Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   18  +12       0.89    57.15     1.54    82.81     7.87    52.92    69.74    87.65    94.61    97.46    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   16   +6       1.27    61.82     0.27    73.20     8.32    31.31    15.66    47.80    68.00    80.39    92.54     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd           8   16   +4       1.61    65.63    -1.29    69.52     8.52    22.82     8.04    28.18    49.31    64.97    84.13     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    8   15   +4       5.42    92.26     6.25    53.58     8.29     0.22     0.13     0.92     2.96     6.43    18.58     1.18R    0.05  
Leicester         8   15   +2       4.28    85.83     2.59    50.59     8.43    -8.58     0.07     0.54     1.60     3.61    11.22     2.85R    0.24  
West_Ham          8   14   +6       2.67    76.17     5.79    54.86     8.54     5.31     0.21     1.55     4.54     9.36    24.54     0.82R    0.05  
Everton           8   13   +4       1.77    67.72     3.67    61.00     8.58    14.09     1.14     6.27    15.15    26.41    51.17     0.17R    0.01  
Tottenham         8   13   +4       1.20    62.11     2.90    59.97     8.66    12.62     0.89     5.26    12.81    23.20    46.21     0.26R    0.01  
Southampton       8   12   +3      -0.71    42.81     0.42    59.29     8.59    12.00     0.82     4.34    11.06    20.65    43.13     0.25R    0.01  
Liverpool         8   12   -2      -0.40    45.77    -4.20    58.46     8.74     5.63     0.67     3.78     9.42    17.56    38.32     0.38R    0.03  
Swansea           8   10   +0      -0.33    47.38     1.01    50.05     8.49    -2.17     0.06     0.36     1.38     3.18    10.30     3.50R    0.37  
Watford           8   10   -1       1.05    61.99     2.47    42.93     8.66   -14.25     0.00     0.06     0.24     0.64     2.62    16.55R    3.13  
Norwich           8    9   -2      -0.74    43.73     0.07    41.39     8.54   -17.70     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.36     1.67    21.31R    4.23  
Stoke             8    9   -2      -1.76    32.91    -1.66    46.32     8.26    -7.70     0.01     0.09     0.38     1.15     4.69     7.40R    0.91  
Bournemouth       8    8   -2      -1.82    33.74    -0.00    37.44     8.49   -23.06     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.15     0.67    37.56R    9.69  
Chelsea           8    8   -5      -5.80     6.89    -9.23    64.82     8.49    19.94     2.55    13.13    28.26    44.13    69.00     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom         8    8   -5      -0.42    47.66    -1.13    42.18     8.13   -16.01     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.31     1.54    17.43R    3.04  
Aston_Villa       8    4   -5      -4.49    10.61    -1.24    31.82     7.74   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    64.64R   25.03  
Sunderland        8    3  -10      -5.08     7.22    -5.47    30.03     7.66   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.49R   35.15  
Newcastle         8    3  -11      -3.35    15.89    -2.76    34.35     8.16   -27.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14    52.14R   18.04  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Charlton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        10   22   +6       7.57    95.84     4.77    73.53     9.38     9.88     6.51    15.07    51.98    23.15P    0.19R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   10   20  +10       2.20    68.67     3.97    82.07     9.58    28.68    29.08    47.79    83.43    58.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading         10   18   +9       3.94    81.11     8.40    70.23     9.80    13.51     4.11    10.11    40.19    16.61P    0.67R    0.07  
Birmingham      10   18   +6       4.18    82.71     5.78    66.48     9.69     4.81     1.78     4.87    25.64     8.90P    1.62R    0.16  
Hull            10   18   +6       1.02    58.40     1.20    78.89     9.89    22.75    18.67    34.45    73.50    46.80P    0.05R    0.01  
Burnley         10   18   +3       1.81    65.65    -0.61    74.00    10.04    13.10     8.59    18.34    54.24    27.88P    0.24R    0.02  
Derby           10   17   +5       0.11    50.57     0.25    77.77     9.85    22.51    15.75    30.28    69.97    41.81P    0.06R    0.01  
