Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2015, Aston_Villa 0 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          8   18  +12       0.90    57.44     1.61    82.87     7.87    53.02    69.52    87.46    94.53    97.41    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           7   16   +7       2.46    75.07     0.91    72.15     8.69    27.89    13.61    41.27    61.56    74.75    89.79     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    8   15   +4       5.41    92.32     6.23    53.46     8.34     0.08     0.13     0.89     2.84     6.17    17.93     1.12R    0.07  
Leicester         8   15   +2       4.20    85.21     2.45    50.55     8.51    -8.55     0.08     0.55     1.64     3.69    11.15     3.05R    0.24  
West_Ham          8   14   +6       2.66    76.18     5.76    54.73     8.48     5.13     0.18     1.32     4.16     8.99    23.42     0.82R    0.04  
Arsenal           7   13   +3       0.15    50.54    -1.95    70.36     8.62    26.12     9.86    32.86    53.37    68.32    86.13     0.01R    0.00  
Everton           7   12   +4       2.24    73.12     3.82    61.57     8.84    14.35     1.41     7.54    16.75    28.65    53.04     0.15R    0.01  
Tottenham         7   12   +4       1.68    67.68     3.07    60.74     8.93    13.20     1.22     6.54    15.10    25.80    49.01     0.26R    0.02  
Southampton       8   12   +3      -0.66    43.37     0.53    59.10     8.55    11.78     0.77     4.15    10.48    19.61    41.56     0.24R    0.02  
Liverpool         7   11   -2      -0.09    49.29    -4.26    58.48     9.00     5.07     0.78     4.04     9.91    17.97    38.07     0.45R    0.03  
Watford           8   10   -1       1.06    62.06     2.44    42.90     8.52   -14.14     0.01     0.06     0.20     0.56     2.37    16.13R    2.73  
Swansea           7    9   +0      -0.03    50.55     0.90    50.24     8.72    -2.36     0.04     0.41     1.44     3.38    11.10     3.56R    0.39  
Norwich           8    9   -2      -0.71    44.05     0.10    41.34     8.62   -17.82     0.00     0.04     0.17     0.43     1.72    21.52R    4.44  
Stoke             8    9   -2      -1.82    32.39    -1.78    46.45     8.37    -7.55     0.01     0.12     0.43     1.19     4.82     7.38R    0.90  
Bournemouth       8    8   -2      -1.84    33.52    -0.07    37.40     8.43   -23.01     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.13     0.56    37.41R    9.75  
Chelsea           8    8   -5      -5.82     6.77    -9.25    64.70     8.48    19.65     2.37    12.73    27.26    42.63    68.12     0.06R    0.01  
West_Brom         8    8   -5      -0.47    46.87    -1.20    42.44     8.11   -15.55     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.30     1.52    16.45R    2.73  
Aston_Villa       8    4   -5      -4.40    11.08    -1.10    31.61     7.73   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    65.45R   26.01  
Sunderland        8    3  -10      -5.06     7.32    -5.46    30.00     7.59   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.72R   35.05  
Newcastle         8    3  -11      -3.33    16.08    -2.75    34.39     8.15   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.17    52.22R   17.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2015, Blackburn 2 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        10   22   +6       7.53    95.73     4.70    73.56     9.47     9.97     6.65    15.23    51.88    23.18P    0.18R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   10   20  +10       2.18    68.48     3.92    82.08     9.54    28.71    28.99    47.35    83.49    58.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading         10   18   +9       3.95    81.32     8.40    70.33     9.72    13.65     3.99     9.85    40.32    16.32P    0.60R    0.06  
Birmingham      10   18   +6       4.14    82.36     5.74    66.43     9.72     4.81     1.91     4.88    25.27     8.91P    1.76R    0.20  
Hull            10   18   +6       1.08    59.18     1.30    78.63     9.96    22.41    18.05    33.54    72.09    45.61P    0.06R    0.01  
Burnley         10   18   +3       1.72    64.82    -0.75    74.34    10.01    13.57     8.82    18.93    55.67    28.95P    0.21R    0.03  
