Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 20 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Liverpool 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 6 15 +10 2.46 76.27 3.18 83.99 8.23 51.27 75.10 90.60 96.12 98.36 99.63 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 6 13 +4 2.00 71.47 -0.10 70.01 8.84 23.63 9.51 34.90 55.79 71.00 87.44 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 6 12 +6 4.14 89.53 6.64 56.66 8.86 7.23 0.42 3.40 8.78 16.59 36.43 0.90R 0.08 Leicester 6 12 +4 3.35 83.38 3.38 50.54 8.90 -5.14 0.07 0.82 2.49 5.44 15.26 4.62R 0.47 Arsenal 6 10 +0 -0.49 43.61 -3.29 67.23 8.85 19.99 5.50 23.20 42.57 59.07 80.40 0.04R 0.00 Everton 6 9 +3 1.04 62.68 3.35 59.28 8.88 12.36 0.80 5.55 13.62 24.58 48.58 0.42R 0.04 Swansea 6 9 +2 0.98 62.16 2.30 52.08 8.81 0.84 0.15 0.98 3.13 6.92 19.37 2.94R 0.33 Crystal_Palace 6 9 +1 2.66 80.60 3.89 48.69 8.55 -4.65 0.03 0.37 1.25 3.00 10.34 6.15R 0.74 Tottenham 6 9 +1 -0.02 49.78 -0.16 55.84 9.01 5.22 0.38 2.77 7.37 14.37 33.30 1.37R 0.12 Watford 6 9 +0 2.58 79.13 3.00 45.19 9.16 -11.99 0.02 0.29 0.88 1.95 6.21 14.89R 2.95 Norwich 6 8 -1 0.54 57.93 0.16 42.81 9.10 -16.15 0.02 0.13 0.49 1.17 3.98 21.40R 5.08 West_Brom 6 8 -2 1.51 69.75 0.59 45.72 8.52 -10.56 0.01 0.20 0.63 1.57 5.70 11.47R 1.88 Liverpool 6 8 -3 -1.02 38.78 -4.23 57.14 9.12 4.55 0.60 3.78 9.56 17.91 38.19 1.06R 0.12 Bournemouth 6 7 -1 -0.38 47.09 0.43 39.53 8.93 -20.41 0.00 0.04 0.16 0.44 1.81 33.28R 9.00 Chelsea 6 7 -3 -3.26 16.30 -5.97 69.09 8.79 25.22 7.20 31.45 52.64 67.89 85.74 0.02R 0.00 Southampton 6 6 -1 -3.35 15.67 -2.69 53.28 8.83 3.98 0.19 1.44 4.23 8.91 23.80 2.32R 0.26 Aston_Villa 6 4 -3 -2.65 20.89 -0.76 34.27 7.98 -23.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.28 57.16R 20.86 Stoke 6 3 -4 -4.42 8.15 -2.95 42.76 8.54 -9.72 0.01 0.08 0.25 0.69 3.02 19.09R 4.00 Newcastle 6 2 -6 -3.61 11.74 -2.06 35.37 8.43 -22.54 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.44 51.50R 18.90 Sunderland 6 2 -7 -4.60 6.87 -4.72 31.33 7.97 -29.39 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.10 71.35R 35.17Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 September 2015, Blackburn 3 0 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 8 20 +6 8.41 98.71 4.91 74.45 9.78 10.23 7.92 18.19 56.39 26.35P 0.21R 0.01 Middlesbrough 8 17 +9 2.81 76.44 4.25 82.47 9.96 28.56 30.14 48.88 83.94 59.89P 0.02R 0.00 Hull 8 14 +5 0.38 53.36 1.11 78.09 10.52 22.49 17.38 32.21 70.31 44.23P 0.14R 0.01 Burnley 7 14 +3 2.34 73.45 -0.03 75.67 10.84 15.31 12.72 24.43 60.59 34.34P 0.34R 0.02 Ipswich 8 14 +0 2.29 71.81 -1.09 70.23 10.49 6.23 4.63 10.86 40.36 17.50P 1.24R 0.18 Reading 8 12 +6 0.86 59.11 5.72 63.98 10.05 6.26 1.24 3.53 20.33 7.11P 3.57R 0.52 Birmingham 