Cardiff         10   16   +3       1.89    66.80     2.33    66.60     9.82     5.13     1.98     5.13    26.29     9.67P    1.70R    0.24  
Wolverhampton   10   15   +4      -0.70    44.17     1.01    71.22     9.82    14.48     5.19    12.01    44.05    20.43P    0.52R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed       10   15   +1       1.88    67.28     1.69    61.44     9.49    -2.69     0.50     1.46    11.91     3.47P    4.95R    0.81  
QPR             10   15   -2      -0.12    49.19    -4.12    67.55    10.78     2.65     3.39     7.73    31.01    13.23P    2.41R    0.43  
Ipswich         10   15   -2       0.47    54.72    -3.25    66.52    10.01     1.22     2.02     5.35    26.08     9.97P    2.11R    0.29  
Fulham          10   12   +1      -1.08    41.50     2.11    58.84    10.06    -3.89     0.41     1.14     9.11     2.69P    9.64R    2.14  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -1      -1.65    36.34    -0.99    61.18     9.94    -1.29     0.59     1.72    12.61     4.13P    6.04R    1.16  
Blackburn       10   11   +2      -3.39    22.53     0.98    63.66     9.73     7.13     0.92     2.75    18.30     6.59P    3.39R    0.56  
Leeds_United    10   11   -4      -0.55    46.28    -0.91    54.65     9.45   -11.93     0.07     0.24     3.11     0.72P   17.83R    4.31  
Charlton        10   10   -3      -1.97    33.18    -0.54    54.16     9.50    -9.97     0.05     0.21     2.99     0.71P   19.00R    4.68  
Huddersfield    10   10   -4      -1.24    40.20    -0.25    51.87     9.50   -15.42     0.03     0.15     1.87     0.43P   26.77R    7.94  
MK_Dons         10    8   -5      -4.60    14.85    -3.26    52.26    10.19   -12.93     0.09     0.28     2.90     0.85P   26.43R    7.86  
Brentford       10    8   -7      -5.10    12.59    -5.92    56.74    10.05    -8.13     0.19     0.61     6.00     1.82P   14.02R    3.46  
Rotherham       10    8   -7      -2.20    31.55    -1.48    43.36     9.11   -29.15     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   62.38R   31.50  
Bolton          10    8   -7      -3.28    22.95    -3.33    51.31     9.58   -15.86     0.02     0.10     1.66     0.42P   28.78R    8.90  
Preston         10    7   -6      -4.46    15.15    -2.98    49.79     9.79   -14.96     0.02     0.07     1.31     0.32P   34.26R   11.18  
Bristol_City    10    7   -8      -4.82    14.08    -4.86    49.49    10.35   -19.65     0.04     0.13     1.66     0.47P   36.93R   14.20  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall          12   25  +12       6.12    89.56     8.43    77.64     9.27    20.88    18.70    33.71    71.58    43.43P    0.16R    0.00  
Burton_Albion    12   25   +4       9.51    97.11     5.25    71.00     9.61     3.38     5.83    12.77    42.43    18.46P    1.61R    0.11  
Gillingham       12   24  +12       5.38    85.43     8.78    77.23     9.70    21.93    18.94    33.25    69.42    41.83P    0.28R    0.01  
Bury             12   23   +6       6.94    91.11     6.79    68.95    10.00     4.50     4.64    10.19    35.85    15.41P    3.26R    0.22  
Coventry         11   22  +10       5.22    86.36     7.44    75.12     9.90    17.58    13.67    25.85    61.13    34.38P    0.63R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        12   20   +3       0.84    56.52    -1.06    74.73     9.54    15.14    11.83    23.36    60.01    33.98P    0.57R    0.03  
Southend         12   18   +1       2.88    72.55     2.61    60.08     9.45    -4.91     0.51     1.48    10.15     3.27P   15.01R    1.79  
Peterborough     12   17   +3      -1.13    41.42     0.49    69.54     9.73    11.82     4.74    11.00    39.28    18.44P    2.48R    0.21  
Rochdale         12   17   +2      -0.09    49.80     1.19    66.09     9.79     5.35     2.61     6.14    26.60    11.01P    5.29R    0.51  
Wigan            12   17   +1      -3.21    25.87    -4.53    73.53     9.79    15.60    10.33    20.40    55.35    32.00P    1.01R    0.03  
Port_Vale        12   16   +1       0.12    51.70     1.90    60.57     9.40    -2.21     0.58     1.66    11.00     3.65P   13.37R    1.51  
Colchester       12   16   -3       1.31    61.28     0.25    57.08     9.43   -12.48     0.25     0.77     5.93     1.77P   23.91R    3.95  
Barnsley         11   14   -1      -2.17    32.95    -2.52    64.27     9.84     2.25     1.75     4.33    21.01     8.56P    7.67R    0.82  
