Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   18  +12       0.87    57.03     1.54    82.86     7.85    52.95    69.71    87.84    94.83    97.63    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           8   16   +6       1.27    61.97     0.30    73.15     8.33    31.25    15.74    47.57    67.94    80.06    92.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           8   16   +4       1.63    66.01    -1.27    69.46     8.48    22.74     7.97    27.98    48.81    64.78    83.98     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    8   15   +4       5.54    92.75     6.40    53.28     8.34    -0.22     0.10     0.91     2.82     6.18    17.98     1.18R    0.09  
Leicester         8   15   +2       4.27    85.84     2.55    50.54     8.47    -8.62     0.10     0.50     1.53     3.57    11.11     3.10R    0.24  
West_Ham          8   14   +6       2.68    76.27     5.81    54.88     8.51     5.33     0.20     1.48     4.55     9.42    24.36     0.78R    0.04  
Everton           8   13   +4       1.79    67.74     3.71    60.99     8.55    14.10     1.05     6.25    15.06    26.53    51.12     0.13R    0.01  
Tottenham         8   13   +4       1.13    61.27     2.83    60.21     8.70    12.98     0.99     5.50    13.49    24.06    47.64     0.19R    0.00  
Southampton       8   12   +3      -0.70    43.05     0.44    59.20     8.57    11.90     0.75     4.32    10.96    20.20    42.43     0.26R    0.01  
Liverpool         8   12   -2      -0.34    46.57    -4.14    58.37     8.74     5.50     0.64     3.53     9.28    17.57    38.12     0.41R    0.02  
Swansea           8   10   +0      -0.36    47.23     0.96    50.18     8.50    -1.99     0.06     0.40     1.32     3.21    10.68     3.35R    0.34  
Watford           8   10   -1       1.03    61.97     2.47    43.03     8.55   -14.10     0.01     0.06     0.24     0.61     2.45    15.95R    2.79  
Norwich           8    9   -2      -0.69    44.04     0.11    41.30     8.61   -17.86     0.01     0.05     0.17     0.40     1.74    21.74R    4.27  
Stoke             8    9   -2      -1.83    32.41    -1.76    46.49     8.28    -7.52     0.01     0.08     0.43     1.21     4.65     7.14R    0.89  
Bournemouth       8    8   -2      -1.85    33.33    -0.04    37.31     8.49   -23.21     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.17     0.64    38.03R   10.05  
Chelsea           8    8   -5      -5.79     6.86    -9.23    64.90     8.50    20.08     2.68    13.47    28.38    43.99    69.05     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom         8    8   -5      -0.49    46.90    -1.23    42.42     8.24   -15.70     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.37     1.81    17.01R    2.87  
Aston_Villa       8    4   -5      -4.43    10.82    -1.17    31.58     7.62   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    65.60R   25.73  
Sunderland        8    3  -10      -5.07     7.41    -5.44    29.90     7.63   -33.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.94R   35.45  
Newcastle         8    3  -11      -3.39    15.61    -2.84    34.57     8.20   -26.95     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.02     0.18    51.15R   17.22  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2015, Charlton 2 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        10   22   +6       7.53    95.75     4.70    73.71     9.44    10.16     6.85    15.52    52.39    23.44P    0.21R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   10   20  +10       2.27    69.60     4.06    81.73     9.59    28.22    27.83    46.39    82.54    57.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading         10   18   +9       3.94    81.33     8.42    70.15     9.76    13.43     4.09     9.85    39.65    16.14P    0.68R    0.06  
Birmingham      10   18   +6       4.09    82.08     5.67    66.68     9.69     5.14     1.93     5.16    26.19     9.23P    1.55R    0.20  
Hull            10   18   +6       1.06    59.00     1.24    78.85     9.93    22.65    18.72    34.21    73.39    46.55P    0.06R    0.01  
Burnley         10   18   +3       1.79    65.05    -0.65    74.08    10.07    13.21     8.76    18.64    54.63    28.36P    0.34R    0.02  
Derby           10   17   +5       0.06    49.95     0.18    77.93     9.84    22.71    16.10    30.81    70.33    42.40P    0.08R    0.01  