Derby           10   17   +5       0.07    50.39     0.20    78.09     9.81    22.89    16.49    31.37    70.76    43.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff         10   16   +3       1.96    67.24     2.42    66.25     9.74     4.60     1.76     4.59    24.87     8.95P    1.85R    0.27  
Wolverhampton   10   15   +4      -0.75    43.22     0.95    71.42     9.91    14.74     5.32    12.59    45.04    21.03P    0.52R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       10   15   +1       1.88    67.19     1.68    61.52     9.44    -2.57     0.44     1.50    11.87     3.46P    4.86R    0.77  
QPR             10   15   -2      -0.11    49.11    -4.11    67.44    10.57     2.46     3.13     7.19    30.31    12.45P    2.26R    0.39  
Ipswich         10   15   -2       0.44    54.26    -3.30    66.79     9.93     1.65     2.06     5.37    26.60    10.07P    1.91R    0.30  
Nott'm_Forest   10   12   -1      -1.50    37.46    -0.76    60.60     9.80    -2.11     0.43     1.41    11.18     3.45P    6.58R    1.26  
Blackburn       10   11   +2      -3.48    22.25     0.83    64.03     9.83     7.71     1.07     3.14    19.51     7.24P    3.18R    0.52  
Fulham           9   11   +1      -0.76    43.89     2.03    59.05    10.28    -4.01     0.41     1.26     9.64     2.78P    9.97R    2.15  
Leeds_United    10   11   -4      -0.51    46.55    -0.86    54.57     9.38   -11.97     0.05     0.23     3.11     0.79P   17.72R    4.31  
Huddersfield    10   10   -4      -1.21    40.47    -0.20    51.71     9.57   -15.75     0.04     0.11     1.82     0.43P   27.51R    8.20  
Charlton         9    9   -3      -1.54    36.31    -0.46    54.45     9.59    -9.96     0.06     0.27     3.26     0.89P   18.30R    4.49  
MK_Dons         10    8   -5      -4.54    15.69    -3.15    52.03    10.29   -13.18     0.05     0.24     2.84     0.82P   27.20R    8.66  
Brentford       10    8   -7      -5.03    12.65    -5.84    56.73     9.94    -8.19     0.17     0.60     5.76     1.75P   13.60R    3.38  
Rotherham       10    8   -7      -2.27    30.90    -1.60    43.54     9.19   -28.90     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   61.66R   30.70  
Bolton          10    8   -7      -3.31    22.96    -3.39    51.47     9.57   -15.60     0.03     0.10     1.63     0.42P   27.94R    8.35  
Preston         10    7   -6      -4.47    15.11    -2.99    49.70     9.76   -15.00     0.02     0.10     1.34     0.39P   34.50R   11.31  
Bristol_City    10    7   -8      -4.77    14.33    -4.76    49.31    10.26   -19.93     0.04     0.11     1.55     0.40P   37.57R   14.58  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2015, Blackpool 1 0 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    11   25   +6      10.19    98.31     6.29    72.92     9.93     6.30     9.90    19.05    50.74    25.39P    1.26R    0.05  
Walsall          11   22  +10       4.93    85.49     7.04    75.68     9.45    18.45    15.14    27.96    63.90    37.14P    0.36R    0.01  
Bury             11   22   +6       7.16    92.89     6.47    69.24    10.14     4.46     5.67    11.73    37.44    16.85P    3.02R    0.19  
Gillingham       11   21  +10       4.20    80.94     7.50    74.42    10.00    18.11    13.84    25.34    58.38    33.31P    0.75R    0.03  
Coventry         10   19   +9       3.80    80.04     6.76    73.36    10.21    16.31    11.98    22.26    54.15    30.10P    1.20R    0.05  
Rochdale         11   17   +3       0.93    57.85     1.60    67.27     9.97     6.05     3.87     8.54    30.77    13.84P    4.26R    0.30  
Sheff_Utd        11   17   +2      -0.27    47.80    -1.24    73.05     9.66    14.08    10.06    19.75    53.16    29.27P    1.04R    0.06  
Port_Vale        11   16   +2       1.27    61.08     2.59    62.33     9.64    -0.59     1.10     2.97    15.49     5.81P   10.17R    0.96  
Wigan            11   16   +1      -2.73    27.99    -4.40    74.10     9.89    15.85    12.32    23.49    57.62    34.93P    0.85R    0.03  
Colchester       11   16   -1       2.14    67.89     1.27    59.33     9.67    -8.81     0.58     1.57     9.30     3.07P   17.57R    2.17  
Southend         11   15   +0       1.43    62.93     1.91    57.70     9.63    -6.99     0.36     1.04     7.11     2.36P   21.67R    2.67  
Peterborough     11   14   +2      -2.57    29.88    -0.22    66.93     9.86     9.21     3.38     7.77    29.94    13.68P    4.53R    0.36  
