Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 20 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 August 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +6       2.09    83.97     4.04    85.05     9.25    57.79    67.15    85.40    93.13    96.75    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         2    6   +3       3.03    91.70     2.65    49.82     9.92    -7.12     0.11     0.69     2.05     4.65    14.08     7.02R    1.27  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.29    85.58     0.51    64.96    10.14    16.56     3.63    13.50    27.11    41.30    66.90     0.24R    0.03  
Man_Utd           2    6   +2       2.18    84.71     0.40    70.76     9.85    25.50     8.97    29.70    49.17    65.39    84.99     0.02R    0.00  
Everton           2    4   +3       0.73    67.72     2.17    59.05    10.07    11.24     1.11     5.09    11.74    21.03    44.41     0.95R    0.11  
Swansea           2    4   +2       1.49    82.35     2.38    53.20     9.91     1.19     0.29     1.38     3.94     8.30    22.73     3.43R    0.51  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +1       0.80    64.51     1.87    45.26     9.60   -10.22     0.02     0.19     0.72     1.67     6.23    14.50R    3.21  
West_Ham          2    3   +1       0.71    62.81     1.67    49.37     9.64    -3.73     0.06     0.47     1.56     3.80    12.37     6.79R    1.28  
Norwich           2    3   +0       0.16    51.13    -0.15    42.16    10.41   -18.14     0.02     0.20     0.53     1.31     4.74    25.55R    7.94  
Aston_Villa       2    3   +0       0.98    68.70     1.10    39.36     9.12   -20.14     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.29     1.59    32.71R    9.50  
Arsenal           2    3   -1      -0.86    30.18    -2.69    68.57     9.98    24.46     6.78    22.44    40.41    57.21    79.51     0.09R    0.01  
Watford           2    2   +0      -0.19    48.11     0.89    39.82    10.44   -20.91     0.02     0.09     0.34     0.81     3.03    33.79R   12.26  
Stoke             2    1   -1      -1.28    31.48    -0.33    48.33     9.73    -4.18     0.07     0.42     1.36     3.09    10.73     8.47R    1.70  
Tottenham         2    1   -1      -1.54    26.31    -0.68    54.46    10.18     4.54     0.36     1.98     5.41    10.82    27.79     3.11R    0.51  
Newcastle         2    1   -2      -0.99    37.92    -0.82    38.35     9.46   -22.89     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.30     1.47    37.84R   12.93  
Chelsea           2    1   -3      -2.13    16.09    -3.57    72.34     9.66    31.66    11.14    36.49    57.07    72.22    88.95     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton       2    1   -3      -2.15    16.39    -3.62    54.20     9.97     2.42     0.27     1.78     4.86     9.88    26.06     2.88R    0.45  
West_Brom         2    1   -3      -0.95    36.96    -1.47    42.19     9.39   -15.46     0.01     0.08     0.24     0.71     3.19    22.65R    5.83  
Bournemouth       2    0   -2      -2.15    10.94    -1.00    36.52    10.20   -24.36     0.00     0.04     0.14     0.38     1.54    45.91R   19.48  
Sunderland        2    0   -4      -2.31     9.79    -3.36    34.48     9.01   -28.19     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.09     0.47    54.02R   22.96  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 August 2015, Bristol_City 2 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich          3    7   +3       2.44    85.70     2.37    73.85    11.49    15.11    10.74    21.20    54.46    29.37P    0.82R    0.09  
Hull             3    7   +3       1.60    76.49     1.05    78.42    11.91    21.35    20.77    34.88    68.97    45.22P    0.33R    0.04  
Brighton         3    7   +2       2.71    87.93     1.70    65.11    10.81     2.24     2.17     5.34    24.57     9.59P    3.47R    0.53  
MK_Dons          3    6   +3       1.12    64.87     1.85    64.40    12.61     1.88     3.45     7.51    26.39    11.75P    7.03R    1.53  
Middlesbrough    3    5   +3       0.27    55.36     2.07    77.08    11.07    22.36    15.84    29.79    66.50    40.95P    0.22R    0.02  
Charlton         3    5   +2       1.69    77.99     3.14    60.45    10.81    -1.95     0.80     2.14    13.72     4.38P    8.75R    1.80  
