Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Arsenal 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          10   22  +10       3.10    75.58     2.07    76.64     7.81    36.01    19.99    58.86    80.99    90.37    97.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          9   21  +16       1.01    58.21     2.50    84.30     7.55    57.09    68.12    88.98    96.37    98.58    99.72     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         10   20   +9       5.65    90.69     8.29    60.16     8.18    11.37     0.44     3.14    10.12    21.37    47.15     0.06R    0.00  
Man_Utd           9   19   +7       2.73    74.12     0.93    72.38     8.23    27.96     9.52    33.71    61.40    77.16    91.69     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   19   +3       5.41    88.74     3.45    52.98     8.07    -5.52     0.05     0.40     1.86     5.02    16.32     1.03R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   +1       3.27    78.41     4.15    49.57     7.86    -4.72     0.00     0.11     0.64     2.01     8.33     2.55R    0.17  
Tottenham         9   14   +4       0.72    57.18     2.79    59.48     8.37    12.47     0.37     2.90     9.23    20.11    44.38     0.17R    0.00  
West_Brom        10   14   -3       2.14    70.14    -0.19    45.95     7.69   -12.96     0.00     0.04     0.19     0.65     3.36     6.33R    0.53  
Southampton       9   13   +3      -1.49    36.10    -0.23    58.04     8.36    10.63     0.28     2.05     6.93    15.53    37.85     0.26R    0.02  
Everton          10   13   +0       0.17    52.32     1.42    57.52     8.16     8.98     0.15     1.33     5.29    13.30    34.53     0.32R    0.02  
Swansea          10   13   +0      -0.42    46.69     0.48    49.84     7.97    -2.94     0.02     0.15     0.68     2.12     9.01     2.51R    0.18  
Liverpool         9   13   -2      -0.75    42.91    -4.21    58.12     8.43     5.59     0.25     1.85     6.53    15.22    37.28     0.33R    0.02  
Watford          10   13   -2       2.17    70.38     2.79    44.28     8.10   -13.53     0.00     0.03     0.14     0.58     2.72    10.78R    1.38  
Stoke            10   12   -3      -1.45    37.62    -2.67    46.04     7.73    -9.56     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.72     3.47     5.95R    0.54  
Chelsea          10   11   -4      -6.66     6.42   -10.00    63.60     8.01    18.52     0.80     6.44    19.43    37.09    65.59     0.05R    0.00  
Norwich          10    9   -7      -2.46    30.00    -3.15    35.56     7.84   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.24    44.96R   11.00  
Bournemouth       9    8   -6      -1.91    33.28    -1.09    36.00     8.27   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.41    42.47R   10.79  
Newcastle         9    6   -7      -2.17    29.61     0.74    38.13     8.16   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.55    31.47R    7.07  
Aston_Villa      10    4   -8      -5.93     6.21    -2.14    29.78     7.30   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.49R   30.02  
Sunderland        9    3  -11      -6.07     4.78    -5.96    28.55     7.38   -34.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    78.27R   38.24  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Blackburn 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        13   29   +8       9.48    97.19     5.38    75.92     8.69    11.19     7.71    18.23    62.49    27.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull            13   25  +11       2.03    64.97     3.60    82.33     9.14    28.48    27.45    46.29    85.62    59.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley         13   25   +6       3.65    75.87     0.88    77.68     9.18    17.10    12.67    26.22    69.94    38.01P    0.05R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   13   24  +11       1.49    61.06     4.11    80.79     8.82    27.70    20.60    39.40    82.32    53.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           13   24   +8       1.84    63.63     1.52    80.65     9.15    25.48    21.12    38.84    80.42    51.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      13   24   +6       6.40    89.48     6.19    69.05     8.89     5.99     1.94     5.59    32.86    10.70P    0.36R    0.03  
Reading         13   22   +8       3.74    76.94     7.27    68.47     8.95    10.12     1.81     5.15    31.72    10.62P    0.46R    0.03  
