Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 September 2015, Watford 0 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           7   16   +7       2.56    75.73     1.14    71.85     8.70    27.25    16.45    40.78    60.24    74.39    90.03     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City          7   15   +7       0.93    58.54    -0.13    80.54     8.17    45.59    59.59    80.83    90.62    95.40    98.90     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham          7   13   +6       3.31    82.40     6.07    55.84     8.76     6.40     0.41     2.19     5.91    12.10    29.58     0.99R    0.06  
Arsenal           7   13   +3       0.25    51.64    -1.74    70.14     8.70    25.67    11.94    32.75    52.69    68.20    86.54     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham         7   12   +4       1.61    66.97     2.93    60.28     8.92    12.59     1.38     6.08    14.14    24.88    49.00     0.33R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace    7   12   +2       4.21    88.35     4.79    50.87     8.49    -3.10     0.07     0.52     1.68     3.91    12.69     3.26R    0.33  
Leicester         7   12   +1       2.71    77.00     1.64    48.49     8.68   -10.01     0.03     0.32     1.07     2.50     8.40     6.56R    0.78  
Liverpool         7   11   -2      -0.10    49.03    -4.28    58.47     8.90     5.18     0.89     4.08     9.90    18.39    39.88     0.55R    0.06  
Everton           6    9   +3       0.94    61.50     3.23    59.63     9.02    12.91     1.35     5.72    12.94    22.61    46.36     0.43R    0.04  
Southampton       7    9   +1      -2.20    27.45    -1.39    55.86     8.73     7.33     0.47     2.15     5.91    11.94    29.97     0.93R    0.09  
Swansea           7    9   +0       0.02    51.23     0.95    50.34     8.72    -2.02     0.09     0.50     1.57     3.76    12.29     4.08R    0.43  
Norwich           7    9   -1       0.43    55.61     0.68    43.23     8.90   -15.45     0.02     0.10     0.33     0.85     3.35    18.47R    3.50  
Watford           7    9   -1       1.37    66.16     2.28    42.97     8.83   -14.64     0.01     0.08     0.29     0.70     2.90    19.27R    3.94  
West_Brom         6    8   -2       1.49    69.63     0.56    45.64     8.54   -11.16     0.03     0.12     0.45     1.13     4.64    11.06R    1.61  
Chelsea           7    8   -3      -4.34    11.50    -7.12    67.74     8.65    24.15     7.23    23.66    41.86    58.12    80.26     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth       7    7   -2      -1.44    35.84    -0.02    37.91     8.73   -22.47     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.21     0.97    39.20R   10.73  
Stoke             7    6   -3      -3.14    19.38    -2.35    44.72     8.52    -8.53     0.01     0.09     0.32     0.84     3.72    12.60R    2.20  
Aston_Villa       7    4   -4      -3.38    16.38    -0.62    33.25     7.99   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    60.49R   22.50  
Newcastle         7    3   -6      -3.33    15.10    -0.79    36.20     8.31   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.37    45.56R   14.08  
Sunderland        7    2  -10      -4.90     6.41    -5.86    29.87     7.80   -33.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    76.17R   39.64  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 September 2015, Middlesbrough 3 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         9   21   +6       8.12    97.58     5.03    73.84     9.61     9.88     7.23    17.40    56.13    25.72P    0.22R    0.03  
Middlesbrough    9   20  +12       3.54    80.65     5.90    85.01     9.78    32.86    41.84    61.73    90.47    71.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          9   15   +7       2.46    72.09     6.65    66.91     9.94     9.04     2.13     6.19    30.65    11.47P    1.90R    0.27  
Hull             9   15   +5      -0.17    48.07     0.84    76.66    10.14    20.99    13.78    28.18    67.86    40.65P    0.17R    0.02  
Cardiff          9   15   +3       2.02    68.57     2.03    66.68     9.94     4.75     2.22     5.88    28.59    10.88P    2.25R    0.37  
Burnley          9   15   +2       0.65    55.73    -0.95    72.50    10.37    12.25     7.07    16.46    51.42    26.07P    0.62R    0.08  
