Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Liverpool 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          6   15  +10       2.46    76.27     3.18    83.99     8.23    51.27    75.10    90.60    96.12    98.36    99.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           6   13   +4       2.00    71.47    -0.10    70.01     8.84    23.63     9.51    34.90    55.79    71.00    87.44     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham          6   12   +6       4.14    89.53     6.64    56.66     8.86     7.23     0.42     3.40     8.78    16.59    36.43     0.90R    0.08  
Leicester         6   12   +4       3.35    83.38     3.38    50.54     8.90    -5.14     0.07     0.82     2.49     5.44    15.26     4.62R    0.47  
Arsenal           6   10   +0      -0.49    43.61    -3.29    67.23     8.85    19.99     5.50    23.20    42.57    59.07    80.40     0.04R    0.00  
Everton           6    9   +3       1.04    62.68     3.35    59.28     8.88    12.36     0.80     5.55    13.62    24.58    48.58     0.42R    0.04  
Swansea           6    9   +2       0.98    62.16     2.30    52.08     8.81     0.84     0.15     0.98     3.13     6.92    19.37     2.94R    0.33  
Crystal_Palace    6    9   +1       2.66    80.60     3.89    48.69     8.55    -4.65     0.03     0.37     1.25     3.00    10.34     6.15R    0.74  
Tottenham         6    9   +1      -0.02    49.78    -0.16    55.84     9.01     5.22     0.38     2.77     7.37    14.37    33.30     1.37R    0.12  
Watford           6    9   +0       2.58    79.13     3.00    45.19     9.16   -11.99     0.02     0.29     0.88     1.95     6.21    14.89R    2.95  
Norwich           6    8   -1       0.54    57.93     0.16    42.81     9.10   -16.15     0.02     0.13     0.49     1.17     3.98    21.40R    5.08  
West_Brom         6    8   -2       1.51    69.75     0.59    45.72     8.52   -10.56     0.01     0.20     0.63     1.57     5.70    11.47R    1.88  
Liverpool         6    8   -3      -1.02    38.78    -4.23    57.14     9.12     4.55     0.60     3.78     9.56    17.91    38.19     1.06R    0.12  
Bournemouth       6    7   -1      -0.38    47.09     0.43    39.53     8.93   -20.41     0.00     0.04     0.16     0.44     1.81    33.28R    9.00  
Chelsea           6    7   -3      -3.26    16.30    -5.97    69.09     8.79    25.22     7.20    31.45    52.64    67.89    85.74     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton       6    6   -1      -3.35    15.67    -2.69    53.28     8.83     3.98     0.19     1.44     4.23     8.91    23.80     2.32R    0.26  
Aston_Villa       6    4   -3      -2.65    20.89    -0.76    34.27     7.98   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.28    57.16R   20.86  
Stoke             6    3   -4      -4.42     8.15    -2.95    42.76     8.54    -9.72     0.01     0.08     0.25     0.69     3.02    19.09R    4.00  
Newcastle         6    2   -6      -3.61    11.74    -2.06    35.37     8.43   -22.54     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.44    51.50R   18.90  
Sunderland        6    2   -7      -4.60     6.87    -4.72    31.33     7.97   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10    71.35R   35.17  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 September 2015, Blackburn 3 0 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         8   20   +6       8.41    98.71     4.91    74.45     9.78    10.23     7.92    18.19    56.39    26.35P    0.21R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    8   17   +9       2.81    76.44     4.25    82.47     9.96    28.56    30.14    48.88    83.94    59.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             8   14   +5       0.38    53.36     1.11    78.09    10.52    22.49    17.38    32.21    70.31    44.23P    0.14R    0.01  
Burnley          7   14   +3       2.34    73.45    -0.03    75.67    10.84    15.31    12.72    24.43    60.59    34.34P    0.34R    0.02  
Ipswich          8   14   +0       2.29    71.81    -1.09    70.23    10.49     6.23     4.63    10.86    40.36    17.50P    1.24R    0.18  
Reading          8   12   +6       0.86    59.11     5.72    63.98    10.05     6.26     1.24     3.53    20.33     7.11P    3.57R    0.52  
Birmingham       7   12   +4       2.82    77.91     4.64    63.75    10.49     1.55     1.43     3.73    20.00     6.90P    4.57R    0.71  
