Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 9 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 August 2015, Southampton 3 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 4 12 +10 3.58 92.08 5.13 86.74 8.62 57.20 82.28 93.87 97.49 98.86 99.79 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 4 9 +3 4.27 94.15 4.16 50.69 9.19 -4.35 0.09 0.91 2.90 6.23 17.16 5.10R 0.84 Leicester 4 8 +3 2.38 80.80 2.80 49.17 9.21 -6.00 0.07 0.72 2.17 4.70 13.52 7.20R 1.21 Swansea 4 8 +3 2.69 84.96 3.25 55.09 9.34 3.48 0.35 2.65 7.47 14.14 31.95 1.92R 0.25 Man_Utd 4 7 +1 -0.48 42.58 -1.90 65.89 9.30 19.19 3.43 20.53 38.47 54.38 75.90 0.08R 0.00 Arsenal 4 7 +0 -0.38 44.10 -2.83 67.80 9.30 21.38 5.15 26.95 47.06 62.30 81.85 0.07R 0.00 Liverpool 4 7 -1 0.69 60.41 -2.25 60.66 9.44 9.34 1.16 8.40 19.02 31.33 54.95 0.49R 0.06 West_Ham 4 6 +3 0.86 62.08 3.47 50.97 9.29 0.33 0.09 1.03 3.24 7.00 18.47 5.12R 0.87 Everton 4 5 +1 -0.31 46.68 1.37 56.69 9.36 8.52 0.35 4.02 10.21 18.72 38.82 1.36R 0.18 Southampton 4 5 +0 -1.78 26.27 -1.92 55.50 9.29 5.65 0.34 3.07 8.08 15.31 33.77 1.68R 0.23 Bournemouth 4 4 -1 -0.59 44.44 0.43 39.46 9.59 -20.28 0.00 0.08 0.28 0.67 2.52 35.80R 12.80 Aston_Villa 4 4 -1 -0.49 44.95 0.39 37.35 8.53 -21.01 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.16 0.91 42.98R 14.29 Chelsea 4 4 -3 -3.10 12.80 -5.38 69.68 9.19 26.48 6.48 35.26 56.23 70.59 86.84 0.04R 0.00 Norwich 4 4 -3 -0.73 41.97 -1.91 39.31 9.50 -22.11 0.00 0.07 0.28 0.69 2.49 36.26R 12.76 West_Brom 4 4 -3 0.12 55.06 -0.27 43.84 9.02 -12.70 0.01 0.13 0.49 1.33 4.90 18.24R 4.41 Tottenham 4 3 -1 -2.52 17.49 -1.09 52.87 9.53 3.51 0.17 1.89 5.25 10.40 24.87 3.67R 0.59 Watford 4 3 -2 -0.62 41.78 1.17 40.28 9.67 -17.06 0.01 0.12 0.38 0.93 3.08 32.33R 11.04 Stoke 4 2 -2 -3.30 11.06 -1.81 44.79 9.10 -7.31 0.02 0.25 0.77 1.80 6.06 15.26R 3.57 Newcastle 4 2 -3 -1.45 31.06 0.09 39.04 9.05 -18.18 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.38 1.77 35.82R 11.98 Sunderland 4 2 -4 -2.69 16.26 -2.89 34.47 8.52 -26.08 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.39 56.59R 24.91Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Brentford 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 5 13 +4 5.87 97.43 3.52 70.15 10.42 6.52 5.04 11.49 40.55 17.89P 1.02R 0.09 Hull 5 10 +4 1.21 64.62 1.20 78.73 11.50 22.27 22.34 37.16 70.86 47.48P 0.25R 0.03 Ipswich 5 10 +3 2.38 77.61 1.88 73.45 11.21 14.07 10.53 20.87 53.42 28.80P 0.75R 0.10 QPR 5 10 +2 1.60 69.20 -0.43 74.51 12.20 14.64 14.17 25.23 56.54 33.38P 1.04R 0.11 Cardiff 5 9 +3 2.23 75.74 3.09 66.75 10.75 5.79 2.93 7.21 29.77 12.17P 2.60R 0.34 Middlesbrough 5 8 +4 -0.40 45.01 1.76 75.93 10.58 21.14 14.03 26.88 63.42 38.15P 0.21R 0.02 