Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 12 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Arsenal 2 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 5 15 +11 4.39 94.53 4.98 87.18 8.37 55.71 83.72 94.74 98.07 99.22 99.84 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 5 10 +3 0.73 58.75 -0.55 68.22 9.01 22.27 4.80 27.49 48.34 64.26 84.05 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 5 10 +2 0.59 56.65 -1.75 69.58 8.99 23.62 6.21 33.63 54.63 69.94 87.12 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 5 9 +2 3.75 90.31 4.56 50.15 8.92 -3.68 0.04 0.64 2.22 5.16 15.27 5.35R 0.79 Everton 5 8 +3 1.41 69.15 3.40 60.40 9.24 13.52 0.85 7.77 18.14 30.61 55.63 0.48R 0.04 Leicester 4 8 +3 2.32 80.19 2.71 49.15 9.25 -5.96 0.07 0.74 2.21 4.83 13.83 7.51R 1.29 Swansea 5 8 +2 1.21 66.63 2.13 52.60 9.14 0.96 0.12 1.35 4.28 8.93 23.11 3.25R 0.49 Norwich 5 7 -1 0.52 57.75 -0.47 42.29 9.32 -17.91 0.01 0.15 0.58 1.30 4.21 24.93R 6.91 Liverpool 5 7 -3 -0.39 45.51 -3.84 58.63 9.36 6.27 0.66 5.38 13.41 23.79 46.74 0.83R 0.10 West_Ham 4 6 +3 0.79 61.05 3.39 50.72 9.23 0.06 0.09 0.99 2.95 6.52 17.74 5.37R 0.87 Southampton 5 6 +0 -2.24 23.26 -2.02 54.62 9.00 5.06 0.19 2.28 6.31 12.47 29.96 1.88R 0.21 Watford 5 6 -1 1.15 66.77 2.32 43.01 9.30 -13.82 0.01 0.16 0.56 1.31 4.60 22.28R 6.10 West_Brom 5 5 -3 0.03 53.28 -0.15 43.92 8.83 -12.01 0.01 0.11 0.43 1.22 4.73 17.91R 4.29 Aston_Villa 4 4 -1 -0.50 45.10 0.39 37.36 8.57 -20.90 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.19 0.96 43.63R 15.20 Bournemouth 5 4 -3 -1.64 31.41 -1.00 36.49 9.18 -25.12 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.25 1.14 48.94R 20.00 Chelsea 5 4 -5 -4.56 6.25 -7.48 66.65 9.06 21.94 3.06 22.49 41.95 58.17 79.52 0.07R 0.00 Tottenham 4 3 -1 -2.45 18.18 -0.96 52.90 9.57 3.58 0.17 1.93 5.28 10.41 25.33 3.90R 0.65 Newcastle 4 2 -3 -1.44 31.18 0.08 39.00 9.01 -18.08 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.37 1.62 36.72R 12.65 Sunderland 4 2 -4 -2.69 16.52 -2.91 34.51 8.60 -25.98 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.09 0.47 57.49R 25.68 Stoke 5 2 -4 -3.98 8.24 -2.82 43.21 8.85 -9.54 0.00 0.09 0.34 0.99 4.13 19.43R 4.74Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Birmingham 4 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 6 16 +5 7.48 98.92 4.45 72.96 10.26 9.03 7.96 16.75 49.92 23.90P 0.45R 0.04 Cardiff 6 12 +5 3.26 82.53 4.24 69.20 10.62 8.88 4.94 10.81 37.12 16.68P 1.47R 0.17 Middlesbrough 6 11 +6 0.57 56.72 2.76 78.39 10.41 24.45 20.40 35.49 71.33 46.94P 0.09R 0.02 Birmingham 5 11 +5 4.25 91.77 5.16 66.32 10.98 3.57 3.20 7.23 28.16 11.39P 3.28R 0.42 Burnley 6 11 +2 1.32 64.92 -0.13 73.92 11.09 14.22 11.44 21.93 54.22 31.09P 0.61R 