Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 12 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Arsenal 2 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          5   15  +11       4.39    94.53     4.98    87.18     8.37    55.71    83.72    94.74    98.07    99.22    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           5   10   +3       0.73    58.75    -0.55    68.22     9.01    22.27     4.80    27.49    48.34    64.26    84.05     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal           5   10   +2       0.59    56.65    -1.75    69.58     8.99    23.62     6.21    33.63    54.63    69.94    87.12     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    5    9   +2       3.75    90.31     4.56    50.15     8.92    -3.68     0.04     0.64     2.22     5.16    15.27     5.35R    0.79  
Everton           5    8   +3       1.41    69.15     3.40    60.40     9.24    13.52     0.85     7.77    18.14    30.61    55.63     0.48R    0.04  
Leicester         4    8   +3       2.32    80.19     2.71    49.15     9.25    -5.96     0.07     0.74     2.21     4.83    13.83     7.51R    1.29  
Swansea           5    8   +2       1.21    66.63     2.13    52.60     9.14     0.96     0.12     1.35     4.28     8.93    23.11     3.25R    0.49  
Norwich           5    7   -1       0.52    57.75    -0.47    42.29     9.32   -17.91     0.01     0.15     0.58     1.30     4.21    24.93R    6.91  
Liverpool         5    7   -3      -0.39    45.51    -3.84    58.63     9.36     6.27     0.66     5.38    13.41    23.79    46.74     0.83R    0.10  
West_Ham          4    6   +3       0.79    61.05     3.39    50.72     9.23     0.06     0.09     0.99     2.95     6.52    17.74     5.37R    0.87  
Southampton       5    6   +0      -2.24    23.26    -2.02    54.62     9.00     5.06     0.19     2.28     6.31    12.47    29.96     1.88R    0.21  
Watford           5    6   -1       1.15    66.77     2.32    43.01     9.30   -13.82     0.01     0.16     0.56     1.31     4.60    22.28R    6.10  
West_Brom         5    5   -3       0.03    53.28    -0.15    43.92     8.83   -12.01     0.01     0.11     0.43     1.22     4.73    17.91R    4.29  
Aston_Villa       4    4   -1      -0.50    45.10     0.39    37.36     8.57   -20.90     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.19     0.96    43.63R   15.20  
Bournemouth       5    4   -3      -1.64    31.41    -1.00    36.49     9.18   -25.12     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.25     1.14    48.94R   20.00  
Chelsea           5    4   -5      -4.56     6.25    -7.48    66.65     9.06    21.94     3.06    22.49    41.95    58.17    79.52     0.07R    0.00  
Tottenham         4    3   -1      -2.45    18.18    -0.96    52.90     9.57     3.58     0.17     1.93     5.28    10.41    25.33     3.90R    0.65  
Newcastle         4    2   -3      -1.44    31.18     0.08    39.00     9.01   -18.08     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.37     1.62    36.72R   12.65  
Sunderland        4    2   -4      -2.69    16.52    -2.91    34.51     8.60   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.09     0.47    57.49R   25.68  
Stoke             5    2   -4      -3.98     8.24    -2.82    43.21     8.85    -9.54     0.00     0.09     0.34     0.99     4.13    19.43R    4.74  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Birmingham 4 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         6   16   +5       7.48    98.92     4.45    72.96    10.26     9.03     7.96    16.75    49.92    23.90P    0.45R    0.04  
Cardiff          6   12   +5       3.26    82.53     4.24    69.20    10.62     8.88     4.94    10.81    37.12    16.68P    1.47R    0.17  
Middlesbrough    6   11   +6       0.57    56.72     2.76    78.39    10.41    24.45    20.40    35.49    71.33    46.94P    0.09R    0.02  
Birmingham       5   11   +5       4.25    91.77     5.16    66.32    10.98     3.57     3.20     7.23    28.16    11.39P    3.28R    0.42  
Burnley          6   11   +2       1.32    64.92    -0.13    73.92    11.09    14.22    11.44    21.93    54.22    31.09P    0.61R    0.07  
Hull             6   10   +3      -0.19    47.21     0.09    75.86    11.16    19.20    15.47    27.96    61.42    38.40P    0.41R    0.04  