Ipswich          9   15   +0       1.40    62.81    -1.92    69.08    10.29     5.05     3.79     9.50    37.71    15.96P    1.61R    0.22  
Derby            9   14   +3      -0.92    41.21    -0.83    76.06    10.19    20.37    12.32    26.59    65.37    38.05P    0.25R    0.03  
Birmingham       8   12   +2       1.32    63.61     2.44    60.19    10.19    -3.84     0.56     1.75    12.49     3.75P    8.88R    1.83  
Nott'm_Forest    9   12   +0      -0.59    44.88    -0.39    62.66    10.12    -0.16     0.85     2.72    17.74     6.04P    5.61R    1.10  
Sheff_Wed        9   12   -1       0.81    58.81     0.51    59.31     9.69    -5.31     0.33     1.14     9.79     2.92P    9.29R    1.81  
QPR              9   12   -3      -1.23    39.26    -4.31    65.97    10.80     1.75     2.53     6.50    28.46    11.76P    3.83R    0.74  
Fulham           8   11   +4       0.02    51.02     4.06    62.31    10.67     1.96     1.19     3.40    18.54     6.41P    7.05R    1.50  
Leeds_United     9   11   -2       0.62    57.26     0.81    57.06     9.69    -8.29     0.18     0.66     6.70     1.76P   13.63R    3.42  
Huddersfield     9   10   -1      -0.68    44.60     1.50    53.85     9.84   -11.51     0.09     0.38     3.77     0.98P   22.77R    6.83  
Wolverhampton    8    9   -2      -2.67    25.58    -3.10    65.63    10.43     4.94     2.01     5.45    27.05    11.04P    3.46R    0.63  
Charlton         9    9   -3      -1.54    36.18    -0.49    54.28     9.68   -10.29     0.06     0.33     3.87     1.03P   21.16R    5.65  
Blackburn        9    8   +0      -4.61    13.67    -0.43    61.17    10.04     3.81     0.65     2.03    14.68     5.12P    6.83R    1.41  
Brentford        8    8   -3      -3.06    22.55    -3.05    61.69    10.55    -0.88     0.89     2.71    16.59     6.02P    7.66R    1.71  
Rotherham        9    8   -6      -1.31    38.91    -1.27    44.66     9.32   -28.10     0.01     0.02     0.38     0.06P   59.73R   29.44  
Bolton           9    8   -6      -2.43    28.54    -3.27    52.33     9.75   -15.14     0.05     0.17     2.56     0.62P   28.13R    8.88  
Preston          9    7   -4      -3.66    18.85    -1.77    52.15    10.02   -11.23     0.06     0.22     2.92     0.77P   28.31R    8.70  
MK_Dons          9    7   -5      -4.23    15.74    -3.23    51.90    10.57   -14.19     0.09     0.32     3.43     0.99P   30.41R   10.80  
Bristol_City     9    6   -8      -4.41    14.84    -4.76    50.50    10.70   -18.69     0.07     0.27     2.83     0.81P   36.22R   14.53  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Barnsley 2 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion     9   21   +5       9.21    98.48     5.78    71.38    10.48     4.77     8.05    15.94    44.63    21.45P    2.05R    0.13  
Walsall           9   18   +9       3.68    80.84     6.09    73.29     9.87    15.94    10.50    20.52    53.60    28.86P    0.83R    0.04  
Gillingham        9   17   +6       4.21    83.90     5.38    71.56    10.26    11.64     8.36    16.83    46.64    23.67P    1.71R    0.10  
Coventry          9   16   +6       2.89    75.15     4.82    69.98    10.30    10.75     6.22    13.35    41.03    19.80P    2.59R    0.19  
Bury              9   16   +4       4.16    83.15     4.87    63.51    10.69    -1.37     2.11     5.02    20.35     8.00P   10.21R    1.19  
Sheff_Utd         9   16   +3       1.36    62.10    -0.44    75.66    10.19    16.29    16.02    28.26    62.02    37.98P    0.63R    0.03  
Rochdale          9   14   +4       0.95    59.25     2.99    68.73    10.39     9.83     5.30    11.20    36.49    17.47P    3.62R    0.26  
Barnsley          9   14   +1       0.79    57.57    -0.23    69.34    10.29     7.88     5.67    11.91    38.17    18.55P    3.00R    0.23  
Wigan             9   14   +1      -1.57    35.26    -3.76    76.19    10.54    17.82    18.07    30.93    63.75    41.52P    0.62R    0.04  
Colchester        9   13   -2       2.10    69.58     0.60    58.48    10.17   -10.87     0.58     1.52     8.90     2.94P   20.00R    3.14  
Millwall          9   13   -2      -0.25    48.24    -3.32    65.39    10.66     0.43     2.99     6.65    25.15    11.27P    7.49R    0.82  
Port_Vale         9   12   +1       0.24    53.15     1.91    60.72    10.09    -2.04     0.86     2.32    13.01     4.55P   13.89R    1.78  
Southend          9   12   +0       1.22    62.58     2.00    56.92    10.17    -7.69     0.36     1.03     6.96     2.22P   24.03R    4.12  
