Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 26 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 August 2015, Arsenal 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 3 9 +8 2.98 89.65 4.87 86.44 8.86 58.52 74.99 90.63 96.14 98.34 99.71 0.00 0.00 Leicester 3 7 +3 2.89 89.54 3.04 49.97 9.63 -5.77 0.09 0.79 2.43 5.31 15.76 6.67R 1.21 Liverpool 3 7 +2 2.11 82.74 0.79 64.43 9.88 16.14 2.79 12.88 27.63 43.39 69.00 0.23R 0.02 Man_Utd 3 7 +2 1.19 70.51 -0.52 68.39 9.51 21.96 5.29 22.94 42.87 60.30 82.32 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 3 6 +2 2.24 81.94 2.57 47.06 9.29 -8.72 0.04 0.25 0.97 2.48 9.26 10.64R 2.13 Swansea 3 5 +2 0.79 63.70 1.92 52.15 9.76 0.40 0.18 1.18 3.66 8.05 22.09 4.42R 0.76 Everton 3 4 +1 0.05 54.04 1.37 57.49 9.75 9.12 0.53 3.92 10.12 18.88 41.72 1.10R 0.15 Norwich 3 4 +0 0.05 53.63 0.20 42.25 10.14 -16.78 0.02 0.19 0.60 1.47 5.12 25.93R 8.27 Arsenal 3 4 -1 -1.38 29.29 -2.88 67.40 9.57 22.56 4.61 20.35 39.50 56.77 79.83 0.08R 0.01 Chelsea 3 4 -2 -1.26 30.85 -3.73 73.02 9.37 31.00 10.94 43.13 63.96 77.91 91.98 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 3 3 +0 -0.81 36.26 0.45 47.18 9.44 -6.08 0.04 0.32 1.13 2.76 9.86 10.62R 2.33 Watford 3 3 +0 -0.17 47.69 1.42 40.26 9.93 -18.41 0.01 0.07 0.28 0.79 3.26 32.54R 11.61 Bournemouth 3 3 -1 -0.41 43.31 0.17 39.27 10.04 -21.95 0.01 0.07 0.29 0.72 2.87 36.99R 13.93 Aston_Villa 3 3 -1 -0.18 47.37 0.35 37.67 8.78 -21.25 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.21 1.14 40.93R 14.32 Stoke 3 2 -1 -1.83 23.02 -0.61 47.22 9.41 -5.06 0.03 0.29 1.10 2.67 9.77 10.53R 2.29 Tottenham 3 2 -1 -2.20 18.33 -1.13 53.41 9.91 3.58 0.25 1.68 4.87 10.25 26.75 3.63R 0.67 Newcastle 3 2 -2 -0.80 39.90 -0.01 39.45 9.18 -19.43 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.36 1.82 33.92R 11.47 Southampton 3 2 -3 -2.87 11.40 -4.16 52.88 9.53 1.18 0.17 1.25 4.02 8.49 23.77 3.32R 0.56 Sunderland 3 1 -4 -2.33 17.95 -2.88 35.05 8.82 -25.97 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.08 0.57 53.23R 22.87 West_Brom 3 1 -4 -1.55 26.85 -1.21 41.64 9.25 -15.04 0.00 0.04 0.25 0.79 3.40 25.18R 7.40Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bolton 1 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Ipswich 4 10 +4 4.00 93.29 3.25 75.72 11.18 16.44 15.82 28.62 62.76 36.90P 0.48R 0.04 Brighton 4 10 +3 4.15 93.89 2.42 67.33 10.32 4.16 3.32 7.98 31.85 13.10P 2.01R 0.25 Charlton 4 8 +3 3.42 90.16 4.23 63.51 10.61 1.09 1.70 4.33 21.19 7.70P 5.22R 0.95 MK_Dons 4 7 +3 0.73 60.58 1.84 63.99 12.02 2.31 3.50 7.49 25.54 11.56P 6.65R 1.28 Hull 4 7 +2 0.16 52.20 -0.06 75.71 11.54 18.41 16.91 29.49 62.44 39.66P 0.58R 0.08 QPR 4 7 +1 0.44 57.15 -0.74 72.44 12.40 13.03 12.41 