Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 August 2015, Southampton 3 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          4   12  +10       3.55    91.85     5.09    86.87     8.61    57.43    82.53    94.11    97.71    99.01    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace    4    9   +3       4.31    94.31     4.23    50.64     9.10    -4.40     0.08     0.80     2.70     6.02    16.82     4.95R    0.79  
Leicester         4    8   +3       2.39    80.95     2.83    49.22     9.29    -5.91     0.08     0.86     2.44     5.04    13.95     7.36R    1.32  
Swansea           4    8   +3       2.69    84.96     3.28    54.85     9.38     3.08     0.32     2.52     6.96    13.61    31.04     2.18R    0.25  
Man_Utd           4    7   +1      -0.45    43.01    -1.87    65.54     9.30    18.64     3.22    19.34    36.97    52.74    74.89     0.10R    0.01  
Arsenal           4    7   +0      -0.41    43.50    -2.88    68.00     9.33    21.66     5.14    27.62    47.77    63.39    82.27     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool         4    7   -1       0.70    60.45    -2.23    60.60     9.53     9.25     1.17     8.53    19.18    31.34    54.76     0.56R    0.07  
West_Ham          4    6   +3       0.85    61.88     3.46    51.24     9.21     0.78     0.09     1.12     3.47     7.19    18.79     4.53R    0.72  
Everton           4    5   +1      -0.34    46.57     1.32    56.76     9.38     8.64     0.38     4.03    10.35    18.86    39.26     1.45R    0.16  
Southampton       4    5   +0      -1.80    25.88    -1.94    55.63     9.36     5.82     0.32     3.31     8.48    15.76    34.46     1.59R    0.22  
Bournemouth       4    4   -1      -0.60    44.20     0.42    39.55     9.58   -20.20     0.01     0.11     0.31     0.73     2.69    35.45R   12.53  
Aston_Villa       4    4   -1      -0.49    44.97     0.40    37.27     8.57   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.18     0.95    43.40R   14.92  
Chelsea           4    4   -3      -3.10    12.68    -5.41    69.70     9.13    26.59     6.48    35.29    56.31    70.69    86.73     0.03R    0.00  
Norwich           4    4   -3      -0.73    41.88    -1.91    39.41     9.58   -21.96     0.01     0.09     0.29     0.71     2.56    36.12R   12.70  
West_Brom         4    4   -3       0.10    54.81    -0.30    43.91     9.03   -12.60     0.01     0.16     0.58     1.38     4.94    17.96R    4.44  
Tottenham         4    3   -1      -2.51    17.49    -1.09    52.89     9.55     3.49     0.17     1.83     5.28    10.48    25.17     3.66R    0.56  
Watford           4    3   -2      -0.55    42.81     1.27    39.97     9.55   -17.51     0.00     0.08     0.34     0.78     2.86    33.13R   11.27  
Stoke             4    2   -2      -3.32    10.97    -1.83    44.85     9.07    -7.27     0.01     0.19     0.66     1.71     6.08    14.99R    3.49  
Newcastle         4    2   -3      -1.42    31.33     0.11    38.81     8.93   -18.52     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.30     1.57    36.41R   12.12  
Sunderland        4    2   -4      -2.72    16.14    -2.94    34.62     8.57   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.07     0.43    56.09R   24.43  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Brentford 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         5   13   +4       5.86    97.46     3.51    70.21    10.43     6.64     5.13    11.68    40.64    17.91P    1.02R    0.07  
Hull             5   10   +4       1.24    65.00     1.23    78.41    11.53    21.87    21.88    36.42    69.95    46.60P    0.28R    0.04  
Ipswich          5   10   +3       2.39    77.84     1.88    73.49    11.21    14.11    10.67    20.70    53.92    28.95P    0.80R    0.08  
QPR              5   10   +2       1.63    69.77    -0.37    74.28    12.20    14.33    14.01    25.17    55.75    33.26P    1.16R    0.17  
Cardiff          5    9   +3       2.19    75.47     3.05    66.99    10.82     6.13     3.26     7.81    30.76    12.87P    2.64R    0.37  
Middlesbrough    5    8   +4      -0.41    44.85     1.76    75.86    10.71    21.06    14.16    26.86    63.03    38.12P    0.29R    0.02  
Birmingham       4    8   +3       3.06    87.07     3.79    63.01    11.16    -0.61     1.85     4.47    19.96     7.37P    6.27R    1.12  
