Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 30 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 September 2015, West_Brom 2 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           7   16   +7       2.59    76.10     1.18    71.91     8.68    27.45    15.87    40.02    59.37    73.37    89.48     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          7   15   +7       0.87    57.40    -0.25    80.76     8.19    46.10    60.10    80.94    90.39    95.14    98.84     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham          7   13   +6       3.31    82.62     6.06    55.92     8.75     6.49     0.37     2.22     5.78    11.50    28.95     0.87R    0.07  
Arsenal           7   13   +3       0.23    51.44    -1.79    70.24     8.62    25.91    11.79    32.31    51.84    67.41    86.05     0.01R    0.00  
Everton           7   12   +4       2.19    72.67     3.72    61.64     8.84    14.54     1.83     7.75    16.87    28.49    53.85     0.15R    0.00  
Tottenham         7   12   +4       1.56    66.52     2.85    60.56     8.97    13.03     1.49     6.27    14.29    24.89    49.13     0.30R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace    7   12   +2       4.21    88.68     4.83    51.07     8.49    -2.96     0.07     0.48     1.49     3.70    12.64     3.01R    0.30  
Leicester         7   12   +1       2.73    76.88     1.70    48.34     8.75   -10.35     0.06     0.32     0.96     2.30     8.09     6.66R    0.76  
Liverpool         7   11   -2      -0.10    48.94    -4.31    58.54     9.07     5.24     1.02     4.30    10.02    18.09    39.18     0.58R    0.05  
Southampton       7    9   +1      -2.20    27.66    -1.40    55.97     8.79     7.44     0.47     2.19     5.90    11.69    28.97     0.95R    0.07  
Swansea           7    9   +0       0.02    51.26     0.96    50.26     8.78    -2.17     0.08     0.49     1.51     3.57    11.65     4.13R    0.48  
Norwich           7    9   -1       0.39    55.24     0.63    43.20     9.03   -15.72     0.02     0.09     0.36     0.89     3.35    18.58R    3.72  
Watford           7    9   -1       1.39    66.35     2.34    43.10     8.87   -14.53     0.02     0.09     0.30     0.74     2.91    18.42R    3.64  
Chelsea           7    8   -3      -4.36    11.64    -7.15    67.68     8.68    24.16     6.80    22.40    40.30    56.55    79.15     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom         7    8   -3       0.45    57.10     0.11    44.42     8.48   -12.40     0.01     0.05     0.25     0.71     3.21    13.46R    2.17  
Bournemouth       7    7   -2      -1.43    36.02     0.04    37.67     8.69   -23.01     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     0.74    39.11R   10.82  
Stoke             7    6   -3      -3.08    19.88    -2.24    44.46     8.47    -8.97     0.01     0.07     0.29     0.73     3.29    12.72R    2.11  
Aston_Villa       7    4   -4      -3.39    16.53    -0.61    33.15     8.01   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    60.27R   22.15  
Newcastle         7    3   -6      -3.35    15.32    -0.76    36.23     8.36   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.37    44.66R   13.67  
Sunderland        7    2  -10      -4.94     6.20    -5.90    29.76     7.77   -33.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    76.09R   39.97  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, Brentford 0 2 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         9   21   +6       8.01    97.34     4.90    74.23     9.63    10.38     7.49    18.09    57.13    26.41P    0.23R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    9   20  +12       3.46    79.98     5.83    85.14     9.76    33.10    41.85    61.60    90.52    70.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          9   15   +7       2.49    72.36     6.68    66.81     9.91     8.95     2.09     5.93    29.82    11.07P    1.89R    0.32  
Hull             9   15   +5      -0.22    47.48     0.82    76.90    10.29    21.33    14.13    28.69    68.21    41.22P    0.19R    0.03  
Birmingham       9   15   +4       2.90    75.72     4.36    63.38     9.89     0.71     0.96     2.99    18.86     6.03P    4.15R    0.64  
Cardiff          9   15   +3       2.11    69.21     2.15    66.38     9.95     4.37     1.86     5.43    27.73    10.35P    2.28R    0.34  
