Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 1 September 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 August 2015, Southampton 3 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 4 12 +10 3.54 91.91 5.06 86.96 8.53 57.58 82.78 94.22 97.68 99.02 99.80 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 4 9 +3 4.30 94.20 4.20 50.73 9.12 -4.30 0.07 0.84 2.82 6.13 16.90 4.96R 0.69 Leicester 4 8 +3 2.37 80.70 2.78 49.21 9.26 -6.02 0.07 0.73 2.32 4.92 13.81 7.19R 1.23 Swansea 4 8 +3 2.67 84.79 3.27 55.00 9.45 3.33 0.31 2.74 7.40 14.15 31.43 2.12R 0.29 Man_Utd 4 7 +1 -0.46 42.72 -1.90 65.74 9.29 18.97 3.08 19.57 37.52 53.55 75.42 0.09R 0.00 Arsenal 4 7 +0 -0.41 43.49 -2.88 68.05 9.34 21.73 5.18 27.54 47.90 63.41 82.33 0.05R 0.00 Liverpool 4 7 -1 0.69 60.33 -2.25 60.68 9.50 9.37 1.17 8.37 19.05 31.39 55.08 0.50R 0.05 West_Ham 4 6 +3 0.85 61.70 3.48 51.15 9.30 0.54 0.11 1.14 3.43 7.11 18.95 4.69R 0.78 Everton 4 5 +1 -0.34 46.62 1.33 56.66 9.38 8.47 0.38 4.10 10.18 18.59 38.85 1.38R 0.17 Southampton 4 5 +0 -1.78 25.96 -1.91 55.58 9.35 5.82 0.32 3.18 8.53 15.87 34.41 1.64R 0.18 Bournemouth 4 4 -1 -0.56 44.93 0.48 39.36 9.63 -20.54 0.01 0.09 0.30 0.73 2.63 36.01R 12.85 Aston_Villa 4 4 -1 -0.52 44.66 0.38 37.35 8.55 -20.96 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.16 0.88 42.77R 14.85 Chelsea 4 4 -3 -3.10 12.62 -5.41 69.67 9.21 26.54 6.30 35.18 56.01 70.12 86.62 0.03R 0.00 Norwich 4 4 -3 -0.75 41.60 -1.93 39.32 9.51 -22.16 0.00 0.05 0.24 0.63 2.46 36.20R 12.78 West_Brom 4 4 -3 0.14 55.31 -0.24 43.83 9.00 -12.71 0.01 0.14 0.53 1.35 4.94 18.30R 4.28 Tottenham 4 3 -1 -2.48 18.08 -1.03 52.64 9.54 3.15 0.18 1.80 4.94 9.92 24.24 3.91R 0.66 Watford 4 3 -2 -0.57 42.63 1.23 40.20 9.60 -17.15 0.01 0.08 0.31 0.82 3.04 32.37R 10.99 Stoke 4 2 -2 -3.33 10.94 -1.85 44.89 9.07 -7.23 0.02 0.19 0.68 1.74 6.13 14.88R 3.44 Newcastle 4 2 -3 -1.43 31.21 0.13 38.82 9.02 -18.51 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.33 1.60 36.63R 12.75 Sunderland 4 2 -4 -2.70 16.26 -2.91 34.62 8.59 -25.91 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.49 56.27R 24.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Brentford 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 5 13 +4 5.83 97.36 3.48 70.44 10.43 6.92 5.35 12.04 41.29 18.35P 0.92R 0.07 Hull 5 10 +4 1.21 64.52 1.18 78.63 11.34 22.15 22.00 36.81 70.70 47.31P 0.22R 0.02 Ipswich 5 10 +3 2.39 77.82 1.88 73.47 11.22 14.02 10.39 20.58 53.35 28.81P 0.83R 0.08 QPR 5 10 +2 1.61 69.20 -0.41 74.55 12.23 14.75 14.42 25.48 56.59 33.43P 1.08R 0.13 Cardiff 5 9 +3 2.19 75.33 3.06 66.99 10.91 6.12 3.42 7.85 30.74 12.92P 2.80R 0.40 Middlesbrough 5 8 +4 -0.41 44.89 1.73 76.10 10.73 21.41 14.47 27.49 63.93 