Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 29 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 September 2015, West_Brom 2 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 7 16 +7 2.54 75.64 1.12 71.97 8.70 27.51 16.13 40.22 59.32 73.60 89.58 0.00R 0.00 Man_City 7 15 +7 0.87 57.72 -0.29 80.74 8.20 46.06 59.84 80.66 90.35 95.17 98.80 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 7 13 +6 3.36 82.82 6.19 55.72 8.75 6.15 0.36 2.10 5.48 10.91 28.02 0.89R 0.09 Arsenal 7 13 +3 0.20 51.20 -1.82 70.38 8.64 26.06 11.98 32.81 52.63 67.94 86.59 0.01R 0.00 Everton 7 12 +4 2.20 72.69 3.71 61.57 8.81 14.37 1.84 7.55 16.44 27.95 53.86 0.13R 0.00 Tottenham 7 12 +4 1.62 67.12 2.94 60.42 8.87 12.74 1.39 5.90 13.51 24.04 48.81 0.29R 0.02 Crystal_Palace 7 12 +2 4.20 88.50 4.81 50.93 8.47 -3.11 0.06 0.39 1.53 3.60 12.33 3.09R 0.32 Leicester 7 12 +1 2.71 76.81 1.64 48.54 8.82 -10.05 0.08 0.38 1.14 2.52 8.64 6.31R 0.77 Liverpool 7 11 -2 -0.07 49.44 -4.25 58.40 9.03 5.04 0.95 3.97 9.68 17.66 38.45 0.58R 0.04 Southampton 7 9 +1 -2.24 27.20 -1.45 56.00 8.79 7.50 0.45 2.15 6.03 11.96 29.35 0.93R 0.10 Swansea 7 9 +0 0.03 51.06 0.96 50.26 8.72 -2.20 0.09 0.46 1.42 3.37 11.53 4.10R 0.41 Norwich 7 9 -1 0.47 56.12 0.74 43.03 8.97 -15.98 0.02 0.09 0.28 0.79 3.14 19.14R 3.80 Watford 7 9 -1 1.41 66.41 2.36 43.05 8.92 -14.61 0.01 0.05 0.26 0.74 3.02 19.08R 3.81 Chelsea 7 8 -3 -4.43 10.90 -7.28 67.96 8.57 24.66 6.79 23.13 41.37 58.11 80.29 0.02R 0.00 West_Brom 7 8 -3 0.48 57.49 0.18 44.30 8.33 -12.54 0.00 0.05 0.21 0.62 2.89 13.50R 2.12 Bournemouth 7 7 -2 -1.49 35.65 -0.09 37.93 8.78 -22.60 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.17 0.82 38.31R 10.57 Stoke 7 6 -3 -3.13 19.54 -2.30 44.60 8.49 -8.83 0.00 0.07 0.26 0.76 3.36 12.67R 2.17 Aston_Villa 7 4 -4 -3.38 16.44 -0.61 33.20 7.95 -25.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.13 60.26R 21.83 Newcastle 7 3 -6 -3.30 15.80 -0.70 36.24 8.37 -21.34 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.36 44.71R 13.95 Sunderland 7 2 -10 -4.93 6.25 -5.87 29.79 7.75 -33.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 75.98R 39.98Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, Brentford 0 2 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 9 21 +6 7.98 97.50 4.86 74.15 9.66 10.30 7.46 17.76 57.14 26.12P 0.20R 0.02 Middlesbrough 9 20 +12 3.49 80.19 5.87 85.04 9.70 32.90 41.74 61.68 90.63 71.03P 0.01R 0.00 Reading 9 15 +7 2.44 72.19 6.62 66.83 9.96 8.98 2.19 6.02 30.05 11.16P 2.05R 0.32 Hull 9 15 +5 -0.24 47.47 0.76 77.05 10.24 21.52 14.53 29.47 68.95 41.95P 0.17R 0.02 Birmingham 9 15 +4 2.83 75.21 4.26 63.70 9.90 1.17 1.07 3.23 19.64 6.39P 3.96R 0.66 Cardiff 9 15 +3 2.15 69.75 2.20 66.37 9.94 4.27 1.93 5.35 27.72 