Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Liverpool 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          6   15  +10       2.48    76.51     3.21    83.92     8.26    51.20    75.31    90.59    96.05    98.15    99.62     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           6   13   +4       2.05    72.33    -0.04    69.76     8.84    23.31     9.17    34.43    54.70    69.91    86.86     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham          6   12   +6       4.10    89.50     6.62    56.80     8.89     7.41     0.54     3.56     9.13    16.83    36.69     0.79R    0.07  
Leicester         6   12   +4       3.34    83.30     3.36    50.61     8.88    -5.01     0.08     0.78     2.48     5.40    15.47     4.44R    0.49  
Arsenal           6   10   +0      -0.51    43.36    -3.31    67.24     8.83    19.92     5.43    23.72    42.92    59.51    80.19     0.03R    0.00  
Everton           6    9   +3       1.00    62.56     3.30    59.43     8.91    12.61     0.90     6.04    14.44    25.56    49.23     0.45R    0.03  
Swansea           6    9   +2       0.93    61.59     2.21    52.34     8.86     1.27     0.15     1.10     3.36     7.31    20.26     2.86R    0.29  
Crystal_Palace    6    9   +1       2.67    80.51     3.91    48.70     8.68    -4.73     0.05     0.36     1.27     3.22    10.70     6.41R    0.92  
Tottenham         6    9   +1      -0.02    49.83    -0.17    55.86     8.99     5.26     0.40     2.72     7.36    14.46    33.21     1.34R    0.12  
Watford           6    9   +0       2.62    79.29     3.06    45.12     9.20   -12.12     0.03     0.27     0.84     1.95     6.13    15.07R    2.91  
Norwich           6    8   -1       0.56    57.96     0.20    42.60     9.05   -16.47     0.01     0.14     0.48     1.07     3.70    22.06R    5.07  
West_Brom         6    8   -2       1.47    69.56     0.52    45.91     8.54   -10.28     0.00     0.16     0.63     1.55     5.96    10.90R    1.87  
Liverpool         6    8   -3      -1.03    38.44    -4.26    57.07     9.02     4.45     0.60     3.60     9.49    17.43    37.60     0.99R    0.09  
Bournemouth       6    7   -1      -0.42    46.58     0.36    39.60     8.91   -20.19     0.01     0.05     0.19     0.45     1.86    33.09R    9.02  
Chelsea           6    7   -3      -3.24    16.39    -5.93    68.95     8.77    24.99     7.14    30.90    52.05    67.46    85.46     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton       6    6   -1      -3.35    15.87    -2.69    53.19     8.86     3.81     0.17     1.48     4.34     8.90    23.44     2.18R    0.20  
Aston_Villa       6    4   -3      -2.64    21.09    -0.77    34.38     8.05   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.25    56.51R   20.47  
Stoke             6    3   -4      -4.39     8.08    -2.89    42.62     8.56    -9.95     0.00     0.08     0.24     0.71     2.89    19.43R    4.25  
Newcastle         6    2   -6      -3.57    11.88    -2.01    35.28     8.36   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.07     0.41    52.01R   18.90  
Sunderland        6    2   -7      -4.59     6.99    -4.69    31.24     7.94   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    71.42R   35.29  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 September 2015, Derby 0 0 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         8   20   +6       8.45    98.75     4.95    74.51     9.71    10.41     8.28    18.63    57.12    26.89P    0.18R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    8   17   +9       2.76    76.03     4.14    82.61     9.94    28.74    32.19    50.58    84.48    61.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          8   15   +3       2.19    70.67     0.29    75.09    10.48    15.01    11.29    22.78    59.73    33.20P    0.35R    0.05  
Hull             8   14   +5       0.50    54.89     1.25    77.61    10.49    21.83    16.73    31.69    69.16    43.26P    0.13R    0.01  
Ipswich          8   14   +0       2.18    70.94    -1.24    70.59    10.41     6.83     5.11    11.75    42.16    18.73P    1.10R    0.15  
Reading          8   12   +6       0.80    58.38     5.66    64.16    10.08     6.54     1.38     3.82    21.16     7.55P    3.47R    0.49  
Birmingham       7   12   +4       2.82    77.78     4.59    63.73    10.50     1.53     1.53     3.98    20.33     7.30P    4.64R    0.72  
