Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 12 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   18  +12       0.89    57.29     1.54    82.83     7.88    53.01    69.86    87.86    94.68    97.59    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   16   +6       1.27    61.82     0.30    73.27     8.26    31.35    15.83    48.14    68.70    80.90    93.03     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           8   16   +4       1.67    66.11    -1.19    69.19     8.49    22.25     7.60    26.85    47.97    63.86    83.29     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    8   15   +4       5.47    92.63     6.32    53.46     8.37     0.06     0.13     0.96     2.92     6.37    18.28     1.18R    0.09  
Leicester         8   15   +2       4.20    85.61     2.45    50.81     8.46    -8.20     0.06     0.47     1.63     3.83    11.85     2.80R    0.21  
West_Ham          8   14   +6       2.64    75.94     5.75    54.93     8.55     5.41     0.20     1.67     4.71     9.71    24.63     0.79R    0.03  
Everton           8   13   +4       1.76    67.55     3.68    60.96     8.55    14.04     1.20     6.21    14.98    26.29    51.00     0.16R    0.00  
Tottenham         8   13   +4       1.12    61.10     2.79    60.28     8.76    13.07     1.02     5.84    13.81    24.26    47.69     0.22R    0.01  
Southampton       8   12   +3      -0.61    44.03     0.56    58.98     8.60    11.49     0.74     4.27    10.59    19.61    41.67     0.25R    0.01  
Liverpool         8   12   -2      -0.38    45.87    -4.16    58.28     8.71     5.39     0.60     3.50     9.02    17.09    37.42     0.41R    0.02  
Swansea           8   10   +0      -0.34    47.35     0.99    50.03     8.49    -2.24     0.06     0.41     1.33     3.28    10.56     3.33R    0.33  
Watford           8   10   -1       1.05    62.09     2.49    42.88     8.66   -14.32     0.00     0.07     0.21     0.60     2.57    16.55R    2.91  
Norwich           8    9   -2      -0.78    43.33    -0.04    41.55     8.72   -17.38     0.00     0.03     0.16     0.49     1.94    21.38R    4.24  
Stoke             8    9   -2      -1.79    32.73    -1.70    46.60     8.28    -7.40     0.01     0.13     0.52     1.32     4.85     6.94R    0.77  
Bournemouth       8    8   -2      -1.79    33.71     0.07    37.19     8.41   -23.45     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.13     0.60    38.30R   10.03  
Chelsea           8    8   -5      -5.82     6.50    -9.27    64.90     8.51    20.10     2.69    13.56    28.58    44.22    69.20     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom         8    8   -5      -0.51    46.36    -1.27    42.52     8.20   -15.49     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.42     1.72    16.57R    2.75  
Aston_Villa       8    4   -5      -4.44    10.89    -1.17    31.68     7.72   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    65.34R   25.48  
Sunderland        8    3  -10      -5.04     7.42    -5.44    29.91     7.61   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.13R   35.31  
Newcastle         8    3  -11      -3.32    16.18    -2.69    34.44     8.21   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.16    51.61R   17.78  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Charlton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        10   22   +6       7.49    95.58     4.66    73.71     9.46    10.20     6.95    15.84    52.53    23.96P    0.19R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   10   20  +10       2.24    69.16     4.03    81.87     9.51    28.40    28.20    46.78    83.08    58.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading         10   18   +9       3.96    81.36     8.44    70.02     9.82    13.19     4.00     9.60    39.06    15.83P    0.66R    0.08  
Birmingham      10   18   +6       4.17    82.50     5.79    66.40     9.76     4.73     1.85     4.95    25.67     8.85P    1.73R    0.25  
Hull            10   18   +6       1.06    58.90     1.27    78.74     9.98    22.56    18.68    33.88    72.47    45.77P    0.07R    0.01  
Burnley         10   18   +3       1.77    64.77    -0.67    74.19    10.08    13.36     9.02    18.72    55.01    28.57P    0.30R    0.03  
Derby           10   17   +5       0.06    50.17     0.19    77.79     9.76    22.50    15.62    30.19    69.83    41.99P    0.06R    0.01  
