Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 August 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +6       2.06    83.72     3.98    85.45     9.24    58.75    68.78    86.33    93.56    96.98    99.29     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         2    6   +3       3.05    91.97     2.68    49.66     9.85    -7.40     0.09     0.73     2.09     4.57    13.84     7.21R    1.25  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.30    85.63     0.51    64.99    10.12    16.59     3.46    13.39    26.78    41.85    67.30     0.23R    0.02  
Man_Utd           2    6   +2       2.17    84.57     0.37    70.58     9.84    25.22     8.61    28.50    48.63    64.95    84.74     0.03R    0.00  
Everton           2    4   +3       0.73    67.48     2.19    58.78    10.02    10.74     0.86     4.65    11.32    20.39    43.52     0.95R    0.13  
Swansea           2    4   +2       1.49    82.60     2.40    53.12     9.97     1.04     0.24     1.42     3.95     8.22    22.86     3.77R    0.58  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +1       0.77    64.18     1.83    45.35     9.57   -10.10     0.01     0.18     0.57     1.64     6.29    14.21R    3.08  
West_Ham          2    3   +1       0.70    62.52     1.67    49.37     9.67    -3.73     0.09     0.51     1.63     3.69    12.54     7.06R    1.37  
Norwich           2    3   +0       0.19    51.93    -0.11    41.95    10.37   -18.47     0.02     0.21     0.56     1.38     4.60    26.23R    8.10  
Aston_Villa       2    3   +0       0.99    68.74     1.12    39.27     9.09   -20.28     0.01     0.02     0.09     0.28     1.45    33.00R    9.83  
Arsenal           2    3   -1      -0.87    30.09    -2.70    68.81     9.94    24.89     6.47    23.21    41.81    58.27    80.49     0.06R    0.00  
Watford           2    2   +0      -0.22    47.45     0.84    40.05    10.25   -20.51     0.00     0.07     0.26     0.74     3.02    32.57R   11.42  
Stoke             2    1   -1      -1.29    31.43    -0.33    48.29     9.70    -4.25     0.06     0.43     1.27     3.12    10.79     8.70R    1.71  
Tottenham         2    1   -1      -1.54    26.30    -0.67    54.33    10.25     4.33     0.38     2.02     5.36    10.94    27.70     3.36R    0.53  
Newcastle         2    1   -2      -1.01    37.47    -0.86    38.66     9.56   -22.38     0.00     0.05     0.14     0.33     1.63    36.31R   12.54  
Chelsea           2    1   -3      -2.13    16.23    -3.55    72.30     9.71    31.61    10.66    36.47    56.87    71.83    88.87     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton       2    1   -3      -2.12    16.57    -3.60    54.22     9.90     2.38     0.26     1.72     4.74     9.77    26.13     2.86R    0.44  
West_Brom         2    1   -3      -0.91    37.67    -1.39    41.95     9.44   -15.84     0.00     0.06     0.22     0.66     3.08    23.46R    6.37  
Bournemouth       2    0   -2      -2.15    10.86    -1.00    36.50    10.15   -24.50     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.32     1.42    45.92R   19.48  
Sunderland        2    0   -4      -2.32     9.71    -3.36    34.52     9.02   -28.07     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.42    54.03R   23.15  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich          3    7   +3       2.40    85.67     2.32    73.84    11.49    15.16    10.98    21.59    54.95    29.93P    0.79R    0.13  
Brighton         3    7   +2       2.72    88.21     1.71    65.41    10.65     2.71     2.14     5.47    25.43     9.75P    3.27R    0.53  
MK_Dons          3    6   +3       1.03    63.77     1.75    64.85    12.56     2.70     3.94     8.26    27.60    12.69P    6.49R    1.45  
Middlesbrough    3    5   +3       0.32    56.24     2.15    76.72    11.01    21.84    15.80    29.22    65.80    40.59P    0.27R    0.04  
Charlton         3    5   +2       1.67    78.02     3.11    60.47    10.75    -1.77     0.88     2.40    13.76     4.79P    8.72R    1.78  
Preston          3    5   +1       1.25    71.83     1.41    60.90    11.65    -2.15     1.45     3.47    16.47     6.38P    9.70R    2.10  
Brentford        2    4   +2       1.03    72.91     1.68    70.28    11.94    11.14     7.35    14.81    43.04    21.51P    2.20R    0.37  
