Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 August 2015, Arsenal 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          3    9   +8       2.97    89.50     4.88    86.42     8.81    58.53    74.79    90.64    96.18    98.37    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         3    7   +3       2.90    89.59     3.05    49.74     9.58    -6.17     0.06     0.61     2.09     4.94    15.33     7.14R    1.37  
Liverpool         3    7   +2       2.10    82.82     0.79    64.57     9.82    16.31     2.73    13.08    28.07    43.72    69.87     0.21R    0.02  
Man_Utd           3    7   +2       1.19    70.35    -0.51    68.54     9.57    22.16     5.52    23.64    43.64    60.59    82.65     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    3    6   +2       2.26    81.69     2.57    47.11     9.31    -8.62     0.03     0.25     1.00     2.63     9.39    10.71R    2.26  
Swansea           3    5   +2       0.79    63.89     1.92    52.06     9.61     0.27     0.14     1.08     3.51     7.63    21.80     4.11R    0.66  
Everton           3    4   +1       0.08    54.35     1.41    57.41     9.65     8.97     0.46     3.60     9.78    18.60    41.54     1.26R    0.17  
Norwich           3    4   +0      -0.00    52.56     0.14    42.48    10.00   -16.33     0.03     0.17     0.60     1.50     5.08    25.00R    7.79  
Arsenal           3    4   -1      -1.39    29.14    -2.90    67.41     9.69    22.57     4.75    20.57    39.30    56.73    79.77     0.10R    0.01  
Chelsea           3    4   -2      -1.27    30.71    -3.74    72.99     9.41    30.97    11.10    42.59    63.85    77.71    91.68     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham          3    3   +0      -0.81    36.12     0.46    46.88     9.51    -6.58     0.03     0.28     1.11     2.75     9.57    11.50R    2.55  
Watford           3    3   +0      -0.21    47.15     1.36    40.59     9.98   -17.81     0.01     0.10     0.35     0.94     3.63    31.33R   11.07  
Bournemouth       3    3   -1      -0.45    42.73     0.13    39.41    10.04   -21.76     0.01     0.11     0.30     0.81     3.00    36.19R   13.91  
Aston_Villa       3    3   -1      -0.17    47.52     0.37    37.65     8.73   -21.23     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.18     1.04    41.20R   14.33  
Stoke             3    2   -1      -1.81    23.50    -0.59    47.19     9.37    -5.10     0.01     0.29     1.07     2.70     9.80    10.45R    2.20  
Tottenham         3    2   -1      -2.18    18.65    -1.09    53.07    10.00     3.00     0.21     1.66     4.79    10.19    26.07     4.05R    0.77  
Newcastle         3    2   -2      -0.80    39.77    -0.03    39.67     9.25   -19.04     0.00     0.03     0.14     0.41     2.12    33.59R   11.35  
Southampton       3    2   -3      -2.87    11.45    -4.14    52.78     9.62     1.00     0.12     1.24     3.90     8.77    24.02     3.67R    0.60  
Sunderland        3    1   -4      -2.31    18.02    -2.85    34.94     8.76   -26.13     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.54    53.91R   23.39  
West_Brom         3    1   -4      -1.55    27.23    -1.21    41.62     9.26   -15.02     0.00     0.06     0.26     0.76     3.41    25.52R    7.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bolton 1 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich          4   10   +4       3.98    93.18     3.23    75.66    11.10    16.32    15.67    28.22    62.46    36.62P    0.40R    0.04  
Brighton         4   10   +3       4.20    94.17     2.45    67.29    10.35     4.11     3.37     8.06    31.57    13.18P    2.06R    0.24  
Charlton         4    8   +3       3.40    90.10     4.20    63.53    10.63     1.17     1.86     4.51    21.12     7.74P    5.13R    0.90  
MK_Dons          4    7   +3       0.71    60.47     1.81    64.29    12.04     2.59     3.67     7.72    26.23    11.94P    6.47R    1.29  
Hull             4    7   +2       0.16    52.45    -0.06    75.46    11.47    18.09    16.26    28.83    61.86    38.77P    0.55R    0.07  
QPR              4    7   +1       0.42    56.99    -0.74    72.58    12.27    13.27    12.25    22.37    51.62    30.01P    1.74R    0.25  
Cardiff          4    6   +2       0.60    58.34     2.11    64.23    10.90     3.63     2.44     5.59    23.73     9.59P    4.79R    0.91  
