Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 17 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 September 2015, West_Ham 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   15  +11       4.40    94.50     4.99    87.29     8.32    56.07    84.42    95.03    98.12    99.21    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         5   11   +4       3.61    88.02     3.23    50.79     9.09    -5.24     0.07     1.03     2.96     6.13    16.50     4.62R    0.65  
Man_Utd           5   10   +3       0.71    58.34    -0.58    67.83     9.01    21.69     4.39    26.28    46.38    62.20    82.00     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal           5   10   +2       0.54    55.76    -1.81    69.55     8.99    23.62     6.06    33.47    54.36    69.09    86.31     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham          5    9   +5       1.93    73.22     4.67    53.11     9.11     3.19     0.15     1.63     4.87     9.57    24.15     2.60R    0.33  
Crystal_Palace    5    9   +2       3.73    90.10     4.53    50.14     8.95    -3.76     0.03     0.72     2.27     5.01    14.64     5.08R    0.79  
Everton           5    8   +3       1.45    69.68     3.44    60.29     9.27    13.37     0.77     7.70    17.76    29.81    53.66     0.43R    0.05  
Swansea           5    8   +2       1.20    66.47     2.09    52.41     9.08     0.66     0.10     1.24     3.86     8.16    21.46     3.13R    0.37  
Norwich           5    7   -1       0.54    58.01    -0.45    42.22     9.38   -18.12     0.01     0.16     0.46     1.16     3.96    24.31R    6.56  
Liverpool         5    7   -3      -0.29    46.92    -3.69    58.53     9.34     6.16     0.56     5.37    13.09    22.99    44.72     0.81R    0.08  
Southampton       5    6   +0      -2.30    22.45    -2.11    54.79     9.06     5.28     0.20     2.41     6.54    12.77    29.88     1.58R    0.18  
Tottenham         5    6   +0      -1.31    33.70    -0.67    54.48     9.28     4.56     0.25     2.39     6.47    12.49    29.13     2.11R    0.26  
Watford           5    6   -1       1.10    66.03     2.29    43.10     9.39   -13.70     0.01     0.18     0.65     1.43     4.65    21.56R    5.81  
West_Brom         5    5   -3       0.04    53.55    -0.15    43.87     8.74   -12.06     0.00     0.10     0.41     1.08     4.23    16.89R    3.60  
Aston_Villa       5    4   -2      -1.49    32.15    -0.03    35.90     8.30   -22.58     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.09     0.51    49.08R   17.39  
Bournemouth       5    4   -3      -1.69    30.72    -1.04    36.98     9.19   -24.23     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.27     1.10    45.10R   17.21  
Chelsea           5    4   -5      -4.55     6.54    -7.47    66.54     9.02    21.81     2.97    22.18    41.23    57.40    78.44     0.06R    0.00  
Stoke             5    2   -4      -3.98     8.39    -2.83    43.26     8.82    -9.45     0.01     0.08     0.38     0.97     3.85    18.27R    4.21  
Sunderland        5    2   -5      -3.59    11.20    -3.24    33.50     8.29   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.22    60.30R   26.69  
Newcastle         5    2   -5      -2.31    21.69    -1.19    36.97     8.64   -21.13     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.13     0.74    44.00R   15.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 September 2015, QPR 2 2 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         7   19   +6       8.60    99.32     4.73    74.39    10.08     9.67     8.54    18.35    55.20    26.11P    0.23R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    7   14   +8       1.60    66.78     3.91    80.62    10.25    27.23    24.09    41.25    78.31    53.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          7   14   +3       2.39    73.67     0.06    75.52    10.91    15.10    12.41    23.74    59.96    33.48P    0.40R    0.05  
Hull             7   13   +5       1.09    61.28     1.59    79.04    10.78    23.34    20.19    35.87    72.67    47.29P    0.14R    0.01  
Ipswich          7   13   +0       2.78    77.00    -0.92    71.23    10.74     7.22     5.92    12.99    43.99    20.17P    1.05R    0.12  
Cardiff          7   12   +3       2.29    73.48     2.77    67.04    10.42     5.75     2.60     6.49    28.97    11.50P    2.23R    0.27  
