  
Kidderminster    18    8  -13     -13.60     0.72    -8.21    40.40     7.81   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.47R   25.78