Cardiff          8   12   +2       0.79    58.44     1.59    64.65    10.06     3.21     1.29     3.82    21.45     7.60P    3.32R    0.45  
QPR              8   12   +1      -0.62    43.84    -1.62    70.73    11.13    11.09     6.27    13.60    43.39    21.46P    1.45R    0.19  
Leeds_United     8   11   +1       1.04    61.83     2.42    59.53     9.89    -3.61     0.37     1.20     9.83     2.88P    8.64R    1.52  
Nott'm_Forest    8   11   +0      -0.09    49.85    -0.21    62.96    10.36    -0.26     1.02     2.97    17.81     6.08P    5.27R    0.89  
Derby            7   10   +1      -1.48    34.66    -1.79    74.40    10.63    17.80     9.83    20.85    57.47    31.38P    0.45R    0.05  
Huddersfield     8    9   -1      -0.27    48.65     1.54    53.92    10.04   -12.04     0.12     0.35     3.70     0.94P   21.94R    5.78  
Sheff_Wed        8    9   -2      -0.88    42.22    -0.63    56.15     9.85    -8.43     0.12     0.51     5.54     1.47P   15.05R    3.12  
Charlton         8    9   -2      -0.52    45.86     0.00    55.48     9.83    -9.33     0.15     0.48     4.67     1.25P   17.15R    3.61  
Fulham           7    8   +0      -1.08    39.80     0.86    57.28    10.73    -7.56     0.39     1.17     8.45     2.59P   14.83R    3.44  
Brentford        7    8   -2      -1.59    34.17    -1.94    64.30    10.94     2.16     1.84     4.77    22.67     8.94P    4.88R    0.93  
Wolverhampton    7    8   -2      -2.04    29.61    -2.71    65.75    10.60     4.57     2.16     5.30    26.15    10.51P    3.18R    0.48  
Blackburn        8    7   +0      -4.55    12.43    -0.82    60.80    10.21     2.76     0.60     1.93    13.06     4.65P    7.30R    1.35  
MK_Dons          8    7   -3      -3.47    19.20    -2.23    54.67    10.82    -9.79     0.22     0.65     5.87     1.86P   21.35R    5.70  
Bolton           8    7   -6      -2.22    28.83    -3.51    52.27     9.89   -15.49     0.05     0.18     2.45     0.61P   27.00R    7.50  
Preston          8    6   -4      -3.38    19.42    -1.90    52.14    10.33   -11.74     0.06     0.22     3.09     0.80P   27.95R    7.60  
Bristol_City     8    5   -8      -4.28    13.88    -5.26    49.86    10.89   -20.30     0.06     0.19     2.35     0.65P   37.89R   14.06  
Rotherham        8    5   -8      -3.01    21.72    -3.32    40.96     9.41   -33.66     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   72.25R   41.90  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Bradford 2 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Burton_Albion     8   18   +4       7.58    97.07     4.75    68.70    10.73     2.36     4.84    10.41    34.78    15.14P    3.78R    0.30  
Walsall           8   17   +9       4.50    87.34     6.73    74.96    10.22    17.79    12.70    24.23    59.11    33.13P    0.63R    0.05  
Gillingham        8   17   +8       5.15    90.32     6.68    74.38    10.55    15.85    12.16    23.03    56.69    31.11P    0.92R    0.04  
Coventry          8   16   +7       4.17    85.06     5.66    72.27    10.63    13.08     8.81    17.59    48.72    24.75P    1.66R    0.12  
Rochdale          8   14   +6       2.04    69.36     4.52    71.38    10.55    13.83     7.53    15.47    45.76    22.86P    1.96R    0.12  
Bury              8   13   +3       2.64    74.55     4.01    61.19    10.93    -3.43     1.29     3.25    15.31     5.58P   14.10R    2.02  
Sheff_Utd         8   13   +1       0.42    54.10    -1.43    73.28    10.35    13.17     9.62    19.44    52.73    28.83P    1.28R    0.07  
Wigan             8   13   +1      -0.86    41.02    -3.27    77.50    10.81    19.25    19.94    33.46    67.08    44.57P    0.49R    0.02  
Chesterfield      8   11   +1      -0.56    45.09     0.12    69.63    10.48    10.74     5.20    11.72    39.36    18.90P    2.78R    0.25  
Swindon           8   11   +0      -2.25    28.91    -3.44    71.56    10.65    12.84     8.12    16.28    46.50    24.87P    2.05R    0.14  
Barnsley          8   11   -1      -0.45    46.19    -1.64    66.93    10.49     4.67     3.22     7.51    29.40    12.84P    4.87R    0.42  
Bradford          8   10   -2      -0.49    45.92    -1.33    61.34    10.20    -2.75     0.93     2.46    13.74     5.06P   12.11R    1.51  
Colchester        8   10   -3       0.37    54.97    -0.67    55.31    10.39   -14.43     0.22     0.69     5.59     1.57P   29.23R    5.87  