Hull             2    4   +2       0.64    66.36     1.05    77.03    12.16    20.76    18.78    32.16    65.20    42.10P    0.60R    0.07  
Birmingham       2    4   +1       1.50    81.61     1.34    58.89    11.39    -7.04     0.80     2.20    12.31     4.00P   13.08R    3.24  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +1       1.29    76.94     1.01    72.37    11.58    13.27     9.08    18.51    50.07    26.79P    1.21R    0.19  
Nott'm_Forest    3    4   +0      -0.71    39.85    -0.94    61.35    11.46    -2.50     1.59     3.78    17.22     6.62P    9.02R    1.97  
Sheff_Wed        2    3   +1       0.45    57.50     1.25    58.96    10.88    -3.88     0.68     1.82    11.60     3.80P   11.18R    2.54  
Cardiff          3    3   +0      -0.88    35.18     0.34    61.11    11.13    -0.60     1.15     3.09    15.97     6.02P    8.43R    1.81  
Derby            3    3   +0      -1.97    19.86    -1.25    73.75    11.58    18.14    11.50    22.08    55.44    31.79P    0.93R    0.11  
Leeds_United     2    2   +0      -0.44    43.68     0.36    56.03    11.06    -8.43     0.40     1.09     7.70     2.31P   18.13R    4.82  
Blackburn        3    2   -1      -2.45    16.19    -1.50    62.03    11.33     0.88     1.52     3.91    18.63     7.28P    7.72R    1.65  
Burnley          3    2   -2      -2.39    15.85    -2.46    66.85    11.95     7.25     4.45     9.48    32.20    15.73P    3.92R    0.83  
Huddersfield     3    2   -2      -1.31    30.53    -0.82    50.86    10.95   -17.48     0.11     0.34     3.07     0.80P   33.42R   11.91  
Fulham           2    1   -1      -1.46    28.01    -0.56    55.53    11.80   -10.94     0.49     1.45     8.22     2.73P   21.45R    6.76  
Reading          2    1   -1      -1.69    23.16    -0.94    54.79    11.21   -10.09     0.35     0.98     6.50     2.08P   21.49R    6.41  
QPR              2    1   -2      -2.08    17.52    -2.53    67.25    12.76     7.12     5.66    11.55    34.95    17.62P    4.88R    1.12  
Rotherham        3    1   -4      -2.20    19.21    -2.62    43.02    10.38   -29.61     0.00     0.03     0.49     0.10P   62.78R   33.51  
Bolton           3    1   -4      -1.94    22.24    -2.30    53.87    10.95   -12.35     0.23     0.69     5.03     1.51P   23.70R    6.87  
Bristol_City     2    0   -4      -2.43     9.37    -3.54    54.22    12.71   -14.15     0.65     1.64     8.37     3.08P   26.63R    9.78  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, Blackpool 1 2 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry          3    9   +7       4.48    96.51     6.36    73.39    12.03    14.97     9.38    18.39    49.27    25.46P    2.13R    0.19  
Gillingham        3    7   +5       2.84    88.65     4.95    70.06    12.17    10.84     5.94    12.50    38.93    18.36P    4.05R    0.45  
Walsall           3    7   +3       2.57    86.76     2.54    68.92    11.41     7.67     3.95     9.26    33.90    15.11P    3.67R    0.30  
Rochdale          3    6   +3       1.56    71.38     2.53    69.35    12.20     9.20     5.43    11.57    36.39    17.37P    4.68R    0.54  
Chesterfield      3    6   +1       1.81    75.19     0.89    73.02    11.97    13.15     8.73    17.46    48.22    25.33P    2.23R    0.20  
Burton_Albion     3    6   +1       2.27    80.63     1.64    59.42    12.33    -7.73     1.20     2.80    13.07     4.74P   19.18R    3.70  
Barnsley          3    6   +0       1.70    73.77    -0.24    70.63    11.98     8.48     6.20    12.99    40.07    19.43P    3.29R    0.31  
Sheff_Utd         3    6   +0       1.53    71.02    -0.51    75.74    11.78    16.24    12.21    23.31    57.62    32.63P    1.27R    0.11  
Swindon           3    5   +3      -0.58    38.84     0.66    78.25    12.08    25.50    18.60    32.09    65.51    42.26P    0.79R    0.05  
Oldham            3    5   +1       1.03    67.92     1.17    60.02    11.41    -4.80     0.85     2.27    12.26     4.28P   15.42R    2.41  
Fleetwood_Town    3    4   +0      -0.20    49.17    -0.14    57.50    11.40    -8.34     0.47     1.37     8.66     2.82P   21.47R    3.76  
Scunthorpe        2    3   +1      -0.07    46.37     0.50    58.91    12.29    -7.13     1.01     2.39    12.16     4.50P   19.81R    3.99  
Port_Vale         3    3   +0      -0.77    37.07     0.65    58.58    11.68    -5.52     0.65     1.83    10.58     3.70P   19.36R    3.44  