Burnley          9   15   +2       0.67    56.14    -0.91    72.45    10.39    12.17     6.94    15.94    50.50    25.71P    0.59R    0.08  
Ipswich          9   15   +0       1.38    62.57    -1.94    69.06    10.30     4.97     3.54     9.24    37.60    15.66P    1.54R    0.26  
Derby            9   14   +3      -0.86    41.89    -0.73    76.01    10.16    20.21    11.77    25.56    65.29    37.31P    0.26R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    9   12   +1      -1.52    36.69    -0.78    68.99    10.15    10.45     3.48     8.99    37.84    16.55P    1.36R    0.20  
Nott'm_Forest    9   12   +0      -0.55    45.50    -0.34    62.56    10.16    -0.19     0.89     2.72    17.70     5.94P    5.61R    1.05  
Sheff_Wed        9   12   -1       0.81    58.64     0.45    58.91     9.64    -5.83     0.25     0.92     8.84     2.50P    9.70R    2.09  
QPR              9   12   -3      -1.24    39.34    -4.36    65.92    10.98     1.66     2.66     6.65    27.95    11.78P    3.90R    0.75  
Fulham           9   11   +1      -0.82    43.40     1.92    59.07    10.36    -3.94     0.46     1.52    10.93     3.36P   11.15R    2.70  
Leeds_United     9   11   -2       0.51    56.29     0.65    57.06     9.67    -8.33     0.19     0.64     6.64     1.79P   13.44R    3.15  
Huddersfield     9   10   -1      -0.73    44.24     1.42    53.97     9.93   -11.29     0.08     0.37     3.94     1.00P   22.48R    6.70  
Charlton         9    9   -3      -1.49    36.87    -0.43    54.03     9.67   -10.54     0.07     0.28     3.44     0.86P   21.44R    5.71  
Blackburn        9    8   +0      -4.68    13.27    -0.54    61.32    10.06     4.03     0.70     2.18    14.87     5.15P    6.57R    1.38  
Brentford        9    8   -5      -4.30    15.74    -4.87    58.53    10.27    -5.57     0.33     1.21     9.93     3.14P   11.91R    3.00  
Rotherham        9    8   -6      -1.30    39.16    -1.28    44.40     9.35   -28.47     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   60.35R   30.12  
Bolton           9    8   -6      -2.36    28.96    -3.19    52.52     9.67   -14.83     0.04     0.18     2.59     0.63P   26.93R    8.17  
Preston          9    7   -4      -3.66    18.90    -1.79    52.43    10.05   -10.75     0.07     0.27     3.13     0.84P   27.19R    8.20  
MK_Dons          9    7   -5      -4.23    15.74    -3.28    52.22    10.56   -13.55     0.10     0.35     3.69     1.13P   29.62R   10.02  
Bristol_City     9    6   -8      -4.36    14.81    -4.73    50.25    10.72   -19.04     0.06     0.23     2.50     0.68P   37.21R   15.05  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, Blackpool 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    10   22   +5       8.94    97.53     5.85    71.19    10.14     5.13     7.02    14.19    43.09    19.87P    1.72R    0.10  
Walsall          10   21  +10       4.91    86.69     6.53    75.68     9.68    17.95    14.69    27.06    62.66    36.08P    0.40R    0.01  
Gillingham       10   20  +10       4.93    86.37     8.01    75.12    10.13    18.62    14.33    26.31    60.30    34.60P    0.64R    0.03  
Bury             10   19   +5       5.74    89.32     5.84    66.43    10.63     1.40     3.50     7.79    27.99    11.72P    5.93R    0.53  
Rochdale         10   17   +5       2.16    68.22     3.35    70.68    10.15    11.27     6.94    14.32    42.82    21.13P    2.04R    0.12  
Sheff_Utd        10   17   +3       0.99    58.61    -0.40    74.99     9.90    15.84    12.98    24.77    59.89    34.72P    0.67R    0.03  
Coventry          9   16   +6       2.93    75.45     4.86    69.96    10.37    10.64     6.43    13.09    40.57    19.60P    2.73R    0.16  
Colchester       10   16   +0       3.38    77.72     2.05    61.17    10.07    -7.26     0.91     2.37    13.05     4.42P   13.24R    1.62  
Wigan            10   15   +1      -2.22    30.99    -4.20    74.78    10.38    16.34    13.93    25.21    58.76    36.31P    0.81R    0.05  
Southend         10   15   +1       2.52    71.92     2.56    59.02     9.94    -6.15     0.51     1.52     9.30     3.04P   17.28R    2.31  
Barnsley          9   14   +1       0.76    57.41    -0.24    69.63    10.31     8.34     5.60    12.01    38.75    18.67P    2.88R    0.22  
Millwall         10   14   -2      -0.43    46.85    -3.04    65.59    10.61     1.19     3.12     6.79    25.49    11.46P    6.97R    0.72  
