Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 18 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 September 2015, West_Ham 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_City 5 15 +11 4.40 94.49 4.97 87.21 8.37 55.95 83.50 94.71 98.08 99.20 99.83 0.00 0.00
Leicester 5 11 +4 3.60 87.87 3.21 50.83 9.03 -5.19 0.06 0.96 2.80 6.06 16.40 4.40R 0.60
Man_Utd 5 10 +3 0.70 58.27 -0.60 68.02 9.10 22.01 4.58 27.24 47.21 62.76 82.50 0.04R 0.00
Arsenal 5 10 +2 0.52 55.69 -1.83 69.65 9.07 23.81 6.45 33.71 54.59 69.40 86.29 0.01R 0.00
West_Ham 5 9 +5 1.94 73.38 4.70 53.03 9.09 3.08 0.16 1.49 4.56 9.42 23.65 2.61R 0.31
Crystal_Palace 5 9 +2 3.73 89.97 4.56 50.11 8.93 -3.82 0.06 0.68 2.21 4.92 14.56 5.14R 0.76
Everton 5 8 +3 1.45 69.58 3.45 60.25 9.12 13.32 0.74 7.21 17.11 29.17 53.41 0.41R 0.06
Swansea 5 8 +2 1.19 66.56 2.11 52.45 9.11 0.75 0.11 1.26 3.91 8.30 21.46 3.15R 0.37
Norwich 5 7 -1 0.51 57.60 -0.52 42.22 9.36 -18.06 0.01 0.13 0.49 1.20 4.04 24.23R 6.35
Liverpool 5 7 -3 -0.31 46.76 -3.74 58.71 9.31 6.42 0.70 5.50 13.32 23.39 45.54 0.74R 0.07
Southampton 5 6 +0 -2.27 22.85 -2.06 54.68 9.07 5.11 0.20 2.37 6.41 12.45 29.48 1.69R 0.19
Tottenham 5 6 +0 -1.27 34.14 -0.61 54.21 9.23 4.22 0.17 2.08 6.05 11.85 28.39 2.27R 0.28
Watford 5 6 -1 1.10 66.15 2.29 43.14 9.41 -13.66 0.01 0.20 0.67 1.45 4.73 21.38R 5.45
West_Brom 5 5 -3 0.04 53.50 -0.12 43.85 8.72 -12.17 0.00 0.07 0.41 1.05 4.04 16.87R 3.60
Aston_Villa 5 4 -2 -1.48 32.34 -0.02 35.88 8.39 -22.63 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.50 48.98R 17.50
Bournemouth 5 4 -3 -1.66 31.25 -1.00 36.81 9.21 -24.61 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.30 1.21 45.90R 17.69
Chelsea 5 4 -5 -4.56 6.36 -7.50 66.69 9.03 22.10 3.23 22.26 41.62 57.78 78.98 0.07R 0.01
Stoke 5 2 -4 -3.99 8.33 -2.83 43.42 8.83 -9.28 0.01 0.08 0.38 1.02 3.96 17.97R 4.07
Sunderland 5 2 -5 -3.60 10.95 -3.22 33.41 8.35 -26.31 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.25 60.60R 27.28
Newcastle 5 2 -5 -2.34 21.36 -1.23 37.10 8.68 -21.04 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.13 0.79 43.52R 15.42
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 September 2015, Ipswich 1 1 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Brighton 7 19 +6 8.59 99.30 4.70 74.34 10.00 9.63 8.28 18.27 55.61 26.25P 0.24R 0.02
Middlesbrough 7 14 +8 1.60 66.50 3.90 80.68 10.09 27.27 24.27 41.88 79.03 53.71P 0.05R 0.01
Burnley 7 14 +3 2.34 73.41 -0.00 75.72 10.90 15.38 12.83 24.68 60.72 34.78P 0.35R 0.02
Ipswich 8 14 +0 2.23 71.34 -1.21 70.08 10.45 6.04 4.57 10.75 39.47 17.29P 1.21R 0.12
Hull 7 13 +5 1.08 61.02 1.61 79.00 10.80 23.29 20.65 35.74 72.39 47.00P 0.15R 0.02
