Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 26 October 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2015, Bournemouth 1 5 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   22  +16       0.58    53.71     2.47    83.13     7.36    55.14    64.65    87.18    95.31    98.13    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +10       3.11    75.38     2.05    76.76     7.75    36.28    22.82    59.57    80.66    90.06    97.34     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         10   20   +9       5.58    90.29     8.19    60.04     8.12    11.20     0.46     2.96     9.37    19.96    45.02     0.06R    0.00  
Man_Utd          10   20   +7       2.58    72.22     1.37    72.32     7.93    28.35     9.33    32.82    60.85    76.69    91.59     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   19   +3       5.50    89.22     3.53    53.09     8.10    -5.24     0.06     0.51     1.91     4.96    15.84     0.89R    0.05  
Tottenham        10   17   +8       1.24    60.83     4.99    62.41     8.14    18.65     0.99     5.62    15.57    30.28    58.19     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   +1       3.27    78.44     4.13    49.78     7.89    -4.33     0.02     0.14     0.67     1.89     8.12     2.29R    0.15  
Southampton      10   14   +3      -1.81    34.20    -0.21    57.79     8.11    10.92     0.26     1.79     5.96    13.60    35.01     0.21R    0.01  
Liverpool        10   14   -2      -1.13    39.93    -4.27    57.41     8.18     5.21     0.20     1.42     5.04    12.01    32.37     0.27R    0.01  
West_Brom        10   14   -3       2.19    70.41    -0.16    46.07     7.73   -12.68     0.01     0.04     0.18     0.64     3.18     5.61R    0.58  
Everton          10   13   +0       0.16    52.33     1.42    57.82     8.18     9.50     0.21     1.51     5.45    13.42    34.82     0.23R    0.01  
Swansea          10   13   +0      -0.30    47.99     0.60    49.85     8.02    -2.82     0.01     0.13     0.67     2.08     8.59     2.30R    0.16  
Watford          10   13   -2       1.98    68.63     2.49    44.31     8.08   -13.42     0.01     0.03     0.17     0.54     2.72     9.74R    1.34  
Stoke            10   12   -3      -1.48    37.23    -2.68    45.97     7.77    -9.53     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.66     3.30     5.66R    0.60  
Chelsea          10   11   -4      -6.69     6.25   -10.05    63.48     7.95    18.46     0.98     6.24    17.98    35.01    63.73     0.02R    0.00  
Norwich          10    9   -7      -2.55    29.16    -3.33    35.60     7.87   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.22    41.99R   11.83  
Bournemouth      10    8  -10      -2.21    31.48    -3.07    33.43     7.79   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.11    54.30R   18.17  
Sunderland       10    6   -8      -4.95    11.85    -3.78    31.71     7.27   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    62.22R   21.67  
Newcastle        10    6  -10      -3.17    22.04    -1.64    35.43     7.80   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    42.32R   11.83  
Aston_Villa      10    4   -8      -5.86     6.42    -2.06    29.53     7.25   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.85R   33.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 October 2015, Cardiff 0 0 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        13   29   +8       9.57    97.35     5.47    75.84     8.73    11.09     7.98    18.67    62.69    27.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull            13   25  +11       2.03    64.95     3.62    82.43     9.09    28.60    28.07    47.67    86.35    60.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         13   25   +6       3.69    76.05     0.99    77.46     9.16    16.77    12.29    25.66    69.60    37.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   13   24  +11       1.54    61.83     4.20    80.55     8.70    27.42    20.13    38.61    82.41    52.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           13   24   +8       1.83    63.53     1.54    80.67     9.02    25.43    21.38    39.38    81.52    52.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      13   24   +6       6.39    89.64     6.18    68.97     8.91     5.89     1.97     5.62    33.47    10.77P    0.40R    0.02  
