Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 9 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 August 2015, Southampton 3 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          4   12  +10       3.58    92.08     5.13    86.74     8.62    57.20    82.28    93.87    97.49    98.86    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace    4    9   +3       4.27    94.15     4.16    50.69     9.19    -4.35     0.09     0.91     2.90     6.23    17.16     5.10R    0.84  
Leicester         4    8   +3       2.38    80.80     2.80    49.17     9.21    -6.00     0.07     0.72     2.17     4.70    13.52     7.20R    1.21  
Swansea           4    8   +3       2.69    84.96     3.25    55.09     9.34     3.48     0.35     2.65     7.47    14.14    31.95     1.92R    0.25  
Man_Utd           4    7   +1      -0.48    42.58    -1.90    65.89     9.30    19.19     3.43    20.53    38.47    54.38    75.90     0.08R    0.00  
Arsenal           4    7   +0      -0.38    44.10    -2.83    67.80     9.30    21.38     5.15    26.95    47.06    62.30    81.85     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool         4    7   -1       0.69    60.41    -2.25    60.66     9.44     9.34     1.16     8.40    19.02    31.33    54.95     0.49R    0.06  
West_Ham          4    6   +3       0.86    62.08     3.47    50.97     9.29     0.33     0.09     1.03     3.24     7.00    18.47     5.12R    0.87  
Everton           4    5   +1      -0.31    46.68     1.37    56.69     9.36     8.52     0.35     4.02    10.21    18.72    38.82     1.36R    0.18  
Southampton       4    5   +0      -1.78    26.27    -1.92    55.50     9.29     5.65     0.34     3.07     8.08    15.31    33.77     1.68R    0.23  
Bournemouth       4    4   -1      -0.59    44.44     0.43    39.46     9.59   -20.28     0.00     0.08     0.28     0.67     2.52    35.80R   12.80  
Aston_Villa       4    4   -1      -0.49    44.95     0.39    37.35     8.53   -21.01     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.16     0.91    42.98R   14.29  
Chelsea           4    4   -3      -3.10    12.80    -5.38    69.68     9.19    26.48     6.48    35.26    56.23    70.59    86.84     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich           4    4   -3      -0.73    41.97    -1.91    39.31     9.50   -22.11     0.00     0.07     0.28     0.69     2.49    36.26R   12.76  
West_Brom         4    4   -3       0.12    55.06    -0.27    43.84     9.02   -12.70     0.01     0.13     0.49     1.33     4.90    18.24R    4.41  
Tottenham         4    3   -1      -2.52    17.49    -1.09    52.87     9.53     3.51     0.17     1.89     5.25    10.40    24.87     3.67R    0.59  
Watford           4    3   -2      -0.62    41.78     1.17    40.28     9.67   -17.06     0.01     0.12     0.38     0.93     3.08    32.33R   11.04  
Stoke             4    2   -2      -3.30    11.06    -1.81    44.79     9.10    -7.31     0.02     0.25     0.77     1.80     6.06    15.26R    3.57  
Newcastle         4    2   -3      -1.45    31.06     0.09    39.04     9.05   -18.18     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.38     1.77    35.82R   11.98  
Sunderland        4    2   -4      -2.69    16.26    -2.89    34.47     8.52   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.39    56.59R   24.91  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Brentford 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         5   13   +4       5.87    97.43     3.52    70.15    10.42     6.52     5.04    11.49    40.55    17.89P    1.02R    0.09  
Hull             5   10   +4       1.21    64.62     1.20    78.73    11.50    22.27    22.34    37.16    70.86    47.48P    0.25R    0.03  
Ipswich          5   10   +3       2.38    77.61     1.88    73.45    11.21    14.07    10.53    20.87    53.42    28.80P    0.75R    0.10  
QPR              5   10   +2       1.60    69.20    -0.43    74.51    12.20    14.64    14.17    25.23    56.54    33.38P    1.04R    0.11  
Cardiff          5    9   +3       2.23    75.74     3.09    66.75    10.75     5.79     2.93     7.21    29.77    12.17P    2.60R    0.34  
Middlesbrough    5    8   +4      -0.40    45.01     1.76    75.93    10.58    21.14    14.03    26.88    63.42    38.15P    0.21R    0.02  
Birmingham       4    8   +3       3.07    87.25     3.80    62.89    11.16    -0.79     1.69     4.26    19.40     7.32P    6.58R    1.15  
