Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 14 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 8 18 +12 0.89 57.02 1.55 82.79 7.84 52.79 69.23 87.70 94.73 97.58 99.50 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 8 16 +6 1.29 61.94 0.28 73.22 8.37 31.35 15.97 47.73 67.98 80.13 92.46 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 8 16 +4 1.62 65.64 -1.27 69.50 8.54 22.76 8.28 28.22 49.41 64.99 84.06 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 8 15 +4 5.48 92.89 6.33 53.45 8.37 0.02 0.12 0.89 2.81 6.36 18.42 1.14R 0.08 Leicester 8 15 +2 4.23 85.68 2.50 50.70 8.49 -8.36 0.07 0.51 1.63 3.67 11.76 2.89R 0.26 West_Ham 8 14 +6 2.65 76.00 5.76 54.92 8.57 5.40 0.19 1.59 4.78 9.94 24.69 0.81R 0.04 Everton 8 13 +4 1.75 67.56 3.63 61.08 8.50 14.21 1.12 6.41 15.07 26.57 51.35 0.12R 0.01 Tottenham 8 13 +4 1.14 61.68 2.84 60.19 8.74 13.01 0.97 5.53 13.37 24.00 47.55 0.23R 0.01 Southampton 8 12 +3 -0.68 43.08 0.47 59.06 8.58 11.68 0.77 4.23 10.74 19.82 41.80 0.25R 0.01 Liverpool 8 12 -2 -0.37 46.22 -4.14 58.38 8.76 5.45 0.65 3.52 9.20 17.56 38.13 0.42R 0.03 Swansea 8 10 +0 -0.31 47.58 1.04 49.99 8.48 -2.27 0.05 0.33 1.23 3.04 10.37 3.32R 0.33 Watford 8 10 -1 1.05 61.92 2.47 43.00 8.58 -14.10 0.01 0.07 0.24 0.66 2.54 16.12R 2.72 Norwich 8 9 -2 -0.69 44.11 0.15 41.24 8.65 -18.04 0.00 0.04 0.15 0.40 1.74 22.35R 4.65 Stoke 8 9 -2 -1.77 33.19 -1.70 46.42 8.26 -7.59 0.00 0.11 0.41 1.16 4.58 7.27R 0.87 Bournemouth 8 8 -2 -1.90 32.59 -0.12 37.49 8.40 -22.90 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.63 36.99R 9.56 Chelsea 8 8 -5 -5.79 6.97 -9.22 64.76 8.50 19.83 2.58 13.10 28.08 43.63 68.57 0.05R 0.00 West_Brom 8 8 -5 -0.47 46.82 -1.21 42.33 8.26 -15.78 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.33 1.61 17.30R 3.09 Aston_Villa 8 4 -5 -4.44 10.79 -1.17 31.74 7.72 -26.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 64.96R 25.29 Sunderland 8 3 -10 -5.08 7.34 -5.46 30.01 7.59 -33.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 73.59R 35.03 Newcastle 8 3 -11 -3.33 16.21 -2.73 34.36 8.16 -27.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 52.19R 18.03Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Charlton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 10 22 +6 7.52 95.67 4.73 73.65 9.43 10.13 6.84 15.42 52.45 23.15P 0.19R 0.00 Middlesbrough 10 20 +10 2.24 69.07 4.04 81.85 9.62 28.41 28.41 46.80 82.71 58.04P 0.02R 0.00 Reading 10 18 +9 3.96 81.13 8.44 70.12 9.85 13.35 3.97 10.03 39.61 16.28P 0.67R 0.07 Birmingham 10 18 +6 4.09 81.94 5.67 66.42 9.67 4.78 1.73 4.74 25.44 8.74P 1.69R 0.21 Hull 10 18 +6 1.06 58.97 1.26 78.74 9.91 22.55 18.48 33.93 72.96 46.32P 0.05R 0.01 Burnley 10 18 +3 1.77 65.03 -0.69 74.12 10.01 13.24 8.78 18.61 54.57 28.46P 0.28R 0.02 Derby 10 17 +5 0.09 50.78 0.21 77.95 9.89 