Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 14 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 September 2015, West_Ham 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   15  +11       4.43    94.64     5.02    87.16     8.36    55.86    83.59    94.61    97.97    99.17    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         5   11   +4       3.62    87.98     3.23    50.76     9.11    -5.24     0.08     0.90     2.72     6.03    16.43     4.76R    0.68  
Man_Utd           5   10   +3       0.72    58.60    -0.59    67.96     9.08    21.94     4.90    26.55    46.43    62.31    82.15     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal           5   10   +2       0.52    55.76    -1.84    69.68     9.05    23.83     6.31    33.90    54.71    69.37    86.43     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham          5    9   +5       1.94    73.36     4.69    53.17     8.99     3.30     0.12     1.52     4.53     9.26    23.85     2.36R    0.25  
Crystal_Palace    5    9   +2       3.68    89.62     4.45    50.19     8.92    -3.62     0.05     0.69     2.15     4.98    14.73     4.80R    0.67  
Everton           5    8   +3       1.38    68.81     3.37    60.42     9.26    13.61     0.79     7.58    17.91    30.03    53.96     0.45R    0.04  
Swansea           5    8   +2       1.16    66.00     2.05    52.67     9.10     1.08     0.12     1.31     4.14     8.56    22.08     2.91R    0.37  
Norwich           5    7   -1       0.54    58.09    -0.43    41.91     9.32   -18.58     0.01     0.12     0.39     0.98     3.58    24.87R    6.68  
Liverpool         5    7   -3      -0.32    46.54    -3.75    58.56     9.33     6.17     0.54     5.23    12.95    22.87    45.11     0.84R    0.10  
Southampton       5    6   +0      -2.24    23.41    -2.05    54.76     9.04     5.19     0.16     2.23     6.34    12.44    29.56     1.67R    0.20  
Tottenham         5    6   +0      -1.26    34.45    -0.60    54.20     9.22     4.16     0.20     2.21     5.98    11.73    27.79     2.18R    0.24  
Watford           5    6   -1       1.15    66.68     2.35    42.99     9.48   -13.81     0.00     0.18     0.60     1.44     4.63    21.82R    5.70  
West_Brom         5    5   -3       0.02    53.37    -0.15    43.94     8.73   -11.98     0.00     0.10     0.41     1.14     4.33    16.59R    3.65  
Aston_Villa       5    4   -2      -1.51    32.03    -0.03    36.01     8.42   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.50    48.20R   17.04  
Bournemouth       5    4   -3      -1.64    31.53    -0.98    36.58     9.13   -24.94     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.24     1.11    46.52R   17.84  
Chelsea           5    4   -5      -4.55     6.50    -7.45    66.79     9.11    22.23     3.12    22.77    42.23    58.13    78.96     0.06R    0.00  
Stoke             5    2   -4      -4.00     8.26    -2.84    43.48     8.82    -9.17     0.01     0.10     0.38     1.02     3.89    17.27R    3.95  
Sunderland        5    2   -5      -3.61    10.92    -3.26    33.34     8.23   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.21    61.03R   27.15  
Newcastle         5    2   -5      -2.32    21.37    -1.20    37.05     8.78   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.17     0.83    43.62R   15.42  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 September 2015, Fulham 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         6   16   +5       7.44    98.91     4.42    73.39    10.14     9.53     8.34    17.73    51.39    25.09P    0.35R    0.04  
Cardiff          6   12   +5       3.25    82.51     4.22    69.41    10.58     9.13     4.95    10.86    37.77    16.64P    1.36R    0.14  
Middlesbrough    6   11   +6       0.55    56.34     2.74    78.24    10.48    24.24    19.83    34.67    70.75    46.03P    0.12R    0.01  
Birmingham       5   11   +5       4.30    92.09     5.23    65.85    11.09     2.87     2.99     7.01    26.79    10.86P    3.68R    0.56  
Burnley          6   11   +2       1.28    64.82    -0.18    74.03    11.11    14.33    11.69    22.02    55.00    31.17P    0.64R    0.09  
Hull             6   10   +3      -0.17    47.53     0.11    75.95    11.12    19.38    15.45    27.85    61.77    38.53P    0.37R    0.05  
