Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Aston_Villa 2 2 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          4   12  +10       3.56    92.11     5.14    86.45     8.67    56.69    80.15    93.11    97.27    98.94    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace    4    9   +3       4.38    94.55     4.30    50.66     9.12    -4.41     0.07     0.78     2.69     5.91    17.58     5.32R    0.85  
Leicester         4    8   +3       2.38    80.94     2.81    49.14     9.29    -6.06     0.05     0.68     2.24     4.90    14.24     7.74R    1.31  
Man_Utd           3    7   +2       1.26    71.57    -0.39    68.55     9.54    22.12     6.28    28.96    49.56    65.54    83.81     0.06R    0.00  
Arsenal           4    7   +0      -0.38    44.20    -2.84    67.83     9.30    21.38     5.27    25.60    46.04    62.56    82.86     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool         4    7   -1       0.70    60.63    -2.22    60.65     9.47     9.36     1.17     8.09    18.59    31.26    56.41     0.57R    0.07  
West_Ham          4    6   +3       0.90    62.66     3.52    50.95     9.25     0.31     0.07     0.98     3.03     6.83    19.05     5.09R    0.92  
Swansea           3    5   +2       0.69    62.34     1.74    51.85     9.58     0.07     0.17     1.52     4.27     8.79    22.47     4.69R    0.74  
Everton           4    5   +1      -0.34    46.64     1.33    56.48     9.34     8.25     0.39     3.65     9.63    18.18    39.21     1.37R    0.19  
Norwich           3    4   +0       0.09    54.61     0.27    42.60     9.96   -15.77     0.03     0.22     0.76     1.81     5.75    25.49R    8.11  
Bournemouth       4    4   -1      -0.63    43.92     0.37    39.71     9.62   -19.94     0.00     0.08     0.30     0.77     2.94    35.51R   12.74  
Aston_Villa       4    4   -1      -0.46    45.37     0.46    37.31     8.60   -21.03     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.20     1.06    44.12R   15.53  
Chelsea           4    4   -3      -3.12    12.58    -5.42    69.38     9.12    26.15     5.95    32.48    53.98    69.46    87.00     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom         4    4   -3       0.09    54.48    -0.26    43.86     9.06   -12.63     0.00     0.11     0.49     1.37     5.39    19.15R    4.76  
Tottenham         4    3   -1      -2.49    17.95    -1.05    52.87     9.58     3.40     0.19     1.76     5.17    10.62    26.04     3.96R    0.73  
Watford           4    3   -2      -0.63    41.68     1.07    40.09     9.52   -17.29     0.00     0.08     0.27     0.83     2.98    33.54R   11.46  
Stoke             4    2   -2      -3.28    11.20    -1.78    45.07     9.06    -6.92     0.01     0.21     0.72     1.84     6.71    14.94R    3.57  
Newcastle         4    2   -3      -1.49    30.28     0.03    38.80     8.94   -18.57     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.35     1.74    37.91R   13.10  
Southampton       3    2   -3      -2.91    11.14    -4.19    52.46     9.61     0.68     0.19     1.65     4.79     9.70    24.41     4.25R    0.70  
Sunderland        4    2   -4      -2.70    16.28    -2.89    34.75     8.65   -25.78     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.13     0.58    56.22R   25.20  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Brentford 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         5   13   +4       5.86    97.45     3.49    70.43    10.45     6.95     5.24    11.99    41.30    18.26P    0.96R    0.10  
Hull             5   10   +4       1.21    64.63     1.19    78.77    11.42    22.35    22.24    37.18    71.07    47.73P    0.26R    0.03  
Ipswich          5   10   +3       2.36    77.52     1.85    73.56    11.14    14.13    10.43    20.56    53.94    28.67P    0.78R    0.07  
QPR              5   10   +2       1.60    69.20    -0.42    74.53    12.20    14.76    14.20    25.33    56.64    33.48P    1.00R    0.12  
Cardiff          5    9   +3       2.19    75.48     3.04    67.10    10.81     6.24     3.16     7.64    30.93    12.56P    2.54R    0.32  
Middlesbrough    5    8   +4      -0.43    44.72     1.73    76.05    10.76    21.32    14.49    27.51    63.52    38.55P    0.25R    0.02  
Birmingham       4    8   +3       3.03    86.78     3.74    63.20    11.22    -0.31     1.87     4.58    20.46     7.62P    5.93R    0.93  
