Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 29 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 September 2015, West_Brom 2 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           7   16   +7       2.54    75.64     1.12    71.97     8.70    27.51    16.13    40.22    59.32    73.60    89.58     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City          7   15   +7       0.87    57.72    -0.29    80.74     8.20    46.06    59.84    80.66    90.35    95.17    98.80     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham          7   13   +6       3.36    82.82     6.19    55.72     8.75     6.15     0.36     2.10     5.48    10.91    28.02     0.89R    0.09  
Arsenal           7   13   +3       0.20    51.20    -1.82    70.38     8.64    26.06    11.98    32.81    52.63    67.94    86.59     0.01R    0.00  
Everton           7   12   +4       2.20    72.69     3.71    61.57     8.81    14.37     1.84     7.55    16.44    27.95    53.86     0.13R    0.00  
Tottenham         7   12   +4       1.62    67.12     2.94    60.42     8.87    12.74     1.39     5.90    13.51    24.04    48.81     0.29R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace    7   12   +2       4.20    88.50     4.81    50.93     8.47    -3.11     0.06     0.39     1.53     3.60    12.33     3.09R    0.32  
Leicester         7   12   +1       2.71    76.81     1.64    48.54     8.82   -10.05     0.08     0.38     1.14     2.52     8.64     6.31R    0.77  
Liverpool         7   11   -2      -0.07    49.44    -4.25    58.40     9.03     5.04     0.95     3.97     9.68    17.66    38.45     0.58R    0.04  
Southampton       7    9   +1      -2.24    27.20    -1.45    56.00     8.79     7.50     0.45     2.15     6.03    11.96    29.35     0.93R    0.10  
Swansea           7    9   +0       0.03    51.06     0.96    50.26     8.72    -2.20     0.09     0.46     1.42     3.37    11.53     4.10R    0.41  
Norwich           7    9   -1       0.47    56.12     0.74    43.03     8.97   -15.98     0.02     0.09     0.28     0.79     3.14    19.14R    3.80  
Watford           7    9   -1       1.41    66.41     2.36    43.05     8.92   -14.61     0.01     0.05     0.26     0.74     3.02    19.08R    3.81  
Chelsea           7    8   -3      -4.43    10.90    -7.28    67.96     8.57    24.66     6.79    23.13    41.37    58.11    80.29     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom         7    8   -3       0.48    57.49     0.18    44.30     8.33   -12.54     0.00     0.05     0.21     0.62     2.89    13.50R    2.12  
Bournemouth       7    7   -2      -1.49    35.65    -0.09    37.93     8.78   -22.60     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.17     0.82    38.31R   10.57  
Stoke             7    6   -3      -3.13    19.54    -2.30    44.60     8.49    -8.83     0.00     0.07     0.26     0.76     3.36    12.67R    2.17  
Aston_Villa       7    4   -4      -3.38    16.44    -0.61    33.20     7.95   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.13    60.26R   21.83  
Newcastle         7    3   -6      -3.30    15.80    -0.70    36.24     8.37   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.36    44.71R   13.95  
Sunderland        7    2  -10      -4.93     6.25    -5.87    29.79     7.75   -33.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    75.98R   39.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, Brentford 0 2 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         9   21   +6       7.98    97.50     4.86    74.15     9.66    10.30     7.46    17.76    57.14    26.12P    0.20R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    9   20  +12       3.49    80.19     5.87    85.04     9.70    32.90    41.74    61.68    90.63    71.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          9   15   +7       2.44    72.19     6.62    66.83     9.96     8.98     2.19     6.02    30.05    11.16P    2.05R    0.32  
Hull             9   15   +5      -0.24    47.47     0.76    77.05    10.24    21.52    14.53    29.47    68.95    41.95P    0.17R    0.02  
Birmingham       9   15   +4       2.83    75.21     4.26    63.70     9.90     1.17     1.07     3.23    19.64     6.39P    3.96R    0.66  
Cardiff          9   15   +3       2.15    69.75     2.20    66.37     9.94     4.27     1.93     5.35    27.72    10.04P    2.29R    0.37  
