Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Liverpool 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          6   15  +10       2.49    76.72     3.24    83.86     8.19    51.05    74.72    90.30    95.82    98.17    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           6   13   +4       2.02    72.27    -0.04    69.84     8.90    23.39     9.20    34.03    54.67    69.83    86.94     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham          6   12   +6       4.13    89.59     6.66    56.63     8.94     7.19     0.49     3.33     8.49    16.20    36.26     0.88R    0.10  
Leicester         6   12   +4       3.31    83.18     3.32    50.54     8.84    -5.12     0.12     0.79     2.41     5.26    14.84     4.50R    0.50  
Arsenal           6   10   +0      -0.51    43.25    -3.33    67.43     8.94    20.32     5.75    24.03    43.56    60.25    80.74     0.04R    0.00  
Everton           6    9   +3       1.01    62.46     3.34    59.34     8.94    12.51     0.88     5.87    14.22    24.88    48.78     0.43R    0.04  
Swansea           6    9   +2       0.96    61.89     2.27    52.20     8.85     1.07     0.12     1.02     3.20     7.11    19.86     2.89R    0.27  
Crystal_Palace    6    9   +1       2.69    80.73     3.94    48.56     8.60    -4.85     0.03     0.36     1.26     3.07    10.15     6.38R    0.84  
Tottenham         6    9   +1       0.00    50.03    -0.14    55.81     9.00     5.16     0.43     2.81     7.41    14.20    32.73     1.36R    0.12  
Watford           6    9   +0       2.59    79.11     3.00    45.27     9.21   -11.94     0.03     0.27     0.85     1.95     6.43    14.56R    2.94  
Norwich           6    8   -1       0.54    57.82     0.17    42.81     9.12   -16.24     0.01     0.14     0.48     1.14     3.95    21.41R    4.85  
West_Brom         6    8   -2       1.50    69.86     0.56    45.81     8.48   -10.42     0.01     0.14     0.58     1.47     5.64    10.99R    1.77  
Liverpool         6    8   -3      -1.06    38.27    -4.29    57.23     8.98     4.71     0.54     3.64     9.33    17.54    38.35     0.90R    0.09  
Bournemouth       6    7   -1      -0.41    46.73     0.39    39.55     9.01   -20.43     0.00     0.05     0.20     0.49     1.84    33.47R    9.01  
Chelsea           6    7   -3      -3.29    15.98    -6.01    69.20     8.75    25.44     7.48    31.73    52.93    68.59    86.13     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton       6    6   -1      -3.39    15.59    -2.76    53.36     8.82     4.12     0.17     1.43     4.28     9.04    23.94     2.23R    0.23  
Aston_Villa       6    4   -3      -2.57    21.87    -0.66    34.03     8.10   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.26    57.77R   21.47  
Stoke             6    3   -4      -4.43     8.14    -2.95    42.83     8.60    -9.67     0.00     0.06     0.27     0.69     3.06    18.93R    4.04  
Newcastle         6    2   -6      -3.56    11.93    -1.99    35.25     8.43   -22.70     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.39    51.83R   18.96  
Sunderland        6    2   -7      -4.62     6.84    -4.72    31.23     7.93   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    71.38R   34.77  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 24 September 2015, Huddersfield 1 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         8   20   +6       8.39    98.67     4.90    74.51     9.76    10.41     8.59    19.00    56.97    27.35P    0.20R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    8   17   +9       2.79    76.41     4.22    82.45     9.94    28.51    31.25    49.83    84.20    60.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          8   15   +3       2.10    70.02     0.17    75.36    10.45    15.41    11.56    23.15    60.53    33.51P    0.27R    0.02  
Hull             8   14   +5       0.50    54.81     1.25    77.62    10.46    21.82    16.81    31.34    69.16    43.24P    0.15R    0.01  
Ipswich          8   14   +0       2.24    71.40    -1.17    70.45    10.41     6.70     5.11    11.49    41.62    18.28P    1.11R    0.14  
Reading          8   12   +6       0.86    59.04     5.72    64.03    10.11     6.32     1.38     3.72    21.06     7.32P    3.62R    0.54  
Birmingham       7   12   +4       2.82    77.71     4.61    63.78    10.41     1.66     1.44     3.98    20.26     7.18P    4.42R    0.73  