Cardiff          8   12   +2       0.84    58.93     1.67    64.48    10.15     3.01     1.48     4.00    21.73     7.98P    3.43R    0.54  
QPR              8   12   +1      -0.61    44.09    -1.56    70.74    11.08    11.09     6.48    14.09    43.86    21.74P    1.52R    0.19  
Leeds_United     8   11   +1       1.07    62.11     2.43    59.25     9.80    -3.98     0.33     1.09     9.34     2.59P    9.06R    1.64  
Derby            8   11   +1      -1.85    32.05    -1.77    73.30    10.29    16.53     8.22    18.03    53.47    28.14P    0.48R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    8   11   +0      -0.09    50.04    -0.22    63.07    10.31    -0.06     1.06     3.18    18.14     6.45P    5.27R    0.82  
Huddersfield     8    9   -1      -0.34    48.04     1.44    54.23    10.11   -11.47     0.10     0.41     4.20     1.13P   21.55R    5.56  
Sheff_Wed        8    9   -2      -0.87    42.16    -0.61    56.07     9.81    -8.57     0.12     0.52     5.31     1.39P   15.43R    3.30  
Charlton         8    9   -2      -0.61    45.01    -0.13    55.71     9.77    -8.95     0.12     0.50     4.79     1.31P   16.32R    3.56  
Fulham           7    8   +0      -1.05    40.03     0.92    57.28    10.78    -7.51     0.40     1.23     8.63     2.61P   15.16R    3.60  
Brentford        7    8   -2      -1.64    33.90    -2.01    64.47    10.81     2.41     1.88     4.79    23.03     9.12P    4.64R    0.80  
Wolverhampton    7    8   -2      -2.08    29.46    -2.77    65.99    10.55     4.99     2.20     5.60    27.23    11.16P    3.16R    0.47  
Blackburn        8    7   +0      -4.55    12.25    -0.85    60.70    10.16     2.69     0.71     2.02    13.15     4.73P    7.18R    1.37  
MK_Dons          8    7   -3      -3.36    19.82    -2.07    54.06    10.63   -10.73     0.18     0.54     4.94     1.50P   22.76R    6.19  
Bolton           8    7   -6      -2.21    28.93    -3.51    52.26     9.86   -15.48     0.07     0.22     2.53     0.67P   27.28R    7.62  
Preston          8    6   -4      -3.44    18.77    -1.99    52.25    10.20   -11.46     0.07     0.28     2.96     0.85P   27.33R    7.53  
Bristol_City     8    5   -8      -4.22    14.26    -5.19    49.88    10.91   -20.22     0.06     0.26     2.43     0.63P   37.71R   14.07  
Rotherham        8    5   -8      -3.06    21.46    -3.42    41.19     9.39   -33.16     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   71.82R   41.24  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Bradford 2 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion     8   18   +4       7.60    96.95     4.80    68.58    10.69     2.24     4.61    10.04    34.17    14.96P    3.79R    0.34  
Walsall           8   17   +9       4.50    87.39     6.76    75.00    10.26    17.88    12.88    24.31    59.46    33.27P    0.66R    0.04  
Gillingham        8   17   +8       5.21    90.30     6.79    74.08    10.69    15.32    11.87    22.52    55.68    30.14P    1.13R    0.07  
Coventry          8   16   +7       4.11    84.66     5.59    72.36    10.61    13.20     8.87    17.73    49.23    25.05P    1.61R    0.11  
Rochdale          8   14   +6       2.07    69.63     4.55    71.19    10.57    13.53     7.42    15.32    45.47    22.66P    2.10R    0.15  
Bury              8   13   +3       2.67    74.69     4.06    61.07    10.96    -3.58     1.29     3.18    15.32     5.52P   14.74R    2.17  
Sheff_Utd         8   13   +1       0.41    53.91    -1.44    73.40    10.45    13.30     9.94    20.01    53.13    29.22P    1.25R    0.06  
Wigan             8   13   +1      -0.83    41.18    -3.23    77.47    10.83    19.20    19.67    33.19    67.09    44.18P    0.60R    0.03  
Chesterfield      8   11   +1      -0.57    45.01     0.07    69.82    10.52    10.96     5.54    12.20    40.07    19.58P    2.82R    0.26  
Swindon           8   11   +0      -2.27    29.19    -3.47    71.77    10.73    13.16     8.52    16.97    47.30    25.72P    2.09R    0.15  
Barnsley          8   11   -1      -0.37    47.03    -1.54    66.67    10.47     4.26     3.13     7.17    28.50    12.43P    5.07R    0.55  
Bradford          8   10   -2      -0.48    46.09    -1.34    61.27    10.13    -2.82     0.79     2.29    13.61     4.71P   12.09R    1.54  