Port_Vale        10   13   +1      -0.31    47.92     1.64    60.02     9.84    -2.57     0.69     1.78    10.86     3.82P   14.47R    1.70  
Swindon          10   12   -1      -4.27    17.46    -4.89    68.44    10.16     9.66     4.53     9.99    35.18    17.28P    3.42R    0.26  
Peterborough     10   11   +0      -3.66    21.11    -1.44    64.25    10.14     5.67     1.83     4.72    21.67     9.19P    7.46R    0.75  
Shrewsbury       10   11   -1      -2.85    26.80    -1.29    58.47    10.22    -3.40     0.59     1.56     9.28     3.53P   19.12R    2.69  
Chesterfield     10   11   -2      -3.01    25.70    -2.45    64.22     9.99     3.66     1.72     4.30    20.65     8.57P    7.40R    0.78  
Oldham           10   10   -4      -2.12    32.38    -1.75    53.41     9.66   -12.77     0.10     0.31     2.99     0.82P   35.22R    7.01  
Bradford         10   10   -6      -2.54    29.09    -4.34    56.20     9.65   -10.31     0.18     0.60     4.89     1.52P   25.01R    4.11  
Fleetwood_Town   10    9   -4      -3.28    23.54    -1.80    52.32     9.63   -13.10     0.06     0.25     2.38     0.66P   39.26R    8.45  
Scunthorpe       10    8   -5      -4.16    17.26    -2.55    50.91     9.72   -15.30     0.06     0.17     1.77     0.48P   45.01R   10.98  
Doncaster        10    8   -6      -4.75    13.98    -4.64    55.73     9.82    -8.17     0.18     0.61     5.04     1.70P   26.60R    4.71  
Blackpool        10    8   -9      -3.57    21.68    -5.78    51.76    10.17   -17.43     0.09     0.28     2.48     0.76P   42.70R   10.97  
Crewe            10    6   -8      -3.88    17.95    -1.88    42.13     9.33   -29.23     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.05P   79.03R   41.71  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              10   21   +9       4.58    85.06     5.03    80.02     9.70    23.22    19.76    53.36    83.63    61.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth             10   20   +8       3.84    80.72     4.36    76.42     9.73    18.47    11.76    38.20    73.13    47.66P    0.05R    0.01  
Portsmouth           10   19   +7       4.08    81.64     5.09    72.78    10.00    13.46     6.62    25.39    59.00    33.27P    0.21R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   10   19   +7       5.77    89.73     7.74    68.18     9.98     6.59     2.87    12.99    40.66    18.58P    0.91R    0.29  
Leyton_Orient        10   18   +5      -1.16    38.69    -3.48    84.57    10.17    31.20    39.44    70.67    91.15    77.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           10   17   +5       2.64    72.52     3.91    70.28     9.67    11.02     3.63    17.44    49.38    25.50P    0.40R    0.10  
Mansfield            10   16   +7       3.78    80.94     8.94    61.51     9.51     1.99     0.51     3.55    17.90     6.36P    3.33R    1.11  
Carlisle             10   16   +0       2.46    70.99     0.61    60.70    10.12    -8.51     0.51     3.77    16.97     6.33P    5.09R    1.93  
Exeter               10   16   +0       2.66    72.46     0.73    65.28    10.12    -0.51     1.49     8.38    30.14    13.17P    1.95R    0.68  
Northampton          10   15   +2       1.08    60.13     1.70    66.02     9.95     4.37     1.66     9.27    32.77    14.97P    1.40R    0.49  
Luton                10   14   +3      -0.80    43.27     1.44    67.60     9.94     9.39     2.55    12.36    39.43    19.44P    0.95R    0.28  
Morecambe            10   14   +0       0.74    57.16     0.71    62.99     9.95    -0.85     0.90     5.28    22.59     9.19P    3.02R    1.07  
Notts_County         10   14   -1      -2.13    32.41    -4.58    71.77    10.47    11.73     6.28    23.73    55.24    33.12P    0.51R    0.17  
Bristol_Rovers       10   13   +1       0.26    53.29     2.11    60.61     9.88    -0.54     0.47     3.25    16.25     6.18P    4.76R    1.70  
Cambridge_Utd        10   13   -1       0.53    55.58     0.94    57.24     9.69    -8.79     0.17     1.49     9.23     2.95P    8.82R    3.55  
AFC_Wimbledon        10   13   -2       0.68    57.11     0.05    58.20     9.56    -8.11     0.22     1.79    10.32     3.57P    7.26R    2.89  
Hartlepool           10   13   -3       1.47    64.39     0.13    52.09     9.18   -17.96     0.02     0.29     2.84     0.75P   19.61R    8.85  