10.04P 2.29R 0.37 Burnley 9 15 +2 0.75 56.93 -0.78 72.13 10.36 11.76 6.46 15.14 49.52 24.44P 0.68R 0.06 Ipswich 9 15 +0 1.43 63.26 -1.87 68.92 10.35 4.81 3.68 9.20 37.03 15.52P 1.60R 0.24 Derby 9 14 +3 -0.89 41.49 -0.78 76.05 10.14 20.24 11.95 26.02 65.64 37.90P 0.22R 0.03 Wolverhampton 9 12 +1 -1.52 36.30 -0.77 68.93 10.07 10.44 3.47 8.84 37.91 16.33P 1.38R 0.20 Nott'm_Forest 9 12 +0 -0.51 45.80 -0.28 62.43 10.05 -0.45 0.77 2.49 17.05 5.67P 5.61R 1.02 Sheff_Wed 9 12 -1 0.80 58.63 0.46 58.81 9.70 -5.94 0.28 1.02 8.98 2.56P 10.02R 2.12 QPR 9 12 -3 -1.26 39.23 -4.37 66.00 10.83 1.80 2.48 6.58 28.27 11.90P 3.72R 0.69 Fulham 9 11 +1 -0.77 43.98 2.03 58.94 10.24 -4.21 0.41 1.47 10.51 3.31P 11.25R 2.68 Leeds_United 9 11 -2 0.57 56.94 0.70 56.92 9.80 -8.48 0.17 0.67 6.51 1.84P 14.17R 3.44 Huddersfield 9 10 -1 -0.71 44.51 1.43 53.96 9.81 -11.26 0.06 0.31 3.85 0.94P 22.48R 6.46 Charlton 9 9 -3 -1.53 36.50 -0.48 54.18 9.65 -10.30 0.06 0.29 3.56 0.87P 21.11R 5.77 Blackburn 9 8 +0 -4.68 13.38 -0.56 61.35 10.10 4.11 0.67 2.22 14.96 5.49P 6.60R 1.37 Brentford 9 8 -5 -4.38 15.13 -4.98 58.81 10.21 -5.16 0.40 1.29 10.14 3.23P 11.30R 2.82 Rotherham 9 8 -6 -1.38 38.60 -1.40 44.65 9.36 -28.08 0.00 0.02 0.38 0.06P 59.22R 29.43 Bolton 9 8 -6 -2.33 29.49 -3.15 52.47 9.77 -14.83 0.05 0.18 2.58 0.65P 27.35R 8.39 Preston 9 7 -4 -3.66 19.13 -1.78 52.31 10.04 -10.85 0.05 0.22 2.98 0.84P 27.39R 8.59 MK_Dons 9 7 -5 -4.18 15.89 -3.23 52.01 10.54 -13.79 0.08 0.29 3.38 0.98P 30.15R 10.45 Bristol_City 9 6 -8 -4.38 14.93 -4.75 50.29 10.73 -18.95 0.05 0.24 2.63 0.79P 37.07R 14.86League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, Blackpool 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 10 22 +5 8.90 97.37 5.82 71.37 10.22 5.31 7.37 14.90 44.15 20.65P 1.81R 0.10 Walsall 10 21 +10 5.02 87.14 6.68 75.30 9.65 17.45 13.68 25.76 61.16 34.84P 0.40R 0.01 Gillingham 10 20 +10 4.88 85.73 7.94 75.43 10.19 19.01 15.06 27.01 61.49 35.21P 0.69R 0.03 Bury 10 19 +5 5.73 89.29 5.81 66.39 10.52 1.42 3.45 7.70 27.59 11.74P 5.74R 0.40 Rochdale 10 17 +5 2.22 68.63 3.45 70.43 10.21 10.92 6.66 13.78 42.30 20.51P 2.28R 0.15 Sheff_Utd 10 17 +3 0.93 58.19 -0.51 75.15 9.94 16.07 13.71 25.46 60.43 35.51P 0.59R 0.03 Coventry 9 16 +6 2.90 75.10 4.84 70.16 10.33 10.92 6.41 13.36 41.45 19.98P 2.58R 0.19 Colchester 10 16 +0 3.39 77.75 2.07 61.14 9.96 -7.24 0.90 2.32 12.89 4.19P 13.04R 1.57 Wigan 10 15 +1 -2.23 30.88 -4.22 74.97 10.28 16.62 14.18 25.74 59.44 36.87P 0.75R 0.03 Southend 10 15 +1 2.53 72.00 2.60 58.85 9.96 -6.35 0.54 1.52 9.07 3.00P 18.14R 2.36 Barnsley 9 14 +1 0.79 57.70 -0.23 69.49 10.22 8.10 5.65 11.80 38.34 18.37P 2.78R 0.21 Millwall 10 14 -2 -0.46 46.37 -3.11 65.77 10.37 1.49 2.77 6.42 25.50 11.30P 6.29R 0.62 Port_Vale 