QPR              6   10   +1       0.13    51.32    -1.57    71.17    11.67    10.69     8.77    16.70    44.95    23.83P    1.71R    0.24  
Ipswich          6   10   -1       1.33    65.39    -1.62    69.40    11.06     5.89     5.58    11.72    38.01    17.92P    1.92R    0.25  
Reading          6    9   +5       0.69    58.17     4.90    62.96    10.65     4.00     1.62     3.88    18.82     7.04P    5.46R    0.80  
Charlton         6    9   +2       1.58    69.16     3.09    60.98    10.35    -1.34     0.79     2.32    13.39     4.45P    7.28R    1.01  
Leeds_United     6    8   +1       0.64    59.13     2.23    58.76    10.43    -4.38     0.49     1.43     9.75     2.99P   10.96R    2.05  
Nott'm_Forest    6    8   +0      -0.53    44.80    -0.45    62.27    10.84    -0.98     1.38     3.58    17.15     6.52P    6.71R    0.99  
Derby            6    7   +0      -2.75    21.24    -2.26    72.28    10.91    16.09     8.87    17.90    49.41    27.29P    0.95R    0.09  
MK_Dons          6    7   -1      -1.16    37.49    -0.90    58.12    11.34    -6.76     0.83     2.08    10.70     3.97P   14.32R    2.82  
Wolverhampton    6    7   -2      -1.53    33.65    -2.48    66.79    10.88     5.54     3.31     7.71    29.61    13.27P    2.99R    0.46  
Bolton           6    6   -3      -0.89    40.64    -1.13    55.78    10.33    -9.90     0.22     0.72     5.60     1.70P   17.17R    3.65  
Fulham           5    5   +0      -1.49    32.51     0.62    56.72    11.29    -7.98     0.52     1.42     8.65     2.84P   17.25R    3.79  
Brentford        5    5   -1      -2.05    26.61    -1.29    64.56    11.34     4.03     2.72     6.23    24.32    10.59P    5.00R    0.90  
Sheff_Wed        6    5   -3      -2.05    27.91    -1.47    54.21    10.19   -10.45     0.12     0.41     4.08     1.05P   20.91R    4.80  
Preston          6    5   -3      -2.08    27.80    -1.49    54.77    10.89    -9.50     0.26     0.76     5.58     1.79P   21.08R    4.81  
Bristol_City     6    4   -6      -3.00    19.53    -3.95    53.15    11.58   -16.10     0.28     0.81     5.24     1.74P   27.39R    8.36  
Blackburn        5    3   -2      -4.14     8.46    -2.48    59.01    10.97    -2.11     0.79     2.03    11.31     4.29P   11.60R    2.46  
Huddersfield     6    3   -5      -3.25    15.24    -2.03    47.70    10.28   -20.36     0.03     0.11     1.16     0.29P   44.73R   15.34  
Rotherham        6    2   -8      -3.94    10.28    -4.28    39.33     9.71   -35.71     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P   76.25R   46.44  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Barnsley 4 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        7   17   +9       6.66    96.48     7.90    77.15    10.85    19.06    16.10    28.90    63.34    36.68P    0.53R    0.02  
Walsall           7   16   +9       4.73    90.06     6.55    75.41    10.38    17.95    11.66    22.46    57.69    31.44P    0.53R    0.01  
Burton_Albion     7   15   +3       5.84    93.90     3.63    65.29    10.96    -1.56     2.32     5.32    22.65     8.61P    6.56R    0.54  
Coventry          7   13   +6       2.57    75.67     4.72    70.02    10.75    11.05     5.20    11.23    38.23    17.38P    2.37R    0.14  
Sheff_Utd         6   12   +2       2.63    77.18     0.30    77.10    10.70    17.30    15.07    27.86    63.43    37.90P    0.52R    0.01  
Rochdale          7   11   +5       0.84    59.19     4.19    70.01    10.83    13.28     5.34    11.44    38.26    17.94P    2.45R    0.15  
Chesterfield      7   11   +2       0.62    57.10     0.77    72.01    10.74    13.33     6.93    14.80    45.20    22.55P    1.58R    0.10  
Swindon           7   11   +1      -0.74    42.06    -2.29    74.71    10.94    16.82    11.47    22.10    55.27    31.47P    0.96R    0.04  
Bury              7   10   +2       1.26    64.09     3.45    58.91    11.39    -5.84     0.77     2.02    10.96     3.87P   18.42R    2.73  
Wigan             7   10   +0      -1.85    30.79    -3.40    75.93    11.05    18.39    13.74    25.24    59.44    36.35P    0.69R    0.02  
Barnsley          7   10   -1       0.10    51.58    -1.34    67.76    10.74     5.32     3.42     7.72    30.10    13.20P    3.95R    0.30  
Port_Vale         6    9   +3       1.12    63.41     3.57    63.64    10.96     2.48     1.63     4.16    19.23     7.53P    8.51R    0.77  
