Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   18  +12       0.93    57.55     1.62    82.79     7.90    52.90    69.33    87.66    94.55    97.48    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   16   +6       1.30    62.05     0.31    73.16     8.41    31.24    16.03    47.65    67.56    79.98    92.50     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           8   16   +4       1.63    65.75    -1.23    69.34     8.49    22.50     7.92    27.56    48.69    64.22    83.77     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    8   15   +4       5.48    92.45     6.32    53.39     8.38    -0.04     0.12     0.95     2.93     6.37    18.32     1.26R    0.08  
Leicester         8   15   +2       4.24    85.75     2.49    50.67     8.54    -8.38     0.06     0.51     1.82     3.90    11.78     2.96R    0.22  
West_Ham          8   14   +6       2.65    75.87     5.76    54.89     8.61     5.35     0.22     1.63     4.61     9.71    24.55     0.91R    0.06  
Everton           8   13   +4       1.73    67.09     3.63    61.02     8.58    14.15     1.19     6.48    15.34    26.53    51.34     0.13R    0.01  
Tottenham         8   13   +4       1.18    61.67     2.90    59.90     8.68    12.48     0.82     5.31    12.85    22.90    45.81     0.25R    0.01  
Southampton       8   12   +3      -0.67    43.42     0.49    59.18     8.59    11.81     0.78     4.34    10.85    20.24    42.78     0.27R    0.02  
Liverpool         8   12   -2      -0.38    46.21    -4.16    58.40     8.68     5.51     0.64     3.50     9.26    17.51    38.08     0.37R    0.01  
Swansea           8   10   +0      -0.32    47.54     1.00    50.10     8.52    -2.07     0.06     0.40     1.37     3.27    10.34     3.49R    0.33  
Watford           8   10   -1       1.03    61.83     2.44    43.01     8.60   -14.13     0.00     0.06     0.25     0.67     2.64    16.03R    2.81  
Norwich           8    9   -2      -0.71    44.21     0.12    41.31     8.55   -17.85     0.00     0.04     0.14     0.40     1.71    21.88R    4.35  
Stoke             8    9   -2      -1.77    32.95    -1.68    46.32     8.25    -7.75     0.01     0.10     0.39     1.14     4.55     7.32R    0.88  
Bournemouth       8    8   -2      -1.86    33.05    -0.05    37.40     8.44   -23.19     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.15     0.64    37.58R    9.88  
Chelsea           8    8   -5      -5.88     6.65    -9.34    65.04     8.42    20.39     2.81    13.76    29.24    45.18    69.89     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom         8    8   -5      -0.45    47.04    -1.20    42.48     8.22   -15.57     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.32     1.62    17.07R    2.90  
Aston_Villa       8    4   -5      -4.46    10.69    -1.20    31.73     7.71   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    64.63R   25.79  
Sunderland        8    3  -10      -5.07     7.26    -5.45    29.97     7.58   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    74.05R   35.37  
Newcastle         8    3  -11      -3.36    15.88    -2.76    34.52     8.18   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.16    51.74R   17.27  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Charlton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        10   22   +6       7.57    95.94     4.76    73.55     9.45     9.99     6.53    15.18    51.95    23.00P    0.18R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   10   20  +10       2.18    68.62     3.93    82.14     9.59    28.74    29.65    47.87    83.44    59.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading         10   18   +9       3.98    81.42     8.45    70.07     9.76    13.27     3.93     9.75    39.36    15.96P    0.65R    0.07  
Birmingham      10   18   +6       4.20    82.86     5.82    66.40     9.68     4.77     1.73     4.82    25.20     8.72P    1.58R    0.16  
Hull            10   18   +6       1.10    59.33     1.30    78.60    10.00    22.41    17.96    33.12    72.30    45.27P    0.08R    0.00  
Burnley         10   18   +3       1.67    64.33    -0.81    74.43     9.99    13.69     9.07    18.91    55.74    28.88P    0.24R    0.03  
Derby           10   17   +5       0.03    49.93     0.15    77.95     9.81    22.74    15.81    30.95    70.37    42.64P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff         10   16   +3       1.86    66.55     2.28    66.60     9.75     5.11     1.82     4.85    26.18     9.36P    1.69R    0.24  
