Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 August 2015, Arsenal 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          3    9   +8       2.96    89.33     4.85    86.36     8.93    58.41    74.53    90.54    95.86    98.19    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         3    7   +3       2.92    89.82     3.08    49.72     9.57    -6.18     0.08     0.68     2.13     4.85    15.05     6.98R    1.32  
Liverpool         3    7   +2       2.10    82.88     0.77    64.67     9.81    16.50     2.92    13.43    28.08    43.99    70.10     0.22R    0.03  
Man_Utd           3    7   +2       1.18    70.21    -0.52    68.70     9.54    22.46     5.57    23.98    44.28    61.30    83.06     0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    3    6   +2       2.22    81.62     2.52    47.43     9.27    -8.13     0.03     0.30     1.08     2.79     9.97     9.76R    1.89  
Swansea           3    5   +2       0.77    63.18     1.86    52.27     9.70     0.49     0.14     1.16     3.71     8.13    22.30     4.29R    0.78  
Everton           3    4   +1       0.06    54.06     1.38    57.38     9.79     8.97     0.49     3.73     9.94    18.69    41.36     1.35R    0.19  
Norwich           3    4   +0       0.07    54.17     0.25    42.16     9.95   -16.91     0.00     0.15     0.51     1.27     4.71    25.88R    8.10  
Arsenal           3    4   -1      -1.37    29.43    -2.87    67.52     9.60    22.87     4.90    20.37    39.68    57.03    80.04     0.07R    0.01  
Chelsea           3    4   -2      -1.26    30.64    -3.71    72.82     9.44    30.69    10.79    41.97    62.99    77.03    91.75     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham          3    3   +0      -0.80    36.57     0.47    46.97     9.53    -6.50     0.05     0.33     1.11     2.82     9.71    11.25R    2.52  
Watford           3    3   +0      -0.22    47.20     1.35    40.54     9.94   -17.92     0.03     0.11     0.34     0.87     3.38    31.51R   10.95  
Bournemouth       3    3   -1      -0.42    43.25     0.17    39.42     9.99   -21.77     0.01     0.10     0.33     0.78     2.95    35.99R   13.66  
Aston_Villa       3    3   -1      -0.20    47.05     0.33    37.77     8.77   -21.08     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.20     1.07    40.65R   14.12  
Stoke             3    2   -1      -1.84    22.87    -0.63    47.29     9.40    -4.96     0.04     0.29     1.13     2.84    10.01    10.29R    2.24  
Tottenham         3    2   -1      -2.19    18.41    -1.13    53.30     9.92     3.38     0.24     1.58     4.65     9.82    26.29     3.68R    0.67  
Newcastle         3    2   -2      -0.79    39.98    -0.00    39.43     9.25   -19.60     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.44     2.04    34.68R   11.70  
Southampton       3    2   -3      -2.84    11.85    -4.10    52.45     9.67     0.47     0.18     1.22     3.74     8.18    22.85     3.88R    0.68  
Sunderland        3    1   -4      -2.32    17.83    -2.87    35.06     8.83   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.56    53.25R   23.23  
West_Brom         3    1   -4      -1.54    27.36    -1.19    41.47     9.31   -15.25     0.00     0.04     0.23     0.72     3.19    26.19R    7.92  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bolton 1 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich          4   10   +4       3.95    93.02     3.17    76.11    11.17    17.07    16.58    29.47    63.98    37.98P    0.40R    0.05  
Brighton         4   10   +3       4.18    93.96     2.45    67.26    10.37     4.05     3.23     7.95    31.51    13.22P    2.06R    0.26  
Charlton         4    8   +3       3.43    90.43     4.23    63.37    10.59     0.89     1.63     4.31    20.64     7.46P    5.07R    0.90  
MK_Dons          4    7   +3       0.70    60.30     1.79    64.41    11.97     2.90     3.54     7.55    26.40    11.93P    6.21R    1.25  
Hull             4    7   +2       0.19    52.82    -0.02    75.43    11.66    18.02    16.44    28.58    61.55    38.66P    0.66R    0.10  
QPR              4    7   +1       0.45    57.22    -0.73    72.50    12.32    13.16    12.28    22.08    51.18    29.81P    1.78R    0.27  
Cardiff          4    6   +2       0.60    58.37     2.15    64.00    10.87     3.27     2.09     5.10    22.93     8.96P    4.94R    0.88  