Reading         13   22   +8       3.68    76.35     7.19    68.41     8.97    10.06     2.00     5.53    31.98    10.96P    0.49R    0.04  
Cardiff         13   21   +4       2.58    69.87     2.84    66.95     8.92     5.51     1.30     3.78    26.01     8.59P    0.74R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed       13   20   +2       3.08    73.50     3.00    63.88     8.78     0.71     0.52     1.74    15.82     4.38P    1.74R    0.17  
QPR             13   19   +0      -1.11    41.80    -3.44    66.60     9.73     3.43     1.68     4.66    26.59     9.75P    1.56R    0.17  
Fulham          13   17   +3      -0.55    46.42     3.59    60.97     9.37     0.41     0.43     1.22    11.20     3.15P    4.88R    0.72  
Brentford       13   17   -1      -1.42    39.79    -1.82    64.32     9.25     2.12     0.78     2.30    18.48     5.92P    2.15R    0.24  
Ipswich         13   17   -5      -0.68    45.34    -4.89    63.17     9.20    -3.57     0.55     1.74    15.11     4.64P    2.85R    0.43  
Wolverhampton   13   15   -2      -3.66    23.92    -3.25    64.18     9.11     4.07     0.63     2.16    17.84     5.91P    2.11R    0.24  
Huddersfield    13   14   -3      -1.18    41.81     0.91    52.79     8.72   -12.35     0.01     0.08     1.63     0.36P   19.64R    4.36  
Nott'm_Forest   13   14   -3      -3.35    26.00    -2.44    57.60     9.00    -5.32     0.07     0.36     5.33     1.42P    8.47R    1.42  
Leeds_United    13   13   -5      -1.92    35.97    -0.91    52.86     8.83   -12.21     0.02     0.08     1.64     0.34P   20.00R    4.54  
Blackburn       13   12   -2      -5.81    12.30    -2.12    58.23     8.96    -0.14     0.08     0.41     6.12     1.79P    7.12R    1.23  
Preston         13   12   -3      -3.93    22.35    -0.74    53.86     9.11    -7.09     0.04     0.14     2.49     0.65P   16.82R    3.59  
Bristol_City    13   11   -7      -4.60    18.69    -3.62    51.94     9.49   -14.08     0.05     0.11     1.81     0.50P   24.77R    7.04  
MK_Dons         13   11   -7      -4.76    17.77    -3.81    50.66     9.26   -15.35     0.01     0.05     1.29     0.33P   28.38R    7.79  
Charlton        13   10  -10      -4.50    17.98    -5.30    46.76     8.51   -21.63     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   44.70R   14.67  
Rotherham       13    9   -9      -4.18    19.88    -1.85    41.11     8.35   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   70.66R   38.54  
Bolton          13    9  -10      -5.59    12.52    -5.31    47.17     8.79   -20.24     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   42.43R   14.72  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Barnsley 0 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       15   31  +14       7.06    89.42     8.99    78.73     8.87    21.88    22.57    39.63    78.23    48.66P    0.09R    0.00  
Walsall          15   29  +13       5.38    83.44     8.51    77.49     8.65    21.82    18.18    34.05    74.78    44.51P    0.13R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    15   29   +2       9.59    95.52     3.45    68.47     8.81    -2.05     3.05     7.33    33.63    11.96P    2.34R    0.12  
Coventry         14   25  +10       4.16    77.98     7.52    73.88     9.05    17.44    10.17    21.16    59.44    30.67P    0.49R    0.02  
Wigan            15   24   +7      -2.35    33.55    -1.71    78.57     8.91    24.83    22.43    39.82    78.12    53.16P    0.12R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        15   24   +5      -0.39    47.16    -0.73    73.22     8.77    14.93     8.55    18.47    56.94    29.47P    0.57R    0.01  
Bury             15   24   +3       4.81    80.30     5.28    64.37     9.07    -0.62     1.27     3.57    20.36     6.85P    6.83R    0.49  
Southend         15   22   -1       3.74    75.57     2.02    59.91     8.60    -6.99     0.29     0.95     8.76     2.48P   14.69R    1.45  
Peterborough     15   21   +6      -2.30    34.53     1.85    69.94     8.97    15.61     4.72    11.23    43.06    19.97P    1.70R    0.08  
Millwall         14   21   -1       0.84    56.55    -2.27    69.18     9.46     5.33     4.38    10.09    38.70    17.33P    2.84R    0.20  
Rochdale         15   20   +2      -1.30    41.26     1.03    64.35     8.75     4.48     1.08     3.15    20.32     7.25P    6.11R    0.46  
Scunthorpe       15   20   +1       0.23    52.55     2.43    60.93     8.78    -1.78     0.43     1.37    11.23     3.44P   12.28R    1.19  
