Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 26 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Leicester 2 5 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd           7   16   +7       2.52    75.62     1.06    72.02     8.66    27.60    16.15    41.05    60.74    74.97    90.55     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          7   15   +7       0.90    58.12    -0.22    80.74     8.16    46.02    60.27    81.31    90.91    95.66    98.96     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham          7   13   +6       3.30    82.34     6.08    55.73     8.79     6.19     0.38     2.28     5.96    11.68    29.11     0.99R    0.05  
Arsenal           7   13   +3       0.21    51.18    -1.78    70.22     8.69    25.86    12.00    32.77    52.73    68.15    86.80     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham         7   12   +4       1.60    66.95     2.89    60.33     8.94    12.64     1.37     6.16    14.40    25.11    49.40     0.29R    0.02  
Leicester         7   12   +1       2.73    77.13     1.65    48.43     8.68   -10.19     0.05     0.32     1.09     2.58     8.65     6.56R    0.79  
Liverpool         7   11   -2      -0.03    49.75    -4.18    58.32     8.94     4.91     0.98     3.99     9.54    17.61    39.37     0.56R    0.04  
Everton           6    9   +3       0.95    61.43     3.27    59.62     9.05    12.89     1.24     5.58    12.71    22.73    46.56     0.42R    0.01  
Southampton       7    9   +1      -2.17    28.05    -1.34    55.77     8.72     7.23     0.41     2.16     5.79    11.64    29.49     0.92R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace    6    9   +1       2.69    80.60     4.02    48.99     8.62    -4.61     0.05     0.31     0.98     2.54     9.35     5.52R    0.72  
Swansea           7    9   +0       0.03    51.36     0.98    50.38     8.74    -2.01     0.09     0.47     1.56     3.74    12.46     4.20R    0.46  
Watford           6    9   +0       2.58    78.80     3.09    45.09     9.25   -12.72     0.02     0.21     0.65     1.55     5.36    14.79R    2.73  
Norwich           7    9   -1       0.44    55.93     0.67    43.15     8.96   -15.69     0.02     0.09     0.34     0.82     3.25    19.09R    3.75  
West_Brom         6    8   -2       1.52    70.06     0.62    45.69     8.56   -11.17     0.02     0.10     0.40     1.16     4.82    10.99R    1.62  
Chelsea           7    8   -3      -4.40    11.02    -7.20    67.82     8.62    24.36     6.92    23.10    41.80    58.95    80.67     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth       7    7   -2      -1.46    35.78    -0.02    37.89     8.75   -22.54     0.01     0.03     0.09     0.21     0.98    38.94R   10.72  
Stoke             7    6   -3      -3.18    18.75    -2.37    44.63     8.47    -8.71     0.02     0.07     0.30     0.85     3.69    12.85R    2.05  
Aston_Villa       7    4   -4      -3.39    16.41    -0.63    33.30     7.96   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13    60.55R   21.88  
Newcastle         7    3   -6      -3.31    15.62    -0.74    36.06     8.39   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.37    46.38R   14.84  
Sunderland        7    2  -10      -4.93     6.25    -5.86    29.80     7.79   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    76.90R   40.23  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Birmingham 0 2 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         9   21   +6       8.05    97.61     4.93    74.23     9.64    10.40     8.74    19.19    57.57    27.70P    0.21R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    8   17   +9       2.79    76.06     4.22    82.57     9.97    28.64    33.73    52.55    85.18    62.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          9   15   +7       2.46    72.32     6.64    67.00     9.96     9.20     2.65     6.70    30.82    11.86P    2.03R    0.30  
Hull             9   15   +5      -0.28    47.12     0.68    77.00    10.20    21.42    15.77    30.72    69.25    42.94P    0.18R    0.02  
Cardiff          9   15   +3       2.09    69.13     2.13    66.51    10.02     4.48     2.38     6.15    28.57    10.93P    2.35R    0.39  
Burnley          9   15   +2       0.69    56.19    -0.88    72.48    10.44    12.21     8.12    17.04    51.31    26.53P    0.66R    0.08  