QPR              6   10   +1       0.11    50.82    -1.62    71.27    11.77    10.75     8.91    17.09    45.09    24.21P    1.70R    0.21  
Ipswich          6   10   -1       1.31    64.94    -1.68    69.53    10.92     6.08     5.53    11.61    38.09    17.87P    1.71R    0.22  
Reading          6    9   +5       0.68    58.45     4.87    63.15    10.55     4.24     1.51     3.95    18.93     7.23P    5.05R    0.72  
Charlton         6    9   +2       1.62    69.58     3.15    60.68    10.35    -1.72     0.77     2.15    12.62     4.24P    7.73R    1.06  
Fulham           6    8   +1      -0.02    50.89     1.37    59.04    10.98    -5.79     0.81     2.05    11.31     3.77P   11.78R    2.26  
Leeds_United     6    8   +1       0.63    59.02     2.24    58.58    10.35    -4.68     0.47     1.32     9.25     2.81P   11.17R    2.00  
Nott'm_Forest    6    8   +0      -0.51    45.20    -0.44    62.34    10.98    -0.84     1.51     3.70    17.65     6.80P    6.92R    1.04  
Derby            6    7   +0      -2.79    20.89    -2.32    72.28    10.99    16.11     9.14    18.09    48.95    27.26P    0.90R    0.08  
MK_Dons          6    7   -1      -1.20    36.88    -0.93    58.06    11.37    -6.78     0.77     1.96    10.42     3.81P   14.37R    3.24  
Wolverhampton    6    7   -2      -1.55    32.89    -2.51    67.11    10.88     5.99     3.35     7.87    30.62    13.82P    2.85R    0.40  
Bolton           6    6   -3      -0.92    40.28    -1.18    55.93    10.39    -9.75     0.26     0.82     5.79     1.83P   17.21R    3.52  
Brentford        5    5   -1      -2.06    26.40    -1.28    64.61    11.19     4.06     2.59     5.99    23.87    10.36P    4.75R    0.72  
Sheff_Wed        6    5   -3      -2.09    27.29    -1.51    54.39    10.26   -10.17     0.17     0.51     4.36     1.22P   20.64R    4.57  
Preston          6    5   -3      -1.96    28.83    -1.35    54.23    10.77   -10.36     0.25     0.73     5.05     1.72P   22.33R    4.95  
Bristol_City     6    4   -6      -2.96    19.66    -3.89    52.69    11.51   -16.88     0.24     0.69     4.80     1.46P   28.99R    8.75  
Blackburn        6    3   -3      -5.40     4.83    -3.30    57.48    10.64    -3.27     0.46     1.23     8.46     2.96P   13.65R    2.86  
Huddersfield     6    3   -5      -3.22    15.35    -1.98    47.75    10.30   -20.36     0.03     0.11     1.17     0.30P   44.55R   15.02  
Rotherham        6    2   -8      -3.89    10.61    -4.20    39.11     9.80   -36.10     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   77.20R   47.48  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Barnsley 4 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        7   17   +9       6.68    96.53     7.93    77.13    10.85    18.97    15.76    28.48    63.27    36.41P    0.50R    0.02  
Walsall           7   16   +9       4.76    90.35     6.60    75.10    10.37    17.49    11.02    21.74    56.70    30.63P    0.54R    0.02  
Burton_Albion     7   15   +3       5.81    93.71     3.58    65.54    11.06    -1.19     2.55     5.77    23.55     9.37P    6.57R    0.57  
Coventry          7   13   +6       2.56    75.41     4.70    70.05    10.86    11.20     5.19    11.35    38.39    17.64P    2.48R    0.13  
Sheff_Utd         6   12   +2       2.63    77.27     0.27    77.12    10.80    17.31    15.40    27.70    63.15    37.48P    0.47R    0.01  
Rochdale          7   11   +5       0.78    58.48     4.12    70.24    10.77    13.62     5.58    11.94    39.31    18.59P    2.31R    0.14  
Chesterfield      7   11   +2       0.64    57.25     0.79    71.95    10.86    13.16     7.18    15.00    44.89    22.54P    1.75R    0.09  
Swindon           7   11   +1      -0.72    42.45    -2.24    74.58    10.92    16.68    11.08    21.44    54.68    30.90P    0.94R    0.04  
Bury              7   10   +2       1.26    64.21     3.45    58.81    11.51    -6.09     0.81     2.16    11.17     3.97P   19.00R    2.71  
Wigan             7   10   +0      -1.89    30.36    -3.43    76.22    10.86    18.80    13.91    25.65    60.59    37.39P    0.66R    0.04  
Barnsley          7   10   -1       0.08    51.25    -1.40    67.91    10.80     5.61     3.55     8.07    30.30    13.25P    3.96R    0.28  
Port_Vale         6    9   +3       1.15    63.60     3.62    63.58    10.95     2.43     1.57     3.96    18.96     6.91P    8.72R    0.81  