Cardiff         10   16   +3       1.88    66.64     2.35    66.53     9.79     4.97     2.02     5.14    25.82     9.59P    1.73R    0.22  
Wolverhampton   10   15   +4      -0.77    43.29     0.92    71.42     9.80    14.72     5.35    12.28    44.96    20.92P    0.57R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       10   15   +1       1.92    67.16     1.75    61.44     9.45    -2.76     0.45     1.47    12.03     3.57P    4.77R    0.75  
QPR             10   15   -2      -0.04    49.64    -4.02    67.51    10.73     2.52     3.38     7.89    30.60    13.06P    2.32R    0.40  
Ipswich         10   15   -2       0.50    54.68    -3.18    66.61     9.87     1.33     1.96     4.97    25.99     9.69P    1.92R    0.28  
Fulham          10   12   +1      -1.12    40.91     2.05    58.98    10.13    -3.66     0.45     1.27     9.54     2.83P    9.62R    2.13  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -1      -1.58    36.74    -0.90    61.06     9.91    -1.41     0.53     1.62    12.28     4.00P    6.16R    1.15  
Blackburn       10   11   +2      -3.44    22.53     0.87    63.86     9.83     7.42     1.11     3.10    18.90     6.96P    3.21R    0.49  
Leeds_United    10   11   -4      -0.54    46.60    -0.91    54.61     9.46   -11.90     0.06     0.22     3.19     0.77P   17.79R    4.38  
Charlton        10   10   -3      -1.98    33.04    -0.55    53.99     9.36   -10.18     0.05     0.19     2.75     0.72P   18.92R    4.60  
Huddersfield    10   10   -4      -1.21    39.95    -0.15    51.62     9.46   -15.86     0.04     0.12     1.61     0.38P   27.47R    8.22  
MK_Dons         10    8   -5      -4.56    15.24    -3.20    51.92    10.18   -13.31     0.07     0.22     2.53     0.69P   27.11R    8.49  
Brentford       10    8   -7      -5.06    12.49    -5.86    56.70     9.96    -8.21     0.17     0.62     5.79     1.74P   13.78R    3.24  
Rotherham       10    8   -7      -2.21    31.63    -1.53    43.45     9.14   -28.91     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   62.12R   30.89  
Bolton          10    8   -7      -3.31    22.62    -3.36    51.38     9.56   -15.78     0.01     0.08     1.72     0.39P   28.38R    8.86  
Preston         10    7   -6      -4.48    14.86    -3.00    49.77     9.81   -15.00     0.02     0.08     1.34     0.36P   34.41R   11.44  
Bristol_City    10    7   -8      -4.84    13.88    -4.90    49.55    10.32   -19.50     0.04     0.14     1.64     0.44P   36.78R   14.09  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2015, Blackpool 1 0 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    11   25   +6      10.20    98.46     6.33    72.88     9.80     6.26     9.70    19.05    50.39    25.16P    0.98R    0.04  
Walsall          11   22  +10       4.95    85.60     7.06    75.51     9.40    18.21    14.79    27.38    63.33    36.53P    0.37R    0.01  
Bury             11   22   +6       7.28    93.32     6.68    68.85    10.22     3.86     5.57    11.42    35.95    16.28P    3.47R    0.18  
Gillingham       11   21  +10       4.23    81.03     7.53    74.33     9.95    17.94    13.77    25.22    58.34    33.16P    0.75R    0.03  
Coventry         10   19   +9       3.79    80.00     6.75    73.33    10.05    16.28    11.59    21.82    54.24    29.69P    1.13R    0.05  
Rochdale         11   17   +3       1.01    58.49     1.74    67.12     9.90     5.80     3.76     8.27    30.34    13.47P    4.44R    0.34  
Sheff_Utd        11   17   +2      -0.20    48.36    -1.14    72.98     9.65    13.92     9.87    19.50    52.99    29.25P    1.03R    0.06  
Port_Vale        11   16   +2       1.23    60.87     2.53    62.44     9.58    -0.46     1.15     2.89    15.44     5.52P   10.06R    0.83  
Wigan            11   16   +1      -2.69    28.17    -4.31    74.11     9.93    15.80    12.80    23.96    57.80    35.04P    0.86R    0.03  
Colchester       11   16   -1       2.10    67.60     1.21    59.47     9.66    -8.63     0.59     1.52     9.62     3.02P   17.07R    2.09  
Southend         11   15   +0       1.50    63.44     2.01    57.53     9.57    -7.21     0.35     1.01     6.68     2.18P   22.37R    2.69  
Peterborough     11   14   +2      -2.69    28.97    -0.41    67.03     9.85     9.42     3.42     7.90    30.37    14.05P    4.43R    0.37  
Barnsley         10   14   +0      -0.54    45.83    -1.13    67.34     9.97     5.87     3.83     8.61    31.12    14.24P    4.32R    0.32  