Middlesbrough    4    5   +2      -1.58    28.39     0.37    73.30    10.73    17.79    10.48    21.21    55.33    31.57P    0.57R    0.06  
Birmingham       3    5   +1       1.32    72.36     1.61    58.98    11.19    -6.31     0.95     2.42    12.41     4.22P   12.70R    3.01  
Sheff_Wed        4    5   +1      -0.33    46.90     1.14    58.56    10.57    -3.43     0.53     1.66    10.79     3.62P   11.58R    2.53  
Nott'm_Forest    4    5   +0      -1.00    36.62    -0.86    61.04    11.25    -2.35     1.44     3.55    16.82     6.42P    9.29R    1.98  
Preston          4    5   +0      -0.01    52.05     0.54    58.42    11.19    -4.91     0.79     2.09    11.55     4.11P   13.58R    3.04  
Burnley          4    5   -1      -1.03    36.28    -1.85    68.82    11.39     8.65     5.61    12.12    38.81    19.38P    2.42R    0.39  
Brentford        3    4   +1       0.02    53.05     1.16    68.56    11.54     9.53     5.88    12.43    38.41    18.78P    2.63R    0.44  
Leeds_United     4    4   +0      -0.98    37.82     0.64    55.11    10.63    -8.84     0.32     0.87     6.23     1.90P   19.68R    5.12  
Derby            4    4   +0      -2.49    19.20    -1.49    72.85    11.31    17.23    11.14    21.22    53.34    30.86P    1.00R    0.13  
Wolverhampton    4    4   -2      -1.48    31.05    -2.04    67.19    11.12     6.61     3.99     9.15    33.07    15.25P    3.02R    0.54  
Bristol_City     4    4   -3      -0.97    38.43    -2.22    57.53    12.10    -9.71     1.08     2.73    12.03     4.70P   17.86R    5.15  
Reading          4    3   -1      -2.23    20.42    -0.72    54.34    10.61    -9.37     0.27     0.77     5.35     1.63P   21.82R    5.95  
Huddersfield     4    3   -2      -1.47    29.50    -0.49    51.23    10.66   -16.09     0.12     0.38     3.17     0.88P   32.28R   10.38  
Fulham           4    2   -2      -2.85    14.05    -1.00    53.55    11.12   -12.03     0.27     0.81     5.52     1.73P   25.62R    7.73  
Blackburn        4    2   -2      -3.55     9.84    -2.19    59.86    11.09    -1.35     1.12     2.92    14.15     5.52P   10.37R    2.46  
Bolton           4    2   -4      -2.38    19.08    -2.43    53.18    10.74   -12.86     0.21     0.62     4.52     1.35P   25.88R    7.74  
Rotherham        4    1   -6      -2.81    14.20    -3.21    41.65    10.15   -31.90     0.00     0.03     0.30     0.06P   68.58R   39.64  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Barnsley 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        4   10   +7       4.53    95.26     7.05    74.31    11.43    17.22    10.52    20.71    53.93    28.23P    1.30R    0.10  
Walsall           4   10   +4       4.06    93.58     3.32    71.19    10.92     9.71     5.73    12.44    42.36    19.33P    1.97R    0.15  
Coventry          4    9   +6       3.24    87.20     5.53    71.18    11.38    12.83     6.58    13.83    42.82    20.69P    2.32R    0.14  
Sheff_Utd         4    9   +2       2.74    82.71     0.83    77.64    11.04    18.68    15.51    29.01    65.35    39.19P    0.51R    0.04  
Burton_Albion     4    9   +2       3.82    90.59     2.47    62.06    11.68    -4.94     1.49     3.76    16.81     6.30P   12.48R    1.92  
Swindon           4    8   +4       0.63    58.10     1.10    79.44    11.39    25.86    21.95    36.58    70.89    46.77P    0.37R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town    4    7   +4       0.97    64.60     3.18    61.74    10.95    -0.18     1.06     2.76    15.18     5.29P   10.93R    1.38  
Rochdale          4    7   +3       1.33    69.33     2.78    69.07    11.49     9.63     4.75    10.74    35.88    16.60P    3.89R    0.36  
Chesterfield      4    7   +1       1.26    68.46     0.59    72.03    11.36    12.31     7.24    15.24    45.78    23.28P    2.08R    0.18  
Barnsley          4    7   +0       1.12    66.67    -0.57    69.50    11.39     7.38     4.89    10.73    36.99    17.13P    3.43R    0.33  
Port_Vale         4    6   +3       0.68    58.96     3.39    62.73    11.16     1.58     1.29     3.43    17.68     6.42P   10.03R    1.22  
Oldham            4    6   +1       0.69    59.71     1.20    59.35    10.94    -5.05     0.67     1.75    10.83     3.55P   15.71R    2.28  
Wigan             4    4   -1      -2.67    16.75    -2.77    75.20    11.59    19.32    12.38    23.61    57.23    35.01P    1.14R    0.10  