Ipswich          9   15   +0       1.43    63.09    -1.85    69.03    10.26     4.92     4.16     9.89    37.63    16.39P    1.59R    0.27  
Derby            9   14   +3      -0.90    41.56    -0.80    75.97    10.15    20.20    13.55    27.42    65.42    38.44P    0.25R    0.02  
Birmingham       8   12   +2       1.36    63.96     2.50    60.18    10.17    -3.76     0.64     1.92    12.29     3.88P    9.14R    1.85  
Nott'm_Forest    9   12   +0      -0.59    45.27    -0.42    62.59    10.20    -0.19     1.03     3.07    17.95     6.26P    5.73R    1.10  
Sheff_Wed        9   12   -1       0.88    59.40     0.59    58.98     9.67    -5.71     0.32     1.11     9.24     2.75P    9.93R    2.06  
QPR              9   12   -3      -1.18    39.60    -4.26    65.79    10.90     1.49     2.73     6.80    27.87    11.87P    4.23R    0.88  
Fulham           8   11   +4       0.05    51.44     4.12    62.33    10.61     2.00     1.26     3.54    18.74     6.57P    6.90R    1.45  
Leeds_United     8   11   +1       1.09    61.95     2.47    59.14     9.98    -4.16     0.44     1.36    10.09     3.02P   10.37R    2.27  
Huddersfield     9   10   -1      -0.68    44.71     1.52    54.02     9.78   -11.21     0.10     0.37     3.88     1.00P   22.37R    6.31  
Wolverhampton    8    9   -2      -2.66    25.30    -3.05    65.47    10.40     4.65     2.23     5.60    26.42    10.97P    3.51R    0.70  
Charlton         9    9   -3      -1.55    36.18    -0.50    54.16     9.64   -10.42     0.10     0.33     3.74     1.01P   21.54R    5.99  
Blackburn        9    8   +0      -4.64    13.45    -0.47    61.22    10.06     3.88     0.72     2.27    14.86     5.51P    7.02R    1.47  
Brentford        8    8   -3      -3.05    22.54    -3.08    61.61    10.57    -0.94     0.99     2.84    16.66     6.00P    7.82R    1.68  
Rotherham        9    8   -6      -1.35    38.65    -1.36    44.72     9.34   -27.96     0.01     0.01     0.33     0.07P   59.30R   29.51  
Bolton           9    8   -6      -2.43    28.70    -3.29    52.31     9.70   -15.14     0.05     0.19     2.53     0.66P   28.09R    8.70  
Preston          9    7   -4      -3.63    19.21    -1.77    52.10    10.03   -11.25     0.07     0.25     3.07     0.83P   28.87R    9.13  
MK_Dons          9    7   -5      -4.29    15.44    -3.38    52.19    10.60   -13.64     0.12     0.43     3.83     1.12P   29.99R   10.46  
Bristol_City     9    6   -8      -4.34    15.23    -4.70    50.20    10.74   -19.10     0.07     0.26     2.75     0.80P   37.91R   15.34  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Barnsley 2 0 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion     9   21   +5       9.23    98.48     5.80    71.24    10.46     4.64     8.02    15.87    44.16    21.19P    2.16R    0.13  
Walsall           9   18   +9       3.68    80.86     6.09    73.39     9.99    16.06    10.90    21.02    54.40    29.40P    0.96R    0.06  
Gillingham        9   17   +6       4.21    83.80     5.35    71.63    10.27    11.69     8.52    17.17    46.83    23.84P    1.79R    0.10  
Coventry          9   16   +6       2.92    75.38     4.89    69.87    10.28    10.52     6.47    13.35    40.40    19.55P    2.61R    0.18  
Bury              9   16   +4       4.11    82.95     4.79    63.69    10.77    -1.12     2.38     5.37    20.92     8.49P    9.99R    1.15  
Sheff_Utd         9   16   +3       1.43    62.63    -0.35    75.33    10.15    15.84    15.04    27.27    61.21    37.13P    0.69R    0.03  
Rochdale          9   14   +4       0.95    59.16     2.96    68.74    10.35     9.87     5.29    11.08    36.53    17.24P    3.46R    0.26  
Barnsley          9   14   +1       0.75    57.26    -0.29    69.56    10.27     8.23     5.92    12.43    39.02    19.15P    2.77R    0.23  
Wigan             9   14   +1      -1.53    35.61    -3.71    75.93    10.58    17.46    17.96    30.66    63.01    41.55P    0.77R    0.04  
Colchester        9   13   -2       2.14    69.83     0.64    58.33    10.22   -11.07     0.58     1.57     8.87     2.92P   20.82R    3.33  
Millwall          9   13   -2      -0.28    47.65    -3.39    65.55    10.69     0.70     3.23     7.09    25.76    11.70P    7.34R    0.77  
Port_Vale         9   12   +1       0.20    52.67     1.85    60.78    10.12    -1.94     0.94     2.46    13.18     4.76P   13.59R    1.56  
Southend          9   12   +0       1.14    61.87     1.88    57.37    10.13    -6.97     0.44     1.17     7.48     2.51P   22.85R    3.73  