22.69 16.34 31.22 70.24 42.85P 0.09R 0.01 Cardiff 10 16 +3 1.92 66.71 2.36 66.68 9.72 5.25 1.88 5.07 26.37 9.58P 1.66R 0.19 Wolverhampton 10 15 +4 -0.76 43.26 0.92 71.44 9.86 14.76 5.54 12.42 45.22 21.05P 0.45R 0.04 Sheff_Wed 10 15 +1 1.79 66.38 1.56 61.76 9.54 -2.25 0.55 1.74 12.59 3.85P 4.65R 0.76 QPR 10 15 -2 -0.06 49.45 -4.02 67.44 10.61 2.40 3.01 7.19 30.38 12.73P 2.35R 0.39 Ipswich 10 15 -2 0.50 54.81 -3.21 66.58 9.91 1.29 2.01 5.09 25.87 9.71P 1.98R 0.26 Fulham 10 12 +1 -1.17 40.67 1.97 59.17 10.11 -3.34 0.40 1.30 9.62 2.88P 9.37R 1.99 Nott'm_Forest 10 12 -1 -1.65 36.10 -0.97 60.98 9.82 -1.53 0.51 1.56 11.82 3.71P 6.12R 1.13 Blackburn 10 11 +2 -3.45 21.99 0.86 63.94 9.80 7.50 1.07 3.00 19.13 6.92P 3.25R 0.57 Leeds_United 10 11 -4 -0.56 46.07 -0.93 54.69 9.45 -11.83 0.07 0.30 3.33 0.81P 17.30R 4.26 Charlton 10 10 -3 -1.85 34.46 -0.34 53.67 9.44 -10.67 0.04 0.23 2.75 0.68P 20.10R 5.08 Huddersfield 10 10 -4 -1.25 39.98 -0.22 51.85 9.53 -15.51 0.04 0.13 1.72 0.40P 26.86R 8.18 MK_Dons 10 8 -5 -4.51 15.77 -3.12 51.94 10.21 -13.32 0.08 0.26 2.70 0.81P 27.26R 8.53 Brentford 10 8 -7 -5.03 12.63 -5.82 56.66 9.95 -8.30 0.15 0.61 5.83 1.74P 13.86R 3.39 Rotherham 10 8 -7 -2.20 31.40 -1.52 43.42 9.05 -29.01 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.02P 61.98R 30.75 Bolton 10 8 -7 -3.24 23.33 -3.28 51.26 9.51 -15.98 0.02 0.09 1.60 0.42P 28.76R 8.80 Preston 10 7 -6 -4.52 14.78 -3.04 49.73 9.76 -15.04 0.03 0.10 1.35 0.39P 34.58R 11.29 Bristol_City 10 7 -8 -4.81 13.82 -4.86 49.52 10.28 -19.57 0.04 0.15 1.60 0.49P 36.47R 14.08League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 12 25 +12 6.02 89.11 8.29 77.96 9.28 21.34 19.66 35.00 72.78 45.02P 0.15R 0.00 Burton_Albion 12 25 +4 9.50 97.15 5.20 70.99 9.72 3.43 6.17 13.10 42.58 18.87P 1.77R 0.12 Gillingham 12 24 +12 5.49 85.89 8.94 76.89 9.74 21.47 18.07 31.95 68.19 40.55P 0.35R 0.01 Bury 12 23 +6 7.01 91.50 6.89 68.99 10.12 4.52 4.89 10.62 36.27 15.72P 3.25R 0.23 Coventry 11 22 +10 5.27 86.62 7.52 74.96 9.81 17.32 13.19 24.82 60.54 33.33P 0.54R 0.03 Sheff_Utd 12 20 +3 0.90 56.80 -0.99 74.78 9.55 15.21 12.19 23.60 60.11 34.01P 0.65R 0.04 Southend 12 18 +1 2.98 73.14 2.77 59.88 9.40 -5.23 0.47 1.35 9.60 2.93P 15.37R 1.85 Peterborough 12 17 +3 -1.25 40.51 0.32 69.74 9.68 12.13 4.95 11.31 40.17 18.95P 2.42R 0.20 Rochdale 12 17 +2 -0.06 49.95 1.22 66.25 9.73 5.57 2.58 6.40 26.83 11.32P 5.12R 0.51 Wigan 12 17 +1 -3.14 26.44 -4.46 73.27 9.75 15.19 9.61 19.77 54.22 31.20P 1.01R 0.05 Port_Vale 12 16 +1 0.01 50.87 1.72 60.75 9.39 -1.93 0.64 1.74 11.65 3.88P 12.78R 1.44 Colchester 12 16 -3 1.30 61.01 0.18 57.25 9.40 -12.26 0.26 0.77 5.95 1.67P 23.52R 3.71 Barnsley 11 14 -1 -2.17 32.86 -2.52 64.18 9.81 2.11 1.74 4.36 20.66 8.60P 7.74R 0.82 Shrewsbury 12 14 -2 -2.56 30.83 -2.21 58.16 9.65 -5.52 0.36 1.05 7.79 