Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 August 2015, Everton 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          3    9   +8       2.96    89.53     4.82    86.42     8.97    58.89    72.83    89.62    95.61    98.11    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         3    7   +3       2.89    89.58     3.04    49.89     9.66    -6.14     0.09     0.59     2.04     4.85    15.39     6.88R    1.25  
Man_Utd           3    7   +2       1.19    70.29    -0.51    68.40     9.53    22.00     5.02    21.49    41.07    58.83    82.24     0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    3    6   +2       2.26    81.98     2.60    47.23     9.42    -8.65     0.03     0.26     1.02     2.65     9.80    10.44R    2.08  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.32    85.77     0.53    65.08    10.19    16.64     3.45    14.45    29.17    45.05    70.15     0.25R    0.03  
Swansea           3    5   +2       0.79    63.60     1.93    52.06     9.73     0.10     0.13     0.97     3.38     7.46    21.60     4.31R    0.77  
Everton           3    4   +1       0.07    54.49     1.41    57.35     9.80     8.85     0.44     3.44     9.29    17.75    40.61     1.34R    0.19  
Norwich           3    4   +0       0.00    52.83     0.16    42.59    10.13   -16.52     0.02     0.15     0.59     1.53     5.37    24.76R    7.72  
Chelsea           3    4   -2      -1.29    30.32    -3.79    73.21     9.47    31.51    11.27    41.64    63.40    77.61    91.81     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham          3    3   +0      -0.81    36.58     0.49    47.24     9.48    -6.20     0.03     0.30     1.04     2.65     9.79    10.52R    2.37  
Watford           3    3   +0      -0.21    47.32     1.38    40.34     9.96   -18.48     0.01     0.08     0.32     0.87     3.18    32.27R   11.37  
Bournemouth       3    3   -1      -0.45    42.72     0.17    39.64    10.10   -21.75     0.01     0.07     0.29     0.74     3.00    35.36R   13.31  
Arsenal           2    3   -1      -0.91    29.18    -2.76    68.57    10.03    24.24     6.27    23.82    43.12    59.98    81.56     0.09R    0.01  
Aston_Villa       3    3   -1      -0.16    47.71     0.39    37.54     8.85   -21.88     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.18     1.10    41.79R   14.80  
Stoke             3    2   -1      -1.83    23.27    -0.59    47.42     9.39    -4.90     0.02     0.28     1.04     2.56     9.81     9.84R    2.09  
Tottenham         3    2   -1      -2.18    18.48    -1.10    53.19    10.04     3.21     0.24     1.57     4.65     9.83    26.00     4.06R    0.74  
Newcastle         3    2   -2      -0.81    39.38    -0.02    39.50     9.23   -19.69     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.39     1.96    33.96R   11.50  
Southampton       3    2   -3      -2.88    11.50    -4.16    52.79     9.59     0.92     0.14     1.18     3.56     8.16    23.31     3.65R    0.58  
Sunderland        3    1   -4      -2.31    18.20    -2.84    35.04     8.87   -26.33     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.07     0.51    53.37R   23.18  
West_Brom         3    1   -4      -1.52    27.70    -1.14    41.21     9.35   -15.83     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.74     3.17    27.04R    8.01  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bolton 1 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich          4   10   +4       3.96    93.21     3.21    75.92    11.25    16.77    16.37    29.12    63.36    37.50P    0.46R    0.06  
Brighton         4   10   +3       4.16    93.98     2.43    67.34    10.38     4.19     3.39     8.05    31.73    13.23P    1.99R    0.26  
Charlton         4    8   +3       3.45    90.56     4.27    63.25    10.58     0.69     1.66     4.16    20.01     7.32P    5.22R    0.87  
MK_Dons          4    7   +3       0.73    60.67     1.84    64.10    12.01     2.43     3.50     7.36    25.66    11.43P    6.55R    1.38  
Hull             4    7   +2       0.15    52.11    -0.07    75.54    11.54    18.15    16.35    28.90    61.95    38.89P    0.65R    0.10  
QPR              4    7   +1       0.44    57.18    -0.73    72.42    12.33    13.07    12.24    21.98    51.05    29.59P    1.78R    0.28  
