Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 13 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 September 2015, Leicester 3 2 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 5 15 +11 4.42 94.50 5.05 86.93 8.50 55.29 82.37 94.23 97.81 99.07 99.83 0.00 0.00 Leicester 5 11 +4 3.59 87.80 3.21 50.74 9.14 -5.28 0.10 1.01 2.88 6.15 16.84 4.92R 0.75 Man_Utd 5 10 +3 0.72 58.48 -0.56 68.14 9.07 22.17 5.18 27.38 48.01 63.74 83.18 0.04R 0.00 Arsenal 5 10 +2 0.53 55.59 -1.84 69.77 9.06 24.03 6.85 34.18 55.13 70.24 87.19 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 5 9 +2 3.70 89.59 4.48 50.28 8.96 -3.52 0.06 0.72 2.30 5.21 15.41 5.05R 0.68 Everton 5 8 +3 1.43 69.47 3.44 60.22 9.25 13.29 0.82 7.50 17.32 29.37 53.71 0.45R 0.04 Swansea 5 8 +2 1.22 66.97 2.16 52.49 9.08 0.82 0.10 1.32 3.94 8.40 22.22 3.10R 0.41 Norwich 5 7 -1 0.62 59.00 -0.33 41.94 9.43 -18.55 0.01 0.14 0.49 1.19 3.99 25.99R 7.02 Liverpool 5 7 -3 -0.34 46.36 -3.76 58.42 9.28 5.99 0.61 5.00 12.68 22.62 44.57 0.81R 0.11 West_Ham 4 6 +3 0.77 60.91 3.38 50.83 9.26 0.19 0.06 0.98 3.06 6.59 17.82 5.07R 0.80 Southampton 5 6 +0 -2.26 23.07 -2.06 54.82 9.00 5.29 0.21 2.37 6.53 12.80 30.20 1.64R 0.20 Tottenham 5 6 +0 -1.27 33.99 -0.62 54.24 9.30 4.21 0.24 2.19 6.28 12.20 28.54 2.35R 0.32 Watford 5 6 -1 1.14 66.44 2.30 43.11 9.41 -13.74 0.00 0.17 0.62 1.49 4.76 21.92R 5.80 West_Brom 5 5 -3 0.02 53.19 -0.16 43.96 8.82 -11.92 0.01 0.14 0.50 1.30 4.57 17.38R 3.86 Aston_Villa 5 4 -2 -1.50 32.05 -0.06 35.95 8.39 -22.39 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.57 49.56R 17.98 Bournemouth 5 4 -3 -1.70 30.80 -1.05 36.67 9.26 -24.87 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.34 1.23 47.08R 18.73 Chelsea 5 4 -5 -4.58 6.44 -7.51 66.68 9.15 22.01 3.38 22.56 41.80 57.76 79.18 0.07R 0.00 Newcastle 4 2 -3 -1.45 31.13 0.08 39.24 9.02 -17.75 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.34 1.75 35.01R 11.35 Stoke 5 2 -4 -4.02 8.17 -2.89 43.52 8.87 -9.07 0.01 0.09 0.37 1.07 4.23 18.17R 4.18 Sunderland 5 2 -5 -3.60 10.75 -3.25 33.46 8.25 -26.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.19 61.34R 27.77Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 September 2015, Fulham 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 6 16 +5 7.45 98.87 4.42 73.17 10.25 9.29 8.33 17.52 50.51 24.86P 0.44R 0.04 Cardiff 6 12 +5 3.26 82.77 4.25 69.31 10.61 9.04 4.91 10.85 37.66 17.03P 1.46R 0.17 Middlesbrough 6 11 +6 0.54 56.27 2.72 78.44 10.40 24.51 20.39 35.45 71.43 46.92P 0.10R 0.01 Birmingham 5 11 +5 4.29 91.97 5.19 66.20 11.01 3.39 3.08 7.00 27.79 10.92P 3.50R 0.50 Burnley 6 11 +2 1.28 64.58 -0.18 73.86 11.14 14.12 11.50 21.70 53.74 30.52P 0.72R 0.07 Hull 6 10 +3 -0.12 48.22 0.15 