Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 17 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Chelsea 2 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          9   21  +16       0.97    57.77     2.44    84.12     7.60    56.50    68.97    88.72    95.97    98.41    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           9   19   +9       2.00    67.74     1.85    75.15     8.12    34.88    17.04    51.68    74.10    85.90    95.70     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           9   19   +7       2.68    73.76     0.86    72.42     8.27    27.91    10.22    34.98    60.79    76.95    91.78     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham          9   17   +8       4.03    84.11     7.37    57.52     8.26     8.75     0.23     1.81     6.11    13.66    34.97     0.25R    0.01  
Leicester         9   16   +2       4.19    84.19     3.09    50.99     8.32    -7.36     0.05     0.35     1.37     3.54    12.11     2.17R    0.15  
Crystal_Palace    9   15   +2       4.38    86.42     4.79    51.34     8.12    -3.24     0.03     0.28     1.25     3.47    12.32     1.61R    0.10  
Tottenham         9   14   +4       0.76    57.47     2.83    59.50     8.39    12.42     0.41     3.17     9.44    19.78    44.27     0.20R    0.01  
Southampton       9   13   +3      -1.46    36.24    -0.15    58.03     8.27    10.59     0.33     2.07     6.70    14.98    37.31     0.22R    0.00  
Everton           9   13   +1       1.02    60.36     1.62    58.45     8.38     9.25     0.30     2.36     7.28    15.96    39.02     0.21R    0.01  
Liverpool         9   13   -2      -0.70    43.41    -4.08    58.20     8.42     5.71     0.31     2.15     6.74    14.93    37.48     0.25R    0.01  
Chelsea           9   11   -3      -5.21     9.99    -8.91    65.80     8.28    20.79     2.08    11.96    28.45    47.33    73.82     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom         9   11   -4       0.71    58.30    -0.83    43.91     7.97   -14.71     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.43     2.28    10.96R    1.27  
Swansea           8   10   +0      -0.39    46.83     0.93    50.07     8.58    -2.16     0.02     0.33     1.11     2.95    11.09     3.13R    0.29  
Watford           9   10   -4       0.58    57.22     0.98    41.12     8.26   -17.99     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.25     1.43    19.72R    3.48  
Norwich           8    9   -2      -0.68    44.34     0.12    41.15     8.51   -18.22     0.01     0.03     0.12     0.34     1.58    20.60R    3.81  
Stoke             8    9   -2      -1.81    32.58    -1.74    46.39     8.24    -7.74     0.01     0.07     0.33     1.03     4.62     6.34R    0.77  
Bournemouth       9    8   -6      -1.86    33.95    -1.03    36.01     8.25   -27.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.31    42.40R   11.38  
Aston_Villa       9    4   -7      -4.86     9.34    -1.56    30.96     7.50   -27.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    66.59R   25.46  
Sunderland        9    3  -11      -6.06     4.84    -5.96    28.82     7.38   -33.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.13R   38.04  
Newcastle         8    3  -11      -3.30    16.13    -2.62    34.67     8.14   -26.76     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.02     0.17    48.20R   15.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Birmingham 2 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        11   25   +7       8.91    97.42     5.34    75.30     9.16    11.12     9.69    20.01    60.26    28.47P    0.08R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   11   21  +10       1.47    62.22     3.48    80.23     9.25    26.34    23.45    40.83    79.85    53.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading         11   21  +10       5.33    87.40     9.04    71.65     9.45    14.30     5.35    12.46    46.05    19.54P    0.32R    0.04  
Birmingham      11   21   +7       5.53    88.03     6.36    68.64     9.44     6.71     2.85     7.26    33.07    12.29P    0.85R    0.09  
Burnley         11   21   +5       2.75    71.60     0.40    76.21     9.83    15.83    12.99    25.31    63.90    36.13P    0.13R    0.00  
Hull            11   19   +6       0.57    54.44     1.10    77.46     9.69    21.25    16.32    30.05    69.46    42.23P    0.09R    0.00  