Cardiff          4    6   +2       0.61    58.60     2.13    64.32    10.89     3.72     2.31     5.52    24.03     9.60P    4.66R    0.82  
Middlesbrough    4    5   +2      -1.52    29.10     0.45    73.12    10.75    17.53    10.23    20.37    54.28    30.64P    0.61R    0.06  
Birmingham       3    5   +1       1.30    72.11     1.58    59.21    11.35    -5.97     0.98     2.63    13.19     4.56P   12.66R    3.05  
Sheff_Wed        4    5   +1      -0.29    47.55     1.19    58.23    10.41    -3.94     0.54     1.51     9.86     3.28P   11.77R    2.47  
Nott'm_Forest    4    5   +0      -1.02    36.31    -0.90    61.31    11.14    -1.91     1.39     3.57    17.21     6.52P    8.55R    1.67  
Preston          4    5   +0      -0.07    51.21     0.46    58.92    11.33    -4.18     1.01     2.50    12.70     4.85P   12.90R    2.89  
Burnley          4    5   -1      -1.01    36.83    -1.82    68.50    11.51     8.27     5.57    11.91    37.60    19.15P    2.52R    0.43  
Brentford        3    4   +1      -0.02    52.60     1.13    68.54    11.75     9.45     6.16    12.76    38.09    18.93P    2.94R    0.53  
Leeds_United     4    4   +0      -1.00    37.40     0.62    55.17    10.73    -8.73     0.33     0.99     6.42     2.10P   19.78R    5.31  
Derby            4    4   +0      -2.54    18.45    -1.56    72.97    11.18    17.45    10.77    21.11    54.01    30.87P    0.93R    0.11  
Wolverhampton    4    4   -2      -1.46    31.62    -2.00    67.22    11.21     6.64     4.21     9.48    33.13    15.50P    3.00R    0.46  
Bristol_City     4    4   -3      -0.95    38.57    -2.22    57.35    12.08    -9.98     1.00     2.53    11.75     4.48P   17.79R    5.27  
Reading          4    3   -1      -2.26    20.12    -0.77    54.41    10.59    -9.32     0.24     0.71     5.39     1.66P   21.42R    5.61  
Huddersfield     4    3   -2      -1.44    29.86    -0.46    51.25    10.82   -16.05     0.17     0.44     3.38     0.93P   32.34R   10.51  
Fulham           4    2   -2      -2.84    14.41    -0.96    53.63    11.32   -12.00     0.35     0.93     5.96     1.95P   25.60R    7.93  
Blackburn        4    2   -2      -3.59     9.44    -2.23    60.20    11.15    -0.81     1.10     2.97    14.93     5.76P   10.24R    2.47  
Bolton           4    2   -4      -2.36    19.32    -2.41    52.76    10.63   -13.36     0.15     0.48     4.02     1.19P   26.98R    7.84  
Rotherham        4    1   -6      -2.78    14.54    -3.18    41.54    10.17   -32.10     0.01     0.02     0.31     0.07P   68.67R   39.62  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Barnsley 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        4   10   +7       4.55    95.04     7.08    74.04    11.50    16.74    10.36    20.07    52.65    27.61P    1.44R    0.12  
Walsall           4   10   +4       4.06    93.55     3.34    71.32    10.94     9.90     5.73    12.69    42.75    19.60P    1.94R    0.13  
Coventry          4    9   +6       3.23    87.28     5.46    71.52    11.47    13.32     7.09    14.85    44.02    21.60P    2.32R    0.16  
Sheff_Utd         4    9   +2       2.76    82.79     0.86    77.35    11.16    18.30    15.19    28.15    64.17    38.07P    0.60R    0.03  
Burton_Albion     4    9   +2       3.77    90.38     2.41    62.28    11.86    -4.66     1.68     3.95    17.80     6.78P   12.52R    2.00  
Swindon           4    8   +4       0.66    58.51     1.14    79.42    11.41    25.85    21.72    36.41    70.99    46.86P    0.41R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town    4    7   +4       0.95    64.13     3.16    61.90    11.01     0.02     1.13     3.03    15.67     5.70P   10.98R    1.31  
Rochdale          4    7   +3       1.33    69.12     2.77    68.99    11.47     9.50     4.72    10.49    35.60    16.45P    3.89R    0.44  
Chesterfield      4    7   +1       1.26    68.40     0.58    71.91    11.22    12.08     6.85    14.73    45.05    22.45P    1.94R    0.16  
Barnsley          4    7   +0       1.14    66.97    -0.55    69.54    11.38     7.54     4.98    10.87    36.86    17.09P    3.34R    0.33  
Port_Vale         4    6   +3       0.65    58.73     3.33    63.00    11.09     1.98     1.40     3.68    18.25     6.80P    9.34R    1.15  
Oldham            4    6   +1       0.67    59.73     1.18    59.49    10.84    -4.85     0.63     1.77    10.79     3.56P   15.21R    2.09  