Charlton         5    8   +2       2.35    79.26     3.64    62.09    10.58    -0.10     1.10     2.95    16.66     5.63P    6.33R    0.93  
Burnley          5    8   +0       0.29    54.34    -1.27    71.06    11.35    10.42     7.47    15.44    45.06    23.63P    1.39R    0.18  
Leeds_United     5    7   +1       0.94    63.41     2.10    58.38    10.67    -5.40     0.59     1.61     9.82     3.27P   11.98R    2.30  
MK_Dons          5    7   +1      -0.55    43.41    -0.04    60.18    11.73    -3.47     1.45     3.54    15.57     6.21P   11.19R    2.20  
Wolverhampton    5    7   -1      -0.04    50.28    -1.31    69.24    11.09     8.14     5.18    11.53    38.63    18.28P    1.83R    0.25  
Reading          5    6   +1      -0.59    43.11     1.34    58.18    10.72    -4.25     0.51     1.61     9.83     3.31P   12.46R    2.52  
Fulham           5    5   +0      -1.53    32.24     0.52    56.28    11.21    -8.37     0.45     1.25     8.42     2.64P   18.11R    4.08  
Sheff_Wed        5    5   -1      -1.16    36.98    -0.17    55.94    10.42    -7.45     0.26     0.83     6.46     1.94P   16.57R    3.46  
Nott'm_Forest    5    5   -1      -2.33    23.19    -1.80    59.17    11.14    -4.16     0.89     2.36    12.25     4.52P   11.50R    2.17  
Preston          5    5   -2      -0.88    40.34    -0.80    55.98    11.07    -8.33     0.41     1.11     7.50     2.43P   18.17R    3.82  
Brentford        4    4   -1      -1.64    29.41    -1.23    64.78    11.55     3.78     2.70     6.40    25.82    11.04P    5.30R    1.01  
Derby            5    4   -1      -4.15     9.04    -2.92    70.24    11.24    14.25     6.52    14.02    43.10    22.82P    1.70R    0.21  
Bristol_City     5    4   -4      -2.05    26.81    -2.76    55.67    11.94   -11.58     0.56     1.57     8.76     3.14P   21.31R    6.03  
Blackburn        5    3   -2      -4.08     8.83    -2.41    59.23    10.93    -1.59     0.75     2.02    11.90     4.37P   10.90R    2.09  
Huddersfield     5    3   -3      -2.36    21.56    -0.79    49.97    10.62   -16.63     0.07     0.21     2.22     0.59P   35.92R   11.00  
Bolton           5    3   -4      -2.59    19.09    -2.25    53.09    10.55   -12.14     0.13     0.45     3.90     1.10P   24.97R    6.30  
Rotherham        5    1   -8      -3.85     8.46    -4.72    38.76     9.87   -36.63     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   77.89R   49.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Blackpool 0 4 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall           5   13   +8       5.34    96.29     6.81    75.68    10.67    17.83    10.45    21.40    57.87    30.37P    0.39R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd         5   12   +4       4.33    91.58     2.75    80.96    10.89    23.10    22.40    38.23    74.77    48.58P    0.16R    0.01  
Burton_Albion     5   12   +3       5.42    95.49     3.35    64.72    11.38    -1.94     2.02     4.93    21.53     8.11P    6.91R    0.69  
Gillingham        5   11   +7       4.31    91.69     7.24    74.30    11.36    17.74     9.61    19.18    52.82    26.90P    1.08R    0.07  
Rochdale          5   10   +6       2.44    78.23     4.97    72.68    11.06    15.87     7.03    15.03    47.07    22.61P    1.31R    0.08  
Chesterfield      5   10   +3       2.74    81.22     2.37    75.06    11.02    16.45    10.06    20.23    55.33    29.11P    0.77R    0.05  
Coventry          4    9   +6       3.25    87.31     5.52    71.60    11.42    13.41     6.49    13.52    43.66    20.36P    1.99R    0.14  
Swindon           5    8   +2      -0.71    41.06    -0.79    75.94    11.13    20.23    11.99    23.26    58.78    33.67P    0.66R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town    5    7   +2      -0.03    50.35     1.69    59.62    10.71    -3.15     0.50     1.59    10.35     3.31P   13.35R    1.67  
Oldham            5    7   +1       0.37    55.78     1.25    59.31    10.65    -4.22     0.46     1.27     9.68     3.03P   13.66R    1.75  
Wigan             5    7   +0      -1.77    27.84    -2.84    75.99    11.32    18.67    12.11    23.06    58.98    35.34P    0.68R    0.04  
Barnsley          5    7   -3       0.26    54.58    -2.77    66.35    11.02     1.79     2.25     5.53    25.24    10.08P    5.02R    0.51  