Barnsley         10   14   +0      -0.52    45.90    -1.12    67.28     9.93     5.83     3.70     8.23    30.42    13.74P    4.31R    0.28  
Chesterfield     11   14   -1      -1.87    35.28    -2.18    65.66     9.77     4.34     2.39     5.67    24.92    10.59P    5.89R    0.44  
Millwall         11   14   -4      -1.34    39.75    -4.25    63.23    10.33    -2.44     1.86     4.34    18.91     8.02P   10.48R    1.11  
Bradford         11   13   -4      -1.14    41.17    -2.59    59.21     9.44    -6.34     0.43     1.33     8.53     2.87P   16.79R    1.95  
Swindon          11   12   -2      -5.42    12.92    -5.52    65.66     9.86     6.41     2.50     6.13    25.93    11.66P    5.81R    0.51  
Oldham           11   11   -4      -2.27    32.12    -1.30    54.20     9.51   -11.22     0.10     0.35     3.32     0.97P   33.50R    6.02  
Shrewsbury       11   11   -4      -3.39    24.03    -3.11    55.46     9.82    -8.83     0.23     0.64     5.04     1.68P   29.34R    4.61  
Scunthorpe       11   11   -4      -2.85    27.61    -2.12    53.01     9.51   -13.55     0.10     0.31     2.60     0.80P   38.40R    7.26  
Doncaster        11   11   -5      -3.28    24.24    -3.85    58.02     9.56    -6.27     0.31     0.99     7.05     2.34P   20.42R    2.78  
Blackpool        11   11   -8      -2.06    34.39    -4.97    54.06     9.84   -15.29     0.13     0.37     3.65     1.10P   35.56R    7.06  
Fleetwood_Town   11    9   -5      -4.26    18.01    -2.25    50.62     9.42   -14.65     0.04     0.16     1.55     0.46P   48.24R   11.41  
Crewe            11    6   -9      -4.87    13.46    -2.29    40.75     8.99   -30.41     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.02P   84.56R   49.70  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             11   23   +9       5.09    86.22     4.86    78.44     9.46    19.97    13.84    44.36    78.64    53.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              11   21   +8       2.95    73.61     3.65    77.59     9.53    20.69    11.78    41.26    75.57    51.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        11   21   +7      -0.35    45.82    -2.83    87.01     9.84    34.83    48.18    77.70    94.28    83.59P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           11   20   +7       3.52    77.08     4.83    72.15     9.66    13.09     4.76    21.36    55.26    29.64P    0.17R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd           11   20   +7       3.82    79.12     5.32    73.18     9.51    14.80     5.71    24.25    59.81    33.18P    0.12R    0.03  
Mansfield            11   19   +8       5.23    86.97     9.78    64.08     9.39     3.99     0.75     5.38    23.59     8.88P    1.49R    0.49  
Accrington_Stanley   11   19   +5       4.89    84.86     6.56    65.86     9.69     2.94     1.39     7.76    29.73    12.16P    1.22R    0.35  
Carlisle             11   19   +1       4.00    79.94     1.45    63.39     9.99    -5.67     0.83     5.52    22.38     8.62P    2.15R    0.73  
Northampton          11   18   +3       2.76    72.17     2.81    68.79     9.82     6.98     2.31    13.14    41.23    19.54P    0.55R    0.16  
Luton                11   17   +6      -0.07    49.43     3.09    70.89     9.73    14.83     3.87    18.69    51.02    27.47P    0.27R    0.09  
Exeter               11   17   +0       2.04    67.11     0.39    64.58     9.82    -1.05     0.98     6.37    25.83    10.53P    1.69R    0.55  
Bristol_Rovers       11   16   +2       1.80    65.59     3.09    63.29     9.91     1.57     0.72     5.15    22.32     9.11P    2.32R    0.75  
AFC_Wimbledon        11   16   +0       1.85    65.87     1.40    60.64     9.48    -4.98     0.31     2.55    14.00     4.82P    3.65R    1.21  
Morecambe            11   14   -1      -0.54    46.26    -0.05    60.91     9.74    -3.30     0.35     2.91    15.59     5.66P    3.85R    1.28  
Cambridge_Utd        11   14   -1       0.26    53.16     1.17    57.12     9.63    -8.75     0.10     1.28     8.37     2.66P    7.54R    2.88  
Notts_County         11   14   -3      -2.93    27.47    -5.71    69.97    10.26     9.04     3.56    16.94    46.69    25.99P    0.61R    0.19  
Hartlepool           11   13   -6       0.97    59.75    -1.47    49.42     9.02   -23.48     0.01     0.09     1.32     0.28P   26.31R   12.64  
York                 11   10   -3      -4.52    16.54    -2.31    54.44     9.35    -7.80     0.05     0.57     4.60     1.50P   11.41R    4.82  
