Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   18  +12       0.89    57.02     1.55    82.79     7.84    52.79    69.23    87.70    94.73    97.58    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   16   +6       1.29    61.94     0.28    73.22     8.37    31.35    15.97    47.73    67.98    80.13    92.46     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd           8   16   +4       1.62    65.64    -1.27    69.50     8.54    22.76     8.28    28.22    49.41    64.99    84.06     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    8   15   +4       5.48    92.89     6.33    53.45     8.37     0.02     0.12     0.89     2.81     6.36    18.42     1.14R    0.08  
Leicester         8   15   +2       4.23    85.68     2.50    50.70     8.49    -8.36     0.07     0.51     1.63     3.67    11.76     2.89R    0.26  
West_Ham          8   14   +6       2.65    76.00     5.76    54.92     8.57     5.40     0.19     1.59     4.78     9.94    24.69     0.81R    0.04  
Everton           8   13   +4       1.75    67.56     3.63    61.08     8.50    14.21     1.12     6.41    15.07    26.57    51.35     0.12R    0.01  
Tottenham         8   13   +4       1.14    61.68     2.84    60.19     8.74    13.01     0.97     5.53    13.37    24.00    47.55     0.23R    0.01  
Southampton       8   12   +3      -0.68    43.08     0.47    59.06     8.58    11.68     0.77     4.23    10.74    19.82    41.80     0.25R    0.01  
Liverpool         8   12   -2      -0.37    46.22    -4.14    58.38     8.76     5.45     0.65     3.52     9.20    17.56    38.13     0.42R    0.03  
Swansea           8   10   +0      -0.31    47.58     1.04    49.99     8.48    -2.27     0.05     0.33     1.23     3.04    10.37     3.32R    0.33  
Watford           8   10   -1       1.05    61.92     2.47    43.00     8.58   -14.10     0.01     0.07     0.24     0.66     2.54    16.12R    2.72  
Norwich           8    9   -2      -0.69    44.11     0.15    41.24     8.65   -18.04     0.00     0.04     0.15     0.40     1.74    22.35R    4.65  
Stoke             8    9   -2      -1.77    33.19    -1.70    46.42     8.26    -7.59     0.00     0.11     0.41     1.16     4.58     7.27R    0.87  
Bournemouth       8    8   -2      -1.90    32.59    -0.12    37.49     8.40   -22.90     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.63    36.99R    9.56  
Chelsea           8    8   -5      -5.79     6.97    -9.22    64.76     8.50    19.83     2.58    13.10    28.08    43.63    68.57     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom         8    8   -5      -0.47    46.82    -1.21    42.33     8.26   -15.78     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.33     1.61    17.30R    3.09  
Aston_Villa       8    4   -5      -4.44    10.79    -1.17    31.74     7.72   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    64.96R   25.29  
Sunderland        8    3  -10      -5.08     7.34    -5.46    30.01     7.59   -33.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.59R   35.03  
Newcastle         8    3  -11      -3.33    16.21    -2.73    34.36     8.16   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    52.19R   18.03  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Charlton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        10   22   +6       7.52    95.67     4.73    73.65     9.43    10.13     6.84    15.42    52.45    23.15P    0.19R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   10   20  +10       2.24    69.07     4.04    81.85     9.62    28.41    28.41    46.80    82.71    58.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading         10   18   +9       3.96    81.13     8.44    70.12     9.85    13.35     3.97    10.03    39.61    16.28P    0.67R    0.07  
Birmingham      10   18   +6       4.09    81.94     5.67    66.42     9.67     4.78     1.73     4.74    25.44     8.74P    1.69R    0.21  
Hull            10   18   +6       1.06    58.97     1.26    78.74     9.91    22.55    18.48    33.93    72.96    46.32P    0.05R    0.01  
Burnley         10   18   +3       1.77    65.03    -0.69    74.12    10.01    13.24     8.78    18.61    54.57    28.46P    0.28R    0.02  
Derby           10   17   +5       0.09    50.78     0.21    77.95     9.89    22.69    16.34    31.22    70.24    42.85P    0.09R    0.01  
Cardiff         10   16   +3       1.92    66.71     2.36    66.68     9.72     5.25     1.88     5.07    26.37     9.58P    1.66R    0.19  