Birmingham 4 8 +3 3.07 87.25 3.80 62.89 11.16 -0.79 1.69 4.26 19.40 7.32P 6.58R 1.15 Charlton 5 8 +2 2.38 79.56 3.67 61.80 10.66 -0.44 1.04 2.95 16.23 5.67P 6.75R 1.14 Burnley 5 8 +0 0.30 54.33 -1.28 71.15 11.40 10.58 7.54 15.63 45.61 24.11P 1.45R 0.18 Leeds_United 5 7 +1 0.90 62.90 2.03 58.63 10.70 -5.04 0.63 1.70 10.54 3.41P 11.59R 2.30 MK_Dons 5 7 +1 -0.57 43.36 -0.07 60.49 11.72 -3.00 1.47 3.56 16.06 6.34P 10.60R 2.16 Wolverhampton 5 7 -1 -0.05 50.07 -1.32 69.29 11.16 8.17 5.21 11.50 38.73 18.16P 2.02R 0.24 Reading 5 6 +1 -0.59 43.12 1.34 58.30 10.62 -4.09 0.62 1.57 9.85 3.25P 12.01R 2.33 Fulham 5 5 +0 -1.53 32.21 0.51 56.14 11.21 -8.59 0.44 1.23 8.08 2.58P 18.21R 4.31 Sheff_Wed 5 5 -1 -1.20 36.36 -0.21 56.35 10.39 -6.88 0.26 0.83 6.71 2.04P 15.81R 3.25 Nott'm_Forest 5 5 -1 -2.33 23.45 -1.78 58.98 11.12 -4.41 0.81 2.08 11.83 4.40P 12.07R 2.36 Preston 5 5 -2 -0.89 40.40 -0.80 56.09 11.08 -8.19 0.35 1.16 7.76 2.60P 17.99R 3.77 Brentford 4 4 -1 -1.59 30.32 -1.16 64.55 11.53 3.38 2.68 6.35 25.15 10.65P 5.32R 0.86 Derby 5 4 -1 -4.13 9.10 -2.89 70.12 11.26 14.04 6.66 13.92 42.78 22.30P 1.59R 0.22 Bristol_City 5 4 -4 -2.03 27.09 -2.72 55.55 11.98 -11.83 0.58 1.59 8.69 3.08P 21.50R 5.92 Blackburn 5 3 -2 -4.11 8.53 -2.44 59.24 10.91 -1.55 0.76 2.14 12.04 4.58P 10.97R 2.17 Huddersfield 5 3 -3 -2.36 21.48 -0.77 49.90 10.50 -16.69 0.08 0.22 2.15 0.54P 36.26R 10.84 Bolton 5 3 -4 -2.57 19.32 -2.22 52.84 10.56 -12.49 0.15 0.46 3.72 1.10P 25.81R 6.57 Rotherham 5 1 -8 -3.86 8.63 -4.72 38.82 9.86 -36.60 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 77.61R 49.56League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 September 2015, Burton_Albion 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 6 14 +8 5.63 95.21 7.78 75.65 11.14 18.22 10.99 21.86 58.30 30.08P 0.79R 0.04 Coventry 6 13 +7 3.97 87.88 5.75 72.31 11.09 13.55 6.66 14.42 46.34 21.59P 1.56R 0.09 Walsall 6 13 +7 3.63 85.75 5.30 72.64 10.46 14.37 5.94 13.65 47.42 22.02P 0.98R 0.05 Sheff_Utd 5 12 +4 4.26 90.96 2.70 81.03 10.94 23.10 22.35 38.59 75.65 49.05P 0.15R 0.00 Burton_Albion 6 12 +2 4.20 88.45 2.60 62.07 11.15 -4.92 1.16 2.97 15.75 5.42P 10.74R 1.46 Rochdale 6 11 +6 2.07 72.88 4.97 71.87 11.08 15.06 6.40 13.64 45.04 21.04P 1.77R 0.15 Swindon 6 11 +4 0.44 54.92 0.43 78.26 11.11 23.16 16.46 30.22 67.61 41.14P 0.41R 0.02 Chesterfield 6 10 +2 1.44 66.42 1.47 73.22 10.90 14.52 6.90 15.73 49.82 24.55P 1.08R 0.06 Wigan 6 10 +1 -0.30 45.95 -2.10 78.56 11.12 21.02 16.71 30.71 68.35 43.09P 0.41R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 6 8 +2 -0.35 47.04 1.75 59.40 10.59 -2.79 0.43 1.36 10.25 3.20P 14.40R 1.77 Bradford 6 8 -2 0.17 53.22 -1.44 62.35 10.62 -2.23 0.84 2.36 15.01 5.16P 9.21R 1.14 Bury 6 7 +0 -0.23 