Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 24 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Arsenal 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 10 22 +10 3.10 75.58 2.07 76.64 7.81 36.01 19.99 58.86 80.99 90.37 97.38 0.00 0.00 Man_City 9 21 +16 1.01 58.21 2.50 84.30 7.55 57.09 68.12 88.98 96.37 98.58 99.72 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 10 20 +9 5.65 90.69 8.29 60.16 8.18 11.37 0.44 3.14 10.12 21.37 47.15 0.06R 0.00 Man_Utd 9 19 +7 2.73 74.12 0.93 72.38 8.23 27.96 9.52 33.71 61.40 77.16 91.69 0.00 0.00 Leicester 10 19 +3 5.41 88.74 3.45 52.98 8.07 -5.52 0.05 0.40 1.86 5.02 16.32 1.03R 0.04 Crystal_Palace 10 15 +1 3.27 78.41 4.15 49.57 7.86 -4.72 0.00 0.11 0.64 2.01 8.33 2.55R 0.17 Tottenham 9 14 +4 0.72 57.18 2.79 59.48 8.37 12.47 0.37 2.90 9.23 20.11 44.38 0.17R 0.00 West_Brom 10 14 -3 2.14 70.14 -0.19 45.95 7.69 -12.96 0.00 0.04 0.19 0.65 3.36 6.33R 0.53 Southampton 9 13 +3 -1.49 36.10 -0.23 58.04 8.36 10.63 0.28 2.05 6.93 15.53 37.85 0.26R 0.02 Everton 10 13 +0 0.17 52.32 1.42 57.52 8.16 8.98 0.15 1.33 5.29 13.30 34.53 0.32R 0.02 Swansea 10 13 +0 -0.42 46.69 0.48 49.84 7.97 -2.94 0.02 0.15 0.68 2.12 9.01 2.51R 0.18 Liverpool 9 13 -2 -0.75 42.91 -4.21 58.12 8.43 5.59 0.25 1.85 6.53 15.22 37.28 0.33R 0.02 Watford 10 13 -2 2.17 70.38 2.79 44.28 8.10 -13.53 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.58 2.72 10.78R 1.38 Stoke 10 12 -3 -1.45 37.62 -2.67 46.04 7.73 -9.56 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.72 3.47 5.95R 0.54 Chelsea 10 11 -4 -6.66 6.42 -10.00 63.60 8.01 18.52 0.80 6.44 19.43 37.09 65.59 0.05R 0.00 Norwich 10 9 -7 -2.46 30.00 -3.15 35.56 7.84 -28.95 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.24 44.96R 11.00 Bournemouth 9 8 -6 -1.91 33.28 -1.09 36.00 8.27 -27.13 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.41 42.47R 10.79 Newcastle 9 6 -7 -2.17 29.61 0.74 38.13 8.16 -20.24 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.55 31.47R 7.07 Aston_Villa 10 4 -8 -5.93 6.21 -2.14 29.78 7.30 -28.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 72.49R 30.02 Sunderland 9 3 -11 -6.07 4.78 -5.96 28.55 7.38 -34.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 78.27R 38.24Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Blackburn 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 13 29 +8 9.48 97.19 5.38 75.92 8.69 11.19 7.71 18.23 62.49 27.25P 0.02R 0.00 Hull 13 25 +11 2.03 64.97 3.60 82.33 9.14 28.48 27.45 46.29 85.62 59.13P 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 13 25 +6 3.65 75.87 0.88 77.68 9.18 17.10 12.67 26.22 69.94 38.01P 0.05R 0.01 Middlesbrough 13 24 +11 1.49 61.06 4.11 80.79 8.82 27.70 20.60 39.40 82.32 53.22P 0.01R 0.00 Derby 13 24 +8 1.84 63.63 1.52 80.65 9.15 25.48 21.12 38.84 80.42 51.29P 0.01R 0.00 Birmingham 13 24 +6 6.40 89.48 6.19 69.05 8.89 5.99 1.94 