39.10P 0.32R 0.02 Birmingham 4 8 +3 3.06 87.06 3.78 63.00 11.21 -0.58 1.81 4.45 20.00 7.44P 6.36R 1.08 Charlton 5 8 +2 2.34 79.19 3.62 62.05 10.60 -0.14 1.02 2.98 16.30 5.71P 6.29R 0.98 Burnley 5 8 +0 0.32 54.64 -1.23 70.92 11.36 10.27 7.32 14.93 44.34 22.98P 1.47R 0.18 Leeds_United 5 7 +1 0.90 62.77 2.02 58.51 10.68 -5.22 0.51 1.58 10.28 3.26P 11.67R 2.24 MK_Dons 5 7 +1 -0.55 43.79 -0.05 60.19 11.72 -3.45 1.43 3.29 15.39 6.03P 11.08R 2.11 Wolverhampton 5 7 -1 -0.04 50.41 -1.30 69.24 11.03 8.17 4.89 11.26 38.55 18.03P 1.96R 0.29 Reading 5 6 +1 -0.58 43.16 1.34 58.27 10.71 -4.10 0.56 1.61 9.73 3.29P 12.35R 2.58 Fulham 5 5 +0 -1.53 32.35 0.52 56.19 11.15 -8.57 0.43 1.31 8.08 2.64P 17.96R 3.83 Sheff_Wed 5 5 -1 -1.20 36.26 -0.20 56.28 10.42 -6.96 0.28 0.82 6.64 1.97P 15.75R 3.27 Nott'm_Forest 5 5 -1 -2.32 23.51 -1.76 59.11 11.11 -4.23 0.86 2.23 12.36 4.45P 11.84R 2.20 Preston 5 5 -2 -0.88 40.73 -0.76 55.85 11.09 -8.60 0.39 1.13 7.55 2.51P 18.46R 4.07 Brentford 4 4 -1 -1.63 29.82 -1.19 64.72 11.47 3.64 2.62 6.30 25.51 10.64P 5.20R 0.88 Derby 5 4 -1 -4.12 9.32 -2.87 69.97 11.26 13.82 6.24 13.61 42.03 22.00P 1.68R 0.24 Bristol_City 5 4 -4 -2.04 26.76 -2.74 55.73 12.00 -11.46 0.62 1.64 9.03 3.18P 21.21R 5.88 Blackburn 5 3 -2 -4.12 8.52 -2.46 59.17 10.94 -1.70 0.77 2.06 11.87 4.40P 11.08R 2.11 Huddersfield 5 3 -3 -2.31 21.95 -0.71 49.77 10.55 -16.86 0.06 0.18 2.10 0.50P 36.36R 11.39 Bolton 5 3 -4 -2.56 19.28 -2.21 52.71 10.51 -12.73 0.12 0.37 3.53 1.03P 25.90R 6.77 Rotherham 5 1 -8 -3.87 8.35 -4.74 38.80 9.98 -36.66 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 77.23R 49.19League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 August 2015, Coventry 2 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 5 13 +8 5.26 96.07 6.72 75.97 10.81 18.31 11.10 22.32 58.89 31.18P 0.51R 0.02 Sheff_Utd 5 12 +4 4.31 91.40 2.74 80.86 10.82 22.97 22.06 37.83 75.00 48.25P 0.15R 0.01 Burton_Albion 5 12 +3 5.42 95.45 3.36 64.87 11.54 -1.88 2.25 5.19 22.10 8.59P 7.15R 0.84 Gillingham 5 11 +7 4.31 91.64 7.23 74.05 11.36 17.42 9.25 18.94 52.42 26.57P 1.11R 0.07 Coventry 5 10 +6 2.44 78.96 4.89 70.32 11.40 12.02 5.35 11.59 39.18 17.89P 2.49R 0.16 Rochdale 5 10 +6 2.48 78.51 5.03 72.74 11.18 15.94 7.53 15.59 47.55 22.99P 1.48R 0.10 Chesterfield 5 10 +3 2.75 81.26 2.37 75.17 11.01 16.60 10.04 20.43 56.04 29.68P 0.69R 0.05 Swindon 5 8 +2 -0.68 41.11 -0.77 76.01 11.24 20.29 12.27 23.57 59.35 34.18P 0.76R 0.05 Fleetwood_Town 5 7 +2 -0.04 50.31 1.69 59.50 10.86 -3.35 0.55 1.49 10.35 3.30P 13.91R 1.91 Oldham 5 7 +1 0.38 55.87 1.27 59.07 10.63 -4.63 0.46 1.22 9.34 2.91P 14.26R 1.92 Wigan 5 7 +0 -1.74 28.19 -2.78 75.78 11.30 18.39 12.21 23.04 58.13 34.63P 0.73R 0.05 Barnsley 5 7 -3 0.23 