0.07 Hull 6 10 +3 -0.19 47.21 0.09 75.86 11.16 19.20 15.47 27.96 61.42 38.40P 0.41R 0.04 QPR 6 10 +1 0.13 51.32 -1.57 71.17 11.67 10.69 8.77 16.70 44.95 23.83P 1.71R 0.24 Ipswich 6 10 -1 1.33 65.39 -1.62 69.40 11.06 5.89 5.58 11.72 38.01 17.92P 1.92R 0.25 Reading 6 9 +5 0.69 58.17 4.90 62.96 10.65 4.00 1.62 3.88 18.82 7.04P 5.46R 0.80 Charlton 6 9 +2 1.58 69.16 3.09 60.98 10.35 -1.34 0.79 2.32 13.39 4.45P 7.28R 1.01 Leeds_United 6 8 +1 0.64 59.13 2.23 58.76 10.43 -4.38 0.49 1.43 9.75 2.99P 10.96R 2.05 Nott'm_Forest 6 8 +0 -0.53 44.80 -0.45 62.27 10.84 -0.98 1.38 3.58 17.15 6.52P 6.71R 0.99 Derby 6 7 +0 -2.75 21.24 -2.26 72.28 10.91 16.09 8.87 17.90 49.41 27.29P 0.95R 0.09 MK_Dons 6 7 -1 -1.16 37.49 -0.90 58.12 11.34 -6.76 0.83 2.08 10.70 3.97P 14.32R 2.82 Wolverhampton 6 7 -2 -1.53 33.65 -2.48 66.79 10.88 5.54 3.31 7.71 29.61 13.27P 2.99R 0.46 Bolton 6 6 -3 -0.89 40.64 -1.13 55.78 10.33 -9.90 0.22 0.72 5.60 1.70P 17.17R 3.65 Fulham 5 5 +0 -1.49 32.51 0.62 56.72 11.29 -7.98 0.52 1.42 8.65 2.84P 17.25R 3.79 Brentford 5 5 -1 -2.05 26.61 -1.29 64.56 11.34 4.03 2.72 6.23 24.32 10.59P 5.00R 0.90 Sheff_Wed 6 5 -3 -2.05 27.91 -1.47 54.21 10.19 -10.45 0.12 0.41 4.08 1.05P 20.91R 4.80 Preston 6 5 -3 -2.08 27.80 -1.49 54.77 10.89 -9.50 0.26 0.76 5.58 1.79P 21.08R 4.81 Bristol_City 6 4 -6 -3.00 19.53 -3.95 53.15 11.58 -16.10 0.28 0.81 5.24 1.74P 27.39R 8.36 Blackburn 5 3 -2 -4.14 8.46 -2.48 59.01 10.97 -2.11 0.79 2.03 11.31 4.29P 11.60R 2.46 Huddersfield 6 3 -5 -3.25 15.24 -2.03 47.70 10.28 -20.36 0.03 0.11 1.16 0.29P 44.73R 15.34 Rotherham 6 2 -8 -3.94 10.28 -4.28 39.33 9.71 -35.71 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.02P 76.25R 46.44League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Barnsley 4 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 7 17 +9 6.66 96.48 7.90 77.15 10.85 19.06 16.10 28.90 63.34 36.68P 0.53R 0.02 Walsall 7 16 +9 4.73 90.06 6.55 75.41 10.38 17.95 11.66 22.46 57.69 31.44P 0.53R 0.01 Burton_Albion 7 15 +3 5.84 93.90 3.63 65.29 10.96 -1.56 2.32 5.32 22.65 8.61P 6.56R 0.54 Coventry 7 13 +6 2.57 75.67 4.72 70.02 10.75 11.05 5.20 11.23 38.23 17.38P 2.37R 0.14 Sheff_Utd 6 12 +2 2.63 77.18 0.30 77.10 10.70 17.30 15.07 27.86 63.43 37.90P 0.52R 0.01 Rochdale 7 11 +5 0.84 59.19 4.19 70.01 10.83 13.28 5.34 11.44 38.26 17.94P 2.45R 0.15 Chesterfield 7 11 +2 0.62 57.10 0.77 72.01 10.74 13.33 6.93 14.80 45.20 22.55P 1.58R 0.10 Swindon 7 11 +1 -0.74 42.06 -2.29 74.71 10.94 16.82 11.47 22.10 55.27 31.47P 0.96R 0.04 Bury 7 10 +2 1.26 64.09 3.45 58.91 11.39 -5.84 0.77 2.02 10.96 3.87P 18.42R 2.73 Wigan 7 10 +0 -1.85 30.79 -3.40 75.93 11.05 18.39 13.74 25.24 59.44 36.35P 0.69R 0.02 Barnsley 7 10 -1 0.10 51.58 -1.34 67.76 10.74 5.32 3.42 7.72 30.10 13.20P 3.95R 