48.66 1.58 54.27 11.32 -12.52 0.24 0.70 5.37 1.60P 30.07R 6.70 Oldham 6 7 +0 -0.95 39.82 0.32 56.88 10.47 -6.81 0.24 0.76 6.52 1.97P 20.07R 3.08 Barnsley 6 7 -4 -1.30 35.99 -4.04 63.56 10.88 -1.48 1.15 3.15 18.47 6.67P 8.26R 0.95 Port_Vale 5 6 +2 -0.51 44.01 2.58 61.14 11.08 0.43 0.89 2.31 14.13 4.81P 12.03R 1.60 Southend 6 6 -2 -0.60 44.53 0.18 53.27 10.71 -12.15 0.10 0.38 3.65 0.99P 32.03R 7.02 Doncaster 6 6 -2 -2.26 25.11 -2.12 61.19 10.59 -1.00 0.58 1.82 13.12 4.45P 10.91R 1.35 Shrewsbury 6 5 -2 -2.94 19.94 -1.71 57.77 11.20 -4.45 0.47 1.29 8.73 3.02P 19.46R 3.60 Scunthorpe 6 5 -3 -2.89 20.26 -2.46 52.66 10.61 -14.52 0.08 0.26 3.22 0.87P 34.19R 7.20 Peterborough 6 4 -5 -4.33 9.83 -5.18 59.72 10.80 -3.70 0.51 1.46 10.76 3.71P 14.28R 2.19 Millwall 5 4 -6 -2.75 19.70 -5.85 59.09 11.67 -7.55 0.73 1.82 11.37 4.02P 18.02R 3.35 Blackpool 6 4 -8 -3.17 17.84 -6.39 51.78 11.12 -18.76 0.10 0.36 3.10 1.04P 38.61R 9.95 Colchester 5 3 -5 -3.30 13.85 -4.09 48.78 10.88 -21.99 0.06 0.17 1.73 0.45P 48.99R 15.10 Crewe 6 2 -6 -3.81 11.03 -2.01 42.51 10.13 -28.55 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.06P 71.58R 33.10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 6 15 +6 2.81 78.70 -0.29 93.13 11.16 43.27 63.28 86.92 97.09 90.45P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 6 14 +7 3.96 88.90 4.32 78.72 10.68 21.82 10.49 43.75 77.28 53.04P 0.05R 0.02 Plymouth 6 12 +6 2.24 73.97 3.69 74.22 10.58 17.01 5.12 27.74 63.52 37.42P 0.17R 0.06 Oxford_Utd 6 12 +5 3.36 83.78 4.30 71.86 10.66 12.54 3.51 20.79 54.40 29.12P 0.42R 0.10 Portsmouth 6 12 +5 3.44 84.31 4.42 71.09 10.82 11.29 3.06 19.14 51.34 26.63P 0.54R 0.17 Morecambe 6 10 +3 1.72 69.67 2.94 66.25 10.82 4.85 1.24 9.55 34.31 14.92P 1.91R 0.64 Exeter 6 10 +2 1.88 71.12 2.33 66.06 11.03 3.40 1.34 10.06 33.88 15.17P 2.03R 0.76 Mansfield 6 9 +2 1.82 71.31 3.44 54.74 10.18 -11.07 0.04 0.91 6.63 1.91P 12.86R 5.78 Hartlepool 6 9 +0 2.06 73.70 1.91 54.06 10.35 -14.84 0.06 0.81 6.12 1.73P 15.24R 6.99 Bristol_Rovers 6 9 +0 1.61 69.45 1.12 60.68 10.88 -3.39 0.35 4.01 18.11 7.04P 5.12R 2.01 Carlisle 6 9 -1 0.61 56.73 -1.16 57.27 10.89 -13.49 0.18 2.22 11.38 4.02P 10.02R 4.36 Cambridge_Utd 6 8 -1 0.32 55.21 -0.05 55.57 10.74 -13.28 0.13 1.44 8.53 2.80P 12.65R 5.79 AFC_Wimbledon 6 8 -1 0.42 56.43 -0.01 57.75 10.58 -8.97 0.20 1.96 11.36 3.82P 8.69R 3.76 Stevenage 6 8 -2 -0.54 44.43 -2.35 67.84 10.85 5.55 1.59 12.38 39.62 19.48P 1.23R 0.38 Accrington_Stanley 6 7 +0 -0.18 49.20 1.66 55.57 10.57 -9.85 0.08 1.33 8.35 2.71P 12.39R 5.65 Northampton 6 7 -1 -1.43 34.60 -1.35 59.92 10.82 -4.32 0.35 3.48 16.42 6.42P 6.12R 2.53 York 6 7 -1 -1.21 36.63 -1.05 58.78 10.36 -4.72 0.19 2.33 12.87 4.65P 6.49R 2.63 Crawley_Town 5 6 +2 -2.15 