Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 30 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 August 2015, Southampton 3 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 4 12 +10 3.55 91.85 5.09 86.87 8.61 57.43 82.53 94.11 97.71 99.01 99.79 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 4 9 +3 4.31 94.31 4.23 50.64 9.10 -4.40 0.08 0.80 2.70 6.02 16.82 4.95R 0.79 Leicester 4 8 +3 2.39 80.95 2.83 49.22 9.29 -5.91 0.08 0.86 2.44 5.04 13.95 7.36R 1.32 Swansea 4 8 +3 2.69 84.96 3.28 54.85 9.38 3.08 0.32 2.52 6.96 13.61 31.04 2.18R 0.25 Man_Utd 4 7 +1 -0.45 43.01 -1.87 65.54 9.30 18.64 3.22 19.34 36.97 52.74 74.89 0.10R 0.01 Arsenal 4 7 +0 -0.41 43.50 -2.88 68.00 9.33 21.66 5.14 27.62 47.77 63.39 82.27 0.03R 0.00 Liverpool 4 7 -1 0.70 60.45 -2.23 60.60 9.53 9.25 1.17 8.53 19.18 31.34 54.76 0.56R 0.07 West_Ham 4 6 +3 0.85 61.88 3.46 51.24 9.21 0.78 0.09 1.12 3.47 7.19 18.79 4.53R 0.72 Everton 4 5 +1 -0.34 46.57 1.32 56.76 9.38 8.64 0.38 4.03 10.35 18.86 39.26 1.45R 0.16 Southampton 4 5 +0 -1.80 25.88 -1.94 55.63 9.36 5.82 0.32 3.31 8.48 15.76 34.46 1.59R 0.22 Bournemouth 4 4 -1 -0.60 44.20 0.42 39.55 9.58 -20.20 0.01 0.11 0.31 0.73 2.69 35.45R 12.53 Aston_Villa 4 4 -1 -0.49 44.97 0.40 37.27 8.57 -21.14 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.18 0.95 43.40R 14.92 Chelsea 4 4 -3 -3.10 12.68 -5.41 69.70 9.13 26.59 6.48 35.29 56.31 70.69 86.73 0.03R 0.00 Norwich 4 4 -3 -0.73 41.88 -1.91 39.41 9.58 -21.96 0.01 0.09 0.29 0.71 2.56 36.12R 12.70 West_Brom 4 4 -3 0.10 54.81 -0.30 43.91 9.03 -12.60 0.01 0.16 0.58 1.38 4.94 17.96R 4.44 Tottenham 4 3 -1 -2.51 17.49 -1.09 52.89 9.55 3.49 0.17 1.83 5.28 10.48 25.17 3.66R 0.56 Watford 4 3 -2 -0.55 42.81 1.27 39.97 9.55 -17.51 0.00 0.08 0.34 0.78 2.86 33.13R 11.27 Stoke 4 2 -2 -3.32 10.97 -1.83 44.85 9.07 -7.27 0.01 0.19 0.66 1.71 6.08 14.99R 3.49 Newcastle 4 2 -3 -1.42 31.33 0.11 38.81 8.93 -18.52 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.30 1.57 36.41R 12.12 Sunderland 4 2 -4 -2.72 16.14 -2.94 34.62 8.57 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.43 56.09R 24.43Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Brentford 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 5 13 +4 5.86 97.46 3.51 70.21 10.43 6.64 5.13 11.68 40.64 17.91P 1.02R 0.07 Hull 5 10 +4 1.24 65.00 1.23 78.41 11.53 21.87 21.88 36.42 69.95 46.60P 0.28R 0.04 Ipswich 5 10 +3 2.39 77.84 1.88 73.49 11.21 14.11 10.67 20.70 53.92 28.95P 0.80R 0.08 QPR 5 10 +2 1.63 69.77 -0.37 74.28 12.20 14.33 14.01 25.17 55.75 33.26P 1.16R 0.17 Cardiff 5 9 +3 2.19 75.47 3.05 66.99 10.82 6.13 3.26 7.81 30.76 12.87P 2.64R 0.37 Middlesbrough 5 8 +4 -0.41 44.85 1.76 75.86 10.71 21.06 14.16 26.86 63.03 