Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 August 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +6       2.06    83.57     3.98    85.55     9.21    58.97    68.65    86.26    93.63    97.01    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         2    6   +3       3.02    91.67     2.66    49.83     9.84    -7.10     0.10     0.63     2.05     4.46    14.00     6.96R    1.22  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.30    85.59     0.50    64.91    10.19    16.47     3.41    13.41    26.46    41.03    66.69     0.17R    0.02  
Man_Utd           2    6   +2       2.18    84.58     0.38    70.88     9.80    25.69     8.84    29.21    49.42    65.74    85.43     0.03R    0.00  
Everton           2    4   +3       0.74    67.80     2.19    58.68    10.01    10.68     0.88     4.57    10.93    19.93    42.97     1.00R    0.13  
Swansea           2    4   +2       1.50    82.46     2.40    53.28     9.91     1.31     0.22     1.39     4.03     8.54    23.07     3.38R    0.57  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +1       0.78    64.34     1.84    45.16     9.57   -10.45     0.02     0.18     0.61     1.52     6.03    14.42R    3.21  
West_Ham          2    3   +1       0.71    62.83     1.67    49.51     9.71    -3.61     0.08     0.54     1.73     3.91    13.12     6.82R    1.32  
Norwich           2    3   +0       0.19    51.96    -0.11    41.91    10.36   -18.61     0.03     0.19     0.56     1.29     4.53    26.08R    7.98  
Aston_Villa       2    3   +0       0.97    68.46     1.09    39.53     9.11   -19.89     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.28     1.59    31.88R    9.26  
Arsenal           2    3   -1      -0.87    29.95    -2.71    68.73    10.07    24.69     6.61    23.07    41.19    57.53    79.79     0.08R    0.00  
Watford           2    2   +0      -0.21    47.57     0.86    39.72    10.32   -21.15     0.01     0.10     0.32     0.81     2.94    33.89R   11.92  
Stoke             2    1   -1      -1.26    31.91    -0.29    48.05     9.71    -4.65     0.05     0.32     1.18     2.94    10.17     9.00R    1.73  
Tottenham         2    1   -1      -1.56    26.03    -0.70    54.51    10.28     4.59     0.39     2.18     5.64    11.17    28.03     3.11R    0.52  
Newcastle         2    1   -2      -0.99    37.72    -0.85    38.60     9.55   -22.40     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.38     1.66    36.55R   12.70  
Chelsea           2    1   -3      -2.13    16.37    -3.55    72.37     9.63    31.73    10.42    36.11    56.78    72.30    89.06     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton       2    1   -3      -2.15    16.45    -3.62    54.39     9.94     2.65     0.28     1.71     4.87    10.09    26.69     2.68R    0.41  
West_Brom         2    1   -3      -0.92    37.53    -1.41    42.02     9.37   -15.67     0.01     0.06     0.25     0.70     3.11    23.10R    5.91  
Bournemouth       2    0   -2      -2.15    10.98    -0.98    36.31    10.12   -24.92     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.31     1.40    46.51R   19.74  
Sunderland        2    0   -4      -2.31     9.84    -3.35    34.41     9.01   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.44    54.32R   23.35  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 August 2015, Bristol_City 2 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich          3    7   +3       2.45    85.86     2.39    73.73    11.53    14.88    10.64    20.78    53.95    29.24P    0.77R    0.11  
Hull             3    7   +3       1.60    76.73     1.05    78.47    11.88    21.40    20.76    35.10    69.01    45.49P    0.33R    0.05  
Brighton         3    7   +2       2.69    87.75     1.67    65.30    10.57     2.50     1.83     5.03    24.29     9.22P    3.27R    0.49  
MK_Dons          3    6   +3       1.06    63.92     1.77    64.76    12.57     2.52     3.64     8.00    27.00    12.21P    6.59R    1.36  
Middlesbrough    3    5   +3       0.26    55.25     2.08    77.01    11.23    22.23    16.30    29.95    65.97    41.05P    0.31R    0.04  
Charlton         3    5   +2       1.69    77.88     3.16    60.42    10.91    -2.04     0.78     2.22    13.74     4.37P    8.90R    1.93  