Burnley          9   15   +2       0.75    56.93    -0.78    72.13    10.36    11.76     6.46    15.14    49.52    24.44P    0.68R    0.06  
Ipswich          9   15   +0       1.43    63.26    -1.87    68.92    10.35     4.81     3.68     9.20    37.03    15.52P    1.60R    0.24  
Derby            9   14   +3      -0.89    41.49    -0.78    76.05    10.14    20.24    11.95    26.02    65.64    37.90P    0.22R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    9   12   +1      -1.52    36.30    -0.77    68.93    10.07    10.44     3.47     8.84    37.91    16.33P    1.38R    0.20  
Nott'm_Forest    9   12   +0      -0.51    45.80    -0.28    62.43    10.05    -0.45     0.77     2.49    17.05     5.67P    5.61R    1.02  
Sheff_Wed        9   12   -1       0.80    58.63     0.46    58.81     9.70    -5.94     0.28     1.02     8.98     2.56P   10.02R    2.12  
QPR              9   12   -3      -1.26    39.23    -4.37    66.00    10.83     1.80     2.48     6.58    28.27    11.90P    3.72R    0.69  
Fulham           9   11   +1      -0.77    43.98     2.03    58.94    10.24    -4.21     0.41     1.47    10.51     3.31P   11.25R    2.68  
Leeds_United     9   11   -2       0.57    56.94     0.70    56.92     9.80    -8.48     0.17     0.67     6.51     1.84P   14.17R    3.44  
Huddersfield     9   10   -1      -0.71    44.51     1.43    53.96     9.81   -11.26     0.06     0.31     3.85     0.94P   22.48R    6.46  
Charlton         9    9   -3      -1.53    36.50    -0.48    54.18     9.65   -10.30     0.06     0.29     3.56     0.87P   21.11R    5.77  
Blackburn        9    8   +0      -4.68    13.38    -0.56    61.35    10.10     4.11     0.67     2.22    14.96     5.49P    6.60R    1.37  
Brentford        9    8   -5      -4.38    15.13    -4.98    58.81    10.21    -5.16     0.40     1.29    10.14     3.23P   11.30R    2.82  
Rotherham        9    8   -6      -1.38    38.60    -1.40    44.65     9.36   -28.08     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.06P   59.22R   29.43  
Bolton           9    8   -6      -2.33    29.49    -3.15    52.47     9.77   -14.83     0.05     0.18     2.58     0.65P   27.35R    8.39  
Preston          9    7   -4      -3.66    19.13    -1.78    52.31    10.04   -10.85     0.05     0.22     2.98     0.84P   27.39R    8.59  
MK_Dons          9    7   -5      -4.18    15.89    -3.23    52.01    10.54   -13.79     0.08     0.29     3.38     0.98P   30.15R   10.45  
Bristol_City     9    6   -8      -4.38    14.93    -4.75    50.29    10.73   -18.95     0.05     0.24     2.63     0.79P   37.07R   14.86  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, Blackpool 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion    10   22   +5       8.90    97.37     5.82    71.37    10.22     5.31     7.37    14.90    44.15    20.65P    1.81R    0.10  
Walsall          10   21  +10       5.02    87.14     6.68    75.30     9.65    17.45    13.68    25.76    61.16    34.84P    0.40R    0.01  
Gillingham       10   20  +10       4.88    85.73     7.94    75.43    10.19    19.01    15.06    27.01    61.49    35.21P    0.69R    0.03  
Bury             10   19   +5       5.73    89.29     5.81    66.39    10.52     1.42     3.45     7.70    27.59    11.74P    5.74R    0.40  
Rochdale         10   17   +5       2.22    68.63     3.45    70.43    10.21    10.92     6.66    13.78    42.30    20.51P    2.28R    0.15  
Sheff_Utd        10   17   +3       0.93    58.19    -0.51    75.15     9.94    16.07    13.71    25.46    60.43    35.51P    0.59R    0.03  
Coventry          9   16   +6       2.90    75.10     4.84    70.16    10.33    10.92     6.41    13.36    41.45    19.98P    2.58R    0.19  
Colchester       10   16   +0       3.39    77.75     2.07    61.14     9.96    -7.24     0.90     2.32    12.89     4.19P   13.04R    1.57  
Wigan            10   15   +1      -2.23    30.88    -4.22    74.97    10.28    16.62    14.18    25.74    59.44    36.87P    0.75R    0.03  
Southend         10   15   +1       2.53    72.00     2.60    58.85     9.96    -6.35     0.54     1.52     9.07     3.00P   18.14R    2.36  
Barnsley          9   14   +1       0.79    57.70    -0.23    69.49    10.22     8.10     5.65    11.80    38.34    18.37P    2.78R    0.21  
Millwall         10   14   -2      -0.46    46.37    -3.11    65.77    10.37     1.49     2.77     6.42    25.50    11.30P    6.29R    0.62  
