Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 October 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 October 2015, Bournemouth 1 5 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   22  +16       0.53    53.23     2.45    83.19     7.39    55.24    64.50    87.11    95.55    98.22    99.63     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +10       3.00    74.86     1.90    76.86     7.79    36.47    23.24    59.71    81.04    90.65    97.46     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         10   20   +9       5.63    90.49     8.23    60.09     8.19    11.31     0.50     3.12     9.51    20.64    45.67     0.08R    0.00  
Man_Utd          10   20   +7       2.63    72.79     1.41    72.32     7.96    28.34     9.21    32.77    60.68    76.51    91.83     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   19   +3       5.44    88.91     3.47    53.16     8.08    -5.11     0.05     0.50     1.93     5.02    16.49     0.84R    0.05  
Tottenham        10   17   +8       1.27    61.23     5.04    62.28     8.18    18.50     0.86     5.49    15.16    29.78    57.71     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   +1       3.34    78.89     4.20    49.63     7.86    -4.54     0.01     0.13     0.56     1.88     7.82     2.29R    0.18  
Southampton      10   14   +3      -1.76    34.74    -0.09    57.51     8.10    10.48     0.22     1.68     5.58    13.04    33.81     0.24R    0.00  
Liverpool        10   14   -2      -1.13    39.87    -4.23    57.49     8.22     5.30     0.23     1.48     5.17    12.54    33.03     0.23R    0.02  
West_Brom        10   14   -3       2.18    70.56    -0.16    46.04     7.74   -12.75     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.65     3.33     5.75R    0.53  
Everton          10   13   +0       0.15    52.14     1.39    57.72     8.14     9.38     0.15     1.49     5.33    12.84    34.66     0.26R    0.02  
Swansea          10   13   +0      -0.37    47.57     0.51    49.91     8.03    -2.72     0.01     0.16     0.74     2.23     8.96     2.25R    0.17  
Watford          10   13   -2       2.02    69.17     2.56    44.24     8.11   -13.58     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.56     2.66    10.24R    1.50  
Stoke            10   12   -3      -1.53    36.90    -2.74    46.04     7.80    -9.44     0.00     0.03     0.22     0.73     3.47     5.66R    0.61  
Chelsea          10   11   -4      -6.65     6.45    -9.98    63.34     8.02    18.23     1.03     6.26    18.14    34.66    62.96     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich          10    9   -7      -2.60    28.74    -3.40    35.71     7.84   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.20    42.00R   11.71  
Bournemouth      10    8  -10      -2.17    32.01    -3.06    33.57     7.85   -33.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13    53.96R   18.21  
Sunderland       10    6   -8      -4.88    11.89    -3.68    31.62     7.25   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    62.98R   22.41  
Newcastle        10    6  -10      -3.16    21.96    -1.66    35.49     7.74   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    41.91R   11.87  
Aston_Villa      10    4   -8      -5.95     6.19    -2.15    29.74     7.30   -28.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.22R   32.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Blackburn 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        13   29   +8       9.49    97.19     5.38    75.92     8.71    11.22     8.07    18.51    62.76    27.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull            13   25  +11       1.96    64.47     3.47    82.47     9.09    28.70    28.02    47.40    85.97    60.06P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         13   25   +6       3.60    75.41     0.83    77.66     9.18    17.13    12.66    26.08    69.77    38.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   13   24  +11       1.46    60.89     4.09    80.70     8.75    27.55    20.55    39.06    82.17    52.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           13   24   +8       1.85    63.77     1.55    80.65     9.03    25.43    20.54    38.61    80.98    51.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      13   24   +6       6.45    89.74     6.26    68.94     8.95     5.82     1.83     5.37    32.67    10.40P    0.47R    0.04  