Preston          3    5   +1       1.21    70.95     1.37    60.72    11.66    -2.71     1.24     3.29    16.00     5.94P    9.87R    2.15  
Brentford        2    4   +2       1.01    72.43     1.63    70.42    11.92    11.29     7.04    14.45    43.29    21.22P    2.13R    0.34  
Birmingham       2    4   +1       1.50    81.41     1.34    59.26    11.68    -6.71     1.02     2.61    13.10     4.55P   12.74R    3.26  
Sheff_Wed        3    4   +1      -0.10    50.78     0.99    58.38    10.81    -4.39     0.53     1.60    10.17     3.37P   11.87R    2.77  
Wolverhampton    3    4   +0      -0.24    48.63    -0.21    70.18    11.51    11.04     6.02    13.15    42.19    20.56P    1.90R    0.34  
Nott'm_Forest    3    4   +0      -0.68    40.41    -0.90    61.45    11.57    -2.47     1.45     3.60    17.33     6.51P    8.83R    1.96  
QPR              3    4   -1      -0.33    47.14    -1.34    70.53    12.84    10.71     8.61    16.59    44.19    23.94P    2.91R    0.57  
Cardiff          3    3   +0      -0.92    34.66     0.31    61.39    11.18    -0.30     1.13     2.96    16.43     5.82P    8.21R    1.75  
Leeds_United     3    3   +0      -0.64    39.87     0.64    55.84    11.01    -8.44     0.35     1.00     7.20     2.30P   18.05R    4.74  
Derby            3    3   +0      -1.99    19.60    -1.29    74.20    11.69    18.92    11.54    22.50    56.53    32.44P    0.89R    0.13  
Blackburn        3    2   -1      -2.46    15.94    -1.52    62.06    11.42     0.76     1.50     3.66    18.52     7.12P    7.66R    1.67  
Reading          3    2   -1      -1.90    22.05    -0.74    55.21    11.03    -9.11     0.32     0.90     6.58     2.08P   19.46R    5.46  
Burnley          3    2   -2      -2.42    15.86    -2.50    66.91    11.98     7.31     4.10     9.16    32.00    15.37P    3.92R    0.83  
Huddersfield     3    2   -2      -1.28    31.15    -0.76    50.95    11.06   -17.61     0.10     0.36     3.30     0.87P   33.13R   11.43  
Fulham           3    1   -2      -2.21    19.04    -0.57    54.52    11.69   -11.48     0.39     1.12     6.84     2.24P   23.25R    7.39  
Bristol_City     3    1   -4      -2.96    12.41    -3.75    53.34    12.51   -15.31     0.49     1.32     7.12     2.53P   28.23R   10.37  
Rotherham        3    1   -4      -2.16    19.87    -2.56    42.89    10.44   -30.08     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.07P   62.55R   33.63  
Bolton           3    1   -4      -1.92    22.91    -2.27    53.58    11.03   -12.90     0.22     0.63     4.81     1.49P   24.23R    7.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 August 2015, Doncaster 0 0 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry          3    9   +7       4.46    96.54     6.32    73.74    11.95    15.55     9.12    18.54    50.52    25.77P    1.85R    0.16  
Gillingham        3    7   +5       2.84    88.72     4.96    70.34    12.11    11.33     5.95    12.61    39.59    18.80P    3.52R    0.38  
Walsall           3    7   +3       2.60    87.06     2.58    69.30    11.43     8.23     4.32     9.63    35.33    15.77P    3.38R    0.30  
Rochdale          3    6   +3       1.57    71.62     2.56    69.07    12.06     8.82     4.80    10.46    35.76    16.23P    4.47R    0.52  
Chesterfield      3    6   +1       1.82    75.33     0.92    72.98    11.79    13.09     8.00    16.58    47.96    24.36P    2.02R    0.20  
Burton_Albion     3    6   +1       2.29    81.31     1.66    58.85    12.23    -8.58     0.97     2.40    11.97     4.30P   19.57R    3.92  
Barnsley          3    6   +0       1.70    73.75    -0.25    70.74    11.87     8.67     5.78    12.55    40.49    19.19P    3.26R    0.33  
Sheff_Utd         3    6   +0       1.61    72.44    -0.42    75.76    11.69    16.29    11.81    23.01    57.79    32.56P    1.13R    0.07  
Swindon           3    5   +3      -0.64    38.29     0.58    78.23    12.03    25.45    17.73    31.42    65.64    41.78P    0.72R    0.06  
Oldham            3    5   +1       1.08    68.55     1.23    60.13    11.33    -4.59     0.83     2.17    12.01     4.08P   15.00R    2.31  
Wigan             3    4   +1      -1.37    29.34    -0.87    79.53    12.16    25.60    20.80    35.10    69.10    47.03P    0.61R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town    3    4   +0      -0.17    50.04    -0.10    57.57    11.39    -8.12     0.50     1.41     8.73     2.88P   20.80R    3.70  