75.81 11.15 19.20 15.18 27.63 61.47 38.20P 0.43R 0.05 QPR 6 10 +1 0.17 51.63 -1.52 71.08 11.89 10.48 9.04 17.05 44.92 24.09P 1.99R 0.25 Ipswich 6 10 -1 1.39 65.86 -1.55 69.04 11.11 5.36 5.27 11.12 36.66 17.13P 2.04R 0.28 Reading 6 9 +5 0.66 58.05 4.85 63.14 10.65 4.22 1.57 4.07 19.31 7.25P 5.23R 0.75 Charlton 6 9 +2 1.59 69.23 3.13 60.85 10.36 -1.51 0.81 2.12 13.07 4.36P 7.61R 1.13 Fulham 6 8 +1 0.01 50.99 1.42 58.78 11.07 -6.25 0.78 2.10 11.16 3.87P 12.63R 2.50 Leeds_United 6 8 +1 0.68 59.80 2.33 58.51 10.38 -4.81 0.43 1.31 9.21 2.89P 11.34R 1.99 Nott'm_Forest 6 8 +0 -0.55 44.69 -0.49 62.45 10.85 -0.67 1.51 3.72 17.70 6.85P 6.49R 1.01 Derby 6 7 +0 -2.78 20.79 -2.34 72.51 10.94 16.42 9.29 18.49 50.16 27.73P 0.91R 0.10 MK_Dons 6 7 -1 -1.20 36.91 -0.96 58.27 11.37 -6.39 0.76 2.06 10.98 4.04P 14.00R 2.97 Wolverhampton 6 7 -2 -1.50 33.71 -2.44 66.80 10.94 5.51 3.31 7.82 29.86 13.33P 3.08R 0.44 Bolton 6 6 -3 -0.93 40.25 -1.19 56.11 10.43 -9.47 0.23 0.78 6.11 1.85P 16.64R 3.63 Brentford 5 5 -1 -2.06 26.41 -1.31 64.65 11.23 4.06 2.52 5.91 24.25 10.32P 5.01R 0.81 Sheff_Wed 6 5 -3 -2.07 27.17 -1.50 54.23 10.22 -10.37 0.14 0.47 4.05 1.21P 21.05R 4.79 Preston 6 5 -3 -2.04 28.35 -1.44 54.43 10.91 -10.04 0.23 0.72 5.32 1.68P 22.08R 5.00 Bristol_City 6 4 -6 -2.97 19.51 -3.90 52.70 11.63 -16.83 0.29 0.77 5.03 1.72P 29.40R 9.16 Blackburn 6 3 -3 -5.41 4.83 -3.33 57.44 10.59 -3.41 0.40 1.23 8.36 2.98P 13.65R 2.83 Huddersfield 6 3 -5 -3.28 15.01 -2.08 47.95 10.24 -19.97 0.02 0.08 1.13 0.24P 43.53R 14.39 Rotherham 6 2 -8 -3.94 10.04 -4.25 39.24 9.76 -35.87 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 76.68R 47.15League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Barnsley 4 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 7 17 +9 6.72 96.79 7.99 76.85 10.85 18.57 15.19 27.73 62.60 35.66P 0.57R 0.02 Walsall 7 16 +9 4.70 89.83 6.49 75.41 10.41 17.93 11.43 22.23 57.61 30.99P 0.50R 0.01 Burton_Albion 7 15 +3 5.88 93.96 3.69 65.10 10.93 -1.86 2.23 5.11 22.06 8.39P 6.82R 0.58 Coventry 7 13 +6 2.55 75.23 4.69 70.29 10.77 11.46 5.33 11.68 39.17 17.89P 2.36R 0.12 Sheff_Utd 6 12 +2 2.59 76.77 0.25 77.10 10.78 17.33 15.33 28.09 63.54 37.96P 0.49R 0.02 Rochdale 7 11 +5 0.85 59.45 4.19 69.87 10.78 13.01 5.13 11.09 38.09 17.83P 2.52R 0.16 Chesterfield 7 11 +2 0.59 56.79 0.72 72.09 10.76 13.41 7.14 14.83 45.70 22.65P 1.69R 0.13 Swindon 7 11 +1 -0.76 41.99 -2.31 74.76 10.92 16.89 11.72 22.45 55.58 32.08P 1.01R 0.05 Bury 7 10 +2 1.35 64.75 3.57 58.60 11.45 -6.36 0.79 2.01 10.60 3.69P 19.47R 2.89 Wigan 7 10 +0 -1.87 30.34 -3.42 76.27 11.06 18.91 14.34 26.38 60.84 37.79P 0.75R 0.02 Barnsley 7 10 -1 0.10 51.51 -1.35 67.66 10.75 5.24 3.29 7.51 29.64 12.86P 3.99R 0.33 Port_Vale 6 9 +3 1.11 