Barnet               11   10   -7      -1.37    39.72    -0.97    48.32     9.74   -22.45     0.01     0.11     1.47     0.40P   32.11R   17.56  
Stevenage            11    9   -7      -6.64     7.83    -7.75    56.31     9.67    -8.00     0.10     1.05     7.24     2.62P    8.56R    3.52  
Crawley_Town         11    9   -7      -6.30     9.26    -7.41    59.37    10.19    -3.47     0.31     2.52    13.24     5.49P    6.17R    2.52  
Yeovil               11    8   -7      -6.77     7.41    -6.62    54.83    10.09    -8.64     0.07     0.88     6.10     2.27P   12.87R    5.85  
Dag_&_Red            11    7   -9      -6.02     9.21    -5.56    49.18     9.44   -18.21     0.01     0.14     1.41     0.42P   27.58R   13.59  
Newport_County       11    6  -12      -6.24     7.76    -7.70    44.00     9.05   -26.93     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.06P   49.34R   30.77  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2015, Altrincham 1 0 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     14   29   +9       5.08    82.87     1.79    82.33     8.94    23.33    12.29    72.62    25.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +16       0.96    56.06     3.80    90.21     8.83    44.69    44.42    93.05    61.17P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         14   26  +11      -0.87    42.55    -0.89    87.02     8.96    37.12    27.86    87.20    48.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        14   26   +2       5.35    83.70     0.02    72.14     8.95     5.17     1.57    28.22     5.72P    0.11R    0.01  
Dover_Athletic   14   24   +7       2.31    66.42     3.44    70.03     9.01    10.11     0.96    22.21     4.74P    0.22R    0.01  
Braintree_Town   14   24   +6       2.86    70.68     3.16    69.21     8.68     8.20     0.62    18.54     4.17P    0.20R    0.02  
Wrexham          14   23   +7       1.28    59.30     3.31    71.73     8.79    14.16     1.24    28.00     6.43P    0.10R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     14   23   +6       3.66    75.41     5.95    68.04     8.99     7.32     0.54    16.29     3.03P    0.42R    0.04  
Bromley          14   23   +4       5.40    83.14     7.26    66.58     9.88     2.30     0.71    14.70     2.74P    1.30R    0.17  
Grimsby          14   22  +12      -4.06    21.90     1.60    79.83     8.74    33.15     8.11    65.27    26.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        14   21   +1      -0.92    43.44    -3.06    66.88     9.14     3.40     0.51    13.60     2.91P    0.69R    0.09  
Woking           14   20   +4      -1.70    37.45     0.26    69.35     9.02    12.07     0.80    20.50     4.63P    0.25R    0.03  
Aldershot        14   20   -2       2.10    66.05     0.15    64.43     9.01    -1.42     0.21     8.33     1.51P    1.33R    0.15  
Chester          14   19   -5       4.06    79.13     1.84    58.24     8.70   -12.67     0.02     1.83     0.26P    5.90R    0.91  
Welling          14   18   -1       1.56    62.92     3.08    56.55     8.59    -9.07     0.01     1.24     0.19P    7.65R    1.36  
Guiseley         14   18   -4       1.87    64.51     0.38    49.50     8.77   -23.04     0.00     0.23     0.03P   28.10R    7.64  
Barrow           14   18   -8       3.79    77.41     0.07    50.27     8.91   -26.51     0.00     0.34     0.04P   26.36R    7.04  
Macclesfield     14   17   +1      -3.37    26.35    -0.65    63.68     8.85     5.23     0.12     7.12     1.47P    1.43R    0.17  
Altrincham       14   17   -9       3.00    73.30    -0.87    51.65     8.47   -23.66     0.00     0.24     0.03P   20.22R    4.61  
Boreham_Wood     14   11   -6      -3.24    27.86     1.70    46.89     9.08   -18.26     0.00     0.10     0.01P   38.12R   13.72  
Southport        14   11  -11      -2.25    33.84    -1.50    44.73     8.42   -27.04     0.00     0.01     0.00    48.40R   18.98  
Torquay          14   10  -14      -7.87     6.54   -11.61    51.57     8.84   -18.35     0.00     0.29     0.05P   20.49R    5.25  
Halifax          14    7  -15     -10.89     1.38   -12.49    43.93     8.74   -27.05     0.00     0.03     0.01P   51.70R   21.67  
Kidderminster    14    6  -11     -10.42     1.58    -6.71    44.68     8.58   -19.17     0.00     0.02     0.00P   47.00R   18.15