Peterborough      3    3   -3      -1.26    29.71    -3.20    64.88    11.75     1.24     2.14     5.14    22.89     9.50P    8.33R    1.16  
Millwall          3    3   -4      -1.17    31.59    -4.06    64.33    12.77    -0.80     2.82     6.32    23.54    10.51P   10.91R    1.83  
Doncaster         2    2   +0      -0.75    34.68    -0.06    64.90    12.08     3.79     2.48     5.82    23.78    10.25P    8.59R    1.16  
Bury              3    2   -1      -1.33    30.72     0.36    51.57    12.49   -16.93     0.25     0.72     4.87     1.60P   41.29R   12.69  
Colchester        3    2   -1      -1.83    23.43    -0.51    53.55    11.62   -13.60     0.21     0.66     5.01     1.53P   33.42R    8.16  
Shrewsbury        3    1   -2      -2.96    12.15    -1.80    58.33    12.26    -4.27     0.80     2.14    11.42     4.37P   21.17R    4.38  
Southend          2    1   -2      -1.29    30.81    -1.41    50.19    12.12   -18.49     0.17     0.50     3.41     1.08P   45.42R   14.53  
Wigan             2    1   -2      -2.25    15.39    -2.74    76.60    12.62    20.68    15.34    27.43    59.86    38.55P    1.45R    0.11  
Blackpool         3    1   -3      -3.18    11.04    -3.07    56.05    12.68    -9.42     0.68     1.68     9.06     3.50P   27.82R    6.89  
Crewe             3    1   -3      -2.04    22.48    -1.20    44.98    10.99   -27.24     0.01     0.06     0.84     0.17P   63.19R   25.72  
Bradford          3    1   -4      -2.71    14.08    -3.30    57.65    11.40    -7.48     0.46     1.30     8.68     2.94P   21.07R    3.94  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Leyton_Orient         3    9   +7       2.48    85.33     3.06    95.91    11.62    51.74    70.02    90.69    98.11    93.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe               3    9   +6       3.98    94.77     4.67    79.15    11.19    22.94     9.79    46.37    78.39    55.40P    0.07R    0.02  
Hartlepool            3    9   +4       4.90    97.70     3.95    59.24    10.86    -8.97     0.22     3.06    15.43     5.19P    7.52R    3.27  
Cambridge_Utd         3    7   +4       2.84    88.94     4.00    62.28    11.49    -2.63     0.60     6.39    24.37    10.01P    5.09R    2.23  
Portsmouth            3    7   +4       3.04    91.13     4.15    69.93    11.40    10.03     2.44    17.89    48.09    25.09P    1.11R    0.42  
Plymouth              3    6   +4       0.93    62.28     2.54    71.23    11.13    13.55     2.80    20.80    53.48    29.81P    0.65R    0.24  
Northampton           3    6   +2       1.66    73.53     1.61    65.88    11.42     3.10     1.17    10.57    34.52    15.94P    2.51R    1.04  
Bristol_Rovers        3    6   +1       2.41    83.80     1.60    61.81    11.46    -2.33     0.56     5.63    22.67     9.35P    5.40R    2.27  
Exeter                3    6   -1       2.19    79.83    -0.48    63.68    11.56    -3.78     0.83     7.74    27.56    11.87P    4.24R    1.78  
Oxford_Utd            3    5   +2       0.99    67.16     2.10    66.92    11.11     6.62     1.24    11.55    37.86    17.97P    1.74R    0.65  
Mansfield             3    4   +1       0.65    64.80     2.15    52.47    10.62   -13.96     0.06     0.74     5.18     1.54P   19.99R   10.16  
Accrington_Stanley    3    4   +0      -0.04    52.09     0.12    54.42    11.24   -14.24     0.10     1.48     8.46     2.83P   16.72R    8.87  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    3   -2      -0.64    39.22    -1.28    55.39    11.10   -12.37     0.12     1.59     9.39     3.22P   14.55R    7.13  
Notts_County          3    3   -2      -1.69    23.03    -2.89    73.17    12.20    15.10     4.94    27.94    59.31    37.82P    0.85R    0.33  
Barnet                3    3   -2       0.14    52.70     0.21    52.38    11.71   -16.37     0.06     1.30     7.12     2.40P   23.29R   13.20  
Morecambe             3    3   -2      -1.20    30.20    -2.18    57.90    11.06    -7.82     0.19     2.51    13.38     4.90P    9.70R    4.44  
York                  3    3   -3      -0.88    34.70    -2.70    57.48    10.80    -8.81     0.17     2.06    11.80     4.16P    9.86R    4.57  
Luton                 3    2   -1      -2.55    14.62    -1.65    62.33    11.08     1.42     0.51     5.58    23.91    10.23P    4.50R    1.82  