Port_Vale         3    3   +0      -0.75    37.29     0.69    58.68    11.58    -5.28     0.58     1.68    10.48     3.46P   18.63R    3.25  
Doncaster         3    3   +0      -1.42    26.28    -0.49    63.63    11.53     2.56     1.54     4.01    19.82     7.75P    9.10R    1.16  
Scunthorpe        3    3   -2      -0.75    36.84    -1.37    56.12    11.85   -12.50     0.42     1.18     7.75     2.50P   26.14R    5.61  
Peterborough      3    3   -3      -1.31    28.77    -3.28    64.97    11.64     1.46     2.02     5.04    22.97     9.33P    7.92R    0.89  
Millwall          3    3   -4      -1.14    32.01    -4.01    63.57    12.70    -1.83     2.30     5.38    21.68     9.40P   11.93R    2.04  
Bury              3    2   -1      -1.32    31.00     0.33    51.49    12.36   -17.19     0.21     0.65     4.48     1.39P   40.87R   13.05  
Colchester        3    2   -1      -1.86    22.77    -0.56    53.39    11.66   -13.76     0.29     0.71     4.99     1.56P   33.61R    8.64  
Southend          3    2   -2      -1.32    31.25    -0.96    50.84    11.74   -16.49     0.13     0.42     3.32     1.01P   42.53R   12.20  
Shrewsbury        3    1   -2      -3.00    11.48    -1.87    58.67    12.27    -3.74     0.88     2.25    11.90     4.67P   19.96R    4.13  
Blackpool         3    1   -3      -3.21    10.43    -3.13    55.89    12.49    -9.64     0.55     1.51     8.66     3.21P   27.56R    6.79  
Crewe             3    1   -3      -2.03    22.13    -1.20    44.82    10.84   -27.50     0.02     0.06     0.70     0.15P   63.70R   26.14  
Bradford          3    1   -4      -2.69    14.20    -3.28    57.34    11.47    -7.83     0.45     1.21     8.38     2.81P   21.70R    4.10  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         3    9   +7       2.47    85.32     3.04    95.94    11.70    51.81    69.57    90.62    97.94    93.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe               3    9   +6       4.00    94.93     4.71    79.11    11.33    22.89    10.09    45.88    77.96    55.07P    0.11R    0.04  
Hartlepool            3    9   +4       4.89    97.61     3.95    59.20    10.96    -9.03     0.25     3.23    15.63     5.36P    7.65R    3.32  
Cambridge_Utd         3    7   +4       2.85    89.10     4.03    62.41    11.54    -2.45     0.65     6.60    24.51    10.03P    5.01R    2.16  
Portsmouth            3    7   +4       3.03    91.19     4.14    70.35    11.23    10.62     2.37    18.35    49.78    26.02P    0.91R    0.31  
Plymouth              3    6   +4       0.94    62.54     2.56    71.42    11.06    13.78     2.68    21.00    54.10    29.91P    0.61R    0.22  
Northampton           3    6   +2       1.68    73.92     1.64    65.66    11.49     2.73     1.18    10.25    33.85    15.60P    2.61R    1.07  
Bristol_Rovers        3    6   +1       2.43    84.09     1.61    61.48    11.43    -2.78     0.54     5.30    21.70     8.96P    5.63R    2.46  
Exeter                3    6   -1       2.16    79.73    -0.50    63.68    11.62    -3.72     0.74     7.77    27.73    12.06P    4.18R    1.83  
Oxford_Utd            3    5   +2       1.00    67.30     2.12    66.87    11.25     6.54     1.35    11.57    37.90    17.87P    1.84R    0.68  
Mansfield             3    4   +1       0.67    65.05     2.17    52.26    10.62   -14.24     0.03     0.73     5.19     1.49P   20.42R   10.45  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   +0      -0.05    51.77     0.11    54.17    11.19   -14.70     0.09     1.38     8.04     2.56P   17.42R    8.93  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    3   -2      -0.64    39.09    -1.28    55.58    11.13   -12.17     0.08     1.65     9.63     3.25P   14.12R    7.16  
Notts_County          3    3   -2      -1.73    22.33    -2.92    73.32    12.25    15.23     5.22    28.53    59.56    38.41P    0.85R    0.32  
Barnet                3    3   -2       0.12    52.47     0.17    52.62    11.93   -16.06     0.07     1.37     7.63     2.52P   22.66R   13.19  
Morecambe             3    3   -2      -1.18    30.57    -2.16    57.76    11.06    -7.99     0.14     2.53    13.14     4.79P    9.92R    4.51  
York                  3    3   -3      -0.90    34.58    -2.72    57.59    10.87    -8.60     0.15     2.18    12.28     4.31P    9.81R    4.49  
