Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   18  +12       0.87    56.94     1.55    82.79     7.92    52.93    69.09    87.34    94.49    97.49    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   16   +6       1.23    61.46     0.21    73.36     8.34    31.60    16.48    48.28    68.28    80.61    92.82     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd           8   16   +4       1.65    66.39    -1.24    69.41     8.48    22.61     7.76    27.75    48.80    64.47    84.06     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    8   15   +4       5.46    92.59     6.30    53.47     8.34     0.07     0.11     0.98     2.90     6.48    18.42     1.16R    0.08  
Leicester         8   15   +2       4.19    85.30     2.45    50.77     8.49    -8.29     0.08     0.53     1.74     3.81    11.71     2.87R    0.25  
West_Ham          8   14   +6       2.68    76.47     5.84    54.70     8.50     5.07     0.17     1.42     4.30     9.12    23.57     0.89R    0.04  
Everton           8   13   +4       1.75    67.34     3.62    61.06     8.54    14.20     1.17     6.31    14.92    26.27    51.48     0.15R    0.01  
Tottenham         8   13   +4       1.19    62.11     2.92    59.99     8.65    12.70     0.82     5.22    12.80    23.12    46.22     0.23R    0.01  
Southampton       8   12   +3      -0.73    42.74     0.42    59.13     8.61    11.76     0.80     4.19    10.69    19.99    42.27     0.25R    0.01  
Liverpool         8   12   -2      -0.36    46.28    -4.15    58.33     8.72     5.40     0.68     3.52     9.07    17.09    37.82     0.39R    0.04  
Swansea           8   10   +0      -0.34    47.55     1.00    50.19     8.50    -1.99     0.05     0.39     1.35     3.22    10.61     3.19R    0.28  
Watford           8   10   -1       1.02    61.54     2.43    43.05     8.55   -14.02     0.01     0.04     0.20     0.58     2.34    15.96R    2.81  
Norwich           8    9   -2      -0.68    44.32     0.12    41.21     8.63   -17.98     0.00     0.06     0.15     0.45     1.70    22.13R    4.34  
Stoke             8    9   -2      -1.79    32.73    -1.73    46.47     8.30    -7.54     0.01     0.08     0.40     1.19     4.87     7.10R    0.82  
Bournemouth       8    8   -2      -1.83    33.20    -0.02    37.25     8.43   -23.34     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.12     0.63    38.20R    9.84  
Chelsea           8    8   -5      -5.85     6.78    -9.33    65.14     8.52    20.54     2.77    13.86    29.72    45.64    70.24     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom         8    8   -5      -0.40    47.89    -1.11    42.35     8.16   -15.80     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.31     1.56    17.05R    2.89  
Aston_Villa       8    4   -5      -4.44    11.18    -1.15    31.65     7.70   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    65.21R   25.52  
Sunderland        8    3  -10      -5.08     7.42    -5.48    29.88     7.66   -33.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    73.79R   35.62  
Newcastle         8    3  -11      -3.29    16.13    -2.66    34.44     8.17   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14    51.38R   17.44  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Charlton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        10   22   +6       7.54    95.82     4.70    73.69     9.42    10.14     7.01    15.90    52.63    23.70P    0.13R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   10   20  +10       2.27    69.43     4.07    81.85     9.57    28.35    28.61    47.02    82.97    58.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading         10   18   +9       3.95    81.19     8.38    70.29     9.77    13.59     4.12    10.00    40.32    16.54P    0.57R    0.08  
Birmingham      10   18   +6       4.10    82.23     5.67    66.56     9.70     4.97     1.89     5.14    25.92     8.99P    1.58R    0.18  
Hull            10   18   +6       1.13    59.48     1.35    78.58     9.92    22.30    18.26    33.39    72.52    45.48P    0.08R    0.01  
Burnley         10   18   +3       1.80    65.24    -0.61    74.00    10.08    13.04     8.89    18.43    54.38    28.20P    0.28R    0.02  
Derby           10   17   +5       0.10    50.71     0.24    77.76     9.79    22.46    15.63    30.50    69.68    41.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff         10   16   +3       1.94    67.13     2.39    66.37     9.75     4.76     1.86     4.93    25.35     9.32P    1.78R    0.22  