Crawley_Town          3    2   -1      -2.89    11.28    -2.17    69.14    12.08    11.40     2.64    18.01    46.28    26.65P    1.75R    0.73  
Carlisle              3    2   -3      -1.57    26.05    -2.11    53.74    11.58   -16.41     0.10     1.38     8.25     2.76P   19.63R   10.54  
Newport_County        3    1   -4      -2.57    15.50    -3.17    52.49    10.99   -15.46     0.03     0.84     5.74     1.88P   20.76R   10.92  
Stevenage             3    1   -5      -2.43    16.09    -3.81    64.31    11.47     1.76     0.74     8.33    30.24    13.96P    3.48R    1.44  
Yeovil                3    0   -3      -4.21     2.03    -3.17    61.50    11.99     1.13     0.62     6.45    23.69    11.29P    6.43R    2.96  
Dag_&_Red             3    0   -6      -3.25     5.54    -4.55    53.07    11.20   -15.63     0.05     1.09     6.74     2.27P   20.13R   11.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 August 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      4   12   +7       4.11    94.20     3.12    81.80    11.03    25.94    12.17    64.33    25.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere          4   10   +5       2.41    82.33     1.77    93.27    11.02    46.14    50.90    91.70    65.45P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham           4    9   +5       2.52    80.47     3.53    73.18    10.89    15.19     2.98    33.47     9.33P    0.35R    0.04  
Woking            4    9   +4       2.71    84.71     2.70    75.95    10.99    18.36     4.51    43.43    13.10P    0.19R    0.02  
Gateshead         4    9   +0       3.12    86.26    -0.61    70.08    11.09     5.08     1.62    24.12     5.61P    0.95R    0.10  
Eastleigh         4    8   +5       0.72    59.33     2.16    74.01    11.15    18.28     3.81    37.13    11.09P    0.36R    0.02  
Lincoln_City      4    8   +4       3.12    87.60     5.03    67.26    11.23     5.99     1.03    17.70     3.64P    1.87R    0.28  
Chester           4    8   +2       3.53    90.80     3.51    59.72    10.70    -7.55     0.16     5.11     0.93P    6.43R    1.09  
Grimsby           4    7   +5      -1.17    32.13     0.56    80.58    10.86    29.49    10.04    61.41    26.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Guiseley          4    7   +1       1.67    73.11     1.18    52.34    11.84   -17.59     0.06     2.39     0.47P   22.89R    6.39  
Cheltenham        4    6   +3      -1.53    26.94    -0.15    79.85    11.40    28.02     9.91    58.39    25.31P    0.12R    0.01  
Torquay           4    6   -1       0.41    55.26    -1.17    70.16    11.11     9.05     1.82    24.42     6.58P    0.84R    0.09  
Dover_Athletic    4    5   +0      -1.24    33.50    -1.13    61.81    10.87    -1.54     0.26     7.61     1.66P    4.51R    0.77  
Welling           4    4   -1      -0.42    46.44     0.73    52.86    10.52   -14.88     0.02     1.20     0.17P   18.76R    4.30  
Macclesfield      4    4   -2      -2.04    22.98    -2.83    62.82    10.74     0.06     0.27     8.62     1.83P    3.53R    0.48  
Braintree_Town    4    4   -2      -1.31    33.04    -1.81    60.73    10.53    -2.90     0.15     5.76     1.13P    5.01R    0.78  
Barrow            4    4   -6       0.42    60.86    -2.33    43.92    11.67   -36.86     0.01     0.48     0.07P   51.29R   23.25  
Boreham_Wood      4    3   -1      -0.89    37.97     1.63    50.22    11.96   -17.33     0.04     1.47     0.25P   28.87R    9.83  
Altrincham        4    3   -3      -0.78    39.58    -0.41    49.36    10.38   -21.05     0.01     0.60     0.08P   29.05R    7.86  
Bromley           4    3   -4      -0.47    43.79    -0.41    46.63    12.15   -28.53     0.02     0.83     0.15P   41.65R   17.23  
Aldershot         4    2   -4      -2.68    15.57    -2.81    57.15    10.62    -7.51     0.08     3.00     0.58P    9.70R    1.86  
Kidderminster     4    1   -4      -3.84     7.36    -3.09    55.59    10.76    -9.00     0.03     2.35     0.41P   12.68R    2.77  
Southport         4    1   -8      -2.44    17.88    -4.65    43.37    10.12   -32.76     0.00     0.09     0.01P   51.90R   21.06  
Halifax           4    0   -5      -5.28     1.02    -4.52    58.27    11.05    -4.11     0.11     4.38     0.95P    8.99R    1.75