Cardiff          8   12   +2       0.82    58.66     1.62    64.61    10.06     3.15     1.43     3.99    21.71     7.82P    3.36R    0.46  
QPR              8   12   +1      -0.60    44.06    -1.58    70.66    11.28    11.02     6.80    14.52    43.93    22.14P    1.56R    0.24  
Nott'm_Forest    9   12   +0      -0.46    46.25    -0.23    62.59    10.07    -0.18     0.92     2.73    16.84     5.81P    4.94R    0.72  
Leeds_United     8   11   +1       1.05    61.48     2.41    59.29     9.91    -3.93     0.39     1.30     9.68     2.93P    8.95R    1.65  
Derby            8   11   +1      -1.90    31.69    -1.85    73.46    10.36    16.82     8.57    18.69    54.54    29.23P    0.49R    0.06  
Huddersfield     9   10   -1      -0.69    44.55     1.49    53.86     9.81   -11.42     0.08     0.32     3.55     0.90P   21.60R    5.29  
Sheff_Wed        8    9   -2      -0.87    42.15    -0.65    56.28     9.83    -8.24     0.17     0.62     5.58     1.57P   14.93R    3.08  
Charlton         8    9   -2      -0.55    45.62    -0.06    55.58     9.82    -9.12     0.12     0.49     4.84     1.39P   16.66R    3.43  
Fulham           7    8   +0      -1.07    39.83     0.86    57.66    10.76    -6.95     0.42     1.29     9.17     2.80P   14.38R    3.35  
Brentford        7    8   -2      -1.57    34.55    -1.94    64.29    10.83     2.11     1.80     4.76    22.86     9.04P    4.75R    0.89  
Wolverhampton    7    8   -2      -2.07    29.14    -2.75    65.73    10.47     4.58     2.05     5.31    26.25    10.29P    3.28R    0.52  
Blackburn        8    7   +0      -4.53    12.59    -0.81    60.84    10.29     2.88     0.64     2.05    13.83     4.90P    7.51R    1.39  
MK_Dons          8    7   -3      -3.42    19.25    -2.17    54.32    10.83   -10.32     0.23     0.70     5.46     1.70P   22.44R    5.93  
Bolton           8    7   -6      -2.22    28.97    -3.54    52.45     9.79   -15.23     0.05     0.18     2.54     0.60P   26.40R    7.09  
Preston          8    6   -4      -3.41    19.24    -1.95    52.10    10.30   -11.69     0.11     0.28     2.97     0.81P   27.70R    7.64  
Bristol_City     8    5   -8      -4.24    14.28    -5.21    49.65    10.83   -20.62     0.07     0.25     2.35     0.66P   38.82R   14.25  
Rotherham        8    5   -8      -3.04    21.36    -3.35    40.85     9.38   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   72.45R   42.56  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Bradford 2 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion     8   18   +4       7.50    96.82     4.66    68.87    10.82     2.61     4.98    10.77    34.94    15.62P    3.58R    0.29  
Walsall           8   17   +9       4.47    87.35     6.71    75.03    10.17    17.88    12.61    24.06    59.46    32.83P    0.55R    0.02  
Gillingham        8   17   +8       5.25    90.49     6.81    74.15    10.57    15.44    11.58    22.13    55.70    29.64P    0.99R    0.06  
Coventry          8   16   +7       4.16    84.86     5.63    72.47    10.61    13.45     8.86    17.67    49.43    24.99P    1.64R    0.12  
Rochdale          8   14   +6       2.09    70.08     4.60    71.13    10.62    13.47     7.40    15.14    44.75    22.36P    2.16R    0.17  
Bury              8   13   +3       2.69    75.06     4.10    60.78    10.96    -4.10     1.25     3.04    14.53     5.21P   14.90R    2.31  
Sheff_Utd         8   13   +1       0.39    53.76    -1.45    73.36    10.37    13.30     9.80    19.48    52.71    28.77P    1.11R    0.06  
Wigan             8   13   +1      -0.91    40.50    -3.36    77.89    10.78    19.76    20.35    34.39    68.34    45.65P    0.54R    0.04  
Chesterfield      8   11   +1      -0.54    45.24     0.11    69.69    10.43    10.84     5.30    11.63    39.49    18.83P    2.70R    0.20  
Swindon           8   11   +0      -2.25    28.95    -3.45    71.72    10.61    13.09     8.05    16.38    47.16    25.31P    1.98R    0.15  
Barnsley          8   11   -1      -0.46    46.02    -1.66    66.97    10.48     4.77     3.32     7.67    29.38    13.09P    4.81R    0.45  
Bradford          8   10   -2      -0.49    45.80    -1.35    61.46    10.26    -2.59     0.97     2.43    14.28     5.09P   12.10R    1.56  
Colchester        8   10   -3       0.34    54.47    -0.69    55.26    10.36   -14.55     0.26     0.73     5.30     1.51P   29.08R    5.84  