Cardiff         12   20   +4       3.15    74.14     3.20    68.01     9.25     6.44     1.76     5.06    29.99    10.37P    0.74R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       13   20   +2       3.14    73.78     3.12    63.77     8.81     0.49     0.43     1.66    15.11     4.27P    1.74R    0.14  
QPR             13   19   +0      -1.27    40.75    -3.72    66.96     9.76     3.96     1.92     5.16    27.54    10.63P    1.36R    0.16  
Fulham          13   17   +3      -0.54    46.74     3.64    60.85     9.31     0.23     0.32     1.08    10.84     2.99P    4.89R    0.69  
Brentford       13   17   -1      -1.49    39.06    -1.93    64.50     9.29     2.39     0.79     2.41    18.72     5.97P    2.04R    0.23  
Ipswich         13   17   -5      -0.74    44.82    -4.98    63.12     9.17    -3.66     0.47     1.62    14.28     4.29P    2.88R    0.39  
Wolverhampton   13   15   -2      -3.74    23.52    -3.38    64.47     9.10     4.38     0.72     2.13    18.54     6.31P    1.76R    0.21  
Huddersfield    13   14   -3      -1.17    41.93     0.96    52.76     8.75   -12.41     0.01     0.05     1.60     0.31P   19.58R    4.40  
Nott'm_Forest   13   14   -3      -3.29    26.33    -2.36    57.52     8.94    -5.43     0.08     0.34     4.96     1.30P    8.39R    1.38  
Leeds_United    13   13   -5      -1.95    35.76    -0.94    52.93     8.79   -12.11     0.01     0.07     1.52     0.34P   19.43R    4.50  
Blackburn       13   12   -2      -5.72    12.67    -1.96    57.98     8.87    -0.54     0.09     0.35     5.57     1.44P    7.20R    1.23  
Preston         13   12   -3      -3.78    22.89    -0.56    53.55     9.03    -7.52     0.02     0.12     2.18     0.62P   17.46R    3.72  
MK_Dons         13   11   -7      -4.76    17.82    -3.76    50.74     9.26   -15.24     0.03     0.07     1.21     0.30P   27.86R    7.61  
Bristol_City    12   10   -7      -4.52    18.23    -3.96    51.74     9.76   -15.27     0.05     0.15     2.05     0.56P   26.04R    7.77  
Charlton        13   10  -10      -4.46    18.10    -5.19    46.64     8.51   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   44.80R   15.04  
Rotherham       13    9   -9      -4.26    19.26    -1.91    41.12     8.33   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    70.30R   37.75  
Bolton          13    9  -10      -5.54    12.60    -5.23    47.08     8.75   -20.32     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   42.63R   14.67  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Barnsley 0 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       15   31  +14       7.16    89.62     9.15    78.60     8.90    21.66    22.36    39.24    77.47    47.98P    0.08R    0.00  
Walsall          15   29  +13       5.25    82.83     8.33    77.57     8.64    21.95    18.14    33.98    75.42    44.93P    0.10R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    15   29   +2       9.60    95.62     3.46    68.42     8.76    -2.10     2.99     7.38    33.05    12.03P    2.38R    0.09  
Coventry         14   25  +10       4.06    77.50     7.43    74.01     9.03    17.58    10.67    21.58    60.27    31.23P    0.50R    0.01  
Wigan            15   24   +7      -2.34    33.48    -1.74    78.58     8.96    24.86    22.51    39.65    78.14    53.02P    0.13R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        15   24   +5      -0.57    45.75    -0.98    73.56     8.72    15.47     8.93    19.40    58.36    30.73P    0.46R    0.02  
Bury             15   24   +3       4.66    79.43     5.01    64.77     9.10    -0.01     1.47     3.99    21.63     7.50P    6.30R    0.46  
Southend         15   22   -1       3.81    76.10     2.14    59.78     8.61    -7.22     0.29     0.93     8.51     2.35P   15.08R    1.52  
Peterborough     15   21   +6      -2.08    36.05     2.18    69.66     8.91    15.10     4.14    10.41    41.62    18.73P    1.72R    0.12  
Millwall         14   21   -1       0.93    56.86    -2.13    68.99     9.44     5.04     4.07     9.76    37.58    16.71P    2.98R    0.22  
Rochdale         15   20   +2      -1.31    41.39     1.01    64.36     8.83     4.53     1.10     3.24    20.33     7.31P    6.14R    0.52  
Scunthorpe       15   20   +1       0.30    52.91     2.52    60.82     8.80    -1.98     0.40     1.34    11.21     3.27P   12.71R    1.24  