Birmingham       6   11   +4       3.00    81.51     4.33    63.65    10.73     0.79     1.55     3.98    19.93     7.02P    4.84R    0.76  
QPR              7   11   +1      -0.45    45.47    -1.87    69.89    11.46     9.17     5.90    12.57    40.45    19.96P    2.04R    0.25  
Nott'm_Forest    7   11   +1       0.99    61.40     0.37    64.67    10.57     1.35     1.70     4.29    22.25     8.11P    4.02R    0.48  
Derby            7   10   +1      -1.41    34.97    -1.67    74.21    10.63    17.38     9.80    20.38    56.04    30.81P    0.47R    0.05  
Reading          7    9   +4      -0.47    45.63     4.15    61.11    10.36     2.40     0.78     2.19    13.88     4.65P    6.84R    1.15  
Charlton         7    9   +1       0.15    52.70     2.00    58.34    10.08    -4.07     0.31     1.02     8.28     2.44P   10.66R    1.72  
Fulham           6    8   +1       0.02    51.58     1.43    59.00    10.95    -5.74     0.60     1.73    11.05     3.46P   11.76R    2.34  
Leeds_United     7    8   +0      -0.50    46.13     1.54    56.43    10.02    -6.59     0.20     0.60     6.09     1.73P   14.55R    2.78  
Wolverhampton    6    7   -2      -1.54    33.27    -2.50    66.77    10.88     5.51     2.90     7.03    29.40    12.64P    3.06R    0.39  
MK_Dons          7    7   -2      -2.05    29.62    -1.22    56.60    11.15    -7.83     0.38     1.25     8.14     2.76P   16.97R    3.75  
Bolton           7    7   -3      -1.28    36.99    -1.22    55.28    10.04    -9.84     0.14     0.45     4.74     1.27P   17.49R    3.66  
Sheff_Wed        7    6   -3      -2.29    26.52    -1.37    54.12     9.94    -9.82     0.08     0.29     3.69     0.98P   20.57R    4.34  
Preston          7    6   -3      -2.47    25.48    -1.56    53.94    10.49    -9.97     0.11     0.39     4.31     1.25P   22.23R    4.75  
Huddersfield     7    6   -4      -1.52    34.75    -0.90    50.61    10.12   -17.27     0.04     0.16     1.89     0.46P   33.11R    9.19  
Brentford        6    5   -3      -2.89    20.43    -2.45    62.39    10.99     0.66     1.19     3.34    17.94     6.73P    6.82R    1.23  
Bristol_City     7    5   -6      -3.29    19.38    -3.89    52.92    11.36   -15.60     0.22     0.60     4.77     1.45P   27.78R    8.14  
Blackburn        7    4   -3      -5.52     6.07    -2.89    57.49    10.46    -2.69     0.34     1.01     7.99     2.63P   12.86R    2.59  
Rotherham        7    2   -9      -4.71     7.27    -4.42    38.29     9.56   -36.15     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   79.85R   51.98  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 September 2015, Port_Vale 0 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        7   17   +9       6.64    96.45     7.90    76.91    10.95    18.64    16.32    28.83    62.83    36.48P    0.58R    0.01  
Walsall           7   16   +9       4.74    90.00     6.57    75.28    10.32    17.73    11.68    22.73    57.71    31.45P    0.50R    0.02  
Burton_Albion     7   15   +3       5.89    93.93     3.71    65.22    11.07    -1.68     2.58     5.93    22.79     9.29P    7.20R    0.64  
Coventry          7   13   +6       2.56    75.46     4.70    70.23    10.85    11.45     5.68    12.10    39.72    18.46P    2.54R    0.16  
Sheff_Utd         7   12   +1       0.88    58.99    -1.30    73.99    10.56    13.68     9.82    19.17    52.59    28.13P    0.99R    0.06  
Rochdale          7   11   +5       0.86    59.39     4.23    69.52    10.98    12.52     5.31    11.33    37.45    17.86P    3.05R    0.23  
Chesterfield      7   11   +2       0.70    57.94     0.89    72.17    10.96    13.51     7.98    16.16    46.47    24.10P    1.83R    0.13  
Swindon           7   11   +1      -0.84    41.19    -2.44    74.55    11.03    16.54    11.83    22.43    55.04    31.79P    1.08R    0.06  
Bury              7   10   +2       1.27    63.90     3.47    58.45    11.36    -6.56     0.85     1.98    10.42     3.70P   20.40R    2.93  
Wigan             7   10   +0      -1.91    30.14    -3.48    76.11    11.05    18.65    14.64    27.08    60.62    38.42P    0.83R    0.03  
Barnsley          7   10   -1       0.12    51.71    -1.35    68.18    10.82     6.02     3.88     8.52    32.07    14.19P    3.91R    0.32  
Millwall          7   10   -2      -0.26    47.78    -2.99    66.21    11.41     2.08     3.29     7.22    26.78    12.06P    6.77R    0.66  