Chesterfield     11   14   -1      -1.89    35.15    -2.24    65.81     9.73     4.54     2.48     5.97    25.47    11.04P    5.57R    0.41  
Millwall         11   14   -4      -1.38    39.49    -4.30    63.40    10.33    -2.18     1.97     4.64    19.50     8.42P   10.43R    1.00  
Bradford         11   13   -4      -1.16    40.96    -2.61    59.48     9.48    -5.92     0.50     1.41     9.06     3.11P   16.47R    1.91  
Swindon          11   12   -2      -5.50    12.65    -5.63    65.80     9.91     6.68     2.89     6.55    26.37    12.41P    5.72R    0.49  
Oldham           11   11   -4      -2.16    32.87    -1.14    54.02     9.36   -11.49     0.13     0.33     3.03     0.81P   34.34R    5.86  
Shrewsbury       11   11   -4      -3.53    23.08    -3.30    55.74     9.81    -8.41     0.22     0.70     5.14     1.84P   28.52R    4.53  
Scunthorpe       11   11   -4      -2.87    27.38    -2.12    52.95     9.47   -13.61     0.10     0.34     2.61     0.81P   38.99R    7.12  
Doncaster        11   11   -5      -3.29    24.53    -3.90    57.89     9.57    -6.40     0.32     0.92     7.02     2.36P   21.08R    2.83  
Blackpool        11   11   -8      -2.04    34.09    -4.97    54.09     9.81   -15.28     0.17     0.46     3.63     1.19P   35.48R    6.94  
Fleetwood_Town   11    9   -5      -4.42    17.17    -2.49    50.86     9.35   -14.23     0.03     0.14     1.49     0.40P   47.16R   10.63  
Crewe            11    6   -9      -4.79    13.46    -2.15    40.54     9.06   -30.78     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.02P   84.94R   51.24  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             11   23   +9       5.13    86.40     4.88    78.60     9.51    20.23    14.37    44.97    78.99    54.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              11   21   +8       2.90    72.98     3.53    77.86     9.57    21.03    12.46    42.38    76.53    52.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        11   21   +7      -0.26    46.66    -2.66    86.70     9.91    34.28    46.74    76.44    93.90    82.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           11   20   +7       3.58    77.44     4.91    72.14     9.72    13.05     4.89    21.64    55.05    29.79P    0.18R    0.05  
Oxford_Utd           11   20   +7       3.81    78.85     5.30    73.27     9.50    14.92     5.83    24.76    60.22    33.78P    0.09R    0.02  
Mansfield            11   19   +8       5.27    86.98     9.83    64.15     9.40     4.10     0.77     5.44    23.94     8.99P    1.47R    0.46  
Accrington_Stanley   11   19   +5       4.87    84.64     6.50    65.90     9.68     3.02     1.35     7.92    29.73    12.20P    1.17R    0.36  
Carlisle             11   19   +1       4.01    79.99     1.46    63.29     9.88    -5.79     0.68     5.39    21.95     8.37P    2.32R    0.74  
Northampton          11   18   +3       2.72    71.86     2.75    68.87     9.80     7.14     2.42    13.25    41.64    19.83P    0.53R    0.15  
Luton                11   17   +6      -0.04    49.77     3.10    70.79     9.62    14.65     3.89    18.05    50.64    27.05P    0.27R    0.08  
Exeter               11   17   +0       2.03    66.94     0.37    64.57     9.80    -1.08     0.95     6.23    25.82    10.47P    1.67R    0.52  
Bristol_Rovers       11   16   +2       1.76    65.38     3.03    63.35     9.85     1.68     0.71     5.11    22.30     9.10P    2.14R    0.69  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   16   +0       1.93    66.36     1.46    60.67     9.48    -5.02     0.29     2.53    14.20     4.92P    3.70R    1.29  
Morecambe            11   14   -1      -0.50    46.47     0.02    60.74     9.77    -3.52     0.39     2.88    15.31     5.53P    4.03R    1.46  
Cambridge_Utd        11   14   -1       0.32    53.72     1.29    56.76     9.53    -9.26     0.13     1.09     7.71     2.37P    7.89R    3.03  
Notts_County         11   14   -3      -2.87    28.05    -5.61    69.63    10.26     8.55     3.52    16.32    45.36    24.99P    0.64R    0.19  
Hartlepool           11   13   -6       0.88    58.98    -1.61    49.66     8.99   -23.13     0.01     0.12     1.29     0.31P   25.77R   12.37  
York                 11   10   -3      -4.53    16.51    -2.31    54.44     9.43    -7.77     0.05     0.56     4.78     1.56P   11.68R    4.95  