Derby           10   17   +5       0.19    51.17     0.37    77.77     9.82    22.42    16.86    31.70    70.50    43.04P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff         11   17   +3       1.53    63.42     2.30    65.71     9.37     4.47     1.43     4.03    23.15     8.13P    1.86R    0.24  
Sheff_Wed       11   16   +1       1.70    64.97     1.86    61.57     9.31    -1.97     0.51     1.55    12.02     3.58P    4.82R    0.75  
Ipswich         11   16   -2      -0.13    49.29    -3.60    65.34     9.50     0.11     1.31     3.69    22.11     7.75P    2.20R    0.32  
Wolverhampton   10   15   +4      -0.79    43.05     0.87    71.21     9.79    14.44     5.47    12.56    44.99    20.92P    0.48R    0.05  
QPR             11   15   -3      -1.25    40.26    -4.72    65.25    10.37     0.11     2.02     5.19    23.57     9.43P    3.37R    0.57  
Fulham          11   13   +1      -1.01    42.55     2.74    59.17     9.80    -2.48     0.39     1.17     9.12     2.73P    8.95R    1.90  
Nott'm_Forest   11   12   -3      -2.62    29.34    -2.38    58.39     9.44    -5.24     0.24     0.68     7.21     2.10P    9.44R    1.81  
Blackburn       11   11   -1      -4.30    18.15    -1.36    60.59     9.53     1.67     0.46     1.36    11.17     3.68P    6.08R    1.11  
MK_Dons         11   11   -2      -3.58    23.05    -1.21    56.04    10.11    -6.47     0.24     0.68     5.88     1.91P   15.70R    3.87  
Huddersfield    11   11   -4      -1.48    38.52    -0.12    52.13     9.20   -14.11     0.03     0.14     1.67     0.41P   25.68R    7.26  
Leeds_United    11   11   -5      -1.52    37.89    -1.36    52.96     9.18   -13.35     0.03     0.13     2.08     0.48P   22.78R    6.28  
Brentford       11   11   -6      -3.94    19.87    -5.66    57.86     9.65    -7.88     0.18     0.64     6.75     1.94P   11.21R    2.47  
Charlton        11   10   -4      -2.83    27.03    -0.88    52.28     9.18   -11.55     0.03     0.12     1.70     0.41P   24.58R    6.69  
Bristol_City    11   10   -6      -3.69    22.12    -3.74    52.94    10.04   -14.44     0.11     0.32     3.16     0.89P   25.06R    7.73  
Preston         11    8   -6      -4.68    14.94    -2.89    49.52     9.38   -14.52     0.01     0.08     1.10     0.28P   35.46R   11.71  
Rotherham       11    8   -8      -3.03    25.58    -1.64    42.70     8.84   -28.76     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   66.01R   35.12  
Bolton          11    8   -9      -3.94    19.12    -4.31    49.83     9.37   -18.01     0.01     0.05     1.09     0.24P   34.77R   11.98  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Bury 0 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham       13   27  +13       6.61    89.62     9.19    78.77     9.45    22.88    24.01    40.26    76.27    48.92P    0.17R    0.00  
Walsall          13   25  +11       4.69    82.00     7.32    75.55     9.03    18.92    13.34    26.45    65.53    36.65P    0.28R    0.01  
Burton_Albion    13   25   +0       9.22    96.09     2.81    66.63     9.31    -5.07     2.34     5.90    26.62     9.61P    4.50R    0.36  
Bury             13   24   +6       6.51    89.03     6.62    68.59     9.58     4.64     4.02     9.25    35.51    14.38P    3.09R    0.28  
Coventry         12   23  +10       4.59    82.12     7.07    74.33     9.63    16.96    12.20    23.72    59.66    32.50P    0.68R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        13   21   +3       0.32    52.62    -1.24    73.49     9.19    13.78     9.71    19.76    56.33    30.10P    0.67R    0.03  
Southend         13   21   +2       4.30    80.06     3.33    62.11     9.12    -3.37     0.83     2.24    13.80     4.44P   10.20R    1.00  
Wigan            13   20   +6      -3.13    27.11    -2.00    77.23     9.48    23.68    19.08    34.64    71.73    47.61P    0.34R    0.02  
Peterborough     13   18   +3      -1.62    38.31     0.29    68.85     9.36    11.31     4.15     9.78    37.45    16.93P    2.61R    0.19  
Rochdale         13   18   +2      -0.37    47.57     1.33    65.84     9.40     5.56     2.13     5.50    25.95    10.56P    5.30R    0.44  
Port_Vale        13   17   +1      -0.11    49.80     2.05    60.48     9.04    -1.76     0.44     1.32    10.57     3.17P   13.35R    1.49  
Scunthorpe       13   17   -1      -0.11    49.66     0.21    57.90     9.14    -8.21     0.24     0.76     6.83     2.04P   21.07R    2.99  
Millwall         12   17   -2      -0.06    49.96    -2.76    66.33     9.94     1.88     2.85     6.84    28.10    12.10P    5.95R    0.57  