Colchester        8   10   -3       0.37    54.90    -0.64    55.31    10.26   -14.47     0.24     0.69     5.22     1.49P   28.98R    5.86  
Millwall          8   10   -4      -1.39    37.00    -4.65    61.67    10.93    -4.62     1.36     3.45    16.07     6.50P   13.34R    1.93  
Fleetwood_Town    8    9   +1      -1.53    35.77     1.58    57.57    10.14    -3.98     0.35     1.11     7.69     2.51P   20.55R    3.29  
Port_Vale         8    9   +0      -1.26    38.59     1.11    58.33    10.29    -4.13     0.43     1.32     9.07     2.95P   19.24R    3.00  
Southend          8    9   -1      -0.19    49.80     1.30    54.78    10.31    -9.22     0.21     0.65     4.90     1.52P   30.22R    6.24  
Peterborough      8    8   -1      -3.65    18.51    -2.03    63.83    10.40     4.43     1.65     4.13    20.69     8.45P    8.13R    0.98  
Shrewsbury        8    8   -2      -3.05    22.63    -2.27    57.62    10.73    -4.96     0.52     1.43     9.05     3.32P   21.84R    3.78  
Scunthorpe        8    8   -3      -2.07    31.07    -1.53    54.26    10.35   -12.23     0.18     0.57     4.49     1.33P   32.53R    6.82  
Oldham            8    8   -4      -1.82    32.84    -2.44    53.38     9.96   -13.79     0.11     0.38     3.29     0.99P   34.83R    7.57  
Doncaster         8    7   -4      -3.70    17.06    -3.72    57.86    10.13    -5.40     0.36     1.11     8.02     2.75P   19.87R    3.28  
Crewe             8    5   -7      -2.87    23.28    -2.04    43.08     9.77   -29.12     0.01     0.03     0.31     0.08P   74.66R   37.18  
Blackpool         8    5   -9      -4.20    14.39    -6.28    50.28    10.58   -19.19     0.06     0.21     2.20     0.65P   47.85R   14.58  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 September 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         8   17   +6       1.16    60.56    -1.61    89.86    10.58    38.77    58.84    84.50    96.09    88.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth              8   16   +7       3.35    80.05     4.44    76.01    10.14    18.69     9.21    37.53    71.73    46.87P    0.10R    0.03  
Portsmouth            8   16   +7       3.96    84.25     5.30    73.15    10.40    14.48     6.06    27.82    61.41    36.11P    0.35R    0.11  
Wycombe               8   15   +6       2.37    72.77     3.60    76.71    10.23    20.41     9.97    40.64    74.08    50.38P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd            8   13   +4       1.61    66.11     3.29    68.99    10.19     9.96     2.70    15.91    45.59    23.40P    0.81R    0.23  
Accrington_Stanley    8   13   +3       2.87    77.04     4.36    61.57    10.21    -2.77     0.50     4.64    20.03     7.62P    4.54R    1.72  
Morecambe             8   13   +2       1.95    68.87     1.92    65.35    10.47     1.91     1.40     9.38    31.97    14.38P    2.20R    0.76  
Northampton           8   13   +2       1.59    65.38     1.33    65.72    10.37     2.53     1.52     9.75    33.20    15.04P    1.90R    0.63  
Exeter                8   13   +1       1.96    68.98     1.06    65.43    10.45     0.90     1.35     9.62    32.31    14.72P    2.20R    0.76  
Carlisle              8   13   +0       1.84    67.56    -0.16    59.63    10.65   -10.74     0.46     3.85    16.21     6.24P    7.61R    3.23  
Mansfield             8   12   +5       2.26    72.66     6.70    58.24     9.94    -3.34     0.23     2.22    11.96     4.13P    7.53R    3.01  
AFC_Wimbledon         8   12   +0       1.91    69.39     1.31    60.56    10.08    -5.65     0.38     3.66    16.91     6.18P    5.35R    2.07  
Cambridge_Utd         8   10   -1      -0.04    50.79     0.59    56.11    10.19   -10.87     0.14     1.61     9.16     3.13P   11.66R    5.10  
Hartlepool            8   10   -1       0.59    57.30     1.34    52.48     9.67   -15.04     0.04     0.53     3.99     1.11P   19.70R    9.05  
Bristol_Rovers        8   10   -1       0.23    53.47     0.51    58.70    10.30    -4.79     0.30     2.75    13.54     5.22P    7.79R    3.13  
York                  8    9   -1      -1.87    31.97    -0.92    58.15     9.89    -4.82     0.19     2.10    11.90     4.27P    7.58R    2.95  
Stevenage             8    9   -3      -2.62    25.70    -3.85    64.26    10.53     1.73     1.04     8.22    29.16    13.68P    2.82R    1.00  
Luton                 8    8   -1      -3.37    19.96    -1.59    62.19    10.26     2.13     0.62     5.31    22.49     9.74P    3.98R    1.48  