Wigan             4    4   -1      -2.68    16.74    -2.78    75.15    11.65    19.22    12.40    23.40    56.75    34.85P    1.16R    0.09  
Scunthorpe        4    4   -2      -1.13    35.70    -1.41    55.66    11.17   -12.11     0.32     0.96     6.48     2.05P   26.54R    5.17  
Millwall          4    4   -4      -1.56    30.35    -4.12    62.93    11.96    -1.95     1.95     4.58    19.46     8.23P   11.55R    1.86  
Bury              4    3   -1      -1.67    27.66     0.39    50.93    11.91   -17.87     0.18     0.55     3.85     1.22P   42.59R   13.15  
Doncaster         4    3   -3      -2.58    15.87    -3.19    59.79    11.09    -3.97     0.75     2.01    11.65     4.26P   15.14R    2.32  
Peterborough      4    3   -4      -2.65    16.20    -4.25    62.31    11.22    -1.48     1.29     3.27    16.82     6.47P   10.92R    1.48  
Shrewsbury        4    2   -2      -3.29    11.44    -1.81    58.22    11.75    -3.79     0.75     1.93    10.69     4.05P   19.99R    3.97  
Crewe             4    2   -3      -2.45    18.59    -1.18    45.02    10.57   -26.92     0.02     0.06     0.75     0.15P   63.63R   25.00  
Southend          4    2   -3      -2.23    20.96    -1.36    50.01    11.11   -16.14     0.08     0.28     2.42     0.72P   44.76R   12.97  
Bradford          4    2   -4      -2.78    15.24    -2.88    57.74    10.97    -6.36     0.37     1.17     8.55     2.82P   19.78R    3.34  
Colchester        4    2   -5      -2.78    15.32    -3.82    49.52    11.08   -21.88     0.10     0.26     2.13     0.60P   47.13R   14.33  
Blackpool         4    1   -5      -4.08     6.55    -4.35    53.82    11.85   -12.46     0.33     0.85     5.85     1.99P   32.87R    8.34  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         4   12   +8       3.37    90.37     2.79    98.01    11.29    54.09    74.86    93.23    98.77    95.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe               4   10   +6       3.04    87.47     3.84    77.20    11.16    20.42     6.19    38.46    72.81    48.07P    0.13R    0.04  
Plymouth              4    9   +6       2.44    79.71     4.36    74.56    10.89    17.92     3.92    28.98    64.83    38.84P    0.20R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers        4    9   +3       3.49    89.07     2.86    64.92    11.41     1.46     0.70     8.70    31.30    13.77P    2.75R    1.10  
Hartlepool            4    9   +2       4.10    92.69     2.80    57.19    10.62   -11.97     0.09     1.83    10.92     3.33P    9.49R    4.16  
Portsmouth            4    8   +4       2.42    81.85     3.83    69.59    11.38     9.85     1.91    16.68    47.56    24.07P    1.10R    0.37  
Cambridge_Utd         4    7   +1       1.81    75.34     1.56    58.69    11.22    -9.31     0.22     2.95    15.05     5.22P    8.37R    3.77  
Exeter                4    7   -1       1.56    72.24    -0.86    62.56    11.37    -4.94     0.48     5.88    24.16     9.55P    4.34R    1.84  
Oxford_Utd            4    6   +2       0.59    58.32     2.04    66.67    11.20     6.70     0.95    10.80    37.12    17.10P    1.81R    0.64  
Northampton           4    6   +0       0.40    54.97    -0.21    62.94    11.25    -1.41     0.46     6.22    25.23    10.44P    3.90R    1.53  
Crawley_Town          4    5   +2      -1.70    27.60     0.17    73.98    12.08    19.14     4.67    29.58    62.24    39.93P    0.60R    0.22  
Mansfield             4    5   +1       0.39    58.02     2.25    51.96    10.48   -14.35     0.03     0.55     4.57     1.28P   19.71R   10.02  
Accrington_Stanley    4    5   +0       0.13    54.01     0.99    55.10    11.05   -12.47     0.07     1.49     8.86     2.84P   14.08R    6.94  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    4   -2      -0.77    41.23    -0.90    55.61    11.02   -11.34     0.08     1.57     9.51     3.11P   13.08R    6.12  
Morecambe             4    4   -2      -1.24    34.55    -1.66    58.00    11.09    -7.48     0.14     2.50    13.59     4.88P    9.00R    4.15  
Notts_County          4    4   -2      -2.63    17.33    -3.72    71.28    12.01    12.56     3.08    21.89    52.85    31.55P    0.98R    0.31  
Stevenage             4    4   -3      -1.38    32.00    -2.65    66.25    11.36     4.14     0.86    10.44    35.73    16.70P    2.24R    0.91  