7 12 +4 2.82 77.91 4.64 63.75 10.49 1.55 1.43 3.73 20.00 6.90P 4.57R 0.71 Cardiff 8 12 +2 0.79 58.44 1.59 64.65 10.06 3.21 1.29 3.82 21.45 7.60P 3.32R 0.45 QPR 8 12 +1 -0.62 43.84 -1.62 70.73 11.13 11.09 6.27 13.60 43.39 21.46P 1.45R 0.19 Leeds_United 8 11 +1 1.04 61.83 2.42 59.53 9.89 -3.61 0.37 1.20 9.83 2.88P 8.64R 1.52 Nott'm_Forest 8 11 +0 -0.09 49.85 -0.21 62.96 10.36 -0.26 1.02 2.97 17.81 6.08P 5.27R 0.89 Derby 7 10 +1 -1.48 34.66 -1.79 74.40 10.63 17.80 9.83 20.85 57.47 31.38P 0.45R 0.05 Huddersfield 8 9 -1 -0.27 48.65 1.54 53.92 10.04 -12.04 0.12 0.35 3.70 0.94P 21.94R 5.78 Sheff_Wed 8 9 -2 -0.88 42.22 -0.63 56.15 9.85 -8.43 0.12 0.51 5.54 1.47P 15.05R 3.12 Charlton 8 9 -2 -0.52 45.86 0.00 55.48 9.83 -9.33 0.15 0.48 4.67 1.25P 17.15R 3.61 Fulham 7 8 +0 -1.08 39.80 0.86 57.28 10.73 -7.56 0.39 1.17 8.45 2.59P 14.83R 3.44 Brentford 7 8 -2 -1.59 34.17 -1.94 64.30 10.94 2.16 1.84 4.77 22.67 8.94P 4.88R 0.93 Wolverhampton 7 8 -2 -2.04 29.61 -2.71 65.75 10.60 4.57 2.16 5.30 26.15 10.51P 3.18R 0.48 Blackburn 8 7 +0 -4.55 12.43 -0.82 60.80 10.21 2.76 0.60 1.93 13.06 4.65P 7.30R 1.35 MK_Dons 8 7 -3 -3.47 19.20 -2.23 54.67 10.82 -9.79 0.22 0.65 5.87 1.86P 21.35R 5.70 Bolton 8 7 -6 -2.22 28.83 -3.51 52.27 9.89 -15.49 0.05 0.18 2.45 0.61P 27.00R 7.50 Preston 8 6 -4 -3.38 19.42 -1.90 52.14 10.33 -11.74 0.06 0.22 3.09 0.80P 27.95R 7.60 Bristol_City 8 5 -8 -4.28 13.88 -5.26 49.86 10.89 -20.30 0.06 0.19 2.35 0.65P 37.89R 14.06 Rotherham 8 5 -8 -3.01 21.72 -3.32 40.96 9.41 -33.66 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.02P 72.25R 41.90League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 September 2015, Bradford 2 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Burton_Albion 8 18 +4 7.58 97.07 4.75 68.70 10.73 2.36 4.84 10.41 34.78 15.14P 3.78R 0.30 Walsall 8 17 +9 4.50 87.34 6.73 74.96 10.22 17.79 12.70 24.23 59.11 33.13P 0.63R 0.05 Gillingham 8 17 +8 5.15 90.32 6.68 74.38 10.55 15.85 12.16 23.03 56.69 31.11P 0.92R 0.04 Coventry 8 16 +7 4.17 85.06 5.66 72.27 10.63 13.08 8.81 17.59 48.72 24.75P 1.66R 0.12 Rochdale 8 14 +6 2.04 69.36 4.52 71.38 10.55 13.83 7.53 15.47 45.76 22.86P 1.96R 0.12 Bury 8 13 +3 2.64 74.55 4.01 61.19 10.93 -3.43 1.29 3.25 15.31 5.58P 14.10R 2.02 Sheff_Utd 8 13 +1 0.42 54.10 -1.43 73.28 10.35 13.17 9.62 19.44 52.73 28.83P 1.28R 0.07 Wigan 8 13 +1 -0.86 41.02 -3.27 77.50 10.81 19.25 19.94 33.46 67.08 44.57P 0.49R 0.02 Chesterfield 8 11 +1 -0.56 45.09 0.12 69.63 10.48 10.74 5.20 11.72 39.36 18.90P 2.78R 0.25 Swindon 8 11 +0 -2.25 28.91 -3.44 71.56 10.65 12.84 8.12 16.28 46.50 24.87P 2.05R 0.14 Barnsley 8 11 -1 -0.45 46.19 -1.64 66.93 10.49 4.67 3.22 7.51 29.40 12.84P 4.87R 0.42 Bradford 8 10 -2 -0.49 45.92 -1.33 61.34 10.20 -2.75 0.93 2.46 13.74 5.06P 12.11R 1.51 Colchester 