Notts_County          7    7   -5      -3.63    16.91    -6.55    67.15    11.30     5.10     2.65    14.31    39.75    21.79P    2.29R    0.84  
Yeovil                8    7   -5      -4.01    15.77    -5.10    59.79    10.80    -4.02     0.48     4.00    17.11     7.53P    7.56R    3.15  
Barnet                8    7   -6      -1.22    39.14    -1.32    48.73    10.44   -22.56     0.02     0.35     2.56     0.79P   34.48R   19.77  
Crawley_Town          7    6   -3      -4.60    10.86    -4.54    64.93    11.18     5.19     1.84    10.49    32.13    17.02P    3.14R    1.25  
Dag_&_Red             8    6   -6      -3.39    19.11    -3.44    53.85    10.04   -12.54     0.06     0.72     5.95     1.87P   16.72R    7.71  
Newport_County        8    2  -10      -6.79     2.56    -6.67    44.61     9.87   -24.67     0.00     0.07     0.77     0.21P   49.63R   32.01  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 September 2015, Altrincham 0 4 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     11   27  +10       7.02    94.04     2.31    84.86     9.57    25.16    22.87    77.37    35.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       11   24  +11       2.97    73.38     1.89    88.29     9.65    36.01    38.08    86.73    53.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham          11   22   +9       4.32    82.13     5.14    76.77     9.41    19.20     5.55    47.08    14.70P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead        11   22   +2       5.30    86.87    -0.34    72.13     9.59     4.95     2.49    27.90     6.89P    0.20R    0.01  
Woking           11   20   +8       1.87    65.34     3.25    76.51     9.63    21.04     5.59    46.70    14.85P    0.04R    0.01  
Eastleigh        11   18   +5      -0.40    46.38    -0.05    70.61     9.69    11.82     1.84    24.63     6.77P    0.31R    0.03  
Braintree_Town   11   18   +4       1.55    63.29     1.91    66.61     9.25     5.18     0.51    12.38     2.84P    0.72R    0.07  
Grimsby          11   17   +8      -3.63    21.51    -0.53    78.66     9.41    28.94     8.68    56.87    23.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley          11   17   +4       3.48    76.58     7.07    65.29    10.73     3.54     0.90    13.39     2.98P    2.48R    0.44  
Tranmere         11   17   +4      -3.33    23.39    -4.03    80.03     9.80    27.09    11.83    61.66    28.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot        11   17   +1       2.15    68.11     1.45    65.99     9.61     2.22     0.59    11.86     2.65P    1.15R    0.16  
Lincoln_City     11   16   +3       1.97    67.08     4.78    65.61     9.64     4.88     0.51    11.28     2.43P    1.31R    0.16  
Chester          11   16   -2       4.10    82.23     3.05    59.52     9.29    -9.40     0.07     2.98     0.46P    5.05R    0.77  
Dover_Athletic   11   15   +1      -1.64    36.16    -1.22    60.87     9.37    -2.26     0.10     4.55     0.94P    3.40R    0.50  
Guiseley         11   14   -4       1.50    63.62    -0.07    48.57     9.46   -25.47     0.01     0.33     0.06P   32.77R   10.49  
Barrow           11   14   -8       3.22    77.07    -0.65    48.64     9.75   -29.74     0.00     0.38     0.04P   33.82R   11.28  
Macclesfield     11   13   -1      -1.96    33.88    -0.76    64.64     9.42     4.62     0.31     9.19     2.12P    1.54R    0.23  
Torquay          11   10   -9      -4.31    18.03    -7.54    59.46     9.73    -7.35     0.08     3.56     0.80P    5.66R    1.06  
Altrincham       11   10  -11      -0.03    51.75    -2.92    46.71     8.95   -29.85     0.00     0.08     0.01P   39.68R   13.56  
Welling          11    9   -5      -2.45    29.85     0.58    50.40     9.23   -15.22     0.00     0.30     0.05P   24.15R    6.83  
Boreham_Wood     11    7   -6      -3.57    22.32     1.30    45.90     9.89   -20.58     0.00     0.16     0.03P   42.80R   17.80  
Southport        11    7   -8      -3.87    18.74    -1.27    44.06     8.94   -25.41     0.00     0.04     0.00P   50.56R   20.29  
Halifax          11    6   -7      -9.74     1.39    -7.83    50.19     9.53   -13.64     0.00     0.39     0.10P   24.96R    7.17  
Kidderminster    11    5   -9      -7.81     3.44    -5.52    48.82     9.28   -15.73     0.00     0.19     0.04P   29.33R    9.16