Wolverhampton   10   15   +4      -0.78    43.03     0.89    71.53     9.80    14.90     5.33    12.48    45.43    21.33P    0.52R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       10   15   +1       1.89    67.08     1.71    61.44     9.46    -2.68     0.42     1.51    11.75     3.46P    5.00R    0.81  
QPR             10   15   -2      -0.13    49.06    -4.16    67.62    10.67     2.73     3.42     7.76    31.11    13.33P    2.29R    0.36  
Ipswich         10   15   -2       0.48    54.68    -3.23    66.77     9.94     1.57     2.19     5.44    26.76    10.27P    1.93R    0.27  
Fulham          10   12   +1      -1.14    40.91     2.02    58.93    10.04    -3.76     0.39     1.10     9.12     2.62P    9.66R    2.13  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -1      -1.65    36.38    -1.00    61.10     9.96    -1.34     0.56     1.64    12.43     3.99P    6.38R    1.23  
Blackburn       10   11   +2      -3.44    22.42     0.89    63.72     9.77     7.23     0.96     2.95    18.40     6.81P    3.42R    0.56  
Leeds_United    10   11   -4      -0.54    46.40    -0.87    54.66     9.43   -11.81     0.06     0.24     3.21     0.75P   17.55R    4.27  
Charlton        10   10   -3      -1.96    33.27    -0.49    54.00     9.44   -10.20     0.05     0.20     2.80     0.66P   19.24R    4.94  
Huddersfield    10   10   -4      -1.15    40.84    -0.09    51.56     9.50   -15.94     0.04     0.12     1.70     0.40P   28.01R    8.31  
MK_Dons         10    8   -5      -4.47    15.77    -3.09    51.78    10.10   -13.63     0.05     0.23     2.52     0.73P   27.89R    8.51  
Brentford       10    8   -7      -5.04    12.56    -5.83    56.80    10.00    -8.09     0.15     0.63     5.94     1.78P   13.71R    3.41  
Rotherham       10    8   -7      -2.22    31.29    -1.50    43.51     9.11   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   61.95R   31.00  
Bolton          10    8   -7      -3.26    23.09    -3.30    51.15     9.49   -16.12     0.03     0.12     1.52     0.39P   29.04R    9.15  
Preston         10    7   -6      -4.57    14.54    -3.13    50.11     9.83   -14.47     0.03     0.09     1.51     0.40P   32.80R   10.74  
Bristol_City    10    7   -8      -4.92    13.48    -4.99    49.80    10.36   -19.11     0.04     0.19     1.82     0.54P   36.12R   13.75  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          12   25  +12       6.07    89.39     8.34    77.85     9.28    21.16    19.11    34.44    72.33    44.34P    0.20R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    12   25   +4       9.50    97.14     5.24    70.88     9.60     3.21     5.82    12.38    41.61    17.95P    1.78R    0.12  
Gillingham       12   24  +12       5.40    85.75     8.84    77.02     9.72    21.69    18.52    32.68    68.91    41.22P    0.30R    0.01  
Bury             12   23   +6       6.85    90.86     6.62    69.41    10.10     5.17     5.17    11.18    37.68    16.53P    2.98R    0.19  
Coventry         11   22  +10       5.16    86.17     7.34    75.27     9.78    17.76    13.73    25.95    61.86    34.56P    0.63R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        12   20   +3       0.89    56.89    -0.98    74.70     9.50    15.04    11.59    23.04    59.99    33.48P    0.58R    0.04  
Southend         12   18   +1       3.01    73.42     2.83    59.72     9.44    -5.49     0.50     1.37     9.48     3.05P   15.75R    1.99  
Peterborough     12   17   +3      -1.18    41.13     0.42    69.65     9.63    11.96     4.90    11.04    39.65    18.93P    2.21R    0.14  
Rochdale         12   17   +2      -0.06    50.27     1.25    66.02     9.76     5.22     2.53     6.08    26.29    10.98P    5.36R    0.51  
Wigan            12   17   +1      -3.16    26.34    -4.52    73.42     9.82    15.46    10.00    20.04    54.71    31.65P    0.94R    0.04  
Port_Vale        12   16   +1       0.03    50.93     1.76    60.80     9.42    -1.88     0.59     1.68    11.64     3.80P   13.04R    1.48  
Colchester       12   16   -3       1.36    61.70     0.31    57.15     9.48   -12.43     0.25     0.74     6.01     1.65P   23.92R    4.08  
Barnsley         11   14   -1      -2.05    33.80    -2.38    64.00     9.72     1.86     1.60     4.04    19.88     8.06P    7.77R    0.80  