10 13 +1 -0.22 48.87 1.77 59.81 9.83 -2.95 0.63 1.69 10.49 3.62P 14.96R 1.73 Swindon 10 12 -1 -4.19 18.11 -4.74 68.00 10.18 8.97 4.15 9.51 33.53 16.31P 3.73R 0.29 Peterborough 10 11 +0 -3.62 21.72 -1.37 64.17 10.05 5.54 1.78 4.53 21.20 8.97P 7.53R 0.74 Shrewsbury 10 11 -1 -2.87 26.57 -1.34 58.58 10.13 -3.27 0.58 1.63 9.27 3.60P 18.59R 2.70 Chesterfield 10 11 -2 -3.05 25.51 -2.52 64.42 10.00 3.99 1.78 4.59 21.58 9.03P 7.02R 0.67 Oldham 10 10 -4 -2.15 32.10 -1.80 53.53 9.64 -12.62 0.10 0.32 3.04 0.87P 34.87R 6.72 Bradford 10 10 -6 -2.56 28.84 -4.33 56.11 9.63 -10.43 0.20 0.63 5.00 1.59P 25.64R 4.12 Fleetwood_Town 10 9 -4 -3.31 23.08 -1.82 52.32 9.67 -13.17 0.07 0.25 2.44 0.71P 39.12R 8.78 Scunthorpe 10 8 -5 -4.23 16.91 -2.67 51.15 9.72 -14.93 0.06 0.19 1.95 0.57P 44.50R 10.41 Doncaster 10 8 -6 -4.77 13.42 -4.69 55.92 9.75 -7.91 0.21 0.63 4.98 1.71P 26.09R 4.35 Blackpool 10 8 -9 -3.55 21.97 -5.76 51.70 10.13 -17.45 0.07 0.26 2.53 0.78P 43.14R 10.97 Crewe 10 6 -8 -3.88 18.29 -1.88 42.00 9.32 -29.48 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.05P 79.73R 42.79League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 10 21 +9 4.57 84.99 5.04 80.02 9.65 23.23 19.88 53.41 83.70 62.19P 0.01R 0.00 Plymouth 10 20 +8 3.88 80.84 4.41 76.49 9.75 18.48 11.74 38.65 73.16 48.30P 0.05R 0.00 Portsmouth 10 19 +7 4.09 81.88 5.11 72.85 9.94 13.64 6.72 25.28 59.28 33.56P 0.22R 0.06 Accrington_Stanley 10 19 +7 5.77 90.03 7.78 68.22 9.94 6.67 2.77 13.28 40.62 18.89P 0.84R 0.25 Leyton_Orient 10 18 +5 -1.12 39.03 -3.41 84.41 10.13 31.00 39.12 70.13 90.94 77.48P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 10 17 +5 2.65 72.34 3.93 70.14 9.71 10.84 3.77 17.30 48.77 25.09P 0.45R 0.14 Mansfield 10 16 +7 3.71 80.71 8.81 61.88 9.46 2.56 0.54 3.95 18.64 6.84P 2.97R 1.05 Carlisle 10 16 +0 2.41 70.49 0.50 60.83 10.07 -8.25 0.53 3.66 17.23 6.25P 5.00R 1.92 Exeter 10 16 +0 2.57 71.67 0.60 65.40 10.00 -0.30 1.48 8.25 30.34 12.94P 1.71R 0.53 Northampton 10 15 +2 1.11 60.18 1.74 65.86 9.98 4.12 1.70 9.16 32.36 14.44P 1.64R 0.54 Luton 10 14 +3 -0.82 43.24 1.41 67.62 9.87 9.41 2.49 12.15 39.08 19.14P 0.95R 0.27 Morecambe 10 14 +0 0.80 57.76 0.81 62.67 9.97 -1.29 0.84 5.13 21.87 8.71P 3.30R 1.21 Notts_County 10 14 -1 -2.18 32.10 -4.66 71.89 10.47 11.91 6.48 23.95 55.59 33.70P 0.45R 0.14 Bristol_Rovers 10 13 +1 0.29 53.55 2.13 60.64 9.93 -0.51 0.43 3.29 16.62 6.42P 4.81R 1.78 Cambridge_Utd 10 13 -1 0.56 55.90 1.01 57.00 9.68 -9.16 0.14 1.39 8.97 2.86P 8.87R 3.54 AFC_Wimbledon 10 13 -2 0.75 57.74 0.15 58.02 9.58 -8.46 0.21 1.65 9.98 3.20P 7.50R 3.03 Hartlepool 10 13 -3 1.45 64.27 0.09 52.14 9.24 -17.86 0.03 0.39 3.05 0.85P 19.56R 8.84 Barnet 10 10 -5 -0.74 44.68 -0.17 50.94 10.20 -18.31 0.04 0.45 3.40 0.98P 