Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 21 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 August 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +6       2.06    83.58     4.00    85.30     9.21    58.30    68.26    86.24    93.47    96.94    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         2    6   +3       3.03    91.78     2.66    49.82     9.90    -7.06     0.15     0.70     2.15     4.68    14.02     6.98R    1.25  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.29    85.60     0.48    65.11    10.16    16.76     3.62    13.57    26.96    42.01    67.64     0.23R    0.02  
Man_Utd           2    6   +2       2.17    84.41     0.36    70.74     9.90    25.51     9.06    29.67    49.00    64.90    84.84     0.03R    0.00  
Everton           2    4   +3       0.72    67.37     2.16    59.02    10.05    11.17     0.96     4.80    11.73    21.09    44.29     0.88R    0.12  
Swansea           2    4   +2       1.48    82.34     2.37    53.40     9.94     1.47     0.24     1.38     4.07     8.65    23.42     3.29R    0.47  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +1       0.78    64.34     1.84    45.34     9.62   -10.14     0.03     0.19     0.64     1.68     6.37    14.12R    3.09  
West_Ham          2    3   +1       0.69    62.37     1.67    49.44     9.75    -3.66     0.11     0.57     1.78     3.86    12.86     7.01R    1.28  
Norwich           2    3   +0       0.17    51.53    -0.14    42.19    10.31   -18.06     0.00     0.14     0.47     1.20     4.55    25.17R    7.70  
Aston_Villa       2    3   +0       0.98    68.70     1.12    39.16     9.12   -20.49     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.25     1.48    33.57R    9.99  
Arsenal           2    3   -1      -0.86    30.41    -2.69    68.68     9.99    24.59     6.49    22.83    41.16    57.44    79.75     0.08R    0.00  
Watford           2    2   +0      -0.20    47.77     0.88    39.82    10.29   -20.95     0.01     0.07     0.30     0.82     2.85    33.40R   11.73  
Stoke             2    1   -1      -1.27    31.88    -0.30    48.12     9.71    -4.57     0.02     0.39     1.27     3.00    10.24     9.02R    1.83  
Tottenham         2    1   -1      -1.55    26.24    -0.68    54.72    10.25     5.02     0.41     2.20     5.92    11.59    28.47     2.87R    0.49  
Newcastle         2    1   -2      -1.00    37.48    -0.87    38.73     9.46   -22.27     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.30     1.57    36.25R   12.16  
Chelsea           2    1   -3      -2.11    16.72    -3.53    72.09     9.70    31.24    10.32    35.42    55.82    71.12    88.35     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton       2    1   -3      -2.12    16.85    -3.57    54.00     9.97     2.17     0.30     1.72     4.69     9.47    25.09     2.86R    0.43  
West_Brom         2    1   -3      -0.93    37.36    -1.43    41.92     9.46   -15.90     0.00     0.06     0.24     0.66     3.10    23.65R    6.23  
Bournemouth       2    0   -2      -2.14    10.94    -0.98    36.24    10.15   -25.04     0.01     0.02     0.11     0.29     1.37    46.96R   20.18  
Sunderland        2    0   -4      -2.30     9.98    -3.35    34.57     9.08   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.47    53.61R   23.01  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 21 August 2015, Birmingham 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich          3    7   +3       2.49    86.41     2.43    73.42    11.56    14.53    10.63    20.68    53.52    28.88P    0.93R    0.12  
Hull             3    7   +3       1.63    77.02     1.09    78.24    11.89    21.13    20.99    35.08    68.72    45.37P    0.36R    0.03  
Brighton         3    7   +2       2.69    87.76     1.67    65.59    10.66     2.84     2.27     5.66    25.67     9.95P    3.16R    0.46  
MK_Dons          3    6   +3       1.10    64.77     1.83    64.62    12.52     2.26     3.75     7.95    26.79    12.23P    6.75R    1.58  
Middlesbrough    3    5   +3       0.26    55.18     2.08    76.93    11.15    22.10    16.24    30.20    66.12    41.36P    0.32R    0.03  
Charlton         3    5   +2       1.64    77.42     3.06    60.68    10.90    -1.64     0.89     2.43    14.31     4.75P    8.71R    1.90  