Wolverhampton   10   15   +4      -0.76    43.26     0.92    71.44     9.86    14.76     5.54    12.42    45.22    21.05P    0.45R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed       10   15   +1       1.79    66.38     1.56    61.76     9.54    -2.25     0.55     1.74    12.59     3.85P    4.65R    0.76  
QPR             10   15   -2      -0.06    49.45    -4.02    67.44    10.61     2.40     3.01     7.19    30.38    12.73P    2.35R    0.39  
Ipswich         10   15   -2       0.50    54.81    -3.21    66.58     9.91     1.29     2.01     5.09    25.87     9.71P    1.98R    0.26  
Fulham          10   12   +1      -1.17    40.67     1.97    59.17    10.11    -3.34     0.40     1.30     9.62     2.88P    9.37R    1.99  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -1      -1.65    36.10    -0.97    60.98     9.82    -1.53     0.51     1.56    11.82     3.71P    6.12R    1.13  
Blackburn       10   11   +2      -3.45    21.99     0.86    63.94     9.80     7.50     1.07     3.00    19.13     6.92P    3.25R    0.57  
Leeds_United    10   11   -4      -0.56    46.07    -0.93    54.69     9.45   -11.83     0.07     0.30     3.33     0.81P   17.30R    4.26  
Charlton        10   10   -3      -1.85    34.46    -0.34    53.67     9.44   -10.67     0.04     0.23     2.75     0.68P   20.10R    5.08  
Huddersfield    10   10   -4      -1.25    39.98    -0.22    51.85     9.53   -15.51     0.04     0.13     1.72     0.40P   26.86R    8.18  
MK_Dons         10    8   -5      -4.51    15.77    -3.12    51.94    10.21   -13.32     0.08     0.26     2.70     0.81P   27.26R    8.53  
Brentford       10    8   -7      -5.03    12.63    -5.82    56.66     9.95    -8.30     0.15     0.61     5.83     1.74P   13.86R    3.39  
Rotherham       10    8   -7      -2.20    31.40    -1.52    43.42     9.05   -29.01     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.02P   61.98R   30.75  
Bolton          10    8   -7      -3.24    23.33    -3.28    51.26     9.51   -15.98     0.02     0.09     1.60     0.42P   28.76R    8.80  
Preston         10    7   -6      -4.52    14.78    -3.04    49.73     9.76   -15.04     0.03     0.10     1.35     0.39P   34.58R   11.29  
Bristol_City    10    7   -8      -4.81    13.82    -4.86    49.52    10.28   -19.57     0.04     0.15     1.60     0.49P   36.47R   14.08  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          12   25  +12       6.02    89.11     8.29    77.96     9.28    21.34    19.66    35.00    72.78    45.02P    0.15R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    12   25   +4       9.50    97.15     5.20    70.99     9.72     3.43     6.17    13.10    42.58    18.87P    1.77R    0.12  
Gillingham       12   24  +12       5.49    85.89     8.94    76.89     9.74    21.47    18.07    31.95    68.19    40.55P    0.35R    0.01  
Bury             12   23   +6       7.01    91.50     6.89    68.99    10.12     4.52     4.89    10.62    36.27    15.72P    3.25R    0.23  
Coventry         11   22  +10       5.27    86.62     7.52    74.96     9.81    17.32    13.19    24.82    60.54    33.33P    0.54R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        12   20   +3       0.90    56.80    -0.99    74.78     9.55    15.21    12.19    23.60    60.11    34.01P    0.65R    0.04  
Southend         12   18   +1       2.98    73.14     2.77    59.88     9.40    -5.23     0.47     1.35     9.60     2.93P   15.37R    1.85  
Peterborough     12   17   +3      -1.25    40.51     0.32    69.74     9.68    12.13     4.95    11.31    40.17    18.95P    2.42R    0.20  
Rochdale         12   17   +2      -0.06    49.95     1.22    66.25     9.73     5.57     2.58     6.40    26.83    11.32P    5.12R    0.51  
Wigan            12   17   +1      -3.14    26.44    -4.46    73.27     9.75    15.19     9.61    19.77    54.22    31.20P    1.01R    0.05  
Port_Vale        12   16   +1       0.01    50.87     1.72    60.75     9.39    -1.93     0.64     1.74    11.65     3.88P   12.78R    1.44  
Colchester       12   16   -3       1.30    61.01     0.18    57.25     9.40   -12.26     0.26     0.77     5.95     1.67P   23.52R    3.71  
Barnsley         11   14   -1      -2.17    32.86    -2.52    64.18     9.81     2.11     1.74     4.36    20.66     8.60P    7.74R    0.82  