Peterborough      9   11   +1      -2.31    29.79    -0.46    66.73    10.27     8.46     3.45     7.86    29.70    13.49P    4.96R    0.50  
Chesterfield      9   11   +0      -1.88    33.57    -0.84    67.49    10.27     8.55     3.93     8.84    32.02    14.99P    4.39R    0.44  
Shrewsbury        9   11   +0      -1.80    34.14    -0.84    60.29    10.31    -1.45     0.93     2.37    12.68     4.97P   15.08R    2.00  
Swindon           9   11   -1      -3.76    19.31    -4.69    68.82    10.47     9.62     5.33    11.70    37.33    19.16P    3.73R    0.32  
Bradford          9   10   -4      -1.49    37.12    -2.79    58.90     9.97    -6.36     0.51     1.48     9.16     3.27P   18.09R    2.71  
Fleetwood_Town    9    9   +0      -2.83    25.34     0.68    55.46     9.89    -6.16     0.27     0.75     5.26     1.73P   27.63R    4.92  
Oldham            9    9   -4      -1.85    33.91    -1.94    53.63     9.85   -12.95     0.12     0.40     3.46     1.08P   35.13R    7.47  
Scunthorpe        9    8   -4      -3.19    22.81    -2.15    52.20    10.03   -14.36     0.09     0.32     2.92     0.87P   40.96R    9.42  
Doncaster         9    7   -6      -4.49    13.54    -4.86    55.80     9.94    -8.48     0.24     0.70     5.30     1.75P   26.96R    4.92  
Crewe             9    6   -7      -2.70    25.61    -1.30    43.71     9.55   -27.54     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P   74.15R   34.77  
Blackpool         9    5  -11      -5.02    10.79    -7.49    47.93    10.29   -22.71     0.02     0.10     1.17     0.37P   58.26R   20.47  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Barnet 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth            9   19   +8       5.39    90.15     5.99    75.31    10.08    16.17     8.23    33.88    69.60    42.61P    0.14R    0.03  
Wycombe               9   18   +8       3.53    80.23     4.92    79.17     9.96    23.52    14.92    49.64    82.24    59.23P    0.03R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient         9   18   +6       0.65    54.81    -1.74    88.51    10.28    36.74    52.70    81.57    95.70    86.62P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth              9   17   +7       2.86    75.28     4.27    75.32     9.82    18.21     7.68    34.21    70.93    44.46P    0.13R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley    9   16   +6       4.32    84.73     7.09    65.84    10.09     4.48     1.51     9.19    33.68    14.17P    1.81R    0.64  
Oxford_Utd            9   14   +4       1.00    60.05     2.92    67.83     9.84     8.85     1.96    12.25    41.44    19.50P    0.93R    0.31  
Morecambe             9   14   +2       1.98    68.39     2.48    65.82    10.07     3.35     1.40     8.90    33.57    14.32P    1.89R    0.66  
Northampton           9   14   +2       1.44    63.63     1.67    66.25    10.10     4.08     1.39     9.79    35.33    15.84P    1.77R    0.64  
Mansfield             9   13   +5       2.03    69.54     6.80    58.15     9.59    -2.62     0.18     1.90    11.41     3.66P    7.42R    3.19  
Cambridge_Utd         9   13   +0       1.35    62.92     1.17    58.35     9.86    -8.56     0.18     2.20    12.35     4.14P    8.07R    3.48  
Hartlepool            9   13   +0       2.38    72.59     2.48    55.41     9.55   -11.98     0.08     1.04     7.01     2.00P   12.82R    5.84  
Carlisle              9   13   -1       0.48    54.70    -1.16    56.78    10.15   -13.77     0.21     1.83    10.16     3.49P   11.53R    5.30  
Notts_County          9   13   -1      -1.64    35.25    -4.42    72.48    10.75    12.32     6.36    26.28    59.07    36.05P    0.49R    0.15  
Exeter                9   13   -1       1.08    60.37    -0.22    62.61    10.16    -3.30     0.59     5.20    23.40     9.21P    4.02R    1.62  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   12   -2       0.96    59.95    -0.08    58.19     9.83    -8.92     0.22     1.91    11.56     3.90P    8.42R    3.68  
Luton                 9   11   +1      -2.23    30.17    -0.29    64.64    10.02     5.47     1.06     7.54    30.00    13.40P    2.37R    0.91  
Bristol_Rovers        9   10   -2      -0.81    43.38    -0.07    56.60     9.97    -6.71     0.14     1.39     9.40     3.19P   11.35R    5.26  
Barnet                9   10   -4       0.09    52.38     0.08    51.78    10.16   -18.18     0.03     0.46     4.22     1.21P   24.73R   13.67  