Millwall          8   10   -4      -1.47    36.17    -4.76    62.02    10.83    -4.07     1.36     3.40    16.49     6.53P   12.40R    1.69  
Fleetwood_Town    8    9   +1      -1.56    35.60     1.54    57.72    10.22    -3.81     0.43     1.20     8.07     2.75P   20.10R    3.34  
Port_Vale         8    9   +0      -1.25    38.79     1.08    58.49    10.36    -3.97     0.47     1.51     9.36     3.23P   18.72R    2.77  
Southend          8    9   -1      -0.20    49.52     1.29    54.70    10.41    -9.38     0.24     0.68     4.94     1.65P   30.37R    6.43  
Peterborough      8    8   -1      -3.62    18.58    -1.96    63.67    10.56     4.27     1.65     4.26    20.47     8.59P    8.73R    1.05  
Shrewsbury        8    8   -2      -2.94    23.26    -2.13    57.38    10.55    -5.24     0.46     1.34     8.22     3.00P   22.21R    3.71  
Scunthorpe        8    8   -3      -2.02    31.34    -1.45    53.98    10.32   -12.71     0.15     0.52     4.16     1.26P   32.85R    6.96  
Oldham            8    8   -4      -1.82    33.22    -2.41    53.13     9.98   -14.22     0.12     0.35     3.04     0.89P   35.59R    7.68  
Doncaster         8    7   -4      -3.63    17.67    -3.60    57.61    10.14    -5.73     0.33     0.98     7.36     2.48P   20.52R    3.41  
Crewe             8    5   -7      -2.88    23.15    -2.04    43.08     9.70   -29.15     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   74.39R   36.92  
Blackpool         8    5   -9      -4.16    14.62    -6.24    50.17    10.60   -19.34     0.07     0.23     2.14     0.67P   47.98R   14.79  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 September 2015, Notts_County 4 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         8   17   +6       1.21    60.90    -1.59    89.90    10.60    38.81    58.74    84.19    96.05    88.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth              8   16   +7       3.30    79.86     4.39    76.06    10.08    18.76     8.94    37.41    71.97    47.13P    0.10R    0.01  
Portsmouth            8   16   +7       3.90    83.91     5.20    73.07    10.31    14.30     5.75    26.74    60.76    34.95P    0.29R    0.09  
Wycombe               8   15   +6       2.36    72.44     3.58    76.60    10.23    20.23     9.69    39.80    73.43    49.75P    0.10R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd            8   13   +4       1.64    66.24     3.34    68.79    10.12     9.60     2.31    15.10    44.36    22.45P    0.82R    0.28  
Accrington_Stanley    8   13   +3       2.90    77.34     4.47    61.66    10.21    -2.71     0.54     4.56    19.80     7.55P    4.50R    1.63  
Morecambe             8   13   +2       2.00    69.37     2.02    65.38    10.45     1.92     1.37     9.11    31.79    14.03P    2.11R    0.80  
Northampton           8   13   +2       1.54    64.96     1.26    65.77    10.36     2.59     1.45     9.82    32.88    15.06P    1.90R    0.69  
Exeter                8   13   +1       2.01    69.21     1.14    65.32    10.44     0.72     1.28     9.22    31.50    13.81P    2.26R    0.77  
Carlisle              8   13   +0       1.92    68.37    -0.05    59.40    10.62   -11.30     0.40     3.50    15.59     5.72P    7.78R    3.14  
Mansfield             8   12   +5       2.26    72.50     6.70    58.42     9.84    -3.13     0.21     2.15    12.32     4.06P    7.06R    2.78  
AFC_Wimbledon         8   12   +0       1.84    68.29     1.25    60.75    10.12    -5.43     0.40     3.75    17.40     6.52P    5.13R    1.95  
Cambridge_Utd         8   10   -1      -0.12    49.79     0.48    56.00    10.14   -11.13     0.11     1.51     8.73     2.95P   11.85R    5.02  
Hartlepool            8   10   -1       0.61    57.41     1.37    52.48     9.63   -15.21     0.03     0.48     3.88     1.11P   19.32R    8.84  
Bristol_Rovers        8   10   -1       0.32    54.28     0.66    58.28    10.35    -5.41     0.29     2.55    12.68     4.89P    8.34R    3.37  
Notts_County          8   10   -2      -2.78    25.06    -4.71    71.24    11.02    11.97     5.10    23.21    53.91    32.65P    0.88R    0.30  
York                  8    9   -1      -1.91    31.77    -0.96    58.31    10.05    -4.63     0.22     2.31    12.31     4.51P    7.62R    3.02  
Stevenage             8    9   -3      -2.69    24.80    -3.90    64.74    10.40     2.47     1.00     8.34    30.01    13.99P    2.32R    0.77  
