Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Crystal_Palace 2 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester         3    7   +3       2.87    89.28     3.02    49.85     9.69    -6.32     0.10     0.65     2.03     4.62    14.72     7.08R    1.42  
Man_Utd           3    7   +2       1.20    70.24    -0.52    68.61     9.73    22.47     6.18    23.51    41.92    58.87    81.37     0.05R    0.00  
Man_City          2    6   +6       2.07    83.80     4.01    85.43     9.21    58.59    69.85    87.25    94.17    97.22    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace    3    6   +2       2.23    81.62     2.59    47.36     9.44    -8.54     0.05     0.34     1.07     2.71     9.38    10.32R    2.05  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.29    85.34     0.47    65.05    10.23    16.67     3.76    14.80    29.15    43.95    68.61     0.21R    0.01  
Swansea           3    5   +2       0.81    64.07     1.94    51.86     9.71    -0.28     0.14     1.01     3.11     6.92    20.05     4.67R    0.68  
Everton           2    4   +3       0.75    67.81     2.21    58.86    10.01    10.89     1.03     5.20    12.34    22.23    45.65     1.00R    0.13  
Norwich           3    4   +0       0.01    53.01     0.16    42.36    10.11   -17.06     0.02     0.15     0.54     1.38     4.87    25.45R    7.98  
West_Ham          3    3   +0      -0.80    36.49     0.51    46.96     9.57    -6.73     0.04     0.25     0.96     2.49     9.13    11.53R    2.45  
Bournemouth       3    3   -1      -0.41    43.42     0.24    39.22    10.13   -22.55     0.01     0.08     0.26     0.69     2.75    36.93R   13.95  
Arsenal           2    3   -1      -0.90    29.71    -2.76    68.56    10.01    24.43     6.66    24.00    42.84    59.22    80.67     0.08R    0.01  
Aston_Villa       3    3   -1      -0.17    47.44     0.37    37.72     8.92   -21.76     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.17     0.99    40.83R   14.28  
Watford           2    2   +0      -0.22    47.60     0.84    40.04    10.39   -20.54     0.01     0.11     0.39     0.96     3.60    33.88R   12.65  
Stoke             3    2   -1      -1.81    23.26    -0.57    47.36     9.48    -5.03     0.03     0.27     0.99     2.57     9.45    10.30R    2.34  
Tottenham         3    2   -1      -2.19    18.60    -1.12    53.37     9.99     3.41     0.25     1.58     4.70     9.69    25.73     3.68R    0.67  
Newcastle         3    2   -2      -0.80    39.45     0.04    39.67     9.32   -19.55     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.37     1.96    33.11R   10.95  
Chelsea           2    1   -3      -2.16    15.93    -3.59    72.42     9.71    31.80    11.55    38.77    59.58    74.07    89.85     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton       2    1   -3      -2.11    16.93    -3.57    54.16    10.06     2.37     0.31     1.94     5.43    10.98    27.84     3.22R    0.57  
West_Brom         2    1   -3      -0.92    37.67    -1.42    42.00     9.43   -15.73     0.00     0.10     0.34     0.80     3.48    24.36R    6.97  
Sunderland        3    1   -4      -2.33    17.97    -2.86    34.98     8.80   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.52    53.25R   22.87  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bolton 1 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich          4   10   +4       3.95    93.06     3.19    75.96    11.20    16.80    16.46    29.38    63.32    37.78P    0.46R    0.04  
Brighton         4   10   +3       4.17    93.93     2.45    67.30    10.37     4.14     3.56     8.00    31.53    13.12P    1.94R    0.25  
Charlton         4    8   +3       3.40    90.15     4.18    63.67    10.62     1.28     1.75     4.51    21.59     7.81P    4.87R    0.90  
MK_Dons          4    7   +3       0.71    60.37     1.81    63.98    11.90     2.22     3.30     7.09    25.11    10.98P    6.45R    1.29  
Hull             4    7   +2       0.18    52.48    -0.05    75.51    11.55    18.11    16.15    28.87    61.65    38.85P    0.59R    0.08  
QPR              4    7   +1       0.49    57.73    -0.65    72.09    12.46    12.52    11.86    21.60    50.50    29.12P    2.08R    0.35  
Cardiff          4    6   +2       0.56    57.67     2.07    64.42    10.91     3.85     2.44     5.76    24.24     9.87P    4.58R    0.71  
