Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 August 2015, Arsenal 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          3    9   +8       2.96    89.47     4.86    86.38     8.89    58.48    74.56    90.43    96.06    98.32    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         3    7   +3       2.92    89.97     3.07    49.85     9.67    -6.00     0.07     0.74     2.29     5.24    15.60     6.88R    1.36  
Liverpool         3    7   +2       2.09    82.57     0.77    64.72     9.71    16.57     2.75    13.31    27.86    43.93    70.03     0.16R    0.01  
Man_Utd           3    7   +2       1.16    69.89    -0.55    68.72     9.53    22.51     5.73    23.87    44.15    61.20    82.88     0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    3    6   +2       2.25    81.88     2.56    47.16     9.27    -8.52     0.03     0.34     1.04     2.60     9.35    10.22R    2.05  
Swansea           3    5   +2       0.76    63.24     1.89    52.00     9.70     0.13     0.15     1.05     3.47     7.71    21.56     4.49R    0.75  
Everton           3    4   +1       0.08    54.24     1.41    57.48     9.75     9.08     0.53     3.56     9.75    18.73    41.85     1.35R    0.20  
Norwich           3    4   +0       0.04    53.66     0.20    42.23     9.99   -16.75     0.01     0.15     0.57     1.38     4.90    25.75R    7.98  
Arsenal           3    4   -1      -1.39    29.07    -2.89    67.59     9.64    22.88     4.83    21.03    39.83    56.89    80.00     0.09R    0.02  
Chelsea           3    4   -2      -1.26    30.74    -3.75    72.88     9.45    30.79    10.88    41.86    63.19    77.10    91.57     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham          3    3   +0      -0.82    36.06     0.46    46.99     9.35    -6.48     0.02     0.26     0.88     2.44     9.20    11.14R    2.28  
Watford           3    3   +0      -0.25    46.43     1.29    40.82     9.98   -17.43     0.01     0.11     0.38     0.97     3.85    30.51R   10.53  
Bournemouth       3    3   -1      -0.42    43.21     0.16    39.46    10.06   -21.81     0.01     0.09     0.30     0.77     2.98    35.64R   13.58  
Aston_Villa       3    3   -1      -0.18    47.25     0.36    37.65     8.76   -21.37     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.17     1.07    41.02R   14.56  
Stoke             3    2   -1      -1.83    22.98    -0.61    47.19     9.47    -5.11     0.02     0.29     1.07     2.82     9.90    10.53R    2.25  
Tottenham         3    2   -1      -2.20    18.16    -1.13    53.37    10.00     3.48     0.22     1.71     5.10    10.52    26.82     3.70R    0.64  
Newcastle         3    2   -2      -0.78    39.92     0.01    39.29     9.30   -19.78     0.01     0.03     0.16     0.46     2.06    34.98R   11.84  
Southampton       3    2   -3      -2.86    11.53    -4.10    52.66     9.53     0.83     0.17     1.11     3.59     8.01    23.06     3.57R    0.54  
Sunderland        3    1   -4      -2.30    18.16    -2.84    34.88     8.80   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.48    54.00R   23.70  
West_Brom         3    1   -4      -1.52    27.87    -1.15    41.49     9.28   -15.23     0.00     0.05     0.24     0.68     3.18    25.90R    7.70  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 28 August 2015, Blackburn 0 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich          4   10   +4       3.98    93.11     3.22    75.86    11.18    16.59    16.22    29.20    63.41    37.49P    0.47R    0.07  
Brighton         4   10   +3       4.17    93.97     2.42    67.35    10.38     4.25     3.57     8.16    32.27    13.39P    2.14R    0.29  
Charlton         4    8   +3       3.43    90.51     4.22    63.45    10.69     1.11     1.82     4.53    21.01     7.81P    5.19R    0.93  
MK_Dons          4    7   +3       0.74    60.79     1.87    64.03    11.96     2.32     3.49     7.31    26.02    11.59P    6.60R    1.31  
Hull             4    7   +2       0.15    52.06    -0.05    75.54    11.35    18.11    16.38    29.14    62.60    39.52P    0.50R    0.07  
QPR              4    7   +1       0.47    57.61    -0.68    72.36    12.16    12.92    12.04    21.80    51.42    29.51P    1.72R    0.29  
Cardiff          4    6   +2       0.58    58.05     2.09    64.27    10.85     3.68     2.35     5.65    24.00     9.75P    4.72R    0.86  