Port_Vale        10   13   +1      -0.22    48.87     1.77    59.81     9.83    -2.95     0.63     1.69    10.49     3.62P   14.96R    1.73  
Swindon          10   12   -1      -4.19    18.11    -4.74    68.00    10.18     8.97     4.15     9.51    33.53    16.31P    3.73R    0.29  
Peterborough     10   11   +0      -3.62    21.72    -1.37    64.17    10.05     5.54     1.78     4.53    21.20     8.97P    7.53R    0.74  
Shrewsbury       10   11   -1      -2.87    26.57    -1.34    58.58    10.13    -3.27     0.58     1.63     9.27     3.60P   18.59R    2.70  
Chesterfield     10   11   -2      -3.05    25.51    -2.52    64.42    10.00     3.99     1.78     4.59    21.58     9.03P    7.02R    0.67  
Oldham           10   10   -4      -2.15    32.10    -1.80    53.53     9.64   -12.62     0.10     0.32     3.04     0.87P   34.87R    6.72  
Bradford         10   10   -6      -2.56    28.84    -4.33    56.11     9.63   -10.43     0.20     0.63     5.00     1.59P   25.64R    4.12  
Fleetwood_Town   10    9   -4      -3.31    23.08    -1.82    52.32     9.67   -13.17     0.07     0.25     2.44     0.71P   39.12R    8.78  
Scunthorpe       10    8   -5      -4.23    16.91    -2.67    51.15     9.72   -14.93     0.06     0.19     1.95     0.57P   44.50R   10.41  
Doncaster        10    8   -6      -4.77    13.42    -4.69    55.92     9.75    -7.91     0.21     0.63     4.98     1.71P   26.09R    4.35  
Blackpool        10    8   -9      -3.55    21.97    -5.76    51.70    10.13   -17.45     0.07     0.26     2.53     0.78P   43.14R   10.97  
Crewe            10    6   -8      -3.88    18.29    -1.88    42.00     9.32   -29.48     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.05P   79.73R   42.79  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              10   21   +9       4.57    84.99     5.04    80.02     9.65    23.23    19.88    53.41    83.70    62.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth             10   20   +8       3.88    80.84     4.41    76.49     9.75    18.48    11.74    38.65    73.16    48.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Portsmouth           10   19   +7       4.09    81.88     5.11    72.85     9.94    13.64     6.72    25.28    59.28    33.56P    0.22R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   10   19   +7       5.77    90.03     7.78    68.22     9.94     6.67     2.77    13.28    40.62    18.89P    0.84R    0.25  
Leyton_Orient        10   18   +5      -1.12    39.03    -3.41    84.41    10.13    31.00    39.12    70.13    90.94    77.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           10   17   +5       2.65    72.34     3.93    70.14     9.71    10.84     3.77    17.30    48.77    25.09P    0.45R    0.14  
Mansfield            10   16   +7       3.71    80.71     8.81    61.88     9.46     2.56     0.54     3.95    18.64     6.84P    2.97R    1.05  
Carlisle             10   16   +0       2.41    70.49     0.50    60.83    10.07    -8.25     0.53     3.66    17.23     6.25P    5.00R    1.92  
Exeter               10   16   +0       2.57    71.67     0.60    65.40    10.00    -0.30     1.48     8.25    30.34    12.94P    1.71R    0.53  
Northampton          10   15   +2       1.11    60.18     1.74    65.86     9.98     4.12     1.70     9.16    32.36    14.44P    1.64R    0.54  
Luton                10   14   +3      -0.82    43.24     1.41    67.62     9.87     9.41     2.49    12.15    39.08    19.14P    0.95R    0.27  
Morecambe            10   14   +0       0.80    57.76     0.81    62.67     9.97    -1.29     0.84     5.13    21.87     8.71P    3.30R    1.21  
Notts_County         10   14   -1      -2.18    32.10    -4.66    71.89    10.47    11.91     6.48    23.95    55.59    33.70P    0.45R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers       10   13   +1       0.29    53.55     2.13    60.64     9.93    -0.51     0.43     3.29    16.62     6.42P    4.81R    1.78  
Cambridge_Utd        10   13   -1       0.56    55.90     1.01    57.00     9.68    -9.16     0.14     1.39     8.97     2.86P    8.87R    3.54  
AFC_Wimbledon        10   13   -2       0.75    57.74     0.15    58.02     9.58    -8.46     0.21     1.65     9.98     3.20P    7.50R    3.03  
Hartlepool           10   13   -3       1.45    64.27     0.09    52.14     9.24   -17.86     0.03     0.39     3.05     0.85P   19.56R    8.84  