54.04 -2.80 66.26 11.01 1.62 2.16 5.40 25.18 10.12P 5.06R 0.43 Port_Vale 5 6 +2 -0.48 44.46 2.63 61.08 10.85 0.38 0.75 2.11 13.21 4.49P 11.06R 1.35 Doncaster 5 6 -1 -1.31 33.07 -1.76 62.42 10.79 -0.33 0.97 2.61 15.42 5.55P 8.83R 0.99 Scunthorpe 5 5 -2 -1.46 32.94 -1.37 55.67 11.06 -11.23 0.26 0.77 5.96 1.80P 24.10R 4.48 Bradford 5 5 -3 -1.46 32.98 -2.41 59.70 10.71 -4.60 0.48 1.46 10.23 3.39P 13.47R 1.77 Bury 5 4 -1 -2.10 26.41 0.27 50.25 11.55 -17.87 0.13 0.43 3.00 0.94P 42.55R 12.20 Peterborough 5 4 -4 -3.01 17.02 -4.23 61.94 11.06 -1.31 0.92 2.56 15.00 5.63P 10.35R 1.34 Millwall 5 4 -6 -2.75 19.63 -5.87 59.18 11.63 -7.42 0.73 2.00 11.11 4.11P 16.83R 2.93 Southend 5 3 -3 -2.18 23.56 -0.72 50.71 10.96 -14.44 0.09 0.25 2.40 0.73P 39.86R 10.22 Colchester 5 3 -5 -3.34 13.20 -4.16 48.54 10.74 -22.53 0.05 0.15 1.48 0.35P 48.81R 14.18 Shrewsbury 5 2 -3 -4.73 5.57 -2.92 55.57 11.27 -6.36 0.30 0.82 6.28 2.04P 24.42R 4.90 Crewe 5 2 -4 -3.10 14.23 -1.15 44.46 10.44 -25.66 0.02 0.04 0.54 0.15P 63.25R 24.34 Blackpool 5 1 -9 -4.76 4.90 -7.26 48.70 11.39 -22.33 0.06 0.17 1.83 0.52P 48.14R 15.68League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 5 15 +10 4.19 93.45 3.67 99.26 10.93 55.41 79.54 95.27 99.30 96.83P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 5 12 +7 3.55 87.05 4.61 75.93 10.64 18.47 3.98 34.46 70.91 44.30P 0.11R 0.04 Wycombe 5 11 +6 2.95 83.80 4.22 77.14 10.78 20.77 5.35 39.05 74.44 49.01P 0.09R 0.02 Portsmouth 5 11 +5 4.14 91.48 4.92 72.39 11.10 12.68 2.55 23.82 58.00 31.84P 0.44R 0.13 Oxford_Utd 5 9 +4 1.82 71.70 3.47 68.89 10.82 9.54 1.19 14.57 45.80 22.23P 1.09R 0.39 Hartlepool 5 9 +1 2.71 81.01 1.80 54.95 10.41 -14.53 0.07 1.14 7.81 2.31P 13.73R 6.42 Bristol_Rovers 5 9 +1 2.98 84.48 2.18 63.16 11.09 -0.82 0.38 6.47 26.17 11.09P 3.63R 1.52 Mansfield 5 8 +2 2.21 77.88 3.47 54.97 10.33 -11.31 0.05 1.07 7.80 2.18P 13.27R 6.36 Cambridge_Utd 5 8 +1 1.51 69.62 1.62 58.75 10.84 -8.30 0.17 2.83 15.18 5.20P 7.89R 3.41 Morecambe 5 7 +1 0.14 52.58 0.98 62.43 10.86 -0.35 0.32 5.34 24.19 9.60P 4.10R 1.70 Northampton 5 7 +0 0.05 51.66 -0.17 62.56 10.96 -1.38 0.39 5.91 24.52 10.06P 3.87R 1.60 AFC_Wimbledon 5 7 -1 0.68 59.79 -0.15 57.77 10.78 -9.56 0.12 2.19 13.08 4.36P 9.29R 4.22 Exeter 5 7 -2 0.36 55.97 -1.61 60.41 10.94 -6.98 0.20 3.96 19.05 7.06P 6.23R 2.80 Crawley_Town 5 6 +2 -2.15 24.46 0.06 73.13 11.53 18.28 3.25 27.22 61.29 38.21P 0.61R 0.23 Accrington_Stanley 5 6 +0 -0.31 46.57 0.91 55.04 10.68 -11.66 0.05 1.36 8.64 2.80P 13.98R 6.92 Carlisle 5 6 -2 -0.49 44.28 -1.34 55.58 11.27 -14.55 0.10 1.86 10.28 3.45P 14.65R 7.45 Stevenage 5 5 -3 -1.91 27.28 -2.92 65.81 11.01 4.04 0.65 9.69 35.06 16.40P 2.21R 0.83 Barnet 5 4 -4 -1.18 36.29 -1.20 49.44 