Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 16 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 September 2015, West_Ham 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   15  +11       4.41    94.53     5.02    87.30     8.34    56.02    83.89    94.93    98.10    99.28    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         5   11   +4       3.60    87.95     3.20    50.78     8.99    -5.22     0.07     0.93     2.84     5.97    16.23     4.58R    0.57  
Man_Utd           5   10   +3       0.67    57.62    -0.64    68.01     9.05    22.02     4.55    27.28    47.37    63.15    82.53     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal           5   10   +2       0.57    56.16    -1.75    69.31     9.12    23.29     6.14    32.55    53.08    67.98    85.55     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham          5    9   +5       1.93    73.38     4.68    53.05     9.01     3.10     0.10     1.53     4.56     9.27    23.69     2.47R    0.33  
Crystal_Palace    5    9   +2       3.65    89.33     4.42    50.41     8.92    -3.31     0.03     0.72     2.40     5.27    15.34     4.59R    0.68  
Everton           5    8   +3       1.44    69.69     3.42    60.12     9.17    13.13     0.76     7.11    17.00    28.86    52.89     0.47R    0.04  
Swansea           5    8   +2       1.24    67.18     2.18    52.48     9.07     0.76     0.09     1.23     3.93     8.37    21.67     3.04R    0.41  
Norwich           5    7   -1       0.57    58.39    -0.40    42.04     9.35   -18.39     0.01     0.18     0.57     1.28     3.87    24.84R    6.52  
Liverpool         5    7   -3      -0.33    46.45    -3.77    58.55     9.39     6.17     0.63     5.35    13.26    23.17    45.17     0.83R    0.09  
Southampton       5    6   +0      -2.28    22.83    -2.09    54.82     9.09     5.28     0.22     2.48     6.66    12.89    30.07     1.67R    0.18  
Tottenham         5    6   +0      -1.25    34.12    -0.59    54.30     9.19     4.27     0.20     2.18     6.03    11.92    28.47     2.16R    0.30  
Watford           5    6   -1       1.11    66.07     2.29    43.10     9.38   -13.71     0.01     0.14     0.55     1.36     4.60    21.58R    5.57  
West_Brom         5    5   -3       0.01    53.34    -0.18    44.15     8.77   -11.71     0.00     0.11     0.42     1.19     4.56    16.13R    3.70  
Aston_Villa       5    4   -2      -1.48    32.36    -0.04    36.06     8.31   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.55    48.03R   16.73  
Bournemouth       5    4   -3      -1.63    31.69    -0.92    36.54     9.13   -24.99     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.24     1.02    47.02R   18.28  
Chelsea           5    4   -5      -4.55     6.60    -7.48    66.77     9.14    22.22     3.27    23.16    42.70    58.47    78.87     0.07R    0.01  
Stoke             5    2   -4      -3.99     8.33    -2.84    43.35     8.84    -9.40     0.00     0.08     0.36     1.00     3.94    17.97R    4.11  
Sunderland        5    2   -5      -3.65    10.76    -3.30    33.47     8.35   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.25    60.73R   26.92  
Newcastle         5    2   -5      -2.34    21.40    -1.22    37.00     8.70   -21.12     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.17     0.84    43.74R   15.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 September 2015, QPR 2 2 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         7   19   +6       8.59    99.33     4.70    74.42    10.06     9.73     8.46    18.27    55.32    26.18P    0.28R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    7   14   +8       1.60    66.86     3.89    80.61    10.18    27.21    23.74    41.08    78.65    52.94P    0.05R    0.00  
Burnley          7   14   +3       2.40    73.76     0.07    75.60    10.88    15.20    12.47    24.05    60.26    34.15P    0.39R    0.04  
Hull             7   13   +5       1.07    60.71     1.62    78.90    10.84    23.17    20.27    35.44    71.68    46.70P    0.16R    0.01  
Ipswich          7   13   +0       2.75    77.00    -0.96    71.32    10.79     7.43     6.16    13.55    44.31    20.70P    1.05R    0.10  
Cardiff          7   12   +3       2.30    73.55     2.79    66.95    10.36     5.58     2.52     6.26    28.75    11.32P    2.24R    0.27  
