Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 September 2015, Leicester 3 2 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   15  +11       4.42    94.50     5.05    86.93     8.50    55.29    82.37    94.23    97.81    99.07    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         5   11   +4       3.59    87.80     3.21    50.74     9.14    -5.28     0.10     1.01     2.88     6.15    16.84     4.92R    0.75  
Man_Utd           5   10   +3       0.72    58.48    -0.56    68.14     9.07    22.17     5.18    27.38    48.01    63.74    83.18     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal           5   10   +2       0.53    55.59    -1.84    69.77     9.06    24.03     6.85    34.18    55.13    70.24    87.19     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    5    9   +2       3.70    89.59     4.48    50.28     8.96    -3.52     0.06     0.72     2.30     5.21    15.41     5.05R    0.68  
Everton           5    8   +3       1.43    69.47     3.44    60.22     9.25    13.29     0.82     7.50    17.32    29.37    53.71     0.45R    0.04  
Swansea           5    8   +2       1.22    66.97     2.16    52.49     9.08     0.82     0.10     1.32     3.94     8.40    22.22     3.10R    0.41  
Norwich           5    7   -1       0.62    59.00    -0.33    41.94     9.43   -18.55     0.01     0.14     0.49     1.19     3.99    25.99R    7.02  
Liverpool         5    7   -3      -0.34    46.36    -3.76    58.42     9.28     5.99     0.61     5.00    12.68    22.62    44.57     0.81R    0.11  
West_Ham          4    6   +3       0.77    60.91     3.38    50.83     9.26     0.19     0.06     0.98     3.06     6.59    17.82     5.07R    0.80  
Southampton       5    6   +0      -2.26    23.07    -2.06    54.82     9.00     5.29     0.21     2.37     6.53    12.80    30.20     1.64R    0.20  
Tottenham         5    6   +0      -1.27    33.99    -0.62    54.24     9.30     4.21     0.24     2.19     6.28    12.20    28.54     2.35R    0.32  
Watford           5    6   -1       1.14    66.44     2.30    43.11     9.41   -13.74     0.00     0.17     0.62     1.49     4.76    21.92R    5.80  
West_Brom         5    5   -3       0.02    53.19    -0.16    43.96     8.82   -11.92     0.01     0.14     0.50     1.30     4.57    17.38R    3.86  
Aston_Villa       5    4   -2      -1.50    32.05    -0.06    35.95     8.39   -22.39     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.57    49.56R   17.98  
Bournemouth       5    4   -3      -1.70    30.80    -1.05    36.67     9.26   -24.87     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.34     1.23    47.08R   18.73  
Chelsea           5    4   -5      -4.58     6.44    -7.51    66.68     9.15    22.01     3.38    22.56    41.80    57.76    79.18     0.07R    0.00  
Newcastle         4    2   -3      -1.45    31.13     0.08    39.24     9.02   -17.75     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.34     1.75    35.01R   11.35  
Stoke             5    2   -4      -4.02     8.17    -2.89    43.52     8.87    -9.07     0.01     0.09     0.37     1.07     4.23    18.17R    4.18  
Sunderland        5    2   -5      -3.60    10.75    -3.25    33.46     8.25   -26.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.19    61.34R   27.77  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 September 2015, Fulham 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         6   16   +5       7.45    98.87     4.42    73.17    10.25     9.29     8.33    17.52    50.51    24.86P    0.44R    0.04  
Cardiff          6   12   +5       3.26    82.77     4.25    69.31    10.61     9.04     4.91    10.85    37.66    17.03P    1.46R    0.17  
Middlesbrough    6   11   +6       0.54    56.27     2.72    78.44    10.40    24.51    20.39    35.45    71.43    46.92P    0.10R    0.01  
Birmingham       5   11   +5       4.29    91.97     5.19    66.20    11.01     3.39     3.08     7.00    27.79    10.92P    3.50R    0.50  
Burnley          6   11   +2       1.28    64.58    -0.18    73.86    11.14    14.12    11.50    21.70    53.74    30.52P    0.72R    0.07  
Hull             6   10   +3      -0.12    48.22     0.15    75.81    11.15    19.20    15.18    27.63    61.47    38.20P    0.43R    0.05  
QPR              6   10   +1       0.17    51.63    -1.52    71.08    11.89    10.48     9.04    17.05    44.92    24.09P    1.99R    0.25  
