Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   18  +12       0.88    57.44     1.55    82.82     7.94    52.98    69.79    87.75    94.52    97.41    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   16   +6       1.28    62.10     0.31    73.22     8.26    31.27    15.86    48.12    68.12    80.30    92.68     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           8   16   +4       1.63    65.76    -1.26    69.31     8.48    22.46     7.58    27.26    48.41    64.20    83.74     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    8   15   +4       5.46    92.62     6.31    53.45     8.40     0.01     0.14     0.98     2.99     6.52    18.69     1.20R    0.11  
Leicester         8   15   +2       4.21    85.69     2.46    50.85     8.49    -8.14     0.07     0.52     1.71     3.87    11.78     2.85R    0.23  
West_Ham          8   14   +6       2.67    76.21     5.78    54.98     8.52     5.48     0.25     1.55     4.68     9.67    24.60     0.81R    0.06  
Everton           8   13   +4       1.74    67.31     3.62    61.07     8.56    14.18     1.18     6.44    15.35    26.70    51.22     0.14R    0.01  
Tottenham         8   13   +4       1.17    61.72     2.87    60.03     8.73    12.75     0.92     5.47    13.19    23.47    46.54     0.22R    0.01  
Southampton       8   12   +3      -0.68    42.90     0.47    59.13     8.56    11.77     0.76     4.19    10.64    19.87    42.36     0.27R    0.01  
Liverpool         8   12   -2      -0.37    46.12    -4.16    58.37     8.79     5.50     0.69     3.65     9.45    17.70    38.13     0.42R    0.03  
Swansea           8   10   +0      -0.33    47.32     0.99    49.90     8.50    -2.40     0.05     0.36     1.26     2.99    10.04     3.49R    0.32  
Watford           8   10   -1       1.11    62.61     2.59    42.71     8.53   -14.68     0.01     0.05     0.22     0.59     2.31    16.88R    3.00  
Norwich           8    9   -2      -0.72    43.71     0.09    41.37     8.67   -17.76     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.44     1.75    21.75R    4.47  
Stoke             8    9   -2      -1.78    32.97    -1.70    46.46     8.26    -7.54     0.01     0.13     0.48     1.21     4.57     7.34R    0.96  
Bournemouth       8    8   -2      -1.83    33.49    -0.01    37.42     8.52   -23.07     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.16     0.70    37.93R    9.83  
Chelsea           8    8   -5      -5.84     6.64    -9.27    64.90     8.44    20.10     2.69    13.47    28.61    44.51    69.55     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom         8    8   -5      -0.46    46.82    -1.22    42.46     8.19   -15.60     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.35     1.71    16.74R    2.83  
Aston_Villa       8    4   -5      -4.47    10.73    -1.23    31.74     7.70   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    64.77R   25.18  
Sunderland        8    3  -10      -5.04     7.48    -5.40    29.87     7.60   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.17R   35.94  
Newcastle         8    3  -11      -3.36    15.98    -2.78    34.57     8.14   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    50.98R   17.01  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Charlton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        10   22   +6       7.54    95.71     4.73    73.67     9.44    10.12     6.84    15.47    52.56    23.27P    0.16R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   10   20  +10       2.25    69.25     4.05    81.91     9.60    28.43    28.52    47.09    82.92    58.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading         10   18   +9       3.99    81.53     8.46    69.93     9.76    13.09     3.89     9.53    38.97    15.77P    0.65R    0.07  
Birmingham      10   18   +6       4.09    82.00     5.68    66.52     9.69     4.93     1.87     4.99    25.68     9.12P    1.58R    0.21  
Hull            10   18   +6       1.11    59.38     1.32    78.65     9.91    22.47    18.20    33.38    72.57    45.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley         10   18   +3       1.70    64.55    -0.79    74.33    10.04    13.54     9.03    18.80    55.90    29.02P    0.25R    0.02  
Derby           10   17   +5       0.07    50.33     0.21    77.83     9.76    22.56    15.81    30.69    69.87    42.14P    0.10R    0.00  