Millwall          8   10   -4      -1.44    36.53    -4.68    61.77    10.97    -4.45     1.52     3.52    16.40     6.54P   13.19R    1.99  
Fleetwood_Town    8    9   +1      -1.52    35.72     1.58    57.68    10.21    -3.85     0.43     1.24     8.16     2.71P   20.34R    3.38  
Port_Vale         8    9   +0      -1.33    37.85     0.98    58.64    10.25    -3.69     0.49     1.39     9.31     3.13P   18.20R    2.77  
Southend          8    9   -1      -0.20    49.60     1.28    54.68    10.45    -9.42     0.21     0.66     5.10     1.61P   30.76R    6.46  
Peterborough      8    8   -1      -3.57    19.01    -1.91    63.64    10.48     4.17     1.61     4.22    20.47     8.47P    8.72R    1.03  
Shrewsbury        8    8   -2      -2.94    23.21    -2.14    57.28    10.51    -5.45     0.44     1.28     7.93     2.85P   22.36R    3.87  
Scunthorpe        8    8   -3      -2.08    30.77    -1.54    54.15    10.23   -12.40     0.18     0.52     4.21     1.23P   32.50R    6.72  
Oldham            8    8   -4      -1.83    32.98    -2.43    53.33    10.02   -13.92     0.11     0.36     3.24     0.95P   35.25R    7.58  
Doncaster         8    7   -4      -3.60    18.00    -3.57    57.64    10.16    -5.73     0.35     0.97     7.77     2.51P   20.73R    3.46  
Crewe             8    5   -7      -2.82    23.67    -1.96    43.05     9.74   -29.20     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   74.69R   37.41  
Blackpool         8    5   -9      -4.20    14.18    -6.28    50.39    10.58   -19.02     0.08     0.28     2.34     0.74P   47.41R   14.38  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 September 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         8   17   +6       1.20    60.91    -1.57    89.80    10.57    38.61    58.94    84.29    96.14    88.47P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth              8   16   +7       3.32    80.17     4.41    76.08    10.09    18.80     9.08    37.98    72.27    47.61P    0.10R    0.02  
Portsmouth            8   16   +7       3.93    83.97     5.25    73.20    10.38    14.52     6.13    27.99    61.53    36.25P    0.30R    0.11  
Wycombe               8   15   +6       2.41    73.22     3.66    76.68    10.22    20.38    10.02    40.84    74.08    50.57P    0.09R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd            8   13   +4       1.58    65.74     3.26    68.96    10.11     9.88     2.54    15.71    45.37    22.95P    0.76R    0.23  
Accrington_Stanley    8   13   +3       2.94    77.61     4.47    61.36    10.23    -3.05     0.54     4.58    19.47     7.44P    4.81R    1.86  
Morecambe             8   13   +2       1.92    68.60     1.90    65.47    10.34     2.10     1.46     9.54    32.44    14.70P    2.02R    0.71  
Northampton           8   13   +2       1.55    65.01     1.27    65.70    10.39     2.53     1.41     9.91    33.38    15.37P    2.01R    0.69  
Exeter                8   13   +1       1.98    69.25     1.10    65.38    10.38     0.88     1.31     9.62    31.95    14.52P    2.21R    0.76  
Carlisle              8   13   +0       1.92    68.74    -0.04    59.46    10.59   -10.98     0.47     3.69    15.75     6.05P    7.58R    3.09  
Mansfield             8   12   +5       2.26    72.48     6.66    58.28     9.87    -3.31     0.25     2.14    12.22     4.03P    7.55R    3.03  
AFC_Wimbledon         8   12   +0       1.92    69.25     1.33    60.34    10.19    -5.92     0.43     3.55    16.90     6.16P    5.81R    2.27  
Cambridge_Utd         8   10   -1      -0.07    50.25     0.54    56.08    10.04   -10.87     0.13     1.51     8.77     2.92P   11.69R    4.93  
Hartlepool            8   10   -1       0.62    57.39     1.36    52.59     9.73   -14.84     0.04     0.58     4.26     1.26P   19.47R    9.01  
Bristol_Rovers        8   10   -1       0.28    54.20     0.61    58.38    10.19    -5.18     0.23     2.36    12.63     4.54P    8.12R    3.28  
York                  8    9   -1      -1.88    32.10    -0.93    58.23     9.86    -4.74     0.22     2.12    12.01     4.40P    7.37R    2.89  
Stevenage             8    9   -3      -2.69    24.91    -3.91    64.43    10.53     1.93     1.14     8.27    29.48    13.69P    2.77R    0.94  
Luton                 8    8   -1      -3.36    20.02    -1.55    62.05    10.28     1.96     0.60     5.28    22.31     9.54P    4.05R    1.56  