Birmingham 7 12 +4 2.86 78.10 4.66 64.00 10.50 1.95 1.44 3.94 20.62 7.21P 4.36R 0.64
Cardiff 7 12 +3 2.26 73.06 2.74 66.91 10.42 5.56 2.50 6.33 29.01 11.32P 2.27R 0.26
QPR 7 11 +1 -0.42 45.52 -1.83 69.72 11.58 8.91 6.04 12.74 40.22 19.71P 2.07R 0.26
Nott'm_Forest 7 11 +1 0.99 61.27 0.37 64.79 10.60 1.54 1.80 4.68 23.01 8.56P 3.90R 0.52
Derby 7 10 +1 -1.40 35.14 -1.66 74.34 10.70 17.64 10.24 21.00 56.72 31.47P 0.48R 0.04
Reading 7 9 +4 -0.51 45.46 4.10 61.27 10.35 2.65 0.77 2.20 14.49 4.89P 6.75R 1.05
Charlton 7 9 +1 0.22 53.67 2.09 58.16 10.04 -4.28 0.30 0.88 7.91 2.17P 10.96R 1.70
Fulham 6 8 +1 0.02 51.35 1.41 59.08 11.06 -5.60 0.69 1.96 11.43 3.83P 11.95R 2.28
Leeds_United 7 8 +0 -0.54 45.65 1.48 56.64 10.04 -6.34 0.20 0.68 6.22 1.74P 13.83R 2.70
Wolverhampton 6 7 -2 -1.59 32.77 -2.56 66.75 10.84 5.55 2.72 6.79 29.42 12.37P 2.92R 0.42
MK_Dons 7 7 -2 -2.05 29.34 -1.20 56.64 11.17 -7.81 0.45 1.24 8.23 2.78P 16.84R 3.75
Bolton 7 7 -3 -1.28 37.33 -1.23 55.36 10.13 -9.65 0.17 0.50 4.91 1.40P 17.54R 3.60
Sheff_Wed 7 6 -3 -2.31 26.64 -1.40 54.18 10.02 -9.71 0.11 0.35 3.94 1.09P 20.37R 4.38
Preston 7 6 -3 -2.46 25.25 -1.57 53.99 10.45 -9.87 0.15 0.44 4.37 1.32P 21.91R 4.69
Huddersfield 7 6 -4 -1.46 35.62 -0.84 50.36 10.18 -17.66 0.06 0.17 1.96 0.48P 33.95R 9.82
Brentford 6 5 -3 -2.88 20.54 -2.43 62.31 11.01 0.64 1.28 3.33 17.96 6.69P 6.75R 1.15
Bristol_City 7 5 -6 -3.19 20.16 -3.72 52.41 11.18 -16.43 0.15 0.44 4.33 1.27P 28.88R 8.58
Blackburn 7 4 -3 -5.55 5.98 -2.92 57.44 10.42 -2.71 0.32 1.01 7.96 2.67P 12.92R 2.43
Rotherham 7 2 -9 -4.74 7.24 -4.48 38.36 9.60 -36.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 79.36R 51.54
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 September 2015, Port_Vale 0 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Gillingham 7 17 +9 6.70 96.65 7.95 76.79 10.91 18.47 15.83 28.50 62.79 35.94P 0.58R 0.01
Walsall 7 16 +9 4.79 90.32 6.64 75.12 10.52 17.51 11.97 22.86 57.17 31.39P 0.68R 0.03
Burton_Albion 7 15 +3 5.89 93.97 3.72 65.35 11.00 -1.49 2.58 5.93 23.47 9.22P 6.83R 0.56
Coventry 7 13 +6 2.62 75.91 4.79 69.98 11.03 11.01 5.67 12.02 38.81 18.28P 2.78R 0.17
Sheff_Utd 7 12 +1 0.83 58.34 -1.41 74.18 10.58 14.01 10.00 19.86 53.65 29.17P 0.99R 0.05
Rochdale 7 11 +5 0.77 58.55 4.09 70.01 10.78 13.27 5.64 11.97 39.06 18.66P 2.63R 0.17
Chesterfield 7 11 +2 0.70 57.78 0.90 72.12 10.85 13.45 7.92 15.85 46.23 23.84P 1.72R 0.13
Swindon 7 11 +1 -0.80 41.42 -2.37 74.44 10.92 16.37 11.66 22.21 55.09 31.70P 1.08R 0.05
Bury 7 10 +2 1.25 63.75 3.45 58.49 11.31 -6.57 0.75 1.98 10.48 3.75P 20.23R 3.10
Wigan 7 10 +0 -1.92 30.23 -3.49 76.04 11.20 18.59 15.16 27.15 60.38 37.92P 0.97R 0.03
Barnsley 7 10 -1 0.17 52.28 -1.27 67.85 10.85 5.49 3.78 8.45 31.18 14.05P 4.27R 0.31