Cardiff         10   16   +3       1.90    66.80     2.33    66.55     9.77     5.02     1.83     5.06    25.84     9.62P    1.68R    0.26  
Wolverhampton   10   15   +4      -0.74    43.70     0.94    71.41     9.89    14.72     5.34    12.36    45.13    21.02P    0.50R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed       10   15   +1       1.86    66.86     1.66    61.46     9.57    -2.64     0.49     1.56    12.12     3.50P    5.04R    0.74  
QPR             10   15   -2      -0.08    49.55    -4.08    67.58    10.73     2.71     3.42     7.88    30.95    13.29P    2.38R    0.36  
Ipswich         10   15   -2       0.46    54.51    -3.25    66.75     9.98     1.54     2.22     5.46    26.53    10.11P    1.98R    0.26  
Fulham          10   12   +1      -1.15    40.92     2.02    59.03    10.03    -3.58     0.41     1.23     9.29     2.82P    9.36R    1.92  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -1      -1.63    36.30    -0.95    61.15     9.83    -1.28     0.60     1.68    12.07     3.84P    5.85R    1.04  
Blackburn       10   11   +2      -3.42    22.35     0.92    63.76     9.81     7.29     1.05     2.97    18.77     6.79P    3.23R    0.55  
Leeds_United    10   11   -4      -0.47    47.15    -0.83    54.37     9.48   -12.27     0.05     0.23     2.93     0.74P   18.27R    4.72  
Charlton        10   10   -3      -1.94    33.45    -0.48    54.04     9.42   -10.14     0.05     0.21     2.78     0.71P   18.97R    4.72  
Huddersfield    10   10   -4      -1.20    40.25    -0.17    51.75     9.58   -15.69     0.03     0.15     1.81     0.44P   27.27R    8.26  
MK_Dons         10    8   -5      -4.50    15.57    -3.11    51.81    10.23   -13.59     0.08     0.24     2.56     0.74P   27.79R    8.71  
Brentford       10    8   -7      -5.09    12.52    -5.91    56.83    10.01    -7.98     0.19     0.64     5.99     1.84P   13.70R    3.35  
Rotherham       10    8   -7      -2.24    31.13    -1.56    43.59     9.14   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   61.24R   30.14  
Bolton          10    8   -7      -3.30    23.00    -3.35    51.51     9.61   -15.61     0.02     0.13     1.67     0.40P   28.02R    8.65  
Preston         10    7   -6      -4.50    14.94    -3.01    49.72     9.87   -15.00     0.02     0.09     1.36     0.35P   34.47R   11.48  
Bristol_City    10    7   -8      -4.81    13.94    -4.81    49.33    10.33   -19.86     0.04     0.14     1.57     0.46P   37.42R   14.49  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          12   25  +12       6.03    89.27     8.29    77.81     9.29    21.15    18.78    34.00    71.98    43.99P    0.15R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    12   25   +4       9.51    97.10     5.22    70.95     9.69     3.32     6.01    12.75    42.58    18.49P    1.76R    0.10  
Gillingham       12   24  +12       5.32    85.28     8.66    77.38     9.73    22.24    19.05    33.57    69.77    42.35P    0.30R    0.01  
Bury             12   23   +6       6.95    91.31     6.79    69.04    10.06     4.57     4.71    10.31    36.17    15.28P    3.23R    0.22  
Coventry         11   22  +10       5.15    86.01     7.35    75.30     9.82    17.85    13.64    26.01    61.87    34.49P    0.53R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        12   20   +3       0.91    56.98    -0.93    74.60     9.53    14.91    11.53    22.64    59.16    33.06P    0.60R    0.03  
Southend         12   18   +1       3.05    73.93     2.87    59.53     9.37    -5.73     0.47     1.26     8.84     2.73P   15.98R    1.89  
Peterborough     12   17   +3      -1.21    40.72     0.38    69.76     9.68    12.10     5.00    11.29    40.16    19.05P    2.23R    0.17  
Rochdale         12   17   +2      -0.08    49.74     1.19    66.10     9.75     5.31     2.47     6.13    26.09    10.79P    5.26R    0.57  
Wigan            12   17   +1      -3.23    25.89    -4.59    73.64     9.78    15.78    10.20    20.65    55.70    32.50P    0.91R    0.03  
Port_Vale        12   16   +1       0.08    51.40     1.83    60.68     9.37    -2.09     0.57     1.69    11.32     3.79P   12.89R    1.49  
Colchester       12   16   -3       1.33    61.43     0.27    57.14     9.43   -12.34     0.24     0.72     5.89     1.68P   23.89R    3.81  
Barnsley         11   14   -1      -2.10    33.35    -2.45    64.17     9.79     2.04     1.64     4.05    20.32     7.94P    7.77R    0.80  