Birmingham       3    5   +1       1.30    72.00     1.61    59.19    11.26    -6.11     0.82     2.28    12.34     4.24P   11.98R    2.84  
Preston          3    5   +1       1.18    70.37     1.33    61.37    11.69    -1.68     1.50     3.84    17.69     6.79P    9.18R    2.01  
Brentford        2    4   +2       0.98    71.95     1.59    70.50    11.98    11.45     7.36    15.10    43.69    21.76P    2.14R    0.41  
Sheff_Wed        3    4   +1      -0.15    49.74     0.93    58.40    10.87    -4.26     0.61     1.67    10.38     3.45P   12.23R    2.91  
Wolverhampton    3    4   +0      -0.25    48.16    -0.25    70.24    11.52    11.16     6.51    13.76    42.54    21.22P    1.75R    0.30  
Derby            4    4   +0      -2.49    18.94    -1.48    73.02    11.26    17.55     9.60    19.43    52.69    29.23P    0.97R    0.12  
Nott'm_Forest    3    4   +0      -0.66    40.72    -0.88    61.62    11.59    -2.19     1.46     3.77    18.11     6.87P    8.81R    2.00  
QPR              3    4   -1      -0.33    47.34    -1.31    70.42    12.60    10.60     8.41    16.27    43.83    23.32P    2.72R    0.51  
Cardiff          3    3   +0      -0.89    34.94     0.33    61.27    11.14    -0.43     1.16     3.15    16.36     5.89P    8.27R    1.78  
Leeds_United     3    3   +0      -0.63    39.88     0.66    55.60    11.01    -8.78     0.34     1.02     7.05     2.19P   18.45R    5.10  
Blackburn        3    2   -1      -2.45    16.12    -1.48    61.90    11.42     0.59     1.58     3.87    18.42     7.25P    7.96R    1.81  
Reading          3    2   -1      -1.85    22.84    -0.68    54.94    11.18    -9.59     0.34     0.94     6.75     2.10P   20.95R    5.97  
Burnley          3    2   -2      -2.43    15.78    -2.49    66.88    12.06     7.28     4.39     9.52    32.54    16.00P    4.08R    0.87  
Huddersfield     3    2   -2      -1.32    30.44    -0.83    51.27    11.16   -17.13     0.14     0.45     3.51     0.97P   32.33R   11.11  
Fulham           3    1   -2      -2.23    18.91    -0.58    54.59    11.61   -11.44     0.41     1.11     6.76     2.21P   22.96R    7.25  
Bristol_City     3    1   -4      -2.95    12.56    -3.73    53.15    12.44   -15.62     0.44     1.23     6.89     2.45P   28.68R   10.89  
Rotherham        3    1   -4      -2.18    19.41    -2.60    43.31    10.49   -29.51     0.01     0.03     0.53     0.10P   61.44R   32.33  
Bolton           3    1   -4      -1.94    22.71    -2.30    53.44    11.01   -13.12     0.17     0.56     4.79     1.42P   24.90R    7.68  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 August 2015, Doncaster 0 0 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry          3    9   +7       4.50    96.53     6.36    73.80    12.07    15.65     9.61    19.14    50.75    26.30P    1.87R    0.14  
Gillingham        3    7   +5       2.86    88.81     4.98    70.10    12.05    10.93     5.74    12.10    38.95    18.15P    3.63R    0.39  
Walsall           3    7   +3       2.59    86.94     2.57    69.18    11.40     8.07     4.14     9.32    35.01    15.55P    3.39R    0.28  
Rochdale          3    6   +3       1.54    71.09     2.50    69.25    12.08     9.18     4.96    10.77    36.31    16.60P    4.44R    0.49  
Chesterfield      3    6   +1       1.79    74.99     0.87    73.21    11.90    13.52     8.58    17.48    48.60    25.40P    1.90R    0.18  
Burton_Albion     3    6   +1       2.29    81.34     1.64    59.13    12.29    -8.07     0.99     2.47    12.61     4.52P   19.43R    4.00  
Barnsley          3    6   +0       1.72    74.11    -0.21    70.68    11.88     8.48     5.75    12.26    40.56    18.89P    3.25R    0.36  
Sheff_Utd         3    6   +0       1.61    72.32    -0.40    75.31    11.57    15.55    10.69    21.53    55.94    30.98P    1.05R    0.09  
Swindon           3    5   +3      -0.61    38.59     0.62    78.06    11.98    25.12    17.42    30.80    65.28    41.14P    0.85R    0.07  
Oldham            3    5   +1       1.07    68.56     1.24    60.00    11.36    -4.78     0.77     2.04    12.09     4.18P   15.21R    2.39  
Wigan             3    4   +1      -1.38    29.30    -0.88    79.88    12.11    26.01    21.57    36.41    70.55    48.22P    0.61R    0.05  
Fleetwood_Town    3    4   +0      -0.13    50.44    -0.05    57.30    11.29    -8.52     0.42     1.25     8.26     2.62P   21.27R    3.82  