Ipswich          6   10   -1       1.39    65.86    -1.55    69.04    11.11     5.36     5.27    11.12    36.66    17.13P    2.04R    0.28  
Reading          6    9   +5       0.66    58.05     4.85    63.14    10.65     4.22     1.57     4.07    19.31     7.25P    5.23R    0.75  
Charlton         6    9   +2       1.59    69.23     3.13    60.85    10.36    -1.51     0.81     2.12    13.07     4.36P    7.61R    1.13  
Fulham           6    8   +1       0.01    50.99     1.42    58.78    11.07    -6.25     0.78     2.10    11.16     3.87P   12.63R    2.50  
Leeds_United     6    8   +1       0.68    59.80     2.33    58.51    10.38    -4.81     0.43     1.31     9.21     2.89P   11.34R    1.99  
Nott'm_Forest    6    8   +0      -0.55    44.69    -0.49    62.45    10.85    -0.67     1.51     3.72    17.70     6.85P    6.49R    1.01  
Derby            6    7   +0      -2.78    20.79    -2.34    72.51    10.94    16.42     9.29    18.49    50.16    27.73P    0.91R    0.10  
MK_Dons          6    7   -1      -1.20    36.91    -0.96    58.27    11.37    -6.39     0.76     2.06    10.98     4.04P   14.00R    2.97  
Wolverhampton    6    7   -2      -1.50    33.71    -2.44    66.80    10.94     5.51     3.31     7.82    29.86    13.33P    3.08R    0.44  
Bolton           6    6   -3      -0.93    40.25    -1.19    56.11    10.43    -9.47     0.23     0.78     6.11     1.85P   16.64R    3.63  
Brentford        5    5   -1      -2.06    26.41    -1.31    64.65    11.23     4.06     2.52     5.91    24.25    10.32P    5.01R    0.81  
Sheff_Wed        6    5   -3      -2.07    27.17    -1.50    54.23    10.22   -10.37     0.14     0.47     4.05     1.21P   21.05R    4.79  
Preston          6    5   -3      -2.04    28.35    -1.44    54.43    10.91   -10.04     0.23     0.72     5.32     1.68P   22.08R    5.00  
Bristol_City     6    4   -6      -2.97    19.51    -3.90    52.70    11.63   -16.83     0.29     0.77     5.03     1.72P   29.40R    9.16  
Blackburn        6    3   -3      -5.41     4.83    -3.33    57.44    10.59    -3.41     0.40     1.23     8.36     2.98P   13.65R    2.83  
Huddersfield     6    3   -5      -3.28    15.01    -2.08    47.95    10.24   -19.97     0.02     0.08     1.13     0.24P   43.53R   14.39  
Rotherham        6    2   -8      -3.94    10.04    -4.25    39.24     9.76   -35.87     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   76.68R   47.15  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Barnsley 4 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        7   17   +9       6.72    96.79     7.99    76.85    10.85    18.57    15.19    27.73    62.60    35.66P    0.57R    0.02  
Walsall           7   16   +9       4.70    89.83     6.49    75.41    10.41    17.93    11.43    22.23    57.61    30.99P    0.50R    0.01  
Burton_Albion     7   15   +3       5.88    93.96     3.69    65.10    10.93    -1.86     2.23     5.11    22.06     8.39P    6.82R    0.58  
Coventry          7   13   +6       2.55    75.23     4.69    70.29    10.77    11.46     5.33    11.68    39.17    17.89P    2.36R    0.12  
Sheff_Utd         6   12   +2       2.59    76.77     0.25    77.10    10.78    17.33    15.33    28.09    63.54    37.96P    0.49R    0.02  
Rochdale          7   11   +5       0.85    59.45     4.19    69.87    10.78    13.01     5.13    11.09    38.09    17.83P    2.52R    0.16  
Chesterfield      7   11   +2       0.59    56.79     0.72    72.09    10.76    13.41     7.14    14.83    45.70    22.65P    1.69R    0.13  
Swindon           7   11   +1      -0.76    41.99    -2.31    74.76    10.92    16.89    11.72    22.45    55.58    32.08P    1.01R    0.05  
Bury              7   10   +2       1.35    64.75     3.57    58.60    11.45    -6.36     0.79     2.01    10.60     3.69P   19.47R    2.89  
Wigan             7   10   +0      -1.87    30.34    -3.42    76.27    11.06    18.91    14.34    26.38    60.84    37.79P    0.75R    0.02  
Barnsley          7   10   -1       0.10    51.51    -1.35    67.66    10.75     5.24     3.29     7.51    29.64    12.86P    3.99R    0.33  
Port_Vale         6    9   +3       1.11    63.22     3.57    63.69    10.89     2.62     1.66     4.11    19.00     7.15P    8.16R    0.74  
Fleetwood_Town    7    9   +2      -0.78    42.25     1.67    58.51    10.42    -3.76     0.48     1.21     8.58     2.79P   16.52R    2.06  