Middlesbrough    4    5   +2      -1.54    28.74     0.44    73.22    10.71    17.63    10.56    21.26    55.21    31.63P    0.55R    0.05  
Birmingham       3    5   +1       1.33    72.70     1.60    59.06    11.08    -6.01     0.94     2.36    12.61     4.31P   12.10R    2.83  
Sheff_Wed        4    5   +1      -0.29    47.64     1.19    58.33    10.43    -3.65     0.56     1.58    10.17     3.36P   11.68R    2.57  
Nott'm_Forest    4    5   +0      -0.99    36.66    -0.86    61.17    11.15    -2.06     1.52     3.63    16.95     6.45P    8.68R    1.83  
Preston          4    5   +0      -0.05    51.65     0.48    58.72    11.31    -4.28     0.94     2.47    12.74     4.68P   13.23R    2.94  
Burnley          4    5   -1      -1.02    36.71    -1.83    68.61    11.52     8.47     5.80    12.17    38.44    19.55P    2.58R    0.48  
Brentford        3    4   +1      -0.02    52.66     1.13    68.46    11.59     9.41     5.88    12.51    38.28    18.66P    2.91R    0.48  
Leeds_United     4    4   +0      -1.02    36.83     0.59    55.15    10.70    -8.62     0.33     1.00     6.59     2.14P   19.66R    5.24  
Derby            4    4   +0      -2.47    19.12    -1.44    72.71    11.12    17.00    10.81    20.90    53.43    30.38P    0.91R    0.11  
Wolverhampton    4    4   -2      -1.48    30.96    -2.06    67.17    11.11     6.61     4.20     9.39    33.41    15.39P    3.01R    0.52  
Bristol_City     4    4   -3      -0.95    38.67    -2.20    57.21    11.88   -10.16     0.94     2.33    11.22     4.26P   18.02R    5.24  
Reading          4    3   -1      -2.24    20.17    -0.78    54.31    10.59    -9.32     0.31     0.81     5.39     1.70P   21.88R    5.85  
Blackburn        5    3   -2      -4.23     7.76    -2.63    58.86    10.72    -2.03     0.76     2.15    11.68     4.53P   11.62R    2.49  
Huddersfield     4    3   -2      -1.45    29.49    -0.47    51.17    10.77   -16.02     0.15     0.42     3.39     1.01P   32.68R   10.74  
Bolton           5    3   -4      -2.43    20.66    -2.05    53.09    10.33   -12.01     0.14     0.42     3.99     1.15P   25.15R    7.12  
Fulham           4    2   -2      -2.82    14.55    -0.97    53.36    11.10   -12.22     0.27     0.79     5.43     1.66P   26.04R    8.04  
Rotherham        4    1   -6      -2.80    14.35    -3.23    41.68    10.21   -31.74     0.02     0.03     0.34     0.08P   67.96R   39.65  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Barnsley 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        4   10   +7       4.57    95.27     7.09    74.09    11.68    16.84    10.78    20.73    52.96    28.24P    1.49R    0.10  
Walsall           4   10   +4       4.05    93.44     3.32    71.40    10.83    10.02     5.83    12.80    42.56    19.64P    1.72R    0.10  
Coventry          4    9   +6       3.23    87.18     5.49    71.47    11.35    13.21     6.68    14.34    43.89    21.10P    2.24R    0.15  
Sheff_Utd         4    9   +2       2.74    82.85     0.85    77.45    11.09    18.51    15.34    28.43    64.17    38.42P    0.51R    0.04  
Burton_Albion     4    9   +2       3.82    90.74     2.49    61.97    11.80    -5.14     1.58     3.86    16.72     6.34P   12.75R    1.99  
Swindon           4    8   +4       0.69    59.08     1.18    78.98    11.58    25.13    20.87    35.09    69.22    45.29P    0.46R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town    4    7   +4       0.90    63.53     3.09    62.10    11.07     0.35     1.18     3.20    16.11     5.88P   10.47R    1.24  
Rochdale          4    7   +3       1.34    69.55     2.77    69.22    11.38     9.82     4.81    10.47    36.20    16.42P    3.32R    0.31  
Chesterfield      4    7   +1       1.25    68.27     0.58    72.12    11.35    12.44     7.17    15.22    45.90    23.21P    2.05R    0.21  
Barnsley          4    7   +0       1.10    66.53    -0.59    69.73    11.34     7.80     5.06    11.10    37.49    17.54P    3.08R    0.29  
Port_Vale         4    6   +3       0.63    58.54     3.30    63.07    11.17     2.17     1.37     3.60    18.33     6.67P    9.34R    1.19  
Oldham            4    6   +1       0.70    59.86     1.21    59.54    11.01    -4.75     0.70     1.90    11.04     3.77P   15.50R    2.23  