Middlesbrough    4    5   +2      -1.55    28.54     0.41    73.18    10.70    17.62    10.26    20.66    55.11    31.39P    0.64R    0.06  
Birmingham       3    5   +1       1.29    71.88     1.56    59.33    11.31    -5.77     1.08     2.75    13.30     4.85P   12.29R    2.93  
Sheff_Wed        4    5   +1      -0.27    47.92     1.21    58.19    10.51    -3.89     0.66     1.73     9.95     3.46P   12.32R    2.58  
Nott'm_Forest    4    5   +0      -1.02    36.31    -0.88    61.46    11.06    -1.65     1.50     3.64    17.23     6.65P    8.25R    1.63  
Preston          4    5   +0      -0.04    51.44     0.50    58.49    11.37    -4.77     0.90     2.30    12.34     4.49P   13.84R    3.09  
Burnley          4    5   -1      -1.00    36.73    -1.81    68.62    11.41     8.41     5.74    12.19    37.96    19.43P    2.48R    0.37  
Brentford        3    4   +1       0.00    53.01     1.14    68.45    11.66     9.38     5.88    12.25    37.92    18.56P    2.91R    0.49  
Leeds_United     4    4   +0      -1.02    37.07     0.58    55.46    10.75    -8.34     0.33     0.98     6.90     2.13P   19.21R    4.85  
Derby            4    4   +0      -2.51    18.90    -1.49    72.92    11.29    17.35    11.24    21.53    53.68    30.96P    1.01R    0.13  
Wolverhampton    4    4   -2      -1.43    31.65    -1.98    66.96    11.16     6.30     4.03     8.90    32.36    14.87P    3.15R    0.56  
Bristol_City     4    4   -3      -0.97    38.29    -2.22    57.53    11.97    -9.76     0.93     2.44    11.78     4.40P   17.33R    4.96  
Reading          4    3   -1      -2.24    20.26    -0.74    54.32    10.70    -9.41     0.28     0.78     5.72     1.74P   22.15R    6.10  
Huddersfield     4    3   -2      -1.43    30.00    -0.42    51.14    10.65   -16.24     0.12     0.36     3.23     0.85P   32.55R   10.39  
Fulham           4    2   -2      -2.86    14.29    -1.01    53.61    11.20   -12.03     0.26     0.83     5.65     1.72P   25.68R    7.77  
Blackburn        4    2   -2      -3.59     9.37    -2.23    60.09    10.99    -1.01     1.06     2.84    14.34     5.58P   10.21R    2.19  
Bolton           4    2   -4      -2.37    19.21    -2.44    53.08    10.69   -12.89     0.21     0.60     4.30     1.31P   26.02R    7.78  
Rotherham        4    1   -6      -2.78    14.55    -3.20    41.47    10.16   -32.21     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   68.99R   40.51  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Barnsley 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        4   10   +7       4.57    95.22     7.09    74.08    11.56    16.88    10.27    20.01    53.29    27.61P    1.44R    0.12  
Walsall           4   10   +4       4.04    93.57     3.30    71.36    10.94     9.96     5.84    12.88    42.70    20.02P    1.82R    0.14  
Coventry          4    9   +6       3.25    87.43     5.51    71.21    11.46    12.84     6.55    13.83    43.02    20.38P    2.49R    0.20  
Sheff_Utd         4    9   +2       2.73    82.51     0.82    77.64    11.14    18.77    15.85    29.09    65.01    39.12P    0.55R    0.03  
Burton_Albion     4    9   +2       3.82    90.75     2.47    61.94    11.82    -5.25     1.65     3.84    16.81     6.39P   12.93R    2.00  
Swindon           4    8   +4       0.65    58.32     1.12    79.39    11.45    25.82    21.62    36.43    70.62    46.53P    0.42R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town    4    7   +4       0.96    64.37     3.16    61.91    11.02     0.03     1.12     3.06    15.99     5.80P   10.75R    1.28  
Rochdale          4    7   +3       1.37    69.72     2.80    68.81    11.49     9.27     4.58    10.18    35.21    16.09P    3.96R    0.43  
Chesterfield      4    7   +1       1.25    68.38     0.58    71.96    11.26    12.11     6.97    14.94    45.38    22.69P    2.08R    0.15  
Barnsley          4    7   +0       1.11    66.63    -0.57    69.54    11.40     7.45     4.92    10.87    36.93    17.26P    3.33R    0.33  
Port_Vale         4    6   +3       0.67    59.03     3.36    63.05    11.19     2.06     1.41     3.77    18.75     6.99P    9.67R    1.17  
Oldham            4    6   +1       0.70    60.16     1.23    59.42    10.85    -4.97     0.60     1.69    10.69     3.48P   15.52R    2.23  