Peterborough      9   11   +1      -2.30    29.74    -0.44    66.69    10.34     8.34     3.38     7.89    29.85    13.85P    5.09R    0.53  
Chesterfield      9   11   +0      -1.83    33.93    -0.75    67.21    10.24     8.10     3.58     8.38    31.25    14.40P    4.62R    0.41  
Shrewsbury        9   11   +0      -1.86    33.57    -0.89    60.43    10.34    -1.26     1.01     2.52    13.19     5.11P   14.81R    1.99  
Swindon           9   11   -1      -3.72    19.48    -4.59    68.56    10.36     9.24     5.05    10.90    36.10    18.15P    3.67R    0.33  
Bradford          9   10   -4      -1.47    37.26    -2.80    58.89     9.95    -6.34     0.56     1.51     9.20     3.23P   18.26R    2.61  
Fleetwood_Town    9    9   +0      -2.84    25.57     0.68    55.63     9.99    -5.92     0.24     0.73     5.40     1.74P   27.46R    4.94  
Oldham            9    9   -4      -1.89    33.51    -2.01    53.73     9.89   -12.73     0.14     0.44     3.56     1.09P   34.87R    7.13  
Scunthorpe        9    8   -4      -3.22    22.66    -2.19    52.42    10.05   -14.04     0.11     0.35     2.97     0.90P   40.32R    9.18  
Doncaster         9    7   -6      -4.44    14.05    -4.81    55.64     9.96    -8.68     0.20     0.63     5.26     1.69P   27.47R    5.01  
Crewe             9    6   -7      -2.69    25.77    -1.27    43.70     9.47   -27.58     0.01     0.01     0.30     0.07P   74.44R   34.98  
Blackpool         9    5  -11      -4.98    11.17    -7.43    47.71    10.30   -23.05     0.04     0.11     1.16     0.35P   59.18R   21.35  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Barnet 3 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth            9   19   +8       5.38    90.13     5.95    75.33    10.19    16.21     8.24    34.03    69.74    42.74P    0.13R    0.04  
Wycombe               9   18   +8       3.58    80.67     4.97    79.14     9.93    23.46    14.72    49.72    81.83    59.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient         9   18   +6       0.59    54.27    -1.81    88.59    10.15    36.86    53.03    82.01    96.07    87.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth              9   17   +7       2.81    75.19     4.26    75.43     9.84    18.35     8.16    34.15    70.89    44.54P    0.09R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley    9   16   +6       4.36    85.10     7.15    65.74    10.04     4.28     1.42     8.99    33.33    13.71P    1.95R    0.75  
Oxford_Utd            9   14   +4       0.99    59.67     2.90    67.97     9.88     9.06     2.02    12.41    41.87    19.79P    0.99R    0.34  
Morecambe             9   14   +2       1.95    67.93     2.44    65.94    10.15     3.58     1.39     9.37    34.09    14.99P    1.88R    0.68  
Northampton           9   14   +2       1.49    64.29     1.76    65.99    10.06     3.60     1.27     9.21    34.24    15.04P    1.75R    0.62  
Mansfield             9   13   +5       2.08    70.05     6.86    58.09     9.59    -2.66     0.19     1.77    11.28     3.51P    7.64R    3.23  
Cambridge_Utd         9   13   +0       1.49    64.46     1.37    57.96     9.84    -9.08     0.21     1.93    11.43     3.76P    8.50R    3.57  
Hartlepool            9   13   +0       2.45    73.17     2.60    55.28     9.49   -12.12     0.09     0.90     6.63     1.87P   12.91R    5.96  
Carlisle              9   13   -1       0.41    54.27    -1.26    56.86    10.21   -13.70     0.24     1.88    10.51     3.55P   11.48R    5.33  
Notts_County          9   13   -1      -1.69    34.73    -4.50    72.66    10.69    12.59     6.18    26.32    59.77    36.64P    0.51R    0.17  
Exeter                9   13   -1       0.98    59.61    -0.33    62.71    10.09    -3.06     0.57     5.27    23.28     9.02P    3.81R    1.53  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   12   -2       1.01    60.60    -0.04    58.13     9.83    -9.00     0.19     1.90    11.52     3.99P    8.58R    3.75  
Luton                 9   11   +1      -2.22    30.27    -0.25    64.44     9.98     5.20     0.86     7.15    29.33    12.74P    2.27R    0.89  
Bristol_Rovers        9   10   -2      -0.83    43.09    -0.12    56.69     9.94    -6.62     0.11     1.44     9.64     3.14P   10.95R    4.87  
Barnet                9   10   -4       0.06    51.83     0.07    51.63    10.28   -18.45     0.05     0.60     4.39     1.33P   25.56R   14.00  