38.12P 0.29R 0.02 Birmingham 4 8 +3 3.06 87.07 3.79 63.01 11.16 -0.61 1.85 4.47 19.96 7.37P 6.27R 1.12 Charlton 5 8 +2 2.35 79.26 3.64 62.09 10.58 -0.10 1.10 2.95 16.66 5.63P 6.33R 0.93 Burnley 5 8 +0 0.29 54.34 -1.27 71.06 11.35 10.42 7.47 15.44 45.06 23.63P 1.39R 0.18 Leeds_United 5 7 +1 0.94 63.41 2.10 58.38 10.67 -5.40 0.59 1.61 9.82 3.27P 11.98R 2.30 MK_Dons 5 7 +1 -0.55 43.41 -0.04 60.18 11.73 -3.47 1.45 3.54 15.57 6.21P 11.19R 2.20 Wolverhampton 5 7 -1 -0.04 50.28 -1.31 69.24 11.09 8.14 5.18 11.53 38.63 18.28P 1.83R 0.25 Reading 5 6 +1 -0.59 43.11 1.34 58.18 10.72 -4.25 0.51 1.61 9.83 3.31P 12.46R 2.52 Fulham 5 5 +0 -1.53 32.24 0.52 56.28 11.21 -8.37 0.45 1.25 8.42 2.64P 18.11R 4.08 Sheff_Wed 5 5 -1 -1.16 36.98 -0.17 55.94 10.42 -7.45 0.26 0.83 6.46 1.94P 16.57R 3.46 Nott'm_Forest 5 5 -1 -2.33 23.19 -1.80 59.17 11.14 -4.16 0.89 2.36 12.25 4.52P 11.50R 2.17 Preston 5 5 -2 -0.88 40.34 -0.80 55.98 11.07 -8.33 0.41 1.11 7.50 2.43P 18.17R 3.82 Brentford 4 4 -1 -1.64 29.41 -1.23 64.78 11.55 3.78 2.70 6.40 25.82 11.04P 5.30R 1.01 Derby 5 4 -1 -4.15 9.04 -2.92 70.24 11.24 14.25 6.52 14.02 43.10 22.82P 1.70R 0.21 Bristol_City 5 4 -4 -2.05 26.81 -2.76 55.67 11.94 -11.58 0.56 1.57 8.76 3.14P 21.31R 6.03 Blackburn 5 3 -2 -4.08 8.83 -2.41 59.23 10.93 -1.59 0.75 2.02 11.90 4.37P 10.90R 2.09 Huddersfield 5 3 -3 -2.36 21.56 -0.79 49.97 10.62 -16.63 0.07 0.21 2.22 0.59P 35.92R 11.00 Bolton 5 3 -4 -2.59 19.09 -2.25 53.09 10.55 -12.14 0.13 0.45 3.90 1.10P 24.97R 6.30 Rotherham 5 1 -8 -3.85 8.46 -4.72 38.76 9.87 -36.63 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 77.89R 49.60League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Blackpool 0 4 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Walsall 5 13 +8 5.34 96.29 6.81 75.68 10.67 17.83 10.45 21.40 57.87 30.37P 0.39R 0.02 Sheff_Utd 5 12 +4 4.33 91.58 2.75 80.96 10.89 23.10 22.40 38.23 74.77 48.58P 0.16R 0.01 Burton_Albion 5 12 +3 5.42 95.49 3.35 64.72 11.38 -1.94 2.02 4.93 21.53 8.11P 6.91R 0.69 Gillingham 5 11 +7 4.31 91.69 7.24 74.30 11.36 17.74 9.61 19.18 52.82 26.90P 1.08R 0.07 Rochdale 5 10 +6 2.44 78.23 4.97 72.68 11.06 15.87 7.03 15.03 47.07 22.61P 1.31R 0.08 Chesterfield 5 10 +3 2.74 81.22 2.37 75.06 11.02 16.45 10.06 20.23 55.33 29.11P 0.77R 0.05 Coventry 4 9 +6 3.25 87.31 5.52 71.60 11.42 13.41 6.49 13.52 43.66 20.36P 1.99R 0.14 Swindon 5 8 +2 -0.71 41.06 -0.79 75.94 11.13 20.23 11.99 23.26 58.78 33.67P 0.66R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 5 7 +2 -0.03 50.35 1.69 59.62 10.71 -3.15 0.50 1.59 10.35 3.31P 13.35R 1.67 Oldham 5 7 +1 0.37 55.78 1.25 59.31 10.65 -4.22 0.46 1.27 9.68 3.03P 13.66R 1.75 Wigan 5 7 +0 -1.77 27.84 -2.84 75.99 11.32 18.67 12.11 23.06 58.98 