Port_Vale         5    6   +2      -0.46    44.81     2.64    61.15    10.87     0.55     0.77     2.16    13.30     4.43P   10.87R    1.33  
Doncaster         5    6   -1      -1.33    32.94    -1.76    62.37    10.82    -0.32     1.01     2.68    15.22     5.59P    8.65R    1.02  
Scunthorpe        5    5   -2      -1.42    33.56    -1.28    55.36    10.94   -11.74     0.24     0.68     5.54     1.67P   24.77R    4.62  
Bradford          5    5   -3      -1.44    33.34    -2.37    59.32    10.63    -5.14     0.43     1.24     9.38     2.92P   14.05R    1.95  
Bury              5    4   -1      -2.12    26.14     0.24    50.41    11.57   -17.60     0.12     0.38     3.03     0.93P   42.04R   12.13  
Peterborough      5    4   -4      -3.05    16.54    -4.29    61.92    10.93    -1.25     0.89     2.50    14.50     5.27P    9.92R    1.22  
Millwall          5    4   -6      -2.78    19.60    -5.91    59.40    11.55    -7.18     0.74     1.86    11.18     4.18P   16.20R    2.65  
Colchester        5    3   -5      -3.36    13.24    -4.18    48.66    10.69   -22.33     0.04     0.12     1.49     0.34P   48.00R   13.80  
Shrewsbury        5    2   -3      -4.70     5.67    -2.90    55.19    11.17    -6.87     0.26     0.76     5.75     2.01P   25.18R    5.07  
Southend          4    2   -3      -2.23    21.37    -1.37    49.96    11.12   -15.82     0.07     0.19     2.30     0.59P   42.83R   11.85  
Crewe             5    2   -4      -3.10    14.36    -1.14    44.60    10.32   -25.44     0.01     0.02     0.47     0.09P   62.91R   23.97  
Blackpool         5    1   -9      -4.74     4.76    -7.23    48.52    11.25   -22.65     0.07     0.17     1.75     0.51P   48.60R   15.34  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         5   15  +10       4.14    93.28     3.56    99.43    10.93    55.78    80.18    95.38    99.36    96.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth              5   12   +7       3.57    87.08     4.65    76.04    10.65    18.60     4.12    34.73    70.88    44.51P    0.10R    0.04  
Wycombe               5   11   +6       2.90    83.22     4.16    77.36    10.71    21.16     5.26    39.75    75.34    50.05P    0.10R    0.02  
Portsmouth            5   11   +5       4.12    91.55     4.90    72.44    11.03    12.72     2.47    23.76    58.49    31.86P    0.50R    0.18  
Oxford_Utd            5    9   +4       1.82    72.00     3.46    69.12    10.80     9.87     1.19    15.18    46.80    23.07P    0.91R    0.30  
Hartlepool            5    9   +1       2.75    81.07     1.86    54.83    10.29   -14.76     0.04     1.01     7.44     2.10P   13.58R    6.47  
Bristol_Rovers        5    9   +1       2.95    83.89     2.20    63.14    11.10    -0.82     0.34     6.53    26.33    10.80P    3.75R    1.48  
Mansfield             5    8   +2       2.21    78.23     3.46    54.95    10.34   -11.33     0.06     1.12     7.96     2.27P   13.18R    6.27  
Cambridge_Utd         5    8   +1       1.58    70.55     1.73    58.41    10.85    -8.76     0.13     2.54    14.52     4.89P    8.34R    3.76  
Morecambe             5    7   +1       0.19    53.43     1.06    62.19    10.88    -0.71     0.32     5.15    23.34     9.24P    4.36R    1.77  
Northampton           5    7   +0       0.04    51.27    -0.22    62.44    10.91    -1.53     0.33     5.56    24.34     9.80P    4.05R    1.64  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   -1       0.63    59.31    -0.23    58.01    10.63    -9.19     0.08     2.31    13.07     4.35P    8.80R    3.96  
Exeter                5    7   -2       0.41    56.36    -1.54    60.15    10.92    -7.39     0.17     3.66    18.19     6.64P    6.61R    2.88  
Crawley_Town          5    6   +2      -2.17    24.24     0.04    73.18    11.38    18.34     3.06    27.08    61.75    38.12P    0.50R    0.16  
Accrington_Stanley    5    6   +0      -0.28    47.02     0.95    54.79    10.79   -12.04     0.06     1.32     8.41     2.63P   15.02R    7.49  
Carlisle              5    6   -2      -0.56    43.41    -1.44    55.88    11.15   -14.04     0.08     1.92    10.74     3.63P   13.67R    6.82  
Stevenage             5    5   -3      -1.86    27.57    -2.83    65.56    11.03     3.65     0.55     9.40    34.22    15.74P    2.37R    0.94  
Barnet                5    4   -4      -1.17    36.53    -1.18    49.41    11.04   -20.21     0.01     0.50     3.74     1.10P   30.31R   17.95  