Wigan             4    4   -1      -2.66    17.10    -2.75    75.32    11.66    19.48    12.65    23.97    57.34    35.34P    1.14R    0.10  
Scunthorpe        4    4   -2      -1.14    35.32    -1.44    55.91    11.18   -11.63     0.31     0.92     6.60     2.09P   25.49R    5.13  
Millwall          4    4   -4      -1.58    30.28    -4.15    62.91    11.97    -2.02     1.91     4.53    19.56     8.31P   11.52R    1.76  
Bury              4    3   -1      -1.70    27.04     0.32    51.20    11.91   -17.50     0.19     0.54     3.96     1.23P   41.99R   12.66  
Doncaster         4    3   -3      -2.61    15.54    -3.21    59.86    10.98    -3.83     0.69     1.83    11.72     4.24P   14.42R    2.13  
Peterborough      4    3   -4      -2.67    15.83    -4.27    62.51    11.32    -1.20     1.28     3.38    17.26     6.62P   10.94R    1.45  
Shrewsbury        4    2   -2      -3.31    11.62    -1.82    58.25    11.71    -3.71     0.76     1.92    10.70     4.08P   19.93R    3.85  
Crewe             4    2   -3      -2.41    18.84    -1.12    44.73    10.60   -27.38     0.01     0.05     0.60     0.15P   64.28R   26.50  
Southend          4    2   -3      -2.24    21.08    -1.36    50.01    11.08   -16.10     0.07     0.23     2.44     0.64P   44.94R   12.89  
Bradford          4    2   -4      -2.79    15.03    -2.88    57.73    10.94    -6.30     0.40     1.09     8.21     2.65P   19.87R    3.35  
Colchester        4    2   -5      -2.81    15.06    -3.86    49.63    10.89   -21.73     0.07     0.22     2.00     0.52P   46.82R   13.68  
Blackpool         4    1   -5      -4.06     6.50    -4.30    53.47    11.69   -13.04     0.26     0.74     5.23     1.79P   33.71R    8.41  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         4   12   +8       3.38    90.46     2.87    97.80    11.33    53.67    74.59    92.95    98.72    95.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe               4   10   +6       3.04    87.42     3.84    77.19    11.07    20.44     6.09    38.20    73.21    47.82P    0.11R    0.03  
Plymouth              4    9   +6       2.42    79.49     4.34    74.91    10.89    18.37     4.16    30.10    66.18    40.29P    0.20R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers        4    9   +3       3.52    89.28     2.91    64.67    11.27     1.15     0.65     8.07    29.92    12.91P    2.81R    1.04  
Hartlepool            4    9   +2       4.12    92.94     2.83    57.13    10.79   -12.11     0.12     1.95    11.37     3.53P    9.83R    4.35  
Portsmouth            4    8   +4       2.41    81.79     3.81    69.90    11.30    10.36     2.03    17.04    48.15    24.41P    0.94R    0.34  
Cambridge_Utd         4    7   +1       1.81    75.27     1.53    58.60    11.13    -9.54     0.19     2.95    14.82     5.16P    8.24R    3.88  
Exeter                4    7   -1       1.59    72.58    -0.83    62.47    11.40    -4.97     0.51     5.94    23.73     9.73P    4.65R    1.97  
Oxford_Utd            4    6   +2       0.60    58.48     2.06    66.59    11.14     6.53     0.92    10.73    36.64    16.98P    1.77R    0.66  
Northampton           4    6   +0       0.42    55.52    -0.19    62.82    11.33    -1.62     0.53     6.23    25.02    10.35P    4.22R    1.63  
Crawley_Town          4    5   +2      -1.73    27.37     0.16    73.94    11.91    19.10     4.66    29.33    62.12    39.64P    0.59R    0.20  
Mansfield             4    5   +1       0.40    58.36     2.27    52.01    10.45   -14.20     0.01     0.48     4.60     1.13P   19.78R    9.90  
Accrington_Stanley    4    5   +0       0.13    53.94     0.99    55.37    11.10   -11.97     0.08     1.59     9.50     3.04P   13.61R    6.61  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    4   -2      -0.74    41.81    -0.86    55.35    10.93   -11.75     0.09     1.40     8.98     2.91P   13.20R    6.44  
Morecambe             4    4   -2      -1.23    34.52    -1.65    58.08    11.06    -7.29     0.15     2.36    13.61     4.73P    9.09R    4.21  
Notts_County          4    4   -2      -2.63    17.51    -3.74    71.36    11.89    12.70     2.85    21.89    53.55    31.59P    1.00R    0.36  
Stevenage             4    4   -3      -1.38    31.72    -2.68    66.11    11.39     3.90     0.93    10.46    34.93    16.45P    2.29R    0.82  
York                  4    4   -3      -1.02    36.98    -2.39    57.02    10.70    -8.77     0.08     1.73    11.07     3.74P    9.66R    4.42  