Wigan             4    4   -1      -2.66    16.83    -2.76    75.32    11.51    19.38    12.52    23.52    57.63    34.99P    1.07R    0.08  
Scunthorpe        4    4   -2      -1.13    35.51    -1.43    55.73    11.20   -12.02     0.36     0.97     6.40     2.01P   26.24R    4.98  
Millwall          4    4   -4      -1.59    30.10    -4.18    63.06    12.09    -1.80     2.10     4.84    20.05     8.73P   11.49R    1.76  
Bury              4    3   -1      -1.70    27.41     0.36    50.92    11.93   -17.96     0.18     0.54     3.88     1.19P   42.85R   12.98  
Doncaster         4    3   -3      -2.60    15.67    -3.22    59.62    10.95    -4.24     0.64     1.78    11.09     3.95P   15.02R    2.23  
Peterborough      4    3   -4      -2.65    16.11    -4.26    62.39    11.28    -1.36     1.21     3.19    17.05     6.59P   10.82R    1.49  
Shrewsbury        4    2   -2      -3.27    11.74    -1.78    58.16    11.71    -3.83     0.76     1.87    10.52     3.89P   20.10R    3.91  
Crewe             4    2   -3      -2.42    18.73    -1.17    44.84    10.63   -27.17     0.02     0.06     0.76     0.17P   64.20R   25.51  
Southend          4    2   -3      -2.20    21.23    -1.32    49.64    11.05   -16.60     0.05     0.19     2.15     0.57P   45.65R   13.52  
Bradford          4    2   -4      -2.80    14.87    -2.88    57.61    10.91    -6.54     0.37     1.12     7.99     2.65P   19.93R    3.37  
Colchester        4    2   -5      -2.77    15.29    -3.81    49.45    11.05   -22.00     0.07     0.25     2.09     0.60P   47.43R   14.28  
Blackpool         4    1   -5      -4.08     6.41    -4.35    53.98    11.86   -12.27     0.35     0.92     5.80     2.14P   32.27R    8.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         4   12   +8       3.36    90.33     2.81    97.85    11.27    53.80    74.78    93.19    98.90    95.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe               4   10   +6       3.04    87.23     3.83    77.19    11.11    20.40     6.38    37.98    72.96    47.53P    0.12R    0.05  
Plymouth              4    9   +6       2.42    79.47     4.34    74.80    10.99    18.23     4.12    30.12    65.55    39.77P    0.20R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers        4    9   +3       3.52    89.48     2.90    64.55    11.45     0.93     0.82     8.46    29.78    13.24P    3.02R    1.14  
Hartlepool            4    9   +2       4.10    92.77     2.80    57.43    10.72   -11.66     0.13     1.92    11.50     3.56P    9.40R    4.18  
Portsmouth            4    8   +4       2.43    82.06     3.84    69.68    11.35    10.07     1.85    16.73    47.28    23.79P    1.08R    0.37  
Cambridge_Utd         4    7   +1       1.82    75.29     1.54    58.84    11.19    -9.10     0.22     3.07    15.31     5.34P    8.02R    3.55  
Exeter                4    7   -1       1.57    72.10    -0.85    62.59    11.33    -4.78     0.49     5.98    24.21     9.85P    4.43R    1.91  
Oxford_Utd            4    6   +2       0.60    58.56     2.08    66.37    11.09     6.28     0.94    10.13    35.80    16.36P    1.85R    0.72  
Northampton           4    6   +0       0.40    55.23    -0.22    62.98    11.15    -1.40     0.48     6.06    25.29    10.43P    3.77R    1.56  
Crawley_Town          4    5   +2      -1.74    27.26     0.10    74.03    11.86    19.24     4.66    29.69    62.46    40.04P    0.51R    0.17  
Mansfield             4    5   +1       0.39    58.09     2.23    52.16    10.45   -14.01     0.03     0.63     4.81     1.35P   19.17R    9.41  
Accrington_Stanley    4    5   +0       0.13    53.79     1.00    55.20    11.09   -12.17     0.07     1.36     9.22     2.89P   14.19R    6.66  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    4   -2      -0.74    41.97    -0.82    55.29    11.06   -11.96     0.05     1.46     9.04     2.92P   13.53R    6.60  
Morecambe             4    4   -2      -1.23    34.49    -1.64    58.08    10.99    -7.35     0.17     2.45    13.43     4.81P    8.67R    3.86  
Notts_County          4    4   -2      -2.64    17.31    -3.73    71.18    11.97    12.45     2.62    21.92    52.91    31.38P    1.06R    0.40  
Stevenage             4    4   -3      -1.39    31.86    -2.69    66.37    11.32     4.30     0.88    10.51    35.90    16.91P    1.99R    0.78  
York                  4    4   -3      -1.01    37.22    -2.39    57.41    10.65    -8.28     0.09     1.82    11.47     3.83P    9.08R    3.90  