Middlesbrough    4    5   +2      -1.58    28.38     0.38    73.35    10.82    17.82    10.92    21.39    55.51    31.97P    0.62R    0.09  
Birmingham       3    5   +1       1.31    72.41     1.59    59.03    11.24    -6.07     1.02     2.54    12.67     4.40P   12.85R    2.98  
Sheff_Wed        4    5   +1      -0.28    47.65     1.20    58.18    10.53    -3.93     0.54     1.66     9.94     3.39P   12.28R    2.68  
Nott'm_Forest    4    5   +0      -1.04    35.91    -0.92    61.41    11.14    -1.73     1.46     3.65    17.40     6.56P    8.68R    1.74  
Preston          4    5   +0      -0.05    51.39     0.50    58.80    11.30    -4.29     0.99     2.55    12.62     4.78P   12.93R    2.92  
Burnley          4    5   -1      -1.02    36.52    -1.83    68.54    11.59     8.29     5.87    12.30    38.06    19.55P    2.71R    0.49  
Brentford        3    4   +1      -0.02    52.58     1.13    68.42    11.47     9.39     5.72    12.06    37.74    18.25P    2.74R    0.49  
Leeds_United     4    4   +0      -1.02    37.03     0.59    55.35    10.55    -8.49     0.31     0.90     6.43     1.94P   18.96R    4.85  
Derby            4    4   +0      -2.46    19.36    -1.45    72.77    11.28    17.11    10.90    21.00    53.30    30.55P    1.02R    0.17  
Wolverhampton    4    4   -2      -1.43    31.92    -1.97    66.82    11.12     6.03     3.73     8.69    32.16    14.74P    3.41R    0.56  
Bristol_City     4    4   -3      -0.96    38.40    -2.22    57.52    12.02    -9.77     1.11     2.52    11.89     4.59P   17.77R    5.05  
Reading          4    3   -1      -2.24    20.45    -0.76    54.44    10.60    -9.22     0.28     0.79     5.60     1.70P   21.61R    5.67  
Huddersfield     4    3   -2      -1.44    29.66    -0.44    51.16    10.77   -16.16     0.13     0.41     3.33     0.92P   32.72R   10.60  
Fulham           4    2   -2      -2.84    14.23    -0.99    53.72    11.23   -11.78     0.30     0.85     5.91     1.84P   25.33R    7.89  
Blackburn        4    2   -2      -3.59     9.48    -2.21    59.89    11.18    -1.29     1.05     2.89    14.57     5.75P   10.88R    2.44  
Bolton           4    2   -4      -2.36    19.23    -2.42    52.92    10.52   -13.14     0.14     0.46     3.91     1.12P   26.04R    7.85  
Rotherham        4    1   -6      -2.77    14.58    -3.18    41.65    10.22   -31.92     0.01     0.02     0.35     0.10P   68.30R   39.80  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Barnsley 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        4   10   +7       4.57    95.35     7.09    73.98    11.55    16.66    10.06    19.98    52.76    27.55P    1.45R    0.10  
Walsall           4   10   +4       4.06    93.63     3.32    71.24    10.86     9.80     5.74    12.69    42.12    19.74P    1.85R    0.09  
Coventry          4    9   +6       3.25    87.22     5.53    71.12    11.45    12.65     6.56    13.71    42.96    20.23P    2.54R    0.23  
Sheff_Utd         4    9   +2       2.72    82.61     0.81    77.64    11.17    18.72    15.94    29.42    65.08    39.31P    0.50R    0.03  
Burton_Albion     4    9   +2       3.86    90.96     2.53    61.75    11.79    -5.45     1.45     3.56    16.70     6.12P   13.35R    1.94  
Swindon           4    8   +4       0.67    58.73     1.14    79.62    11.50    26.21    22.44    37.17    71.34    47.47P    0.39R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town    4    7   +4       0.94    63.93     3.14    62.03    10.94     0.23     1.13     3.00    16.12     5.70P   10.47R    1.29  
Rochdale          4    7   +3       1.35    69.72     2.80    68.85    11.39     9.26     4.50    10.20    35.42    16.08P    3.82R    0.38  
Chesterfield      4    7   +1       1.27    68.59     0.61    71.72    11.27    11.85     6.73    14.47    44.53    22.21P    2.14R    0.19  
Barnsley          4    7   +0       1.10    66.49    -0.60    69.56    11.39     7.57     4.89    11.05    37.11    17.37P    3.32R    0.29  
Port_Vale         4    6   +3       0.66    58.92     3.35    62.97    11.17     1.97     1.44     3.64    18.33     6.82P    9.62R    1.19  
Oldham            4    6   +1       0.69    59.74     1.19    59.57    10.88    -4.69     0.67     1.78    11.09     3.60P   15.34R    2.25  
