Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 October 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 September 2015, West_Brom 2 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           7   16   +7       2.54    75.52     1.11    71.98     8.62    27.52    16.19    40.61    59.75    74.10    90.10     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City          7   15   +7       0.89    57.92    -0.21    80.58     8.18    45.83    59.35    80.53    90.27    95.06    98.79     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham          7   13   +6       3.37    82.90     6.18    55.72     8.80     6.15     0.40     2.17     5.68    11.23    28.48     0.85R    0.07  
Arsenal           7   13   +3       0.25    51.97    -1.75    70.18     8.72    25.79    12.24    32.55    52.03    67.35    85.78     0.01R    0.00  
Everton           7   12   +4       2.24    73.02     3.80    61.44     8.81    14.24     1.79     7.47    16.32    27.81    53.22     0.17R    0.01  
Tottenham         7   12   +4       1.61    66.92     2.94    60.36     8.89    12.68     1.40     5.90    13.76    24.19    48.32     0.27R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace    7   12   +2       4.21    88.51     4.79    51.02     8.58    -3.02     0.09     0.54     1.73     3.90    12.85     3.25R    0.28  
Leicester         7   12   +1       2.70    76.90     1.64    48.54     8.78   -10.04     0.05     0.31     1.05     2.48     8.57     6.42R    0.75  
Liverpool         7   11   -2      -0.07    49.51    -4.26    58.42     8.97     5.06     0.99     3.95     9.70    17.79    38.71     0.56R    0.05  
Southampton       7    9   +1      -2.22    27.40    -1.43    55.86     8.76     7.29     0.44     2.22     5.77    11.63    28.91     0.86R    0.07  
Swansea           7    9   +0      -0.00    50.76     0.91    50.50     8.71    -1.81     0.07     0.44     1.45     3.51    12.18     3.85R    0.37  
Norwich           7    9   -1       0.51    56.85     0.81    42.98     8.95   -16.09     0.01     0.10     0.29     0.75     2.99    19.14R    3.82  
Watford           7    9   -1       1.35    65.86     2.26    43.25     8.91   -14.28     0.00     0.09     0.30     0.73     3.20    18.22R    3.61  
Chelsea           7    8   -3      -4.41    11.11    -7.20    67.81     8.61    24.37     6.96    22.96    41.26    57.73    79.84     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom         7    8   -3       0.45    57.10     0.11    44.40     8.42   -12.39     0.00     0.07     0.28     0.72     3.13    13.31R    2.23  
Bournemouth       7    7   -2      -1.50    35.45    -0.08    37.94     8.73   -22.58     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.19     0.90    38.44R   10.30  
Stoke             7    6   -3      -3.16    19.28    -2.37    44.68     8.47    -8.69     0.00     0.08     0.28     0.75     3.47    12.56R    2.02  
Aston_Villa       7    4   -4      -3.40    16.23    -0.58    33.13     8.03   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    60.69R   22.72  
Newcastle         7    3   -6      -3.29    15.84    -0.72    36.10     8.39   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.40    45.88R   14.49  
Sunderland        7    2  -10      -4.97     6.23    -5.94    29.97     7.83   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.47R   39.18  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, Brentford 0 2 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         9   21   +6       8.03    97.56     4.90    74.06     9.58    10.14     7.41    17.63    56.45    25.91P    0.22R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    9   20  +12       3.48    79.98     5.86    85.10     9.73    32.98    41.73    61.75    90.47    70.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          9   15   +7       2.42    71.83     6.60    67.01     9.93     9.23     2.27     6.25    30.62    11.66P    1.76R    0.23  
Hull             9   15   +5      -0.23    47.28     0.75    76.90    10.25    21.36    13.99    28.78    68.34    41.31P    0.21R    0.03  
Birmingham       9   15   +4       2.85    75.15     4.30    63.59     9.95     1.01     1.07     3.14    19.51     6.24P    4.25R    0.72  
Cardiff          9   15   +3       2.13    69.58     2.16    66.42     9.89     4.36     1.98     5.40    27.79    10.31P    2.20R    0.38  