Yeovil                4    3   -2      -2.89    14.63    -2.62    64.30    11.94     3.60     0.79     8.80    30.90    14.77P    4.00R    1.77  
Carlisle              4    3   -3      -2.20    20.97    -2.47    52.77    11.38   -17.31     0.06     1.11     6.77     2.28P   20.06R   10.84  
Barnet                4    3   -4      -0.69    40.57    -0.94    49.46    11.49   -21.29     0.01     0.61     4.08     1.24P   30.36R   18.34  
Luton                 4    2   -2      -3.60     9.35    -2.22    60.84    11.12    -0.01     0.29     4.33    20.05     8.41P    5.41R    2.37  
Newport_County        4    1   -5      -3.39    10.38    -3.19    51.39    10.98   -16.25     0.02     0.60     4.91     1.42P   22.79R   12.26  
Dag_&_Red             4    1   -6      -3.09    12.36    -3.67    53.79    11.19   -13.74     0.04     1.08     7.47     2.51P   17.29R    9.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Braintree_Town 1 0 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      5   15   +9       5.08    96.30     4.10    84.46    10.90    29.58    20.08    71.52    32.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking            5   12   +7       3.49    87.60     4.31    78.84    10.97    23.36     9.12    52.55    18.86P    0.09R    0.00  
Wrexham           5   12   +6       3.67    87.72     3.83    74.55    10.73    15.74     4.35    36.48    11.04P    0.17R    0.01  
Eastleigh         5   11   +6       1.99    73.42     2.67    75.86    11.06    19.62     5.86    41.61    13.66P    0.18R    0.01  
Tranmere          5   10   +3       0.54    55.81    -0.99    87.79    11.23    36.77    31.63    80.63    48.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead         5   10   +0       2.49    79.11    -0.96    68.79    10.88     3.66     1.31    19.04     4.47P    1.01R    0.11  
Cheltenham        5    9   +4      -0.88    36.47    -0.77    80.09    11.45    26.66    11.97    57.52    25.90P    0.08R    0.00  
Grimsby           5    8   +5      -2.03    24.07    -0.11    80.18    10.65    29.50    10.82    58.47    25.79P    0.05R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      5    8   +2       2.38    79.47     4.14    65.63    11.12     3.52     0.84    13.16     2.83P    2.34R    0.32  
Dover_Athletic    5    8   +1      -0.10    48.99    -0.87    63.12    10.89    -0.98     0.46     8.95     2.01P    3.14R    0.43  
Chester           5    8   -1       2.88    84.34     1.80    57.41    10.62   -12.47     0.09     2.83     0.48P    9.27R    1.65  
Torquay           5    7   -1       0.43    56.56    -0.55    71.03    11.00    11.00     2.37    25.58     7.28P    0.60R    0.05  
Braintree_Town    5    7   -1      -0.29    46.91    -1.69    61.45    10.51    -3.14     0.18     6.05     1.27P    3.99R    0.53  
Guiseley          5    7   -3       1.03    64.41    -1.74    45.46    11.12   -31.40     0.01     0.40     0.06P   43.94R   16.18  
Boreham_Wood      5    6   +1       1.14    66.17     4.20    56.89    11.96    -7.07     0.20     4.41     0.87P   12.53R    2.95  
Aldershot         5    5   +0      -1.48    32.31     0.53    61.45    10.69     0.41     0.28     6.44     1.44P    4.17R    0.66  
Welling           5    4   -2      -1.31    34.32     0.43    51.73    10.42   -15.11     0.03     0.79     0.14P   20.20R    4.74  
Macclesfield      5    4   -3      -3.07    15.36    -3.27    62.05    10.67     0.03     0.27     6.81     1.54P    3.89R    0.60  
Bromley           5    4   -4      -0.38    48.50     0.36    48.32    12.00   -24.85     0.04     1.02     0.18P   34.40R   12.30  
Barrow            5    4   -7      -0.16    51.45    -1.89    43.57    11.56   -35.49     0.00     0.35     0.05P   50.86R   22.28  
Altrincham        5    3   -4      -1.71    28.34    -0.62    48.22    10.21   -21.51     0.00     0.29     0.04P   30.90R    8.80  
Kidderminster     5    2   -4      -4.02     8.72    -2.79    55.80    10.68    -7.95     0.05     2.14     0.42P   11.36R    2.36  
Halifax           5    1   -5      -6.11     1.58    -5.32    56.59    10.87    -6.25     0.07     2.87     0.58P   10.38R    2.10  
Southport         5    1   -9      -3.20    12.07    -4.80    41.93    10.11   -33.63     0.00     0.07     0.01P   56.45R   23.91