8 10 -3 0.37 54.97 -0.67 55.31 10.39 -14.43 0.22 0.69 5.59 1.57P 29.23R 5.87 Millwall 8 10 -4 -1.44 36.53 -4.68 61.77 10.97 -4.45 1.52 3.52 16.40 6.54P 13.19R 1.99 Fleetwood_Town 8 9 +1 -1.52 35.72 1.58 57.68 10.21 -3.85 0.43 1.24 8.16 2.71P 20.34R 3.38 Port_Vale 8 9 +0 -1.33 37.85 0.98 58.64 10.25 -3.69 0.49 1.39 9.31 3.13P 18.20R 2.77 Southend 8 9 -1 -0.20 49.60 1.28 54.68 10.45 -9.42 0.21 0.66 5.10 1.61P 30.76R 6.46 Peterborough 8 8 -1 -3.57 19.01 -1.91 63.64 10.48 4.17 1.61 4.22 20.47 8.47P 8.72R 1.03 Shrewsbury 8 8 -2 -2.94 23.21 -2.14 57.28 10.51 -5.45 0.44 1.28 7.93 2.85P 22.36R 3.87 Scunthorpe 8 8 -3 -2.08 30.77 -1.54 54.15 10.23 -12.40 0.18 0.52 4.21 1.23P 32.50R 6.72 Oldham 8 8 -4 -1.83 32.98 -2.43 53.33 10.02 -13.92 0.11 0.36 3.24 0.95P 35.25R 7.58 Doncaster 8 7 -4 -3.60 18.00 -3.57 57.64 10.16 -5.73 0.35 0.97 7.77 2.51P 20.73R 3.46 Crewe 8 5 -7 -2.82 23.67 -1.96 43.05 9.74 -29.20 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.06P 74.69R 37.41 Blackpool 8 5 -9 -4.20 14.18 -6.28 50.39 10.58 -19.02 0.08 0.28 2.34 0.74P 47.41R 14.38League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 September 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 8 17 +6 1.20 60.91 -1.57 89.80 10.57 38.61 58.94 84.29 96.14 88.47P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 8 16 +7 3.32 80.17 4.41 76.08 10.09 18.80 9.08 37.98 72.27 47.61P 0.10R 0.02 Portsmouth 8 16 +7 3.93 83.97 5.25 73.20 10.38 14.52 6.13 27.99 61.53 36.25P 0.30R 0.11 Wycombe 8 15 +6 2.41 73.22 3.66 76.68 10.22 20.38 10.02 40.84 74.08 50.57P 0.09R 0.03 Oxford_Utd 8 13 +4 1.58 65.74 3.26 68.96 10.11 9.88 2.54 15.71 45.37 22.95P 0.76R 0.23 Accrington_Stanley 8 13 +3 2.94 77.61 4.47 61.36 10.23 -3.05 0.54 4.58 19.47 7.44P 4.81R 1.86 Morecambe 8 13 +2 1.92 68.60 1.90 65.47 10.34 2.10 1.46 9.54 32.44 14.70P 2.02R 0.71 Northampton 8 13 +2 1.55 65.01 1.27 65.70 10.39 2.53 1.41 9.91 33.38 15.37P 2.01R 0.69 Exeter 8 13 +1 1.98 69.25 1.10 65.38 10.38 0.88 1.31 9.62 31.95 14.52P 2.21R 0.76 Carlisle 8 13 +0 1.92 68.74 -0.04 59.46 10.59 -10.98 0.47 3.69 15.75 6.05P 7.58R 3.09 Mansfield 8 12 +5 2.26 72.48 6.66 58.28 9.87 -3.31 0.25 2.14 12.22 4.03P 7.55R 3.03 AFC_Wimbledon 8 12 +0 1.92 69.25 1.33 60.34 10.19 -5.92 0.43 3.55 16.90 6.16P 5.81R 2.27 Cambridge_Utd 8 10 -1 -0.07 50.25 0.54 56.08 10.04 -10.87 0.13 1.51 8.77 2.92P 11.69R 4.93 Hartlepool 8 10 -1 0.62 57.39 1.36 52.59 9.73 -14.84 0.04 0.58 4.26 1.26P 19.47R 9.01 Bristol_Rovers 8 10 -1 0.28 54.20 0.61 58.38 10.19 -5.18 0.23 2.36 12.63 4.54P 8.12R 3.28 York 8 9 -1 -1.88 32.10 -0.93 58.23 9.86 -4.74 0.22 2.12 12.01 4.40P 7.37R 2.89 Stevenage 8 9 -3 -2.69 24.91 -3.91 64.43 10.53 1.93 1.14 8.27 29.48 13.69P 2.77R 0.94 Luton 8 8 -1 -3.36 20.02 -1.55 62.05 10.28 1.96 0.60 5.28 22.31 9.54P 