5.59 32.86 10.70P 0.36R 0.03 Reading 13 22 +8 3.74 76.94 7.27 68.47 8.95 10.12 1.81 5.15 31.72 10.62P 0.46R 0.03 Cardiff 12 20 +4 3.15 74.14 3.20 68.01 9.25 6.44 1.76 5.06 29.99 10.37P 0.74R 0.06 Sheff_Wed 13 20 +2 3.14 73.78 3.12 63.77 8.81 0.49 0.43 1.66 15.11 4.27P 1.74R 0.14 QPR 13 19 +0 -1.27 40.75 -3.72 66.96 9.76 3.96 1.92 5.16 27.54 10.63P 1.36R 0.16 Fulham 13 17 +3 -0.54 46.74 3.64 60.85 9.31 0.23 0.32 1.08 10.84 2.99P 4.89R 0.69 Brentford 13 17 -1 -1.49 39.06 -1.93 64.50 9.29 2.39 0.79 2.41 18.72 5.97P 2.04R 0.23 Ipswich 13 17 -5 -0.74 44.82 -4.98 63.12 9.17 -3.66 0.47 1.62 14.28 4.29P 2.88R 0.39 Wolverhampton 13 15 -2 -3.74 23.52 -3.38 64.47 9.10 4.38 0.72 2.13 18.54 6.31P 1.76R 0.21 Huddersfield 13 14 -3 -1.17 41.93 0.96 52.76 8.75 -12.41 0.01 0.05 1.60 0.31P 19.58R 4.40 Nott'm_Forest 13 14 -3 -3.29 26.33 -2.36 57.52 8.94 -5.43 0.08 0.34 4.96 1.30P 8.39R 1.38 Leeds_United 13 13 -5 -1.95 35.76 -0.94 52.93 8.79 -12.11 0.01 0.07 1.52 0.34P 19.43R 4.50 Blackburn 13 12 -2 -5.72 12.67 -1.96 57.98 8.87 -0.54 0.09 0.35 5.57 1.44P 7.20R 1.23 Preston 13 12 -3 -3.78 22.89 -0.56 53.55 9.03 -7.52 0.02 0.12 2.18 0.62P 17.46R 3.72 MK_Dons 13 11 -7 -4.76 17.82 -3.76 50.74 9.26 -15.24 0.03 0.07 1.21 0.30P 27.86R 7.61 Bristol_City 12 10 -7 -4.52 18.23 -3.96 51.74 9.76 -15.27 0.05 0.15 2.05 0.56P 26.04R 7.77 Charlton 13 10 -10 -4.46 18.10 -5.19 46.64 8.51 -21.86 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 44.80R 15.04 Rotherham 13 9 -9 -4.26 19.26 -1.91 41.12 8.33 -29.57 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 70.30R 37.75 Bolton 13 9 -10 -5.54 12.60 -5.23 47.08 8.75 -20.32 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.07P 42.63R 14.67League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Barnsley 0 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 15 31 +14 7.16 89.62 9.15 78.60 8.90 21.66 22.36 39.24 77.47 47.98P 0.08R 0.00 Walsall 15 29 +13 5.25 82.83 8.33 77.57 8.64 21.95 18.14 33.98 75.42 44.93P 0.10R 0.00 Burton_Albion 15 29 +2 9.60 95.62 3.46 68.42 8.76 -2.10 2.99 7.38 33.05 12.03P 2.38R 0.09 Coventry 14 25 +10 4.06 77.50 7.43 74.01 9.03 17.58 10.67 21.58 60.27 31.23P 0.50R 0.01 Wigan 15 24 +7 -2.34 33.48 -1.74 78.58 8.96 24.86 22.51 39.65 78.14 53.02P 0.13R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 15 24 +5 -0.57 45.75 -0.98 73.56 8.72 15.47 8.93 19.40 58.36 30.73P 0.46R 0.02 Bury 15 24 +3 4.66 79.43 5.01 64.77 9.10 -0.01 1.47 3.99 21.63 7.50P 6.30R 0.46 Southend 15 22 -1 3.81 76.10 2.14 59.78 8.61 -7.22 0.29 0.93 8.51 2.35P 15.08R 1.52 Peterborough 15 21 +6 -2.08 36.05 2.18 69.66 8.91 15.10 4.14 10.41 41.62 18.73P 1.72R 0.12 Millwall 14 21 -1 0.93 56.86 -2.13 68.99 9.44 5.04 4.07 9.76 37.58 16.71P 2.98R 0.22 Rochdale 15 20 +2 -1.31 41.39 1.01 64.36 8.83 4.53 1.10 3.24 20.33 7.31P 6.14R 0.52 Scunthorpe 15 20 +1 0.30 52.91 2.52 60.82 8.80 -1.98 0.40 