Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 15 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 September 2015, West_Ham 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   15  +11       4.42    94.53     5.01    87.16     8.39    55.77    83.31    94.64    97.96    99.14    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         5   11   +4       3.67    88.43     3.31    50.53     9.07    -5.63     0.09     0.98     2.80     5.92    15.83     4.93R    0.67  
Man_Utd           5   10   +3       0.69    58.12    -0.61    68.05     9.00    22.10     4.74    27.02    47.63    62.97    82.82     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal           5   10   +2       0.53    55.89    -1.80    69.61     9.07    23.75     6.61    33.76    54.06    69.08    86.39     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham          5    9   +5       1.95    73.30     4.72    52.94     9.08     2.91     0.13     1.40     4.36     8.98    23.22     2.85R    0.36  
Crystal_Palace    5    9   +2       3.69    89.73     4.48    50.25     8.93    -3.57     0.04     0.74     2.24     5.17    14.80     4.88R    0.69  
Everton           5    8   +3       1.42    69.45     3.42    60.24     9.18    13.31     0.81     7.34    17.50    29.67    53.53     0.46R    0.05  
Swansea           5    8   +2       1.18    66.49     2.07    52.56     9.11     0.90     0.09     1.26     3.90     8.49    21.97     3.08R    0.40  
Norwich           5    7   -1       0.50    57.42    -0.50    42.23     9.31   -17.99     0.00     0.12     0.41     1.13     3.91    24.07R    6.33  
Liverpool         5    7   -3      -0.29    46.97    -3.73    58.47     9.25     6.07     0.59     5.04    12.71    22.53    44.55     0.79R    0.09  
Southampton       5    6   +0      -2.27    22.84    -2.07    54.88     9.02     5.40     0.23     2.37     6.64    12.94    30.10     1.68R    0.20  
Tottenham         5    6   +0      -1.30    33.62    -0.65    54.46     9.26     4.52     0.18     2.35     6.34    12.31    28.99     2.09R    0.28  
Watford           5    6   -1       1.10    65.84     2.29    43.10     9.38   -13.69     0.01     0.14     0.54     1.34     4.63    21.33R    5.69  
West_Brom         5    5   -3       0.02    53.35    -0.16    43.93     8.77   -12.05     0.01     0.11     0.44     1.16     4.29    17.05R    3.75  
Aston_Villa       5    4   -2      -1.52    31.93    -0.07    35.94     8.34   -22.53     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.55    48.85R   17.06  
Bournemouth       5    4   -3      -1.63    31.34    -0.95    36.69     9.22   -24.88     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.29     1.12    46.17R   18.27  
Chelsea           5    4   -5      -4.53     6.43    -7.44    66.65     9.09    21.95     3.15    22.60    41.85    57.62    78.54     0.06R    0.01  
Stoke             5    2   -4      -3.99     8.29    -2.81    43.36     8.81    -9.36     0.00     0.09     0.40     0.98     3.87    17.96R    4.17  
Sunderland        5    2   -5      -3.60    10.87    -3.26    33.51     8.26   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21    60.72R   26.59  
Newcastle         5    2   -5      -2.35    21.07    -1.25    37.23     8.75   -20.84     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.15     0.89    42.96R   15.39  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 September 2015, Birmingham 0 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         7   19   +6       8.64    99.32     4.77    74.16    10.04     9.38     8.25    17.45    54.24    25.23P    0.29R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    7   14   +8       1.60    66.99     3.90    80.56    10.17    27.08    23.87    40.92    78.29    52.71P    0.05R    0.00  
Burnley          7   14   +3       2.41    73.85     0.09    75.42    10.87    14.93    12.08    23.43    59.42    33.26P    0.34R    0.04  
Hull             7   13   +5       1.08    61.15     1.60    79.05    10.74    23.36    20.05    35.63    72.54    47.41P    0.15R    0.01  
Ipswich          7   13   +0       2.78    77.15    -0.91    71.06    10.70     6.98     5.72    12.80    43.06    19.55P    1.03R    0.12  
Cardiff          7   12   +3       2.23    72.86     2.71    67.11    10.37     5.84     2.44     6.47    29.45    11.48P    2.23R    0.27  