Fleetwood_Town    7    9   +2      -0.74    42.73     1.72    58.60    10.39    -3.57     0.46     1.41     8.93     2.93P   17.08R    2.09  
Port_Vale         7    9   +1      -0.04    50.52     1.89    61.06    10.65    -1.31     0.83     2.31    13.35     4.62P   12.69R    1.43  
Bradford          7    9   -2      -0.20    48.99    -1.41    61.93    10.50    -2.46     0.91     2.48    14.43     5.09P   10.80R    1.12  
Shrewsbury        7    8   -1      -1.49    35.67    -0.94    60.57    11.07    -1.88     1.03     2.61    13.18     5.12P   14.32R    1.80  
Scunthorpe        7    8   -2      -1.17    38.73    -1.27    55.47    10.67   -11.72     0.27     0.80     5.38     1.72P   27.21R    4.42  
Peterborough      7    7   -1      -3.35    18.85    -2.13    64.02    10.82     4.16     1.77     4.36    20.39     8.45P    7.88R    0.83  
Colchester        7    7   -4      -1.33    37.33    -1.76    52.51    10.70   -17.72     0.12     0.38     3.38     0.94P   37.43R    7.82  
Oldham            7    7   -4      -1.62    33.94    -2.63    53.19    10.29   -14.86     0.12     0.38     3.16     0.87P   34.38R    6.35  
Southend          7    6   -3      -1.67    33.65    -0.39    50.72    10.55   -15.07     0.08     0.24     2.17     0.70P   43.67R   10.23  
Doncaster         7    6   -4      -3.17    19.25    -3.46    58.60    10.53    -5.00     0.46     1.33     8.83     2.93P   17.68R    2.33  
Blackpool         7    4   -9      -3.96    13.74    -6.48    50.06    10.91   -20.44     0.08     0.22     2.17     0.66P   46.59R   12.38  
Crewe             7    2   -8      -4.63     8.12    -3.03    40.23    10.02   -32.70     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   80.59R   43.96  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         7   16   +6       1.95    69.28    -1.05    91.12    10.89    40.38    59.21    84.27    96.16    88.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth              7   15   +7       3.95    85.80     4.72    77.17    10.29    19.87     9.39    38.83    73.60    48.40P    0.04R    0.01  
Portsmouth            7   15   +7       4.26    87.81     5.22    73.24    10.55    13.99     5.29    25.63    59.11    33.75P    0.28R    0.07  
Wycombe               7   14   +6       2.53    75.90     3.23    75.84    10.56    18.54     7.98    34.20    68.82    43.79P    0.11R    0.03  
Morecambe             7   13   +4       3.16    80.05     3.66    68.53    10.55     6.87     2.24    13.61    41.63    20.05P    0.92R    0.26  
Exeter                7   13   +3       3.03    79.05     2.54    67.60    10.78     4.32     1.87    12.40    38.25    18.10P    1.40R    0.46  
Mansfield             7   12   +6       3.23    81.34     7.11    59.77    10.17    -2.28     0.30     2.88    14.28     5.07P    5.34R    1.94  
Oxford_Utd            7   12   +4       2.06    71.35     3.39    70.02    10.42    10.81     2.95    16.85    47.17    24.48P    0.56R    0.17  
Carlisle              7   12   +0       1.99    69.99    -0.56    59.62    10.81   -11.29     0.42     3.46    15.43     5.60P    6.76R    2.73  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +1       1.53    67.28     2.77    58.98    10.42    -6.13     0.23     2.55    13.28     4.53P    6.98R    2.75  
Northampton           7   10   +0       0.07    50.95    -0.56    62.27    10.49    -2.23     0.56     4.84    21.03     8.38P    3.69R    1.31  
Cambridge_Utd         7    9   -1       0.21    53.09     0.46    56.24    10.39   -11.50     0.11     1.55     8.83     2.85P   10.65R    4.25  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    9   -1       0.35    54.93     0.47    58.04    10.32    -8.00     0.16     2.02    11.39     3.96P    7.75R    3.07  
Hartlepool            7    9   -1       1.11    63.48     1.56    53.12    10.03   -14.99     0.04     0.63     4.67     1.33P   16.57R    7.12  
Bristol_Rovers        7    9   -1       0.22    53.78     0.07    57.72    10.46    -6.53     0.19     2.03    11.28     4.12P    8.10R    3.21  
Stevenage             7    9   -2      -1.22    37.24    -2.77    66.97    10.72     4.77     1.45    11.10    36.32    17.56P    1.40R    0.48  
York                  7    8   -1      -1.29    37.04    -0.62    59.19    10.18    -3.81     0.23     2.45    13.24     4.96P    5.72R    2.14  
