Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 28 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 September 2015, West_Brom 2 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           7   16   +7       2.54    75.60     1.13    71.87     8.69    27.34    15.84    40.54    59.60    73.76    89.56     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City          7   15   +7       0.85    57.45    -0.29    80.72     8.23    46.07    60.51    80.94    90.44    95.15    98.79     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham          7   13   +6       3.37    82.94     6.18    55.71     8.80     6.17     0.42     2.19     5.68    11.30    28.15     0.97R    0.08  
Arsenal           7   13   +3       0.23    51.75    -1.78    70.16     8.71    25.71    11.81    32.63    51.81    67.08    85.89     0.01R    0.00  
Everton           7   12   +4       2.21    72.93     3.75    61.59     8.79    14.46     1.75     7.56    16.84    28.66    54.17     0.18R    0.01  
Tottenham         7   12   +4       1.58    66.63     2.86    60.56     8.88    12.98     1.45     6.34    14.42    25.11    49.48     0.27R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    7   12   +2       4.24    88.76     4.87    50.89     8.49    -3.21     0.07     0.52     1.61     3.68    12.26     3.14R    0.29  
Leicester         7   12   +1       2.70    76.70     1.63    48.46     8.81   -10.18     0.05     0.31     1.09     2.49     8.61     6.60R    0.85  
Liverpool         7   11   -2      -0.05    49.46    -4.22    58.37     8.99     4.96     0.98     3.95     9.65    17.64    38.70     0.51R    0.05  
Southampton       7    9   +1      -2.17    27.96    -1.36    55.95     8.85     7.42     0.54     2.45     6.23    12.02    29.35     0.91R    0.08  
Swansea           7    9   +0       0.00    50.65     0.93    50.30     8.75    -2.15     0.07     0.52     1.58     3.58    11.70     4.11R    0.48  
Norwich           7    9   -1       0.42    55.52     0.65    43.28     8.97   -15.51     0.02     0.09     0.32     0.79     3.25    18.40R    3.66  
Watford           7    9   -1       1.36    66.04     2.24    43.32     8.91   -14.13     0.01     0.10     0.30     0.78     3.16    18.12R    3.55  
Chelsea           7    8   -3      -4.30    11.76    -7.06    67.50     8.61    23.86     6.46    21.63    39.72    56.15    78.84     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom         7    8   -3       0.44    57.03     0.10    44.46     8.44   -12.32     0.01     0.07     0.29     0.74     3.30    13.44R    2.27  
Bournemouth       7    7   -2      -1.47    35.76    -0.05    37.92     8.76   -22.59     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.18     0.85    38.51R   10.62  
Stoke             7    6   -3      -3.10    19.66    -2.27    44.59     8.51    -8.86     0.02     0.13     0.34     0.81     3.49    12.67R    2.07  
Aston_Villa       7    4   -4      -3.42    16.29    -0.65    33.19     8.05   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    60.49R   22.42  
Newcastle         7    3   -6      -3.37    15.17    -0.83    36.25     8.29   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.31    45.41R   13.71  
Sunderland        7    2  -10      -4.92     6.31    -5.83    29.82     7.78   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    76.24R   39.84  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 September 2015, Middlesbrough 3 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         9   21   +6       8.08    97.61     4.97    74.27     9.70    10.44     7.90    18.71    57.55    27.10P    0.25R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    9   20  +12       3.54    80.61     5.92    84.84     9.82    32.66    41.38    60.92    89.97    70.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          9   15   +7       2.45    72.26     6.62    67.02     9.92     9.22     2.30     6.35    30.60    11.60P    1.86R    0.24  
Hull             9   15   +5      -0.31    46.76     0.67    76.98    10.28    21.45    14.61    29.46    68.64    41.95P    0.23R    0.03  
Cardiff          9   15   +3       2.18    70.12     2.28    66.08     9.91     3.85     1.76     5.07    27.03     9.83P    2.50R    0.39  
Burnley          9   15   +2       0.63    55.83    -0.98    72.55    10.31    12.32     6.92    16.22    51.60    26.26P    0.68R    0.09  
