Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Liverpool 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          6   15  +10       2.49    76.90     3.22    83.89     8.22    50.99    75.02    90.52    96.02    98.23    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           6   13   +4       2.00    71.97    -0.09    69.85     8.84    23.41     9.16    34.50    55.14    70.32    87.17     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham          6   12   +6       4.09    89.24     6.59    56.81     8.90     7.44     0.44     3.32     8.95    16.74    36.91     0.84R    0.06  
Leicester         6   12   +4       3.34    83.19     3.35    50.78     8.83    -4.77     0.09     0.86     2.57     5.51    15.52     4.13R    0.50  
Arsenal           6   10   +0      -0.48    43.68    -3.29    67.14     8.88    19.86     5.31    22.95    42.05    58.77    79.88     0.03R    0.00  
Everton           6    9   +3       0.98    61.97     3.28    59.33     8.89    12.50     0.89     5.89    13.94    24.70    48.89     0.49R    0.04  
Swansea           6    9   +2       0.99    62.29     2.29    52.12     8.80     0.95     0.15     1.04     3.18     7.09    19.55     2.90R    0.32  
Crystal_Palace    6    9   +1       2.66    80.56     3.90    48.64     8.60    -4.75     0.04     0.37     1.26     2.99    10.13     6.18R    0.80  
Tottenham         6    9   +1       0.04    50.52    -0.09    55.70     9.02     5.03     0.40     2.77     7.36    14.18    32.60     1.31R    0.13  
Watford           6    9   +0       2.62    79.53     3.05    45.08     9.16   -12.19     0.02     0.26     0.86     1.90     6.28    15.01R    2.96  
Norwich           6    8   -1       0.52    57.73     0.14    42.99     9.08   -15.80     0.01     0.12     0.43     1.15     4.00    20.85R    4.69  
West_Brom         6    8   -2       1.50    69.81     0.59    45.70     8.51   -10.56     0.01     0.16     0.59     1.51     5.69    11.54R    1.91  
Liverpool         6    8   -3      -1.03    38.69    -4.26    57.27     9.05     4.79     0.66     3.76     9.55    17.98    38.95     0.97R    0.09  
Bournemouth       6    7   -1      -0.35    47.45     0.48    39.47     9.03   -20.44     0.00     0.06     0.22     0.47     1.85    34.02R    9.63  
Chelsea           6    7   -3      -3.28    16.13    -6.00    69.21     8.77    25.37     7.61    31.93    53.37    68.78    86.15     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton       6    6   -1      -3.37    15.58    -2.72    53.18     8.85     3.84     0.19     1.44     4.26     8.94    23.23     2.30R    0.25  
Aston_Villa       6    4   -3      -2.62    21.41    -0.73    34.21     8.05   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.20    57.31R   20.83  
Stoke             6    3   -4      -4.44     7.85    -2.95    42.81     8.58    -9.70     0.00     0.05     0.22     0.65     2.98    18.73R    3.91  
Newcastle         6    2   -6      -3.55    12.12    -1.97    35.06     8.39   -22.96     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.35    52.52R   19.39  
Sunderland        6    2   -7      -4.65     6.81    -4.79    31.36     7.98   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    70.85R   34.49  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 September 2015, Derby 0 0 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         8   20   +6       8.42    98.73     4.95    74.43     9.67    10.29     8.51    18.52    56.59    26.73P    0.20R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    8   17   +9       2.80    76.59     4.24    82.35    10.01    28.37    31.01    49.95    83.94    60.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          8   15   +3       2.13    70.19     0.21    75.21    10.55    15.18    11.52    23.13    60.04    33.23P    0.35R    0.03  
Hull             8   14   +5       0.48    54.37     1.23    77.78    10.52    22.07    17.49    32.38    69.85    44.25P    0.16R    0.01  
Ipswich          8   14   +0       2.26    71.83    -1.12    70.23    10.38     6.32     4.86    11.18    40.96    17.79P    1.16R    0.12  
Reading          8   12   +6       0.86    59.04     5.72    64.05    10.09     6.38     1.42     3.87    20.86     7.40P    3.60R    0.56  
Birmingham       7   12   +4       2.75    77.29     4.51    63.94    10.47     1.87     1.43     3.96    21.08     7.33P    4.61R    0.73  