Scunthorpe        4    4   -2      -1.12    35.82    -1.40    55.87    11.31   -11.78     0.36     0.98     6.89     2.07P   26.02R    5.29  
Millwall          4    4   -4      -1.56    30.53    -4.14    62.94    11.93    -1.96     1.80     4.37    19.44     8.17P   11.49R    1.80  
Bury              4    3   -1      -1.68    27.51     0.38    51.01    11.83   -17.74     0.18     0.51     3.60     1.11P   42.09R   12.70  
Doncaster         4    3   -3      -2.61    15.72    -3.21    59.62    11.13    -4.22     0.69     1.87    11.50     4.23P   15.52R    2.28  
Peterborough      4    3   -4      -2.67    15.76    -4.29    62.64    11.24    -0.93     1.34     3.38    17.35     6.79P   10.59R    1.48  
Shrewsbury        4    2   -2      -3.29    11.63    -1.81    58.16    11.59    -3.82     0.71     1.78    10.33     3.79P   19.78R    3.79  
Crewe             4    2   -3      -2.48    18.10    -1.27    45.12    10.58   -26.65     0.02     0.06     0.69     0.16P   63.15R   25.06  
Southend          4    2   -3      -2.21    21.15    -1.31    49.55    11.12   -16.84     0.06     0.21     2.21     0.60P   46.56R   13.90  
Bradford          4    2   -4      -2.76    15.27    -2.85    57.80    10.94    -6.26     0.43     1.26     8.54     2.81P   19.56R    3.22  
Colchester        4    2   -5      -2.80    15.18    -3.85    49.59    10.95   -21.77     0.06     0.18     2.03     0.48P   46.80R   13.86  
Blackpool         4    1   -5      -4.08     6.54    -4.34    53.96    11.81   -12.36     0.28     0.85     5.68     1.99P   32.27R    8.40  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         4   12   +8       3.41    90.53     2.86    97.60    11.43    53.44    74.11    92.68    98.60    94.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe               4   10   +6       3.08    87.65     3.87    77.19    11.23    20.37     6.44    38.72    72.68    48.27P    0.16R    0.05  
Plymouth              4    9   +6       2.43    79.49     4.34    74.76    11.00    18.19     4.25    30.06    65.44    39.71P    0.20R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers        4    9   +3       3.53    89.47     2.91    64.62    11.49     0.99     0.83     8.38    30.33    13.21P    3.08R    1.24  
Hartlepool            4    9   +2       4.09    92.78     2.79    57.40    10.65   -11.67     0.15     1.94    11.41     3.71P    9.09R    4.05  
Portsmouth            4    8   +4       2.43    81.80     3.86    69.44    11.40     9.61     1.85    16.18    46.66    23.49P    1.12R    0.42  
Cambridge_Utd         4    7   +1       1.78    74.92     1.51    58.75    11.21    -9.25     0.25     3.21    15.14     5.38P    8.20R    3.72  
Exeter                4    7   -1       1.56    72.16    -0.86    62.65    11.40    -4.69     0.55     6.20    24.41     9.91P    4.55R    1.89  
Oxford_Utd            4    6   +2       0.59    58.41     2.05    66.31    11.18     6.17     0.94    10.27    35.54    16.40P    1.97R    0.77  
Northampton           4    6   +0       0.42    55.80    -0.19    62.98    11.37    -1.37     0.48     6.36    25.60    10.48P    4.16R    1.69  
Crawley_Town          4    5   +2      -1.67    28.16     0.21    73.76    11.89    18.86     4.44    28.87    61.85    39.29P    0.56R    0.19  
Mansfield             4    5   +1       0.43    58.64     2.31    51.90    10.40   -14.42     0.02     0.50     4.37     1.17P   20.12R   10.14  
Accrington_Stanley    4    5   +0       0.12    53.62     1.00    55.33    11.06   -12.07     0.07     1.56     9.37     2.96P   13.66R    6.74  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    4   -2      -0.80    40.95    -0.92    55.71    10.94   -11.22     0.08     1.52     9.60     3.07P   12.65R    5.99  
Morecambe             4    4   -2      -1.25    34.19    -1.67    58.13    11.01    -7.25     0.17     2.45    13.60     4.87P    8.72R    3.93  
Notts_County          4    4   -2      -2.63    17.47    -3.72    71.15    12.02    12.42     3.05    21.73    52.93    31.28P    1.09R    0.41  
Stevenage             4    4   -3      -1.41    31.42    -2.73    66.47    11.23     4.41     0.90    10.63    36.45    17.30P    1.96R    0.74  
York                  4    4   -3      -1.02    36.99    -2.39    57.18    10.52    -8.55     0.08     1.56    10.69     3.51P    9.33R    4.10  