Ipswich          9   15   +0       1.37    62.54    -1.97    69.31    10.26     5.36     3.84     9.55    38.71    16.38P    1.53R    0.23  
Derby            9   14   +3      -0.84    42.05    -0.71    75.92    10.22    20.12    11.99    25.96    64.94    37.69P    0.18R    0.01  
Birmingham       8   12   +2       1.26    62.97     2.35    60.46    10.18    -3.36     0.58     1.85    12.91     4.04P    8.29R    1.73  
Nott'm_Forest    9   12   +0      -0.56    45.23    -0.37    62.61    10.19    -0.23     0.87     2.83    17.79     6.09P    5.66R    1.13  
Sheff_Wed        9   12   -1       0.88    59.53     0.58    59.18     9.74    -5.43     0.34     1.13     9.52     2.70P    9.61R    2.05  
QPR              9   12   -3      -1.22    39.20    -4.31    65.92    10.89     1.63     2.42     6.39    28.48    11.62P    3.92R    0.82  
Fulham           8   11   +4       0.06    51.48     4.11    62.30    10.68     1.95     1.16     3.29    18.51     6.40P    6.69R    1.45  
Leeds_United     9   11   -2       0.52    56.36     0.68    57.24     9.77    -8.06     0.16     0.67     6.75     1.76P   13.71R    3.12  
Huddersfield     9   10   -1      -0.71    44.25     1.46    54.06     9.87   -11.23     0.09     0.35     4.00     1.04P   22.22R    6.44  
Wolverhampton    8    9   -2      -2.59    26.14    -2.97    65.21    10.47     4.27     1.83     5.12    25.68    10.25P    3.74R    0.73  
Charlton         9    9   -3      -1.56    36.35    -0.52    54.21     9.72   -10.39     0.10     0.36     3.89     1.02P   21.27R    5.68  
Blackburn        9    8   +0      -4.65    13.42    -0.50    61.22    10.03     3.99     0.69     1.97    14.65     4.98P    6.80R    1.37  
Brentford        8    8   -3      -3.07    22.36    -3.08    61.75    10.62    -0.74     0.87     2.79    16.90     5.89P    7.62R    1.70  
Rotherham        9    8   -6      -1.34    38.74    -1.32    44.64     9.35   -28.14     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.06P   59.35R   29.29  
Bolton           9    8   -6      -2.46    28.23    -3.32    52.33     9.73   -15.13     0.03     0.21     2.58     0.66P   27.67R    8.81  
Preston          9    7   -4      -3.67    18.95    -1.80    52.30    10.06   -10.99     0.04     0.26     3.00     0.84P   27.75R    8.70  
MK_Dons          9    7   -5      -4.18    15.79    -3.18    51.81    10.56   -14.34     0.08     0.34     3.43     0.94P   31.04R   10.98  
Bristol_City     9    6   -8      -4.30    15.43    -4.61    50.20    10.62   -19.22     0.04     0.21     2.51     0.76P   37.43R   14.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Barnsley 2 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion     9   21   +5       9.26    98.41     5.81    71.39    10.47     4.78     8.20    15.94    44.55    21.50P    2.05R    0.12  
Walsall           9   18   +9       3.67    80.84     6.10    73.26     9.95    15.87    10.73    20.72    53.42    29.04P    0.91R    0.05  
Gillingham        9   17   +6       4.20    83.53     5.38    71.61    10.35    11.73     8.53    17.15    46.69    23.69P    1.82R    0.11  
Coventry          9   16   +6       2.94    75.58     4.87    69.86    10.27    10.58     6.36    13.23    40.28    19.47P    2.61R    0.18  
Bury              9   16   +4       4.15    83.00     4.86    63.45    10.71    -1.46     2.24     5.07    20.33     8.15P   10.14R    1.24  
Sheff_Utd         9   16   +3       1.38    62.34    -0.44    75.64    10.16    16.29    15.81    28.04    62.30    37.66P    0.60R    0.03  
Rochdale          9   14   +4       1.00    59.72     3.02    68.69    10.36     9.78     5.03    10.95    36.65    17.34P    3.69R    0.27  
Barnsley          9   14   +1       0.73    57.19    -0.31    69.54    10.19     8.19     5.53    12.01    38.99    18.91P    2.88R    0.25  
Wigan             9   14   +1      -1.55    35.60    -3.72    76.04    10.52    17.60    17.70    30.58    63.76    41.41P    0.66R    0.04  
Colchester        9   13   -2       2.11    69.71     0.61    58.40    10.14   -10.99     0.55     1.54     8.75     2.84P   20.42R    2.98  
Millwall          9   13   -2      -0.26    48.12    -3.37    65.52    10.69     0.66     3.17     6.98    25.53    11.69P    7.35R    0.75  
Port_Vale         9   12   +1       0.27    53.23     1.91    60.86    10.15    -1.88     1.01     2.56    13.24     4.88P   13.65R    1.73  