Luton                 8    8   -1      -3.37    20.14    -1.53    62.44    10.34     2.50     0.72     5.52    22.98    10.02P    3.83R    1.46  
Yeovil                8    7   -5      -4.07    15.33    -5.18    59.60    10.91    -4.28     0.55     4.04    16.62     7.41P    7.77R    3.26  
Barnet                8    7   -6      -1.23    39.11    -1.35    48.79    10.52   -22.56     0.03     0.32     2.75     0.74P   34.40R   19.69  
Dag_&_Red             8    6   -6      -3.43    18.76    -3.48    54.02    10.08   -12.41     0.07     0.85     5.89     1.93P   16.10R    7.52  
Crawley_Town          8    6   -6      -5.29     9.11    -6.50    61.69    10.81    -0.62     0.79     5.49    21.70    10.12P    5.28R    2.14  
Newport_County        8    2  -10      -6.75     2.49    -6.61    44.48     9.83   -25.03     0.01     0.05     0.71     0.18P   50.24R   32.45  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 September 2015, Braintree_Town 2 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     12   28  +10       6.61    91.36     2.27    84.65     9.38    25.44    22.32    78.81    35.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       12   25  +11       2.56    69.42     1.84    88.05     9.46    36.37    37.63    87.67    53.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          12   23   +9       4.03    79.36     5.24    76.37     9.26    19.04     5.40    47.35    14.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        12   23   +2       5.04    84.41    -0.13    71.47     9.35     4.54     1.97    26.42     6.32P    0.21R    0.02  
Braintree_Town   12   21   +5       2.96    72.82     2.65    69.02     9.11     7.22     1.01    18.80     4.42P    0.39R    0.02  
Woking           12   20   +7       0.72    55.69     2.63    74.60     9.50    19.19     3.96    40.83    12.24P    0.09R    0.01  
Tranmere         12   20   +6      -2.71    28.09    -3.60    82.15     9.54    29.95    16.78    71.47    35.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley          12   20   +5       4.74    82.08     7.52    66.75    10.44     4.07     1.19    16.49     3.66P    1.72R    0.27  
Grimsby          12   18   +8      -3.94    20.66    -0.37    78.10     9.16    28.49     7.81    56.33    23.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   12   18   +4      -0.33    47.47     1.31    64.95     9.33     4.33     0.36    10.45     2.29P    1.36R    0.13  
Eastleigh        12   18   +2      -1.52    38.26    -2.62    66.86     9.46     4.94     0.73    14.84     3.50P    0.90R    0.11  
Lincoln_City     12   17   +3       1.21    60.40     4.18    64.19     9.43     3.27     0.30     9.16     1.85P    1.90R    0.26  
Aldershot        12   17   -1       1.55    63.27     0.67    64.76     9.44     0.42     0.34     9.84     2.04P    1.75R    0.20  
Barrow           12   17   -7       4.94    85.38     0.38    52.27     9.52   -25.48     0.02     0.74     0.10P   22.66R    6.30  
Chester          12   16   -3       3.09    75.26     2.63    57.69     9.20   -11.19     0.05     2.17     0.36P    8.08R    1.56  
Guiseley         12   15   -4       1.06    59.59    -0.19    48.06     9.31   -25.52     0.00     0.32     0.05P   36.78R   12.52  
Macclesfield     12   13   -2      -3.71    22.30    -2.27    61.55     9.24     1.00     0.10     5.20     1.11P    3.44R    0.54  
Welling          12   12   -4      -1.11    41.82     1.15    51.86     8.99   -14.46     0.00     0.40     0.07P   20.87R    5.46  
Altrincham       12   11  -11       0.05    52.20    -2.23    47.13     8.87   -28.35     0.00     0.09     0.01P   40.56R   14.38  
Boreham_Wood     12   10   -5      -1.95    36.14     2.28    49.42     9.69   -16.58     0.00     0.39     0.08P   31.03R   10.61  
Torquay          12   10  -10      -5.93    11.01    -8.92    56.39     9.41   -11.17     0.02     1.77     0.33P   10.29R    2.35  
Southport        12    8   -8      -3.96    19.60    -0.94    43.78     8.78   -25.18     0.00     0.03     0.00P   53.70R   23.85  
Halifax          12    7   -7     -10.03     1.69    -7.68    49.61     9.34   -14.03     0.00     0.34     0.07P   28.58R    8.91  
Kidderminster    12    5  -10      -8.80     2.48    -5.81    47.74     9.15   -16.31     0.00     0.12     0.03P   35.63R   12.48