Cardiff          8   12   +2       0.81    58.65     1.64    64.65    10.23     3.25     1.54     4.18    22.44     8.18P    3.50R    0.45  
QPR              8   12   +1      -0.58    44.39    -1.52    70.55    11.10    10.82     6.38    13.76    43.52    21.68P    1.52R    0.24  
Leeds_United     8   11   +1       1.05    61.93     2.42    59.22     9.90    -4.02     0.44     1.19     9.48     2.75P    9.37R    1.73  
Derby            8   11   +1      -1.85    32.38    -1.78    73.25    10.43    16.55     8.43    18.37    53.57    28.61P    0.55R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest    8   11   +0      -0.11    49.54    -0.24    62.93    10.35    -0.22     1.10     3.19    18.05     6.36P    5.35R    0.88  
Huddersfield     8    9   -1      -0.44    46.78     1.29    54.59    10.10   -10.90     0.14     0.39     4.45     1.12P   20.39R    5.21  
Sheff_Wed        8    9   -2      -0.90    41.72    -0.69    56.17     9.77    -8.31     0.13     0.48     5.39     1.41P   15.08R    3.19  
Charlton         8    9   -2      -0.54    45.68    -0.04    55.60     9.81    -9.11     0.12     0.44     4.79     1.25P   16.77R    3.64  
Fulham           7    8   +0      -1.05    40.22     0.92    57.43    10.71    -7.29     0.41     1.24     8.78     2.69P   14.83R    3.46  
Brentford        7    8   -2      -1.58    34.55    -1.94    64.25    10.69     2.07     1.72     4.60    22.56     8.88P    4.60R    0.74  
Wolverhampton    7    8   -2      -2.08    29.38    -2.75    65.94    10.52     4.90     2.25     5.67    26.76    10.99P    3.08R    0.53  
Blackburn        8    7   +0      -4.54    12.30    -0.84    60.77    10.20     2.77     0.69     2.08    13.36     4.87P    7.13R    1.34  
MK_Dons          8    7   -3      -3.39    19.50    -2.12    54.26    10.85   -10.39     0.19     0.68     5.37     1.68P   22.74R    6.31  
Bolton           8    7   -6      -2.17    29.29    -3.49    52.34     9.86   -15.36     0.05     0.22     2.52     0.69P   26.99R    7.32  
Preston          8    6   -4      -3.40    19.10    -1.96    52.17    10.34   -11.55     0.10     0.31     3.25     0.97P   27.93R    7.69  
Bristol_City     8    5   -8      -4.25    14.15    -5.24    49.79    10.82   -20.37     0.06     0.19     2.29     0.61P   37.98R   14.07  
Rotherham        8    5   -8      -3.04    21.46    -3.39    41.06     9.35   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   72.09R   41.65  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Bradford 2 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion     8   18   +4       7.62    97.07     4.78    68.67    10.66     2.31     4.70    10.31    34.48    14.99P    3.70R    0.36  
Walsall           8   17   +9       4.49    87.58     6.76    75.03    10.14    17.87    12.78    24.38    59.53    33.30P    0.57R    0.03  
Gillingham        8   17   +8       5.19    90.20     6.76    74.28    10.54    15.69    12.12    22.89    56.33    30.60P    1.02R    0.08  
Coventry          8   16   +7       4.15    85.01     5.67    72.30    10.55    13.10     8.74    17.63    49.29    24.96P    1.57R    0.10  
Rochdale          8   14   +6       2.03    69.39     4.50    71.33    10.55    13.79     7.60    15.67    45.58    22.97P    1.93R    0.14  
Bury              8   13   +3       2.70    75.06     4.10    60.90    10.92    -3.91     1.15     2.99    14.61     5.38P   15.01R    2.30  
Sheff_Utd         8   13   +1       0.41    53.79    -1.47    73.30    10.33    13.18     9.82    19.40    52.78    28.63P    1.16R    0.06  
Wigan             8   13   +1      -0.80    41.70    -3.22    77.50    10.77    19.24    19.84    33.58    67.59    44.63P    0.56R    0.04  
Chesterfield      8   11   +1      -0.60    44.73     0.06    69.73    10.65    10.86     5.78    12.48    40.14    20.03P    3.04R    0.27  
Swindon           8   11   +0      -2.22    29.26    -3.35    71.40    10.59    12.58     7.77    15.81    46.39    24.40P    2.02R    0.15  
Barnsley          8   11   -1      -0.40    46.82    -1.57    66.67    10.37     4.31     3.04     7.04    28.62    12.19P    5.12R    0.52  
Bradford          8   10   -2      -0.51    45.80    -1.35    61.26    10.12    -2.90     0.90     2.30    13.58     4.93P   12.08R    1.53  
Colchester        8   10   -3       0.34    54.70    -0.71    55.58    10.40   -14.07     0.26     0.81     5.73     1.76P   28.70R    5.79  