Birmingham       6   11   +4       3.00    81.39     4.31    63.82    10.68     1.07     1.58     3.97    20.22     7.15P    4.81R    0.74  
Nott'm_Forest    7   11   +1       1.00    61.37     0.38    64.68    10.58     1.35     1.67     4.33    22.26     8.23P    3.84R    0.54  
QPR              6   10   +1       0.12    51.05    -1.57    71.11    11.72    10.59     7.64    15.41    44.46    22.94P    1.73R    0.22  
Derby            7   10   +1      -1.38    35.34    -1.62    73.99    10.58    17.10     9.46    19.78    55.19    29.95P    0.48R    0.04  
Reading          7    9   +4      -0.48    45.62     4.14    61.19    10.24     2.55     0.63     2.08    13.65     4.48P    6.71R    1.10  
Charlton         7    9   +1       0.18    53.03     2.01    58.25    10.15    -4.13     0.32     0.93     8.30     2.42P   11.04R    1.82  
Fulham           6    8   +1       0.01    51.49     1.43    58.77    10.99    -6.08     0.63     1.80    10.81     3.57P   12.38R    2.50  
Leeds_United     7    8   +0      -0.57    45.19     1.42    56.82    10.05    -6.02     0.19     0.68     6.37     1.75P   13.88R    2.61  
Wolverhampton    6    7   -2      -1.51    33.55    -2.46    66.60    10.88     5.26     2.84     6.79    28.78    12.35P    3.05R    0.41  
MK_Dons          7    7   -2      -2.05    29.51    -1.20    56.54    11.14    -7.99     0.43     1.24     8.02     2.70P   17.09R    3.84  
Bolton           7    7   -3      -1.31    36.83    -1.28    55.23    10.06    -9.89     0.14     0.44     4.60     1.30P   18.00R    3.73  
Sheff_Wed        7    6   -3      -2.28    26.56    -1.36    54.13     9.99    -9.68     0.09     0.36     3.76     1.02P   20.47R    4.43  
Preston          7    6   -3      -2.45    25.58    -1.55    53.98    10.44    -9.87     0.15     0.43     4.27     1.29P   22.17R    4.60  
Huddersfield     7    6   -4      -1.49    35.19    -0.88    50.72    10.16   -17.14     0.04     0.14     1.95     0.47P   32.66R    9.08  
Brentford        6    5   -3      -2.85    20.77    -2.42    62.41    11.03     0.69     1.27     3.36    18.09     6.86P    6.68R    1.23  
Bristol_City     7    5   -6      -3.29    19.40    -3.87    52.99    11.26   -15.47     0.21     0.61     4.59     1.40P   27.20R    8.00  
Blackburn        6    3   -3      -5.34     5.16    -3.23    57.01    10.60    -3.90     0.29     0.95     7.60     2.47P   14.46R    2.95  
Rotherham        7    2   -9      -4.71     7.15    -4.43    38.35     9.58   -36.03     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   79.27R   51.71  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 September 2015, Port_Vale 0 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        7   17   +9       6.59    96.44     7.79    77.18    10.90    19.05    16.58    29.69    64.17    37.35P    0.52R    0.02  
Walsall           7   16   +9       4.76    90.30     6.60    75.10    10.49    17.52    11.85    22.69    57.18    31.24P    0.63R    0.03  
Burton_Albion     7   15   +3       5.89    93.94     3.69    65.26    11.06    -1.62     2.60     5.80    23.12     9.37P    7.18R    0.71  
Coventry          7   13   +6       2.59    75.52     4.76    70.04    10.90    11.15     5.76    12.05    38.99    18.23P    2.71R    0.16  
Sheff_Utd         7   12   +1       0.85    58.62    -1.34    74.21    10.61    13.98     9.95    19.97    53.81    29.09P    1.02R    0.05  
Rochdale          7   11   +5       0.77    58.75     4.08    69.92    10.88    13.10     5.57    11.94    38.83    18.50P    2.72R    0.17  
Chesterfield      7   11   +2       0.70    57.86     0.91    72.09    10.71    13.37     7.24    15.35    46.25    23.37P    1.68R    0.10  
Swindon           7   11   +1      -0.80    41.63    -2.38    74.54    10.91    16.48    11.68    22.24    55.29    31.72P    1.10R    0.07  
Bury              7   10   +2       1.21    63.41     3.36    58.91    11.43    -5.91     0.90     2.23    11.01     3.99P   19.38R    2.97  
Wigan             7   10   +0      -1.94    29.99    -3.50    76.14    11.13    18.70    15.09    27.14    60.81    38.24P    0.81R    0.05  
Barnsley          7   10   -1       0.12    51.63    -1.34    68.22    10.93     6.06     4.03     8.75    32.28    14.54P    4.15R    0.35  
Millwall          7   10   -2      -0.31    47.30    -3.06    65.99    11.28     1.73     3.04     6.86    25.88    11.62P    6.64R    0.67  