Charlton         5    8   +2       2.38    79.56     3.67    61.80    10.66    -0.44     1.04     2.95    16.23     5.67P    6.75R    1.14  
Burnley          5    8   +0       0.30    54.33    -1.28    71.15    11.40    10.58     7.54    15.63    45.61    24.11P    1.45R    0.18  
Leeds_United     5    7   +1       0.90    62.90     2.03    58.63    10.70    -5.04     0.63     1.70    10.54     3.41P   11.59R    2.30  
MK_Dons          5    7   +1      -0.57    43.36    -0.07    60.49    11.72    -3.00     1.47     3.56    16.06     6.34P   10.60R    2.16  
Wolverhampton    5    7   -1      -0.05    50.07    -1.32    69.29    11.16     8.17     5.21    11.50    38.73    18.16P    2.02R    0.24  
Reading          5    6   +1      -0.59    43.12     1.34    58.30    10.62    -4.09     0.62     1.57     9.85     3.25P   12.01R    2.33  
Fulham           5    5   +0      -1.53    32.21     0.51    56.14    11.21    -8.59     0.44     1.23     8.08     2.58P   18.21R    4.31  
Sheff_Wed        5    5   -1      -1.20    36.36    -0.21    56.35    10.39    -6.88     0.26     0.83     6.71     2.04P   15.81R    3.25  
Nott'm_Forest    5    5   -1      -2.33    23.45    -1.78    58.98    11.12    -4.41     0.81     2.08    11.83     4.40P   12.07R    2.36  
Preston          5    5   -2      -0.89    40.40    -0.80    56.09    11.08    -8.19     0.35     1.16     7.76     2.60P   17.99R    3.77  
Brentford        4    4   -1      -1.59    30.32    -1.16    64.55    11.53     3.38     2.68     6.35    25.15    10.65P    5.32R    0.86  
Derby            5    4   -1      -4.13     9.10    -2.89    70.12    11.26    14.04     6.66    13.92    42.78    22.30P    1.59R    0.22  
Bristol_City     5    4   -4      -2.03    27.09    -2.72    55.55    11.98   -11.83     0.58     1.59     8.69     3.08P   21.50R    5.92  
Blackburn        5    3   -2      -4.11     8.53    -2.44    59.24    10.91    -1.55     0.76     2.14    12.04     4.58P   10.97R    2.17  
Huddersfield     5    3   -3      -2.36    21.48    -0.77    49.90    10.50   -16.69     0.08     0.22     2.15     0.54P   36.26R   10.84  
Bolton           5    3   -4      -2.57    19.32    -2.22    52.84    10.56   -12.49     0.15     0.46     3.72     1.10P   25.81R    6.57  
Rotherham        5    1   -8      -3.86     8.63    -4.72    38.82     9.86   -36.60     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   77.61R   49.56  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 September 2015, Burton_Albion 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        6   14   +8       5.63    95.21     7.78    75.65    11.14    18.22    10.99    21.86    58.30    30.08P    0.79R    0.04  
Coventry          6   13   +7       3.97    87.88     5.75    72.31    11.09    13.55     6.66    14.42    46.34    21.59P    1.56R    0.09  
Walsall           6   13   +7       3.63    85.75     5.30    72.64    10.46    14.37     5.94    13.65    47.42    22.02P    0.98R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd         5   12   +4       4.26    90.96     2.70    81.03    10.94    23.10    22.35    38.59    75.65    49.05P    0.15R    0.00  
Burton_Albion     6   12   +2       4.20    88.45     2.60    62.07    11.15    -4.92     1.16     2.97    15.75     5.42P   10.74R    1.46  
Rochdale          6   11   +6       2.07    72.88     4.97    71.87    11.08    15.06     6.40    13.64    45.04    21.04P    1.77R    0.15  
Swindon           6   11   +4       0.44    54.92     0.43    78.26    11.11    23.16    16.46    30.22    67.61    41.14P    0.41R    0.02  
Chesterfield      6   10   +2       1.44    66.42     1.47    73.22    10.90    14.52     6.90    15.73    49.82    24.55P    1.08R    0.06  
Wigan             6   10   +1      -0.30    45.95    -2.10    78.56    11.12    21.02    16.71    30.71    68.35    43.09P    0.41R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town    6    8   +2      -0.35    47.04     1.75    59.40    10.59    -2.79     0.43     1.36    10.25     3.20P   14.40R    1.77  
Bradford          6    8   -2       0.17    53.22    -1.44    62.35    10.62    -2.23     0.84     2.36    15.01     5.16P    9.21R    1.14  
Bury              6    7   +0      -0.23    48.66     1.58    54.27    11.32   -12.52     0.24     0.70     5.37     1.60P   30.07R    6.70  
