Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 8 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 August 2015, Southampton 3 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 4 12 +10 3.55 92.01 5.11 86.73 8.63 57.19 82.34 94.07 97.59 99.00 99.78 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 4 9 +3 4.31 94.39 4.22 50.62 9.17 -4.45 0.10 0.92 2.89 6.18 16.92 5.18R 0.85 Leicester 4 8 +3 2.37 80.72 2.80 49.20 9.24 -6.03 0.06 0.75 2.29 4.87 13.65 7.44R 1.27 Swansea 4 8 +3 2.67 84.88 3.24 54.98 9.43 3.32 0.31 2.70 7.40 14.00 31.49 2.06R 0.24 Man_Utd 4 7 +1 -0.44 43.15 -1.86 65.54 9.23 18.71 3.17 19.14 37.11 52.93 75.02 0.10R 0.01 Arsenal 4 7 +0 -0.44 43.17 -2.90 68.05 9.31 21.74 5.44 28.27 47.95 63.48 82.36 0.04R 0.00 Liverpool 4 7 -1 0.72 60.65 -2.21 60.52 9.51 9.15 1.17 8.32 19.04 31.07 54.45 0.62R 0.08 West_Ham 4 6 +3 0.83 61.67 3.44 51.12 9.27 0.52 0.10 1.11 3.44 7.11 18.92 4.73R 0.80 Everton 4 5 +1 -0.31 47.07 1.36 56.69 9.34 8.53 0.40 4.03 10.28 18.90 38.86 1.29R 0.18 Southampton 4 5 +0 -1.80 25.90 -1.95 55.68 9.37 5.91 0.36 3.32 8.80 16.20 34.86 1.68R 0.23 Bournemouth 4 4 -1 -0.58 44.61 0.44 39.59 9.64 -20.09 0.01 0.07 0.31 0.74 2.64 35.40R 12.51 Aston_Villa 4 4 -1 -0.48 45.06 0.42 37.31 8.57 -21.16 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.21 0.91 43.15R 15.03 Chelsea 4 4 -3 -3.06 12.97 -5.35 69.45 9.19 26.12 6.31 34.75 55.32 69.66 86.22 0.03R 0.00 Norwich 4 4 -3 -0.74 41.68 -1.94 39.46 9.55 -21.85 0.00 0.08 0.28 0.70 2.50 35.81R 12.79 West_Brom 4 4 -3 0.11 55.06 -0.29 43.91 9.03 -12.57 0.00 0.12 0.51 1.37 4.90 18.29R 4.45 Tottenham 4 3 -1 -2.54 17.33 -1.11 52.87 9.53 3.46 0.19 2.02 5.48 10.50 25.09 3.64R 0.57 Watford 4 3 -2 -0.57 42.47 1.22 40.13 9.59 -17.21 0.01 0.09 0.35 0.87 3.03 33.07R 11.14 Stoke 4 2 -2 -3.31 10.82 -1.82 44.87 9.07 -7.19 0.02 0.21 0.72 1.75 6.29 14.93R 3.24 Newcastle 4 2 -3 -1.43 31.36 0.11 38.96 8.97 -18.26 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.39 1.66 36.54R 12.31 Sunderland 4 2 -4 -2.71 16.15 -2.91 34.64 8.54 -25.84 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.45 56.01R 24.30Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Brentford 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 5 13 +4 5.87 97.41 3.52 70.21 10.41 6.61 5.16 11.58 40.34 17.59P 1.03R 0.11 Hull 5 10 +4 1.26 65.27 1.27 78.08 11.24 21.36 20.51 34.96 69.29 45.39P 0.28R 0.04 Ipswich 5 10 +3 2.40 77.89 1.91 73.44 11.24 13.98 10.43 20.77 53.58 28.93P 0.85R 0.08 QPR 5 10 +2 1.64 69.65 -0.38 74.56 12.12 14.71 14.32 25.24 56.72 33.51P 1.01R 0.11 Cardiff 5 9 +3 2.15 74.95 3.00 67.31 10.87 6.57 3.63 8.34 31.71 13.52P 2.51R 0.32 Middlesbrough 5 8 +4 -0.45 44.21 1.71 76.25 10.71 21.64 15.23 28.51 64.48 39.60P 0.26R 0.02 Birmingham 