Reading         13   22   +8       3.72    76.70     7.23    68.52     9.02    10.17     1.88     5.30    32.15    10.89P    0.45R    0.04  
Cardiff         12   20   +4       3.15    74.07     3.20    68.03     9.24     6.40     1.70     4.98    30.05    10.26P    0.69R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       13   20   +2       3.14    73.63     3.11    63.74     8.84     0.47     0.55     1.69    15.38     4.25P    1.77R    0.21  
QPR             13   19   +0      -1.20    40.93    -3.59    66.82     9.63     3.77     1.64     4.66    26.86    10.02P    1.34R    0.17  
Fulham          13   17   +3      -0.51    46.68     3.70    60.89     9.33     0.25     0.33     1.07    10.91     3.00P    4.72R    0.71  
Brentford       13   17   -1      -1.44    39.22    -1.86    64.34     9.25     2.15     0.77     2.29    18.08     5.78P    2.10R    0.26  
Ipswich         13   17   -5      -0.75    44.89    -5.01    63.25     9.14    -3.45     0.53     1.62    14.48     4.46P    2.75R    0.34  
Wolverhampton   13   15   -2      -3.62    24.31    -3.23    64.19     9.23     3.97     0.67     2.25    17.95     6.13P    2.02R    0.28  
Huddersfield    13   14   -3      -1.22    41.18     0.90    52.98     8.79   -12.12     0.01     0.06     1.68     0.31P   19.23R    4.25  
Nott'm_Forest   13   14   -3      -3.23    26.61    -2.27    57.49     8.97    -5.51     0.10     0.34     4.88     1.26P    8.66R    1.39  
Leeds_United    13   13   -5      -1.94    35.83    -0.94    53.03     8.77   -11.98     0.02     0.08     1.57     0.36P   19.04R    4.37  
Blackburn       13   12   -2      -5.79    12.44    -2.10    58.20     8.88    -0.23     0.06     0.36     5.81     1.67P    7.05R    1.10  
Preston         13   12   -3      -3.79    23.05    -0.59    53.57     9.05    -7.47     0.03     0.11     2.23     0.56P   17.39R    3.76  
MK_Dons         13   11   -7      -4.78    17.55    -3.80    50.80     9.24   -15.13     0.01     0.05     1.22     0.27P   27.60R    7.66  
Bristol_City    12   10   -7      -4.46    18.68    -3.83    51.57     9.76   -15.53     0.03     0.11     1.90     0.46P   26.71R    8.17  
Charlton        13   10  -10      -4.48    17.89    -5.22    46.64     8.55   -21.83     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   45.00R   15.20  
Rotherham       13    9   -9      -4.27    19.25    -1.99    41.22     8.35   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   69.93R   36.96  
Bolton          13    9  -10      -5.57    12.40    -5.29    47.01     8.76   -20.41     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   43.02R   15.03  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Barnsley 0 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       15   31  +14       7.06    89.73     9.05    78.76     8.90    21.90    22.32    39.48    77.99    48.54P    0.07R    0.00  
Walsall          15   29  +13       5.23    82.97     8.32    77.79     8.66    22.24    18.78    35.06    75.79    45.67P    0.09R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    15   29   +2       9.54    95.52     3.38    68.52     8.79    -1.96     3.03     7.37    33.31    12.11P    2.29R    0.10  
Coventry         14   25  +10       4.07    77.50     7.46    73.95     8.98    17.49     9.97    20.73    60.09    30.30P    0.52R    0.02  
Wigan            15   24   +7      -2.37    33.44    -1.80    78.67     8.91    25.03    22.63    39.97    78.42    53.58P    0.12R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        15   24   +5      -0.38    47.05    -0.71    73.24     8.81    15.03     8.57    18.57    56.95    29.38P    0.62R    0.03  
Bury             15   24   +3       4.79    80.08     5.27    64.39     9.09    -0.62     1.32     3.58    20.37     6.91P    6.76R    0.51  
Southend         15   22   -1       3.94    76.64     2.31    59.67     8.58    -7.38     0.26     0.94     8.23     2.31P   15.16R    1.43  
Peterborough     15   21   +6      -2.29    34.65     1.85    70.08     8.92    15.76     4.64    11.23    43.70    20.07P    1.65R    0.10  
Millwall         14   21   -1       1.01    57.45    -2.02    68.74     9.48     4.71     4.05     9.29    36.88    16.03P    3.18R    0.25  
Rochdale         15   20   +2      -1.21    41.88     1.16    64.15     8.78     4.16     1.13     3.08    19.44     6.91P    6.31R    0.50  
Scunthorpe       15   20   +1       0.15    51.88     2.31    60.98     8.86    -1.65     0.42     1.44    11.68     3.55P   12.30R    1.13  