Charlton         5    8   +2       2.38    79.62     3.68    61.82    10.55    -0.42     1.03     2.77    15.72     5.24P    6.51R    1.00  
Burnley          5    8   +0       0.28    54.09    -1.29    71.09    11.48    10.50     7.80    15.68    45.08    23.86P    1.48R    0.19  
Leeds_United     5    7   +1       0.89    62.58     2.02    58.33    10.64    -5.42     0.48     1.47     9.86     3.07P   12.06R    2.41  
MK_Dons          5    7   +1      -0.50    44.27     0.02    59.89    11.71    -3.84     1.21     3.26    14.71     5.92P   11.41R    2.32  
Wolverhampton    5    7   -1      -0.04    50.14    -1.30    69.47    11.00     8.50     5.06    11.46    38.91    18.20P    1.71R    0.21  
Reading          5    6   +1      -0.59    43.18     1.32    58.22    10.77    -4.20     0.47     1.53     9.98     3.37P   12.31R    2.46  
Fulham           5    5   +0      -1.53    32.43     0.52    56.36    11.17    -8.30     0.41     1.23     8.27     2.55P   17.57R    3.78  
Sheff_Wed        5    5   -1      -1.20    36.37    -0.21    56.07    10.55    -7.26     0.28     0.87     6.60     2.00P   16.38R    3.63  
Nott'm_Forest    5    5   -1      -2.31    23.36    -1.77    59.01    11.02    -4.34     0.72     2.06    11.74     4.24P   11.73R    2.27  
Preston          5    5   -2      -0.89    40.52    -0.79    55.90    11.22    -8.52     0.42     1.18     7.54     2.55P   18.54R    4.10  
Brentford        4    4   -1      -1.63    29.75    -1.19    64.77    11.55     3.77     2.69     6.32    25.78    11.14P    5.29R    0.91  
Derby            5    4   -1      -4.10     9.25    -2.85    69.90    11.23    13.70     6.22    13.24    41.73    21.86P    1.72R    0.22  
Bristol_City     5    4   -4      -1.97    27.74    -2.63    54.95    11.88   -12.74     0.51     1.27     7.64     2.69P   22.87R    6.45  
Blackburn        5    3   -2      -4.13     8.45    -2.45    59.46    11.01    -1.27     0.82     2.20    12.42     4.71P   10.58R    2.06  
Huddersfield     5    3   -3      -2.34    21.69    -0.74    49.94    10.62   -16.69     0.08     0.23     2.16     0.57P   35.57R   10.96  
Bolton           5    3   -4      -2.59    19.06    -2.24    53.04    10.53   -12.20     0.15     0.44     3.90     1.15P   24.90R    6.20  
Rotherham        5    1   -8      -3.85     8.55    -4.71    38.71     9.87   -36.74     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   77.67R   49.24  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Blackpool 0 4 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Walsall           5   13   +8       5.28    96.08     6.75    75.91    10.80    18.24    11.33    22.08    58.58    31.18P    0.50R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd         5   12   +4       4.27    91.22     2.70    81.13    10.94    23.35    22.63    38.57    75.37    49.12P    0.16R    0.00  
Burton_Albion     5   12   +3       5.43    95.51     3.38    64.60    11.44    -2.17     2.01     4.79    21.27     8.05P    7.31R    0.88  
Gillingham        5   11   +7       4.37    91.99     7.34    73.83    11.32    16.98     8.84    17.98    51.21    25.48P    1.20R    0.06  
Rochdale          5   10   +6       2.49    78.69     5.03    72.69    11.22    15.88     7.21    15.31    47.26    22.80P    1.48R    0.10  
Chesterfield      5   10   +3       2.74    81.30     2.35    75.29    11.03    16.72    10.26    20.73    56.05    29.66P    0.75R    0.05  
Coventry          4    9   +6       3.27    87.48     5.55    71.27    11.51    12.93     6.17    13.03    42.07    19.52P    2.03R    0.16  
Swindon           5    8   +2      -0.65    41.71    -0.71    75.97    11.21    20.22    11.94    23.43    59.11    34.07P    0.76R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town    5    7   +2      -0.05    50.18     1.67    59.58    10.75    -3.18     0.58     1.58    10.47     3.37P   13.27R    1.70  
Oldham            5    7   +1       0.33    55.15     1.21    59.49    10.66    -3.90     0.51     1.40     9.70     3.17P   13.47R    1.68  
Wigan             5    7   +0      -1.76    27.71    -2.85    75.85    11.29    18.48    11.94    22.80    58.26    34.43P    0.74R    0.03  
Barnsley          5    7   -3       0.29    54.80    -2.75    66.21    11.15     1.59     2.15     5.44    25.06     9.86P    5.20R    0.53  