York                  4    4   -3      -1.02    36.85    -2.40    57.47    10.66    -8.08     0.11     1.83    11.50     3.90P    9.03R    3.98  
Yeovil                4    3   -2      -2.88    14.72    -2.59    64.03    11.98     3.16     0.75     8.62    29.87    14.44P    4.06R    1.83  
Carlisle              4    3   -3      -2.20    20.98    -2.48    52.82    11.41   -17.23     0.10     1.19     6.92     2.35P   20.11R   10.83  
Barnet                4    3   -4      -0.73    39.69    -0.97    49.51    11.52   -21.22     0.02     0.62     4.10     1.23P   30.14R   18.04  
Luton                 4    2   -2      -3.59     9.53    -2.19    60.99    11.10     0.22     0.26     4.30    20.32     8.27P    5.31R    2.29  
Newport_County        4    1   -5      -3.39    10.25    -3.22    51.52    10.95   -16.08     0.02     0.63     4.97     1.57P   22.45R   12.09  
Dag_&_Red             4    1   -6      -3.05    12.69    -3.63    53.80    11.06   -13.78     0.04     1.04     7.23     2.28P   17.10R    8.77  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Braintree_Town 1 0 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      5   15   +9       5.09    96.35     4.08    84.62    10.87    29.85    20.44    72.17    33.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking            5   12   +7       3.50    87.94     4.31    78.66    11.01    23.09     8.74    51.93    18.66P    0.09R    0.01  
Wrexham           5   12   +6       3.68    87.65     3.82    74.69    10.77    15.96     4.43    36.69    11.25P    0.19R    0.02  
Eastleigh         5   11   +6       1.97    73.48     2.64    75.82    11.08    19.49     5.63    41.95    13.55P    0.21R    0.01  
Tranmere          5   10   +3       0.51    55.49    -1.02    87.84    11.14    36.73    31.71    80.84    48.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead         5   10   +0       2.51    79.42    -0.96    68.64    11.00     3.40     1.39    18.95     4.61P    1.16R    0.13  
Cheltenham        5    9   +4      -0.90    35.91    -0.76    80.14    11.29    26.68    11.84    57.37    25.67P    0.05R    0.01  
Grimsby           5    8   +5      -1.99    24.57    -0.06    79.98    10.83    29.12    10.77    57.53    24.99P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      5    8   +2       2.41    79.67     4.16    65.65    11.17     3.55     0.85    13.20     2.94P    2.26R    0.34  
Dover_Athletic    5    8   +1      -0.12    48.90    -0.91    63.34    10.81    -0.63     0.44     9.00     1.95P    2.99R    0.36  
Chester           5    8   -1       2.92    84.57     1.85    57.28    10.68   -12.60     0.09     2.96     0.47P    9.49R    1.82  
Torquay           5    7   -1       0.37    55.95    -0.64    71.51    11.00    11.63     2.57    27.05     7.84P    0.64R    0.06  
Braintree_Town    5    7   -1      -0.34    46.38    -1.74    61.59    10.40    -2.93     0.24     6.01     1.30P    3.66R    0.48  
Guiseley          5    7   -3       1.00    63.68    -1.83    46.03    11.21   -30.35     0.01     0.51     0.11P   41.68R   15.23  
Boreham_Wood      5    6   +1       1.14    66.21     4.23    56.71    11.93    -7.28     0.19     4.26     0.92P   12.86R    3.05  
Aldershot         5    5   +0      -1.45    33.16     0.58    61.35    10.71     0.28     0.28     6.19     1.41P    4.46R    0.65  
Welling           5    4   -2      -1.30    34.58     0.47    51.75    10.48   -15.21     0.02     0.89     0.17P   20.55R    4.90  
Macclesfield      5    4   -3      -3.00    16.18    -3.16    61.41    10.60    -0.89     0.17     5.93     1.33P    4.28R    0.67  
Bromley           5    4   -4      -0.37    48.49     0.39    47.96    11.84   -25.34     0.03     0.82     0.15P   35.31R   12.81  
Barrow            5    4   -7      -0.19    50.95    -1.97    43.94    11.63   -34.71     0.01     0.39     0.05P   49.80R   21.77  
Altrincham        5    3   -4      -1.70    28.46    -0.58    48.14    10.32   -21.60     0.00     0.39     0.04P   31.50R    8.87  
Kidderminster     5    2   -4      -4.03     8.68    -2.77    55.70    10.62    -8.02     0.05     2.19     0.40P   11.60R    2.39  
Halifax           5    1   -5      -6.10     1.63    -5.29    56.37    10.90    -6.56     0.08     2.74     0.59P   11.10R    2.29  
Southport         5    1   -9      -3.21    11.90    -4.84    41.97    10.10   -33.68     0.00     0.05     0.01P   56.05R   24.11