Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 10 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 8 18 +12 0.89 57.15 1.54 82.81 7.87 52.92 69.74 87.65 94.61 97.46 99.46 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 8 16 +6 1.27 61.82 0.27 73.20 8.32 31.31 15.66 47.80 68.00 80.39 92.54 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 8 16 +4 1.61 65.63 -1.29 69.52 8.52 22.82 8.04 28.18 49.31 64.97 84.13 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 8 15 +4 5.42 92.26 6.25 53.58 8.29 0.22 0.13 0.92 2.96 6.43 18.58 1.18R 0.05 Leicester 8 15 +2 4.28 85.83 2.59 50.59 8.43 -8.58 0.07 0.54 1.60 3.61 11.22 2.85R 0.24 West_Ham 8 14 +6 2.67 76.17 5.79 54.86 8.54 5.31 0.21 1.55 4.54 9.36 24.54 0.82R 0.05 Everton 8 13 +4 1.77 67.72 3.67 61.00 8.58 14.09 1.14 6.27 15.15 26.41 51.17 0.17R 0.01 Tottenham 8 13 +4 1.20 62.11 2.90 59.97 8.66 12.62 0.89 5.26 12.81 23.20 46.21 0.26R 0.01 Southampton 8 12 +3 -0.71 42.81 0.42 59.29 8.59 12.00 0.82 4.34 11.06 20.65 43.13 0.25R 0.01 Liverpool 8 12 -2 -0.40 45.77 -4.20 58.46 8.74 5.63 0.67 3.78 9.42 17.56 38.32 0.38R 0.03 Swansea 8 10 +0 -0.33 47.38 1.01 50.05 8.49 -2.17 0.06 0.36 1.38 3.18 10.30 3.50R 0.37 Watford 8 10 -1 1.05 61.99 2.47 42.93 8.66 -14.25 0.00 0.06 0.24 0.64 2.62 16.55R 3.13 Norwich 8 9 -2 -0.74 43.73 0.07 41.39 8.54 -17.70 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.36 1.67 21.31R 4.23 Stoke 8 9 -2 -1.76 32.91 -1.66 46.32 8.26 -7.70 0.01 0.09 0.38 1.15 4.69 7.40R 0.91 Bournemouth 8 8 -2 -1.82 33.74 -0.00 37.44 8.49 -23.06 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.15 0.67 37.56R 9.69 Chelsea 8 8 -5 -5.80 6.89 -9.23 64.82 8.49 19.94 2.55 13.13 28.26 44.13 69.00 0.05R 0.00 West_Brom 8 8 -5 -0.42 47.66 -1.13 42.18 8.13 -16.01 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.31 1.54 17.43R 3.04 Aston_Villa 8 4 -5 -4.49 10.61 -1.24 31.82 7.74 -26.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 64.64R 25.03 Sunderland 8 3 -10 -5.08 7.22 -5.47 30.03 7.66 -33.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 73.49R 35.15 Newcastle 8 3 -11 -3.35 15.89 -2.76 34.35 8.16 -27.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14 52.14R 18.04Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Charlton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 10 22 +6 7.57 95.84 4.77 73.53 9.38 9.88 6.51 15.07 51.98 23.15P 0.19R 0.01 Middlesbrough 10 20 +10 2.20 68.67 3.97 82.07 9.58 28.68 29.08 47.79 83.43 58.92P 0.01R 0.00 Reading 10 18 +9 3.94 81.11 8.40 70.23 9.80 13.51 4.11 10.11 40.19 16.61P 0.67R 0.07 Birmingham 10 18 +6 4.18 82.71 5.78 66.48 9.69 4.81 1.78 4.87 25.64 8.90P 1.62R 0.16 Hull 10 18 +6 1.02 58.40 1.20 78.89 9.89 22.75 18.67 34.45 73.50 46.80P 0.05R 0.01 Burnley 10 18 +3 1.81 65.65 -0.61 74.00 10.04 13.10 8.59 18.34 54.24 27.88P 