Notts_County          6    7   -4      -2.33    25.26    -5.64    69.75    11.71     8.00     4.00    18.87    46.32    27.11P    1.43R    0.52  
Crawley_Town          6    6   -2      -3.21    17.62    -3.50    67.99    11.39     8.72     2.65    14.44    40.82    22.18P    1.60R    0.61  
Luton                 7    5   -2      -4.63    10.35    -2.01    60.48    10.62     0.99     0.42     3.82    17.52     7.57P    5.26R    2.08  
Dag_&_Red             7    5   -6      -2.78    23.01    -3.04    55.09    10.47   -11.52     0.09     1.14     7.33     2.51P   13.20R    5.74  
Yeovil                7    4   -6      -5.71     5.55    -6.19    56.68    11.22    -7.39     0.21     2.19    11.27     4.47P   11.73R    5.33  
Barnet                7    4   -7      -2.90    20.89    -2.42    45.47    10.69   -25.94     0.01     0.16     1.43     0.41P   43.80R   27.09  
Newport_County        7    1  -10      -6.58     1.81    -6.85    44.58    10.09   -25.66     0.01     0.07     0.81     0.24P   46.72R   28.67  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 September 2015, Aldershot 1 0 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     10   27  +13       8.09    97.71     4.79    87.94     9.65    30.87    32.80    85.60    46.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        10   22   +3       6.75    93.70     0.72    74.82     9.70     7.97     3.64    37.81     9.59P    0.10R    0.01  
Cheltenham       10   21  +10       1.57    63.08     1.20    85.82     9.99    34.06    26.55    80.08    43.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking           10   20   +9       3.08    75.86     3.90    78.36     9.82    22.88     7.81    53.99    18.08P    0.04R    0.01  
Wrexham          10   19   +8       3.17    76.60     4.85    74.97     9.71    18.02     3.99    40.00    11.63P    0.12R    0.01  
Eastleigh        10   18   +6       0.99    58.44     0.91    73.03     9.82    14.53     2.94    32.66     9.18P    0.18R    0.02  
Grimsby          10   16   +8      -2.95    24.38    -0.11    79.10     9.63    29.37     9.24    58.36    24.07P    0.02R    0.01  
Tranmere         10   16   +4      -3.05    24.09    -4.26    80.16    10.09    26.92    11.62    61.49    27.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   10   15   +0       0.61    55.98    -1.11    62.80     9.39    -2.03     0.20     6.29     1.38P    2.63R    0.34  
Dover_Athletic   10   14   +1      -0.99    41.31    -0.82    62.20     9.56    -1.08     0.17     6.37     1.25P    3.12R    0.47  
Bromley          10   14   +0       2.75    73.88     4.49    58.61    10.60    -8.57     0.14     4.17     0.77P    9.72R    2.26  
Aldershot        10   14   -1       0.92    59.07     0.10    63.30     9.73    -1.38     0.22     7.58     1.47P    2.83R    0.49  
Barrow           10   14   -6       3.83    82.57     0.12    51.48     9.91   -25.05     0.00     0.72     0.08P   25.43R    7.50  
Lincoln_City     10   13   +1       0.65    56.72     3.36    62.57     9.75     0.50     0.19     6.74     1.29P    3.28R    0.54  
Chester          10   13   -3       2.43    72.69     2.12    57.27     9.50   -11.62     0.05     2.15     0.32P    9.33R    1.86  
Guiseley         10   13   -4       1.58    65.02    -0.38    48.07     9.64   -27.98     0.00     0.31     0.05P   37.47R   13.39  
Macclesfield     10   10   -4      -3.22    22.58    -3.16    61.39     9.50    -0.76     0.14     4.81     1.07P    3.85R    0.62  
Torquay          10   10   -5      -3.34    22.70    -4.30    64.13     9.71     2.00     0.27     8.89     1.95P    2.29R    0.32  
Altrincham       10   10   -7       0.57    57.39    -0.20    50.24     9.21   -22.09     0.00     0.31     0.05P   27.50R    7.98  
Boreham_Wood     10    7   -5      -2.79    27.02     1.58    48.04    10.22   -18.73     0.01     0.40     0.08P   37.02R   14.49  
Welling          10    6   -6      -4.38    13.94    -0.83    47.43     9.25   -18.31     0.00     0.10     0.01P   37.51R   13.34  
Southport        10    6   -8      -3.83    17.53    -1.81    43.88     9.07   -26.32     0.00     0.05     0.00P   53.67R   23.93  
Halifax          10    5   -7      -9.02     1.58    -7.25    51.49     9.64   -12.30     0.00     0.58     0.12P   22.69R    6.51  
Kidderminster    10    5   -7      -6.72     5.16    -3.91    52.06     9.57   -10.91     0.01     0.55     0.09P   21.18R    5.91