Shrewsbury       12   14   -2      -2.56    30.83    -2.21    58.16     9.65    -5.52     0.36     1.05     7.79     2.69P   20.32R    3.06  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      -1.47    39.26    -0.39    55.71     9.39   -10.16     0.14     0.52     4.50     1.33P   28.11R    4.77  
Chesterfield     12   14   -3      -3.05    27.58    -3.79    63.06     9.57     0.45     1.04     2.97    16.77     6.51P    8.95R    0.98  
Millwall         11   14   -4      -1.32    40.03    -4.23    63.33    10.33    -2.34     1.64     3.97    19.24     7.64P   10.74R    1.34  
Bradford         11   13   -4      -1.23    40.64    -2.73    59.55     9.56    -5.85     0.51     1.37     9.50     3.14P   16.53R    2.36  
Swindon          12   12   -3      -6.82     8.89    -6.53    63.48     9.69     4.18     1.34     3.66    18.88     8.12P    8.52R    1.01  
Doncaster        11   11   -5      -3.38    23.68    -4.00    58.16     9.66    -6.08     0.35     1.01     7.47     2.59P   20.57R    3.33  
Oldham           12   11   -6      -3.24    25.87    -2.56    51.39     9.23   -15.72     0.04     0.14     1.61     0.46P   45.28R   11.62  
Blackpool        11   11   -8      -2.09    34.01    -5.00    54.14     9.85   -15.19     0.14     0.43     3.65     1.18P   35.37R    8.38  
Fleetwood_Town   12    9   -6      -5.39    13.00    -2.88    49.16     9.12   -15.69     0.02     0.08     0.88     0.24P   54.51R   16.20  
Crewe            12    9   -8      -2.93    27.46    -0.77    43.86     8.94   -26.96     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   76.42R   37.97  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 October 2015, Exeter 3 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             12   26  +11       6.37    90.58     6.30    81.38     9.31    23.84    21.88    55.01    85.34    63.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           12   23   +9       4.66    82.29     6.08    74.67     9.47    16.42     7.51    27.61    63.52    35.92P    0.07R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           12   23   +8       5.17    85.17     5.90    75.05     9.27    16.12     7.43    28.33    65.43    37.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield            12   22  +11       6.06    88.92    11.65    67.13     9.31     8.97     1.58     8.43    32.99    13.23P    0.44R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   12   22   +6       6.25    89.16     7.16    67.90     9.46     4.53     1.83     9.63    34.87    14.51P    0.47R    0.14  
Wycombe              11   21   +8       3.01    73.81     3.72    77.52     9.58    20.61    12.23    39.09    74.04    48.98P    0.02R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        12   21   +6      -1.92    34.24    -4.19    84.27     9.74    31.94    35.86    67.17    90.35    75.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          12   21   +4       3.84    77.96     2.97    70.30     9.57     7.90     2.96    14.65    44.88    21.40P    0.26R    0.07  
Carlisle             12   19   +0       2.77    71.00     0.77    61.18     9.69    -8.17     0.42     3.06    14.90     5.32P    2.70R    0.84  
Luton                12   18   +6      -0.56    45.79     2.92    69.94     9.55    14.00     3.13    14.67    45.11    22.96P    0.26R    0.08  
Exeter               12   18   +0       1.52    62.17     0.24    64.14     9.55    -1.27     0.75     4.73    22.44     8.47P    1.44R    0.40  
Morecambe            12   17   +0       0.80    57.09     0.57    63.33     9.69    -1.10     0.68     4.38    20.16     7.88P    1.79R    0.48  
Bristol_Rovers       11   16   +2       1.74    65.42     3.04    63.50     9.86     1.81     0.73     4.75    21.33     8.53P    1.74R    0.47  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   16   -1       0.89    58.09     0.92    59.38     9.22    -5.83     0.21     1.59     9.96     3.30P    3.67R    1.14  
Cambridge_Utd        12   14   -3      -0.66    45.67    -0.04    54.72     9.27   -12.51     0.07     0.52     4.39     1.27P    9.53R    3.46  
Notts_County         12   14   -5      -3.81    22.91    -6.97    67.50    10.01     5.42     1.90    10.19    34.42    17.42P    0.82R    0.27  
Hartlepool           12   13   -7      -0.01    51.41    -1.81    48.36     8.83   -24.17     0.00     0.06     0.77     0.17P   27.38R   12.54  
Crawley_Town         12   12   -6      -4.73    17.61    -6.40    62.60    10.00    -0.12     0.61     4.17    19.16     8.51P    2.49R    0.77  