Fleetwood_Town    7    9   +2      -0.81    41.87     1.63    58.67    10.36    -3.52     0.39     1.21     8.75     2.70P   16.20R    1.84  
Bradford          7    9   -2      -0.11    49.98    -1.33    61.84    10.38    -2.60     0.82     2.22    13.50     4.72P   10.25R    1.01  
Shrewsbury        7    8   -1      -1.53    35.02    -1.00    60.51    10.93    -1.96     0.93     2.37    12.57     4.83P   13.54R    1.70  
Scunthorpe        7    8   -2      -1.27    37.87    -1.43    55.36    10.49   -11.95     0.23     0.62     4.78     1.46P   26.25R    3.78  
Peterborough      7    7   -1      -3.32    19.14    -2.08    64.16    10.80     4.38     1.68     4.23    20.52     8.39P    7.40R    0.67  
Millwall          6    7   -4      -1.55    33.68    -4.47    62.34    11.43    -3.33     1.56     3.80    16.86     7.12P   11.78R    1.34  
Oldham            7    7   -4      -1.69    33.20    -2.70    53.20    10.26   -14.93     0.09     0.32     3.00     0.85P   33.04R    5.96  
Southend          7    6   -3      -1.71    32.88    -0.45    50.79    10.51   -14.92     0.05     0.18     2.06     0.56P   42.07R    9.67  
Doncaster         7    6   -4      -3.14    19.26    -3.43    58.86    10.46    -4.60     0.49     1.30     8.78     3.02P   16.27R    1.93  
Colchester        6    4   -5      -3.21    17.46    -3.20    48.97    10.70   -21.64     0.07     0.19     1.68     0.44P   49.88R   13.11  
Blackpool         7    4   -9      -4.00    13.62    -6.50    50.56    11.03   -19.67     0.09     0.31     2.43     0.79P   44.09R   10.90  
Crewe             7    2   -8      -4.62     8.17    -3.04    39.87     9.78   -33.25     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   81.31R   43.23  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         7   16   +6       1.94    69.35    -1.07    91.27    10.72    40.63    60.03    85.04    96.63    88.99P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth              7   15   +7       3.94    85.73     4.74    77.22    10.39    19.91     9.48    39.42    73.31    48.80P    0.07R    0.02  
Portsmouth            7   15   +7       4.25    87.66     5.19    73.19    10.54    14.00     5.15    25.39    59.46    33.50P    0.26R    0.07  
Wycombe               7   14   +6       2.45    74.90     3.10    76.26    10.50    19.16     8.29    35.82    70.44    45.58P    0.10R    0.03  
Morecambe             7   13   +4       3.20    80.42     3.72    68.42    10.67     6.72     2.12    13.69    41.54    19.87P    1.06R    0.32  
Exeter                7   13   +3       3.04    79.16     2.56    67.37    10.70     3.93     1.71    11.96    37.76    17.56P    1.39R    0.43  
Mansfield             7   12   +6       3.24    81.59     7.16    59.44    10.06    -2.77     0.23     2.51    13.57     4.50P    5.45R    1.96  
Oxford_Utd            7   12   +4       2.09    71.68     3.43    69.72    10.41    10.37     2.75    15.92    46.39    23.42P    0.56R    0.20  
Carlisle              7   12   +0       2.01    70.18    -0.51    59.34    10.76   -11.74     0.40     3.24    14.79     5.42P    7.32R    2.86  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +1       1.53    67.33     2.74    58.92    10.34    -6.16     0.25     2.42    13.18     4.54P    6.73R    2.56  
Northampton           7   10   +0       0.05    51.17    -0.56    62.22    10.53    -2.31     0.60     4.79    21.30     8.47P    3.81R    1.38  
Cambridge_Utd         7    9   -1       0.20    52.98     0.46    56.22    10.42   -11.52     0.11     1.52     8.90     2.95P   10.96R    4.44  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    9   -1       0.36    54.85     0.43    58.04    10.27    -8.03     0.16     2.04    11.25     3.82P    7.71R    3.11  
Hartlepool            7    9   -1       1.11    63.64     1.59    53.06    10.05   -15.03     0.05     0.61     4.67     1.31P   16.90R    7.55  
Bristol_Rovers        7    9   -1       0.20    53.38     0.03    57.94    10.39    -6.24     0.16     2.18    11.26     4.30P    7.73R    2.89  
Stevenage             7    9   -2      -1.19    37.53    -2.75    66.92    10.64     4.77     1.47    10.87    36.01    17.54P    1.44R    0.45  
York                  7    8   -1      -1.31    36.76    -0.65    59.21    10.20    -3.71     0.21     2.42    13.56     4.92P    5.94R    2.18  
Notts_County          6    7   -4      -2.34    25.17    -5.66    69.86    11.66     8.20     3.73    18.90    47.20    27.53P    1.45R    0.59  