Port_Vale         5    6   +2      -0.48    44.17     2.60    61.18    10.97     0.49     0.72     2.09    13.50     4.55P   10.97R    1.44  
Doncaster         5    6   -1      -1.35    32.66    -1.77    62.43    10.81    -0.27     1.00     2.70    15.35     5.60P    8.53R    1.02  
Scunthorpe        5    5   -2      -1.46    32.81    -1.35    55.60    11.05   -11.36     0.23     0.79     5.93     1.78P   24.15R    4.38  
Bradford          5    5   -3      -1.48    32.71    -2.45    59.61    10.65    -4.77     0.39     1.28     9.84     3.16P   13.47R    1.81  
Bury              5    4   -1      -2.14    26.00     0.18    50.55    11.55   -17.20     0.14     0.43     3.13     1.02P   41.52R   11.57  
Peterborough      5    4   -4      -3.04    16.83    -4.29    61.97    10.94    -1.31     0.82     2.33    14.67     5.25P    9.90R    1.26  
Millwall          5    4   -6      -2.81    19.00    -5.96    59.41    11.58    -7.08     0.73     1.94    11.41     4.25P   16.29R    2.67  
Colchester        5    3   -5      -3.32    13.46    -4.09    48.49    10.79   -22.56     0.05     0.14     1.46     0.39P   48.34R   14.25  
Shrewsbury        5    2   -3      -4.64     6.08    -2.82    54.88    11.30    -7.32     0.25     0.73     5.55     1.92P   26.07R    5.57  
Southend          4    2   -3      -2.21    21.71    -1.34    49.87    11.12   -15.97     0.05     0.20     2.20     0.67P   42.88R   11.79  
Crewe             5    2   -4      -3.07    14.45    -1.09    44.35    10.31   -25.85     0.00     0.03     0.49     0.10P   63.88R   24.29  
Blackpool         5    1   -9      -4.78     4.74    -7.32    48.97    11.43   -21.93     0.05     0.22     2.07     0.62P   47.12R   14.70  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         5   15  +10       4.14    93.35     3.55    99.46    11.01    55.84    79.73    95.44    99.30    96.94P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth              5   12   +7       3.56    87.10     4.63    75.76    10.57    18.25     3.87    33.37    70.61    43.56P    0.11R    0.02  
Wycombe               5   11   +6       2.88    83.23     4.12    77.72    10.82    21.69     5.55    41.14    76.16    51.10P    0.07R    0.02  
Portsmouth            5   11   +5       4.10    91.38     4.84    72.62    11.02    13.04     2.58    23.86    59.04    31.95P    0.50R    0.14  
Oxford_Utd            5    9   +4       1.83    71.66     3.47    69.15    10.82     9.95     1.27    15.28    46.62    22.94P    0.95R    0.33  
Hartlepool            5    9   +1       2.68    80.70     1.76    54.99    10.35   -14.49     0.05     1.07     7.79     2.28P   13.28R    6.20  
Bristol_Rovers        5    9   +1       2.99    84.36     2.25    63.04    11.04    -1.03     0.36     6.32    25.90    10.62P    3.63R    1.46  
Mansfield             5    8   +2       2.20    77.93     3.44    54.98    10.29   -11.30     0.03     1.09     7.71     2.25P   13.02R    5.94  
Cambridge_Utd         5    8   +1       1.52    69.65     1.65    58.64    10.93    -8.49     0.11     2.92    14.92     5.31P    8.31R    3.68  
Morecambe             5    7   +1       0.21    53.82     1.07    62.08    10.88    -0.85     0.28     5.08    23.27     9.04P    4.42R    1.87  
Northampton           5    7   +0       0.00    50.86    -0.26    62.57    10.93    -1.37     0.33     5.63    24.63     9.92P    3.91R    1.58  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   -1       0.69    60.17    -0.16    57.69    10.71    -9.66     0.12     2.17    12.64     4.30P    9.47R    4.26  
Exeter                5    7   -2       0.35    55.73    -1.62    60.43    11.01    -7.06     0.22     4.00    18.76     7.13P    6.35R    2.82  
Crawley_Town          5    6   +2      -2.14    24.48     0.08    72.99    11.51    18.07     3.13    26.45    60.73    37.36P    0.61R    0.23  
Accrington_Stanley    5    6   +0      -0.28    46.82     0.96    54.73    10.74   -12.28     0.05     1.28     8.41     2.64P   14.76R    7.40  
Carlisle              5    6   -2      -0.49    44.26    -1.34    55.51    11.11   -14.65     0.09     1.78     9.95     3.40P   14.32R    7.19  
Stevenage             5    5   -3      -1.83    28.13    -2.80    65.44    11.07     3.49     0.55     9.36    33.91    15.53P    2.33R    0.89  
Barnet                5    4   -4      -1.17    36.51    -1.16    49.46    11.09   -20.18     0.01     0.53     3.92     1.17P   30.58R   18.49  