Barnet               11   10   -7      -1.50    38.80    -1.12    48.57     9.74   -22.07     0.01     0.16     1.51     0.42P   31.04R   16.97  
Stevenage            11    9   -7      -6.63     7.67    -7.73    56.09     9.63    -8.33     0.08     0.94     7.02     2.52P    9.14R    3.66  
Crawley_Town         11    9   -7      -6.37     9.09    -7.48    59.65    10.21    -3.02     0.36     2.83    14.17     5.95P    5.69R    2.25  
Yeovil               11    8   -7      -6.82     7.26    -6.69    54.94     9.97    -8.41     0.10     0.85     6.12     2.26P   12.43R    5.64  
Dag_&_Red            11    7   -9      -5.99     9.31    -5.52    49.08     9.54   -18.33     0.01     0.12     1.48     0.42P   28.39R   14.35  
Newport_County       11    6  -12      -6.25     7.74    -7.70    44.01     9.11   -26.93     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.09P   49.75R   30.77  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2015, Altrincham 1 0 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     14   29   +9       5.01    82.65     1.70    82.33     8.94    23.34    12.34    72.66    26.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +16       0.96    56.39     3.82    90.20     8.80    44.54    44.41    93.15    61.38P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         14   26  +11      -0.90    42.09    -0.93    87.01     8.93    37.09    27.86    87.29    48.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        14   26   +2       5.36    83.73    -0.02    72.19     8.96     5.26     1.53    28.61     5.88P    0.11R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   14   24   +7       2.38    67.18     3.60    69.87     8.91     9.86     0.90    21.54     4.59P    0.22R    0.02  
Braintree_Town   14   24   +6       2.93    70.86     3.22    69.09     8.74     8.07     0.69    18.12     3.78P    0.22R    0.02  
Wrexham          14   23   +7       1.23    58.99     3.22    71.75     8.89    14.19     1.34    28.34     6.68P    0.11R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     14   23   +6       3.62    75.02     5.87    68.23     9.02     7.59     0.52    16.88     3.09P    0.39R    0.04  
Bromley          14   23   +4       5.35    82.82     7.19    66.61     9.82     2.39     0.70    14.33     2.78P    1.16R    0.14  
Grimsby          14   22  +12      -4.06    21.77     1.59    79.81     8.73    33.11     8.18    64.95    25.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        14   21   +1      -0.95    43.18    -3.09    66.85     9.07     3.35     0.44    13.47     2.79P    0.70R    0.04  
Woking           14   20   +4      -1.72    37.49     0.21    69.32     9.12    12.01     0.79    20.88     4.94P    0.31R    0.03  
Aldershot        14   20   -2       2.15    66.42     0.22    64.37     9.00    -1.54     0.18     8.19     1.43P    1.37R    0.15  
Chester          14   19   -5       4.08    78.99     1.88    58.28     8.75   -12.61     0.02     1.90     0.22P    5.92R    0.99  
Welling          14   18   -1       1.65    63.48     3.20    56.48     8.56    -9.22     0.02     1.19     0.19P    7.59R    1.27  
Guiseley         14   18   -4       1.83    64.29     0.32    49.56     8.72   -22.91     0.00     0.21     0.02P   27.71R    7.53  
Barrow           14   18   -8       3.73    76.97    -0.03    50.40     8.99   -26.27     0.00     0.37     0.05P   26.15R    7.16  
Macclesfield     14   17   +1      -3.26    27.02    -0.51    63.50     8.86     5.00     0.10     7.05     1.46P    1.50R    0.17  
Altrincham       14   17   -9       3.02    73.60    -0.83    51.57     8.51   -23.83     0.00     0.26     0.02P   20.46R    4.78  
Boreham_Wood     14   11   -6      -3.22    27.99     1.68    46.91     9.08   -18.11     0.00     0.11     0.01P   38.28R   13.86  
Southport        14   11  -11      -2.39    32.71    -1.74    45.00     8.49   -26.57     0.00     0.05     0.00    47.35R   18.07  
Torquay          14   10  -14      -7.81     6.67   -11.51    51.49     8.88   -18.48     0.00     0.38     0.09P   20.77R    5.43  
Halifax          14    7  -15     -10.82     1.64   -12.38    43.80     8.81   -27.26     0.00     0.03     0.01P   52.88R   22.36  
Kidderminster    14    6  -11     -10.39     1.61    -6.67    44.76     8.66   -19.02     0.00     0.04     0.01P   46.78R   17.94