0.24R 0.02 Derby 10 17 +5 0.11 50.57 0.25 77.77 9.85 22.51 15.75 30.28 69.97 41.81P 0.06R 0.01 Cardiff 10 16 +3 1.89 66.80 2.33 66.60 9.82 5.13 1.98 5.13 26.29 9.67P 1.70R 0.24 Wolverhampton 10 15 +4 -0.70 44.17 1.01 71.22 9.82 14.48 5.19 12.01 44.05 20.43P 0.52R 0.07 Sheff_Wed 10 15 +1 1.88 67.28 1.69 61.44 9.49 -2.69 0.50 1.46 11.91 3.47P 4.95R 0.81 QPR 10 15 -2 -0.12 49.19 -4.12 67.55 10.78 2.65 3.39 7.73 31.01 13.23P 2.41R 0.43 Ipswich 10 15 -2 0.47 54.72 -3.25 66.52 10.01 1.22 2.02 5.35 26.08 9.97P 2.11R 0.29 Fulham 10 12 +1 -1.08 41.50 2.11 58.84 10.06 -3.89 0.41 1.14 9.11 2.69P 9.64R 2.14 Nott'm_Forest 10 12 -1 -1.65 36.34 -0.99 61.18 9.94 -1.29 0.59 1.72 12.61 4.13P 6.04R 1.16 Blackburn 10 11 +2 -3.39 22.53 0.98 63.66 9.73 7.13 0.92 2.75 18.30 6.59P 3.39R 0.56 Leeds_United 10 11 -4 -0.55 46.28 -0.91 54.65 9.45 -11.93 0.07 0.24 3.11 0.72P 17.83R 4.31 Charlton 10 10 -3 -1.97 33.18 -0.54 54.16 9.50 -9.97 0.05 0.21 2.99 0.71P 19.00R 4.68 Huddersfield 10 10 -4 -1.24 40.20 -0.25 51.87 9.50 -15.42 0.03 0.15 1.87 0.43P 26.77R 7.94 MK_Dons 10 8 -5 -4.60 14.85 -3.26 52.26 10.19 -12.93 0.09 0.28 2.90 0.85P 26.43R 7.86 Brentford 10 8 -7 -5.10 12.59 -5.92 56.74 10.05 -8.13 0.19 0.61 6.00 1.82P 14.02R 3.46 Rotherham 10 8 -7 -2.20 31.55 -1.48 43.36 9.11 -29.15 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.03P 62.38R 31.50 Bolton 10 8 -7 -3.28 22.95 -3.33 51.31 9.58 -15.86 0.02 0.10 1.66 0.42P 28.78R 8.90 Preston 10 7 -6 -4.46 15.15 -2.98 49.79 9.79 -14.96 0.02 0.07 1.31 0.32P 34.26R 11.18 Bristol_City 10 7 -8 -4.82 14.08 -4.86 49.49 10.35 -19.65 0.04 0.13 1.66 0.47P 36.93R 14.20League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 12 25 +12 6.12 89.56 8.43 77.64 9.27 20.88 18.70 33.71 71.58 43.43P 0.16R 0.00 Burton_Albion 12 25 +4 9.51 97.11 5.25 71.00 9.61 3.38 5.83 12.77 42.43 18.46P 1.61R 0.11 Gillingham 12 24 +12 5.38 85.43 8.78 77.23 9.70 21.93 18.94 33.25 69.42 41.83P 0.28R 0.01 Bury 12 23 +6 6.94 91.11 6.79 68.95 10.00 4.50 4.64 10.19 35.85 15.41P 3.26R 0.22 Coventry 11 22 +10 5.22 86.36 7.44 75.12 9.90 17.58 13.67 25.85 61.13 34.38P 0.63R 0.05 Sheff_Utd 12 20 +3 0.84 56.52 -1.06 74.73 9.54 15.14 11.83 23.36 60.01 33.98P 0.57R 0.03 Southend 12 18 +1 2.88 72.55 2.61 60.08 9.45 -4.91 0.51 1.48 10.15 3.27P 15.01R 1.79 Peterborough 12 17 +3 -1.13 41.42 0.49 69.54 9.73 11.82 4.74 11.00 39.28 18.44P 2.48R 0.21 Rochdale 12 17 +2 -0.09 49.80 1.19 66.09 9.79 5.35 2.61 6.14 26.60 11.01P 5.29R 0.51 Wigan 12 17 +1 -3.21 25.87 -4.53 73.53 9.79 15.60 10.33 20.40 55.35 32.00P 1.01R 0.03 Port_Vale 12 16 +1 0.12 51.70 1.90 60.57 9.40 -2.21 0.58 1.66 11.00 3.65P 13.37R 1.51 Colchester 12 16 -3 1.31 61.28 0.25 57.08 9.43 -12.48 0.25 0.77 5.93 1.77P 23.91R 3.95 Barnsley 11 14 -1 -2.17 32.95 -2.52 64.27 9.84 2.25 1.75 4.33 21.01 8.56P 7.67R 0.82 Shrewsbury 