Wigan             4    4   -1      -2.68    16.87    -2.78    75.29    11.70    19.35    12.55    23.65    57.49    35.04P    1.23R    0.12  
Scunthorpe        4    4   -2      -1.14    35.57    -1.42    55.70    11.26   -11.99     0.29     0.89     6.64     2.04P   26.57R    5.45  
Millwall          4    4   -4      -1.57    30.43    -4.14    62.72    11.95    -2.36     1.82     4.37    19.20     8.10P   11.93R    1.97  
Bury              4    3   -1      -1.71    27.41     0.33    51.37    11.94   -17.19     0.20     0.62     4.21     1.31P   41.28R   12.15  
Doncaster         4    3   -3      -2.59    15.70    -3.21    59.93    11.13    -3.76     0.79     1.99    12.11     4.40P   14.96R    2.27  
Peterborough      4    3   -4      -2.68    15.92    -4.27    62.33    11.23    -1.50     1.25     3.25    16.98     6.64P   10.98R    1.61  
Shrewsbury        4    2   -2      -3.31    11.45    -1.82    58.21    11.68    -3.76     0.75     1.96    10.64     4.04P   19.90R    3.86  
Crewe             4    2   -3      -2.45    18.31    -1.22    45.22    10.53   -26.40     0.02     0.05     0.73     0.17P   62.79R   24.58  
Southend          4    2   -3      -2.23    21.02    -1.33    49.91    11.14   -16.35     0.07     0.25     2.45     0.75P   45.43R   13.59  
Bradford          4    2   -4      -2.77    15.04    -2.86    57.78    10.81    -6.29     0.32     1.14     8.05     2.73P   19.41R    3.27  
Colchester        4    2   -5      -2.79    15.30    -3.84    49.41    10.90   -21.99     0.06     0.20     1.97     0.52P   47.65R   14.43  
Blackpool         4    1   -5      -4.08     6.69    -4.34    53.77    11.92   -12.56     0.34     0.95     5.96     2.07P   33.07R    8.69  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         4   12   +8       3.38    90.42     2.83    97.94    11.43    53.94    74.59    93.18    98.73    95.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe               4   10   +6       3.06    87.44     3.84    77.29    11.26    20.56     6.50    38.71    72.85    48.40P    0.12R    0.04  
Plymouth              4    9   +6       2.42    79.36     4.34    74.78    10.91    18.17     4.02    29.80    65.95    39.75P    0.26R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers        4    9   +3       3.52    89.56     2.90    64.62    11.47     1.12     0.79     8.33    30.31    13.22P    3.06R    1.21  
Hartlepool            4    9   +2       4.07    92.48     2.76    57.42    10.73   -11.65     0.13     1.96    11.75     3.60P    9.36R    4.04  
Portsmouth            4    8   +4       2.42    81.93     3.83    69.46    11.31     9.71     1.81    16.14    46.71    23.37P    1.09R    0.34  
Cambridge_Utd         4    7   +1       1.79    74.96     1.52    58.73    11.31    -9.26     0.24     3.24    15.38     5.59P    8.41R    3.73  
Exeter                4    7   -1       1.59    72.33    -0.84    62.37    11.31    -5.09     0.45     5.81    23.63     9.56P    4.54R    1.96  
Oxford_Utd            4    6   +2       0.62    59.02     2.08    66.29    11.20     6.07     0.98    10.40    35.53    16.44P    1.94R    0.77  
Northampton           4    6   +0       0.43    55.68    -0.17    62.91    11.28    -1.54     0.48     6.14    25.11    10.28P    3.90R    1.61  
Crawley_Town          4    5   +2      -1.69    27.81     0.20    73.80    11.95    18.84     4.53    28.78    61.83    39.07P    0.62R    0.22  
Mansfield             4    5   +1       0.40    58.17     2.27    52.09    10.47   -14.06     0.01     0.61     4.78     1.28P   19.80R    9.96  
Accrington_Stanley    4    5   +0       0.12    53.81     0.99    55.23    11.18   -12.23     0.08     1.55     9.58     3.05P   14.23R    6.94  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    4   -2      -0.78    41.11    -0.90    55.44    10.92   -11.59     0.07     1.44     9.04     2.89P   13.17R    6.25  
Morecambe             4    4   -2      -1.20    34.95    -1.60    57.87    10.97    -7.69     0.11     2.32    12.95     4.68P    8.97R    4.15  
Notts_County          4    4   -2      -2.63    17.32    -3.73    71.09    11.91    12.30     2.73    21.45    52.61    30.85P    0.97R    0.38  
Stevenage             4    4   -3      -1.39    31.63    -2.68    66.36    11.40     4.35     0.91    10.74    36.26    17.27P    2.18R    0.81  
York                  4    4   -3      -1.00    37.39    -2.37    57.14    10.73    -8.60     0.09     1.82    10.99     3.79P    9.64R    4.42  