63.22 3.57 63.69 10.89 2.62 1.66 4.11 19.00 7.15P 8.16R 0.74 Fleetwood_Town 7 9 +2 -0.78 42.25 1.67 58.51 10.42 -3.76 0.48 1.21 8.58 2.79P 16.52R 2.06 Bradford 7 9 -2 -0.11 49.67 -1.30 61.78 10.28 -2.69 0.83 2.31 13.20 4.79P 10.05R 0.92 Shrewsbury 7 8 -1 -1.53 34.94 -1.01 60.75 11.00 -1.60 0.97 2.50 13.10 5.07P 13.40R 1.61 Scunthorpe 7 8 -2 -1.32 37.32 -1.50 55.41 10.51 -11.80 0.19 0.68 5.10 1.50P 26.38R 3.98 Peterborough 7 7 -1 -3.35 18.70 -2.12 64.06 10.83 4.24 1.67 4.29 20.21 8.32P 7.69R 0.72 Millwall 6 7 -4 -1.53 33.71 -4.46 62.39 11.53 -3.30 1.56 3.70 17.35 7.00P 11.91R 1.48 Oldham 7 7 -4 -1.70 33.04 -2.75 53.23 10.18 -14.84 0.11 0.31 3.01 0.87P 33.09R 5.88 Southend 7 6 -3 -1.67 33.48 -0.40 50.70 10.58 -15.05 0.09 0.25 2.28 0.64P 42.97R 9.68 Doncaster 7 6 -4 -3.12 19.27 -3.37 58.80 10.37 -4.67 0.40 1.11 8.62 2.92P 16.35R 2.03 Colchester 6 4 -5 -3.21 17.48 -3.18 49.22 10.75 -21.26 0.06 0.19 1.76 0.50P 48.81R 13.14 Blackpool 7 4 -9 -3.99 13.71 -6.50 50.38 10.96 -19.87 0.06 0.22 2.24 0.65P 44.70R 11.59 Crewe 7 2 -8 -4.69 7.60 -3.13 40.32 9.84 -32.55 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.03P 79.82R 41.84League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 7 16 +6 1.97 69.55 -1.03 91.27 10.65 40.55 60.05 85.13 96.68 89.23P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 7 15 +7 3.97 86.26 4.78 77.08 10.30 19.73 9.00 38.13 73.46 47.93P 0.07R 0.02 Portsmouth 7 15 +7 4.26 87.71 5.22 73.18 10.66 13.89 5.29 25.64 58.93 33.63P 0.30R 0.10 Wycombe 7 14 +6 2.45 74.88 3.12 76.27 10.38 19.22 8.25 35.95 70.60 45.74P 0.09R 0.03 Morecambe 7 13 +4 3.16 80.04 3.67 68.50 10.55 6.77 2.15 13.78 41.76 20.01P 0.95R 0.32 Exeter 7 13 +3 2.98 78.84 2.47 67.87 10.59 4.73 1.83 12.88 39.23 18.67P 1.07R 0.35 Mansfield 7 12 +6 3.21 81.45 7.10 59.59 10.11 -2.55 0.26 2.78 14.08 4.95P 5.50R 2.12 Oxford_Utd 7 12 +4 2.09 71.53 3.44 69.54 10.37 10.21 2.58 15.76 45.78 23.16P 0.65R 0.20 Carlisle 7 12 +0 2.05 70.67 -0.47 59.42 10.69 -11.62 0.32 3.07 15.00 5.33P 6.98R 2.68 Accrington_Stanley 7 10 +1 1.57 67.59 2.80 58.81 10.48 -6.38 0.29 2.61 13.29 4.66P 7.13R 2.81 Northampton 7 10 +0 0.07 51.35 -0.56 62.16 10.57 -2.31 0.64 5.07 21.07 8.70P 3.88R 1.36 Cambridge_Utd 7 9 -1 0.26 53.84 0.54 56.09 10.36 -11.78 0.12 1.51 8.72 2.86P 10.97R 4.47 AFC_Wimbledon 7 9 -1 0.28 54.15 0.34 58.34 10.28 -7.53 0.19 2.09 11.86 3.99P 7.57R 3.06 Hartlepool 7 9 -1 1.13 63.54 1.64 53.00 9.89 -15.21 0.05 0.51 4.34 1.17P 16.87R 7.25 Bristol_Rovers 7 9 -1 0.17 53.07 0.03 57.75 10.49 -6.47 0.18 2.05 11.34 4.08P 8.44R 3.45 Stevenage 7 9 -2 -1.17 37.74 -2.72 66.75 10.69 4.45 1.49 10.75 35.63 17.35P 1.60R 0.50 York 7 8 -1 -1.31 36.93 -0.64 59.29 10.15 -3.70 0.24 2.43 13.67 5.07P 5.75R 2.07 Notts_County 6 