Port_Vale         3    3   +0      -0.73    37.84     0.69    58.49    11.45    -5.58     0.55     1.63    10.13     3.43P   18.98R    3.08  
Doncaster         3    3   +0      -1.42    26.44    -0.48    63.80    11.51     2.88     1.61     4.25    20.20     8.12P    8.77R    1.10  
Scunthorpe        3    3   -2      -0.73    37.02    -1.34    55.81    11.81   -12.87     0.36     1.07     7.53     2.29P   27.16R    5.93  
Peterborough      3    3   -3      -1.28    29.40    -3.24    64.72    11.74     1.03     2.09     5.14    22.39     9.35P    8.37R    1.07  
Millwall          3    3   -4      -1.17    31.45    -4.06    63.87    12.61    -1.47     2.30     5.51    22.20     9.66P   11.23R    2.09  
Bury              3    2   -1      -1.36    30.10     0.28    51.29    12.42   -17.38     0.24     0.73     4.55     1.40P   41.45R   13.24  
Colchester        3    2   -1      -1.86    23.03    -0.58    53.60    11.60   -13.35     0.18     0.61     4.97     1.41P   32.80R    8.31  
Southend          3    2   -2      -1.31    31.20    -0.97    51.05    11.76   -16.09     0.15     0.45     3.40     1.02P   41.49R   12.30  
Shrewsbury        3    1   -2      -2.97    12.07    -1.81    58.12    12.31    -4.48     0.82     2.14    11.34     4.33P   21.20R    4.45  
Blackpool         3    1   -3      -3.23    10.36    -3.14    56.09    12.47    -9.28     0.60     1.57     8.89     3.30P   27.21R    6.54  
Crewe             3    1   -3      -2.07    21.84    -1.25    44.98    10.82   -27.05     0.01     0.06     0.68     0.15P   63.18R   25.63  
Bradford          3    1   -4      -2.74    13.96    -3.35    57.60    11.51    -7.49     0.46     1.29     8.80     3.00P   21.24R    4.01  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         3    9   +7       2.47    85.41     3.07    95.71    11.57    51.40    68.87    90.53    98.12    93.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe               3    9   +6       3.98    94.73     4.67    79.02    11.36    22.79    10.11    45.73    77.46    54.80P    0.10R    0.04  
Hartlepool            3    9   +4       4.89    97.62     3.95    59.21    10.82    -8.99     0.21     3.01    15.34     5.04P    7.26R    3.09  
Cambridge_Utd         3    7   +4       2.82    88.82     3.98    62.42    11.43    -2.36     0.63     6.39    24.46     9.97P    4.60R    1.97  
Portsmouth            3    7   +4       3.04    91.11     4.16    70.22    11.37    10.40     2.47    18.18    49.64    25.63P    1.03R    0.35  
Plymouth              3    6   +4       0.92    62.26     2.52    71.52    11.17    13.93     2.95    21.34    53.92    30.25P    0.59R    0.22  
Northampton           3    6   +2       1.64    73.25     1.59    66.09    11.58     3.36     1.37    11.00    35.25    16.40P    2.50R    0.98  
Bristol_Rovers        3    6   +1       2.43    84.05     1.61    61.77    11.53    -2.38     0.56     5.55    22.45     9.38P    5.39R    2.34  
Exeter                3    6   -1       2.19    79.97    -0.48    63.61    11.64    -3.87     0.72     7.68    27.73    11.88P    4.32R    1.88  
Oxford_Utd            3    5   +2       1.03    68.06     2.14    66.77    11.28     6.35     1.34    11.34    37.27    17.63P    2.02R    0.84  
Mansfield             3    4   +1       0.65    64.83     2.14    52.57    10.61   -13.69     0.04     0.69     5.36     1.56P   19.46R    9.99  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   +0      -0.06    51.81     0.08    54.43    11.29   -14.19     0.08     1.48     8.53     2.80P   16.80R    8.71  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    3   -2      -0.60    39.81    -1.21    55.22    11.23   -12.62     0.11     1.52     9.33     3.11P   15.09R    7.66  
Notts_County          3    3   -2      -1.72    22.60    -2.91    73.41    12.25    15.38     5.17    28.11    59.93    38.07P    0.82R    0.28  
Barnet                3    3   -2       0.13    52.58     0.18    52.58    11.78   -16.03     0.10     1.21     7.27     2.40P   22.86R   12.70  
Morecambe             3    3   -2      -1.15    30.98    -2.10    57.44    11.05    -8.48     0.11     2.30    12.43     4.41P   10.09R    4.80  
York                  3    3   -3      -0.86    35.18    -2.68    57.05    10.84    -9.31     0.12     1.99    11.15     3.96P   10.59R    4.96  