York                  9    9   -2      -2.78    25.27    -1.29    57.13     9.73    -5.17     0.14     1.37     9.83     3.31P    9.34R    4.17  
Stevenage             9    9   -4      -3.87    17.88    -4.67    62.65    10.11     0.40     0.55     5.19    23.76    10.13P    3.84R    1.44  
Yeovil                9    7   -6      -5.60     8.98    -6.44    56.41    10.53    -7.96     0.18     1.90    10.40     4.09P   12.96R    6.53  
Dag_&_Red             9    6   -8      -4.43    14.08    -4.90    51.32     9.84   -16.28     0.02     0.36     3.55     1.01P   24.86R   13.27  
Crawley_Town          9    6   -9      -6.31     6.52    -9.01    57.07    10.52    -8.45     0.17     1.98    11.20     4.45P   11.72R    5.74  
Newport_County        9    5   -9      -5.09     9.98    -5.70    47.61     9.58   -21.03     0.01     0.14     1.42     0.42P   38.24R   23.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 September 2015, Aldershot 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     13   28   +9       5.21    84.63     1.34    81.97     9.15    22.23    16.49    69.86    28.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        13   26   +3       6.75    90.36     1.01    74.24     9.12     7.38     3.73    36.19     9.43P    0.06R    0.00  
Cheltenham       13   25  +10       1.26    58.91     1.02    85.39     9.36    33.05    29.54    81.53    45.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley          13   23   +8       5.33    83.45     8.72    69.63    10.17     9.28     2.33    23.11     5.70P    0.69R    0.08  
Wrexham          13   23   +8       2.66    69.86     4.26    74.00     9.08    16.60     3.65    36.48    10.65P    0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere         13   23   +7      -1.10    40.60    -2.61    84.16     9.27    31.26    24.19    78.14    42.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          13   21  +12      -3.45    24.29     1.90    80.60     8.85    33.86    13.45    67.24    30.87P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   13   21   +6       0.85    56.66     2.66    67.36     9.11     7.58     0.80    14.73     3.47P    0.59R    0.06  
Braintree_Town   13   21   +4       1.53    62.02     1.54    66.09     8.94     4.08     0.49    11.06     2.60P    0.78R    0.08  
Eastleigh        13   21   +3       0.11    50.68    -1.66    69.53     9.36     7.61     1.55    20.93     5.41P    0.41R    0.03  
Lincoln_City     13   20   +5       2.38    68.09     5.44    66.19     9.24     5.91     0.61    11.92     2.45P    0.96R    0.10  
Woking           13   20   +5      -0.16    48.76     1.47    72.17     9.27    15.39     2.63    30.28     8.64P    0.18R    0.01  
Guiseley         13   18   -3       2.67    70.31     0.60    51.38     9.13   -21.44     0.00     0.54     0.08P   23.04R    5.76  
Barrow           13   18   -7       4.61    82.41     0.32    52.05     9.35   -25.02     0.01     0.69     0.10P   22.19R    5.64  
Aldershot        13   17   -4       0.80    57.02    -1.39    61.76     9.23    -5.12     0.16     4.96     1.00P    3.22R    0.49  
Macclesfield     13   16   +1      -2.68    30.29    -0.19    64.86     9.05     6.44     0.31     9.27     2.17P    1.24R    0.16  
Chester          13   16   -6       2.56    70.96     0.98    55.65     8.89   -15.00     0.02     0.99     0.12P   11.19R    2.23  
Welling          13   15   -2       0.03    51.59     2.32    54.42     8.82   -10.82     0.01     0.75     0.12P   13.06R    2.63  
Altrincham       13   14  -10       1.65    64.87    -1.40    49.51     8.67   -25.75     0.00     0.16     0.03P   29.51R    8.20  
Boreham_Wood     13   10   -6      -3.09    28.10     1.57    46.70     9.29   -19.25     0.00     0.12     0.02P   40.82R   15.07  
Torquay          13   10  -12      -6.68     9.30    -9.90    54.38     9.18   -14.07     0.01     0.78     0.16P   14.02R    3.20  
Southport        13    8  -12      -4.24    18.63    -3.18    41.71     8.48   -30.43     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.99R   31.69  
Halifax          13    7   -9     -11.00     1.19    -9.07    47.28     9.11   -17.37     0.00     0.14     0.01P   37.25R   12.31  
Kidderminster    13    6  -10      -9.10     2.64    -5.76    47.29     8.92   -16.37     0.00     0.10     0.02P   36.74R   12.26