22.59 51.25 29.96P 1.89R 0.30 Cardiff 4 6 +2 0.58 57.93 2.10 64.30 10.89 3.68 2.32 5.60 24.01 9.66P 4.80R 0.75 Middlesbrough 4 5 +2 -1.53 28.88 0.42 72.83 10.77 17.10 10.02 20.12 53.69 30.40P 0.72R 0.06 Birmingham 3 5 +1 1.30 72.25 1.58 59.17 11.27 -6.04 0.99 2.60 13.04 4.65P 12.55R 3.11 Sheff_Wed 4 5 +1 -0.31 47.36 1.17 58.38 10.51 -3.68 0.64 1.64 10.38 3.33P 11.79R 2.51 Nott'm_Forest 4 5 +0 -1.02 36.51 -0.87 61.47 11.21 -1.69 1.59 3.87 17.82 6.97P 8.59R 1.86 Preston 4 5 +0 -0.05 51.54 0.51 58.54 11.25 -4.71 0.86 2.24 12.12 4.45P 13.52R 3.10 Burnley 4 5 -1 -1.02 36.60 -1.84 68.75 11.40 8.60 5.94 12.41 38.47 19.67P 2.40R 0.40 Brentford 3 4 +1 -0.03 52.48 1.09 68.54 11.64 9.50 6.02 12.54 38.63 18.93P 2.87R 0.56 Leeds_United 4 4 +0 -1.02 37.03 0.57 55.38 10.67 -8.36 0.34 1.02 6.60 2.08P 19.45R 4.84 Derby 4 4 +0 -2.45 19.33 -1.44 72.58 11.27 16.81 10.63 20.48 52.86 30.10P 1.06R 0.14 Wolverhampton 4 4 -2 -1.41 32.10 -1.93 66.87 11.13 6.08 3.96 8.93 32.19 15.00P 3.25R 0.54 Bristol_City 4 4 -3 -0.92 39.06 -2.16 57.09 11.99 -10.38 0.96 2.31 10.95 4.11P 18.60R 5.55 Reading 4 3 -1 -2.26 20.12 -0.76 54.44 10.63 -9.31 0.23 0.81 5.59 1.79P 21.81R 5.79 Huddersfield 4 3 -2 -1.47 29.32 -0.50 51.71 10.74 -15.29 0.15 0.43 3.48 0.98P 30.92R 10.00 Fulham 4 2 -2 -2.82 14.66 -0.95 53.49 11.20 -12.19 0.32 0.86 5.48 1.73P 26.03R 7.93 Blackburn 4 2 -2 -3.58 9.63 -2.23 60.19 11.17 -0.84 1.20 3.07 14.91 5.90P 10.31R 2.29 Bolton 4 2 -4 -2.40 19.02 -2.49 53.17 10.66 -12.79 0.16 0.56 4.39 1.29P 25.81R 7.57 Rotherham 4 1 -6 -2.80 14.36 -3.22 41.62 10.14 -31.94 0.01 0.02 0.36 0.07P 68.71R 40.10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Barnsley 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Gillingham 4 10 +7 4.56 95.30 7.05 74.24 11.59 17.15 10.61 20.99 53.47 28.35P 1.47R 0.13 Walsall 4 10 +4 4.05 93.59 3.30 71.47 10.91 10.14 5.97 12.83 43.45 20.05P 1.85R 0.13 Coventry 4 9 +6 3.27 87.59 5.54 71.17 11.43 12.72 6.77 13.89 42.76 20.49P 2.42R 0.18 Sheff_Utd 4 9 +2 2.71 82.50 0.80 77.64 11.10 18.75 15.72 29.12 65.16 39.48P 0.53R 0.03 Burton_Albion 4 9 +2 3.81 90.66 2.47 61.83 11.81 -5.38 1.58 3.66 16.65 6.22P 13.22R 2.02 Swindon 4 8 +4 0.69 58.93 1.18 79.24 11.43 25.57 21.18 35.74 70.37 45.75P 0.44R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 4 7 +4 0.94 64.00 3.15 62.01 11.01 0.19 1.13 3.00 16.13 5.76P 10.64R 1.27 Rochdale 4 7 +3 1.33 69.30 2.78 68.88 11.43 9.36 4.53 10.20 35.01 16.01P 3.80R 0.39 Chesterfield 4 7 +1 1.27 68.56 0.61 71.88 11.30 12.09 7.12 14.70 44.82 22.36P 2.06R 0.15 Barnsley 4 7 +0 1.12 66.68 -0.58 69.55 11.39 7.57 4.95 10.86 36.73 17.12P 3.30R 0.31 Port_Vale 4 6 +3 0.64 58.73 3.31 63.07 11.20 2.10 1.39 3.82 18.65 7.05P 9.39R 1.16 Oldham 4 6 +1 0.65 59.35 1.15 