Chesterfield     15   20   -2      -1.68    38.58    -3.59    65.08     8.85     1.60     1.22     3.64    22.22     8.17P    5.44R    0.35  
Bradford         14   20   -2       1.43    61.03    -1.20    63.25     8.70    -2.74     0.73     2.19    16.33     5.17P    7.68R    0.62  
Colchester       15   20   -7       2.60    68.91    -1.11    56.90     8.79   -17.04     0.12     0.43     5.02     1.17P   25.44R    4.08  
Shrewsbury       15   17   -2      -3.67    26.17    -2.27    56.43     8.91    -6.60     0.15     0.50     4.98     1.63P   25.65R    3.95  
Port_Vale        15   17   -2      -2.03    36.30     0.26    56.36     8.52    -6.80     0.09     0.34     4.11     1.16P   25.09R    3.37  
Oldham           15   16   -5      -1.76    38.31    -0.77    54.63     8.55   -10.76     0.04     0.20     2.69     0.72P   32.66R    5.60  
Blackpool        14   16   -6      -1.71    38.30    -3.89    55.99     9.00   -11.34     0.13     0.42     4.38     1.29P   28.55R    4.59  
Fleetwood_Town   15   15   -4      -3.34    27.53    -0.65    53.30     8.55   -10.23     0.04     0.15     2.07     0.51P   37.71R    7.34  
Barnsley         14   14   -5      -5.71    14.42    -5.71    57.00     9.00    -6.63     0.15     0.54     5.76     1.76P   24.02R    3.53  
Doncaster        14   14   -9      -3.45    25.85    -6.38    55.36     8.84   -12.50     0.06     0.28     3.57     0.98P   30.48R    5.16  
Swindon          15   13   -6      -9.86     3.88    -9.35    57.49     8.89    -3.37     0.15     0.57     6.00     2.08P   21.66R    3.01  
Crewe            15   10  -11      -4.70    18.36    -1.88    41.48     8.13   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   86.55R   54.32  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             15   32  +12       7.71    91.96     6.53    83.28     8.67    24.76    31.03    67.10    91.76    73.87P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           15   28  +10       4.89    80.64     6.17    74.75     8.81    16.28     7.45    29.52    66.18    38.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   27   +8       4.91    81.03     5.66    74.87     8.80    15.92     7.13    29.90    66.80    39.35P    0.04R    0.01  
Northampton          15   27   +5       5.19    81.82     3.18    71.79     8.86     8.23     3.80    18.79    52.46    26.21P    0.08R    0.01  
Mansfield            15   26  +11       6.18    86.91    11.88    67.12     8.64     9.19     1.31     8.41    32.96    13.41P    0.31R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient        15   26   +7      -1.89    36.41    -4.34    83.91     8.93    30.69    36.76    70.78    91.87    78.46P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   25   +6       5.09    81.62     7.15    66.91     8.79     4.62     1.27     7.77    31.68    12.48P    0.48R    0.14  
Morecambe            15   23   +4       1.99    63.89     3.59    67.95     9.06     7.40     1.98    10.46    37.03    16.55P    0.46R    0.13  
Carlisle             15   23   +0       3.13    71.08     1.53    62.46     8.99    -5.56     0.40     3.35    17.27     6.09P    1.86R    0.57  
Wycombe              14   22   +5      -0.22    48.17     0.53    71.28     8.94    13.03     3.62    18.41    51.73    28.02P    0.12R    0.01  
Exeter               15   22   +0       1.29    59.56    -0.02    63.55     8.84    -1.73     0.54     4.06    19.80     7.46P    1.24R    0.34  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   22   -1       2.90    70.11     1.35    61.86     8.73    -5.43     0.27     2.59    14.60     4.99P    2.00R    0.68  
Bristol_Rovers       14   20   +0       2.13    66.09     1.73    62.22     9.22    -1.99     0.39     3.26    17.08     6.26P    2.21R    0.72  
Cambridge_Utd        15   20   -2       1.29    59.91     1.07    58.06     8.72    -9.12     0.11     1.09     7.31     2.29P    4.81R    1.64  
Luton                15   19   +4      -3.17    28.94     1.67    66.39     8.95    11.31     1.25     7.91    31.28    14.41P    0.54R    0.15  
Notts_County         15   19   -3      -3.83    25.30    -6.31    67.95     9.19     6.67     1.90    10.49    36.75    18.46P    0.49R    0.13  
Crawley_Town         15   18   -6      -3.08    29.83    -6.73    63.89     9.28    -1.03     0.69     4.91    21.85     9.39P    1.61R    0.50  
Barnet               15   17   -5      -0.11    50.29     0.69    52.59     8.99   -16.38     0.01     0.26     2.67     0.72P   15.82R    6.90  