4 8 +3 3.03 86.82 3.74 62.96 11.12 -0.64 1.76 4.30 19.86 7.35P 6.37R 1.05 Charlton 5 8 +2 2.35 79.12 3.62 62.08 10.60 -0.08 1.08 3.03 16.44 5.69P 6.50R 1.01 Burnley 5 8 +0 0.30 54.48 -1.25 71.00 11.46 10.35 7.56 15.36 44.84 23.40P 1.51R 0.20 Leeds_United 5 7 +1 0.88 62.51 2.01 58.57 10.70 -5.12 0.59 1.59 10.11 3.35P 11.93R 2.28 MK_Dons 5 7 +1 -0.56 43.30 -0.05 60.23 11.70 -3.45 1.33 3.37 15.55 6.08P 10.96R 2.24 Wolverhampton 5 7 -1 -0.07 49.92 -1.34 69.57 11.01 8.56 5.38 11.97 39.55 19.02P 1.76R 0.21 Reading 5 6 +1 -0.54 43.69 1.41 58.11 10.67 -4.40 0.59 1.55 9.77 3.25P 12.39R 2.48 Fulham 5 5 +0 -1.52 32.48 0.54 56.09 11.19 -8.69 0.47 1.29 7.86 2.63P 18.44R 4.26 Sheff_Wed 5 5 -1 -1.20 36.20 -0.21 56.11 10.45 -7.12 0.27 0.82 6.49 2.06P 16.16R 3.43 Nott'm_Forest 5 5 -1 -2.34 23.37 -1.79 59.18 10.99 -4.08 0.73 2.13 12.04 4.30P 11.15R 2.07 Preston 5 5 -2 -0.88 40.62 -0.79 55.72 11.06 -8.76 0.36 1.07 7.17 2.40P 18.82R 4.08 Brentford 4 4 -1 -1.61 29.84 -1.19 64.76 11.63 3.65 2.90 6.61 25.74 11.12P 5.48R 0.96 Derby 5 4 -1 -4.09 9.46 -2.86 69.90 11.22 13.78 6.18 13.30 41.99 21.67P 1.66R 0.21 Bristol_City 5 4 -4 -2.02 27.09 -2.75 55.58 11.92 -11.65 0.63 1.59 8.50 3.09P 21.68R 6.15 Blackburn 5 3 -2 -4.08 8.49 -2.38 59.17 10.97 -1.69 0.72 2.03 12.04 4.45P 11.03R 2.30 Huddersfield 5 3 -3 -2.35 21.86 -0.77 49.75 10.52 -16.89 0.05 0.18 2.13 0.54P 36.36R 11.32 Bolton 5 3 -4 -2.56 19.19 -2.22 52.87 10.42 -12.38 0.13 0.39 3.67 1.01P 25.04R 6.56 Rotherham 5 1 -8 -3.89 8.36 -4.78 39.01 10.00 -36.28 0.01 0.01 0.14 0.03P 76.81R 48.51League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 September 2015, Burton_Albion 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 6 14 +8 5.61 94.92 7.76 75.55 11.08 18.09 10.95 21.85 57.74 30.00P 0.72R 0.03 Coventry 6 13 +7 3.93 87.74 5.68 72.46 11.00 13.81 6.80 14.61 47.15 21.93P 1.49R 0.09 Walsall 6 13 +7 3.64 85.69 5.32 72.53 10.51 14.22 5.96 13.63 47.31 21.77P 1.03R 0.05 Sheff_Utd 5 12 +4 4.25 90.97 2.69 81.05 10.94 23.09 22.62 38.74 75.88 49.22P 0.20R 0.00 Burton_Albion 6 12 +2 4.20 88.45 2.59 62.18 11.17 -4.72 1.11 2.82 15.88 5.31P 10.82R 1.35 Rochdale 6 11 +6 2.03 72.42 4.91 71.91 10.99 15.12 6.20 13.66 45.29 21.06P 1.59R 0.09 Swindon 6 11 +4 0.42 54.34 0.40 78.29 11.07 23.18 16.47 30.36 67.87 41.28P 0.43R 0.02 Chesterfield 6 10 +2 1.51 67.21 1.56 73.02 10.90 14.29 6.96 15.30 48.89 23.99P 1.34R 0.12 Wigan 6 10 +1 -0.35 45.30 -2.16 78.68 11.12 21.26 16.82 31.22 68.92 43.80P 0.42R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 6 8 +2 -0.34 47.01 1.77 59.26 10.60 -3.05 0.47 1.40 10.11 3.14P 14.34R 1.85 Bradford 6 8 -2 0.23 54.12 -1.36 62.15 10.51 -2.54 0.81 2.14 14.37 4.93P 9.29R 0.96 Bury 6 7 +0 -0.25 48.41 1.58 54.25 11.52 -12.55 0.22 0.73 