Yeovil                4    3   -2      -2.90    14.69    -2.63    64.19    12.09     3.43     0.97     9.04    30.72    15.01P    4.08R    1.76  
Carlisle              4    3   -3      -2.19    20.86    -2.48    52.88    11.43   -17.09     0.07     1.19     6.91     2.31P   20.14R   10.91  
Barnet                4    3   -4      -0.73    39.94    -1.00    49.72    11.71   -20.94     0.03     0.83     4.71     1.59P   29.98R   17.81  
Luton                 4    2   -2      -3.63     9.22    -2.24    61.16    11.14     0.40     0.32     4.64    20.73     8.64P    5.09R    2.27  
Newport_County        4    1   -5      -3.38    10.39    -3.20    51.46    10.93   -16.16     0.02     0.63     4.82     1.45P   22.41R   12.18  
Dag_&_Red             4    1   -6      -3.11    12.26    -3.72    54.26    11.17   -13.02     0.04     1.24     8.11     2.67P   16.05R    8.15  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Braintree_Town 1 0 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      5   15   +9       5.09    96.41     4.11    84.53    10.81    29.67    19.88    71.94    32.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking            5   12   +7       3.51    87.97     4.32    78.63    11.07    23.09     8.65    51.78    18.34P    0.08R    0.00  
Wrexham           5   12   +6       3.65    87.59     3.80    74.70    10.91    15.96     4.54    36.86    11.44P    0.19R    0.02  
Eastleigh         5   11   +6       1.96    73.23     2.61    76.02    11.09    19.87     5.93    42.27    13.77P    0.17R    0.01  
Tranmere          5   10   +3       0.49    55.36    -1.03    88.03    11.22    37.17    32.01    80.87    48.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead         5   10   +0       2.51    79.33    -0.94    68.67    11.06     3.50     1.46    19.02     4.63P    1.11R    0.13  
Cheltenham        5    9   +4      -0.93    35.77    -0.81    80.54    11.42    27.28    12.42    59.06    26.56P    0.08R    0.00  
Grimsby           5    8   +5      -2.01    24.21    -0.09    79.99    10.70    29.15    10.44    57.38    24.65P    0.05R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      5    8   +2       2.39    79.22     4.14    65.69    11.15     3.63     0.77    13.07     2.82P    2.23R    0.31  
Dover_Athletic    5    8   +1      -0.09    49.01    -0.87    63.27    10.75    -0.83     0.42     8.74     1.86P    2.98R    0.39  
Chester           5    8   -1       2.87    84.04     1.76    57.50    10.66   -12.18     0.11     3.03     0.51P    8.94R    1.61  
Torquay           5    7   -1       0.43    56.67    -0.55    71.02    10.99    10.97     2.27    25.39     7.14P    0.63R    0.07  
Braintree_Town    5    7   -1      -0.30    46.92    -1.70    61.59    10.41    -2.88     0.21     5.78     1.20P    3.72R    0.49  
Guiseley          5    7   -3       1.05    64.65    -1.74    45.62    11.00   -31.06     0.02     0.38     0.06P   42.77R   15.26  
Boreham_Wood      5    6   +1       1.12    66.10     4.19    56.96    12.02    -6.87     0.17     4.31     0.90P   12.44R    2.90  
Aldershot         5    5   +0      -1.48    32.39     0.53    61.46    10.68     0.42     0.25     6.26     1.38P    4.18R    0.62  
Welling           5    4   -2      -1.30    34.35     0.45    51.72    10.41   -15.18     0.02     0.83     0.13P   20.14R    4.76  
Macclesfield      5    4   -3      -3.02    15.86    -3.19    61.64    10.66    -0.67     0.24     6.39     1.48P    4.09R    0.57  
Bromley           5    4   -4      -0.33    49.33     0.47    47.60    11.90   -26.02     0.03     0.90     0.18P   36.54R   13.63  
Barrow            5    4   -7      -0.18    51.05    -1.96    43.83    11.56   -34.96     0.00     0.32     0.05P   49.68R   21.57  
Altrincham        5    3   -4      -1.69    28.62    -0.57    47.92    10.31   -22.02     0.01     0.30     0.05P   32.12R    9.29  
Kidderminster     5    2   -4      -4.07     8.30    -2.83    55.97    10.73    -7.69     0.08     2.36     0.51P   11.13R    2.27  
Halifax           5    1   -5      -6.12     1.56    -5.33    56.46    10.79    -6.48     0.09     2.69     0.56P   10.45R    2.09  
Southport         5    1   -9      -3.20    11.99    -4.80    41.85     9.96   -33.85     0.00     0.06     0.00    56.30R   23.99