York                  5    4   -4      -2.62    19.31    -3.74    54.65    10.37   -11.27     0.03     0.95     7.40     2.37P   13.91R    6.75  
Notts_County          5    4   -5      -3.68    11.68    -6.27    67.18    11.68     5.49     1.07    13.18    40.34    21.37P    2.20R    0.90  
Yeovil                5    3   -4      -3.95     9.55    -4.19    60.94    11.63    -1.36     0.34     5.24    22.08     9.82P    6.57R    2.98  
Luton                 5    2   -3      -5.01     4.72    -3.25    58.37    10.60    -2.65     0.09     2.34    14.17     5.23P    7.95R    3.58  
Dag_&_Red             5    2   -6      -3.42    12.08    -3.67    53.77    10.84   -13.13     0.03     0.98     7.05     2.34P   17.37R    9.18  
Newport_County        5    1   -6      -4.22     6.47    -3.45    50.48    10.71   -16.44     0.01     0.41     4.03     1.16P   25.85R   14.47  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Aldershot 1 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      6   18  +11       6.33    98.01     5.56    87.58    10.66    33.71    27.83    79.44    41.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham           6   15   +8       4.65    91.35     4.86    76.80    10.61    18.55     5.47    42.77    13.29P    0.08R    0.01  
Eastleigh         6   14   +7       3.41    83.95     3.36    78.44    10.94    22.07     7.95    49.41    16.94P    0.08R    0.00  
Woking            6   13   +7       2.91    81.26     4.06    77.87    10.68    22.35     6.79    47.67    15.90P    0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead         6   13   +2       3.60    85.51     0.26    70.81    10.76     6.32     1.83    22.82     5.61P    0.53R    0.04  
Cheltenham        6   12   +7       0.28    51.42     1.55    84.71    10.98    34.13    20.39    71.67    36.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester           6   11   +0       4.76    92.53     3.10    60.66    10.60    -8.79     0.14     4.87     0.81P    4.93R    0.79  
Tranmere          6   10   +2      -1.13    36.10    -2.38    84.00    11.04    31.59    18.55    69.52    35.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    6   10   +0       1.24    64.39    -0.83    63.75    10.28    -1.23     0.29     7.75     1.52P    2.10R    0.21  
Grimsby           6    9   +5      -2.56    21.35    -0.25    79.24    10.58    28.34     8.58    53.54    21.91P    0.05R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      6    9   +2       2.28    75.66     4.51    66.09    10.83     4.87     0.66    12.68     2.65P    1.60R    0.20  
Dover_Athletic    6    9   +1      -0.50    43.99    -0.91    62.39    10.54    -1.57     0.26     6.76     1.31P    3.09R    0.40  
Boreham_Wood      6    7   +1       0.94    62.95     4.39    56.94    11.58    -6.22     0.11     3.67     0.70P   11.12R    2.43  
Torquay           6    7   -4      -0.61    44.19    -3.03    67.64    10.77     4.64     0.84    15.31     3.69P    1.13R    0.14  
Guiseley          6    7   -5       0.21    54.10    -2.99    43.00    10.64   -34.72     0.01     0.15     0.03P   51.49R   21.28  
Barrow            6    7   -6       1.19    66.79    -1.52    45.89    11.14   -32.31     0.01     0.45     0.09P   41.52R   14.80  
Altrincham        6    6   -3       0.28    55.57     0.90    51.34    10.18   -18.04     0.00     0.57     0.07P   20.24R    4.72  
Aldershot         6    5   -1      -2.67    21.89    -0.15    59.43    10.46    -1.55     0.10     3.80     0.81P    5.66R    0.85  
Bromley           6    5   -4      -0.63    45.42     0.46    47.74    11.65   -24.72     0.02     0.71     0.13P   34.46R   12.71  
Welling           6    4   -3      -2.55    21.77    -0.34    49.62    10.19   -17.37     0.00     0.48     0.08P   24.90R    6.15  
Macclesfield      6    4   -4      -4.70     7.48    -4.62    58.70    10.57    -3.91     0.09     3.40     0.78P    6.44R    1.08  
Kidderminster     6    2   -6      -4.96     5.72    -4.13    53.22    10.41   -11.73     0.02     1.02     0.21P   15.42R    3.42  
Halifax           6    1   -7      -6.92     1.09    -6.50    54.43    10.66    -9.64     0.04     1.53     0.32P   13.32R    3.00  
Southport         6    1  -10      -4.27     6.86    -5.35    40.23     9.69   -34.78     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.74R   27.74