1.34 11.21 3.27P 12.71R 1.24 Chesterfield 15 20 -2 -1.51 39.62 -3.38 64.72 8.90 1.07 1.24 3.48 21.36 7.83P 6.09R 0.51 Bradford 14 20 -2 1.32 60.15 -1.33 63.47 8.71 -2.36 0.71 2.28 16.84 5.31P 7.39R 0.60 Colchester 15 20 -7 2.67 69.15 -1.02 56.82 8.78 -17.11 0.15 0.48 4.88 1.22P 26.14R 4.02 Shrewsbury 15 17 -2 -3.71 25.89 -2.25 56.41 8.86 -6.51 0.12 0.49 4.70 1.51P 25.70R 3.82 Port_Vale 15 17 -2 -2.11 35.87 0.15 56.52 8.54 -6.66 0.10 0.31 4.36 1.13P 24.66R 3.29 Oldham 15 16 -5 -1.76 38.23 -0.75 54.77 8.44 -10.65 0.04 0.18 2.68 0.62P 31.62R 5.11 Blackpool 14 16 -6 -1.71 38.46 -3.87 56.07 8.99 -11.27 0.13 0.41 4.51 1.30P 28.34R 4.61 Fleetwood_Town 15 15 -4 -3.35 27.25 -0.62 53.32 8.56 -10.20 0.03 0.11 2.05 0.51P 37.86R 7.40 Barnsley 14 14 -5 -5.70 14.62 -5.70 56.92 8.98 -6.74 0.14 0.49 5.48 1.68P 24.35R 3.68 Doncaster 14 14 -9 -3.38 26.25 -6.28 55.17 8.81 -12.78 0.07 0.24 3.38 0.91P 31.38R 5.53 Swindon 15 13 -6 -9.85 4.03 -9.37 57.56 8.84 -3.27 0.19 0.62 6.13 2.18P 21.44R 2.74 Crewe 15 10 -11 -4.76 18.32 -1.97 41.42 8.19 -28.40 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 86.47R 54.48League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 15 32 +12 7.82 92.15 6.67 83.16 8.66 24.54 30.45 67.06 91.73 73.85P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 15 28 +10 4.80 80.03 6.06 74.80 8.75 16.37 7.45 29.63 66.51 38.85P 0.04R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 15 27 +8 4.87 80.87 5.63 74.98 8.72 16.09 7.38 30.05 67.46 39.65P 0.03R 0.01 Northampton 15 27 +5 5.09 81.23 3.05 71.95 8.93 8.49 4.24 19.47 53.22 27.24P 0.07R 0.01 Mansfield 15 26 +11 6.12 86.54 11.79 67.25 8.66 9.34 1.39 8.50 33.62 13.45P 0.31R 0.07 Leyton_Orient 15 26 +7 -1.82 36.60 -4.27 83.90 8.91 30.74 36.65 70.52 92.12 78.39P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 15 25 +6 5.08 81.51 7.12 66.98 8.92 4.74 1.43 8.42 32.01 13.06P 0.48R 0.10 Morecambe 15 23 +4 2.03 64.06 3.62 67.90 9.03 7.28 1.81 10.20 36.63 16.14P 0.45R 0.11 Carlisle 15 23 +0 3.18 71.47 1.65 62.41 8.92 -5.70 0.40 3.24 16.61 5.92P 1.83R 0.56 Wycombe 14 22 +5 -0.30 47.80 0.46 71.16 8.88 12.90 3.61 17.73 51.10 27.30P 0.09R 0.02 Exeter 15 22 +0 1.39 60.10 0.16 63.38 8.87 -1.99 0.57 4.01 19.23 7.36P 1.20R 0.37 AFC_Wimbledon 15 22 -1 2.87 70.04 1.30 61.82 8.77 -5.48 0.31 2.58 14.40 4.97P 2.01R 0.61 Bristol_Rovers 14 20 +0 2.08 65.71 1.65 62.34 9.23 -1.82 0.40 3.50 17.23 6.53P 2.17R 0.68 Cambridge_Utd 15 20 -2 1.30 59.69 1.08 58.06 8.68 -9.09 0.10 0.97 7.35 2.23P 4.69R 1.66 Luton 15 19 +4 -3.12 29.38 1.73 66.32 8.89 11.22 1.14 7.51 30.85 13.83P 0.57R 0.16 Notts_County 15 19 -3 -3.80 25.61 -6.30 68.01 9.13 6.72 1.95 10.77 36.99 18.48P 0.44R 0.13 Crawley_Town 15 18 -6 -3.08 29.91 -6.73 63.83 9.29 -1.10 0.62 4.63 21.70 9.26P 1.69R 0.57 Barnet 15 17 -5 -0.05 51.11 0.78 52.54 8.99 -16.47 0.03 0.25 2.54 0.69P 15.99R 7.07 Hartlepool 15 17 -7 