York                  5    4   -4      -2.60    19.50    -3.70    54.67    10.47   -11.24     0.04     1.04     7.76     2.56P   14.06R    6.86  
Notts_County          5    4   -5      -3.70    11.56    -6.27    66.91    11.74     5.05     1.13    12.67    39.41    20.61P    2.35R    1.00  
Yeovil                5    3   -4      -3.94     9.55    -4.17    61.16    11.56    -1.01     0.34     5.53    22.35    10.05P    6.20R    2.85  
Luton                 5    2   -3      -5.04     4.45    -3.30    58.54    10.72    -2.45     0.12     2.53    15.00     5.76P    7.86R    3.53  
Dag_&_Red             5    2   -6      -3.41    12.07    -3.65    53.82    10.77   -13.01     0.03     0.97     7.13     2.29P   16.99R    8.67  
Newport_County        5    1   -6      -4.20     6.42    -3.43    50.50    10.72   -16.30     0.01     0.48     4.09     1.27P   25.92R   14.58  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 August 2015, Aldershot 1 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      6   18  +11       6.34    98.02     5.59    87.21    10.51    33.19    26.47    79.10    39.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham           6   15   +8       4.65    91.32     4.86    76.81    10.59    18.52     5.52    42.83    13.14P    0.07R    0.00  
Eastleigh         6   14   +7       3.41    84.31     3.37    78.65    10.82    22.41     8.17    50.22    17.05P    0.06R    0.00  
Woking            6   13   +7       2.91    81.19     4.04    78.09    10.81    22.64     7.23    48.23    16.40P    0.07R    0.01  
Gateshead         6   13   +2       3.60    85.57     0.26    71.04    10.79     6.62     1.95    23.54     5.84P    0.52R    0.05  
Cheltenham        6   12   +7       0.29    51.78     1.57    84.44    11.00    33.83    19.37    70.72    35.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Chester           6   11   +0       4.76    92.54     3.11    60.56    10.54    -8.88     0.17     4.59     0.76P    4.81R    0.73  
Tranmere          6   10   +2      -1.19    35.53    -2.46    84.59    11.09    32.55    20.18    70.99    37.51P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    6   10   +0       1.24    64.49    -0.85    63.83    10.26    -1.09     0.31     7.67     1.63P    1.90R    0.21  
Grimsby           6    9   +5      -2.58    21.22    -0.25    79.12    10.51    28.17     8.40    53.03    21.51P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      6    9   +2       2.28    75.73     4.52    65.92    10.90     4.64     0.63    12.22     2.52P    1.83R    0.25  
Dover_Athletic    6    9   +1      -0.55    43.11    -0.98    62.59    10.46    -1.17     0.24     6.73     1.42P    2.82R    0.32  
Boreham_Wood      6    7   +1       0.92    62.99     4.38    56.83    11.58    -6.36     0.17     3.51     0.76P   11.19R    2.37  
Torquay           6    7   -4      -0.55    44.51    -2.98    67.53    10.78     4.47     0.94    14.67     3.58P    1.26R    0.13  
Guiseley          6    7   -5       0.22    54.29    -2.95    43.07    10.60   -34.79     0.00     0.17     0.02P   51.17R   20.72  
Barrow            6    7   -6       1.25    67.59    -1.39    45.46    11.34   -33.22     0.01     0.41     0.08P   42.86R   16.10  
Altrincham        6    6   -3       0.30    55.60     0.95    51.23    10.19   -18.19     0.01     0.56     0.07P   20.51R    4.75  
Aldershot         6    5   -1      -2.64    21.87    -0.13    59.56    10.49    -1.39     0.10     3.90     0.79P    5.31R    0.77  
Bromley           6    5   -4      -0.60    46.09     0.53    47.49    11.73   -25.27     0.02     0.73     0.14P   35.52R   12.92  
Welling           6    4   -3      -2.56    21.49    -0.37    49.75    10.10   -17.16     0.00     0.42     0.06P   24.18R    5.99  
Macclesfield      6    4   -4      -4.74     7.35    -4.68    58.73    10.49    -3.86     0.09     3.26     0.69P    6.23R    0.96  
Kidderminster     6    2   -6      -5.04     5.41    -4.25    53.45    10.40   -11.36     0.01     0.98     0.17P   14.95R    3.21  
Halifax           6    1   -7      -6.93     1.09    -6.47    54.30    10.72    -9.80     0.02     1.50     0.31P   13.65R    2.91  
Southport         6    1  -10      -4.29     6.62    -5.41    40.35     9.83   -34.51     0.00     0.02     0.01P   60.98R   27.59