Notts_County          7    7   -5      -3.69    16.64    -6.63    67.41    11.28     5.51     2.92    14.93    40.36    22.59P    2.17R    0.79  
Yeovil                8    7   -5      -4.02    15.47    -5.15    59.86    10.82    -3.83     0.51     4.04    17.49     7.63P    7.44R    3.27  
Barnet                8    7   -6      -1.21    39.24    -1.33    48.60    10.37   -22.77     0.02     0.32     2.53     0.68P   35.08R   20.20  
Crawley_Town          7    6   -3      -4.57    10.93    -4.49    64.75    11.08     4.94     1.55     9.73    31.65    16.25P    3.22R    1.36  
Dag_&_Red             8    6   -6      -3.44    18.94    -3.52    54.02    10.14   -12.29     0.07     0.95     6.16     2.14P   16.94R    7.74  
Newport_County        8    2  -10      -6.78     2.61    -6.70    44.84     9.84   -24.27     0.00     0.08     0.87     0.23P   48.47R   31.23  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 September 2015, Altrincham 0 4 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     11   27  +10       7.06    94.31     2.37    84.83     9.59    25.09    22.79    77.58    35.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       11   24  +11       2.93    73.21     1.83    88.24     9.72    35.96    37.94    86.51    53.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          11   22   +9       4.38    82.55     5.22    76.75     9.48    19.14     5.82    47.59    15.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        11   22   +2       5.30    86.84    -0.33    72.16     9.59     5.07     2.37    27.82     6.79P    0.20R    0.02  
Woking           11   20   +8       1.92    65.87     3.32    76.39     9.68    20.85     5.60    46.40    14.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh        11   18   +5      -0.47    45.79    -0.16    70.66     9.71    11.92     1.96    24.80     7.15P    0.30R    0.03  
Braintree_Town   11   18   +4       1.48    62.79     1.81    66.73     9.23     5.36     0.53    12.45     2.77P    0.70R    0.07  
Grimsby          11   17   +8      -3.53    22.12    -0.41    78.38     9.40    28.59     8.42    55.91    23.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley          11   17   +4       3.40    76.07     6.96    65.62    10.65     4.01     0.95    13.77     3.16P    2.28R    0.37  
Tranmere         11   17   +4      -3.37    23.06    -4.13    80.12     9.92    27.31    12.06    61.93    28.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot        11   17   +1       2.15    68.31     1.43    66.00     9.52     2.30     0.50    11.78     2.42P    1.06R    0.14  
Lincoln_City     11   16   +3       2.04    67.50     4.89    65.52     9.56     4.76     0.42    11.06     2.23P    1.33R    0.17  
Chester          11   16   -2       4.17    82.88     3.15    59.37     9.37    -9.60     0.07     3.15     0.51P    5.34R    0.94  
Dover_Athletic   11   15   +1      -1.60    36.71    -1.13    60.69     9.42    -2.55     0.13     4.41     0.92P    3.56R    0.56  
Guiseley         11   14   -4       1.50    63.78    -0.08    48.62     9.53   -25.36     0.00     0.32     0.04P   32.60R   10.54  
Barrow           11   14   -8       3.28    77.58    -0.53    48.31     9.66   -30.41     0.00     0.34     0.03P   34.73R   11.82  
Macclesfield     11   13   -1      -2.03    33.51    -0.84    64.85     9.48     4.88     0.33     9.66     2.42P    1.49R    0.20  
Torquay          11   10   -9      -4.32    18.00    -7.58    59.47     9.63    -7.43     0.09     3.39     0.69P    5.59R    0.98  
Altrincham       11   10  -11      -0.06    51.54    -3.00    46.76     9.01   -29.69     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.80R   13.89  
Welling          11    9   -5      -2.41    30.01     0.64    50.26     9.15   -15.31     0.01     0.29     0.06P   24.49R    6.77  
Boreham_Wood     11    7   -6      -3.59    22.26     1.31    45.98     9.84   -20.53     0.00     0.17     0.04P   42.73R   17.28  
Southport        11    7   -8      -3.83    18.98    -1.24    44.14     8.90   -25.26     0.00     0.03     0.00P   49.78R   20.15  
Halifax          11    6   -7      -9.80     1.43    -7.88    50.22     9.53   -13.67     0.01     0.35     0.07P   24.92R    7.21  
Kidderminster    11    5   -9      -7.86     3.34    -5.60    48.99     9.30   -15.44     0.00     0.21     0.05P   29.00R    8.87