Wolverhampton   10   15   +4      -0.82    42.71     0.85    71.58     9.91    14.99     5.48    12.68    45.43    21.68P    0.51R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed       10   15   +1       1.90    67.27     1.75    61.49     9.43    -2.67     0.44     1.46    11.67     3.46P    4.88R    0.74  
QPR             10   15   -2      -0.06    49.78    -4.06    67.53    10.62     2.68     3.14     7.45    30.58    12.75P    2.27R    0.37  
Ipswich         10   15   -2       0.48    54.57    -3.24    66.68     9.95     1.42     1.92     5.32    26.53    10.02P    1.97R    0.32  
Fulham          10   12   +1      -1.08    41.28     2.11    58.85    10.07    -3.89     0.41     1.23     8.91     2.62P    9.70R    2.11  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -1      -1.61    36.53    -0.95    61.00     9.91    -1.54     0.53     1.58    12.22     3.93P    6.08R    1.07  
Blackburn       10   11   +2      -3.44    22.49     0.91    63.85     9.84     7.45     1.08     3.06    19.04     6.96P    3.26R    0.52  
Leeds_United    10   11   -4      -0.52    46.64    -0.87    54.47     9.42   -12.14     0.07     0.27     3.01     0.76P   18.10R    4.40  
Charlton        10   10   -3      -1.93    33.64    -0.43    53.95     9.31   -10.28     0.05     0.17     2.57     0.65P   18.76R    4.51  
Huddersfield    10   10   -4      -1.20    40.40    -0.16    51.64     9.52   -15.76     0.04     0.11     1.79     0.39P   27.31R    8.43  
MK_Dons         10    8   -5      -4.45    15.90    -3.02    51.66    10.26   -13.81     0.04     0.21     2.65     0.77P   28.06R    9.02  
Brentford       10    8   -7      -5.11    12.34    -5.92    56.90    10.00    -7.93     0.20     0.63     6.07     1.86P   13.31R    3.27  
Rotherham       10    8   -7      -2.22    31.29    -1.55    43.38     9.04   -29.11     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   62.11R   31.12  
Bolton          10    8   -7      -3.30    22.77    -3.40    51.53     9.54   -15.48     0.02     0.10     1.70     0.38P   27.73R    8.35  
Preston         10    7   -6      -4.46    15.03    -2.96    49.63     9.81   -15.18     0.03     0.10     1.37     0.35P   34.75R   11.45  
Bristol_City    10    7   -8      -4.86    13.88    -4.93    49.59    10.39   -19.47     0.06     0.17     1.78     0.49P   36.66R   13.74  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          12   25  +12       6.03    89.18     8.29    77.90     9.26    21.25    18.96    34.44    72.53    44.13P    0.14R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    12   25   +4       9.52    97.07     5.23    70.97     9.71     3.39     6.10    12.97    42.44    18.67P    1.70R    0.12  
Gillingham       12   24  +12       5.37    85.56     8.78    77.26     9.70    22.07    19.07    33.15    69.44    42.04P    0.27R    0.01  
Bury             12   23   +6       6.89    91.03     6.67    69.24    10.04     4.93     4.95    10.65    37.14    15.71P    3.02R    0.23  
Coventry         11   22  +10       5.22    86.57     7.44    75.21     9.80    17.71    13.42    25.53    61.75    34.13P    0.59R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        12   20   +3       0.77    55.74    -1.13    74.83     9.52    15.31    12.08    23.64    60.42    34.22P    0.59R    0.03  
Southend         12   18   +1       3.03    73.62     2.83    59.80     9.42    -5.36     0.49     1.44     9.57     3.12P   15.50R    1.88  
Peterborough     12   17   +3      -1.14    41.08     0.45    69.56     9.68    11.87     4.73    10.87    39.08    18.39P    2.47R    0.19  
Rochdale         12   17   +2       0.01    50.41     1.39    65.85     9.73     4.94     2.36     5.70    25.52    10.39P    5.59R    0.48  
Wigan            12   17   +1      -3.21    25.99    -4.58    73.64     9.77    15.72    10.11    20.63    55.87    32.41P    0.98R    0.07  
Port_Vale        12   16   +1       0.05    51.29     1.79    60.81     9.38    -1.85     0.60     1.76    11.51     3.87P   12.77R    1.37  
Colchester       12   16   -3       1.34    61.52     0.25    57.16     9.43   -12.32     0.25     0.71     5.86     1.76P   23.52R    3.85  
Barnsley         11   14   -1      -2.18    32.92    -2.53    64.04     9.76     1.91     1.54     3.91    19.94     7.87P    7.89R    0.88  