2.69P 20.32R 3.06 Scunthorpe 12 14 -2 -1.47 39.26 -0.39 55.71 9.39 -10.16 0.14 0.52 4.50 1.33P 28.11R 4.77 Chesterfield 12 14 -3 -3.05 27.58 -3.79 63.06 9.57 0.45 1.04 2.97 16.77 6.51P 8.95R 0.98 Millwall 11 14 -4 -1.32 40.03 -4.23 63.33 10.33 -2.34 1.64 3.97 19.24 7.64P 10.74R 1.34 Bradford 11 13 -4 -1.23 40.64 -2.73 59.55 9.56 -5.85 0.51 1.37 9.50 3.14P 16.53R 2.36 Swindon 12 12 -3 -6.82 8.89 -6.53 63.48 9.69 4.18 1.34 3.66 18.88 8.12P 8.52R 1.01 Doncaster 11 11 -5 -3.38 23.68 -4.00 58.16 9.66 -6.08 0.35 1.01 7.47 2.59P 20.57R 3.33 Oldham 12 11 -6 -3.24 25.87 -2.56 51.39 9.23 -15.72 0.04 0.14 1.61 0.46P 45.28R 11.62 Blackpool 11 11 -8 -2.09 34.01 -5.00 54.14 9.85 -15.19 0.14 0.43 3.65 1.18P 35.37R 8.38 Fleetwood_Town 12 9 -6 -5.39 13.00 -2.88 49.16 9.12 -15.69 0.02 0.08 0.88 0.24P 54.51R 16.20 Crewe 12 9 -8 -2.93 27.46 -0.77 43.86 8.94 -26.96 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.04P 76.42R 37.97League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 October 2015, Exeter 3 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 12 26 +11 6.37 90.58 6.30 81.38 9.31 23.84 21.88 55.01 85.34 63.52P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 12 23 +9 4.66 82.29 6.08 74.67 9.47 16.42 7.51 27.61 63.52 35.92P 0.07R 0.02 Oxford_Utd 12 23 +8 5.17 85.17 5.90 75.05 9.27 16.12 7.43 28.33 65.43 37.61P 0.02R 0.00 Mansfield 12 22 +11 6.06 88.92 11.65 67.13 9.31 8.97 1.58 8.43 32.99 13.23P 0.44R 0.10 Accrington_Stanley 12 22 +6 6.25 89.16 7.16 67.90 9.46 4.53 1.83 9.63 34.87 14.51P 0.47R 0.14 Wycombe 11 21 +8 3.01 73.81 3.72 77.52 9.58 20.61 12.23 39.09 74.04 48.98P 0.02R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 12 21 +6 -1.92 34.24 -4.19 84.27 9.74 31.94 35.86 67.17 90.35 75.50P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 12 21 +4 3.84 77.96 2.97 70.30 9.57 7.90 2.96 14.65 44.88 21.40P 0.26R 0.07 Carlisle 12 19 +0 2.77 71.00 0.77 61.18 9.69 -8.17 0.42 3.06 14.90 5.32P 2.70R 0.84 Luton 12 18 +6 -0.56 45.79 2.92 69.94 9.55 14.00 3.13 14.67 45.11 22.96P 0.26R 0.08 Exeter 12 18 +0 1.52 62.17 0.24 64.14 9.55 -1.27 0.75 4.73 22.44 8.47P 1.44R 0.40 Morecambe 12 17 +0 0.80 57.09 0.57 63.33 9.69 -1.10 0.68 4.38 20.16 7.88P 1.79R 0.48 Bristol_Rovers 11 16 +2 1.74 65.42 3.04 63.50 9.86 1.81 0.73 4.75 21.33 8.53P 1.74R 0.47 AFC_Wimbledon 12 16 -1 0.89 58.09 0.92 59.38 9.22 -5.83 0.21 1.59 9.96 3.30P 3.67R 1.14 Cambridge_Utd 12 14 -3 -0.66 45.67 -0.04 54.72 9.27 -12.51 0.07 0.52 4.39 1.27P 9.53R 3.46 Notts_County 12 14 -5 -3.81 22.91 -6.97 67.50 10.01 5.42 1.90 10.19 34.42 17.42P 0.82R 0.27 Hartlepool 12 13 -7 -0.01 51.41 -1.81 48.36 8.83 -24.17 0.00 0.06 0.77 0.17P 27.38R 12.54 Crawley_Town 12 12 -6 -4.73 17.61 -6.40 62.60 10.00 -0.12 0.61 4.17 19.16 8.51P 2.49R 0.77 York 12 11 -3 -4.77 16.20 -2.13 54.42 9.17 -7.34 0.04 0.47 3.77 1.26P 