Millwall 7 10 -2 -0.21 48.16 -2.91 65.75 11.17 1.39 2.77 6.42 25.34 11.18P 6.77R 0.62
Fleetwood_Town 7 9 +2 -0.80 42.37 1.66 59.07 10.41 -2.93 0.58 1.59 9.53 3.30P 16.00R 1.87
Port_Vale 7 9 +1 -0.06 50.35 1.87 60.88 10.65 -1.61 0.88 2.38 13.07 4.71P 13.13R 1.43
Bradford 7 9 -2 -0.15 49.36 -1.38 61.77 10.43 -2.66 0.83 2.42 13.82 4.79P 10.99R 1.10
Shrewsbury 7 8 -1 -1.53 35.01 -1.00 60.77 11.10 -1.64 1.09 2.67 13.61 5.35P 14.18R 1.82
Scunthorpe 7 8 -2 -1.21 38.20 -1.34 55.50 10.61 -11.63 0.26 0.77 5.44 1.63P 27.29R 4.29
Peterborough 7 7 -1 -3.34 18.88 -2.11 64.08 10.77 4.26 1.73 4.36 20.67 8.64P 7.85R 0.85
Colchester 7 7 -4 -1.29 37.65 -1.65 52.50 10.69 -17.71 0.12 0.41 3.41 0.97P 37.99R 8.10
Oldham 7 7 -4 -1.60 34.24 -2.58 53.05 10.36 -15.10 0.15 0.39 3.15 0.94P 35.16R 6.68
Southend 7 6 -3 -1.72 33.04 -0.47 51.08 10.51 -14.50 0.06 0.22 2.29 0.63P 42.36R 9.69
Doncaster 7 6 -4 -3.21 19.08 -3.53 58.73 10.49 -4.74 0.47 1.34 8.92 3.17P 17.40R 2.23
Blackpool 7 4 -9 -4.02 13.63 -6.51 50.22 10.99 -20.20 0.09 0.27 2.32 0.73P 46.71R 12.36
Crewe 7 2 -8 -4.62 8.20 -3.04 40.03 9.95 -33.04 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 81.41R 44.36
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Leyton_Orient 7 16 +6 1.94 69.54 -1.07 91.47 10.70 40.93 60.18 85.42 96.75 89.42P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 7 15 +7 3.95 85.92 4.75 77.33 10.36 20.06 9.61 39.62 74.00 49.41P 0.06R 0.02
Portsmouth 7 15 +7 4.23 87.53 5.18 73.12 10.56 13.85 5.05 24.94 59.33 33.28P 0.27R 0.07
Wycombe 7 14 +6 2.46 75.01 3.13 76.19 10.43 19.02 8.05 35.63 70.12 45.49P 0.09R 0.02
Morecambe 7 13 +4 3.22 80.70 3.76 68.23 10.60 6.37 1.92 13.21 40.86 19.30P 1.05R 0.35
Exeter 7 13 +3 3.00 78.71 2.50 67.74 10.67 4.53 1.80 12.43 38.94 18.25P 1.29R 0.39
Mansfield 7 12 +6 3.24 81.58 7.13 59.75 10.12 -2.32 0.29 2.75 14.47 4.86P 5.38R 2.01
Oxford_Utd 7 12 +4 2.06 71.44 3.40 69.61 10.34 10.23 2.47 15.53 46.21 22.91P 0.64R 0.20
Carlisle 7 12 +0 2.03 70.45 -0.46 59.41 10.68 -11.58 0.37 3.19 14.74 5.39P 6.64R 2.52
Accrington_Stanley 7 10 +1 1.54 67.38 2.77 58.68 10.31 -6.53 0.25 2.32 12.55 4.38P 6.96R 2.89
Northampton 7 10 +0 0.03 50.78 -0.61 62.19 10.45 -2.37 0.57 4.89 20.90 8.55P 3.82R 1.31
Cambridge_Utd 7 9 -1 0.20 53.00 0.44 56.29 10.35 -11.42 0.12 1.50 8.95 2.92P 10.72R 4.33
AFC_Wimbledon 7 9 -1 0.30 54.36 0.36 58.28 10.30 -7.54 0.23 2.17 12.01 4.29P 7.43R 2.90
Hartlepool 7 9 -1 1.08 63.22 1.54 53.26 10.02 -14.80 0.04 0.63 4.79 1.39P 16.48R 7.14
Bristol_Rovers 7 9 -1 0.26 53.84 0.14 57.26 10.42 -7.16 0.18 1.87 10.26 3.70P 9.11R 3.65
Stevenage 7 9 -2 -1.23 37.30 -2.80 67.02 10.75 4.88 1.54 11.22 36.75 17.73P 1.52R 0.44
York 7 8 -1 -1.26 37.55 -0.55 59.05 10.20 -4.06 0.23 2.43 13.14 4.86P 6.01R 2.27