Bradford          7    9   -2      -0.11    49.67    -1.30    61.78    10.28    -2.69     0.83     2.31    13.20     4.79P   10.05R    0.92  
Shrewsbury        7    8   -1      -1.53    34.94    -1.01    60.75    11.00    -1.60     0.97     2.50    13.10     5.07P   13.40R    1.61  
Scunthorpe        7    8   -2      -1.32    37.32    -1.50    55.41    10.51   -11.80     0.19     0.68     5.10     1.50P   26.38R    3.98  
Peterborough      7    7   -1      -3.35    18.70    -2.12    64.06    10.83     4.24     1.67     4.29    20.21     8.32P    7.69R    0.72  
Millwall          6    7   -4      -1.53    33.71    -4.46    62.39    11.53    -3.30     1.56     3.70    17.35     7.00P   11.91R    1.48  
Oldham            7    7   -4      -1.70    33.04    -2.75    53.23    10.18   -14.84     0.11     0.31     3.01     0.87P   33.09R    5.88  
Southend          7    6   -3      -1.67    33.48    -0.40    50.70    10.58   -15.05     0.09     0.25     2.28     0.64P   42.97R    9.68  
Doncaster         7    6   -4      -3.12    19.27    -3.37    58.80    10.37    -4.67     0.40     1.11     8.62     2.92P   16.35R    2.03  
Colchester        6    4   -5      -3.21    17.48    -3.18    49.22    10.75   -21.26     0.06     0.19     1.76     0.50P   48.81R   13.14  
Blackpool         7    4   -9      -3.99    13.71    -6.50    50.38    10.96   -19.87     0.06     0.22     2.24     0.65P   44.70R   11.59  
Crewe             7    2   -8      -4.69     7.60    -3.13    40.32     9.84   -32.55     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   79.82R   41.84  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         7   16   +6       1.97    69.55    -1.03    91.27    10.65    40.55    60.05    85.13    96.68    89.23P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth              7   15   +7       3.97    86.26     4.78    77.08    10.30    19.73     9.00    38.13    73.46    47.93P    0.07R    0.02  
Portsmouth            7   15   +7       4.26    87.71     5.22    73.18    10.66    13.89     5.29    25.64    58.93    33.63P    0.30R    0.10  
Wycombe               7   14   +6       2.45    74.88     3.12    76.27    10.38    19.22     8.25    35.95    70.60    45.74P    0.09R    0.03  
Morecambe             7   13   +4       3.16    80.04     3.67    68.50    10.55     6.77     2.15    13.78    41.76    20.01P    0.95R    0.32  
Exeter                7   13   +3       2.98    78.84     2.47    67.87    10.59     4.73     1.83    12.88    39.23    18.67P    1.07R    0.35  
Mansfield             7   12   +6       3.21    81.45     7.10    59.59    10.11    -2.55     0.26     2.78    14.08     4.95P    5.50R    2.12  
Oxford_Utd            7   12   +4       2.09    71.53     3.44    69.54    10.37    10.21     2.58    15.76    45.78    23.16P    0.65R    0.20  
Carlisle              7   12   +0       2.05    70.67    -0.47    59.42    10.69   -11.62     0.32     3.07    15.00     5.33P    6.98R    2.68  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +1       1.57    67.59     2.80    58.81    10.48    -6.38     0.29     2.61    13.29     4.66P    7.13R    2.81  
Northampton           7   10   +0       0.07    51.35    -0.56    62.16    10.57    -2.31     0.64     5.07    21.07     8.70P    3.88R    1.36  
Cambridge_Utd         7    9   -1       0.26    53.84     0.54    56.09    10.36   -11.78     0.12     1.51     8.72     2.86P   10.97R    4.47  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    9   -1       0.28    54.15     0.34    58.34    10.28    -7.53     0.19     2.09    11.86     3.99P    7.57R    3.06  
Hartlepool            7    9   -1       1.13    63.54     1.64    53.00     9.89   -15.21     0.05     0.51     4.34     1.17P   16.87R    7.25  
Bristol_Rovers        7    9   -1       0.17    53.07     0.03    57.75    10.49    -6.47     0.18     2.05    11.34     4.08P    8.44R    3.45  
Stevenage             7    9   -2      -1.17    37.74    -2.72    66.75    10.69     4.45     1.49    10.75    35.63    17.35P    1.60R    0.50  
York                  7    8   -1      -1.31    36.93    -0.64    59.29    10.15    -3.70     0.24     2.43    13.67     5.07P    5.75R    2.07  
Notts_County          6    7   -4      -2.32    25.43    -5.63    69.59    11.61     7.75     3.64    18.33    46.10    26.50P    1.32R    0.49  