Shrewsbury       12   14   -2      -2.52    31.21    -2.14    58.05     9.69    -5.69     0.36     1.00     7.60     2.61P   20.25R    3.14  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      -1.47    39.10    -0.39    55.79     9.51   -10.00     0.18     0.53     4.64     1.38P   27.84R    4.88  
Chesterfield     12   14   -3      -3.02    27.95    -3.77    63.18     9.59     0.62     1.11     2.99    16.96     6.52P    8.96R    0.92  
Millwall         11   14   -4      -1.32    39.98    -4.22    63.48    10.32    -2.14     1.76     4.24    19.51     8.05P   10.29R    1.28  
Bradford         11   13   -4      -1.20    40.84    -2.65    59.37     9.45    -6.12     0.41     1.18     8.81     2.95P   16.62R    2.33  
Swindon          12   12   -3      -6.86     8.71    -6.59    63.52     9.65     4.21     1.34     3.40    18.76     7.90P    8.26R    0.90  
Doncaster        11   11   -5      -3.29    24.28    -3.88    57.88     9.70    -6.48     0.31     0.94     7.19     2.50P   21.17R    3.53  
Oldham           12   11   -6      -3.20    26.17    -2.51    51.38     9.27   -15.71     0.05     0.11     1.58     0.40P   45.37R   11.41  
Blackpool        11   11   -8      -2.09    34.15    -5.02    54.18     9.95   -15.11     0.14     0.46     3.85     1.21P   35.33R    8.33  
Fleetwood_Town   12    9   -6      -5.45    13.01    -2.97    49.16     9.22   -15.63     0.02     0.08     1.01     0.29P   54.65R   16.23  
Crewe            12    9   -8      -2.94    27.48    -0.75    43.86     8.99   -27.07     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   75.76R   37.91  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 October 2015, Exeter 3 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             12   26  +11       6.42    90.48     6.35    81.48     9.32    24.00    21.89    55.20    85.78    63.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           12   23   +9       4.65    82.49     6.13    74.70     9.45    16.50     7.38    27.35    63.75    36.33P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           12   23   +8       5.07    84.59     5.75    75.22     9.39    16.33     8.01    29.01    65.46    38.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield            12   22  +11       6.10    89.42    11.71    67.05     9.41     8.83     1.62     8.51    32.47    13.21P    0.53R    0.13  
Accrington_Stanley   12   22   +6       6.26    89.35     7.17    67.93     9.56     4.61     1.93     9.73    35.25    14.57P    0.54R    0.16  
Wycombe              11   21   +8       2.93    73.22     3.59    77.85     9.63    21.12    13.03    40.33    74.82    50.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        12   21   +6      -1.80    35.05    -4.02    84.06     9.73    31.57    34.73    66.14    89.84    74.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          12   21   +4       3.85    77.83     3.01    70.37     9.65     7.93     3.16    14.96    45.23    21.78P    0.25R    0.08  
Carlisle             12   19   +0       2.82    71.31     0.82    61.16     9.66    -8.17     0.39     2.87    14.67     5.07P    2.73R    0.87  
Luton                12   18   +6      -0.68    44.67     2.73    70.07     9.52    14.17     3.02    14.70    45.47    23.15P    0.23R    0.08  
Exeter               12   18   +0       1.56    62.61     0.32    64.10     9.61    -1.32     0.72     4.99    22.33     8.71P    1.45R    0.45  
Morecambe            12   17   +0       0.84    57.15     0.60    63.33     9.57    -1.03     0.62     4.20    19.97     7.56P    1.75R    0.49  
Bristol_Rovers       11   16   +2       1.76    65.32     3.08    63.53     9.87     1.82     0.75     4.84    21.41     8.60P    1.75R    0.53  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   16   -1       0.97    58.85     1.07    59.13     9.29    -6.27     0.17     1.46     9.78     3.04P    4.14R    1.40  
Cambridge_Utd        12   14   -3      -0.68    45.57    -0.05    54.64     9.31   -12.60     0.03     0.47     4.32     1.25P    9.83R    3.79  
Notts_County         12   14   -5      -3.70    23.60    -6.80    67.01    10.02     4.63     1.77     9.40    33.02    16.14P    0.91R    0.26  
Hartlepool           12   13   -7      -0.07    50.76    -1.89    48.48     8.82   -24.00     0.01     0.05     0.74     0.15P   26.66R   12.06  
Crawley_Town         12   12   -6      -4.76    17.25    -6.46    62.65     9.96    -0.02     0.58     3.97    19.43     8.27P    2.41R    0.82  