Cardiff         10   16   +3       1.95    67.22     2.42    66.42     9.73     4.83     1.84     4.73    25.62     9.12P    1.75R    0.24  
Wolverhampton   10   15   +4      -0.73    43.60     0.97    71.43     9.99    14.79     5.55    12.79    44.98    21.41P    0.60R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed       10   15   +1       1.89    66.94     1.72    61.51     9.58    -2.57     0.48     1.61    12.23     3.67P    5.10R    0.85  
QPR             10   15   -2      -0.11    49.02    -4.14    67.62    10.65     2.73     3.19     7.69    30.97    13.20P    2.25R    0.38  
Ipswich         10   15   -2       0.48    54.70    -3.25    66.84     9.97     1.74     2.09     5.58    26.91    10.33P    1.91R    0.28  
Fulham          10   12   +1      -1.08    41.46     2.11    58.80    10.18    -3.97     0.45     1.22     9.23     2.75P   10.15R    2.21  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -1      -1.54    37.20    -0.83    60.87     9.88    -1.71     0.49     1.54    11.79     3.70P    6.56R    1.15  
Blackburn       10   11   +2      -3.46    21.99     0.88    63.90     9.78     7.51     1.08     3.12    18.82     6.98P    3.23R    0.53  
Leeds_United    10   11   -4      -0.54    46.40    -0.88    54.53     9.49   -12.06     0.08     0.26     3.22     0.79P   18.17R    4.54  
Charlton        10   10   -3      -1.95    33.45    -0.51    53.98     9.54   -10.21     0.06     0.24     3.03     0.78P   19.41R    4.93  
Huddersfield    10   10   -4      -1.24    40.29    -0.21    51.76     9.51   -15.66     0.03     0.11     1.76     0.34P   27.19R    8.09  
MK_Dons         10    8   -5      -4.49    15.73    -3.10    51.84    10.19   -13.51     0.06     0.23     2.71     0.72P   27.74R    8.57  
Brentford       10    8   -7      -5.06    12.59    -5.85    56.69    10.00    -8.25     0.20     0.60     6.05     1.85P   13.82R    3.43  
Rotherham       10    8   -7      -2.21    31.36    -1.53    43.43     9.16   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   61.64R   31.21  
Bolton          10    8   -7      -3.30    22.82    -3.37    51.42     9.54   -15.74     0.02     0.09     1.67     0.39P   28.14R    8.78  
Preston         10    7   -6      -4.52    14.48    -3.04    49.80     9.79   -14.91     0.02     0.08     1.30     0.30P   34.05R   11.39  
Bristol_City    10    7   -8      -4.96    13.24    -5.10    49.96    10.32   -18.84     0.04     0.13     1.88     0.49P   35.25R   12.94  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          12   25  +12       6.03    89.01     8.28    77.90     9.24    21.26    19.32    34.56    72.78    44.51P    0.12R    0.01  
Burton_Albion    12   25   +4       9.51    97.19     5.25    70.82     9.66     3.15     5.86    12.49    41.99    18.30P    1.83R    0.13  
Gillingham       12   24  +12       5.37    85.60     8.78    77.19     9.67    21.95    18.63    33.13    69.45    41.87P    0.33R    0.02  
Bury             12   23   +6       6.90    91.16     6.69    69.23     9.95     4.87     4.91    10.62    36.83    15.77P    2.91R    0.18  
Coventry         11   22  +10       5.18    86.15     7.40    75.31     9.87    17.87    14.21    26.38    61.91    34.80P    0.59R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        12   20   +3       0.87    56.78    -0.98    74.61     9.45    14.93    11.46    23.01    59.44    33.36P    0.57R    0.02  
Southend         12   18   +1       3.01    73.44     2.79    59.78     9.50    -5.38     0.53     1.45     9.75     3.22P   15.75R    1.94  
Peterborough     12   17   +3      -1.04    42.08     0.63    69.30     9.73    11.45     4.60    10.57    38.31    17.97P    2.64R    0.23  
Rochdale         12   17   +2      -0.09    49.58     1.20    66.10     9.71     5.33     2.43     5.92    26.26    10.82P    5.30R    0.48  
Wigan            12   17   +1      -3.16    26.40    -4.48    73.50     9.82    15.53    10.05    20.45    54.82    31.76P    1.03R    0.08  
Port_Vale        12   16   +1       0.13    51.87     1.88    60.65     9.42    -2.16     0.60     1.59    11.48     3.77P   13.18R    1.56  
Colchester       12   16   -3       1.29    60.95     0.19    57.19     9.50   -12.31     0.25     0.78     6.07     1.73P   23.98R    3.96  
Barnsley         11   14   -1      -2.17    33.10    -2.55    64.22     9.77     2.13     1.63     4.19    20.52     8.24P    7.56R    0.83  