Crawley_Town          6    6   -2      -3.18    17.99    -3.45    67.83    11.41     8.53     2.70    14.40    40.15    21.99P    1.69R    0.58  
Luton                 7    5   -2      -4.66    10.03    -2.06    60.54    10.49     1.10     0.41     3.55    17.57     7.09P    5.00R    1.85  
Dag_&_Red             7    5   -6      -2.78    22.76    -3.04    55.23    10.31   -11.34     0.07     1.06     7.23     2.40P   12.76R    5.54  
Yeovil                7    4   -6      -5.71     5.69    -6.17    56.79    11.13    -7.21     0.24     2.25    11.14     4.74P   11.43R    5.25  
Barnet                7    4   -7      -2.94    20.62    -2.52    45.90    10.60   -25.24     0.00     0.17     1.53     0.46P   43.08R   26.28  
Newport_County        7    1  -10      -6.59     1.84    -6.86    44.64    10.15   -25.60     0.00     0.08     0.84     0.26P   46.92R   29.21  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Braintree_Town 1 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      9   27  +14       9.17    99.47     5.32    89.70     9.96    32.50    38.31    87.64    50.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham           9   19   +9       4.19    84.30     5.33    76.83    10.00    19.70     5.30    46.14    14.07P    0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead         9   19   +2       5.40    90.08     0.15    72.82    10.02     6.36     2.46    29.87     7.29P    0.22R    0.01  
Cheltenham        9   18   +8       0.66    55.11     0.23    84.30    10.26    32.05    20.05    74.36    36.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking            9   17   +8       1.69    65.88     3.31    76.39    10.18    21.32     5.46    45.09    14.19P    0.06R    0.01  
Eastleigh         9   17   +6       1.49    62.90     1.11    74.15    10.05    15.81     3.37    36.06    10.22P    0.18R    0.01  
Grimsby           9   15   +8      -2.35    27.72     0.21    80.30     9.80    30.67    10.05    61.44    25.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere          9   15   +4      -2.34    27.90    -3.68    81.71    10.14    28.67    13.35    65.68    30.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    9   14   +0       0.70    57.20    -1.50    62.78     9.61    -2.72     0.20     6.25     1.31P    2.57R    0.33  
Lincoln_City      9   13   +2       1.96    68.68     4.27    65.34    10.16     3.71     0.42    11.00     2.21P    2.09R    0.30  
Dover_Athletic    9   13   +1      -0.53    44.98    -0.69    62.80     9.93    -0.88     0.26     7.17     1.58P    2.90R    0.39  
Chester           9   12   -3       2.57    75.06     1.80    57.03     9.83   -12.67     0.04     2.16     0.31P    9.78R    1.92  
Bromley           9   11   -1       1.32    63.83     3.63    55.73    10.80   -11.28     0.07     2.45     0.53P   14.56R    3.80  
Aldershot         9   11   -2      -0.22    48.83    -0.17    62.19     9.96    -1.65     0.19     6.08     1.20P    3.64R    0.61  
Barrow            9   11   -7       2.35    73.94    -0.47    48.89    10.30   -28.01     0.00     0.54     0.08P   34.03R   11.39  
Macclesfield      9   10   -2      -2.61    26.42    -2.32    62.78     9.83     1.27     0.19     6.59     1.54P    2.79R    0.44  
Guiseley          9   10   -5       0.09    52.38    -1.15    45.31     9.97   -30.82     0.00     0.16     0.02P   47.25R   19.84  
Torquay           9    9   -5      -2.98    23.82    -4.37    63.92     9.97     1.13     0.25     8.25     1.76P    2.49R    0.38  
Altrincham        9    9   -7       0.78    59.92    -0.39    50.14     9.47   -22.94     0.00     0.31     0.04P   27.11R    7.67  
Boreham_Wood      9    7   -4      -1.50    37.41     2.29    50.75    10.55   -15.21     0.01     0.77     0.13P   26.66R    8.80  
Welling           9    6   -5      -3.44    19.02    -0.39    48.48     9.54   -17.88     0.00     0.22     0.03P   32.20R   10.27  
Halifax           9    5   -6      -7.74     2.57    -6.43    53.62     9.91   -10.05     0.01     1.06     0.21P   16.39R    4.11  
Southport         9    5   -8      -3.81    16.27    -2.36    43.17     9.26   -27.92     0.00     0.04     0.00P   54.92R   24.42  
Kidderminster     9    4   -7      -6.20     5.18    -3.73    52.22     9.82   -11.17     0.02     0.65     0.11P   20.02R    5.28