Preston          3    5   +1       1.18    70.65     1.33    61.00    11.72    -2.17     1.37     3.50    16.54     6.25P    9.57R    2.10  
Brentford        2    4   +2       0.98    71.91     1.60    70.44    12.03    11.39     7.27    14.89    43.09    21.65P    2.09R    0.40  
Birmingham       2    4   +1       1.51    81.49     1.36    59.02    11.57    -7.10     0.83     2.33    12.51     4.25P   12.94R    3.17  
Sheff_Wed        3    4   +1      -0.10    50.77     0.97    58.58    10.80    -4.07     0.54     1.62    10.39     3.44P   11.57R    2.59  
Wolverhampton    3    4   +0      -0.23    48.56    -0.20    70.20    11.51    11.07     6.10    13.22    42.30    20.61P    1.81R    0.27  
Nott'm_Forest    3    4   +0      -0.69    40.22    -0.91    61.70    11.55    -2.06     1.50     3.73    17.71     6.69P    8.49R    1.89  
QPR              3    4   -1      -0.36    46.62    -1.36    70.64    12.85    10.88     8.86    16.90    44.19    24.03P    2.79R    0.56  
Cardiff          3    3   +0      -0.89    34.83     0.34    61.43    11.19    -0.24     1.28     3.16    16.43     6.05P    8.11R    1.75  
Leeds_United     3    3   +0      -0.63    39.94     0.66    55.83    11.04    -8.51     0.35     1.01     7.16     2.21P   18.13R    4.93  
Derby            3    3   +0      -1.95    20.20    -1.22    73.92    11.60    18.42    11.30    21.74    55.31    31.66P    0.85R    0.14  
Blackburn        3    2   -1      -2.46    15.94    -1.53    62.19    11.49     1.02     1.55     3.92    18.95     7.50P    7.76R    1.73  
Reading          3    2   -1      -1.91    21.99    -0.75    55.16    11.05    -9.20     0.28     0.84     6.50     1.98P   19.63R    5.54  
Burnley          3    2   -2      -2.41    15.80    -2.48    66.81    11.97     7.15     3.89     8.98    31.79    15.28P    4.05R    0.82  
Huddersfield     3    2   -2      -1.28    31.01    -0.76    50.88    11.16   -17.71     0.12     0.35     3.18     0.81P   33.38R   11.76  
Fulham           3    1   -2      -2.23    18.92    -0.60    54.64    11.74   -11.29     0.41     1.17     7.19     2.37P   22.98R    7.31  
Bristol_City     3    1   -4      -2.95    12.52    -3.73    53.06    12.49   -15.81     0.39     1.13     6.68     2.31P   29.05R   10.83  
Rotherham        3    1   -4      -2.18    19.66    -2.58    42.97    10.50   -30.07     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.08P   62.24R   33.14  
Bolton           3    1   -4      -1.98    22.14    -2.34    53.76    11.02   -12.69     0.18     0.63     5.00     1.58P   23.94R    7.05  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 August 2015, Doncaster 0 0 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry          3    9   +7       4.48    96.52     6.35    73.78    11.98    15.62     9.14    18.67    50.81    25.93P    1.83R    0.14  
Gillingham        3    7   +5       2.85    88.73     4.98    70.05    12.12    10.78     5.76    12.16    38.79    18.21P    3.84R    0.43  
Walsall           3    7   +3       2.59    86.93     2.55    69.40    11.45     8.39     4.31     9.88    35.47    15.94P    3.26R    0.30  
Rochdale          3    6   +3       1.56    71.50     2.52    69.38    12.09     9.36     5.03    10.97    36.63    16.73P    4.11R    0.46  
Chesterfield      3    6   +1       1.82    75.31     0.91    73.05    11.87    13.31     8.32    16.76    48.10    24.49P    2.07R    0.18  
Burton_Albion     3    6   +1       2.34    81.95     1.71    58.61    12.35    -8.93     0.93     2.36    11.69     4.30P   20.67R    4.17  
Barnsley          3    6   +0       1.68    73.63    -0.28    70.88    11.90     8.88     5.95    12.85    40.92    19.39P    3.16R    0.36  
Sheff_Utd         3    6   +0       1.60    72.12    -0.42    75.63    11.61    16.05    11.30    22.13    56.98    31.87P    1.11R    0.10  
Swindon           3    5   +3      -0.62    38.31     0.60    78.23    12.05    25.48    17.77    31.58    65.44    41.82P    0.78R    0.04  
Oldham            3    5   +1       1.07    68.22     1.23    59.81    11.39    -5.06     0.73     1.96    11.77     3.91P   15.52R    2.49  
Wigan             3    4   +1      -1.34    29.69    -0.82    79.60    12.17    25.62    20.85    35.21    69.35    46.80P    0.59R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town    3    4   +0      -0.14    49.97    -0.07    57.42    11.30    -8.38     0.40     1.17     8.26     2.62P   21.07R    3.74  