Chesterfield     15   20   -2      -1.58    39.45    -3.45    64.83     8.83     1.20     1.24     3.48    21.50     7.82P    5.88R    0.37  
Bradford         14   20   -2       1.41    61.07    -1.19    63.34     8.74    -2.62     0.74     2.33    16.68     5.37P    7.63R    0.63  
Colchester       15   20   -7       2.62    68.85    -1.08    56.80     8.75   -17.16     0.13     0.43     4.73     1.14P   26.21R    3.93  
Shrewsbury       15   17   -2      -3.74    25.77    -2.35    56.49     8.81    -6.44     0.13     0.46     4.77     1.51P   25.39R    3.70  
Port_Vale        15   17   -2      -2.00    36.71     0.30    56.38     8.56    -6.87     0.08     0.36     4.27     1.19P   25.32R    3.51  
Oldham           15   16   -5      -1.82    38.10    -0.81    54.73     8.51   -10.66     0.05     0.18     2.79     0.64P   32.36R    5.45  
Blackpool        14   16   -6      -1.70    38.54    -3.88    56.09     8.92   -11.30     0.11     0.37     4.37     1.24P   28.04R    4.45  
Fleetwood_Town   15   15   -4      -3.43    26.90    -0.78    53.39     8.52   -10.06     0.03     0.13     2.01     0.50P   37.47R    6.97  
Barnsley         14   14   -5      -5.70    14.53    -5.67    56.92     8.94    -6.76     0.14     0.50     5.46     1.63P   24.42R    3.50  
Doncaster        14   14   -9      -3.41    26.20    -6.32    55.40     8.82   -12.50     0.07     0.31     3.52     1.06P   30.72R    5.27  
Swindon          15   13   -6      -9.79     3.90    -9.31    57.56     8.84    -3.24     0.17     0.61     6.27     2.13P   21.43R    2.88  
Crewe            15   10  -11      -4.69    18.72    -1.84    41.32     8.18   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   86.93R   55.29  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             15   32  +12       7.82    92.27     6.66    83.17     8.64    24.62    30.95    67.14    91.74    74.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   28  +10       4.92    80.92     6.21    74.67     8.76    16.15     7.59    29.45    66.21    38.51P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   27   +8       4.82    80.38     5.54    74.96     8.69    16.11     7.39    30.26    67.43    39.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          15   27   +5       5.20    81.97     3.23    71.78     8.89     8.16     4.05    18.89    52.54    26.41P    0.08R    0.02  
Mansfield            15   26  +11       6.18    86.69    11.86    67.08     8.64     9.15     1.42     8.35    32.83    13.23P    0.32R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient        15   26   +7      -1.73    37.39    -4.08    83.56     8.95    30.21    35.53    69.49    91.42    77.51P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   25   +6       4.99    81.06     6.98    67.03     8.93     4.83     1.48     8.63    32.17    13.36P    0.46R    0.11  
Morecambe            15   23   +4       2.07    64.38     3.70    67.81     9.03     7.13     1.89    10.30    36.46    16.44P    0.44R    0.13  
Carlisle             15   23   +0       3.12    71.00     1.52    62.56     8.98    -5.48     0.40     3.43    17.28     6.04P    1.80R    0.53  
Wycombe              14   22   +5      -0.31    47.69     0.40    71.41     8.95    13.24     4.07    18.76    52.13    28.20P    0.11R    0.03  
Exeter               15   22   +0       1.28    59.19    -0.01    63.59     8.90    -1.65     0.60     4.28    20.05     7.73P    1.31R    0.38  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   22   -1       2.85    70.09     1.29    61.86     8.76    -5.39     0.32     2.59    14.80     5.03P    2.02R    0.60  
Bristol_Rovers       14   20   +0       2.02    65.19     1.60    62.30     9.24    -1.84     0.48     3.49    17.41     6.73P    2.21R    0.73  
Cambridge_Utd        15   20   -2       1.25    59.62     1.04    58.10     8.66    -9.08     0.08     1.01     7.16     2.25P    4.62R    1.56  
Luton                15   19   +4      -3.12    29.38     1.71    66.36     8.90    11.24     1.26     7.70    31.48    14.15P    0.63R    0.19  
Notts_County         15   19   -3      -3.61    26.97    -6.02    67.58     9.17     6.10     1.73    10.18    35.52    17.69P    0.51R    0.11  
Crawley_Town         15   18   -6      -3.11    29.95    -6.77    63.83     9.25    -1.10     0.66     4.84    21.56     9.29P    1.64R    0.53  
Barnet               15   17   -5      -0.08    50.85     0.78    52.61     9.00   -16.40     0.02     0.29     2.74     0.75P   15.95R    7.05  