5.80 1.65P 30.68R 7.05 Oldham 6 7 +0 -0.98 39.58 0.25 57.22 10.48 -6.35 0.24 0.79 7.03 2.10P 19.40R 2.84 Barnsley 6 7 -4 -1.27 36.36 -4.02 63.39 10.81 -1.70 1.13 3.06 17.72 6.40P 8.34R 1.00 Port_Vale 5 6 +2 -0.53 43.63 2.55 61.10 10.91 0.41 0.76 2.10 13.73 4.53P 11.65R 1.49 Southend 6 6 -2 -0.55 45.34 0.29 53.02 10.80 -12.55 0.13 0.38 3.64 1.06P 33.24R 7.42 Doncaster 6 6 -2 -2.27 25.02 -2.13 61.13 10.47 -1.08 0.52 1.72 12.67 4.35P 10.66R 1.26 Shrewsbury 6 5 -2 -2.99 19.54 -1.76 58.01 11.12 -4.11 0.49 1.27 8.96 3.08P 18.72R 3.33 Scunthorpe 6 5 -3 -2.93 19.92 -2.51 52.83 10.71 -14.28 0.10 0.31 3.41 0.98P 33.60R 7.23 Peterborough 6 4 -5 -4.30 10.12 -5.13 59.70 10.78 -3.72 0.41 1.45 10.97 3.64P 14.27R 2.04 Millwall 5 4 -6 -2.76 19.69 -5.88 59.41 11.55 -7.02 0.67 1.93 11.72 4.35P 17.05R 3.07 Blackpool 6 4 -8 -3.13 18.10 -6.32 51.60 11.16 -18.94 0.12 0.38 3.09 0.99P 38.92R 10.47 Colchester 5 3 -5 -3.30 13.72 -4.09 48.54 10.78 -22.40 0.04 0.14 1.59 0.40P 49.89R 15.44 Crewe 6 2 -6 -3.78 11.29 -1.97 42.57 10.02 -28.47 0.00 0.01 0.25 0.04P 71.90R 32.77League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 September 2015, Bristol_Rovers 0 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 6 15 +6 2.78 78.45 -0.37 93.36 11.16 43.68 63.60 87.46 97.19 90.88P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 6 14 +7 3.94 88.59 4.26 78.88 10.65 21.97 10.83 44.16 77.76 53.56P 0.05R 0.02 Plymouth 6 12 +6 2.25 74.21 3.71 74.15 10.56 16.89 4.87 27.64 63.15 37.45P 0.17R 0.05 Oxford_Utd 6 12 +5 3.32 83.32 4.27 71.88 10.69 12.59 3.44 21.11 54.55 29.46P 0.44R 0.11 Portsmouth 6 12 +5 3.38 83.86 4.35 71.51 10.77 11.97 3.29 20.02 53.07 27.90P 0.48R 0.12 Morecambe 6 10 +3 1.80 70.42 3.05 66.04 10.89 4.56 1.19 9.33 33.70 14.77P 1.95R 0.73 Exeter 6 10 +2 1.91 71.29 2.34 66.19 11.03 3.57 1.20 9.95 34.18 15.17P 2.10R 0.79 Mansfield 6 9 +2 1.86 71.76 3.49 54.55 10.13 -11.44 0.05 0.87 6.29 1.85P 13.15R 5.95 Hartlepool 6 9 +0 2.03 73.51 1.89 54.22 10.36 -14.64 0.04 0.86 6.18 1.74P 14.67R 6.71 Bristol_Rovers 6 9 +0 1.60 69.32 1.12 60.62 10.84 -3.46 0.37 3.81 17.63 6.98P 5.26R 2.10 Carlisle 6 9 -1 0.64 57.22 -1.12 57.06 10.98 -13.92 0.17 2.12 11.30 3.84P 10.61R 4.87 Cambridge_Utd 6 8 -1 0.26 54.39 -0.13 55.48 10.72 -13.45 0.12 1.45 8.58 2.83P 12.56R 5.64 AFC_Wimbledon 6 8 -1 0.46 56.73 0.03 57.60 10.59 -9.23 0.17 1.95 11.34 3.79P 8.81R 3.85 Stevenage 6 8 -2 -0.51 45.01 -2.31 67.86 10.76 5.61 1.61 12.07 39.69 18.96P 1.19R 0.39 Accrington_Stanley 6 7 +0 -0.23 48.48 1.59 55.73 10.62 -9.63 0.09 1.28 8.63 2.73P 12.25R 5.53 Northampton 6 7 -1 -1.45 34.37 -1.35 60.06 10.77 -4.16 0.34 3.37 16.67 6.19P 5.80R 2.31 York 6 7 -1 -1.21 36.59 -1.04 58.71 10.36 -4.86 0.15 2.11 12.91 4.40P 6.61R 2.59 Crawley_Town 5 6 +2 -2.12 24.64 0.11 73.23 11.61 18.55 5.29 26.83 59.16 37.14P 0.53R 0.15 Luton 6 5 -1 -3.62 14.63 -1.60 61.60 10.69 1.70 0.38 4.52 20.44 8.45P 4.29R 1.75 Dag_&_Red 6 5 -5 -1.69 32.41 -2.52 57.01 10.68 -9.59 0.12 1.69 10.44 3.53P 10.22R 4.57 Barnet 6 4 -5 -2.19 26.33 -1.57 47.26 10.77 -22.87 0.02 0.26 2.11 0.63P 36.79R 22.09 Notts_County 5 4 -5 -3.66 12.35 -6.21 67.68 11.91 6.25 2.39 14.17 40.17 21.76P 2.08R 0.83 Yeovil 6 3 -6 -5.11 6.06 -5.83 57.86 11.45 -6.14 0.28 2.87 13.58 5.64P 10.20R 4.78 Newport_County 6 1 -9 -5.43 3.31 -6.16 46.26 10.32 -23.93 0.00 0.10 1.28 0.34P 39.80R 24.07National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 September 2015, Aldershot 3 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 8 24 +13 8.43 99.27 5.70 88.99 10.11 32.78 38.13 86.54 50.29P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 8 17 +7 3.07 77.80 2.42 76.83 10.39 19.02 6.97 47.66 15.82P 0.12R 0.01 Woking 8 16 +8 2.52 74.23 4.07 77.21 10.30 21.85 7.22 49.64 16.99P 0.08R 0.01 Wrexham 8 16 +7 3.41 80.68 4.61 75.22 10.06 17.69 4.58 41.56 12.61P 0.15R 0.02 Gateshead 8 16 +1 3.65 81.96 -1.06 69.62 10.13 2.94 1.53 21.29 4.99P 0.63R 0.07 Cheltenham 8 15 +7 -0.26 46.12 0.42 83.22 10.42 31.57 18.96 71.69 35.56P 0.03R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 8 13 +2 0.25 52.40 -0.63 63.63 10.10 -0.49 0.44 9.22 2.03P 2.68R 0.36 Braintree_Town 8 13 +0 1.54 65.52 -0.82 64.00 9.82 -1.28 0.33 8.85 1.87P 2.25R 0.29 Grimsby 8 12 +5 -3.03 21.23 -1.25 77.73 10.04 25.76 7.56 52.49 21.07P 0.07R 0.01 Tranmere 8 12 +2 -2.93 22.66 -4.00 80.30 10.52 26.95 12.41 61.66 28.38P 0.06R 0.00 Chester 8 12 -1 3.14 80.00 2.39 57.98 9.94 -11.30 0.08 3.04 0.48P 8.45R 1.57 Aldershot 8 11 +1 0.31 53.92 1.42 63.97 10.03 2.13 0.40 9.32 2.01P 2.51R 0.35 Lincoln_City 8 10 +0 1.00 61.44 3.25 63.20 10.39 1.02 0.35 8.79 1.75P 3.55R 0.60 Macclesfield 8 10 -1 -1.41 35.99 -1.60 64.85 9.94 3.23 0.41 10.33 2.41P 1.98R 0.26 Barrow 8 10 -7 2.34 75.09 -1.04 47.87 10.50 -30.23 0.00 0.53 0.06P 38.62R 14.18 Altrincham 8 9 -5 1.21 64.36 -0.08 51.62 9.73 -20.39 0.01 0.61 0.09P 22.71R 5.97 Guiseley 8 9 -5 0.26 54.42 -1.77 45.08 10.17 -29.87 0.00 0.24 0.04P 48.36R 20.89 Bromley 8 8 -2 -0.15 50.72 2.90 52.89 11.05 -14.31 0.05 1.74 0.29P 22.08R 6.75 Torquay 8 8 -5 -2.44 27.11 -4.12 64.57 10.25 1.51 0.47 10.49 2.35P 2.48R 0.39 Boreham_Wood 8 7 -2 -0.84 43.66 2.97 52.78 10.94 -11.87 0.06 1.62 0.35P 21.73R 6.50 Welling 8 5 -5 -3.14 19.47 -0.55 48.72 9.72 -17.87 0.01 0.27 0.07P 32.23R 10.15 Southport 8 5 -7 -3.24 19.56 -2.84 43.81 9.35 -27.69 0.00 0.05 0.01P 52.78R 22.08 Halifax 8 4 -6 -7.14 2.69 -6.16 54.50 10.20 -9.16 0.03 1.58 0.35P 15.18R 3.79 Kidderminster 8 3 -7 -6.17 4.23 -4.24 51.99 9.97 -11.98 0.00 0.78 0.13P 21.28R 5.73