12 14 -2 -2.46 31.65 -2.06 57.98 9.67 -5.83 0.43 1.09 7.58 2.58P 20.65R 3.08 Scunthorpe 12 14 -2 -1.53 38.77 -0.49 55.84 9.41 -9.92 0.20 0.53 4.63 1.44P 27.60R 4.74 Chesterfield 12 14 -3 -3.01 27.78 -3.78 63.08 9.59 0.53 1.05 2.93 16.96 6.50P 9.17R 1.00 Millwall 11 14 -4 -1.36 39.38 -4.28 63.59 10.28 -1.95 1.73 4.19 19.64 8.03P 10.01R 1.39 Bradford 11 13 -4 -1.17 41.03 -2.65 59.28 9.55 -6.28 0.40 1.28 8.93 2.96P 17.16R 2.54 Swindon 12 12 -3 -6.89 8.55 -6.65 63.65 9.62 4.43 1.40 3.61 19.12 8.16P 7.87R 0.89 Doncaster 11 11 -5 -3.37 23.71 -3.99 58.17 9.53 -6.06 0.27 0.89 7.18 2.35P 20.06R 3.16 Oldham 12 11 -6 -3.19 26.10 -2.50 51.40 9.22 -15.79 0.03 0.09 1.58 0.39P 45.34R 11.38 Blackpool 11 11 -8 -2.08 33.89 -4.99 54.13 9.81 -15.22 0.12 0.40 3.61 1.12P 35.45R 8.17 Fleetwood_Town 12 9 -6 -5.40 13.12 -2.91 49.08 9.09 -15.71 0.01 0.06 0.84 0.24P 55.15R 16.20 Crewe 12 9 -8 -2.92 27.46 -0.74 43.87 8.92 -27.04 0.00 0.01 0.20 0.04P 76.30R 38.20League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Barnet 1 2 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Portsmouth 12 23 +9 4.58 82.20 5.98 74.70 9.50 16.48 7.87 28.50 63.49 36.91P 0.05R 0.01 Plymouth 11 23 +9 5.15 86.51 4.90 78.66 9.55 20.31 15.42 43.90 77.35 53.12P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 12 23 +8 5.18 85.24 5.91 74.92 9.35 15.89 7.99 28.65 64.76 37.62P 0.04R 0.01 Mansfield 12 22 +11 6.10 89.28 11.69 66.85 9.24 8.53 1.58 8.22 31.58 12.71P 0.45R 0.12 Accrington_Stanley 12 22 +6 6.31 89.47 7.26 67.91 9.49 4.57 2.09 10.07 34.84 14.97P 0.52R 0.15 Wycombe 11 21 +8 2.94 73.46 3.58 77.63 9.59 20.77 13.16 39.89 74.04 49.76P 0.01R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 12 21 +6 -1.90 34.47 -4.18 84.52 9.67 32.28 37.65 68.75 90.55 76.57P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 12 21 +4 3.93 78.38 3.14 70.05 9.61 7.43 3.11 14.50 43.83 21.05P 0.27R 0.06 Carlisle 12 19 +0 2.70 70.61 0.64 61.31 9.62 -7.92 0.42 3.07 14.94 5.30P 2.76R 0.87 Luton 12 18 +6 -0.61 45.22 2.86 69.93 9.53 13.95 3.36 14.93 44.76 22.99P 0.29R 0.07 Morecambe 12 17 +0 0.91 57.91 0.74 63.13 9.60 -1.35 0.73 4.16 19.48 7.41P 1.77R 0.50 Exeter 11 17 +0 2.00 66.69 0.34 64.62 9.86 -1.06 1.03 6.08 24.45 10.03P 1.44R 0.44 Bristol_Rovers 11 16 +2 1.75 65.16 3.07 63.42 9.86 1.71 0.79 4.86 20.99 8.53P 1.85R 0.58 AFC_Wimbledon 12 16 -1 0.96 58.60 1.04 59.10 9.28 -6.29 0.20 1.51 9.55 3.08P 4.03R 1.34 Notts_County 11 14 -3 -2.79 28.57 -5.48 69.84 10.25 8.89 3.73 15.94 43.83 24.28P 0.53R 0.15 Cambridge_Utd 12 14 -3 -0.58 46.27 0.08 54.65 9.36 -12.62 0.03 0.51 4.40 1.25P 10.10R 3.74 Hartlepool 12 13 -7 -0.11 50.59 -1.96 48.48 8.81 -23.93 0.01 0.07 0.80 0.17P 26.98R 12.04 Crawley_Town 12 12 -6 -4.71 17.66 -6.40 62.49 10.07 -0.28 0.60 4.10 19.03 8.25P 2.71R 0.90 York 12 11 -3 -4.71 16.60 -2.02 54.43 9.16 -7.31 0.04 0.40 3.88 1.21P 9.64R 3.68 Barnet 12 10 -8 -2.56 31.07 -1.62 46.96 9.52 -23.52 0.01 0.08 0.86 0.25P 34.72R 18.32 Yeovil 12 9 -7 -7.28 7.08 -6.80 54.31 9.83 -8.92 0.05 0.65 4.56 1.77P 11.98R 4.98 Stevenage 11 9 -7 -6.72 7.46 -7.86 56.19 9.71 -8.20 0.11 1.01 6.62 2.41P 7.87R 3.00 Dag_&_Red 12 8 -9 -6.26 9.47 -5.33 49.21 9.38 -17.76 0.01 0.13 1.28 0.34P 24.51R 11.45 Newport_County 12 6 -15 -6.92 6.36 -9.59 41.62 8.85 -31.66 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.02P 57.45R 37.59National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 October 2015, Aldershot 2 0 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 16 35 +15 6.33 86.68 4.58 86.63 8.45 31.08 27.73 84.08 41.40P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 16 30 +16 -0.19 47.95 3.23 87.42 8.45 41.30 33.22 86.77 51.16P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 16 30 +9 4.90 79.97 4.41 74.04 8.51 13.28 2.45 31.02 7.59P 0.01R 0.00 Bromley 16 29 +10 6.42 85.22 9.50 73.10 9.31 13.96 2.69 29.49 6.88P 0.06R 0.00 Tranmere 16 27 +10 -3.00 29.36 -2.47 83.58 8.48 33.68 17.81 75.17 37.22P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 16 27 +1 4.33 77.46 0.13 71.54 8.51 5.95 1.09 21.04 4.45P 0.07R 0.00 Grimsby 16 26 +13 -3.49 26.43 1.64 80.50 8.25 33.23 9.74 63.54 26.58P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 15 26 +7 4.93 81.01 6.41 69.82 8.79 8.53 0.87 17.33 3.39P 0.10R 0.01 Braintree_Town 16 26 +6 2.70 68.37 3.92 69.24 8.30 9.37 0.52 14.11 3.06P 0.09R 0.01 Wrexham 16 24 +6 0.02 50.17 3.03 70.03 8.45 13.27 0.71 17.29 3.98P 0.07R 0.00 Eastleigh 15 24 +2 0.76 55.26 -1.92 69.82 8.94 6.70 1.12 17.63 4.24P 0.15R 0.00 Woking 15 23 +7 -0.95 43.11 1.85 72.06 8.79 16.88 1.56 25.48 6.56P 0.05R 0.00 Macclesfield 16 23 +5 -1.51 39.75 1.28 67.85 8.41 10.57 0.40 11.68 2.63P 0.20R 0.00 Aldershot 16 23 -3 2.41 66.85 -0.80 63.44 8.43 -4.36 0.07 4.32 0.68P 0.84R 0.07 Barrow 16 21 -12 5.45 84.17 -1.16 49.23 8.26 -33.31 0.00 0.10 0.02P 25.01R 6.26 Chester 16 19 -7 1.87 64.31 1.03 54.82 8.35 -16.08 0.00 0.39 0.05P 8.40R 1.59 Welling 16 18 -4 -0.45 48.08 1.21 52.99 8.08 -13.35 0.00 0.18 0.04P 10.76R 2.04 Guiseley 16 18 -10 1.49 61.81 -1.83 44.96 8.03 -32.37 0.00 0.03 0.00 42.81R 14.55 Altrincham 16 17 -13 1.41 61.97 -2.93 47.59 7.85 -29.94 0.00 0.03 0.00P 29.76R 8.08 Boreham_Wood 16 15 -4 -2.49 34.38 2.78 50.50 8.66 -12.57 0.00 0.14 0.03P 18.80R 5.02 Torquay 16 13 -14 -7.59 9.18 -11.52 51.78 8.39 -18.42 0.00 0.15 0.03P 15.03R 3.31 Southport 15 11 -12 -3.38 26.13 -2.11 42.96 8.10 -28.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.57R 20.86 Halifax 16 10 -16 -10.41 2.98 -13.08 43.83 8.33 -28.72 0.00 0.01 0.00P 47.09R 18.17 Kidderminster 16 7 -12 -11.83 1.19 -7.18 43.07 8.30 -20.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 49.14R 20.01