Shrewsbury       12   14   -2      -2.50    31.31    -2.14    58.09     9.69    -5.61     0.36     1.08     7.71     2.68P   20.69R    3.19  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      -1.55    38.30    -0.53    55.99     9.41    -9.65     0.16     0.50     4.72     1.35P   27.03R    4.53  
Chesterfield     12   14   -3      -3.03    27.44    -3.77    62.98     9.54     0.33     1.04     2.85    16.54     6.25P    9.09R    0.98  
Millwall         11   14   -4      -1.31    40.19    -4.19    63.40    10.32    -2.25     1.76     4.26    19.22     7.94P   10.27R    1.36  
Bradford         11   13   -4      -1.21    40.72    -2.69    59.39     9.37    -6.04     0.41     1.22     8.81     2.95P   16.57R    2.13  
Swindon          12   12   -3      -6.90     8.48    -6.67    63.72     9.75     4.53     1.50     3.94    19.66     8.55P    8.15R    1.00  
Doncaster        11   11   -5      -3.23    24.71    -3.80    57.76     9.63    -6.66     0.30     0.88     7.10     2.32P   21.63R    3.32  
Oldham           12   11   -6      -3.23    26.02    -2.55    51.44     9.23   -15.65     0.03     0.11     1.49     0.41P   44.94R   11.33  
Blackpool        11   11   -8      -2.10    33.87    -5.04    54.15     9.80   -15.15     0.12     0.41     3.60     1.11P   35.37R    8.36  
Fleetwood_Town   12    9   -6      -5.41    13.16    -2.91    49.07     9.21   -15.77     0.02     0.05     0.92     0.22P   54.98R   16.79  
Crewe            12    9   -8      -2.95    27.53    -0.78    43.97     8.96   -26.82     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   75.84R   37.58  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 October 2015, Exeter 3 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             12   26  +11       6.38    90.43     6.30    81.46     9.22    23.97    21.87    55.44    85.94    63.86P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           12   23   +9       4.69    82.65     6.12    74.57     9.50    16.27     6.97    27.28    63.43    36.20P    0.04R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           12   23   +8       5.10    84.70     5.83    75.13     9.38    16.21     7.91    28.83    65.23    37.96P    0.04R    0.01  
Mansfield            12   22  +11       6.11    89.32    11.71    67.04     9.30     8.86     1.46     8.17    32.53    12.87P    0.51R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   12   22   +6       6.25    89.44     7.18    67.76     9.52     4.37     1.84     9.53    34.35    14.21P    0.48R    0.14  
Wycombe              11   21   +8       2.98    73.32     3.66    77.58     9.67    20.75    12.63    39.37    73.70    49.04P    0.01R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient        12   21   +6      -1.83    34.90    -4.10    84.23     9.67    31.78    35.51    67.35    90.32    75.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          12   21   +4       3.84    77.68     2.99    70.26     9.64     7.77     3.06    14.59    44.95    21.27P    0.24R    0.07  
Carlisle             12   19   +0       2.78    71.31     0.82    61.24     9.65    -8.13     0.45     2.93    14.92     5.31P    2.66R    0.84  
Luton                12   18   +6      -0.66    44.74     2.78    70.03     9.48    14.10     3.24    14.52    45.33    23.00P    0.23R    0.08  
Exeter               12   18   +0       1.58    62.83     0.33    64.06     9.67    -1.36     0.76     5.10    22.47     8.87P    1.40R    0.41  
Morecambe            12   17   +0       0.88    57.58     0.70    62.98     9.61    -1.61     0.62     3.93    18.94     7.24P    1.78R    0.52  
Bristol_Rovers       11   16   +2       1.83    65.64     3.16    63.36     9.92     1.59     0.79     4.74    21.18     8.38P    1.90R    0.56  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   16   -1       0.93    58.43     1.01    59.25     9.26    -6.09     0.16     1.51     9.80     3.24P    4.01R    1.29  
Cambridge_Utd        12   14   -3      -0.72    45.13    -0.14    54.91     9.32   -12.22     0.05     0.50     4.63     1.23P    9.57R    3.58  
Notts_County         12   14   -5      -3.80    22.88    -6.94    67.49    10.04     5.41     1.87    10.10    34.95    17.50P    0.95R    0.29  
Hartlepool           12   13   -7      -0.11    50.45    -1.91    48.48     8.82   -24.00     0.01     0.07     0.73     0.16P   26.83R   12.43  
Crawley_Town         12   12   -6      -4.81    17.20    -6.54    62.88     9.96     0.26     0.61     4.18    20.06     8.50P    2.46R    0.78  