Burnley          9   15   +2       0.68    56.02    -0.90    72.53    10.46    12.29     7.16    16.35    51.17    25.92P    0.61R    0.08  
Ipswich          9   15   +0       1.43    63.02    -1.87    69.02    10.20     4.97     3.51     9.14    37.18    15.59P    1.46R    0.22  
Derby            9   14   +3      -0.87    41.60    -0.76    76.07    10.17    20.35    12.11    25.89    65.28    37.47P    0.24R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    9   12   +1      -1.52    36.39    -0.78    68.86    10.16    10.34     3.49     8.99    37.78    16.35P    1.44R    0.20  
Nott'm_Forest    9   12   +0      -0.54    45.65    -0.34    62.52    10.12    -0.30     0.83     2.72    17.43     5.99P    5.80R    1.08  
Sheff_Wed        9   12   -1       0.71    57.61     0.32    59.16     9.72    -5.42     0.27     1.07     9.59     2.74P    9.48R    1.93  
QPR              9   12   -3      -1.22    39.42    -4.32    65.81    10.89     1.44     2.30     6.12    27.81    11.33P    4.07R    0.81  
Fulham           9   11   +1      -0.81    43.40     1.98    58.98    10.32    -4.10     0.46     1.49    10.70     3.27P   11.31R    2.71  
Leeds_United     9   11   -2       0.55    56.81     0.69    56.90     9.72    -8.44     0.12     0.59     6.37     1.72P   14.00R    3.44  
Huddersfield     9   10   -1      -0.65    44.91     1.52    53.71     9.83   -11.64     0.08     0.31     3.75     0.93P   23.16R    6.87  
Charlton         9    9   -3      -1.62    35.74    -0.61    54.41     9.77    -9.98     0.09     0.36     4.02     1.08P   20.61R    5.56  
Blackburn        9    8   +0      -4.60    13.56    -0.44    60.93    10.00     3.49     0.57     1.90    13.91     4.85P    6.90R    1.39  
Brentford        9    8   -5      -4.30    15.73    -4.87    58.61    10.11    -5.43     0.32     1.12     9.38     3.00P   11.55R    2.78  
Rotherham        9    8   -6      -1.35    38.52    -1.37    44.65     9.26   -27.99     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   59.58R   29.28  
Bolton           9    8   -6      -2.32    29.42    -3.14    52.46     9.73   -14.94     0.03     0.19     2.72     0.70P   27.01R    8.34  
Preston          9    7   -4      -3.63    19.07    -1.75    52.20    10.03   -11.03     0.05     0.21     3.05     0.85P   27.65R    8.54  
MK_Dons          9    7   -5      -4.23    15.72    -3.26    52.28    10.53   -13.45     0.09     0.32     3.74     1.04P   29.04R   10.07  
Bristol_City     9    6   -8      -4.33    15.25    -4.66    50.15    10.74   -19.24     0.05     0.25     2.63     0.79P   37.45R   15.30  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, Blackpool 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    10   22   +5       8.90    97.51     5.79    71.28    10.20     5.27     7.37    14.76    43.84    20.45P    1.82R    0.08  
Walsall          10   21  +10       5.07    87.26     6.75    75.15     9.70    17.21    13.27    25.30    60.58    34.25P    0.45R    0.00  
Gillingham       10   20  +10       4.87    85.77     7.93    75.37    10.16    18.95    15.09    27.16    61.62    35.01P    0.62R    0.03  
Bury             10   19   +5       5.61    88.76     5.67    66.63    10.54     1.76     3.61     7.92    28.38    12.14P    5.52R    0.48  
Rochdale         10   17   +5       2.25    68.87     3.46    70.43    10.16    10.91     6.69    13.80    42.07    20.56P    2.12R    0.12  
Sheff_Utd        10   17   +3       0.94    58.15    -0.50    75.10     9.89    16.04    13.47    25.44    60.44    35.69P    0.62R    0.02  
Coventry          9   16   +6       2.90    75.10     4.83    70.00    10.37    10.72     6.46    13.51    40.79    19.93P    2.65R    0.15  
Colchester       10   16   +0       3.45    77.91     2.13    61.15     9.95    -7.18     0.92     2.46    12.88     4.39P   12.88R    1.45  
Wigan            10   15   +1      -2.11    32.14    -4.07    74.54    10.33    16.01    13.77    24.88    58.00    35.54P    0.91R    0.04  
Southend         10   15   +1       2.50    72.11     2.53    59.11     9.94    -6.01     0.56     1.53     9.68     3.24P   17.18R    2.17  
Barnsley          9   14   +1       0.78    57.51    -0.20    69.61    10.25     8.19     5.77    12.09    38.74    18.95P    2.72R    0.18  
Millwall         10   14   -2      -0.52    46.06    -3.18    65.68    10.45     1.39     3.03     6.73    25.62    11.62P    6.48R    0.60  