Southend          9   12   +0       1.24    62.76     2.02    56.88    10.22    -7.68     0.44     1.17     7.07     2.37P   24.52R    4.25  
Peterborough      9   11   +1      -2.31    30.02    -0.45    66.61    10.26     8.23     3.37     7.74    29.21    13.40P    5.13R    0.54  
Chesterfield      9   11   +0      -1.89    33.53    -0.82    67.42    10.22     8.46     3.77     8.63    31.51    14.57P    4.37R    0.37  
Shrewsbury        9   11   +0      -1.84    33.78    -0.85    60.37    10.42    -1.39     1.09     2.61    13.02     5.32P   14.94R    2.02  
Swindon           9   11   -1      -3.74    19.57    -4.64    68.79    10.36     9.56     5.21    11.18    37.09    18.69P    3.48R    0.31  
Bradford          9   10   -4      -1.55    36.51    -2.92    59.14     9.93    -5.95     0.52     1.56     9.53     3.32P   17.25R    2.45  
Fleetwood_Town    9    9   +0      -2.86    25.26     0.65    55.53     9.93    -6.00     0.21     0.71     5.35     1.64P   27.74R    5.04  
Oldham            9    9   -4      -1.82    33.87    -1.90    53.59     9.85   -13.00     0.16     0.45     3.47     1.09P   35.09R    7.28  
Scunthorpe        9    8   -4      -3.23    22.76    -2.17    52.21    10.07   -14.35     0.10     0.34     2.77     0.88P   40.78R    9.47  
Doncaster         9    7   -6      -4.49    13.44    -4.89    55.78     9.90    -8.55     0.22     0.68     5.07     1.75P   26.98R    4.78  
Crewe             9    6   -7      -2.75    25.10    -1.33    43.77     9.50   -27.41     0.00     0.02     0.26     0.06P   73.87R   34.50  
Blackpool         9    5  -11      -4.97    11.22    -7.43    47.75    10.31   -23.08     0.04     0.13     1.15     0.32P   59.03R   21.26  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Barnet 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth            9   19   +8       5.43    90.13     6.04    75.10    10.20    15.87     8.20    33.57    69.14    42.29P    0.17R    0.05  
Wycombe               9   18   +8       3.58    80.63     5.00    79.09     9.88    23.38    14.20    49.70    81.93    59.09P    0.03R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient         9   18   +6       0.58    54.09    -1.84    88.60    10.27    36.94    53.53    82.02    95.82    87.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth              9   17   +7       2.85    75.32     4.25    75.25     9.82    18.12     7.93    33.93    70.55    44.24P    0.12R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley    9   16   +6       4.33    84.87     7.07    65.93    10.07     4.61     1.49     9.42    33.94    14.23P    1.75R    0.61  
Oxford_Utd            9   14   +4       1.00    59.79     2.91    67.69     9.86     8.69     1.77    12.22    40.94    19.62P    0.97R    0.32  
Morecambe             9   14   +2       1.95    68.30     2.41    65.81    10.10     3.36     1.35     9.11    33.67    14.61P    1.87R    0.66  
Northampton           9   14   +2       1.48    64.07     1.73    66.05    10.13     3.76     1.30     9.67    34.78    15.43P    1.88R    0.66  
Mansfield             9   13   +5       2.06    69.83     6.83    58.12     9.63    -2.65     0.20     1.85    11.52     3.70P    7.76R    3.40  
Cambridge_Utd         9   13   +0       1.43    63.82     1.30    58.23     9.87    -8.74     0.18     2.05    12.06     3.96P    8.29R    3.53  
Hartlepool            9   13   +0       2.45    73.01     2.56    55.41     9.46   -11.93     0.06     0.90     6.87     1.90P   12.74R    5.63  
Carlisle              9   13   -1       0.42    54.20    -1.27    57.11    10.15   -13.26     0.21     1.85    10.73     3.50P   11.27R    4.95  
Notts_County          9   13   -1      -1.64    35.13    -4.42    72.41    10.57    12.21     6.06    25.52    59.10    35.87P    0.53R    0.16  
Exeter                9   13   -1       1.00    59.87    -0.31    62.87    10.21    -2.85     0.77     5.63    24.03     9.67P    3.82R    1.56  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   12   -2       0.98    60.48    -0.05    58.21     9.80    -8.90     0.22     1.92    11.58     3.76P    8.40R    3.67  
Luton                 9   11   +1      -2.33    29.33    -0.40    64.77    10.02     5.63     1.14     7.79    30.52    13.64P    2.29R    0.80  
Bristol_Rovers        9   10   -2      -0.81    43.37    -0.05    56.50     9.94    -6.87     0.12     1.42     9.15     3.12P   11.32R    5.25  