Shrewsbury       12   14   -2      -2.50    31.31    -2.11    57.91     9.63    -5.82     0.33     1.00     7.34     2.64P   20.84R    3.31  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      -1.49    38.78    -0.42    55.83     9.37    -9.95     0.15     0.53     4.69     1.42P   27.57R    4.59  
Chesterfield     12   14   -3      -3.02    27.71    -3.81    63.12     9.46     0.60     1.00     2.72    16.58     6.36P    8.72R    0.88  
Millwall         11   14   -4      -1.40    39.30    -4.33    63.65    10.34    -1.82     1.81     4.32    20.01     8.21P   10.09R    1.36  
Bradford         11   13   -4      -1.18    41.18    -2.66    59.17     9.43    -6.41     0.36     1.09     8.54     2.76P   17.07R    2.30  
Swindon          12   12   -3      -6.87     8.62    -6.61    63.56     9.65     4.32     1.37     3.65    19.13     8.16P    8.26R    0.86  
Doncaster        11   11   -5      -3.39    23.68    -4.01    58.13     9.61    -6.11     0.30     0.95     7.55     2.55P   20.50R    3.21  
Oldham           12   11   -6      -3.20    26.16    -2.51    51.46     9.20   -15.64     0.03     0.11     1.66     0.36P   45.24R   11.27  
Blackpool        11   11   -8      -2.10    33.90    -5.03    54.23     9.83   -15.05     0.15     0.44     3.77     1.15P   35.09R    8.11  
Fleetwood_Town   12    9   -6      -5.44    12.73    -2.98    49.26     9.09   -15.42     0.01     0.06     0.94     0.23P   54.17R   15.91  
Crewe            12    9   -8      -2.86    27.81    -0.61    43.73     8.95   -27.30     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   76.65R   38.74  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 October 2015, Exeter 3 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             12   26  +11       6.32    90.38     6.24    81.73     9.25    24.32    22.36    56.47    86.52    64.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           12   23   +9       4.64    82.44     6.09    74.63     9.45    16.42     7.27    27.33    63.54    36.18P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           12   23   +8       5.18    85.18     5.91    74.89     9.35    15.90     7.40    27.74    64.57    36.89P    0.04R    0.01  
Mansfield            12   22  +11       6.13    89.31    11.74    66.88     9.29     8.61     1.43     7.95    31.79    12.56P    0.50R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   12   22   +6       6.23    89.22     7.13    67.96     9.50     4.64     1.91     9.87    35.30    14.85P    0.41R    0.09  
Wycombe              11   21   +8       2.94    73.32     3.60    77.80     9.56    21.05    12.61    40.16    74.82    50.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        12   21   +6      -1.97    33.69    -4.28    84.38     9.67    32.06    35.62    67.57    90.54    75.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          12   21   +4       3.92    78.29     3.11    70.25     9.50     7.70     2.79    14.05    44.42    20.79P    0.27R    0.07  
Carlisle             12   19   +0       2.76    70.99     0.75    61.36     9.68    -7.84     0.42     3.03    15.25     5.36P    2.76R    0.91  
Luton                12   18   +6      -0.67    44.81     2.76    70.07     9.54    14.19     3.16    14.65    45.52    23.07P    0.25R    0.06  
Exeter               12   18   +0       1.61    62.98     0.33    63.96     9.63    -1.54     0.73     4.83    21.93     8.47P    1.41R    0.38  
Morecambe            12   17   +0       0.89    57.69     0.71    63.13     9.66    -1.39     0.67     4.11    19.68     7.52P    1.79R    0.56  
Bristol_Rovers       11   16   +2       1.74    64.89     3.04    63.60     9.88     1.99     0.77     4.79    21.82     8.80P    1.85R    0.59  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   16   -1       0.89    58.03     0.98    59.36     9.27    -5.92     0.19     1.51     9.98     3.17P    3.89R    1.28  
Cambridge_Utd        12   14   -3      -0.59    46.24     0.05    54.62     9.29   -12.64     0.03     0.48     4.35     1.19P    9.91R    3.69  
Notts_County         12   14   -5      -3.71    23.66    -6.80    67.15    10.07     4.88     1.89     9.63    33.74    16.65P    0.93R    0.28  
Hartlepool           12   13   -7      -0.06    51.12    -1.85    48.39     8.85   -24.13     0.00     0.05     0.81     0.15P   27.22R   12.20  
Crawley_Town         12   12   -6      -4.73    17.52    -6.44    62.53     9.98    -0.21     0.58     3.91    19.05     8.16P    2.52R    0.81  