59.86 10.91 -4.32 0.67 1.86 11.45 3.91P 14.57R 2.11 Wigan 4 4 -1 -2.70 16.54 -2.79 75.36 11.59 19.42 12.53 23.87 57.81 35.33P 1.03R 0.08 Scunthorpe 4 4 -2 -1.11 36.15 -1.38 55.73 11.20 -12.02 0.28 0.97 6.49 2.00P 26.39R 5.21 Millwall 4 4 -4 -1.60 29.90 -4.18 62.90 11.98 -2.06 1.92 4.44 19.41 8.16P 11.73R 1.88 Bury 4 3 -1 -1.73 26.89 0.31 51.34 11.90 -17.25 0.23 0.65 4.00 1.36P 41.14R 12.13 Doncaster 4 3 -3 -2.57 15.92 -3.18 59.71 11.14 -4.07 0.66 1.94 11.67 4.28P 15.59R 2.45 Peterborough 4 3 -4 -2.67 15.96 -4.25 62.36 11.18 -1.44 1.26 3.27 16.51 6.47P 10.58R 1.47 Shrewsbury 4 2 -2 -3.25 12.04 -1.75 57.98 11.75 -4.07 0.64 1.71 10.34 3.85P 20.59R 4.14 Crewe 4 2 -3 -2.44 18.53 -1.19 45.01 10.55 -26.87 0.02 0.06 0.74 0.16P 63.67R 25.09 Southend 4 2 -3 -2.22 21.29 -1.32 49.75 11.11 -16.54 0.09 0.28 2.40 0.73P 45.94R 13.55 Bradford 4 2 -4 -2.80 14.93 -2.90 57.97 10.97 -6.01 0.46 1.25 8.71 2.90P 19.04R 3.18 Colchester 4 2 -5 -2.77 15.67 -3.82 49.43 10.96 -22.04 0.05 0.20 2.09 0.55P 47.15R 14.29 Blackpool 4 1 -5 -4.06 6.56 -4.31 53.48 11.68 -12.97 0.25 0.70 5.17 1.67P 33.47R 8.62League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 4 12 +8 3.37 90.31 2.81 97.98 11.31 54.02 74.97 93.16 98.83 95.14P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 4 10 +6 3.06 87.57 3.86 77.18 11.02 20.41 6.04 37.98 72.79 47.69P 0.11R 0.03 Plymouth 4 9 +6 2.42 79.59 4.34 74.78 11.02 18.21 4.12 29.69 65.27 39.37P 0.19R 0.05 Bristol_Rovers 4 9 +3 3.50 89.01 2.89 64.74 11.45 1.20 0.79 8.51 30.40 13.38P 2.88R 1.12 Hartlepool 4 9 +2 4.11 92.76 2.82 57.11 10.75 -12.12 0.09 1.76 11.14 3.37P 9.89R 4.44 Portsmouth 4 8 +4 2.41 81.88 3.82 69.57 11.28 9.89 1.72 16.30 46.66 23.25P 0.98R 0.35 Cambridge_Utd 4 7 +1 1.80 75.02 1.53 58.70 11.37 -9.41 0.21 3.15 15.50 5.51P 8.71R 3.88 Exeter 4 7 -1 1.58 72.16 -0.83 62.36 11.27 -5.15 0.46 5.70 23.34 9.33P 4.60R 1.98 Oxford_Utd 4 6 +2 0.59 58.37 2.05 66.60 11.15 6.56 0.89 10.46 36.54 16.99P 1.81R 0.67 Northampton 4 6 +0 0.43 55.77 -0.18 62.83 11.26 -1.60 0.42 6.01 25.03 10.25P 4.07R 1.69 Crawley_Town 4 5 +2 -1.71 27.52 0.15 74.08 11.89 19.28 4.59 29.57 62.69 39.94P 0.52R 0.18 Mansfield 4 5 +1 0.39 58.38 2.26 52.03 10.43 -14.31 0.03 0.56 4.68 1.28P 19.52R 9.98 Accrington_Stanley 4 5 +0 0.10 53.41 0.96 55.35 11.14 -11.98 0.09 1.63 9.50 3.15P 13.65R 6.63 AFC_Wimbledon 4 4 -2 -0.76 41.51 -0.88 55.51 11.09 -11.64 0.10 1.51 9.41 3.09P 13.24R 6.37 Morecambe 4 4 -2 -1.24 34.36 -1.66 58.02 10.96 -7.45 0.14 2.32 13.42 4.72P 8.64R 3.96 Notts_County 4 4 -2 -2.60 17.71 -3.68 71.23 12.01 12.49 2.98 22.08 52.74 31.44P 1.00R 0.39 Stevenage 4 4 -3 -1.40 31.54 -2.73 66.51 11.42 4.50 0.88 10.82 36.46 17.31P 2.27R 0.91 York 4 4 -3 -1.03 36.70 -2.42 57.43 10.66 -8.21 0.10 2.01 