4.05R 1.56 Notts_County 7 7 -5 -3.69 16.64 -6.63 67.41 11.28 5.51 2.92 14.93 40.36 22.59P 2.17R 0.79 Yeovil 8 7 -5 -4.02 15.47 -5.15 59.86 10.82 -3.83 0.51 4.04 17.49 7.63P 7.44R 3.27 Barnet 8 7 -6 -1.21 39.24 -1.33 48.60 10.37 -22.77 0.02 0.32 2.53 0.68P 35.08R 20.20 Crawley_Town 7 6 -3 -4.57 10.93 -4.49 64.75 11.08 4.94 1.55 9.73 31.65 16.25P 3.22R 1.36 Dag_&_Red 8 6 -6 -3.44 18.94 -3.52 54.02 10.14 -12.29 0.07 0.95 6.16 2.14P 16.94R 7.74 Newport_County 8 2 -10 -6.78 2.61 -6.70 44.84 9.84 -24.27 0.00 0.08 0.87 0.23P 48.47R 31.23National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 September 2015, Altrincham 0 4 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 11 27 +10 7.06 94.31 2.37 84.83 9.59 25.09 22.79 77.58 35.84P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 11 24 +11 2.93 73.21 1.83 88.24 9.72 35.96 37.94 86.51 53.18P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 11 22 +9 4.38 82.55 5.22 76.75 9.48 19.14 5.82 47.59 15.06P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 11 22 +2 5.30 86.84 -0.33 72.16 9.59 5.07 2.37 27.82 6.79P 0.20R 0.02 Woking 11 20 +8 1.92 65.87 3.32 76.39 9.68 20.85 5.60 46.40 14.92P 0.04R 0.00 Eastleigh 11 18 +5 -0.47 45.79 -0.16 70.66 9.71 11.92 1.96 24.80 7.15P 0.30R 0.03 Braintree_Town 11 18 +4 1.48 62.79 1.81 66.73 9.23 5.36 0.53 12.45 2.77P 0.70R 0.07 Grimsby 11 17 +8 -3.53 22.12 -0.41 78.38 9.40 28.59 8.42 55.91 23.23P 0.01R 0.00 Bromley 11 17 +4 3.40 76.07 6.96 65.62 10.65 4.01 0.95 13.77 3.16P 2.28R 0.37 Tranmere 11 17 +4 -3.37 23.06 -4.13 80.12 9.92 27.31 12.06 61.93 28.39P 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 11 17 +1 2.15 68.31 1.43 66.00 9.52 2.30 0.50 11.78 2.42P 1.06R 0.14 Lincoln_City 11 16 +3 2.04 67.50 4.89 65.52 9.56 4.76 0.42 11.06 2.23P 1.33R 0.17 Chester 11 16 -2 4.17 82.88 3.15 59.37 9.37 -9.60 0.07 3.15 0.51P 5.34R 0.94 Dover_Athletic 11 15 +1 -1.60 36.71 -1.13 60.69 9.42 -2.55 0.13 4.41 0.92P 3.56R 0.56 Guiseley 11 14 -4 1.50 63.78 -0.08 48.62 9.53 -25.36 0.00 0.32 0.04P 32.60R 10.54 Barrow 11 14 -8 3.28 77.58 -0.53 48.31 9.66 -30.41 0.00 0.34 0.03P 34.73R 11.82 Macclesfield 11 13 -1 -2.03 33.51 -0.84 64.85 9.48 4.88 0.33 9.66 2.42P 1.49R 0.20 Torquay 11 10 -9 -4.32 18.00 -7.58 59.47 9.63 -7.43 0.09 3.39 0.69P 5.59R 0.98 Altrincham 11 10 -11 -0.06 51.54 -3.00 46.76 9.01 -29.69 0.00 0.06 0.01P 39.80R 13.89 Welling 11 9 -5 -2.41 30.01 0.64 50.26 9.15 -15.31 0.01 0.29 0.06P 24.49R 6.77 Boreham_Wood 11 7 -6 -3.59 22.26 1.31 45.98 9.84 -20.53 0.00 0.17 0.04P 42.73R 17.28 Southport 11 7 -8 -3.83 18.98 -1.24 44.14 8.90 -25.26 0.00 0.03 0.00P 49.78R 20.15 Halifax 11 6 -7 -9.80 1.43 -7.88 50.22 9.53 -13.67 0.01 0.35 0.07P 24.92R 7.21 Kidderminster 11 5 -9 -7.86 3.34 -5.60 48.99 9.30 -15.44 0.00 0.21 0.05P 29.00R 8.87