Oldham            6    7   +0      -0.95    39.82     0.32    56.88    10.47    -6.81     0.24     0.76     6.52     1.97P   20.07R    3.08  
Barnsley          6    7   -4      -1.30    35.99    -4.04    63.56    10.88    -1.48     1.15     3.15    18.47     6.67P    8.26R    0.95  
Port_Vale         5    6   +2      -0.51    44.01     2.58    61.14    11.08     0.43     0.89     2.31    14.13     4.81P   12.03R    1.60  
Southend          6    6   -2      -0.60    44.53     0.18    53.27    10.71   -12.15     0.10     0.38     3.65     0.99P   32.03R    7.02  
Doncaster         6    6   -2      -2.26    25.11    -2.12    61.19    10.59    -1.00     0.58     1.82    13.12     4.45P   10.91R    1.35  
Shrewsbury        6    5   -2      -2.94    19.94    -1.71    57.77    11.20    -4.45     0.47     1.29     8.73     3.02P   19.46R    3.60  
Scunthorpe        6    5   -3      -2.89    20.26    -2.46    52.66    10.61   -14.52     0.08     0.26     3.22     0.87P   34.19R    7.20  
Peterborough      6    4   -5      -4.33     9.83    -5.18    59.72    10.80    -3.70     0.51     1.46    10.76     3.71P   14.28R    2.19  
Millwall          5    4   -6      -2.75    19.70    -5.85    59.09    11.67    -7.55     0.73     1.82    11.37     4.02P   18.02R    3.35  
Blackpool         6    4   -8      -3.17    17.84    -6.39    51.78    11.12   -18.76     0.10     0.36     3.10     1.04P   38.61R    9.95  
Colchester        5    3   -5      -3.30    13.85    -4.09    48.78    10.88   -21.99     0.06     0.17     1.73     0.45P   48.99R   15.10  
Crewe             6    2   -6      -3.81    11.03    -2.01    42.51    10.13   -28.55     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.06P   71.58R   33.10  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         6   15   +6       2.81    78.70    -0.29    93.13    11.16    43.27    63.28    86.92    97.09    90.45P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe               6   14   +7       3.96    88.90     4.32    78.72    10.68    21.82    10.49    43.75    77.28    53.04P    0.05R    0.02  
Plymouth              6   12   +6       2.24    73.97     3.69    74.22    10.58    17.01     5.12    27.74    63.52    37.42P    0.17R    0.06  
Oxford_Utd            6   12   +5       3.36    83.78     4.30    71.86    10.66    12.54     3.51    20.79    54.40    29.12P    0.42R    0.10  
Portsmouth            6   12   +5       3.44    84.31     4.42    71.09    10.82    11.29     3.06    19.14    51.34    26.63P    0.54R    0.17  
Morecambe             6   10   +3       1.72    69.67     2.94    66.25    10.82     4.85     1.24     9.55    34.31    14.92P    1.91R    0.64  
Exeter                6   10   +2       1.88    71.12     2.33    66.06    11.03     3.40     1.34    10.06    33.88    15.17P    2.03R    0.76  
Mansfield             6    9   +2       1.82    71.31     3.44    54.74    10.18   -11.07     0.04     0.91     6.63     1.91P   12.86R    5.78  
Hartlepool            6    9   +0       2.06    73.70     1.91    54.06    10.35   -14.84     0.06     0.81     6.12     1.73P   15.24R    6.99  
Bristol_Rovers        6    9   +0       1.61    69.45     1.12    60.68    10.88    -3.39     0.35     4.01    18.11     7.04P    5.12R    2.01  
Carlisle              6    9   -1       0.61    56.73    -1.16    57.27    10.89   -13.49     0.18     2.22    11.38     4.02P   10.02R    4.36  
Cambridge_Utd         6    8   -1       0.32    55.21    -0.05    55.57    10.74   -13.28     0.13     1.44     8.53     2.80P   12.65R    5.79  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    8   -1       0.42    56.43    -0.01    57.75    10.58    -8.97     0.20     1.96    11.36     3.82P    8.69R    3.76  
Stevenage             6    8   -2      -0.54    44.43    -2.35    67.84    10.85     5.55     1.59    12.38    39.62    19.48P    1.23R    0.38  
Accrington_Stanley    6    7   +0      -0.18    49.20     1.66    55.57    10.57    -9.85     0.08     1.33     8.35     2.71P   12.39R    5.65  
Northampton           6    7   -1      -1.43    34.60    -1.35    59.92    10.82    -4.32     0.35     3.48    16.42     6.42P    6.12R    2.53  
York                  6    7   -1      -1.21    36.63    -1.05    58.78    10.36    -4.72     0.19     2.33    12.87     4.65P    6.49R    2.63  