Fleetwood_Town    7    9   +2      -0.81    42.10     1.65    58.74    10.34    -3.41     0.43     1.30     8.79     2.84P   15.77R    1.88  
Bradford          7    9   -2      -0.07    50.24    -1.24    61.58    10.34    -2.92     0.75     2.14    13.12     4.49P   10.59R    1.06  
Shrewsbury        7    8   -1      -1.57    34.48    -1.06    60.69    10.95    -1.68     0.94     2.37    12.89     4.92P   13.47R    1.68  
Scunthorpe        7    8   -2      -1.21    38.13    -1.36    55.05    10.50   -12.36     0.20     0.59     4.73     1.32P   27.40R    4.34  
Peterborough      7    7   -1      -3.35    18.77    -2.13    64.33    10.85     4.72     1.72     4.34    20.97     8.77P    7.39R    0.74  
Millwall          6    7   -4      -1.57    33.43    -4.53    62.32    11.64    -3.43     1.61     3.89    17.35     7.19P   12.56R    1.49  
Oldham            7    7   -4      -1.67    33.25    -2.69    53.11    10.22   -15.06     0.08     0.27     3.01     0.75P   33.85R    5.92  
Southend          7    6   -3      -1.72    33.03    -0.49    50.92    10.51   -14.66     0.08     0.25     2.18     0.61P   41.68R    9.33  
Doncaster         7    6   -4      -3.13    19.55    -3.40    58.82    10.47    -4.64     0.40     1.13     8.85     2.95P   16.41R    2.02  
Colchester        6    4   -5      -3.24    17.28    -3.25    49.40    10.64   -20.93     0.04     0.19     1.81     0.51P   47.97R   12.31  
Blackpool         7    4   -9      -3.99    13.85    -6.52    50.40    11.01   -19.90     0.11     0.30     2.39     0.74P   44.76R   11.19  
Crewe             7    2   -8      -4.65     8.05    -3.05    39.92     9.91   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   81.09R   43.21  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         7   16   +6       1.96    69.44    -1.05    91.22    10.76    40.45    59.37    84.76    96.48    88.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth              7   15   +7       3.95    85.90     4.77    77.23    10.31    19.91     9.45    39.07    73.79    48.77P    0.08R    0.02  
Portsmouth            7   15   +7       4.23    87.63     5.17    73.34    10.68    14.19     5.31    25.89    59.62    34.28P    0.27R    0.08  
Wycombe               7   14   +6       2.41    74.71     3.05    76.32    10.46    19.25     8.48    36.09    70.67    46.01P    0.11R    0.01  
Morecambe             7   13   +4       3.18    80.25     3.70    68.43    10.68     6.70     2.31    13.80    41.28    19.95P    1.01R    0.29  
Exeter                7   13   +3       3.06    79.34     2.60    67.50    10.74     4.17     1.81    12.32    38.08    17.89P    1.33R    0.41  
Mansfield             7   12   +6       3.22    81.45     7.09    59.76    10.14    -2.30     0.28     2.77    14.69     5.03P    5.37R    2.02  
Oxford_Utd            7   12   +4       2.11    71.91     3.47    69.68    10.41    10.36     2.61    16.03    46.16    23.41P    0.63R    0.19  
Carlisle              7   12   +0       2.03    70.27    -0.45    59.37    10.66   -11.62     0.32     3.06    14.47     5.21P    6.88R    2.74  
Accrington_Stanley    7   10   +1       1.58    67.85     2.85    58.66    10.33    -6.58     0.25     2.40    12.58     4.39P    6.95R    2.67  
Northampton           7   10   +0      -0.04    50.10    -0.74    62.63    10.53    -1.60     0.68     5.38    22.37     9.19P    3.39R    1.18  
Cambridge_Utd         7    9   -1       0.20    53.07     0.42    56.17    10.37   -11.57     0.11     1.37     8.59     2.76P   10.94R    4.46  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    9   -1       0.34    54.70     0.39    58.25    10.36    -7.69     0.22     2.15    12.03     4.12P    7.57R    2.94  
Hartlepool            7    9   -1       1.10    63.29     1.57    53.23     9.98   -14.86     0.05     0.57     4.62     1.31P   16.53R    7.17  
Bristol_Rovers        7    9   -1       0.19    53.02     0.06    57.70    10.32    -6.60     0.15     1.87    11.04     3.98P    7.99R    3.12  
Stevenage             7    9   -2      -1.18    37.75    -2.74    66.79    10.74     4.50     1.47    10.87    35.77    17.33P    1.48R    0.49  
York                  7    8   -1      -1.30    36.90    -0.64    59.21    10.12    -3.78     0.23     2.41    13.33     4.97P    5.74R    2.15  
Notts_County          6    7   -4      -2.30    25.50    -5.63    69.62    11.60     7.84     3.59    17.99    46.34    26.14P    1.38R    0.53  