Barnet               10   10   -5      -0.66    45.63    -0.04    50.72    10.04   -18.72     0.03     0.36     3.06     0.90P   26.68R   14.10  
York                 10    9   -3      -4.03    17.82    -2.17    54.86     9.47    -7.45     0.06     0.75     5.56     1.86P   12.59R    5.41  
Stevenage            10    9   -6      -5.22    11.93    -6.66    58.61     9.94    -5.58     0.28     2.16    12.37     4.76P    7.03R    2.85  
Crawley_Town         10    9   -6      -5.31    12.23    -6.96    60.91    10.44    -2.14     0.65     4.04    18.33     8.10P    5.33R    2.05  
Yeovil               10    7   -7      -6.55     6.94    -6.80    54.64    10.24    -9.50     0.11     1.16     6.67     2.59P   15.01R    7.22  
Dag_&_Red            10    7   -8      -4.78    13.72    -4.96    51.31     9.61   -15.54     0.03     0.26     2.91     0.86P   22.71R   10.73  
Newport_County       10    5  -12      -5.94     7.41    -7.87    44.07     9.38   -27.25     0.00     0.04     0.48     0.13P   52.36R   34.47  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Aldershot 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     13   28   +9       5.24    84.70     1.38    81.95     9.14    22.22    16.07    69.39    28.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        13   26   +3       6.65    89.95     0.84    74.54     9.08     7.84     3.84    37.08     9.69P    0.05R    0.00  
Cheltenham       13   25  +10       1.21    58.51     0.97    85.60     9.22    33.35    29.29    82.31    46.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          13   23   +8       5.21    82.97     8.57    69.76    10.15     9.52     2.41    23.39     6.01P    0.64R    0.09  
Wrexham          13   23   +8       2.71    69.89     4.35    73.99     9.05    16.51     3.60    36.16    10.44P    0.08R    0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +7      -1.19    40.00    -2.73    84.31     9.25    31.52    24.61    78.40    42.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          13   21  +12      -3.45    24.54     1.92    80.58     8.91    33.85    13.60    66.67    30.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   13   21   +6       0.86    56.60     2.69    67.34     9.12     7.55     0.79    14.48     3.36P    0.64R    0.07  
Braintree_Town   13   21   +4       1.53    61.74     1.52    66.13     8.87     4.08     0.46    11.11     2.50P    0.79R    0.07  
Eastleigh        13   21   +3       0.02    49.91    -1.79    69.63     9.27     7.76     1.64    20.64     5.37P    0.36R    0.02  
Lincoln_City     13   20   +5       2.38    68.14     5.40    66.27     9.23     6.02     0.54    12.21     2.52P    0.98R    0.11  
Woking           13   20   +5      -0.17    48.72     1.41    72.23     9.29    15.53     2.64    30.08     8.53P    0.19R    0.01  
Guiseley         13   18   -3       2.82    71.37     0.81    51.04     9.13   -22.03     0.01     0.41     0.06P   24.08R    6.23  
Barrow           13   18   -7       4.55    82.24     0.22    52.16     9.30   -24.80     0.01     0.63     0.07P   21.51R    5.54  
Aldershot        13   17   -4       0.81    57.21    -1.36    61.71     9.16    -5.13     0.14     4.87     0.92P    3.19R    0.46  
Macclesfield     13   16   +1      -2.68    30.09    -0.18    64.94     9.06     6.57     0.35     9.27     2.18P    1.28R    0.14  
Chester          13   16   -6       2.61    71.12     1.07    55.44     8.87   -15.32     0.01     0.91     0.10P   11.34R    2.18  
Welling          13   15   -2       0.12    52.31     2.43    54.25     8.79   -11.16     0.00     0.68     0.11P   13.27R    2.85  
Altrincham       13   14  -10       1.63    64.94    -1.44    49.37     8.62   -25.89     0.00     0.14     0.02P   29.94R    8.07  
Boreham_Wood     13   10   -6      -3.05    28.41     1.63    46.66     9.41   -19.42     0.01     0.15     0.03P   40.76R   15.27  
Torquay          13   10  -12      -6.59     9.45    -9.78    54.30     9.13   -14.20     0.01     0.82     0.15P   13.95R    3.18  
Southport        13    8  -12      -4.21    18.62    -3.12    41.67     8.57   -30.52     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.34R   31.76  
Halifax          13    7   -9     -11.08     1.14    -9.17    47.41     8.96   -17.18     0.00     0.10     0.01P   36.24R   11.54  
Kidderminster    13    6  -10      -9.05     2.73    -5.68    47.06     8.85   -16.67     0.00     0.07     0.01P   37.36R   12.40