Fleetwood_Town    7    9   +2      -0.74    42.82     1.75    58.53    10.45    -3.69     0.46     1.28     8.90     2.91P   17.39R    2.17  
Port_Vale         7    9   +1      -0.01    50.90     1.97    60.83    10.59    -1.72     0.77     2.17    12.74     4.38P   13.01R    1.38  
Bradford          7    9   -2      -0.20    48.59    -1.43    61.84    10.41    -2.62     0.89     2.40    14.02     5.02P   10.73R    1.15  
Shrewsbury        7    8   -1      -1.44    35.99    -0.88    60.28    10.95    -2.30     0.93     2.34    12.23     4.84P   14.91R    1.90  
Scunthorpe        7    8   -2      -1.19    38.53    -1.30    55.58    10.59   -11.51     0.28     0.77     5.44     1.77P   26.55R    4.25  
Peterborough      7    7   -1      -3.27    19.29    -1.98    63.68    10.79     3.63     1.60     4.00    19.53     7.84P    8.45R    0.91  
Colchester        7    7   -4      -1.35    37.12    -1.80    52.77    10.64   -17.22     0.16     0.42     3.36     0.92P   36.63R    7.43  
Oldham            7    7   -4      -1.63    33.80    -2.60    53.12    10.24   -14.99     0.09     0.30     3.13     0.87P   34.54R    6.43  
Southend          7    6   -3      -1.70    33.22    -0.43    50.75    10.49   -14.91     0.06     0.22     2.10     0.58P   43.57R   10.33  
Doncaster         7    6   -4      -3.15    19.19    -3.44    58.52    10.45    -5.04     0.40     1.18     8.54     2.95P   17.73R    2.40  
Blackpool         7    4   -9      -3.91    14.08    -6.39    49.98    11.01   -20.55     0.08     0.22     2.25     0.62P   47.36R   12.93  
Crewe             7    2   -8      -4.63     8.24    -3.05    40.30     9.94   -32.70     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   80.59R   43.38  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         7   16   +6       1.88    68.52    -1.19    91.64    10.72    41.18    61.29    85.85    96.84    89.81P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth              7   15   +7       4.02    86.26     4.84    76.99    10.29    19.56     8.92    38.13    72.97    47.73P    0.06R    0.01  
Portsmouth            7   15   +7       4.20    87.30     5.14    73.30    10.50    14.07     4.99    25.82    59.61    33.88P    0.28R    0.08  
Wycombe               7   14   +6       2.43    74.78     3.08    76.20    10.41    19.04     7.90    35.43    70.31    45.05P    0.10R    0.01  
Morecambe             7   13   +4       3.19    80.35     3.69    68.45    10.56     6.75     2.13    13.44    41.39    19.79P    0.87R    0.25  
Exeter                7   13   +3       3.00    79.05     2.50    67.77    10.65     4.56     1.76    12.51    38.67    18.27P    1.15R    0.39  
Mansfield             7   12   +6       3.26    81.57     7.16    59.48    10.07    -2.72     0.23     2.51    13.98     4.61P    5.55R    2.14  
Oxford_Utd            7   12   +4       2.10    71.90     3.45    69.60    10.33    10.24     2.43    15.71    45.86    23.16P    0.57R    0.15  
Carlisle              7   12   +0       1.98    69.97    -0.54    59.50    10.73   -11.49     0.36     3.36    14.86     5.47P    6.83R    2.67  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +1       1.54    67.25     2.79    58.78    10.44    -6.46     0.25     2.54    13.09     4.62P    7.10R    2.76  
Northampton           7   10   +0       0.03    50.84    -0.62    62.15    10.45    -2.34     0.52     4.76    20.94     8.55P    3.74R    1.38  
Cambridge_Utd         7    9   -1       0.21    53.25     0.45    56.23    10.48   -11.48     0.13     1.57     8.98     2.99P   10.97R    4.67  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    9   -1       0.35    54.58     0.42    58.08    10.30    -7.90     0.18     1.99    11.52     3.95P    7.67R    3.02  
Hartlepool            7    9   -1       1.09    63.07     1.57    53.16    10.03   -14.99     0.03     0.61     4.63     1.31P   16.43R    7.03  
Bristol_Rovers        7    9   -1       0.19    53.09     0.04    57.79    10.31    -6.46     0.16     1.97    11.17     4.00P    7.98R    3.14  
Stevenage             7    9   -2      -1.18    37.64    -2.71    66.85    10.59     4.62     1.48    10.70    35.87    17.21P    1.40R    0.42  
York                  7    8   -1      -1.27    37.25    -0.58    58.90    10.17    -4.23     0.19     2.18    12.93     4.61P    6.10R    2.23  