Shrewsbury       12   14   -2      -2.52    31.24    -2.15    58.11     9.71    -5.60     0.39     1.11     7.80     2.73P   20.60R    3.10  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      -1.51    38.87    -0.46    55.78     9.51    -9.98     0.18     0.54     4.81     1.45P   28.13R    4.95  
Chesterfield     12   14   -3      -2.97    28.11    -3.71    62.91     9.52     0.22     1.02     2.79    16.38     6.27P    9.03R    0.92  
Millwall         11   14   -4      -1.34    39.75    -4.27    63.41    10.24    -2.15     1.66     4.01    19.01     7.72P   10.24R    1.28  
Bradford         11   13   -4      -1.21    40.77    -2.69    59.41     9.48    -6.16     0.42     1.26     8.96     3.04P   16.30R    2.34  
Swindon          12   12   -3      -6.82     8.62    -6.55    63.48     9.66     4.14     1.28     3.54    18.67     8.11P    8.35R    0.87  
Doncaster        11   11   -5      -3.30    24.16    -3.85    57.84     9.60    -6.55     0.22     0.78     6.95     2.17P   20.96R    3.53  
Oldham           12   11   -6      -3.20    26.17    -2.53    51.56     9.24   -15.54     0.03     0.14     1.58     0.45P   44.55R   11.17  
Blackpool        11   11   -8      -2.02    34.54    -4.93    53.97     9.87   -15.40     0.10     0.35     3.68     1.08P   36.27R    8.75  
Fleetwood_Town   12    9   -6      -5.51    12.47    -3.06    49.29     9.06   -15.40     0.02     0.07     0.91     0.23P   54.14R   15.68  
Crewe            12    9   -8      -2.91    27.76    -0.70    43.82     8.95   -27.11     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   76.39R   38.26  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 October 2015, Exeter 3 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             12   26  +11       6.40    90.57     6.34    81.37     9.27    23.84    21.64    54.94    85.62    63.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           12   23   +9       4.63    82.26     6.06    74.79     9.52    16.67     7.69    28.22    63.80    37.02P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           12   23   +8       5.17    85.26     5.92    75.04     9.34    16.14     7.56    28.57    65.26    37.98P    0.06R    0.01  
Mansfield            12   22  +11       6.08    89.00    11.66    67.15     9.32     8.92     1.63     8.58    32.87    13.38P    0.46R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   12   22   +6       6.21    89.17     7.11    67.88     9.47     4.59     1.94     9.61    34.80    14.69P    0.53R    0.13  
Wycombe              11   21   +8       3.03    73.76     3.73    77.52     9.66    20.67    12.52    38.82    73.66    48.73P    0.02R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        12   21   +6      -1.87    34.53    -4.12    84.20     9.70    31.73    35.38    67.01    90.21    75.42P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          12   21   +4       3.82    77.82     2.96    70.41     9.57     7.96     2.97    14.78    45.72    21.75P    0.20R    0.05  
Carlisle             12   19   +0       2.79    71.26     0.81    61.18     9.70    -8.16     0.46     2.98    14.86     5.20P    2.80R    0.90  
Luton                12   18   +6      -0.59    45.50     2.85    70.06     9.59    14.16     3.22    14.86    45.34    23.07P    0.25R    0.07  
Exeter               12   18   +0       1.54    62.44     0.21    64.25     9.74    -1.13     0.84     5.38    23.27     9.11P    1.38R    0.42  
Morecambe            12   17   +0       0.89    57.56     0.70    63.01     9.58    -1.52     0.60     3.91    19.17     7.07P    1.92R    0.52  
Bristol_Rovers       11   16   +2       1.76    65.30     3.06    63.51     9.88     1.86     0.78     4.74    21.30     8.53P    1.84R    0.57  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   16   -1       0.89    57.84     0.94    59.30     9.25    -5.92     0.19     1.49     9.97     3.17P    3.82R    1.20  
Cambridge_Utd        12   14   -3      -0.62    46.19     0.01    54.65     9.32   -12.65     0.04     0.53     4.21     1.25P   10.02R    3.73  
Notts_County         12   14   -5      -3.71    23.81    -6.81    67.07    10.03     4.73     1.76     9.55    33.28    16.35P    0.96R    0.26  
Hartlepool           12   13   -7      -0.12    50.36    -1.91    48.48     8.81   -23.98     0.00     0.07     0.78     0.18P   26.94R   12.41  
Crawley_Town         12   12   -6      -4.72    17.64    -6.40    62.60    10.02    -0.11     0.59     4.18    19.53     8.45P    2.50R    0.84  