Barnet                9   10   -4       0.02    51.85     0.01    51.97    10.27   -17.95     0.05     0.57     4.60     1.34P   24.26R   13.28  
York                  9    9   -2      -2.79    25.23    -1.29    56.97     9.64    -5.37     0.13     1.41     9.45     3.22P    9.68R    4.17  
Stevenage             9    9   -4      -3.81    18.50    -4.57    62.56    10.10     0.32     0.64     5.33    23.62    10.19P    3.63R    1.37  
Yeovil                9    7   -6      -5.56     9.34    -6.35    56.19    10.53    -8.34     0.22     1.78     9.99     3.95P   13.63R    6.70  
Dag_&_Red             9    6   -8      -4.47    13.53    -4.99    51.55     9.88   -15.96     0.01     0.35     3.59     1.04P   24.07R   12.89  
Crawley_Town          9    6   -9      -6.27     6.52    -8.96    56.88    10.52    -8.77     0.22     1.87    11.00     4.24P   12.22R    6.08  
Newport_County        9    5   -9      -5.06    10.27    -5.59    47.47     9.66   -21.28     0.00     0.10     1.43     0.37P   39.28R   24.20  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Aldershot 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     13   28   +9       5.13    84.12     1.23    82.22     9.17    22.62    16.82    70.76    29.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        13   26   +3       6.69    90.09     0.91    74.44     9.13     7.70     3.75    36.95     9.53P    0.07R    0.00  
Cheltenham       13   25  +10       1.24    58.75     0.99    85.46     9.28    33.16    29.06    81.65    45.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          13   23   +8       5.32    83.56     8.76    69.51    10.18     9.07     2.21    22.62     5.58P    0.70R    0.08  
Wrexham          13   23   +8       2.63    69.51     4.22    74.14     9.11    16.78     3.77    37.03    10.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +7      -1.07    40.81    -2.61    84.22     9.26    31.34    24.09    78.02    42.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          13   21  +12      -3.44    24.50     1.88    80.66     8.98    33.95    13.85    66.98    31.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   13   21   +6       0.93    57.22     2.77    67.17     9.10     7.32     0.78    14.02     3.21P    0.62R    0.05  
Braintree_Town   13   21   +4       1.55    62.12     1.58    66.05     8.89     3.99     0.49    10.95     2.51P    0.78R    0.09  
Eastleigh        13   21   +3       0.04    50.24    -1.76    69.58     9.22     7.68     1.41    20.69     5.12P    0.36R    0.03  
Lincoln_City     13   20   +5       2.33    67.73     5.39    66.35     9.22     6.20     0.64    12.33     2.67P    0.86R    0.09  
Woking           13   20   +5      -0.15    48.77     1.46    72.22     9.27    15.46     2.63    30.33     8.69P    0.18R    0.01  
Guiseley         13   18   -3       2.75    70.88     0.73    51.16     9.10   -21.88     0.00     0.47     0.08P   23.78R    5.95  
Barrow           13   18   -7       4.67    82.89     0.40    51.76     9.28   -25.42     0.02     0.53     0.07P   23.08R    6.08  
Aldershot        13   17   -4       0.81    57.28    -1.31    61.60     9.12    -5.33     0.13     4.67     0.87P    3.23R    0.45  
Macclesfield     13   16   +1      -2.62    30.56    -0.13    64.81     9.07     6.32     0.31     9.14     2.07P    1.37R    0.15  
Chester          13   16   -6       2.55    71.12     0.94    55.67     8.84   -14.98     0.01     0.91     0.10P   10.93R    2.13  
Welling          13   15   -2       0.09    51.88     2.40    54.30     8.75   -11.05     0.01     0.68     0.10P   13.07R    2.78  
Altrincham       13   14  -10       1.59    64.45    -1.54    49.71     8.66   -25.38     0.00     0.17     0.02P   28.70R    7.73  
Boreham_Wood     13   10   -6      -3.09    27.92     1.59    46.76     9.29   -19.22     0.00     0.11     0.02P   40.49R   15.07  
Torquay          13   10  -12      -6.70     9.23    -9.94    54.47     9.12   -13.89     0.01     0.82     0.16P   13.62R    3.09  
Southport        13    8  -12      -4.26    18.68    -3.21    41.79     8.56   -30.34     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.21R   31.19  
Halifax          13    7   -9     -10.99     1.17    -9.01    47.09     8.93   -17.72     0.00     0.08     0.02P   37.73R   12.54  
Kidderminster    13    6  -10      -9.11     2.65    -5.74    47.25     8.90   -16.38     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.13R   12.47