Crawley_Town          6    6   -2      -3.16    18.10    -3.42    67.85    11.40     8.51     2.45    14.31    40.71    22.19P    1.62R    0.63  
Luton                 7    5   -2      -4.65    10.09    -2.02    60.64    10.46     1.24     0.35     3.68    17.66     7.40P    4.85R    1.84  
Dag_&_Red             7    5   -6      -2.76    23.10    -3.01    55.03    10.35   -11.59     0.08     1.01     7.06     2.26P   13.28R    5.94  
Yeovil                7    4   -6      -5.71     5.73    -6.19    56.74    11.09    -7.20     0.19     2.05    11.04     4.52P   11.42R    5.15  
Barnet                7    4   -7      -2.92    20.65    -2.46    45.67    10.65   -25.57     0.02     0.17     1.53     0.43P   43.38R   26.58  
Newport_County        7    1  -10      -6.58     1.83    -6.85    44.64    10.06   -25.55     0.00     0.05     0.78     0.17P   46.58R   28.80  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Braintree_Town 1 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      9   27  +14       9.14    99.46     5.26    89.90     9.96    32.79    39.27    88.04    51.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham           9   19   +9       4.19    84.19     5.32    76.89     9.92    19.81     5.46    46.44    14.13P    0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead         9   19   +2       5.41    89.98     0.17    72.93    10.04     6.54     2.62    30.30     7.66P    0.25R    0.02  
Cheltenham        9   18   +8       0.80    56.36     0.43    83.69    10.26    31.12    18.16    72.55    34.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking            9   17   +8       1.70    65.72     3.31    76.25    10.13    21.10     5.29    44.91    13.97P    0.08R    0.00  
Eastleigh         9   17   +6       1.52    63.40     1.17    73.97    10.05    15.51     3.20    35.39    10.02P    0.17R    0.02  
Grimsby           9   15   +8      -2.39    27.45     0.16    80.47     9.76    30.92    10.52    62.19    26.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere          9   15   +4      -2.34    28.20    -3.63    81.74    10.29    28.59    13.73    65.76    30.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    9   14   +0       0.71    56.98    -1.50    62.73     9.62    -2.78     0.18     6.31     1.22P    2.75R    0.42  
Lincoln_City      9   13   +2       1.97    68.74     4.30    65.23    10.14     3.55     0.46    10.80     2.19P    2.08R    0.29  
Dover_Athletic    9   13   +1      -0.51    45.27    -0.64    62.73     9.89    -0.99     0.20     7.07     1.44P    2.87R    0.42  
Chester           9   12   -3       2.56    75.12     1.78    56.85     9.78   -12.93     0.02     2.03     0.27P    9.94R    2.12  
Bromley           9   11   -1       1.33    64.21     3.66    55.61    10.83   -11.46     0.09     2.51     0.45P   14.76R    4.02  
Aldershot         9   11   -2      -0.23    48.86    -0.19    61.98     9.91    -1.93     0.20     5.74     1.20P    3.67R    0.61  
Barrow            9   11   -7       2.39    74.25    -0.37    48.70    10.32   -28.37     0.00     0.49     0.06P   34.73R   11.98  
Macclesfield      9   10   -2      -2.66    26.01    -2.43    63.11     9.85     1.70     0.23     7.27     1.71P    2.74R    0.43  
Guiseley          9   10   -5       0.13    52.74    -1.10    45.29    10.05   -30.82     0.00     0.21     0.04P   47.64R   19.87  
Torquay           9    9   -5      -3.01    23.75    -4.40    64.15    10.03     1.48     0.32     8.78     1.99P    2.47R    0.35  
Altrincham        9    9   -7       0.75    59.71    -0.43    50.23     9.52   -22.84     0.00     0.35     0.04P   27.08R    7.56  
Boreham_Wood      9    7   -4      -1.43    38.14     2.37    50.60    10.62   -15.42     0.02     0.76     0.14P   27.43R    9.16  
Welling           9    6   -5      -3.45    19.06    -0.46    48.64     9.54   -17.64     0.00     0.22     0.02P   32.23R   10.20  
Halifax           9    5   -6      -7.76     2.53    -6.49    53.66     9.91   -10.07     0.01     1.06     0.17P   16.46R    4.06  
Southport         9    5   -8      -3.88    15.59    -2.48    43.43     9.22   -27.31     0.00     0.04     0.01P   53.65R   23.50  
Kidderminster     9    4   -7      -6.27     5.13    -3.83    52.65     9.82   -10.55     0.00     0.76     0.15P   18.88R    4.97