7 -4 -2.32 25.43 -5.63 69.59 11.61 7.75 3.64 18.33 46.10 26.50P 1.32R 0.49 Crawley_Town 6 6 -2 -3.18 17.99 -3.45 67.83 11.41 8.53 2.70 14.40 40.15 21.99P 1.69R 0.58 Luton 7 5 -2 -4.66 10.03 -2.06 60.54 10.49 1.10 0.41 3.55 17.57 7.09P 5.00R 1.85 Dag_&_Red 7 5 -6 -2.78 22.76 -3.04 55.23 10.31 -11.34 0.07 1.06 7.23 2.40P 12.76R 5.54 Yeovil 7 4 -6 -5.71 5.69 -6.17 56.79 11.13 -7.21 0.24 2.25 11.14 4.74P 11.43R 5.25 Barnet 7 4 -7 -2.94 20.62 -2.52 45.90 10.60 -25.24 0.00 0.17 1.53 0.46P 43.08R 26.28 Newport_County 7 1 -10 -6.59 1.84 -6.86 44.64 10.15 -25.60 0.00 0.08 0.84 0.26P 46.92R 29.21National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Braintree_Town 1 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 9 27 +14 9.17 99.47 5.32 89.70 9.96 32.50 38.31 87.64 50.38P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 9 19 +9 4.19 84.30 5.33 76.83 10.00 19.70 5.30 46.14 14.07P 0.06R 0.00 Gateshead 9 19 +2 5.40 90.08 0.15 72.82 10.02 6.36 2.46 29.87 7.29P 0.22R 0.01 Cheltenham 9 18 +8 0.66 55.11 0.23 84.30 10.26 32.05 20.05 74.36 36.81P 0.01R 0.00 Woking 9 17 +8 1.69 65.88 3.31 76.39 10.18 21.32 5.46 45.09 14.19P 0.06R 0.01 Eastleigh 9 17 +6 1.49 62.90 1.11 74.15 10.05 15.81 3.37 36.06 10.22P 0.18R 0.01 Grimsby 9 15 +8 -2.35 27.72 0.21 80.30 9.80 30.67 10.05 61.44 25.63P 0.03R 0.00 Tranmere 9 15 +4 -2.34 27.90 -3.68 81.71 10.14 28.67 13.35 65.68 30.33P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 9 14 +0 0.70 57.20 -1.50 62.78 9.61 -2.72 0.20 6.25 1.31P 2.57R 0.33 Lincoln_City 9 13 +2 1.96 68.68 4.27 65.34 10.16 3.71 0.42 11.00 2.21P 2.09R 0.30 Dover_Athletic 9 13 +1 -0.53 44.98 -0.69 62.80 9.93 -0.88 0.26 7.17 1.58P 2.90R 0.39 Chester 9 12 -3 2.57 75.06 1.80 57.03 9.83 -12.67 0.04 2.16 0.31P 9.78R 1.92 Bromley 9 11 -1 1.32 63.83 3.63 55.73 10.80 -11.28 0.07 2.45 0.53P 14.56R 3.80 Aldershot 9 11 -2 -0.22 48.83 -0.17 62.19 9.96 -1.65 0.19 6.08 1.20P 3.64R 0.61 Barrow 9 11 -7 2.35 73.94 -0.47 48.89 10.30 -28.01 0.00 0.54 0.08P 34.03R 11.39 Macclesfield 9 10 -2 -2.61 26.42 -2.32 62.78 9.83 1.27 0.19 6.59 1.54P 2.79R 0.44 Guiseley 9 10 -5 0.09 52.38 -1.15 45.31 9.97 -30.82 0.00 0.16 0.02P 47.25R 19.84 Torquay 9 9 -5 -2.98 23.82 -4.37 63.92 9.97 1.13 0.25 8.25 1.76P 2.49R 0.38 Altrincham 9 9 -7 0.78 59.92 -0.39 50.14 9.47 -22.94 0.00 0.31 0.04P 27.11R 7.67 Boreham_Wood 9 7 -4 -1.50 37.41 2.29 50.75 10.55 -15.21 0.01 0.77 0.13P 26.66R 8.80 Welling 9 6 -5 -3.44 19.02 -0.39 48.48 9.54 -17.88 0.00 0.22 0.03P 32.20R 10.27 Halifax 9 5 -6 -7.74 2.57 -6.43 53.62 9.91 -10.05 0.01 1.06 0.21P 16.39R 4.11 Southport 9 5 -8 -3.81 16.27 -2.36 43.17 9.26 -27.92 0.00 0.04 0.00P 54.92R 24.42 Kidderminster 9 4 -7 -6.20 5.18 -3.73 52.22 9.82 -11.17 0.02 0.65 0.11P 20.02R 5.28