Notts_County          6    7   -4      -2.37    24.99    -5.70    70.00    11.57     8.39     3.78    19.19    47.39    27.46P    1.24R    0.43  
Crawley_Town          6    6   -2      -3.17    18.11    -3.43    67.96    11.50     8.67     2.60    14.62    40.81    22.56P    1.54R    0.56  
Luton                 7    5   -2      -4.61    10.32    -1.99    60.53    10.49     1.07     0.34     3.65    17.39     7.26P    5.15R    2.06  
Dag_&_Red             7    5   -6      -2.74    23.45    -3.00    55.12    10.49   -11.46     0.08     1.04     7.53     2.47P   13.39R    5.92  
Yeovil                7    4   -6      -5.72     5.66    -6.18    56.90    11.06    -7.04     0.23     2.20    11.25     4.73P   10.94R    4.88  
Barnet                7    4   -7      -2.86    21.16    -2.35    45.43    10.46   -25.96     0.01     0.14     1.25     0.31P   44.29R   27.08  
Newport_County        7    1  -10      -6.58     1.86    -6.84    44.60    10.10   -25.65     0.00     0.07     0.77     0.20P   46.66R   28.70  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 September 2015, Aldershot 1 0 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green     10   27  +13       8.06    97.68     4.78    87.84     9.62    30.74    32.54    85.26    45.58P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        10   22   +3       6.76    93.49     0.74    74.74     9.69     7.85     3.76    37.51     9.64P    0.08R    0.00  
Cheltenham       10   21  +10       1.52    62.69     1.10    85.85     9.92    34.14    26.74    80.31    43.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking           10   20   +9       3.06    75.69     3.90    78.28     9.83    22.78     7.84    53.93    18.13P    0.04R    0.01  
Wrexham          10   19   +8       3.15    76.16     4.83    75.07     9.69    18.14     4.14    40.45    11.80P    0.09R    0.01  
Eastleigh        10   18   +6       0.95    57.84     0.86    72.98     9.74    14.48     2.91    32.60     9.20P    0.17R    0.02  
Grimsby          10   16   +8      -2.95    24.50    -0.06    79.07     9.55    29.27     9.11    58.60    24.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere         10   16   +4      -3.07    23.70    -4.30    80.14    10.01    26.89    11.51    61.84    27.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   10   15   +0       0.65    56.33    -1.08    62.74     9.35    -2.07     0.20     6.19     1.31P    2.61R    0.35  
Dover_Athletic   10   14   +1      -0.98    41.49    -0.77    62.18     9.63    -1.10     0.20     6.26     1.30P    3.28R    0.46  
Bromley          10   14   +0       2.70    73.67     4.36    58.78    10.59    -8.24     0.16     4.40     0.84P    9.20R    2.16  
Aldershot        10   14   -1       0.96    59.56     0.12    63.33     9.59    -1.29     0.23     7.20     1.48P    2.72R    0.39  
Barrow           10   14   -6       3.82    82.17     0.16    51.48    10.00   -25.15     0.01     0.82     0.13P   25.98R    7.83  
Lincoln_City     10   13   +1       0.59    56.39     3.26    62.78     9.88     0.81     0.22     7.18     1.39P    3.28R    0.56  
Chester          10   13   -3       2.50    73.31     2.23    57.06     9.50   -11.98     0.03     1.90     0.29P    9.77R    2.00  
Guiseley         10   13   -4       1.51    64.20    -0.47    48.32     9.73   -27.52     0.00     0.35     0.05P   36.71R   13.12  
Macclesfield     10   10   -4      -3.16    23.18    -3.10    61.33     9.54    -0.83     0.10     4.98     1.06P    3.94R    0.65  
Torquay          10   10   -5      -3.24    23.15    -4.17    63.82     9.68     1.50     0.27     8.20     1.88P    2.36R    0.38  
Altrincham       10   10   -7       0.58    57.58    -0.22    50.47     9.28   -21.76     0.00     0.32     0.04P   27.02R    7.92  
Boreham_Wood     10    7   -5      -2.67    27.72     1.80    47.68    10.07   -19.31     0.00     0.36     0.07P   38.38R   14.95  
Welling          10    6   -6      -4.46    13.52    -0.94    47.71     9.28   -17.88     0.00     0.15     0.02P   36.69R   12.94  
Southport        10    6   -8      -3.86    17.04    -1.86    44.08     9.11   -26.07     0.00     0.05     0.01P   53.17R   23.57  
Halifax          10    5   -7      -9.04     1.54    -7.32    51.46     9.64   -12.31     0.00     0.58     0.13P   22.82R    6.55  
Kidderminster    10    5   -7      -6.66     5.24    -3.83    51.95     9.56   -11.08     0.00     0.56     0.10P   21.60R    6.15