11.05 -20.19 0.01 0.53 3.89 1.17P 30.47R 18.23 York 5 4 -4 -2.62 19.50 -3.73 54.65 10.39 -11.29 0.04 1.00 7.34 2.35P 13.85R 6.66 Notts_County 5 4 -5 -3.63 12.08 -6.21 66.91 11.64 5.02 1.10 12.75 39.17 20.45P 2.39R 1.03 Yeovil 5 3 -4 -3.96 9.40 -4.18 61.04 11.60 -1.22 0.36 5.35 22.11 9.71P 6.31R 2.89 Luton 5 2 -3 -5.01 4.70 -3.27 58.33 10.86 -2.69 0.12 2.66 14.62 5.76P 8.46R 3.74 Dag_&_Red 5 2 -6 -3.45 11.93 -3.71 53.85 10.86 -12.89 0.02 1.04 7.39 2.43P 17.25R 8.97 Newport_County 5 1 -6 -4.21 6.62 -3.42 50.42 10.70 -16.48 0.01 0.44 3.95 1.21P 26.10R 14.44National League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 August 2015, Braintree_Town 1 2 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 7 21 +12 7.05 98.57 5.05 87.49 10.40 31.99 27.60 79.99 40.86P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 7 17 +8 4.62 89.81 3.69 80.44 10.70 23.79 10.78 56.99 21.00P 0.03R 0.00 Woking 7 16 +9 3.69 85.13 4.73 79.41 10.51 24.18 8.68 53.83 18.99P 0.04R 0.00 Gateshead 7 16 +4 4.73 90.27 1.50 73.57 10.47 10.05 2.96 30.81 8.05P 0.16R 0.01 Cheltenham 7 15 +8 1.41 64.19 1.76 86.34 10.59 35.27 24.86 77.17 41.72P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 7 15 +7 3.76 84.56 4.58 75.85 10.40 18.14 4.54 39.63 11.85P 0.10R 0.01 Dover_Athletic 7 12 +2 0.66 56.66 -0.62 64.23 10.39 -0.30 0.42 8.91 1.87P 1.94R 0.28 Chester 7 12 +0 3.99 87.07 2.56 59.73 10.24 -9.67 0.14 3.87 0.63P 5.02R 0.76 Tranmere 7 11 +2 -2.12 27.78 -3.34 82.17 10.77 29.54 14.02 64.02 30.52P 0.03R 0.00 Braintree_Town 7 10 -1 -0.14 48.85 -1.86 61.33 10.00 -3.90 0.14 4.60 0.90P 3.23R 0.43 Grimsby 7 9 +3 -4.20 12.07 -2.61 75.35 10.34 22.50 4.19 38.77 14.40P 0.12R 0.01 Lincoln_City 7 9 +0 1.38 65.81 3.31 63.88 10.63 1.47 0.35 8.52 1.71P 2.67R 0.39 Aldershot 7 8 +0 -0.94 41.03 0.96 62.46 10.37 1.39 0.23 6.31 1.42P 2.93R 0.42 Guiseley 7 8 -5 0.26 54.80 -2.33 43.28 10.26 -33.76 0.00 0.12 0.02P 50.73R 20.77 Boreham_Wood 7 7 +0 0.06 52.87 4.15 55.49 11.17 -7.44 0.08 2.37 0.44P 13.06R 3.03 Macclesfield 7 7 -2 -2.91 20.86 -2.39 62.88 10.20 1.78 0.21 6.50 1.53P 2.51R 0.35 Torquay 7 7 -5 -1.58 34.62 -3.36 66.86 10.53 4.63 0.74 13.11 3.22P 1.31R 0.16 Barrow 7 7 -8 0.58 59.20 -2.11 43.96 10.79 -35.94 0.00 0.20 0.04P 48.66R 20.16 Altrincham 7 6 -6 -0.72 43.65 -1.47 47.90 9.83 -24.60 0.00 0.20 0.02P 31.29R 8.87 Bromley 7 5 -5 -1.29 38.17 0.79 47.27 11.29 -24.18 0.01 0.51 0.10P 35.99R 13.50 Halifax 7 4 -5 -6.11 4.03 -5.74 56.29 10.49 -7.38 0.04 2.06 0.42P 9.70R 1.91 Welling 7 4 -5 -3.15 17.45 -1.10 48.33 9.95 -19.18 0.00 0.25 0.05P 29.22R 8.26 Southport 7 4 -7 -2.97 19.43 -2.85 43.65 9.67 -28.93 0.00 0.05 0.00P 48.08R 17.88 Kidderminster 7 3 -6 -4.84 7.48 -3.30 54.39 10.34 -9.45 0.01 1.23 0.24P 13.18R 2.80