9.61R 3.68 Stevenage 12 10 -7 -7.08 7.29 -7.77 55.75 9.43 -8.42 0.08 0.72 5.47 1.97P 7.83R 2.73 Barnet 12 10 -8 -2.45 31.72 -1.43 46.68 9.54 -23.99 0.00 0.06 0.79 0.21P 35.40R 18.86 Yeovil 12 9 -7 -7.26 7.10 -6.75 54.41 9.79 -8.82 0.08 0.64 4.73 1.75P 11.17R 4.64 Dag_&_Red 12 8 -9 -6.21 9.84 -5.25 49.05 9.28 -18.00 0.00 0.07 1.07 0.29P 24.75R 11.26 Newport_County 12 6 -15 -6.84 6.51 -9.49 41.47 8.82 -31.81 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 58.12R 38.06National League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 October 2015, Wrexham 3 3 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 17 35 +14 5.12 80.57 3.83 84.99 8.28 29.78 21.30 80.53 35.75P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 17 33 +17 0.79 54.52 3.31 88.93 8.11 42.14 42.10 91.47 58.56P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 17 30 +8 3.95 74.65 4.04 72.36 8.34 11.71 1.48 25.40 5.61P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 17 29 +20 -4.00 23.99 4.98 83.73 7.94 43.08 18.75 79.21 39.76P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 17 29 +9 5.44 80.60 9.22 71.84 9.07 13.16 1.71 25.75 5.18P 0.08R 0.00 Braintree_Town 17 29 +7 4.05 75.53 4.53 71.44 8.10 11.10 1.00 21.06 4.59P 0.02R 0.00 Tranmere 17 27 +9 -4.50 22.04 -3.65 79.76 8.38 28.63 8.59 60.98 25.37P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 16 27 +3 2.20 64.41 -1.23 72.25 8.61 9.06 1.67 25.35 5.78P 0.04R 0.00 Gateshead 17 27 +0 3.40 71.97 -0.16 69.60 8.35 4.13 0.60 15.45 2.98P 0.09R 0.00 Lincoln_City 16 26 +6 3.84 74.63 5.88 68.23 8.58 7.12 0.52 13.53 2.54P 0.15R 0.01 Macclesfield 17 26 +6 -0.05 49.78 2.05 69.69 8.21 11.95 0.57 16.65 3.78P 0.08R 0.00 Aldershot 17 26 -2 3.68 73.71 -0.35 65.63 8.25 -2.51 0.17 7.10 1.22P 0.34R 0.03 Wrexham 17 25 +6 -0.91 44.16 2.16 68.62 8.27 11.64 0.46 14.04 3.13P 0.12R 0.01 Woking 16 24 +7 -1.66 38.47 1.27 70.84 8.60 15.45 1.09 21.84 5.58P 0.09R 0.01 Barrow 17 24 -11 7.17 89.13 -0.11 53.23 8.29 -27.88 0.00 0.31 0.02P 11.43R 1.79 Chester 17 22 -6 3.21 71.61 1.57 56.91 8.09 -14.36 0.00 0.72 0.08P 4.57R 0.54 Welling 17 21 -3 0.97 57.55 1.89 54.90 7.91 -11.95 0.00 0.34 0.03P 6.50R 0.85 Guiseley 17 19 -10 1.36 60.41 -1.23 45.76 7.90 -31.10 0.00 0.02 0.01P 37.60R 10.60 Altrincham 17 18 -13 0.93 58.13 -3.04 47.64 7.77 -29.53 0.00 0.02 0.00P 28.08R 6.56 Boreham_Wood 17 15 -5 -3.30 29.82 2.57 47.95 8.33 -15.23 0.00 0.05 0.01P 26.57R 6.77 Torquay 17 14 -14 -7.77 9.36 -11.10 52.06 8.21 -17.35 0.00 0.17 0.03P 13.02R 2.35 Southport 16 11 -13 -4.67 19.16 -2.98 41.60 7.92 -29.64 0.00 0.01 0.00P 57.49R 23.46 Halifax 17 10 -23 -9.64 4.29 -16.25 40.81 7.98 -38.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.62R 28.00 Kidderminster 17 8 -12 -12.27 1.13 -7.21 42.50 8.02 -20.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.10R 19.01