11.40 4.01P 9.01R 4.04 Yeovil 4 3 -2 -2.92 14.51 -2.66 64.46 12.11 3.90 0.95 9.44 31.53 15.57P 3.92R 1.74 Carlisle 4 3 -3 -2.18 20.98 -2.44 52.66 11.22 -17.45 0.03 0.99 6.44 2.02P 20.03R 10.45 Barnet 4 3 -4 -0.74 39.88 -1.00 49.78 11.52 -20.83 0.04 0.57 4.36 1.30P 29.22R 17.44 Luton 4 2 -2 -3.60 9.40 -2.19 60.93 11.17 0.06 0.30 4.23 20.11 8.26P 5.47R 2.30 Newport_County 4 1 -5 -3.38 10.23 -3.19 51.44 10.86 -16.17 0.02 0.57 4.68 1.38P 22.47R 11.96 Dag_&_Red 4 1 -6 -3.05 13.01 -3.62 53.55 11.18 -14.20 0.06 0.98 7.09 2.24P 17.79R 9.45National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Braintree_Town 1 0 Southport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 5 15 +9 5.08 96.28 4.08 84.63 10.81 29.80 20.47 72.56 33.74P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 5 12 +7 3.49 87.79 4.31 78.80 11.07 23.33 9.17 52.51 18.63P 0.08R 0.00 Wrexham 5 12 +6 3.67 87.70 3.83 74.69 10.72 15.91 4.27 36.51 11.00P 0.17R 0.02 Eastleigh 5 11 +6 1.96 73.17 2.61 76.06 11.07 19.99 6.00 42.40 14.03P 0.20R 0.02 Tranmere 5 10 +3 0.54 55.70 -0.95 87.65 11.30 36.55 31.26 79.85 47.96P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 5 10 +0 2.51 79.50 -0.95 68.78 11.04 3.62 1.52 19.06 4.82P 1.05R 0.14 Cheltenham 5 9 +4 -0.85 36.63 -0.70 80.06 11.39 26.53 11.82 57.14 25.47P 0.08R 0.01 Grimsby 5 8 +5 -1.94 25.16 -0.01 79.85 10.78 28.90 10.43 56.93 24.71P 0.06R 0.00 Lincoln_City 5 8 +2 2.37 79.27 4.09 65.81 11.19 3.83 0.84 13.53 2.97P 2.25R 0.30 Dover_Athletic 5 8 +1 -0.10 48.83 -0.86 63.32 10.85 -0.72 0.47 8.91 2.03P 3.05R 0.35 Chester 5 8 -1 2.86 84.02 1.75 57.73 10.65 -11.88 0.07 3.00 0.46P 8.76R 1.64 Torquay 5 7 -1 0.37 55.75 -0.62 71.32 11.05 11.43 2.47 26.44 7.54P 0.62R 0.07 Braintree_Town 5 7 -1 -0.30 46.79 -1.70 61.60 10.46 -2.94 0.22 5.94 1.30P 3.82R 0.57 Guiseley 5 7 -3 1.03 64.37 -1.75 45.67 11.11 -30.95 0.01 0.41 0.07P 42.46R 15.48 Boreham_Wood 5 6 +1 1.13 66.12 4.17 57.01 11.96 -6.81 0.23 4.34 0.97P 12.22R 2.79 Aldershot 5 5 +0 -1.49 32.36 0.50 61.59 10.65 0.63 0.27 6.32 1.34P 4.06R 0.60 Welling 5 4 -2 -1.30 34.61 0.44 51.85 10.47 -14.91 0.01 0.94 0.14P 19.84R 4.54 Macclesfield 5 4 -3 -3.03 15.86 -3.18 61.55 10.69 -0.65 0.27 6.41 1.50P 4.07R 0.65 Bromley 5 4 -4 -0.36 48.70 0.42 47.70 11.96 -25.90 0.04 1.02 0.21P 36.25R 13.20 Barrow 5 4 -7 -0.18 51.41 -1.92 43.61 11.61 -35.57 0.01 0.32 0.06P 50.47R 22.09 Altrincham 5 3 -4 -1.69 28.57 -0.58 48.03 10.30 -21.84 0.00 0.38 0.05P 31.67R 8.91 Kidderminster 5 2 -4 -4.09 8.22 -2.84 55.81 10.63 -7.93 0.06 2.24 0.42P 11.18R 2.20 Halifax 5 1 -5 -6.12 1.55 -5.34 56.45 10.86 -6.43 0.08 2.76 0.57P 10.56R 2.19 Southport 5 1 -9 -3.19 12.03 -4.79 41.71 9.96 -34.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 57.05R 24.23