Yeovil                4    3   -2      -2.88    14.86    -2.61    64.08    11.95     3.35     0.83     8.92    30.21    14.68P    4.12R    1.75  
Carlisle              4    3   -3      -2.19    21.10    -2.46    52.86    11.47   -17.20     0.08     1.19     7.06     2.36P   20.57R   11.04  
Barnet                4    3   -4      -0.75    39.49    -1.00    49.72    11.52   -20.97     0.03     0.59     4.40     1.32P   29.60R   17.79  
Luton                 4    2   -2      -3.65     8.99    -2.26    61.20    11.20     0.47     0.34     4.69    21.20     8.89P    5.44R    2.33  
Newport_County        4    1   -5      -3.38    10.51    -3.18    51.51    11.05   -16.14     0.03     0.68     5.00     1.52P   22.73R   12.23  
Dag_&_Red             4    1   -6      -3.11    12.19    -3.71    54.00    11.10   -13.47     0.04     1.09     7.47     2.37P   16.93R    8.74  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Braintree_Town 1 0 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      5   15   +9       5.09    96.36     4.10    84.54    10.89    29.71    20.17    71.76    33.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking            5   12   +7       3.50    88.02     4.30    78.66    10.96    23.02     8.54    51.91    18.41P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham           5   12   +6       3.63    87.39     3.77    74.58    10.78    15.76     4.28    36.51    11.14P    0.18R    0.00  
Eastleigh         5   11   +6       1.96    73.11     2.61    76.06    11.12    19.92     6.24    42.45    14.14P    0.21R    0.01  
Tranmere          5   10   +3       0.51    55.53    -1.01    87.92    11.18    36.96    31.88    80.84    48.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead         5   10   +0       2.49    79.19    -0.97    68.81    11.01     3.67     1.40    19.28     4.67P    1.18R    0.11  
Cheltenham        5    9   +4      -0.88    36.35    -0.76    79.97    11.37    26.39    11.75    56.89    25.36P    0.10R    0.01  
Grimsby           5    8   +5      -2.01    24.17    -0.10    79.97    10.71    29.03    10.47    57.61    24.64P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      5    8   +2       2.40    79.57     4.16    65.69    11.16     3.68     0.90    13.26     2.95P    2.28R    0.28  
Dover_Athletic    5    8   +1      -0.11    48.92    -0.89    63.34    10.82    -0.64     0.44     8.83     1.94P    3.08R    0.40  
Chester           5    8   -1       2.90    84.46     1.80    57.37    10.56   -12.44     0.06     2.79     0.46P    8.92R    1.62  
Torquay           5    7   -1       0.40    56.31    -0.60    71.34    10.94    11.44     2.58    26.21     7.57P    0.52R    0.06  
Braintree_Town    5    7   -1      -0.33    46.37    -1.75    61.62    10.54    -2.86     0.25     6.22     1.35P    3.90R    0.49  
Guiseley          5    7   -3       0.98    63.73    -1.83    45.95    11.21   -30.44     0.01     0.44     0.07P   41.58R   15.13  
Boreham_Wood      5    6   +1       1.12    66.11     4.20    57.03    12.05    -6.75     0.23     4.49     0.99P   12.27R    2.87  
Aldershot         5    5   +0      -1.44    33.10     0.58    61.40    10.76     0.33     0.26     6.40     1.37P    4.45R    0.68  
Welling           5    4   -2      -1.29    34.74     0.48    51.70    10.39   -15.23     0.03     0.85     0.13P   20.28R    4.85  
Macclesfield      5    4   -3      -2.99    16.05    -3.14    61.50    10.66    -0.77     0.27     6.24     1.51P    4.22R    0.61  
Bromley           5    4   -4      -0.29    49.80     0.58    47.31    12.00   -26.70     0.05     0.98     0.18P   37.85R   14.06  
Barrow            5    4   -7      -0.16    51.36    -1.91    43.56    11.70   -35.49     0.01     0.31     0.06P   50.91R   22.99  
Altrincham        5    3   -4      -1.71    28.12    -0.61    48.41    10.32   -21.19     0.01     0.33     0.04P   30.62R    8.59  
Kidderminster     5    2   -4      -4.04     8.79    -2.80    55.98    10.70    -7.56     0.07     2.36     0.48P   11.29R    2.23  
Halifax           5    1   -5      -6.14     1.49    -5.37    56.54    10.91    -6.35     0.08     3.00     0.63P   10.60R    2.16  
Southport         5    1   -9      -3.23    11.68    -4.86    42.09    10.03   -33.48     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.46R   22.84