Chesterfield     15   20   -2      -1.51    39.62    -3.38    64.72     8.90     1.07     1.24     3.48    21.36     7.83P    6.09R    0.51  
Bradford         14   20   -2       1.32    60.15    -1.33    63.47     8.71    -2.36     0.71     2.28    16.84     5.31P    7.39R    0.60  
Colchester       15   20   -7       2.67    69.15    -1.02    56.82     8.78   -17.11     0.15     0.48     4.88     1.22P   26.14R    4.02  
Shrewsbury       15   17   -2      -3.71    25.89    -2.25    56.41     8.86    -6.51     0.12     0.49     4.70     1.51P   25.70R    3.82  
Port_Vale        15   17   -2      -2.11    35.87     0.15    56.52     8.54    -6.66     0.10     0.31     4.36     1.13P   24.66R    3.29  
Oldham           15   16   -5      -1.76    38.23    -0.75    54.77     8.44   -10.65     0.04     0.18     2.68     0.62P   31.62R    5.11  
Blackpool        14   16   -6      -1.71    38.46    -3.87    56.07     8.99   -11.27     0.13     0.41     4.51     1.30P   28.34R    4.61  
Fleetwood_Town   15   15   -4      -3.35    27.25    -0.62    53.32     8.56   -10.20     0.03     0.11     2.05     0.51P   37.86R    7.40  
Barnsley         14   14   -5      -5.70    14.62    -5.70    56.92     8.98    -6.74     0.14     0.49     5.48     1.68P   24.35R    3.68  
Doncaster        14   14   -9      -3.38    26.25    -6.28    55.17     8.81   -12.78     0.07     0.24     3.38     0.91P   31.38R    5.53  
Swindon          15   13   -6      -9.85     4.03    -9.37    57.56     8.84    -3.27     0.19     0.62     6.13     2.18P   21.44R    2.74  
Crewe            15   10  -11      -4.76    18.32    -1.97    41.42     8.19   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   86.47R   54.48  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 October 2015, Accrington_Stanley 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             15   32  +12       7.82    92.15     6.67    83.16     8.66    24.54    30.45    67.06    91.73    73.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   28  +10       4.80    80.03     6.06    74.80     8.75    16.37     7.45    29.63    66.51    38.85P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   27   +8       4.87    80.87     5.63    74.98     8.72    16.09     7.38    30.05    67.46    39.65P    0.03R    0.01  
Northampton          15   27   +5       5.09    81.23     3.05    71.95     8.93     8.49     4.24    19.47    53.22    27.24P    0.07R    0.01  
Mansfield            15   26  +11       6.12    86.54    11.79    67.25     8.66     9.34     1.39     8.50    33.62    13.45P    0.31R    0.07  
Leyton_Orient        15   26   +7      -1.82    36.60    -4.27    83.90     8.91    30.74    36.65    70.52    92.12    78.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   15   25   +6       5.08    81.51     7.12    66.98     8.92     4.74     1.43     8.42    32.01    13.06P    0.48R    0.10  
Morecambe            15   23   +4       2.03    64.06     3.62    67.90     9.03     7.28     1.81    10.20    36.63    16.14P    0.45R    0.11  
Carlisle             15   23   +0       3.18    71.47     1.65    62.41     8.92    -5.70     0.40     3.24    16.61     5.92P    1.83R    0.56  
Wycombe              14   22   +5      -0.30    47.80     0.46    71.16     8.88    12.90     3.61    17.73    51.10    27.30P    0.09R    0.02  
Exeter               15   22   +0       1.39    60.10     0.16    63.38     8.87    -1.99     0.57     4.01    19.23     7.36P    1.20R    0.37  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   22   -1       2.87    70.04     1.30    61.82     8.77    -5.48     0.31     2.58    14.40     4.97P    2.01R    0.61  
Bristol_Rovers       14   20   +0       2.08    65.71     1.65    62.34     9.23    -1.82     0.40     3.50    17.23     6.53P    2.17R    0.68  
Cambridge_Utd        15   20   -2       1.30    59.69     1.08    58.06     8.68    -9.09     0.10     0.97     7.35     2.23P    4.69R    1.66  
Luton                15   19   +4      -3.12    29.38     1.73    66.32     8.89    11.22     1.14     7.51    30.85    13.83P    0.57R    0.16  
Notts_County         15   19   -3      -3.80    25.61    -6.30    68.01     9.13     6.72     1.95    10.77    36.99    18.48P    0.44R    0.13  
Crawley_Town         15   18   -6      -3.08    29.91    -6.73    63.83     9.29    -1.10     0.62     4.63    21.70     9.26P    1.69R    0.57  
Barnet               15   17   -5      -0.05    51.11     0.78    52.54     8.99   -16.47     0.03     0.25     2.54     0.69P   15.99R    7.07  