Port_Vale         3    3   +0      -0.73    37.67     0.72    58.54    11.61    -5.51     0.56     1.56    10.40     3.39P   18.78R    3.39  
Doncaster         3    3   +0      -1.42    26.20    -0.49    63.50    11.58     2.43     1.57     3.97    19.58     7.86P    9.35R    1.19  
Scunthorpe        3    3   -2      -0.76    36.85    -1.39    56.17    11.86   -12.26     0.42     1.21     7.77     2.49P   25.90R    5.43  
Peterborough      3    3   -3      -1.29    29.17    -3.25    65.05    11.71     1.46     2.08     5.15    23.40     9.64P    7.85R    1.03  
Millwall          3    3   -4      -1.15    31.56    -4.05    63.84    12.85    -1.46     2.51     5.87    22.52    10.12P   11.65R    2.02  
Bury              3    2   -1      -1.36    30.12     0.30    51.39    12.41   -17.21     0.28     0.70     4.60     1.51P   41.36R   13.06  
Colchester        3    2   -1      -1.83    23.38    -0.53    53.23    11.65   -13.99     0.21     0.61     4.83     1.40P   33.81R    8.73  
Southend          3    2   -2      -1.32    31.02    -0.97    50.84    11.66   -16.53     0.11     0.37     3.17     0.91P   42.12R   12.52  
Shrewsbury        3    1   -2      -3.00    11.79    -1.86    58.40    12.26    -4.16     0.73     1.97    11.39     4.34P   20.47R    4.28  
Blackpool         3    1   -3      -3.25    10.24    -3.16    56.10    12.44    -9.31     0.58     1.58     8.86     3.19P   26.90R    6.56  
Crewe             3    1   -3      -2.07    21.85    -1.27    45.06    10.86   -26.97     0.02     0.06     0.81     0.18P   62.78R   25.31  
Bradford          3    1   -4      -2.71    14.06    -3.31    57.45    11.45    -7.60     0.44     1.24     8.46     2.97P   21.03R    4.05  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         3    9   +7       2.46    85.41     3.03    95.79    11.71    51.69    69.29    90.34    98.01    93.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe               3    9   +6       3.98    94.82     4.69    79.01    11.33    22.73     9.80    45.96    77.67    54.92P    0.11R    0.04  
Hartlepool            3    9   +4       4.87    97.61     3.92    59.49    10.87    -8.59     0.27     3.22    15.79     5.35P    7.10R    3.03  
Cambridge_Utd         3    7   +4       2.85    89.03     4.03    62.20    11.48    -2.71     0.67     6.23    24.09     9.72P    4.93R    2.05  
Portsmouth            3    7   +4       3.03    91.20     4.16    70.17    11.38    10.34     2.54    18.31    49.27    25.73P    0.92R    0.33  
Plymouth              3    6   +4       0.93    62.57     2.53    71.29    11.13    13.62     2.75    20.87    53.43    29.92P    0.63R    0.21  
Northampton           3    6   +2       1.69    73.89     1.64    65.82    11.55     2.93     1.22    10.60    34.13    15.90P    2.65R    1.06  
Bristol_Rovers        3    6   +1       2.36    83.31     1.53    62.09    11.38    -1.93     0.52     5.81    22.92     9.68P    4.96R    2.05  
Exeter                3    6   -1       2.17    79.80    -0.49    63.51    11.59    -4.00     0.87     7.46    27.09    11.51P    4.42R    1.95  
Oxford_Utd            3    5   +2       1.02    67.49     2.14    67.08    11.28     6.79     1.35    12.08    38.58    18.68P    1.81R    0.70  
Mansfield             3    4   +1       0.66    64.91     2.17    52.34    10.70   -14.09     0.04     0.78     5.37     1.57P   20.42R   10.44  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   +0      -0.07    51.76     0.08    54.24    11.22   -14.47     0.09     1.45     8.34     2.80P   17.24R    8.82  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    3   -2      -0.65    38.84    -1.27    55.58    11.20   -12.10     0.11     1.56     9.73     3.15P   14.25R    7.15  
Notts_County          3    3   -2      -1.72    22.70    -2.92    73.26    12.25    15.21     5.22    28.10    59.57    37.99P    0.85R    0.36  
Barnet                3    3   -2       0.15    52.86     0.21    52.31    11.71   -16.53     0.07     1.08     6.95     2.14P   23.26R   13.11  
Morecambe             3    3   -2      -1.14    31.26    -2.12    57.67    10.97    -8.06     0.15     2.26    12.83     4.61P    9.82R    4.44  
York                  3    3   -3      -0.88    34.93    -2.70    57.58    10.84    -8.64     0.14     2.12    12.20     4.29P    9.55R    4.45  