York                 12   11   -3      -4.71    16.98    -2.04    54.27     9.18    -7.55     0.04     0.42     3.84     1.21P   10.11R    3.74  
Stevenage            12   10   -7      -7.10     7.62    -7.84    56.00     9.50    -8.04     0.08     0.77     6.06     2.16P    7.70R    2.90  
Barnet               12   10   -8      -2.47    31.54    -1.46    46.77     9.50   -23.87     0.00     0.08     0.86     0.22P   34.97R   18.43  
Yeovil               12    9   -7      -7.27     6.99    -6.79    54.25     9.66    -9.00     0.05     0.50     4.37     1.47P   11.51R    4.71  
Dag_&_Red            12    8   -9      -6.31     9.46    -5.37    49.15     9.37   -17.85     0.00     0.09     1.29     0.32P   24.80R   11.46  
Newport_County       12    6  -15      -6.82     6.68    -9.46    41.60     8.86   -31.63     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   57.79R   37.64  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 October 2015, Altrincham 2 2 Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     17   35  +14       5.18    80.77     3.94    84.82     8.27    29.48    20.89    79.90    34.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       17   33  +17       0.76    54.33     3.24    88.96     8.09    42.18    42.72    91.38    58.79P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   17   30   +8       3.98    74.68     4.12    72.42     8.33    11.81     1.43    25.81     5.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby          17   29  +20      -3.99    24.05     5.01    83.66     7.96    42.96    18.49    78.72    39.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          17   29   +9       5.50    80.85     9.33    71.79     9.00    13.12     1.74    25.36     5.42P    0.05R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   17   29   +7       4.05    75.44     4.52    71.34     8.11    11.03     0.93    20.71     4.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         17   27   +9      -4.49    22.21    -3.58    79.69     8.32    28.52     8.27    60.59    25.25P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        16   27   +3       2.24    64.88    -1.15    72.24     8.59     9.03     1.71    25.04     5.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead        17   27   +0       3.29    71.23    -0.35    69.76     8.30     4.35     0.65    15.79     3.32P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     16   26   +6       3.75    74.07     5.75    68.34     8.57     7.29     0.50    13.64     2.53P    0.17R    0.01  
Macclesfield     17   26   +6       0.09    50.70     2.27    69.48     8.15    11.61     0.54    15.88     3.46P    0.08R    0.00  
Aldershot        17   26   -2       3.68    73.90    -0.37    65.58     8.23    -2.53     0.16     6.84     1.19P    0.26R    0.02  
Woking           16   24   +7      -1.62    39.00     1.37    70.70     8.63    15.23     1.16    21.08     5.22P    0.09R    0.00  
Wrexham          16   24   +6      -0.03    49.92     2.94    69.95     8.42    13.11     0.79    17.83     4.06P    0.06R    0.00  
Barrow           17   24  -11       7.03    88.64    -0.30    53.43     8.17   -27.56     0.00     0.26     0.02P   10.47R    1.50  
Chester          17   22   -6       3.26    72.08     1.62    56.77     8.07   -14.57     0.01     0.62     0.07P    4.45R    0.54  
Welling          17   21   -3       1.02    58.19     1.96    54.81     7.86   -12.15     0.01     0.30     0.06P    6.37R    0.83  
Guiseley         16   18  -10       1.48    61.68    -1.88    44.91     7.96   -32.46     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.93R   12.63  
Altrincham       17   18  -13       0.95    58.37    -3.05    47.63     7.70   -29.57     0.00     0.02     0.00P   28.01R    6.35  
Boreham_Wood     17   15   -5      -3.42    29.15     2.35    48.30     8.32   -14.76     0.00     0.04     0.01P   25.01R    6.34  
Torquay          17   14  -14      -7.84     9.11   -11.21    52.18     8.17   -17.13     0.00     0.17     0.01P   12.67R    2.24  
Southport        16   11  -13      -4.55    19.86    -2.82    41.45     7.82   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.05R   23.51  
Halifax          17   10  -23      -9.70     4.14   -16.38    40.88     7.94   -38.77     0.00     0.00     0.00P   62.10R   27.44  
Kidderminster    17    8  -12     -12.34     1.16    -7.34    42.64     8.02   -20.28     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.08R   18.57