York                 12   11   -3      -4.66    17.00    -1.97    54.14     9.24    -7.71     0.03     0.39     3.80     1.14P   10.65R    3.84  
Stevenage            12   10   -7      -7.10     7.36    -7.86    55.90     9.46    -8.23     0.07     0.74     5.85     2.07P    7.79R    2.95  
Barnet               12   10   -8      -2.51    31.38    -1.57    46.86     9.43   -23.67     0.00     0.04     0.76     0.16P   34.48R   18.15  
Yeovil               12    9   -7      -7.23     7.19    -6.73    54.17     9.81    -9.10     0.06     0.55     4.56     1.57P   12.00R    5.21  
Dag_&_Red            12    8   -9      -6.26     9.54    -5.34    49.10     9.33   -17.93     0.01     0.09     1.18     0.35P   24.55R   11.42  
Newport_County       12    6  -15      -6.98     6.08    -9.65    41.73     8.87   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   57.26R   37.30  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Aldershot 2 0 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   35  +15       6.32    86.86     4.57    86.64     8.44    31.09    27.85    83.98    41.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       16   30  +16      -0.31    46.73     3.15    87.59     8.44    41.56    34.31    87.44    51.96P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   16   30   +9       4.98    80.33     4.54    73.88     8.56    13.01     2.24    30.54     7.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley          16   29  +10       6.31    84.83     9.30    73.09     9.30    13.95     2.59    29.31     6.82P    0.10R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   27  +10      -2.94    29.88    -2.40    83.52     8.53    33.64    17.28    74.92    36.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        16   27   +1       4.42    77.70     0.28    71.37     8.56     5.68     1.03    20.34     4.22P    0.06R    0.00  
Grimsby          16   26  +13      -3.51    26.58     1.57    80.52     8.22    33.26     9.52    63.69    26.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     15   26   +7       4.85    80.74     6.28    69.98     8.75     8.73     0.84    17.68     3.34P    0.11R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   16   26   +6       2.65    68.26     3.86    69.26     8.28     9.37     0.59    14.17     3.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Wrexham          16   24   +6      -0.04    49.90     2.91    70.20     8.48    13.47     0.82    18.01     4.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Eastleigh        15   24   +2       0.63    54.40    -2.08    69.95     8.83     6.90     1.02    17.63     4.16P    0.13R    0.01  
Woking           15   23   +7      -0.87    43.55     1.96    72.09     8.78    16.89     1.47    25.35     6.58P    0.06R    0.00  
Macclesfield     16   23   +5      -1.43    40.14     1.41    67.75     8.41    10.39     0.36    11.38     2.61P    0.19R    0.01  
Aldershot        16   23   -3       2.43    67.07    -0.76    63.49     8.53    -4.30     0.06     4.51     0.78P    0.89R    0.09  
Barrow           16   21  -12       5.37    83.57    -1.23    49.35     8.17   -33.06     0.00     0.08     0.01P   23.90R    5.85  
Chester          16   19   -7       1.89    64.32     1.06    54.79     8.36   -16.12     0.00     0.41     0.05P    8.47R    1.59  
Welling          16   18   -4      -0.29    48.97     1.45    52.60     8.03   -13.97     0.00     0.16     0.02P   11.63R    2.17  
Guiseley         16   18  -10       1.52    61.95    -1.86    44.98     8.02   -32.32     0.00     0.02     0.00P   42.91R   14.68  
Altrincham       16   17  -13       1.39    61.96    -2.99    47.71     7.91   -29.77     0.00     0.03     0.00    29.37R    8.05  
Boreham_Wood     16   15   -4      -2.44    34.76     2.82    50.29     8.70   -12.82     0.00     0.18     0.02P   19.84R    5.29  
Torquay          16   13  -14      -7.57     9.27   -11.48    51.84     8.45   -18.30     0.00     0.15     0.03P   15.03R    3.48  
Southport        15   11  -12      -3.42    26.05    -2.27    43.09     8.15   -28.40     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.87R   20.58  
Halifax          16   10  -16     -10.40     3.01   -13.05    43.88     8.27   -28.67     0.00     0.02     0.00    47.04R   18.03  
Kidderminster    16    7  -12     -11.77     1.22    -7.07    43.00     8.19   -20.19     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.28R   20.17