Birmingham       6   11   +4       3.00    81.37     4.33    63.77    10.74     0.98     1.56     4.03    20.47     7.15P    4.89R    0.75  
QPR              7   11   +1      -0.47    45.18    -1.91    69.99    11.46     9.34     6.20    12.96    40.55    20.03P    1.86R    0.23  
Nott'm_Forest    7   11   +1       1.00    61.35     0.35    64.72    10.53     1.45     1.66     4.37    22.30     8.23P    3.91R    0.51  
Derby            7   10   +1      -1.43    34.85    -1.71    74.22    10.56    17.44     9.70    20.16    56.25    30.47P    0.47R    0.03  
Reading          7    9   +4      -0.47    45.76     4.16    61.15    10.29     2.45     0.68     2.05    13.75     4.43P    6.80R    1.02  
Charlton         7    9   +1       0.16    52.66     2.06    58.15    10.04    -4.41     0.30     0.90     7.91     2.22P   10.88R    1.71  
Fulham           6    8   +1       0.02    51.61     1.43    58.94    11.02    -5.88     0.69     1.86    11.22     3.64P   11.99R    2.21  
Leeds_United     7    8   +0      -0.50    46.05     1.52    56.56    10.08    -6.40     0.21     0.68     6.11     1.65P   14.33R    2.74  
Wolverhampton    6    7   -2      -1.56    32.91    -2.52    66.74    10.85     5.46     2.88     6.83    28.96    12.40P    2.86R    0.39  
MK_Dons          7    7   -2      -2.10    28.88    -1.29    56.93    11.10    -7.35     0.41     1.31     8.53     2.97P   16.05R    3.41  
Bolton           7    7   -3      -1.30    37.02    -1.24    55.32    10.11    -9.79     0.14     0.46     4.77     1.27P   17.56R    3.56  
Sheff_Wed        7    6   -3      -2.34    26.18    -1.43    54.24     9.97    -9.59     0.11     0.35     3.77     1.03P   19.98R    4.23  
Preston          7    6   -3      -2.35    26.42    -1.40    53.49    10.56   -10.64     0.12     0.41     4.14     1.20P   23.83R    5.29  
Huddersfield     7    6   -4      -1.47    35.37    -0.87    50.70    10.08   -17.18     0.04     0.15     1.92     0.46P   32.68R    9.05  
Brentford        6    5   -3      -2.87    20.78    -2.43    62.45    11.02     0.74     1.21     3.27    17.85     6.74P    6.82R    1.19  
Bristol_City     7    5   -6      -3.26    19.31    -3.84    52.70    11.26   -15.94     0.20     0.62     4.42     1.44P   28.15R    8.08  
Blackburn        7    4   -3      -5.53     6.01    -2.91    57.67    10.33    -2.45     0.29     0.95     8.06     2.65P   12.50R    2.27  
Rotherham        7    2   -9      -4.71     7.34    -4.43    38.04     9.53   -36.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   80.25R   52.89  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 September 2015, Port_Vale 0 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        7   17   +9       6.61    96.45     7.82    77.14    10.85    18.98    16.32    29.16    64.04    37.07P    0.51R    0.01  
Walsall           7   16   +9       4.76    90.16     6.61    75.34    10.46    17.80    12.25    23.38    57.89    31.69P    0.56R    0.02  
Burton_Albion     7   15   +3       5.92    94.20     3.75    65.02    11.02    -1.98     2.31     5.45    22.54     8.91P    7.53R    0.72  
Coventry          7   13   +6       2.62    76.00     4.79    70.03    10.86    11.14     5.57    11.99    38.83    18.17P    2.60R    0.18  
Sheff_Utd         7   12   +1       0.87    58.74    -1.30    74.04    10.63    13.80     9.77    19.73    53.24    28.89P    1.07R    0.05  
Rochdale          7   11   +5       0.74    58.17     4.06    70.00    10.88    13.23     5.68    11.93    39.12    18.71P    2.78R    0.22  
Chesterfield      7   11   +2       0.67    57.65     0.84    72.16    10.78    13.47     7.76    15.76    46.29    23.72P    1.70R    0.10  
Swindon           7   11   +1      -0.84    41.03    -2.45    74.51    10.98    16.49    11.88    22.33    54.96    31.61P    1.07R    0.06  
Bury              7   10   +2       1.24    63.74     3.41    58.77    11.32    -6.10     0.76     2.01    10.92     3.73P   19.19R    2.87  
Wigan             7   10   +0      -1.93    30.16    -3.47    76.09    11.16    18.62    14.84    26.95    60.50    37.94P    0.93R    0.04  
Barnsley          7   10   -1       0.15    52.33    -1.28    67.94    10.80     5.62     3.65     8.27    31.16    13.92P    4.19R    0.37  
Millwall          7   10   -2      -0.23    48.27    -2.96    65.89    11.29     1.62     2.97     6.63    25.62    11.47P    6.75R    0.65  