Millwall          8   10   -4      -1.52    35.95    -4.82    62.10    10.89    -4.00     1.51     3.80    16.84     7.02P   12.50R    1.87  
Fleetwood_Town    8    9   +1      -1.52    35.92     1.59    57.68    10.20    -3.82     0.45     1.14     7.89     2.63P   20.58R    3.32  
Port_Vale         8    9   +0      -1.29    38.38     1.04    58.63    10.34    -3.74     0.47     1.47     9.57     3.22P   18.62R    2.83  
Southend          8    9   -1      -0.20    49.53     1.29    54.71    10.27    -9.35     0.19     0.58     4.81     1.49P   30.36R    6.35  
Peterborough      8    8   -1      -3.55    19.22    -1.87    63.55    10.57     4.05     1.75     4.21    20.23     8.37P    8.83R    1.09  
Shrewsbury        8    8   -2      -2.98    22.98    -2.17    57.29    10.50    -5.43     0.44     1.26     7.93     2.84P   22.35R    4.01  
Scunthorpe        8    8   -3      -2.08    30.84    -1.53    54.30    10.31   -12.14     0.13     0.51     4.48     1.35P   32.26R    6.86  
Oldham            8    8   -4      -1.78    33.55    -2.39    53.12     9.96   -14.23     0.10     0.35     3.20     0.93P   36.07R    7.79  
Doncaster         8    7   -4      -3.68    17.29    -3.67    57.80    10.17    -5.47     0.37     1.11     7.86     2.61P   20.29R    3.30  
Crewe             8    5   -7      -2.88    23.15    -2.05    43.12     9.73   -29.07     0.01     0.02     0.27     0.06P   74.88R   37.04  
Blackpool         8    5   -9      -4.25    13.85    -6.39    50.52    10.54   -18.82     0.08     0.27     2.26     0.73P   46.78R   14.17  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 September 2015, Notts_County 4 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         8   17   +6       1.12    60.11    -1.67    90.10    10.55    39.18    58.85    84.74    96.33    88.79P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth              8   16   +7       3.30    79.74     4.39    76.23    10.17    19.04     9.23    37.91    71.92    47.44P    0.10R    0.03  
Portsmouth            8   16   +7       3.94    83.95     5.25    72.94    10.38    14.04     5.47    26.60    60.31    34.78P    0.26R    0.07  
Wycombe               8   15   +6       2.35    72.60     3.59    76.53    10.30    20.18     9.57    39.74    72.98    49.45P    0.11R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd            8   13   +4       1.60    65.97     3.30    68.97    10.12     9.85     2.47    15.25    45.21    22.81P    0.74R    0.23  
Accrington_Stanley    8   13   +3       2.87    76.86     4.41    61.80    10.22    -2.51     0.57     4.79    20.42     7.84P    4.25R    1.66  
Morecambe             8   13   +2       2.03    69.54     2.06    65.35    10.35     1.80     1.26     8.95    31.58    13.89P    2.07R    0.70  
Northampton           8   13   +2       1.54    65.10     1.26    65.67    10.41     2.47     1.44     9.60    32.79    14.77P    2.05R    0.65  
Exeter                8   13   +1       2.04    69.64     1.20    65.10    10.51     0.38     1.31     8.99    30.79    13.81P    2.26R    0.86  
Carlisle              8   13   +0       1.88    68.24    -0.14    59.60    10.59   -10.90     0.40     3.54    16.05     5.98P    7.43R    2.95  
Mansfield             8   12   +5       2.26    72.65     6.74    58.44     9.92    -3.15     0.22     2.21    12.24     4.13P    7.22R    2.78  
AFC_Wimbledon         8   12   +0       1.83    68.41     1.23    60.77    10.01    -5.37     0.41     3.58    17.15     6.21P    5.11R    1.96  
Cambridge_Utd         8   10   -1      -0.09    50.15     0.50    56.00    10.13   -11.13     0.12     1.38     8.79     2.82P   11.88R    5.00  
Hartlepool            8   10   -1       0.61    57.45     1.36    52.33     9.64   -15.33     0.03     0.42     3.75     1.03P   19.87R    9.05  
Bristol_Rovers        8   10   -1       0.28    54.02     0.60    58.37    10.29    -5.25     0.25     2.53    12.90     4.93P    8.09R    3.23  
Notts_County          8   10   -2      -2.80    24.64    -4.76    71.29    11.08    12.06     5.22    23.56    54.13    33.10P    0.82R    0.25  
York                  8    9   -1      -1.89    32.08    -0.94    58.21     9.96    -4.88     0.21     2.19    11.81     4.32P    7.53R    3.02  
Stevenage             8    9   -3      -2.61    25.63    -3.79    64.45    10.43     1.99     1.02     7.98    29.12    13.44P    2.66R    0.86  