Shrewsbury       12   14   -2      -2.46    31.65    -2.06    57.98     9.67    -5.83     0.43     1.09     7.58     2.58P   20.65R    3.08  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      -1.53    38.77    -0.49    55.84     9.41    -9.92     0.20     0.53     4.63     1.44P   27.60R    4.74  
Chesterfield     12   14   -3      -3.01    27.78    -3.78    63.08     9.59     0.53     1.05     2.93    16.96     6.50P    9.17R    1.00  
Millwall         11   14   -4      -1.36    39.38    -4.28    63.59    10.28    -1.95     1.73     4.19    19.64     8.03P   10.01R    1.39  
Bradford         11   13   -4      -1.17    41.03    -2.65    59.28     9.55    -6.28     0.40     1.28     8.93     2.96P   17.16R    2.54  
Swindon          12   12   -3      -6.89     8.55    -6.65    63.65     9.62     4.43     1.40     3.61    19.12     8.16P    7.87R    0.89  
Doncaster        11   11   -5      -3.37    23.71    -3.99    58.17     9.53    -6.06     0.27     0.89     7.18     2.35P   20.06R    3.16  
Oldham           12   11   -6      -3.19    26.10    -2.50    51.40     9.22   -15.79     0.03     0.09     1.58     0.39P   45.34R   11.38  
Blackpool        11   11   -8      -2.08    33.89    -4.99    54.13     9.81   -15.22     0.12     0.40     3.61     1.12P   35.45R    8.17  
Fleetwood_Town   12    9   -6      -5.40    13.12    -2.91    49.08     9.09   -15.71     0.01     0.06     0.84     0.24P   55.15R   16.20  
Crewe            12    9   -8      -2.92    27.46    -0.74    43.87     8.92   -27.04     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   76.30R   38.20  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnet 1 2 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth           12   23   +9       4.58    82.20     5.98    74.70     9.50    16.48     7.87    28.50    63.49    36.91P    0.05R    0.01  
Plymouth             11   23   +9       5.15    86.51     4.90    78.66     9.55    20.31    15.42    43.90    77.35    53.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           12   23   +8       5.18    85.24     5.91    74.92     9.35    15.89     7.99    28.65    64.76    37.62P    0.04R    0.01  
Mansfield            12   22  +11       6.10    89.28    11.69    66.85     9.24     8.53     1.58     8.22    31.58    12.71P    0.45R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   12   22   +6       6.31    89.47     7.26    67.91     9.49     4.57     2.09    10.07    34.84    14.97P    0.52R    0.15  
Wycombe              11   21   +8       2.94    73.46     3.58    77.63     9.59    20.77    13.16    39.89    74.04    49.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        12   21   +6      -1.90    34.47    -4.18    84.52     9.67    32.28    37.65    68.75    90.55    76.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          12   21   +4       3.93    78.38     3.14    70.05     9.61     7.43     3.11    14.50    43.83    21.05P    0.27R    0.06  
Carlisle             12   19   +0       2.70    70.61     0.64    61.31     9.62    -7.92     0.42     3.07    14.94     5.30P    2.76R    0.87  
Luton                12   18   +6      -0.61    45.22     2.86    69.93     9.53    13.95     3.36    14.93    44.76    22.99P    0.29R    0.07  
Morecambe            12   17   +0       0.91    57.91     0.74    63.13     9.60    -1.35     0.73     4.16    19.48     7.41P    1.77R    0.50  
Exeter               11   17   +0       2.00    66.69     0.34    64.62     9.86    -1.06     1.03     6.08    24.45    10.03P    1.44R    0.44  
Bristol_Rovers       11   16   +2       1.75    65.16     3.07    63.42     9.86     1.71     0.79     4.86    20.99     8.53P    1.85R    0.58  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   16   -1       0.96    58.60     1.04    59.10     9.28    -6.29     0.20     1.51     9.55     3.08P    4.03R    1.34  
Notts_County         11   14   -3      -2.79    28.57    -5.48    69.84    10.25     8.89     3.73    15.94    43.83    24.28P    0.53R    0.15  
Cambridge_Utd        12   14   -3      -0.58    46.27     0.08    54.65     9.36   -12.62     0.03     0.51     4.40     1.25P   10.10R    3.74  
Hartlepool           12   13   -7      -0.11    50.59    -1.96    48.48     8.81   -23.93     0.01     0.07     0.80     0.17P   26.98R   12.04  
Crawley_Town         12   12   -6      -4.71    17.66    -6.40    62.49    10.07    -0.28     0.60     4.10    19.03     8.25P    2.71R    0.90  