Hartlepool           15   17   -7       0.22    52.78    -1.36    49.16     8.19   -22.49     0.00     0.02     0.68     0.13P   25.37R   11.82  
Stevenage            15   14   -7      -6.88    10.93    -7.34    56.90     8.88    -6.55     0.08     0.78     6.32     2.21P    6.37R    2.39  
York                 15   12   -7      -7.17     9.45    -5.03    48.76     8.49   -15.32     0.00     0.05     0.76     0.21P   26.14R   12.47  
Newport_County       15   12  -11      -4.96    18.03    -5.60    47.28     8.46   -21.92     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.11P   33.54R   17.63  
Yeovil               15    9  -11     -10.20     2.96    -9.03    47.52     8.96   -16.98     0.00     0.03     0.66     0.19P   32.28R   17.53  
Dag_&_Red            15    9  -12      -8.70     5.21    -7.27    44.87     8.58   -22.76     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   44.14R   26.09  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     18   35  +12       4.32    75.80     2.76    82.77     8.05    26.39    16.37    74.09    29.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   34  +17       0.15    50.02     3.02    87.44     7.90    40.21    39.01    89.82    55.54P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   18   33   +9       5.38    80.56     4.70    74.15     8.11    13.00     2.70    32.81     7.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby          18   30  +20      -4.68    21.52     4.64    82.51     7.86    41.63    17.72    75.53    37.36P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         18   30  +11      -3.42    28.17    -2.43    82.29     8.08    31.93    15.89    73.24    34.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          18   30   +9       5.09    78.16     9.21    71.38     8.73    13.12     1.70    24.07     5.17P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   29   +8       4.87    79.22     6.93    70.52     8.34    10.28     1.14    19.93     4.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +5       3.22    70.65     3.26    69.36     7.80     8.17     0.54    14.30     3.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   28   +7       0.61    53.85     3.00    70.93     8.04    13.70     1.04    20.40     4.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh        17   28   +3       2.05    63.08    -0.83    73.11     8.45    11.13     2.34    29.42     7.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   28   +0       2.60    66.65    -0.84    68.56     8.07     3.15     0.47    12.65     2.54P    0.08R    0.00  
Aldershot        18   27   -2       3.28    70.78    -0.44    65.08     7.99    -2.64     0.14     5.88     1.03P    0.30R    0.02  
Macclesfield     18   26   +5      -1.09    43.27     1.53    67.97     7.95    10.41     0.35    11.69     2.68P    0.10R    0.01  
Chester          18   25   -5       4.47    77.58     1.92    58.51     7.78   -13.37     0.00     0.90     0.09P    2.43R    0.25  
Barrow           18   25  -11       6.81    87.13    -0.16    52.96     7.96   -27.64     0.01     0.24     0.03P   10.98R    1.53  
Woking           17   24   +6      -2.77    32.40     0.76    68.51     8.33    12.96     0.58    14.60     3.47P    0.12R    0.01  
Welling          18   22   -3       0.72    55.59     1.97    54.24     7.65   -12.31     0.00     0.23     0.05P    6.82R    0.85  
Guiseley         18   20  -10       1.06    58.13    -1.25    45.46     7.66   -30.76     0.00     0.02     0.00    38.44R    9.96  
Altrincham       18   19  -13       1.06    58.76    -2.27    47.80     7.57   -28.61     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.78R    5.78  
Boreham_Wood     18   16   -5      -3.88    26.98     2.19    47.90     8.03   -14.69     0.00     0.05     0.01P   25.52R    5.75  
Torquay          18   15  -14      -7.85     9.80   -10.67    52.43     8.11   -16.06     0.00     0.12     0.03P   11.53R    1.87  
Southport        17   14  -12      -3.03    30.23    -2.16    43.93     7.71   -27.40     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.05R   13.80  
Halifax          18   10  -24     -10.63     3.31   -16.66    39.35     7.75   -39.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.39R   33.85  
Kidderminster    18    8  -13     -13.59     0.71    -8.17    40.27     7.77   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.24R   26.31