25.83R 13.67 York 10 9 -3 -3.98 17.89 -2.10 54.85 9.58 -7.47 0.08 0.78 5.77 1.96P 12.72R 5.42 Stevenage 10 9 -6 -5.21 12.05 -6.62 58.58 10.00 -5.66 0.26 2.24 12.29 4.71P 7.28R 2.92 Crawley_Town 10 9 -6 -5.33 11.93 -6.96 60.95 10.41 -2.07 0.61 4.17 18.56 8.04P 5.41R 2.10 Yeovil 10 7 -7 -6.50 6.88 -6.78 54.41 10.22 -9.85 0.13 1.03 6.44 2.48P 15.52R 7.41 Dag_&_Red 10 7 -8 -4.74 13.66 -4.91 51.27 9.68 -15.58 0.02 0.29 2.94 0.88P 23.21R 11.42 Newport_County 10 5 -12 -5.99 7.23 -7.92 44.21 9.29 -27.08 0.00 0.03 0.42 0.10P 51.71R 33.74National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Aldershot 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 13 28 +9 5.25 84.61 1.42 81.95 9.15 22.17 16.32 69.61 28.56P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 13 26 +3 6.71 90.17 0.95 74.42 9.11 7.66 3.85 36.80 9.41P 0.08R 0.00 Cheltenham 13 25 +10 1.25 58.84 1.02 85.34 9.27 32.92 29.16 81.38 45.64P 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 13 23 +8 5.16 82.75 8.49 69.96 10.14 9.86 2.47 24.22 6.22P 0.60R 0.06 Wrexham 13 23 +8 2.72 69.81 4.37 73.96 9.02 16.52 3.63 36.24 10.65P 0.06R 0.00 Tranmere 13 23 +7 -1.07 40.79 -2.59 84.19 9.29 31.28 24.34 77.67 42.30P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 13 21 +12 -3.44 24.45 1.88 80.64 8.95 33.88 13.75 67.20 31.21P 0.01R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 13 21 +6 0.77 56.02 2.54 67.51 9.16 7.83 0.87 14.86 3.56P 0.57R 0.04 Braintree_Town 13 21 +4 1.50 61.60 1.50 66.20 8.84 4.26 0.48 11.02 2.46P 0.67R 0.08 Eastleigh 13 21 +3 0.07 50.45 -1.70 69.50 9.31 7.51 1.57 20.84 5.46P 0.36R 0.04 Lincoln_City 13 20 +5 2.37 68.13 5.43 66.17 9.26 5.91 0.62 12.16 2.52P 0.95R 0.09 Woking 13 20 +5 -0.16 48.92 1.47 72.14 9.24 15.33 2.44 29.89 8.26P 0.17R 0.01 Guiseley 13 18 -3 2.73 70.90 0.68 51.23 9.14 -21.66 0.01 0.50 0.07P 23.68R 5.85 Barrow 13 18 -7 4.78 83.14 0.62 51.55 9.27 -25.85 0.01 0.50 0.08P 23.81R 6.24 Aldershot 13 17 -4 0.82 57.32 -1.33 61.69 9.17 -5.26 0.12 4.91 0.94P 3.22R 0.47 Macclesfield 13 16 +1 -2.62 30.57 -0.13 64.75 9.04 6.27 0.33 8.94 2.11P 1.20R 0.12 Chester 13 16 -6 2.53 70.83 0.96 55.71 8.87 -14.95 0.02 1.09 0.18P 10.81R 2.13 Welling 13 15 -2 0.07 51.75 2.37 54.26 8.73 -11.06 0.01 0.74 0.12P 13.10R 2.60 Altrincham 13 14 -10 1.60 64.52 -1.53 49.59 8.65 -25.57 0.00 0.16 0.02P 29.13R 7.76 Boreham_Wood 13 10 -6 -3.07 28.35 1.59 46.66 9.35 -19.33 0.00 0.14 0.02P 40.89R 15.66 Torquay 13 10 -12 -6.65 9.21 -9.84 54.39 9.17 -13.97 0.01 0.89 0.17P 13.95R 3.09 Southport 13 8 -12 -4.18 18.79 -3.13 41.58 8.50 -30.58 0.00 0.01 0.00 64.22R 32.01 Halifax 13 7 -9 -11.08 1.17 -9.18 47.44 8.98 -17.12 0.00 0.11 0.02P 36.46R 11.73 Kidderminster 13 6 -10 -9.18 2.62 -5.86 47.45 8.92 -16.05 0.00 0.12 0.02P 36.06R 12.04