Hartlepool           15   17   -7       0.25    52.94    -1.30    48.96     8.16   -22.83     0.00     0.03     0.67     0.11P   26.01R   12.10  
Stevenage            15   14   -7      -6.75    11.44    -7.19    56.65     8.88    -6.96     0.05     0.76     5.95     2.10P    6.67R    2.45  
York                 15   12   -7      -7.17     9.55    -5.05    48.86     8.50   -15.18     0.00     0.05     0.75     0.21P   25.28R   12.03  
Newport_County       15   12  -11      -4.93    18.44    -5.51    47.14     8.48   -22.12     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.08P   33.93R   18.05  
Yeovil               15    9  -11     -10.32     2.79    -9.22    47.72     8.86   -16.63     0.00     0.07     0.67     0.25P   30.99R   16.54  
Dag_&_Red            15    9  -12      -8.69     5.22    -7.19    44.69     8.66   -23.08     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.06P   45.05R   26.67  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     18   35  +12       4.29    75.39     2.71    82.79     8.09    26.42    16.63    73.88    29.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   34  +17       0.08    49.76     2.86    87.54     7.87    40.40    39.13    89.90    55.66P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   18   33   +9       5.39    80.84     4.70    74.13     8.11    12.97     2.68    32.55     7.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby          18   30  +20      -4.66    21.56     4.65    82.54     7.74    41.70    17.20    75.59    37.11P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         18   30  +11      -3.62    27.19    -2.75    82.53     8.01    32.30    16.36    74.30    35.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          18   30   +9       5.05    78.02     9.15    71.43     8.75    13.19     1.78    24.17     5.37P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   29   +8       4.82    78.77     6.87    70.51     8.35    10.28     1.10    19.50     3.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +5       3.32    70.92     3.40    69.26     7.80     8.06     0.51    13.98     2.88P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   28   +7       0.59    53.88     2.94    71.05     7.96    13.88     0.97    20.91     4.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastleigh        17   28   +3       2.24    64.25    -0.51    72.76     8.42    10.55     1.93    27.64     6.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   28   +0       2.61    66.65    -0.81    68.59     8.12     3.13     0.52    12.86     2.55P    0.09R    0.00  
Aldershot        18   27   -2       3.34    71.43    -0.36    64.92     8.01    -2.87     0.15     5.65     0.97P    0.34R    0.02  
Macclesfield     18   26   +5      -1.08    43.36     1.51    68.01     7.99    10.47     0.38    11.98     2.68P    0.07R    0.01  
Chester          18   25   -5       4.52    77.78     2.08    58.38     7.86   -13.55     0.01     0.90     0.11P    2.54R    0.20  
Barrow           18   25  -11       6.91    87.68     0.01    52.77     7.88   -27.89     0.01     0.18     0.02P   10.98R    1.54  
Woking           17   24   +6      -2.93    31.20     0.51    68.83     8.36    13.46     0.64    15.57     3.77P    0.12R    0.01  
Welling          18   22   -3       0.69    55.62     1.92    54.33     7.61   -12.20     0.00     0.24     0.03P    6.47R    0.78  
Guiseley         18   20  -10       1.05    58.31    -1.23    45.34     7.64   -31.04     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.75R    9.95  
Altrincham       18   19  -13       0.96    58.12    -2.42    48.03     7.62   -28.31     0.00     0.02     0.01P   25.90R    5.42  
Boreham_Wood     18   16   -5      -3.80    27.28     2.27    47.80     8.02   -14.80     0.00     0.02     0.00P   25.83R    6.00  
Torquay          18   15  -14      -7.86     9.76   -10.66    52.48     8.08   -16.08     0.00     0.15     0.03P   11.33R    1.86  
Southport        17   14  -12      -3.01    30.20    -2.16    43.91     7.69   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.16R   13.73  
Halifax          18   10  -24     -10.63     3.22   -16.62    39.35     7.66   -39.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.54R   33.81  
Kidderminster    18    8  -13     -13.52     0.76    -8.07    40.21     7.76   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.62R   26.68