Crawley_Town          5    6   +2      -2.15    24.42     0.07    73.47    11.61    18.82     5.65    27.74    60.69    38.27P    0.55R    0.18  
Luton                 6    5   -1      -3.69    14.36    -1.67    61.82    10.65     1.99     0.43     4.53    21.02     8.71P    3.91R    1.43  
Dag_&_Red             6    5   -5      -1.62    33.13    -2.42    56.64    10.75   -10.19     0.10     1.61     9.84     3.33P   11.10R    4.97  
Barnet                6    4   -5      -2.23    25.81    -1.67    47.30    10.96   -22.73     0.02     0.33     2.29     0.69P   36.76R   22.41  
Notts_County          5    4   -5      -3.64    12.41    -6.19    67.56    11.88     6.10     2.33    14.02    39.76    21.66P    2.11R    0.74  
Yeovil                6    3   -6      -5.10     5.92    -5.83    57.96    11.44    -5.99     0.25     2.80    13.78     5.62P   10.00R    4.70  
Newport_County        6    1   -9      -5.43     3.23    -6.19    46.36    10.41   -23.80     0.01     0.14     1.41     0.37P   39.63R   23.94  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 September 2015, Aldershot 3 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      8   24  +13       8.35    99.28     5.57    89.30    10.09    33.17    39.22    87.01    51.14P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh         8   17   +7       3.04    77.47     2.38    77.00    10.34    19.18     6.78    48.00    15.55P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking            8   16   +8       2.48    73.84     3.99    77.42    10.24    22.12     7.27    50.15    17.17P    0.07R    0.00  
Wrexham           8   16   +7       3.45    80.88     4.65    75.12    10.09    17.53     4.39    40.58    12.08P    0.12R    0.01  
Gateshead         8   16   +1       3.58    81.22    -1.15    69.86    10.24     3.38     1.60    21.94     5.25P    0.63R    0.08  
Cheltenham        8   15   +7      -0.24    46.45     0.44    82.98    10.47    31.28    17.85    70.69    34.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic    8   13   +2       0.23    52.10    -0.67    63.75    10.01    -0.29     0.40     8.97     1.97P    2.39R    0.29  
Braintree_Town    8   13   +0       1.53    65.43    -0.84    63.97     9.81    -1.36     0.34     8.72     1.77P    2.06R    0.25  
Grimsby           8   12   +5      -3.05    21.08    -1.26    77.80    10.03    25.85     7.51    52.60    20.93P    0.06R    0.01  
Tranmere          8   12   +2      -2.97    22.06    -4.08    80.53    10.48    27.41    12.79    62.30    29.03P    0.05R    0.01  
Chester           8   12   -1       3.07    79.31     2.28    58.20    10.00   -10.95     0.08     3.12     0.47P    8.12R    1.46  
Aldershot         8   11   +1       0.28    53.64     1.37    64.09    10.10     2.34     0.43     9.41     2.05P    2.36R    0.34  
Lincoln_City      8   10   +0       1.05    61.86     3.35    62.99    10.32     0.71     0.29     8.24     1.62P    3.61R    0.61  
Macclesfield      8   10   -1      -1.43    36.08    -1.61    64.92    10.09     3.37     0.42    10.72     2.58P    2.03R    0.24  
Barrow            8   10   -7       2.43    75.72    -0.89    47.52    10.48   -30.76     0.01     0.42     0.06P   39.34R   14.77  
Altrincham        8    9   -5       1.26    65.03     0.00    51.42     9.75   -20.75     0.01     0.61     0.07P   23.28R    6.15  
Guiseley          8    9   -5       0.27    54.58    -1.72    44.77    10.04   -30.42     0.00     0.26     0.05P   49.58R   20.93  
Bromley           8    8   -2      -0.08    51.49     3.02    52.75    11.07   -14.53     0.06     1.65     0.30P   21.89R    6.86  
Torquay           8    8   -5      -2.49    26.87    -4.18    64.54    10.26     1.56     0.47    10.26     2.43P    2.60R    0.43  
Boreham_Wood      8    7   -2      -0.76    43.99     3.09    52.55    10.85   -12.12     0.03     1.50     0.33P   21.87R    6.47  
Welling           8    5   -5      -3.07    20.18    -0.46    48.79     9.81   -17.89     0.01     0.32     0.05P   31.37R    9.87  
Southport         8    5   -7      -3.27    19.09    -2.87    43.68     9.27   -27.93     0.00     0.06     0.00    52.80R   21.97  
Halifax           8    4   -6      -7.12     2.63    -6.14    54.46    10.25    -9.26     0.02     1.65     0.33P   15.19R    3.76  
Kidderminster     8    3   -7      -6.17     4.11    -4.29    52.26    10.00   -11.63     0.02     0.83     0.17P   20.46R    5.49