Luton                 8    8   -1      -3.33    20.25    -1.48    62.27    10.37     2.27     0.65     5.39    22.95     9.95P    4.06R    1.50  
Yeovil                8    7   -5      -4.11    15.24    -5.25    59.86    10.82    -3.95     0.52     4.01    17.24     7.47P    7.37R    3.21  
Barnet                8    7   -6      -1.20    39.20    -1.27    48.57    10.45   -22.96     0.02     0.32     2.49     0.77P   35.08R   20.17  
Dag_&_Red             8    6   -6      -3.42    19.11    -3.47    54.05    10.16   -12.37     0.05     0.85     6.16     1.98P   16.37R    7.74  
Crawley_Town          8    6   -6      -5.27     9.01    -6.47    61.68    10.95    -0.65     0.70     5.41    22.12    10.08P    5.43R    2.26  
Newport_County        8    2  -10      -6.76     2.56    -6.65    44.64     9.85   -24.81     0.00     0.07     0.79     0.20P   49.22R   31.78  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 September 2015, Braintree_Town 2 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     12   28  +10       6.63    91.38     2.25    84.60     9.43    25.41    22.13    78.64    35.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       12   25  +11       2.46    68.37     1.68    88.29     9.44    36.71    38.79    88.36    54.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          12   23   +9       3.90    78.60     5.07    76.59     9.23    19.39     5.52    48.51    14.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        12   23   +2       4.97    84.11    -0.26    71.69     9.30     4.89     1.97    27.34     6.52P    0.17R    0.01  
Braintree_Town   12   21   +5       3.05    73.42     2.75    68.78     9.06     6.99     0.92    18.03     4.09P    0.38R    0.02  
Woking           12   20   +7       0.77    56.12     2.73    74.33     9.50    18.74     3.65    39.58    11.71P    0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere         12   20   +6      -2.61    29.15    -3.46    81.95     9.63    29.65    16.09    70.66    34.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley          12   20   +5       4.70    81.87     7.46    66.83    10.47     4.22     1.24    16.54     3.75P    1.73R    0.31  
Grimsby          12   18   +8      -3.89    21.18    -0.28    77.93     9.20    28.18     7.60    56.30    22.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   12   18   +4      -0.43    46.64     1.19    65.07     9.35     4.48     0.44    10.76     2.40P    1.31R    0.14  
Eastleigh        12   18   +2      -1.45    38.69    -2.54    66.79     9.47     4.80     0.79    14.40     3.59P    0.96R    0.10  
Lincoln_City     12   17   +3       1.27    61.09     4.28    63.99     9.41     2.87     0.28     8.90     1.63P    1.95R    0.25  
Aldershot        12   17   -1       1.57    63.43     0.71    64.82     9.43     0.53     0.33     9.98     1.91P    1.69R    0.23  
Barrow           12   17   -7       4.93    85.03     0.40    52.27     9.61   -25.46     0.02     0.82     0.11P   22.55R    6.34  
Chester          12   16   -3       3.11    75.38     2.63    57.62     9.13   -11.21     0.03     2.08     0.31P    8.04R    1.51  
Guiseley         12   15   -4       1.13    59.86    -0.11    47.98     9.39   -25.69     0.00     0.29     0.05P   37.40R   12.78  
Macclesfield     12   13   -2      -3.74    22.36    -2.34    61.69     9.29     1.23     0.14     5.41     1.23P    3.36R    0.49  
Welling          12   12   -4      -1.19    41.31     1.06    52.11     9.01   -14.10     0.01     0.50     0.11P   20.04R    5.33  
Altrincham       12   11  -11      -0.01    51.94    -2.29    47.25     8.84   -28.16     0.00     0.09     0.01P   39.68R   13.85  
Boreham_Wood     12   10   -5      -1.83    36.85     2.47    49.14     9.75   -16.94     0.00     0.37     0.06P   32.41R   11.52  
Torquay          12   10  -10      -5.89    11.37    -8.90    56.42     9.49   -11.10     0.04     1.93     0.43P   10.58R    2.37  
Southport        12    8   -8      -4.02    19.25    -1.00    43.92     8.74   -24.94     0.00     0.04     0.00P   53.07R   23.08  
Halifax          12    7   -7     -10.11     1.55    -7.77    49.74     9.30   -13.74     0.00     0.34     0.07P   27.77R    8.61  
Kidderminster    12    5  -10      -8.72     2.56    -5.72    47.48     9.14   -16.74     0.00     0.14     0.02P   36.82R   13.06