Luton                 3    2   -1      -2.55    14.71    -1.64    62.13    11.08     1.09     0.57     5.36    22.99     9.83P    4.49R    1.87  
Crawley_Town          3    2   -1      -2.93    11.33    -2.24    69.49    12.17    11.86     2.84    18.59    47.53    27.53P    1.64R    0.63  
Carlisle              3    2   -3      -1.60    25.43    -2.14    54.02    11.57   -15.96     0.10     1.50     8.48     2.90P   18.64R    9.87  
Newport_County        3    1   -4      -2.54    15.86    -3.16    52.46    10.99   -15.46     0.05     0.88     5.78     1.89P   20.71R   11.10  
Stevenage             3    1   -5      -2.42    16.41    -3.80    63.92    11.50     1.07     0.69     7.76    28.60    13.00P    3.82R    1.63  
Yeovil                3    0   -3      -4.24     1.97    -3.21    61.78    12.25     1.55     0.72     6.86    24.54    11.98P    6.53R    3.05  
Dag_&_Red             3    0   -6      -3.23     5.51    -4.54    52.88    11.18   -15.85     0.05     0.98     6.44     2.08P   20.64R   11.06  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      4   12   +7       4.11    94.31     3.12    81.92    11.12    26.11    12.65    64.35    25.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere          4   10   +5       2.40    82.11     1.76    93.14    11.17    45.88    49.89    91.18    64.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham           4    9   +5       2.53    80.66     3.55    73.07    10.88    15.05     2.69    33.16     9.23P    0.32R    0.04  
Woking            4    9   +4       2.76    85.12     2.77    75.51    11.18    17.69     4.42    41.80    12.58P    0.25R    0.02  
Gateshead         4    9   +0       3.12    86.31    -0.61    69.73    11.12     4.50     1.45    23.08     5.39P    0.98R    0.12  
Eastleigh         4    8   +5       0.72    59.44     2.12    74.10    11.35    18.41     4.05    37.39    11.41P    0.37R    0.03  
Lincoln_City      4    8   +4       3.12    87.57     5.04    67.55    11.11     6.42     0.99    18.13     3.70P    1.58R    0.20  
Chester           4    8   +2       3.52    90.72     3.49    60.02    10.81    -7.14     0.15     5.47     0.93P    6.48R    1.14  
Grimsby           4    7   +5      -1.15    32.37     0.56    80.71    10.91    29.73    10.28    61.87    25.92P    0.05R    0.00  
Guiseley          4    7   +1       1.72    74.02     1.25    51.87    11.66   -18.52     0.06     1.92     0.34P   23.67R    6.68  
Cheltenham        4    6   +3      -1.56    26.61    -0.20    80.16    11.54    28.57    10.53    59.39    25.84P    0.10R    0.01  
Torquay           4    6   -1       0.36    54.54    -1.24    70.36    10.96     9.38     1.75    24.70     6.64P    0.76R    0.06  
Dover_Athletic    4    5   +0      -1.25    33.28    -1.16    62.13    10.92    -1.09     0.33     8.08     1.76P    4.33R    0.69  
Welling           4    4   -1      -0.44    46.22     0.73    52.99    10.52   -14.77     0.01     1.28     0.18P   18.41R    4.23  
Macclesfield      4    4   -2      -2.05    22.64    -2.83    63.05    10.85     0.36     0.34     9.11     2.12P    3.43R    0.47  
Braintree_Town    4    4   -2      -1.30    33.38    -1.81    60.70    10.62    -2.99     0.16     5.80     1.20P    5.23R    0.84  
Barrow            4    4   -6       0.41    60.55    -2.36    43.92    11.75   -36.72     0.00     0.41     0.05P   50.83R   23.15  
Boreham_Wood      4    3   -1      -0.89    37.81     1.64    50.20    11.84   -17.41     0.05     1.47     0.31P   28.63R    9.41  
Altrincham        4    3   -3      -0.80    39.15    -0.42    49.47    10.43   -21.03     0.00     0.56     0.06P   28.57R    8.09  
Bromley           4    3   -4      -0.47    44.11    -0.37    46.36    12.01   -28.97     0.01     0.79     0.12P   42.18R   17.36  
Aldershot         4    2   -4      -2.64    15.77    -2.77    57.09    10.74    -7.63     0.04     3.12     0.55P   10.09R    1.99  
Kidderminster     4    1   -4      -3.88     7.05    -3.14    55.82    10.80    -8.68     0.05     2.48     0.47P   12.38R    2.71  
Southport         4    1   -8      -2.43    18.02    -4.61    43.23    10.11   -33.03     0.00     0.07     0.01P   52.67R   21.10  
Halifax           4    0   -5      -5.27     1.05    -4.51    58.26    10.96    -4.11     0.09     4.38     0.97P    8.64R    1.67