0.30 Port_Vale 6 9 +3 1.12 63.41 3.57 63.64 10.96 2.48 1.63 4.16 19.23 7.53P 8.51R 0.77 Fleetwood_Town 7 9 +2 -0.81 42.10 1.65 58.74 10.34 -3.41 0.43 1.30 8.79 2.84P 15.77R 1.88 Bradford 7 9 -2 -0.07 50.24 -1.24 61.58 10.34 -2.92 0.75 2.14 13.12 4.49P 10.59R 1.06 Shrewsbury 7 8 -1 -1.57 34.48 -1.06 60.69 10.95 -1.68 0.94 2.37 12.89 4.92P 13.47R 1.68 Scunthorpe 7 8 -2 -1.21 38.13 -1.36 55.05 10.50 -12.36 0.20 0.59 4.73 1.32P 27.40R 4.34 Peterborough 7 7 -1 -3.35 18.77 -2.13 64.33 10.85 4.72 1.72 4.34 20.97 8.77P 7.39R 0.74 Millwall 6 7 -4 -1.57 33.43 -4.53 62.32 11.64 -3.43 1.61 3.89 17.35 7.19P 12.56R 1.49 Oldham 7 7 -4 -1.67 33.25 -2.69 53.11 10.22 -15.06 0.08 0.27 3.01 0.75P 33.85R 5.92 Southend 7 6 -3 -1.72 33.03 -0.49 50.92 10.51 -14.66 0.08 0.25 2.18 0.61P 41.68R 9.33 Doncaster 7 6 -4 -3.13 19.55 -3.40 58.82 10.47 -4.64 0.40 1.13 8.85 2.95P 16.41R 2.02 Colchester 6 4 -5 -3.24 17.28 -3.25 49.40 10.64 -20.93 0.04 0.19 1.81 0.51P 47.97R 12.31 Blackpool 7 4 -9 -3.99 13.85 -6.52 50.40 11.01 -19.90 0.11 0.30 2.39 0.74P 44.76R 11.19 Crewe 7 2 -8 -4.65 8.05 -3.05 39.92 9.91 -33.30 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 81.09R 43.21League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 7 16 +6 1.96 69.44 -1.05 91.22 10.76 40.45 59.37 84.76 96.48 88.77P 0.00R 0.00 Plymouth 7 15 +7 3.95 85.90 4.77 77.23 10.31 19.91 9.45 39.07 73.79 48.77P 0.08R 0.02 Portsmouth 7 15 +7 4.23 87.63 5.17 73.34 10.68 14.19 5.31 25.89 59.62 34.28P 0.27R 0.08 Wycombe 7 14 +6 2.41 74.71 3.05 76.32 10.46 19.25 8.48 36.09 70.67 46.01P 0.11R 0.01 Morecambe 7 13 +4 3.18 80.25 3.70 68.43 10.68 6.70 2.31 13.80 41.28 19.95P 1.01R 0.29 Exeter 7 13 +3 3.06 79.34 2.60 67.50 10.74 4.17 1.81 12.32 38.08 17.89P 1.33R 0.41 Mansfield 7 12 +6 3.22 81.45 7.09 59.76 10.14 -2.30 0.28 2.77 14.69 5.03P 5.37R 2.02 Oxford_Utd 7 12 +4 2.11 71.91 3.47 69.68 10.41 10.36 2.61 16.03 46.16 23.41P 0.63R 0.19 Carlisle 7 12 +0 2.03 70.27 -0.45 59.37 10.66 -11.62 0.32 3.06 14.47 5.21P 6.88R 2.74 Accrington_Stanley 7 10 +1 1.58 67.85 2.85 58.66 10.33 -6.58 0.25 2.40 12.58 4.39P 6.95R 2.67 Northampton 7 10 +0 -0.04 50.10 -0.74 62.63 10.53 -1.60 0.68 5.38 22.37 9.19P 3.39R 1.18 Cambridge_Utd 7 9 -1 0.20 53.07 0.42 56.17 10.37 -11.57 0.11 1.37 8.59 2.76P 10.94R 4.46 AFC_Wimbledon 7 9 -1 0.34 54.70 0.39 58.25 10.36 -7.69 0.22 2.15 12.03 4.12P 7.57R 2.94 Hartlepool 7 9 -1 1.10 63.29 1.57 53.23 9.98 -14.86 0.05 0.57 4.62 1.31P 16.53R 7.17 Bristol_Rovers 7 9 -1 0.19 53.02 0.06 57.70 10.32 -6.60 0.15 1.87 11.04 3.98P 7.99R 3.12 Stevenage 7 9 -2 -1.18 37.75 -2.74 66.79 10.74 4.50 1.47 10.87 35.77 17.33P 1.48R 0.49 York 7 8 -1 -1.30 36.90 -0.64 59.21 10.12 -3.78 0.23 2.41 13.33 4.97P 5.74R 2.15 Notts_County 6 7 -4 -2.30 25.50 -5.63 