York                  9    9   -2      -2.81    24.87    -1.32    57.01     9.59    -5.28     0.08     1.28     9.29     3.04P    9.38R    4.03  
Stevenage             9    9   -4      -3.84    18.08    -4.60    62.58    10.14     0.27     0.63     5.27    23.67    10.13P    3.79R    1.44  
Yeovil                9    7   -6      -5.59     9.13    -6.42    56.28    10.50    -8.11     0.18     1.82    10.13     3.98P   13.07R    6.42  
Dag_&_Red             9    6   -8      -4.47    13.56    -4.98    51.46     9.78   -16.12     0.02     0.39     3.45     1.06P   24.32R   12.66  
Crawley_Town          9    6   -9      -6.23     6.61    -8.91    56.91    10.55    -8.65     0.21     1.96    11.01     4.39P   12.30R    6.02  
Newport_County        9    5   -9      -5.10     9.97    -5.66    47.52     9.69   -21.24     0.01     0.12     1.39     0.41P   39.23R   24.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Aldershot 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     13   28   +9       5.19    84.36     1.31    81.99     9.21    22.26    16.51    69.66    28.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        13   26   +3       6.70    90.17     0.95    74.25     9.06     7.44     3.57    35.91     9.13P    0.07R    0.00  
Cheltenham       13   25  +10       1.34    59.55     1.15    85.25     9.31    32.68    28.48    81.15    44.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Bromley          13   23   +8       5.28    83.41     8.71    69.59    10.15     9.25     2.30    22.84     5.72P    0.71R    0.08  
Wrexham          13   23   +8       2.69    69.75     4.32    73.99     9.08    16.51     3.61    36.66    10.77P    0.07R    0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +7      -1.13    40.30    -2.64    84.28     9.28    31.44    24.69    78.18    42.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          13   21  +12      -3.50    24.02     1.82    80.77     8.89    34.15    14.03    67.67    31.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   13   21   +6       0.82    56.26     2.62    67.42     9.14     7.70     0.80    14.81     3.46P    0.55R    0.04  
Braintree_Town   13   21   +4       1.55    62.08     1.56    66.02     8.86     3.98     0.45    10.91     2.39P    0.72R    0.05  
Eastleigh        13   21   +3       0.03    49.97    -1.74    69.65     9.29     7.86     1.65    21.06     5.45P    0.41R    0.03  
Lincoln_City     13   20   +5       2.33    67.61     5.39    66.31     9.21     6.13     0.64    12.36     2.61P    0.92R    0.12  
Woking           13   20   +5      -0.25    48.03     1.31    72.40     9.26    15.71     2.71    30.71     8.88P    0.17R    0.01  
Guiseley         13   18   -3       2.81    71.37     0.82    51.01     9.06   -22.04     0.01     0.44     0.05P   24.33R    6.01  
Barrow           13   18   -7       4.62    82.48     0.37    51.78     9.26   -25.44     0.01     0.54     0.08P   22.94R    5.97  
Aldershot        13   17   -4       0.80    57.35    -1.36    61.54     9.09    -5.42     0.16     4.59     0.91P    3.17R    0.46  
Macclesfield     13   16   +1      -2.56    31.15    -0.06    64.80     9.11     6.31     0.34     9.31     2.26P    1.33R    0.17  
Chester          13   16   -6       2.57    70.93     0.99    55.65     8.85   -14.95     0.01     0.98     0.18P   10.98R    2.10  
Welling          13   15   -2      -0.00    51.37     2.23    54.63     8.80   -10.54     0.01     0.77     0.14P   12.32R    2.58  
Altrincham       13   14  -10       1.60    64.80    -1.49    49.74     8.63   -25.41     0.00     0.16     0.02P   28.65R    7.53  
Boreham_Wood     13   10   -6      -3.15    27.83     1.45    46.93     9.34   -18.88     0.00     0.15     0.02P   39.90R   14.52  
Torquay          13   10  -12      -6.68     9.21    -9.89    54.48     9.16   -13.93     0.02     0.94     0.15P   13.61R    3.07  
Southport        13    8  -12      -4.23    18.51    -3.17    41.63     8.55   -30.63     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.21R   32.41  
Halifax          13    7   -9     -10.99     1.14    -9.04    47.21     8.98   -17.51     0.00     0.12     0.03P   37.32R   12.04  
Kidderminster    13    6  -10      -9.01     2.68    -5.60    47.07     8.85   -16.67     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.63R   12.81