Chesterfield     13   17   -2      -1.51    39.18    -2.99    65.74     9.28     3.02     1.82     4.92    24.80     9.82P    5.21R    0.44  
Bradford         12   16   -3       0.38    53.99    -1.83    61.62     9.12    -4.20     0.68     1.97    12.71     4.24P   11.08R    1.25  
Colchester       13   16   -8       1.27    61.01    -2.44    54.82     9.16   -19.07     0.08     0.31     3.42     0.84P   33.54R    6.71  
Barnsley         12   14   -2      -3.42    25.29    -3.37    62.01     9.59    -0.14     0.98     2.84    15.43     6.19P   11.48R    1.33  
Shrewsbury       13   14   -3      -3.58    24.84    -2.69    56.08     9.33    -7.58     0.19     0.63     5.12     1.72P   27.17R    4.45  
Fleetwood_Town   13   12   -2      -4.53    18.71    -0.01    52.72     8.96    -8.78     0.04     0.15     2.15     0.59P   39.52R    8.53  
Swindon          13   12   -5      -7.78     6.86    -7.92    60.77     9.38     0.06     0.62     1.86    12.28     4.86P   13.22R    1.55  
Oldham           13   12   -6      -3.43    25.40    -2.33    51.52     9.11   -14.84     0.05     0.14     1.66     0.40P   45.97R   11.58  
Blackpool        12   12   -8      -2.24    33.54    -4.77    54.00     9.50   -14.59     0.07     0.30     3.42     0.96P   36.74R    8.25  
Doncaster        12   11   -6      -4.54    17.26    -4.72    55.87     9.23    -8.35     0.12     0.44     4.53     1.31P   27.90R    4.83  
Crewe            13    9   -9      -3.90    21.71    -1.16    43.09     8.68   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   79.97R   43.66  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 5 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             13   29  +12       7.59    93.25     6.77    82.85     9.04    24.53    27.62    62.01    89.24    69.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           13   26  +10       5.85    86.91     6.45    76.22     9.22    17.29     9.77    33.10    69.56    42.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           13   24   +8       4.97    83.20     6.20    75.25     9.14    16.93     7.79    29.31    66.77    38.83P    0.04R    0.01  
Mansfield            13   22  +10       4.88    83.14    10.91    65.12     9.10     6.96     0.95     5.80    25.10     9.46P    0.77R    0.17  
Leyton_Orient        13   22   +6      -2.49    31.14    -4.49    83.45     9.40    31.37    32.50    65.22    89.67    73.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   13   22   +5       5.31    84.83     6.78    66.93     9.27     4.15     1.44     8.04    31.13    12.47P    0.57R    0.13  
Carlisle             13   22   +1       4.16    78.66     1.38    63.41     9.34    -5.93     0.60     4.28    19.38     7.21P    1.44R    0.39  
Wycombe              12   21   +7       1.68    63.16     2.80    75.49     9.35    18.69     8.50    31.27    67.24    41.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton          13   21   +3       2.61    69.52     2.24    68.18     9.26     5.62     1.80     9.66    36.20    15.42P    0.40R    0.10  
Morecambe            13   20   +3       1.77    63.60     2.61    66.41     9.44     4.13     1.39     7.63    29.79    12.44P    0.62R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       12   19   +3       3.19    74.22     3.77    66.22     9.59     4.25     1.33     7.67    29.29    12.63P    0.75R    0.17  
Luton                13   18   +5      -1.76    37.02     2.21    68.07     9.29    12.18     1.99    10.43    36.77    17.50P    0.40R    0.09  
Exeter               13   18   -1       0.37    53.42    -0.42    61.75     9.31    -3.80     0.39     2.92    15.47     5.59P    2.28R    0.65  
Cambridge_Utd        13   17   -2       0.76    56.68     0.64    57.30     9.06    -9.99     0.08     0.87     6.44     1.99P    5.67R    1.73  
Notts_County         13   17   -3      -2.85    29.79    -5.93    69.49     9.73     7.94     2.79    13.83    42.41    22.19P    0.44R    0.12  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   16   -4       0.22    52.77    -0.89    56.36     8.95   -11.68     0.05     0.67     5.12     1.51P    6.97R    2.39  
Hartlepool           13   16   -6       1.53    63.25    -1.01    50.84     8.63   -21.66     0.01     0.13     1.29     0.35P   18.69R    7.09  
Crawley_Town         13   15   -5      -3.29    27.22    -5.70    64.42     9.73     1.17     0.82     5.37    23.77    10.34P    1.62R    0.44  