69.62 11.60 7.84 3.59 17.99 46.34 26.14P 1.38R 0.53 Crawley_Town 6 6 -2 -3.13 18.27 -3.37 67.84 11.35 8.51 2.54 14.09 40.63 21.83P 1.76R 0.64 Luton 7 5 -2 -4.65 10.04 -2.03 60.35 10.61 0.78 0.46 3.64 17.16 7.16P 5.34R 2.08 Dag_&_Red 7 5 -6 -2.75 23.42 -3.01 54.99 10.40 -11.71 0.06 1.02 6.97 2.28P 13.54R 6.03 Yeovil 7 4 -6 -5.73 5.57 -6.20 56.80 11.14 -7.14 0.27 2.27 11.19 4.62P 11.21R 5.14 Barnet 7 4 -7 -2.90 20.71 -2.43 45.61 10.53 -25.65 0.00 0.13 1.36 0.38P 43.63R 26.80 Newport_County 7 1 -10 -6.58 1.89 -6.85 44.65 10.09 -25.57 0.01 0.06 0.77 0.20P 46.87R 28.83National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Braintree_Town 1 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 9 27 +14 9.16 99.47 5.29 89.73 9.85 32.47 38.23 87.87 50.40P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 9 19 +9 4.18 84.25 5.31 76.90 9.98 19.76 5.62 46.72 14.48P 0.05R 0.00 Gateshead 9 19 +2 5.38 89.64 0.13 72.95 9.94 6.64 2.53 30.08 7.21P 0.24R 0.02 Cheltenham 9 18 +8 0.73 55.93 0.31 83.91 10.27 31.49 18.82 72.88 35.36P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 9 17 +8 1.75 66.31 3.40 76.30 10.22 21.07 5.53 44.72 14.28P 0.09R 0.00 Eastleigh 9 17 +6 1.47 62.95 1.07 74.30 10.07 16.05 3.65 36.60 10.50P 0.13R 0.00 Grimsby 9 15 +8 -2.35 27.86 0.20 80.45 9.83 30.87 10.46 62.25 26.19P 0.02R 0.00 Tranmere 9 15 +4 -2.35 27.84 -3.69 81.73 10.18 28.62 13.64 65.68 30.76P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 9 14 +0 0.69 56.93 -1.52 62.61 9.60 -2.94 0.14 6.13 1.24P 2.71R 0.31 Lincoln_City 9 13 +2 2.01 69.22 4.37 65.07 10.06 3.31 0.35 10.39 1.99P 2.11R 0.29 Dover_Athletic 9 13 +1 -0.51 45.34 -0.66 62.79 9.83 -0.87 0.20 6.99 1.42P 2.84R 0.42 Chester 9 12 -3 2.59 75.01 1.84 56.71 9.81 -13.20 0.05 1.96 0.30P 10.26R 2.18 Bromley 9 11 -1 1.34 64.07 3.70 55.64 10.86 -11.41 0.06 2.51 0.50P 15.00R 3.92 Aldershot 9 11 -2 -0.16 49.38 -0.08 61.89 9.97 -2.08 0.17 5.76 1.09P 3.86R 0.66 Barrow 9 11 -7 2.40 74.16 -0.37 48.62 10.32 -28.39 0.01 0.45 0.07P 35.27R 12.40 Macclesfield 9 10 -2 -2.64 26.03 -2.36 62.90 9.79 1.35 0.22 6.71 1.51P 2.76R 0.41 Guiseley 9 10 -5 0.08 52.38 -1.19 45.47 10.04 -30.44 0.00 0.19 0.03P 46.83R 19.65 Torquay 9 9 -5 -3.01 23.55 -4.41 64.24 10.01 1.58 0.28 8.98 2.07P 2.30R 0.28 Altrincham 9 9 -7 0.75 59.91 -0.42 50.23 9.43 -22.82 0.00 0.26 0.03P 26.80R 7.61 Boreham_Wood 9 7 -4 -1.51 37.40 2.26 50.81 10.60 -15.12 0.02 0.81 0.19P 26.69R 8.88 Welling 9 6 -5 -3.44 19.01 -0.42 48.62 9.53 -17.69 0.01 0.20 0.03P 32.11R 10.31 Halifax 9 5 -6 -7.78 2.58 -6.51 53.66 9.92 -10.03 0.01 1.07 0.21P 16.41R 4.08 Southport 9 5 -8 -3.88 15.57 -2.47 43.37 9.22 -27.48 0.00 0.04 0.00P 54.41R 23.70 Kidderminster 9 4 -7 -6.26 5.13 -3.80 52.50 9.79 -10.73 0.00 0.75 0.14P 19.07R 4.89