York                 12   11   -3      -4.71    16.60    -2.02    54.43     9.16    -7.31     0.04     0.40     3.88     1.21P    9.64R    3.68  
Barnet               12   10   -8      -2.56    31.07    -1.62    46.96     9.52   -23.52     0.01     0.08     0.86     0.25P   34.72R   18.32  
Yeovil               12    9   -7      -7.28     7.08    -6.80    54.31     9.83    -8.92     0.05     0.65     4.56     1.77P   11.98R    4.98  
Stevenage            11    9   -7      -6.72     7.46    -7.86    56.19     9.71    -8.20     0.11     1.01     6.62     2.41P    7.87R    3.00  
Dag_&_Red            12    8   -9      -6.26     9.47    -5.33    49.21     9.38   -17.76     0.01     0.13     1.28     0.34P   24.51R   11.45  
Newport_County       12    6  -15      -6.92     6.36    -9.59    41.62     8.85   -31.66     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   57.45R   37.59  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Aldershot 2 0 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   35  +15       6.33    86.68     4.58    86.63     8.45    31.08    27.73    84.08    41.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       16   30  +16      -0.19    47.95     3.23    87.42     8.45    41.30    33.22    86.77    51.16P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   16   30   +9       4.90    79.97     4.41    74.04     8.51    13.28     2.45    31.02     7.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley          16   29  +10       6.42    85.22     9.50    73.10     9.31    13.96     2.69    29.49     6.88P    0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere         16   27  +10      -3.00    29.36    -2.47    83.58     8.48    33.68    17.81    75.17    37.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        16   27   +1       4.33    77.46     0.13    71.54     8.51     5.95     1.09    21.04     4.45P    0.07R    0.00  
Grimsby          16   26  +13      -3.49    26.43     1.64    80.50     8.25    33.23     9.74    63.54    26.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     15   26   +7       4.93    81.01     6.41    69.82     8.79     8.53     0.87    17.33     3.39P    0.10R    0.01  
Braintree_Town   16   26   +6       2.70    68.37     3.92    69.24     8.30     9.37     0.52    14.11     3.06P    0.09R    0.01  
Wrexham          16   24   +6       0.02    50.17     3.03    70.03     8.45    13.27     0.71    17.29     3.98P    0.07R    0.00  
Eastleigh        15   24   +2       0.76    55.26    -1.92    69.82     8.94     6.70     1.12    17.63     4.24P    0.15R    0.00  
Woking           15   23   +7      -0.95    43.11     1.85    72.06     8.79    16.88     1.56    25.48     6.56P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield     16   23   +5      -1.51    39.75     1.28    67.85     8.41    10.57     0.40    11.68     2.63P    0.20R    0.00  
Aldershot        16   23   -3       2.41    66.85    -0.80    63.44     8.43    -4.36     0.07     4.32     0.68P    0.84R    0.07  
Barrow           16   21  -12       5.45    84.17    -1.16    49.23     8.26   -33.31     0.00     0.10     0.02P   25.01R    6.26  
Chester          16   19   -7       1.87    64.31     1.03    54.82     8.35   -16.08     0.00     0.39     0.05P    8.40R    1.59  
Welling          16   18   -4      -0.45    48.08     1.21    52.99     8.08   -13.35     0.00     0.18     0.04P   10.76R    2.04  
Guiseley         16   18  -10       1.49    61.81    -1.83    44.96     8.03   -32.37     0.00     0.03     0.00    42.81R   14.55  
Altrincham       16   17  -13       1.41    61.97    -2.93    47.59     7.85   -29.94     0.00     0.03     0.00P   29.76R    8.08  
Boreham_Wood     16   15   -4      -2.49    34.38     2.78    50.50     8.66   -12.57     0.00     0.14     0.03P   18.80R    5.02  
Torquay          16   13  -14      -7.59     9.18   -11.52    51.78     8.39   -18.42     0.00     0.15     0.03P   15.03R    3.31  
Southport        15   11  -12      -3.38    26.13    -2.11    42.96     8.10   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.57R   20.86  
Halifax          16   10  -16     -10.41     2.98   -13.08    43.83     8.33   -28.72     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.09R   18.17  
Kidderminster    16    7  -12     -11.83     1.19    -7.18    43.07     8.30   -20.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.14R   20.01