Port_Vale        10   13   +1      -0.29    48.32     1.67    59.91     9.82    -2.74     0.67     1.76    10.69     3.81P   14.62R    1.70  
Swindon          10   12   -1      -4.15    17.97    -4.70    68.03    10.09     9.04     4.21     9.34    33.70    16.26P    3.68R    0.22  
Peterborough     10   11   +0      -3.73    20.77    -1.52    64.55    10.06     6.10     1.97     4.88    22.08     9.43P    7.02R    0.81  
Shrewsbury       10   11   -1      -2.88    26.62    -1.36    58.62    10.19    -3.22     0.59     1.63     9.44     3.60P   18.63R    2.62  
Chesterfield     10   11   -2      -3.04    25.47    -2.47    64.38    10.01     3.93     1.84     4.60    21.39     8.97P    7.22R    0.70  
Oldham           10   10   -4      -2.07    32.65    -1.71    53.35     9.58   -12.85     0.10     0.31     2.96     0.87P   35.65R    6.79  
Bradford         10   10   -6      -2.62    28.22    -4.46    56.48     9.59    -9.86     0.21     0.65     5.35     1.74P   24.41R    3.57  
Fleetwood_Town   10    9   -4      -3.31    23.16    -1.83    52.41     9.66   -12.97     0.07     0.26     2.40     0.68P   39.07R    8.57  
Scunthorpe       10    8   -5      -4.21    17.20    -2.62    50.98     9.83   -15.26     0.05     0.17     1.92     0.52P   45.34R   11.16  
Doncaster        10    8   -6      -4.76    13.78    -4.65    55.65     9.76    -8.23     0.20     0.58     4.85     1.57P   27.01R    4.52  
Blackpool        10    8   -9      -3.54    22.00    -5.71    51.66    10.16   -17.57     0.09     0.24     2.45     0.75P   43.46R   11.03  
Crewe            10    6   -8      -3.81    18.34    -1.77    41.87     9.33   -29.63     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   79.92R   42.99  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              10   21   +9       4.54    84.71     4.98    80.02     9.74    23.22    19.85    52.99    83.50    61.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth             10   20   +8       3.83    80.54     4.33    76.69     9.68    18.79    11.92    39.18    74.14    48.81P    0.06R    0.02  
Portsmouth           10   19   +7       4.07    81.69     5.10    72.85     9.94    13.61     6.41    25.31    59.67    33.58P    0.22R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   10   19   +7       5.86    90.39     7.91    67.88     9.81     6.20     2.45    12.26    39.33    17.58P    0.79R    0.23  
Leyton_Orient        10   18   +5      -1.26    37.78    -3.61    84.74    10.08    31.47    39.93    71.34    91.68    78.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           10   17   +5       2.58    72.10     3.83    70.45     9.73    11.26     3.91    17.99    49.90    26.08P    0.36R    0.11  
Mansfield            10   16   +7       3.76    80.66     8.89    61.62     9.43     2.22     0.52     3.46    17.88     6.37P    3.12R    1.05  
Carlisle             10   16   +0       2.46    70.94     0.57    60.57    10.08    -8.67     0.49     3.51    16.51     6.01P    5.06R    1.99  
Exeter               10   16   +0       2.64    72.37     0.72    65.20     9.98    -0.57     1.36     7.91    29.56    12.44P    1.81R    0.60  
Northampton          10   15   +2       1.15    60.66     1.79    65.78    10.01     3.99     1.54     9.02    32.35    14.38P    1.61R    0.56  
Luton                10   14   +3      -0.91    42.34     1.25    67.98     9.93     9.98     2.61    12.99    40.95    20.48P    0.93R    0.29  
Morecambe            10   14   +0       0.80    57.79     0.80    62.90     9.93    -0.99     0.72     5.06    22.13     8.78P    2.97R    1.13  
Notts_County         10   14   -1      -2.13    32.34    -4.58    71.72    10.46    11.60     6.31    23.45    54.91    32.87P    0.45R    0.13  
Bristol_Rovers       10   13   +1       0.28    53.56     2.13    60.69     9.85    -0.42     0.44     3.27    16.51     6.27P    4.46R    1.72  
Cambridge_Utd        10   13   -1       0.63    56.70     1.15    56.89     9.69    -9.35     0.18     1.49     8.91     2.87P    9.12R    3.65  
AFC_Wimbledon        10   13   -2       0.71    57.44     0.10    58.07     9.73    -8.34     0.21     1.96    10.41     3.71P    7.89R    3.24  
Hartlepool           10   13   -3       1.43    63.71     0.07    52.21     9.25   -17.75     0.03     0.32     3.01     0.80P   19.50R    8.75  