Barnet               13   13   -6      -1.26    41.64    -0.14    49.87     9.46   -19.68     0.01     0.18     1.71     0.47P   23.58R   10.84  
Stevenage            13   13   -6      -5.48    14.27    -6.85    58.33     9.24    -6.03     0.12     1.16     8.60     3.00P    4.82R    1.52  
York                 13   11   -5      -5.82    12.38    -3.64    51.97     8.96   -11.08     0.01     0.16     1.97     0.55P   14.95R    5.70  
Yeovil               13    9   -9      -7.93     5.92    -7.72    51.90     9.59   -12.44     0.03     0.26     2.51     0.88P   17.15R    7.38  
Dag_&_Red            13    8  -10      -7.51     6.51    -6.15    46.60     9.02   -20.63     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.13P   34.65R   16.85  
Newport_County       13    6  -16      -7.75     4.91    -9.82    40.40     8.60   -32.29     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   64.13R   44.10  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     18   35  +12       4.26    75.43     2.69    82.77     8.05    26.40    16.65    73.91    30.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       18   34  +17       0.08    49.68     2.85    87.67     7.85    40.54    39.82    90.24    56.28P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   18   33   +9       5.30    80.61     4.58    74.22     8.09    13.15     2.81    33.12     8.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          18   30  +20      -4.58    21.91     4.81    82.32     7.80    41.33    16.75    74.63    36.49P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         18   30  +11      -3.48    27.84    -2.55    82.33     8.02    32.09    15.60    73.60    35.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          18   30   +9       4.99    77.86     9.10    71.53     8.72    13.37     1.72    24.40     5.26P    0.05R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   29   +8       4.85    78.97     6.89    70.58     8.36    10.31     1.12    19.81     4.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +5       3.23    70.49     3.27    69.38     7.78     8.20     0.52    14.15     2.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   28   +7       0.54    53.65     2.91    71.11     8.08    13.94     1.10    21.41     5.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh        17   28   +3       2.17    63.80    -0.64    72.88     8.43    10.73     2.11    28.16     6.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   28   +0       2.57    66.51    -0.90    68.65     8.06     3.24     0.44    12.76     2.54P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot        18   27   -2       3.40    71.62    -0.25    64.77     7.92    -3.06     0.18     5.36     0.91P    0.31R    0.02  
Macclesfield     18   26   +5      -1.16    42.45     1.47    68.02     8.02    10.45     0.44    12.05     2.81P    0.09R    0.00  
Chester          18   25   -5       4.56    77.89     2.04    58.44     7.90   -13.40     0.01     0.96     0.15P    2.51R    0.23  
Barrow           18   25  -11       6.81    87.25    -0.19    53.00     7.92   -27.53     0.01     0.21     0.02P   10.71R    1.58  
Woking           17   24   +6      -2.84    32.00     0.69    68.59     8.35    13.12     0.70    14.77     3.62P    0.11R    0.01  
Welling          18   22   -3       0.64    55.15     1.94    54.38     7.75   -12.20     0.01     0.26     0.03P    6.84R    0.81  
Guiseley         18   20  -10       1.06    58.36    -1.22    45.36     7.69   -30.98     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.93R   10.16  
Altrincham       18   19  -13       0.98    58.16    -2.33    47.94     7.62   -28.53     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.90R    5.45  
Boreham_Wood     18   16   -5      -3.66    27.93     2.46    47.59     8.01   -15.10     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.69R    6.27  
Torquay          18   15  -14      -7.88     9.75   -10.73    52.40     8.04   -16.11     0.00     0.12     0.02P   11.62R    1.88  
Southport        17   14  -12      -3.00    30.42    -2.16    43.97     7.73   -27.34     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.61R   13.56  
Halifax          18   10  -24     -10.62     3.18   -16.63    39.33     7.78   -40.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.26R   34.00  
Kidderminster    18    8  -13     -13.52     0.76    -8.10    40.29     7.67   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.17R   26.02