Luton                 3    2   -1      -2.55    14.83    -1.65    62.25    11.20     1.26     0.58     5.83    23.55    10.31P    4.63R    1.96  
Crawley_Town          3    2   -1      -2.90    11.16    -2.21    69.32    12.15    11.65     2.80    18.34    46.96    27.13P    1.61R    0.67  
Carlisle              3    2   -3      -1.59    25.86    -2.12    53.70    11.58   -16.53     0.07     1.36     8.03     2.64P   19.39R   10.55  
Newport_County        3    1   -4      -2.56    15.66    -3.18    52.56    10.97   -15.31     0.04     0.88     5.69     1.87P   20.63R   10.94  
Stevenage             3    1   -5      -2.43    16.34    -3.81    64.21    11.47     1.55     0.75     8.11    29.62    13.64P    3.54R    1.49  
Yeovil                3    0   -3      -4.17     2.00    -3.13    61.48    11.98     1.10     0.61     6.18    23.43    10.97P    6.46R    2.98  
Dag_&_Red             3    0   -6      -3.23     5.53    -4.54    52.87    11.33   -15.92     0.05     1.08     6.74     2.29P   20.81R   11.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      4   12   +7       4.12    94.38     3.10    81.82    10.99    26.04    12.36    64.14    25.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere          4   10   +5       2.43    82.38     1.83    93.01    11.05    45.58    49.77    91.26    64.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham           4    9   +5       2.52    80.50     3.52    73.19    10.93    15.20     2.93    33.47     9.48P    0.33R    0.03  
Woking            4    9   +4       2.74    84.85     2.73    75.65    11.07    17.98     4.37    42.23    12.60P    0.23R    0.01  
Gateshead         4    9   +0       3.12    86.54    -0.62    69.68    11.10     4.41     1.52    22.57     5.29P    0.94R    0.09  
Eastleigh         4    8   +5       0.71    59.19     2.11    74.20    11.15    18.59     3.87    37.83    11.35P    0.32R    0.03  
Lincoln_City      4    8   +4       3.13    87.58     5.05    67.55    11.23     6.43     1.08    17.99     3.93P    1.85R    0.26  
Chester           4    8   +2       3.49    90.56     3.47    60.13    10.80    -6.93     0.18     5.69     0.96P    6.11R    1.05  
Grimsby           4    7   +5      -1.17    32.12     0.55    80.73    10.81    29.61    10.51    61.61    26.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Guiseley          4    7   +1       1.71    73.84     1.24    51.98    11.57   -18.23     0.06     1.91     0.36P   23.31R    6.43  
Cheltenham        4    6   +3      -1.58    26.26    -0.21    80.22    11.35    28.65    10.55    59.43    25.72P    0.08R    0.00  
Torquay           4    6   -1       0.36    54.75    -1.21    70.41    10.87     9.40     1.64    24.85     6.48P    0.77R    0.10  
Dover_Athletic    4    5   +0      -1.23    33.60    -1.12    61.88    10.97    -1.40     0.36     7.89     1.80P    4.45R    0.71  
Welling           4    4   -1      -0.45    45.88     0.70    53.07    10.54   -14.53     0.02     1.23     0.16P   18.01R    4.25  
Macclesfield      4    4   -2      -2.06    22.64    -2.85    62.98    10.83     0.24     0.34     8.91     1.98P    3.60R    0.56  
Braintree_Town    4    4   -2      -1.27    33.69    -1.77    60.57    10.58    -3.15     0.15     5.61     1.17P    5.21R    0.82  
Barrow            4    4   -6       0.41    60.46    -2.35    44.10    11.79   -36.51     0.01     0.55     0.09P   50.18R   22.82  
Boreham_Wood      4    3   -1      -0.89    37.86     1.65    50.03    11.94   -17.69     0.04     1.51     0.29P   29.52R    9.91  
Altrincham        4    3   -3      -0.77    39.36    -0.36    49.10    10.26   -21.55     0.01     0.42     0.06P   29.55R    8.25  
Bromley           4    3   -4      -0.47    43.99    -0.41    46.39    12.02   -28.79     0.03     0.77     0.14P   42.10R   17.39  
Aldershot         4    2   -4      -2.65    15.91    -2.76    56.93    10.73    -7.78     0.06     2.97     0.59P   10.35R    2.04  
Kidderminster     4    1   -4      -3.90     7.04    -3.16    55.92    10.83    -8.52     0.05     2.73     0.50P   12.18R    2.65  
Southport         4    1   -8      -2.42    18.07    -4.58    43.25    10.10   -33.01     0.00     0.08     0.01P   52.28R   20.82  
Halifax           4    0   -5      -5.26     1.07    -4.53    58.29    11.01    -4.04     0.10     4.33     0.93P    8.57R    1.76