Hartlepool           15   17   -7       0.17    52.67    -1.42    49.15     8.14   -22.48     0.00     0.05     0.67     0.14P   24.63R   11.33  
Stevenage            15   14   -7      -6.78    11.32    -7.21    56.77     8.89    -6.72     0.07     0.79     6.25     2.21P    6.42R    2.36  
York                 15   12   -7      -7.16     9.34    -5.01    48.75     8.46   -15.35     0.00     0.04     0.71     0.18P   25.72R   12.33  
Newport_County       15   12  -11      -4.90    18.41    -5.51    47.09     8.42   -22.23     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.09P   33.83R   17.82  
Yeovil               15    9  -11     -10.36     2.81    -9.20    47.74     9.00   -16.60     0.00     0.04     0.70     0.22P   31.36R   16.73  
Dag_&_Red            15    9  -12      -8.57     5.29    -7.00    44.46     8.60   -23.48     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   45.94R   27.45  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     18   35  +12       4.24    75.36     2.66    82.79     8.01    26.43    16.40    74.59    29.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   34  +17       0.11    49.81     2.92    87.51     7.90    40.30    39.52    89.81    55.90P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   18   33   +9       5.40    80.78     4.72    74.12     8.10    12.99     2.71    32.68     7.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          18   30  +20      -4.56    22.12     4.84    82.37     7.78    41.39    16.97    75.38    37.05P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         18   30  +11      -3.47    27.97    -2.54    82.22     8.14    31.93    15.90    72.82    34.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          18   30   +9       5.05    78.29     9.15    71.48     8.73    13.35     1.82    24.43     5.36P    0.06R    0.01  
Lincoln_City     17   29   +8       4.90    79.17     6.98    70.45     8.36    10.14     1.12    19.87     4.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +5       3.36    71.29     3.46    69.11     7.85     7.82     0.51    13.72     2.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   28   +7       0.52    53.61     2.86    71.14     8.04    13.96     1.18    21.42     5.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh        17   28   +3       2.16    63.77    -0.62    72.85     8.44    10.70     2.19    28.10     6.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   28   +0       2.59    66.31    -0.87    68.69     8.05     3.30     0.47    13.21     2.63P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot        18   27   -2       3.32    70.92    -0.36    65.01     8.01    -2.84     0.14     5.76     1.02P    0.32R    0.02  
Macclesfield     18   26   +5      -1.06    43.08     1.55    67.96     7.96    10.38     0.37    11.86     2.74P    0.10R    0.01  
Chester          18   25   -5       4.53    77.91     2.02    58.38     7.87   -13.49     0.01     0.99     0.14P    2.65R    0.25  
Barrow           18   25  -11       6.85    87.28    -0.12    52.89     7.91   -27.72     0.00     0.24     0.04P   11.14R    1.62  
Woking           17   24   +6      -2.75    32.46     0.77    68.54     8.30    13.10     0.67    14.65     3.39P    0.13R    0.01  
Welling          18   22   -3       0.58    54.98     1.80    54.45     7.61   -12.07     0.00     0.24     0.04P    6.51R    0.82  
Guiseley         18   20  -10       1.01    58.08    -1.33    45.51     7.66   -30.75     0.00     0.01     0.00P   38.28R    9.94  
Altrincham       18   19  -13       0.91    57.64    -2.45    48.03     7.57   -28.26     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.74R    5.22  
Boreham_Wood     18   16   -5      -3.84    27.27     2.28    47.73     8.09   -14.93     0.00     0.06     0.01P   26.68R    6.17  
Torquay          18   15  -14      -7.87     9.79   -10.76    52.55     8.03   -15.95     0.00     0.16     0.04P   11.23R    1.92  
Southport        17   14  -12      -3.03    30.29    -2.20    43.89     7.71   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00P   45.44R   14.05  
Halifax          18   10  -24     -10.62     3.22   -16.63    39.43     7.74   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.29R   33.53  
Kidderminster    18    8  -13     -13.55     0.72    -8.11    40.31     7.76   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.19R   26.44