Fleetwood_Town    7    9   +2      -0.77    42.43     1.69    58.96    10.30    -3.04     0.53     1.45     9.22     3.14P   16.02R    1.84  
Port_Vale         7    9   +1      -0.03    50.66     1.95    60.76    10.69    -1.83     0.84     2.18    12.72     4.37P   13.64R    1.54  
Bradford          7    9   -2      -0.16    49.28    -1.38    61.77    10.52    -2.71     0.95     2.55    14.26     5.28P   11.19R    1.15  
Shrewsbury        7    8   -1      -1.49    35.66    -0.94    60.51    11.06    -1.93     1.09     2.57    13.15     5.14P   14.58R    1.90  
Scunthorpe        7    8   -2      -1.20    38.30    -1.34    55.35    10.48   -11.80     0.22     0.68     5.10     1.49P   27.25R    4.39  
Peterborough      7    7   -1      -3.31    19.18    -2.06    63.92    10.87     4.02     1.72     4.46    20.57     8.52P    8.36R    0.79  
Colchester        7    7   -4      -1.30    37.58    -1.69    52.46    10.76   -17.78     0.16     0.43     3.49     1.05P   38.19R    8.13  
Oldham            7    7   -4      -1.65    33.81    -2.66    53.26    10.25   -14.82     0.10     0.30     3.10     0.86P   34.16R    6.12  
Southend          7    6   -3      -1.75    32.58    -0.50    51.08    10.53   -14.53     0.10     0.28     2.42     0.72P   42.37R    9.66  
Doncaster         7    6   -4      -3.13    19.59    -3.43    58.63    10.48    -4.88     0.47     1.30     8.73     2.98P   17.45R    2.21  
Blackpool         7    4   -9      -3.95    13.79    -6.43    49.98    10.88   -20.60     0.06     0.17     2.04     0.58P   47.15R   12.67  
Crewe             7    2   -8      -4.61     8.30    -3.03    40.20     9.91   -32.79     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   80.77R   44.31  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         7   16   +6       1.96    69.35    -1.02    91.30    10.80    40.61    60.04    84.81    96.57    88.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth              7   15   +7       3.98    86.08     4.78    77.08    10.27    19.66     9.05    38.70    73.41    48.22P    0.07R    0.01  
Portsmouth            7   15   +7       4.22    87.33     5.17    73.23    10.59    14.07     5.06    25.82    59.45    33.96P    0.26R    0.08  
Wycombe               7   14   +6       2.43    74.75     3.10    76.25    10.46    19.13     8.39    35.95    70.20    45.54P    0.11R    0.02  
Morecambe             7   13   +4       3.21    80.50     3.74    68.33    10.65     6.56     2.17    13.52    40.96    19.68P    1.00R    0.31  
Exeter                7   13   +3       2.97    78.51     2.46    67.89    10.71     4.76     1.92    12.86    39.37    18.57P    1.19R    0.38  
Mansfield             7   12   +6       3.22    81.34     7.11    59.61    10.10    -2.52     0.28     2.61    14.23     4.74P    5.40R    2.04  
Oxford_Utd            7   12   +4       2.08    71.65     3.45    69.52    10.34    10.12     2.47    15.82    45.48    23.20P    0.64R    0.20  
Carlisle              7   12   +0       2.10    71.03    -0.37    59.23    10.76   -11.98     0.41     3.27    14.56     5.37P    7.31R    2.88  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +1       1.56    67.42     2.81    58.73    10.28    -6.52     0.24     2.37    12.63     4.37P    6.89R    2.68  
Northampton           7   10   +0       0.02    50.84    -0.62    62.30    10.47    -2.11     0.61     4.85    21.36     8.60P    3.60R    1.32  
Cambridge_Utd         7    9   -1       0.23    53.35     0.47    56.08    10.35   -11.72     0.16     1.46     8.67     2.84P   10.87R    4.28  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    9   -1       0.26    53.72     0.30    58.48    10.29    -7.30     0.21     2.21    12.02     4.25P    7.31R    2.88  
Hartlepool            7    9   -1       1.10    63.38     1.58    53.19     9.94   -14.92     0.05     0.58     4.55     1.28P   16.20R    7.05  
Bristol_Rovers        7    9   -1       0.17    53.17     0.01    57.89    10.48    -6.35     0.21     2.11    11.64     4.29P    8.33R    3.32  
Stevenage             7    9   -2      -1.28    36.57    -2.88    67.20    10.65     5.22     1.52    11.30    37.23    18.01P    1.32R    0.46  
York                  7    8   -1      -1.24    37.71    -0.53    58.91    10.13    -4.13     0.24     2.27    12.65     4.62P    6.12R    2.25  
Notts_County          6    7   -4      -2.32    25.19    -5.63    69.67    11.61     7.81     3.74    18.31    46.44    26.57P    1.41R    0.47  