Barnet               10   10   -5      -0.74    44.68    -0.17    50.94    10.20   -18.31     0.04     0.45     3.40     0.98P   25.83R   13.67  
York                 10    9   -3      -3.98    17.89    -2.10    54.85     9.58    -7.47     0.08     0.78     5.77     1.96P   12.72R    5.42  
Stevenage            10    9   -6      -5.21    12.05    -6.62    58.58    10.00    -5.66     0.26     2.24    12.29     4.71P    7.28R    2.92  
Crawley_Town         10    9   -6      -5.33    11.93    -6.96    60.95    10.41    -2.07     0.61     4.17    18.56     8.04P    5.41R    2.10  
Yeovil               10    7   -7      -6.50     6.88    -6.78    54.41    10.22    -9.85     0.13     1.03     6.44     2.48P   15.52R    7.41  
Dag_&_Red            10    7   -8      -4.74    13.66    -4.91    51.27     9.68   -15.58     0.02     0.29     2.94     0.88P   23.21R   11.42  
Newport_County       10    5  -12      -5.99     7.23    -7.92    44.21     9.29   -27.08     0.00     0.03     0.42     0.10P   51.71R   33.74  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Aldershot 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     13   28   +9       5.25    84.61     1.42    81.95     9.15    22.17    16.32    69.61    28.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        13   26   +3       6.71    90.17     0.95    74.42     9.11     7.66     3.85    36.80     9.41P    0.08R    0.00  
Cheltenham       13   25  +10       1.25    58.84     1.02    85.34     9.27    32.92    29.16    81.38    45.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          13   23   +8       5.16    82.75     8.49    69.96    10.14     9.86     2.47    24.22     6.22P    0.60R    0.06  
Wrexham          13   23   +8       2.72    69.81     4.37    73.96     9.02    16.52     3.63    36.24    10.65P    0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +7      -1.07    40.79    -2.59    84.19     9.29    31.28    24.34    77.67    42.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby          13   21  +12      -3.44    24.45     1.88    80.64     8.95    33.88    13.75    67.20    31.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   13   21   +6       0.77    56.02     2.54    67.51     9.16     7.83     0.87    14.86     3.56P    0.57R    0.04  
Braintree_Town   13   21   +4       1.50    61.60     1.50    66.20     8.84     4.26     0.48    11.02     2.46P    0.67R    0.08  
Eastleigh        13   21   +3       0.07    50.45    -1.70    69.50     9.31     7.51     1.57    20.84     5.46P    0.36R    0.04  
Lincoln_City     13   20   +5       2.37    68.13     5.43    66.17     9.26     5.91     0.62    12.16     2.52P    0.95R    0.09  
Woking           13   20   +5      -0.16    48.92     1.47    72.14     9.24    15.33     2.44    29.89     8.26P    0.17R    0.01  
Guiseley         13   18   -3       2.73    70.90     0.68    51.23     9.14   -21.66     0.01     0.50     0.07P   23.68R    5.85  
Barrow           13   18   -7       4.78    83.14     0.62    51.55     9.27   -25.85     0.01     0.50     0.08P   23.81R    6.24  
Aldershot        13   17   -4       0.82    57.32    -1.33    61.69     9.17    -5.26     0.12     4.91     0.94P    3.22R    0.47  
Macclesfield     13   16   +1      -2.62    30.57    -0.13    64.75     9.04     6.27     0.33     8.94     2.11P    1.20R    0.12  
Chester          13   16   -6       2.53    70.83     0.96    55.71     8.87   -14.95     0.02     1.09     0.18P   10.81R    2.13  
Welling          13   15   -2       0.07    51.75     2.37    54.26     8.73   -11.06     0.01     0.74     0.12P   13.10R    2.60  
Altrincham       13   14  -10       1.60    64.52    -1.53    49.59     8.65   -25.57     0.00     0.16     0.02P   29.13R    7.76  
Boreham_Wood     13   10   -6      -3.07    28.35     1.59    46.66     9.35   -19.33     0.00     0.14     0.02P   40.89R   15.66  
Torquay          13   10  -12      -6.65     9.21    -9.84    54.39     9.17   -13.97     0.01     0.89     0.17P   13.95R    3.09  
Southport        13    8  -12      -4.18    18.79    -3.13    41.58     8.50   -30.58     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.22R   32.01  
Halifax          13    7   -9     -11.08     1.17    -9.18    47.44     8.98   -17.12     0.00     0.11     0.02P   36.46R   11.73  
Kidderminster    13    6  -10      -9.18     2.62    -5.86    47.45     8.92   -16.05     0.00     0.12     0.02P   36.06R   12.04