35.34P 0.68R 0.04 Barnsley 5 7 -3 0.26 54.58 -2.77 66.35 11.02 1.79 2.25 5.53 25.24 10.08P 5.02R 0.51 Port_Vale 5 6 +2 -0.46 44.81 2.64 61.15 10.87 0.55 0.77 2.16 13.30 4.43P 10.87R 1.33 Doncaster 5 6 -1 -1.33 32.94 -1.76 62.37 10.82 -0.32 1.01 2.68 15.22 5.59P 8.65R 1.02 Scunthorpe 5 5 -2 -1.42 33.56 -1.28 55.36 10.94 -11.74 0.24 0.68 5.54 1.67P 24.77R 4.62 Bradford 5 5 -3 -1.44 33.34 -2.37 59.32 10.63 -5.14 0.43 1.24 9.38 2.92P 14.05R 1.95 Bury 5 4 -1 -2.12 26.14 0.24 50.41 11.57 -17.60 0.12 0.38 3.03 0.93P 42.04R 12.13 Peterborough 5 4 -4 -3.05 16.54 -4.29 61.92 10.93 -1.25 0.89 2.50 14.50 5.27P 9.92R 1.22 Millwall 5 4 -6 -2.78 19.60 -5.91 59.40 11.55 -7.18 0.74 1.86 11.18 4.18P 16.20R 2.65 Colchester 5 3 -5 -3.36 13.24 -4.18 48.66 10.69 -22.33 0.04 0.12 1.49 0.34P 48.00R 13.80 Shrewsbury 5 2 -3 -4.70 5.67 -2.90 55.19 11.17 -6.87 0.26 0.76 5.75 2.01P 25.18R 5.07 Southend 4 2 -3 -2.23 21.37 -1.37 49.96 11.12 -15.82 0.07 0.19 2.30 0.59P 42.83R 11.85 Crewe 5 2 -4 -3.10 14.36 -1.14 44.60 10.32 -25.44 0.01 0.02 0.47 0.09P 62.91R 23.97 Blackpool 5 1 -9 -4.74 4.76 -7.23 48.52 11.25 -22.65 0.07 0.17 1.75 0.51P 48.60R 15.34League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 5 15 +10 4.14 93.28 3.56 99.43 10.93 55.78 80.18 95.38 99.36 96.90P 0.00R 0.00 Plymouth 5 12 +7 3.57 87.08 4.65 76.04 10.65 18.60 4.12 34.73 70.88 44.51P 0.10R 0.04 Wycombe 5 11 +6 2.90 83.22 4.16 77.36 10.71 21.16 5.26 39.75 75.34 50.05P 0.10R 0.02 Portsmouth 5 11 +5 4.12 91.55 4.90 72.44 11.03 12.72 2.47 23.76 58.49 31.86P 0.50R 0.18 Oxford_Utd 5 9 +4 1.82 72.00 3.46 69.12 10.80 9.87 1.19 15.18 46.80 23.07P 0.91R 0.30 Hartlepool 5 9 +1 2.75 81.07 1.86 54.83 10.29 -14.76 0.04 1.01 7.44 2.10P 13.58R 6.47 Bristol_Rovers 5 9 +1 2.95 83.89 2.20 63.14 11.10 -0.82 0.34 6.53 26.33 10.80P 3.75R 1.48 Mansfield 5 8 +2 2.21 78.23 3.46 54.95 10.34 -11.33 0.06 1.12 7.96 2.27P 13.18R 6.27 Cambridge_Utd 5 8 +1 1.58 70.55 1.73 58.41 10.85 -8.76 0.13 2.54 14.52 4.89P 8.34R 3.76 Morecambe 5 7 +1 0.19 53.43 1.06 62.19 10.88 -0.71 0.32 5.15 23.34 9.24P 4.36R 1.77 Northampton 5 7 +0 0.04 51.27 -0.22 62.44 10.91 -1.53 0.33 5.56 24.34 9.80P 4.05R 1.64 AFC_Wimbledon 5 7 -1 0.63 59.31 -0.23 58.01 10.63 -9.19 0.08 2.31 13.07 4.35P 8.80R 3.96 Exeter 5 7 -2 0.41 56.36 -1.54 60.15 10.92 -7.39 0.17 3.66 18.19 6.64P 6.61R 2.88 Crawley_Town 5 6 +2 -2.17 24.24 0.04 73.18 11.38 18.34 3.06 27.08 61.75 38.12P 0.50R 0.16 Accrington_Stanley 5 6 +0 -0.28 47.02 0.95 54.79 10.79 -12.04 0.06 1.32 8.41 2.63P 15.02R 7.49 Carlisle 5 6 -2 -0.56 43.41 -1.44 55.88 11.15 -14.04 0.08 1.92 10.74 3.63P 13.67R 6.82 Stevenage 5 5 -3 -1.86 27.57 -2.83 65.56 11.03 3.65 0.55 9.40 34.22 15.74P 2.37R 0.94 Barnet 5 4 -4 -1.17 36.53 -1.18 49.41 11.04 -20.21 0.01 0.50 3.74 1.10P 30.31R 17.95 York 5 4 -4 -2.62 19.31 -3.74 54.65 10.37 -11.27 0.03 0.95 7.40 2.37P 13.91R 6.75 Notts_County 5 4 -5 -3.68 11.68 -6.27 67.18 11.68 5.49 1.07 13.18 40.34 21.37P 2.20R 0.90 Yeovil 5 3 -4 -3.95 9.55 -4.19 60.94 11.63 -1.36 0.34 5.24 22.08 9.82P 6.57R 2.98 Luton 5 2 -3 -5.01 4.72 -3.25 58.37 10.60 -2.65 0.09 2.34 14.17 5.23P 7.95R 3.58 Dag_&_Red 5 2 -6 -3.42 12.08 -3.67 53.77 10.84 -13.13 0.03 0.98 7.05 2.34P 17.37R 9.18 Newport_County 5 1 -6 -4.22 6.47 -3.45 50.48 10.71 -16.44 0.01 0.41 4.03 1.16P 25.85R 14.47National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Aldershot 1 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 6 18 +11 6.33 98.01 5.56 87.58 10.66 33.71 27.83 79.44 41.03P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 6 15 +8 4.65 91.35 4.86 76.80 10.61 18.55 5.47 42.77 13.29P 0.08R 0.01 Eastleigh 6 14 +7 3.41 83.95 3.36 78.44 10.94 22.07 7.95 49.41 16.94P 0.08R 0.00 Woking 6 13 +7 2.91 81.26 4.06 77.87 10.68 22.35 6.79 47.67 15.90P 0.06R 0.00 Gateshead 6 13 +2 3.60 85.51 0.26 70.81 10.76 6.32 1.83 22.82 5.61P 0.53R 0.04 Cheltenham 6 12 +7 0.28 51.42 1.55 84.71 10.98 34.13 20.39 71.67 36.71P 0.01R 0.00 Chester 6 11 +0 4.76 92.53 3.10 60.66 10.60 -8.79 0.14 4.87 0.81P 4.93R 0.79 Tranmere 6 10 +2 -1.13 36.10 -2.38 84.00 11.04 31.59 18.55 69.52 35.41P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 6 10 +0 1.24 64.39 -0.83 63.75 10.28 -1.23 0.29 7.75 1.52P 2.10R 0.21 Grimsby 6 9 +5 -2.56 21.35 -0.25 79.24 10.58 28.34 8.58 53.54 21.91P 0.05R 0.01 Lincoln_City 6 9 +2 2.28 75.66 4.51 66.09 10.83 4.87 0.66 12.68 2.65P 1.60R 0.20 Dover_Athletic 6 9 +1 -0.50 43.99 -0.91 62.39 10.54 -1.57 0.26 6.76 1.31P 3.09R 0.40 Boreham_Wood 6 7 +1 0.94 62.95 4.39 56.94 11.58 -6.22 0.11 3.67 0.70P 11.12R 2.43 Torquay 6 7 -4 -0.61 44.19 -3.03 67.64 10.77 4.64 0.84 15.31 3.69P 1.13R 0.14 Guiseley 6 7 -5 0.21 54.10 -2.99 43.00 10.64 -34.72 0.01 0.15 0.03P 51.49R 21.28 Barrow 6 7 -6 1.19 66.79 -1.52 45.89 11.14 -32.31 0.01 0.45 0.09P 41.52R 14.80 Altrincham 6 6 -3 0.28 55.57 0.90 51.34 10.18 -18.04 0.00 0.57 0.07P 20.24R 4.72 Aldershot 6 5 -1 -2.67 21.89 -0.15 59.43 10.46 -1.55 0.10 3.80 0.81P 5.66R 0.85 Bromley 6 5 -4 -0.63 45.42 0.46 47.74 11.65 -24.72 0.02 0.71 0.13P 34.46R 12.71 Welling 6 4 -3 -2.55 21.77 -0.34 49.62 10.19 -17.37 0.00 0.48 0.08P 24.90R 6.15 Macclesfield 6 4 -4 -4.70 7.48 -4.62 58.70 10.57 -3.91 0.09 3.40 0.78P 6.44R 1.08 Kidderminster 6 2 -6 -4.96 5.72 -4.13 53.22 10.41 -11.73 0.02 1.02 0.21P 15.42R 3.42 Halifax 6 1 -7 -6.92 1.09 -6.50 54.43 10.66 -9.64 0.04 1.53 0.32P 13.32R 3.00 Southport 6 1 -10 -4.27 6.86 -5.35 40.23 9.69 -34.78 0.00 0.01 0.00P 61.74R 27.74