York                 12   11   -3      -4.77    16.20    -2.13    54.42     9.17    -7.34     0.04     0.47     3.77     1.26P    9.61R    3.68  
Stevenage            12   10   -7      -7.08     7.29    -7.77    55.75     9.43    -8.42     0.08     0.72     5.47     1.97P    7.83R    2.73  
Barnet               12   10   -8      -2.45    31.72    -1.43    46.68     9.54   -23.99     0.00     0.06     0.79     0.21P   35.40R   18.86  
Yeovil               12    9   -7      -7.26     7.10    -6.75    54.41     9.79    -8.82     0.08     0.64     4.73     1.75P   11.17R    4.64  
Dag_&_Red            12    8   -9      -6.21     9.84    -5.25    49.05     9.28   -18.00     0.00     0.07     1.07     0.29P   24.75R   11.26  
Newport_County       12    6  -15      -6.84     6.51    -9.49    41.47     8.82   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   58.12R   38.06  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 October 2015, Wrexham 3 3 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     17   35  +14       5.12    80.57     3.83    84.99     8.28    29.78    21.30    80.53    35.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       17   33  +17       0.79    54.52     3.31    88.93     8.11    42.14    42.10    91.47    58.56P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   17   30   +8       3.95    74.65     4.04    72.36     8.34    11.71     1.48    25.40     5.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby          17   29  +20      -4.00    23.99     4.98    83.73     7.94    43.08    18.75    79.21    39.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          17   29   +9       5.44    80.60     9.22    71.84     9.07    13.16     1.71    25.75     5.18P    0.08R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   17   29   +7       4.05    75.53     4.53    71.44     8.10    11.10     1.00    21.06     4.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         17   27   +9      -4.50    22.04    -3.65    79.76     8.38    28.63     8.59    60.98    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        16   27   +3       2.20    64.41    -1.23    72.25     8.61     9.06     1.67    25.35     5.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead        17   27   +0       3.40    71.97    -0.16    69.60     8.35     4.13     0.60    15.45     2.98P    0.09R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     16   26   +6       3.84    74.63     5.88    68.23     8.58     7.12     0.52    13.53     2.54P    0.15R    0.01  
Macclesfield     17   26   +6      -0.05    49.78     2.05    69.69     8.21    11.95     0.57    16.65     3.78P    0.08R    0.00  
Aldershot        17   26   -2       3.68    73.71    -0.35    65.63     8.25    -2.51     0.17     7.10     1.22P    0.34R    0.03  
Wrexham          17   25   +6      -0.91    44.16     2.16    68.62     8.27    11.64     0.46    14.04     3.13P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking           16   24   +7      -1.66    38.47     1.27    70.84     8.60    15.45     1.09    21.84     5.58P    0.09R    0.01  
Barrow           17   24  -11       7.17    89.13    -0.11    53.23     8.29   -27.88     0.00     0.31     0.02P   11.43R    1.79  
Chester          17   22   -6       3.21    71.61     1.57    56.91     8.09   -14.36     0.00     0.72     0.08P    4.57R    0.54  
Welling          17   21   -3       0.97    57.55     1.89    54.90     7.91   -11.95     0.00     0.34     0.03P    6.50R    0.85  
Guiseley         17   19  -10       1.36    60.41    -1.23    45.76     7.90   -31.10     0.00     0.02     0.01P   37.60R   10.60  
Altrincham       17   18  -13       0.93    58.13    -3.04    47.64     7.77   -29.53     0.00     0.02     0.00P   28.08R    6.56  
Boreham_Wood     17   15   -5      -3.30    29.82     2.57    47.95     8.33   -15.23     0.00     0.05     0.01P   26.57R    6.77  
Torquay          17   14  -14      -7.77     9.36   -11.10    52.06     8.21   -17.35     0.00     0.17     0.03P   13.02R    2.35  
Southport        16   11  -13      -4.67    19.16    -2.98    41.60     7.92   -29.64     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.49R   23.46  
Halifax          17   10  -23      -9.64     4.29   -16.25    40.81     7.98   -38.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.62R   28.00  
Kidderminster    17    8  -12     -12.27     1.13    -7.21    42.50     8.02   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.10R   19.01