Barnet               10   10   -5      -0.74    44.84    -0.18    51.01    10.12   -18.26     0.04     0.46     3.50     1.06P   25.85R   13.29  
York                 10    9   -3      -3.99    18.13    -2.11    54.79     9.48    -7.51     0.07     0.72     5.70     1.91P   12.62R    5.53  
Stevenage            10    9   -6      -5.20    12.19    -6.62    58.51     9.89    -5.72     0.28     2.10    11.88     4.56P    7.16R    2.87  
Crawley_Town         10    9   -6      -5.28    12.38    -6.87    60.61    10.37    -2.55     0.55     3.77    17.41     7.45P    5.69R    2.24  
Yeovil               10    7   -7      -6.55     7.01    -6.81    54.78    10.33    -9.32     0.14     1.16     7.02     2.73P   15.11R    7.19  
Dag_&_Red            10    7   -8      -4.71    13.92    -4.84    51.10     9.58   -15.84     0.02     0.25     2.69     0.80P   23.66R   11.80  
Newport_County       10    5  -12      -6.03     7.30    -7.99    44.23     9.35   -27.08     0.00     0.03     0.47     0.10P   51.53R   33.57  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Aldershot 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     13   28   +9       5.25    84.40     1.41    81.88     9.20    22.09    16.20    69.23    28.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        13   26   +3       6.63    89.95     0.87    74.44     9.12     7.73     3.78    36.95     9.54P    0.07R    0.00  
Cheltenham       13   25  +10       1.29    59.10     1.07    85.28     9.22    32.80    28.58    81.46    45.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley          13   23   +8       5.11    82.59     8.42    70.13    10.18    10.12     2.60    24.54     6.50P    0.63R    0.08  
Wrexham          13   23   +8       2.71    70.00     4.35    73.97     9.08    16.48     3.59    36.62    10.58P    0.05R    0.01  
Tranmere         13   23   +7      -1.10    40.60    -2.62    84.15     9.28    31.24    24.18    77.63    41.97P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          13   21  +12      -3.55    23.84     1.74    80.91     8.98    34.35    14.64    68.32    32.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   13   21   +6       0.84    56.54     2.68    67.43     9.05     7.64     0.78    14.52     3.34P    0.54R    0.05  
Braintree_Town   13   21   +4       1.55    61.92     1.54    65.96     8.85     3.94     0.47    10.57     2.37P    0.75R    0.09  
Eastleigh        13   21   +3       0.04    50.18    -1.76    69.50     9.28     7.57     1.54    20.77     5.38P    0.36R    0.02  
Lincoln_City     13   20   +5       2.42    68.52     5.49    66.09     9.21     5.76     0.54    11.62     2.41P    1.06R    0.11  
Woking           13   20   +5      -0.14    49.07     1.47    72.13     9.25    15.39     2.56    29.97     8.47P    0.18R    0.02  
Guiseley         13   18   -3       2.69    70.42     0.68    51.21     9.11   -21.88     0.01     0.48     0.06P   23.68R    6.00  
Barrow           13   18   -7       4.67    82.84     0.38    51.94     9.33   -25.24     0.01     0.58     0.10P   22.70R    5.80  
Aldershot        13   17   -4       0.90    57.85    -1.20    61.46     9.10    -5.61     0.13     4.45     0.82P    3.28R    0.49  
Macclesfield     13   16   +1      -2.62    30.64    -0.09    64.67     9.07     6.22     0.36     9.07     2.21P    1.41R    0.16  
Chester          13   16   -6       2.59    71.13     1.01    55.60     8.93   -15.05     0.02     1.12     0.15P   11.19R    2.27  
Welling          13   15   -2       0.07    51.86     2.35    54.34     8.77   -10.96     0.01     0.67     0.09P   13.08R    2.75  
Altrincham       13   14  -10       1.57    64.46    -1.56    49.79     8.74   -25.35     0.00     0.20     0.02P   28.63R    7.67  
Boreham_Wood     13   10   -6      -3.10    28.02     1.53    46.79     9.34   -19.07     0.00     0.11     0.02P   40.75R   15.06  
Torquay          13   10  -12      -6.73     8.87    -9.97    54.58     9.16   -13.73     0.01     0.95     0.22P   13.46R    3.01  
Southport        13    8  -12      -4.23    18.76    -3.13    41.69     8.47   -30.53     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.63R   31.86  
Halifax          13    7   -9     -11.00     1.23    -9.05    47.26     8.94   -17.42     0.00     0.10     0.01P   37.24R   12.03  
Kidderminster    13    6  -10      -9.01     2.73    -5.62    47.18     8.93   -16.49     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.30R   12.52