Yeovil                4    3   -2      -2.87    14.93    -2.59    64.07    12.02     3.31     0.92     8.84    30.01    14.77P    4.02R    1.79  
Carlisle              4    3   -3      -2.20    21.20    -2.48    52.81    11.43   -17.24     0.06     1.09     6.86     2.19P   20.37R   10.89  
Barnet                4    3   -4      -0.75    39.25    -1.05    50.03    11.45   -20.39     0.02     0.60     4.44     1.28P   28.27R   16.74  
Luton                 4    2   -2      -3.64     9.04    -2.25    60.85    11.08    -0.01     0.30     4.19    19.91     8.21P    5.38R    2.36  
Newport_County        4    1   -5      -3.40    10.16    -3.23    51.51    10.95   -16.10     0.02     0.63     4.86     1.49P   22.68R   12.23  
Dag_&_Red             4    1   -6      -3.06    12.52    -3.64    53.90    11.31   -13.57     0.05     1.24     7.80     2.64P   17.27R    9.06  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 August 2015, Braintree_Town 1 0 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      5   15   +9       5.08    96.27     4.08    84.57    10.86    29.70    20.27    71.78    33.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking            5   12   +7       3.47    87.60     4.29    78.87    10.98    23.38     8.73    52.68    18.60P    0.07R    0.00  
Wrexham           5   12   +6       3.65    87.68     3.80    74.73    10.68    15.94     4.24    36.85    11.08P    0.15R    0.01  
Eastleigh         5   11   +6       1.98    73.34     2.66    76.09    11.07    20.01     6.32    42.64    14.38P    0.18R    0.02  
Tranmere          5   10   +3       0.52    55.70    -0.98    87.74    11.20    36.59    31.44    80.29    48.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead         5   10   +0       2.54    79.50    -0.93    68.66    11.00     3.44     1.39    18.82     4.60P    1.17R    0.16  
Cheltenham        5    9   +4      -0.88    36.44    -0.73    80.13    11.49    26.70    12.13    57.32    25.66P    0.08R    0.01  
Grimsby           5    8   +5      -2.01    24.33    -0.09    79.92    10.76    29.06    10.73    57.35    24.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      5    8   +2       2.40    79.39     4.15    65.78    11.15     3.82     0.90    13.31     2.98P    2.18R    0.29  
Dover_Athletic    5    8   +1      -0.13    48.93    -0.90    63.28    10.84    -0.72     0.46     9.00     2.02P    3.16R    0.42  
Chester           5    8   -1       2.89    84.28     1.81    57.46    10.73   -12.29     0.10     3.16     0.50P    9.17R    1.62  
Torquay           5    7   -1       0.44    56.78    -0.55    71.12    10.85    11.10     2.11    25.30     7.07P    0.60R    0.06  
Braintree_Town    5    7   -1      -0.30    46.72    -1.71    61.56    10.46    -2.96     0.24     6.10     1.29P    3.78R    0.48  
Guiseley          5    7   -3       1.02    64.29    -1.77    45.69    11.08   -31.05     0.01     0.47     0.08P   42.35R   15.33  
Boreham_Wood      5    6   +1       1.08    65.42     4.13    57.22    12.08    -6.52     0.23     4.63     1.02P   11.98R    2.81  
Aldershot         5    5   +0      -1.46    32.28     0.53    61.57    10.64     0.63     0.24     6.33     1.31P    4.00R    0.55  
Welling           5    4   -2      -1.30    34.63     0.45    51.60    10.50   -15.32     0.01     0.78     0.10P   20.80R    5.11  
Macclesfield      5    4   -3      -3.04    15.69    -3.23    61.82    10.72    -0.30     0.26     6.64     1.58P    4.00R    0.55  
Bromley           5    4   -4      -0.35    48.99     0.40    47.85    11.94   -25.54     0.03     0.94     0.16P   35.68R   13.14  
Barrow            5    4   -7      -0.16    51.57    -1.91    43.65    11.52   -35.35     0.00     0.35     0.03P   50.52R   22.31  
Altrincham        5    3   -4      -1.68    28.84    -0.54    47.91    10.31   -22.06     0.01     0.34     0.04P   32.26R    9.25  
Kidderminster     5    2   -4      -4.04     8.54    -2.80    55.61    10.62    -8.16     0.08     2.07     0.47P   11.55R    2.25  
Halifax           5    1   -5      -6.10     1.58    -5.30    56.39    10.86    -6.54     0.05     2.78     0.63P   10.72R    2.20  
Southport         5    1   -9      -3.24    11.75    -4.88    41.98     9.92   -33.56     0.00     0.04     0.01P   55.53R   23.42