York                 12   11   -3      -4.76    16.61    -2.11    54.37     9.23    -7.39     0.04     0.43     4.01     1.20P    9.85R    3.71  
Stevenage            12   10   -7      -7.13     7.36    -7.84    55.95     9.51    -8.14     0.07     0.75     5.87     2.02P    7.76R    2.88  
Barnet               12   10   -8      -2.47    31.67    -1.47    46.80     9.48   -23.81     0.01     0.06     0.85     0.22P   34.80R   18.29  
Yeovil               12    9   -7      -7.25     7.08    -6.74    54.09     9.74    -9.22     0.04     0.54     4.33     1.52P   11.83R    5.02  
Dag_&_Red            12    8   -9      -6.27     9.61    -5.33    49.13     9.31   -17.90     0.01     0.08     1.20     0.33P   24.37R   11.36  
Newport_County       12    6  -15      -6.92     6.30    -9.58    41.63     8.84   -31.63     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   57.56R   37.69  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Aldershot 2 0 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   35  +15       6.39    87.11     4.65    86.66     8.48    31.13    27.66    83.83    41.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       16   30  +16      -0.33    46.83     3.05    87.66     8.45    41.65    34.23    87.28    52.11P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   16   30   +9       4.99    80.28     4.55    73.88     8.50    12.96     2.33    30.35     7.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Bromley          16   29  +10       6.38    85.16     9.44    73.05     9.25    13.85     2.64    29.22     6.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Tranmere         16   27  +10      -2.94    29.66    -2.38    83.47     8.48    33.56    17.33    74.86    36.69P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        16   27   +1       4.31    77.12     0.11    71.55     8.56     5.99     1.04    21.19     4.59P    0.08R    0.00  
Grimsby          16   26  +13      -3.41    27.04     1.72    80.40     8.22    33.06     9.43    63.02    26.25P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     15   26   +7       4.89    80.78     6.36    69.90     8.76     8.60     0.91    17.39     3.38P    0.11R    0.01  
Braintree_Town   16   26   +6       2.56    67.71     3.75    69.41     8.26     9.55     0.56    14.53     3.22P    0.09R    0.00  
Wrexham          16   24   +6      -0.07    49.77     2.88    70.22     8.42    13.50     0.80    17.81     4.12P    0.05R    0.01  
Eastleigh        15   24   +2       0.77    55.39    -1.93    69.90     8.81     6.80     1.04    17.50     3.99P    0.13R    0.01  
Woking           15   23   +7      -1.00    42.77     1.77    72.23     8.86    17.14     1.60    26.11     6.72P    0.06R    0.00  
Macclesfield     16   23   +5      -1.38    40.74     1.45    67.62     8.45    10.26     0.35    11.27     2.56P    0.16R    0.02  
Aldershot        16   23   -3       2.32    66.10    -0.89    63.63     8.47    -4.09     0.09     4.63     0.78P    0.84R    0.09  
Barrow           16   21  -12       5.45    83.90    -1.15    49.23     8.22   -33.25     0.00     0.08     0.01P   24.28R    6.10  
Chester          16   19   -7       1.87    64.33     1.02    54.77     8.29   -16.12     0.00     0.38     0.03P    8.28R    1.49  
Welling          16   18   -4      -0.49    47.75     1.15    53.01     8.07   -13.31     0.00     0.21     0.04P   10.87R    2.04  
Guiseley         16   18  -10       1.54    62.20    -1.76    44.87     7.89   -32.55     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.96R   14.29  
Altrincham       16   17  -13       1.37    61.45    -3.00    47.77     7.84   -29.71     0.00     0.03     0.00    28.89R    7.70  
Boreham_Wood     16   15   -4      -2.39    34.81     2.91    50.20     8.71   -12.91     0.00     0.13     0.03P   20.08R    5.23  
Torquay          16   13  -14      -7.54     9.38   -11.46    51.72     8.42   -18.53     0.00     0.17     0.03P   15.03R    3.37  
Southport        15   11  -12      -3.41    25.89    -2.21    42.97     8.07   -28.52     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.16R   20.85  
Halifax          16   10  -16     -10.39     3.08   -13.01    43.86     8.32   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.82R   18.20  
Kidderminster    16    7  -12     -11.76     1.12    -7.02    42.84     8.22   -20.36     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.03R   20.60