Crawley_Town          6    6   -2      -3.17    17.85    -3.44    67.93    11.32     8.65     2.53    14.13    40.77    22.32P    1.61R    0.59  
Luton                 7    5   -2      -4.60    10.36    -2.00    60.44    10.50     0.90     0.41     3.58    17.16     7.17P    5.09R    1.99  
Dag_&_Red             7    5   -6      -2.73    23.43    -3.02    55.13    10.47   -11.39     0.08     1.11     7.33     2.39P   13.48R    5.86  
Yeovil                7    4   -6      -5.71     5.68    -6.19    56.78    11.14    -7.21     0.20     2.18    11.29     4.61P   11.51R    5.24  
Barnet                7    4   -7      -2.91    20.58    -2.44    45.56    10.48   -25.65     0.01     0.12     1.29     0.33P   43.53R   26.53  
Newport_County        7    1  -10      -6.57     1.82    -6.83    44.54    10.05   -25.70     0.00     0.06     0.74     0.17P   46.75R   29.17  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 September 2015, Aldershot 1 0 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     10   27  +13       7.97    97.53     4.58    88.25     9.62    31.38    33.62    86.08    46.88P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        10   22   +3       6.75    93.48     0.72    74.70     9.66     7.82     3.50    37.09     9.39P    0.10R    0.01  
Cheltenham       10   21  +10       1.52    62.50     1.10    86.05     9.98    34.47    26.99    80.61    43.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking           10   20   +9       3.09    76.03     3.92    78.25     9.86    22.73     7.47    53.57    17.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham          10   19   +8       3.10    75.80     4.74    75.12     9.64    18.19     3.93    40.51    11.70P    0.08R    0.00  
Eastleigh        10   18   +6       0.92    57.66     0.83    73.16     9.86    14.76     3.12    32.96     9.28P    0.21R    0.01  
Grimsby          10   16   +8      -3.05    23.70    -0.24    79.23     9.54    29.52     9.01    58.93    24.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         10   16   +4      -3.07    23.74    -4.28    80.05     9.97    26.72    10.89    61.22    27.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   10   15   +0       0.62    56.17    -1.11    62.75     9.33    -2.09     0.16     6.10     1.26P    2.47R    0.31  
Dover_Athletic   10   14   +1      -1.04    40.84    -0.88    62.12     9.69    -1.20     0.18     6.18     1.25P    3.29R    0.52  
Bromley          10   14   +0       2.88    74.98     4.69    58.30    10.58    -9.07     0.15     3.99     0.77P    9.88R    2.24  
Aldershot        10   14   -1       0.94    59.27     0.11    63.37     9.63    -1.23     0.28     7.32     1.45P    2.62R    0.41  
Barrow           10   14   -6       3.83    82.34     0.14    51.50    10.00   -25.02     0.01     0.76     0.10P   25.61R    7.74  
Lincoln_City     10   13   +1       0.64    56.72     3.34    62.82     9.82     0.90     0.24     7.07     1.37P    3.23R    0.54  
Chester          10   13   -3       2.53    73.53     2.25    57.13     9.55   -11.87     0.02     1.92     0.21P    9.55R    1.97  
Guiseley         10   13   -4       1.54    64.75    -0.43    48.14     9.67   -27.83     0.00     0.29     0.05P   37.08R   13.17  
Macclesfield     10   10   -4      -3.21    22.71    -3.16    61.52     9.62    -0.61     0.13     5.06     1.10P    3.87R    0.64  
Torquay          10   10   -5      -3.32    22.61    -4.31    64.12     9.68     2.01     0.29     8.53     1.89P    2.18R    0.34  
Altrincham       10   10   -7       0.61    58.05    -0.16    50.34     9.19   -22.01     0.00     0.30     0.03P   26.82R    7.65  
Boreham_Wood     10    7   -5      -2.74    26.91     1.69    47.88    10.06   -19.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   37.12R   14.31  
Welling          10    6   -6      -4.35    14.20    -0.75    47.35     9.32   -18.46     0.00     0.16     0.03P   37.91R   13.44  
Southport        10    6   -8      -3.75    17.87    -1.70    43.83     9.10   -26.42     0.00     0.04     0.00P   53.72R   24.08  
Halifax          10    5   -7      -9.05     1.51    -7.28    51.36     9.71   -12.51     0.01     0.54     0.09P   23.05R    6.69  
Kidderminster    10    5   -7      -6.66     5.26    -3.79    51.89     9.49   -11.19     0.01     0.50     0.09P   21.10R    5.92