Crawley_Town          6    6   -2      -3.13    18.27    -3.37    67.84    11.35     8.51     2.54    14.09    40.63    21.83P    1.76R    0.64  
Luton                 7    5   -2      -4.65    10.04    -2.03    60.35    10.61     0.78     0.46     3.64    17.16     7.16P    5.34R    2.08  
Dag_&_Red             7    5   -6      -2.75    23.42    -3.01    54.99    10.40   -11.71     0.06     1.02     6.97     2.28P   13.54R    6.03  
Yeovil                7    4   -6      -5.73     5.57    -6.20    56.80    11.14    -7.14     0.27     2.27    11.19     4.62P   11.21R    5.14  
Barnet                7    4   -7      -2.90    20.71    -2.43    45.61    10.53   -25.65     0.00     0.13     1.36     0.38P   43.63R   26.80  
Newport_County        7    1  -10      -6.58     1.89    -6.85    44.65    10.09   -25.57     0.01     0.06     0.77     0.20P   46.87R   28.83  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 September 2015, Braintree_Town 1 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      9   27  +14       9.16    99.47     5.29    89.73     9.85    32.47    38.23    87.87    50.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham           9   19   +9       4.18    84.25     5.31    76.90     9.98    19.76     5.62    46.72    14.48P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead         9   19   +2       5.38    89.64     0.13    72.95     9.94     6.64     2.53    30.08     7.21P    0.24R    0.02  
Cheltenham        9   18   +8       0.73    55.93     0.31    83.91    10.27    31.49    18.82    72.88    35.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking            9   17   +8       1.75    66.31     3.40    76.30    10.22    21.07     5.53    44.72    14.28P    0.09R    0.00  
Eastleigh         9   17   +6       1.47    62.95     1.07    74.30    10.07    16.05     3.65    36.60    10.50P    0.13R    0.00  
Grimsby           9   15   +8      -2.35    27.86     0.20    80.45     9.83    30.87    10.46    62.25    26.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere          9   15   +4      -2.35    27.84    -3.69    81.73    10.18    28.62    13.64    65.68    30.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    9   14   +0       0.69    56.93    -1.52    62.61     9.60    -2.94     0.14     6.13     1.24P    2.71R    0.31  
Lincoln_City      9   13   +2       2.01    69.22     4.37    65.07    10.06     3.31     0.35    10.39     1.99P    2.11R    0.29  
Dover_Athletic    9   13   +1      -0.51    45.34    -0.66    62.79     9.83    -0.87     0.20     6.99     1.42P    2.84R    0.42  
Chester           9   12   -3       2.59    75.01     1.84    56.71     9.81   -13.20     0.05     1.96     0.30P   10.26R    2.18  
Bromley           9   11   -1       1.34    64.07     3.70    55.64    10.86   -11.41     0.06     2.51     0.50P   15.00R    3.92  
Aldershot         9   11   -2      -0.16    49.38    -0.08    61.89     9.97    -2.08     0.17     5.76     1.09P    3.86R    0.66  
Barrow            9   11   -7       2.40    74.16    -0.37    48.62    10.32   -28.39     0.01     0.45     0.07P   35.27R   12.40  
Macclesfield      9   10   -2      -2.64    26.03    -2.36    62.90     9.79     1.35     0.22     6.71     1.51P    2.76R    0.41  
Guiseley          9   10   -5       0.08    52.38    -1.19    45.47    10.04   -30.44     0.00     0.19     0.03P   46.83R   19.65  
Torquay           9    9   -5      -3.01    23.55    -4.41    64.24    10.01     1.58     0.28     8.98     2.07P    2.30R    0.28  
Altrincham        9    9   -7       0.75    59.91    -0.42    50.23     9.43   -22.82     0.00     0.26     0.03P   26.80R    7.61  
Boreham_Wood      9    7   -4      -1.51    37.40     2.26    50.81    10.60   -15.12     0.02     0.81     0.19P   26.69R    8.88  
Welling           9    6   -5      -3.44    19.01    -0.42    48.62     9.53   -17.69     0.01     0.20     0.03P   32.11R   10.31  
Halifax           9    5   -6      -7.78     2.58    -6.51    53.66     9.92   -10.03     0.01     1.07     0.21P   16.41R    4.08  
Southport         9    5   -8      -3.88    15.57    -2.47    43.37     9.22   -27.48     0.00     0.04     0.00P   54.41R   23.70  
Kidderminster     9    4   -7      -6.26     5.13    -3.80    52.50     9.79   -10.73     0.00     0.75     0.14P   19.07R    4.89