Notts_County 6 7 -4 -2.31 25.45 -5.64 69.80 11.67 8.03 3.82 18.61 46.66 26.92P 1.36R 0.53
Crawley_Town 6 6 -2 -3.15 18.33 -3.41 67.87 11.46 8.57 2.53 14.48 40.55 22.19P 1.77R 0.65
Luton 7 5 -2 -4.66 10.20 -2.05 60.51 10.58 0.98 0.42 3.73 17.58 7.40P 5.27R 2.08
Dag_&_Red 7 5 -6 -2.77 22.89 -3.01 55.14 10.41 -11.46 0.06 1.04 7.32 2.32P 13.14R 5.83
Yeovil 7 4 -6 -5.70 5.58 -6.16 56.67 11.12 -7.37 0.26 2.16 10.90 4.40P 11.72R 5.33
Barnet 7 4 -7 -2.91 20.77 -2.50 45.65 10.58 -25.58 0.01 0.14 1.37 0.39P 43.47R 26.93
Newport_County 7 1 -10 -6.58 1.75 -6.84 44.80 10.10 -25.26 0.00 0.08 0.86 0.24P 45.77R 28.13
National League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 September 2015, Grimsby 1 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Forest_Green 10 27 +13 8.06 97.66 4.72 88.01 9.68 31.04 33.76 85.82 46.61P 0.00R 0.00
Gateshead 10 22 +3 6.76 93.58 0.75 74.63 9.67 7.74 3.64 37.22 9.48P 0.11R 0.01
Cheltenham 10 21 +10 1.58 63.28 1.23 85.82 9.92 34.03 26.88 80.45 43.70P 0.01R 0.00
Woking 10 20 +9 3.02 75.28 3.82 78.43 9.87 23.00 8.19 54.75 18.60P 0.04R 0.00
Wrexham 10 19 +8 3.11 76.00 4.76 75.11 9.63 18.18 4.18 40.90 11.91P 0.10R 0.01
Eastleigh 10 18 +6 0.98 58.22 0.88 72.93 9.79 14.41 3.03 32.73 9.26P 0.21R 0.02
Grimsby 11 17 +8 -3.49 22.11 -0.29 78.29 9.35 28.56 7.72 55.66 22.48P 0.02R 0.00
Tranmere 11 17 +4 -3.27 23.57 -4.06 80.21 9.66 27.48 11.03 62.50 27.99P 0.02R 0.00
Braintree_Town 10 15 +0 0.57 55.43 -1.17 62.94 9.35 -1.82 0.21 6.49 1.29P 2.44R 0.33
Dover_Athletic 10 14 +1 -1.00 41.14 -0.83 62.22 9.64 -1.03 0.18 6.36 1.34P 3.27R 0.51
Bromley 10 14 +0 2.72 73.54 4.42 58.74 10.58 -8.33 0.20 4.28 0.81P 9.34R 2.19
Aldershot 10 14 -1 0.98 59.71 0.18 63.15 9.68 -1.54 0.25 7.37 1.46P 2.77R 0.43
Barrow 10 14 -6 3.84 82.17 0.17 51.44 9.99 -25.14 0.01 0.92 0.14P 25.94R 8.01
Lincoln_City 10 13 +1 0.68 57.12 3.38 62.61 9.79 0.52 0.21 7.03 1.31P 3.30R 0.47
Chester 10 13 -3 2.50 73.44 2.25 57.10 9.48 -11.94 0.04 1.98 0.27P 9.69R 1.95
Guiseley 10 13 -4 1.53 64.62 -0.48 48.17 9.64 -27.66 0.01 0.33 0.05P 37.13R 13.18
Macclesfield 10 10 -4 -3.19 22.97 -3.14 61.37 9.52 -0.83 0.11 4.99 1.05P 3.95R 0.63
Torquay 10 10 -5 -3.23 23.25 -4.16 63.77 9.69 1.42 0.32 8.26 1.93P 2.35R 0.34
Altrincham 10 10 -7 0.52 57.14 -0.31 50.51 9.23 -21.60 0.00 0.31 0.04P 26.89R 7.63
Boreham_Wood 10 7 -5 -2.79 26.81 1.62 48.02 10.20 -18.81 0.00 0.40 0.07P 37.18R 14.65
Welling 10 6 -6 -4.32 14.35 -0.74 47.40 9.22 -18.28 0.00 0.11 0.02P 37.71R 13.49
Southport 10 6 -8 -3.80 17.50 -1.80 43.95 9.08 -26.19 0.00 0.05 0.01P 53.64R 23.72
Halifax 10 5 -7 -9.01 1.55 -7.24 51.43 9.65 -12.40 0.00 0.53 0.11P 23.24R 6.70
Kidderminster 10 5 -7 -6.73 4.95 -3.94 52.14 9.48 -10.81 0.00 0.54 0.09P 20.66R 5.72