24.42 0.07 73.47 11.61 18.82 5.65 27.74 60.69 38.27P 0.55R 0.18 Luton 6 5 -1 -3.69 14.36 -1.67 61.82 10.65 1.99 0.43 4.53 21.02 8.71P 3.91R 1.43 Dag_&_Red 6 5 -5 -1.62 33.13 -2.42 56.64 10.75 -10.19 0.10 1.61 9.84 3.33P 11.10R 4.97 Barnet 6 4 -5 -2.23 25.81 -1.67 47.30 10.96 -22.73 0.02 0.33 2.29 0.69P 36.76R 22.41 Notts_County 5 4 -5 -3.64 12.41 -6.19 67.56 11.88 6.10 2.33 14.02 39.76 21.66P 2.11R 0.74 Yeovil 6 3 -6 -5.10 5.92 -5.83 57.96 11.44 -5.99 0.25 2.80 13.78 5.62P 10.00R 4.70 Newport_County 6 1 -9 -5.43 3.23 -6.19 46.36 10.41 -23.80 0.01 0.14 1.41 0.37P 39.63R 23.94National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 September 2015, Aldershot 3 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 8 24 +13 8.35 99.28 5.57 89.30 10.09 33.17 39.22 87.01 51.14P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 8 17 +7 3.04 77.47 2.38 77.00 10.34 19.18 6.78 48.00 15.55P 0.10R 0.00 Woking 8 16 +8 2.48 73.84 3.99 77.42 10.24 22.12 7.27 50.15 17.17P 0.07R 0.00 Wrexham 8 16 +7 3.45 80.88 4.65 75.12 10.09 17.53 4.39 40.58 12.08P 0.12R 0.01 Gateshead 8 16 +1 3.58 81.22 -1.15 69.86 10.24 3.38 1.60 21.94 5.25P 0.63R 0.08 Cheltenham 8 15 +7 -0.24 46.45 0.44 82.98 10.47 31.28 17.85 70.69 34.60P 0.02R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 8 13 +2 0.23 52.10 -0.67 63.75 10.01 -0.29 0.40 8.97 1.97P 2.39R 0.29 Braintree_Town 8 13 +0 1.53 65.43 -0.84 63.97 9.81 -1.36 0.34 8.72 1.77P 2.06R 0.25 Grimsby 8 12 +5 -3.05 21.08 -1.26 77.80 10.03 25.85 7.51 52.60 20.93P 0.06R 0.01 Tranmere 8 12 +2 -2.97 22.06 -4.08 80.53 10.48 27.41 12.79 62.30 29.03P 0.05R 0.01 Chester 8 12 -1 3.07 79.31 2.28 58.20 10.00 -10.95 0.08 3.12 0.47P 8.12R 1.46 Aldershot 8 11 +1 0.28 53.64 1.37 64.09 10.10 2.34 0.43 9.41 2.05P 2.36R 0.34 Lincoln_City 8 10 +0 1.05 61.86 3.35 62.99 10.32 0.71 0.29 8.24 1.62P 3.61R 0.61 Macclesfield 8 10 -1 -1.43 36.08 -1.61 64.92 10.09 3.37 0.42 10.72 2.58P 2.03R 0.24 Barrow 8 10 -7 2.43 75.72 -0.89 47.52 10.48 -30.76 0.01 0.42 0.06P 39.34R 14.77 Altrincham 8 9 -5 1.26 65.03 0.00 51.42 9.75 -20.75 0.01 0.61 0.07P 23.28R 6.15 Guiseley 8 9 -5 0.27 54.58 -1.72 44.77 10.04 -30.42 0.00 0.26 0.05P 49.58R 20.93 Bromley 8 8 -2 -0.08 51.49 3.02 52.75 11.07 -14.53 0.06 1.65 0.30P 21.89R 6.86 Torquay 8 8 -5 -2.49 26.87 -4.18 64.54 10.26 1.56 0.47 10.26 2.43P 2.60R 0.43 Boreham_Wood 8 7 -2 -0.76 43.99 3.09 52.55 10.85 -12.12 0.03 1.50 0.33P 21.87R 6.47 Welling 8 5 -5 -3.07 20.18 -0.46 48.79 9.81 -17.89 0.01 0.32 0.05P 31.37R 9.87 Southport 8 5 -7 -3.27 19.09 -2.87 43.68 9.27 -27.93 0.00 0.06 0.00 52.80R 21.97 Halifax 8 4 -6 -7.12 2.63 -6.14 54.46 10.25 -9.26 0.02 1.65 0.33P 15.19R 3.76 Kidderminster 8 3 -7 -6.17 4.11 -4.29 52.26 10.00 -11.63 0.02 0.83 0.17P 20.46R 5.49