York                 12   11   -3      -4.72    16.57    -2.03    54.21     9.15    -7.58     0.05     0.40     3.59     1.09P   10.09R    3.73  
Stevenage            12   10   -7      -7.11     7.37    -7.84    55.92     9.47    -8.18     0.08     0.66     5.88     2.02P    7.90R    2.78  
Barnet               12   10   -8      -2.49    31.52    -1.50    46.86     9.45   -23.74     0.00     0.06     0.77     0.17P   34.48R   18.07  
Yeovil               12    9   -7      -7.36     6.77    -6.87    54.45     9.81    -8.70     0.05     0.56     4.78     1.64P   11.52R    4.98  
Dag_&_Red            12    8   -9      -6.26     9.46    -5.36    49.16     9.34   -17.82     0.01     0.10     1.20     0.32P   24.42R   11.23  
Newport_County       12    6  -15      -6.87     6.59    -9.50    41.52     8.85   -31.78     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.04P   57.85R   37.97  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 October 2015, Wrexham 3 3 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     17   35  +14       5.08    80.27     3.74    85.10     8.32    29.99    21.79    81.09    36.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       17   33  +17       0.70    53.75     3.13    89.06     8.11    42.41    42.77    91.70    58.95P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   17   30   +8       3.99    74.83     4.07    72.46     8.30    11.89     1.51    25.49     5.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby          17   29  +20      -4.06    23.76     4.93    83.66     7.92    43.02    18.19    78.76    39.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          17   29   +9       5.45    80.67     9.24    71.84     9.00    13.18     1.63    25.52     5.30P    0.08R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   17   29   +7       4.00    75.47     4.46    71.46     8.09    11.16     0.83    21.30     4.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         17   27   +9      -4.56    21.73    -3.71    79.71     8.32    28.56     8.22    60.93    24.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh        16   27   +3       2.09    63.94    -1.38    72.40     8.56     9.27     1.61    25.87     5.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead        17   27   +0       3.28    70.98    -0.34    69.77     8.22     4.42     0.59    15.77     3.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     16   26   +6       3.75    74.32     5.76    68.34     8.56     7.29     0.54    13.76     2.64P    0.16R    0.02  
Macclesfield     17   26   +6      -0.07    49.60     2.01    69.68     8.19    11.94     0.59    16.44     3.63P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot        17   26   -2       3.71    73.83    -0.30    65.51     8.27    -2.63     0.17     6.74     1.11P    0.31R    0.03  
Wrexham          17   25   +6      -0.83    44.66     2.26    68.59     8.26    11.59     0.46    13.95     3.03P    0.11R    0.00  
Woking           16   24   +7      -1.62    38.90     1.35    70.71     8.63    15.28     1.09    21.17     5.15P    0.07R    0.00  
Barrow           17   24  -11       7.18    89.24    -0.11    53.30     8.14   -27.74     0.00     0.26     0.02P   10.67R    1.62  
Chester          17   22   -6       3.25    72.02     1.61    56.91     8.09   -14.42     0.01     0.63     0.08P    4.39R    0.55  
Welling          17   21   -3       1.06    58.44     2.01    54.70     7.92   -12.28     0.01     0.37     0.06P    6.68R    0.86  
Guiseley         17   19  -10       1.32    60.41    -1.28    45.80     7.95   -30.93     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.45R   10.43  
Altrincham       17   18  -13       1.00    58.49    -2.91    47.56     7.77   -29.67     0.00     0.02     0.00P   28.57R    6.47  
Boreham_Wood     17   15   -5      -3.27    29.65     2.58    47.97     8.29   -15.22     0.00     0.05     0.00P   26.34R    6.64  
Torquay          17   14  -14      -7.66     9.59   -10.90    51.97     8.27   -17.51     0.00     0.15     0.02P   13.45R    2.50  
Southport        16   11  -13      -4.60    19.66    -2.86    41.56     7.94   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.22R   23.46  
Halifax          17   10  -23      -9.60     4.31   -16.14    40.58     8.00   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.55R   28.91  
Kidderminster    17    8  -12     -12.25     1.16    -7.21    42.53     8.02   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.73R   18.48