0.25 52.94 -1.30 48.96 8.16 -22.83 0.00 0.03 0.67 0.11P 26.01R 12.10 Stevenage 15 14 -7 -6.75 11.44 -7.19 56.65 8.88 -6.96 0.05 0.76 5.95 2.10P 6.67R 2.45 York 15 12 -7 -7.17 9.55 -5.05 48.86 8.50 -15.18 0.00 0.05 0.75 0.21P 25.28R 12.03 Newport_County 15 12 -11 -4.93 18.44 -5.51 47.14 8.48 -22.12 0.00 0.02 0.42 0.08P 33.93R 18.05 Yeovil 15 9 -11 -10.32 2.79 -9.22 47.72 8.86 -16.63 0.00 0.07 0.67 0.25P 30.99R 16.54 Dag_&_Red 15 9 -12 -8.69 5.22 -7.19 44.69 8.66 -23.08 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.06P 45.05R 26.67National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 18 35 +12 4.29 75.39 2.71 82.79 8.09 26.42 16.63 73.88 29.73P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 18 34 +17 0.08 49.76 2.86 87.54 7.87 40.40 39.13 89.90 55.66P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 18 33 +9 5.39 80.84 4.70 74.13 8.11 12.97 2.68 32.55 7.85P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 18 30 +20 -4.66 21.56 4.65 82.54 7.74 41.70 17.20 75.59 37.11P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 18 30 +11 -3.62 27.19 -2.75 82.53 8.01 32.30 16.36 74.30 35.90P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 18 30 +9 5.05 78.02 9.15 71.43 8.75 13.19 1.78 24.17 5.37P 0.07R 0.00 Lincoln_City 17 29 +8 4.82 78.77 6.87 70.51 8.35 10.28 1.10 19.50 3.97P 0.06R 0.00 Braintree_Town 18 29 +5 3.32 70.92 3.40 69.26 7.80 8.06 0.51 13.98 2.88P 0.05R 0.00 Wrexham 18 28 +7 0.59 53.88 2.94 71.05 7.96 13.88 0.97 20.91 4.81P 0.03R 0.00 Eastleigh 17 28 +3 2.24 64.25 -0.51 72.76 8.42 10.55 1.93 27.64 6.55P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 18 28 +0 2.61 66.65 -0.81 68.59 8.12 3.13 0.52 12.86 2.55P 0.09R 0.00 Aldershot 18 27 -2 3.34 71.43 -0.36 64.92 8.01 -2.87 0.15 5.65 0.97P 0.34R 0.02 Macclesfield 18 26 +5 -1.08 43.36 1.51 68.01 7.99 10.47 0.38 11.98 2.68P 0.07R 0.01 Chester 18 25 -5 4.52 77.78 2.08 58.38 7.86 -13.55 0.01 0.90 0.11P 2.54R 0.20 Barrow 18 25 -11 6.91 87.68 0.01 52.77 7.88 -27.89 0.01 0.18 0.02P 10.98R 1.54 Woking 17 24 +6 -2.93 31.20 0.51 68.83 8.36 13.46 0.64 15.57 3.77P 0.12R 0.01 Welling 18 22 -3 0.69 55.62 1.92 54.33 7.61 -12.20 0.00 0.24 0.03P 6.47R 0.78 Guiseley 18 20 -10 1.05 58.31 -1.23 45.34 7.64 -31.04 0.00 0.02 0.00P 38.75R 9.95 Altrincham 18 19 -13 0.96 58.12 -2.42 48.03 7.62 -28.31 0.00 0.02 0.01P 25.90R 5.42 Boreham_Wood 18 16 -5 -3.80 27.28 2.27 47.80 8.02 -14.80 0.00 0.02 0.00P 25.83R 6.00 Torquay 18 15 -14 -7.86 9.76 -10.66 52.48 8.08 -16.08 0.00 0.15 0.03P 11.33R 1.86 Southport 17 14 -12 -3.01 30.20 -2.16 43.91 7.69 -27.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.16R 13.73 Halifax 18 10 -24 -10.63 3.22 -16.62 39.35 7.66 -39.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.54R 33.81 Kidderminster 18 8 -13 -13.52 0.76 -8.07 40.21 7.76 -22.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.62R 26.68