Luton                 3    2   -1      -2.55    14.84    -1.65    62.21    11.12     1.20     0.50     5.58    23.55    10.25P    4.52R    1.87  
Crawley_Town          3    2   -1      -2.88    11.60    -2.16    69.11    12.13    11.32     2.62    17.82    46.33    26.71P    1.83R    0.73  
Carlisle              3    2   -3      -1.61    25.39    -2.16    53.96    11.56   -16.14     0.15     1.63     8.27     2.90P   18.82R    9.79  
Newport_County        3    1   -4      -2.56    15.62    -3.17    52.41    10.99   -15.56     0.04     0.84     5.69     1.79P   21.21R   11.32  
Stevenage             3    1   -5      -2.42    16.30    -3.79    64.00    11.40     1.29     0.71     7.73    29.00    13.16P    3.68R    1.53  
Yeovil                3    0   -3      -4.21     2.04    -3.16    61.54    12.06     1.26     0.72     6.44    23.68    11.37P    6.62R    3.05  
Dag_&_Red             3    0   -6      -3.23     5.55    -4.54    53.29    11.20   -15.25     0.06     1.03     6.95     2.25P   19.59R   10.58  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      4   12   +7       4.08    94.15     3.07    81.99    11.07    26.26    12.55    65.06    25.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere          4   10   +5       2.38    81.87     1.74    93.17    11.39    46.01    50.11    90.71    64.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham           4    9   +5       2.55    80.84     3.57    73.04    10.96    14.95     2.95    33.25     9.59P    0.36R    0.04  
Woking            4    9   +4       2.77    85.22     2.77    75.92    11.11    18.30     4.52    43.33    13.13P    0.21R    0.02  
Gateshead         4    9   +0       3.12    86.20    -0.64    69.90    11.10     4.74     1.55    23.41     5.44P    0.96R    0.13  
Eastleigh         4    8   +5       0.73    59.39     2.13    74.00    11.24    18.23     3.89    37.20    11.04P    0.38R    0.03  
Lincoln_City      4    8   +4       3.13    87.66     5.06    67.12    11.22     5.68     1.04    17.20     3.65P    1.84R    0.28  
Chester           4    8   +2       3.50    90.62     3.47    59.95    10.73    -7.25     0.17     5.20     0.83P    6.38R    1.05  
Grimsby           4    7   +5      -1.16    32.28     0.54    80.72    10.88    29.63    10.08    61.86    26.20P    0.08R    0.01  
Guiseley          4    7   +1       1.66    73.03     1.17    52.35    11.76   -17.59     0.10     2.19     0.44P   22.59R    6.27  
Cheltenham        4    6   +3      -1.56    26.69    -0.19    79.96    11.57    28.31    10.21    58.55    25.48P    0.12R    0.02  
Torquay           4    6   -1       0.37    55.02    -1.22    70.36    11.02     9.38     1.74    24.86     6.62P    0.76R    0.09  
Dover_Athletic    4    5   +0      -1.25    33.19    -1.15    61.93    10.93    -1.42     0.29     7.87     1.63P    4.48R    0.66  
Welling           4    4   -1      -0.43    46.39     0.72    52.99    10.49   -14.69     0.02     1.22     0.17P   18.00R    4.21  
Macclesfield      4    4   -2      -2.07    22.60    -2.85    63.20    10.86     0.58     0.37     9.31     2.14P    3.40R    0.57  
Braintree_Town    4    4   -2      -1.28    33.64    -1.77    60.62    10.56    -3.08     0.11     5.57     1.01P    5.15R    0.79  
Barrow            4    4   -6       0.45    61.11    -2.27    43.70    11.58   -37.10     0.02     0.44     0.07P   51.69R   23.50  
Boreham_Wood      4    3   -1      -0.86    38.41     1.70    49.94    11.90   -17.78     0.05     1.45     0.25P   29.52R    9.79  
Altrincham        4    3   -3      -0.78    39.68    -0.40    49.54    10.38   -20.85     0.01     0.59     0.10P   28.04R    7.82  
Bromley           4    3   -4      -0.50    43.66    -0.43    46.54    12.20   -28.66     0.02     0.94     0.17P   41.97R   17.25  
Aldershot         4    2   -4      -2.66    15.48    -2.75    56.97    10.67    -7.81     0.07     2.89     0.56P   10.37R    2.03  
Kidderminster     4    1   -4      -3.87     7.25    -3.14    55.82    10.94    -8.70     0.03     2.64     0.50P   12.78R    2.86  
Southport         4    1   -8      -2.43    17.77    -4.61    43.32    10.11   -32.87     0.00     0.09     0.01P   51.87R   20.87  
Halifax           4    0   -5      -5.26     1.00    -4.52    58.10    10.97    -4.28     0.09     4.17     0.93P    9.02R    1.71